F ive Ye ar F inanc ial F
- re c ast
CITY OF SAN ANTONIO F ive Ye ar F inanc ial F o re c ast F Y - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CITY OF SAN ANTONIO F ive Ye ar F inanc ial F o re c ast F Y 2008 F Y 2012 Presented by Peter Zanoni Management & Budget Director May 16, 2007 Overview Purpose General Fund Other Funds Purpose Purpose
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Community & Visitor Facilities
Convention & Visitors Bureau
Cultural Affairs
Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
F Y 2006 Ac tual E nding Balanc e R e -E stimate d F Y 2007 R e ve nue s & E xpe nditur e s Pr
F Y 2008 – F Y 2012 R e ve nue s/ R ate s Pr
Y 2008 Pr e liminar y Base Budge t E xpe nditur e s thr
Y 2012 Ide ntifie d Mandate s City Counc il Appr
Issue s F inanc ial R e se r ve Goals
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
($ In Millions) ($ In Millions)
Total Total Revenues Revenues Total Total Expenditures Expenditures
Total Combined Variance Total Combined Variance
FY 2007 FY 2007 Budget Budget FY 2007 FY 2007 Re Re-
Est. FY 2007 FY 2007 Variance Variance
739.1 739.1 764.6 764.6 25.5 25.5 788.1 788.1 786.0 786.0 2.1 2.1 27.6 27.6
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
($ In Millions) ($ In Millions)
FY 2008 FY 2008 Projection Projection FY 2009 FY 2009 Projection Projection FY 2010 FY 2010 Projection Projection FY 2011 FY 2011 Projection Projection FY 2012 FY 2012 Projection Projection Beginning Beginning Balance Balance
60.1 60.1 12.5 12.5
Reserve Reserve – – 50 50 Police Officers Police Officers
2.4 2.4
Current Revenues Current Revenues
787.2 787.2 807.0 807.0 831.8 831.8 856.9 856.9 881.2 881.2
Total Available Total Available Resources Resources
849.7 849.7 819.5 819.5 831.8 831.8 856.9 856.9 881.2 881.2
Total Expenditures Total Expenditures and Reserves and Reserves
837.2 837.2 864.4 864.4 895.2 895.2 925.8 925.8 950.5 950.5
Use of Budget Use of Budget Stabilization Reserve Stabilization Reserve
15.0 15.0 5.7 5.7 5.9 5.9 Remaining Remaining Balance Balance 12.5 12.5 (29.9) (29.9) (63.4) (63.4) (63.2) (63.2) (63.4) (63.4)
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
General Fund Sales Tax Revenue Forecast ($ In Millions)
$180.8 $186.2 $193.8 $201.6 $209.8 $217.5 $225.5
$0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250
FY 2007 Budget FY 2007 Estimate FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012
2.99% 3.66% 3.67% 4.06% 4.03% 4.09%
Projection Projection Projection Projection Projection
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds City of San Antonio Current Property Tax Revenue Forecast ($ In Millions)
$200.5 $214.1 $221.1 $228.6 $236.4 $243.2 $200.8
$0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300
FY 2007 Budget FY 2007 Re- estimate FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012
8.00% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.0%
Property Value Increase 0.15% 2.90% 3.40% 3.34% 3.30% 6.63%
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
CPS Revenues With Additional CPS Transfer ($ In Millions)
$262.08 $254.67 $247.08 $239.89 $236.11 $238.29 $219.74 $ 10.65 $ 10.34 $ 10.04 $ 9.74 $ 9.46 $ 8.29 $ 7.30
$0 $50 $100 $150 $200 $250 $300 FY 2007 Budget FY 2007 Re- estimate FY 2008 Projection FY 2009 Projection FY 2010 Projection FY 2011 Projection FY 2012 Projection
CPS Energy Additional CPS Energy Transfer
Total $227.04 Total $257.12 Total $249.63 Total $245.57 Total $246.58 Total $265.01
8.6%
1.7% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0%
Total $272.73
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
All Revenues Including Transfers ($ in Millions)
$739.0 $764.6 $787.2 $807.0 $881.2 $856.9 $831.8
$- $250.0 $500.0 $750.0 $1,000.0
FY 2007 Budget FY 2007 Re-Est. FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012
$25.6 Over Budget $22.6 Over Re-Est.
3.5% 2.8% 3.0% 3.0% 2.5% 2.9%
F Y 2007 F Y 2007 F Y 2008 F Y 2009 F Y 2010 F Y 2011 F Y 2012 Budg et Re-Est.
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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$3.62 $3.62 FY 2011 FY 2011 $1.22 $1.22 $4.05 $4.05 $2.35 $2.35 $4.15 $4.15 Total Mandates Total Mandates FY 2012 FY 2012 FY 2010 FY 2010 FY 2009 FY 2009 FY 2008 FY 2008 ($ In Millions) ($ In Millions) $3.62 $3.62 FY 2011 FY 2011 $1.22 $1.22 $4.05 $4.05 $2.35 $2.35 $4.15 $4.15 Total Mandates Total Mandates FY 2012 FY 2012 FY 2010 FY 2010 FY 2009 FY 2009 FY 2008 FY 2008 ($ In Millions) ($ In Millions)
Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
China Initiative $25 Veteran's Affairs Commission - Medal of Honor Memorial $50 Free Trade Alliance $50 Human Development Services Funds (one-time FY 2007 increase to base) $110 After School Challenge Program (one-time FY 2007 increase to base) $201 Traffic Signal Installation - Potential Warranted Unfunded Traffic Signals $379 Project REAP (Residential Energy Assistance Program) $750
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
Project Quest (one-time FY 2007 increase to base) $1,000 Alley Roadway Maintenance $1,000 Neighborhood Access & Mobility Program (NAMP) one-time FY 2007 increase to base $1,000 Support Infrastructure at Port Authority of San Antonio $2,000 Contractual Neighborhood Sidewalk Program $2,000 Contractual Street Maintenance Services (one-time FY 2007 increase to base) $5,000
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
Emergency Reserve as a Percentage of Total Appropriations
3.0% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.0% 5.5% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
($ In Millions) FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 Yearly Increase $4.00 $7.00 $1.50 $1.70 $1.50 Total Reserve $36.17 $42.17 $43.67 $45.37 $46.87
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
($ In Millions) FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 Yearly Increase $1.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 Total Contingency Reserve $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00 $2.00
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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*Transfer from HOT 55% Other Revenues 45%
Departments Convention, Sports, Entertainment Facilities, International Affairs, Non-Departmental (Hosting Obligations)
*Transfer from HOT 100% Other Revenues 0%
Departments Office of Cultural Affairs Art & Cultural Agencies
*Transfer from HOT 99% Other Revenues 1%
Departments Convention and Visitors Bureau
*Percentage based on FY 2007 Adopted Budget
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
($ In Millions) ($ In Millions) Total Total Revenues Revenues Expenditures Expenditures
50.81 50.81 50.04 50.04 .77 .77
Stabilization Stabilization
.4 .4 2.4 2.4 2.0 2.0
RI&C RI&C FY 2007 FY 2007 Budget Budget FY 2007 FY 2007 Re Re-
Est. . FY 2007 FY 2007 Variance Variance
47.7 47.7 51.8 51.8 4.1 4.1 1.5 1.5 7.5 7.5 6.0 6.0
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67.10 67.10 63.63 63.63 60.69 60.69 58.65 58.65 58.47 58.47
Total Available Total Available Resources Resources
66.45 66.45 63.32 63.32 60.34 60.34 57.50 57.50 54.44 54.44
Current Current Revenues Revenues
.65 .65 .31 .31 .35 .35 1.15 1.15 4.03 4.03
Beginning Beginning Balance Balance FY 2012 FY 2012 Projection Projection FY 2011 FY 2011 Projection Projection FY 2010 FY 2010 Projection Projection FY 2009 FY 2009 Projection Projection FY 2008 FY 2008 Projection Projection
($ In Millions) ($ In Millions) 67.10 67.10 63.63 63.63 60.69 60.69 58.65 58.65 58.47 58.47
Total Available Total Available Resources Resources
66.45 66.45 63.32 63.32 60.34 60.34 57.50 57.50 54.44 54.44
Current Current Revenues Revenues
.65 .65 .31 .31 .35 .35 1.15 1.15 4.03 4.03
Beginning Beginning Balance Balance FY 2012 FY 2012 Projection Projection FY 2011 FY 2011 Projection Projection FY 2010 FY 2010 Projection Projection FY 2009 FY 2009 Projection Projection FY 2008 FY 2008 Projection Projection
($ In Millions) ($ In Millions)
Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds 9.38 9.38 8.92 8.92 8.48 8.48 8.06 8.06 7.61 7.61 Transfer to OCA/Arts Transfer to OCA/Arts 18.06 18.06 17.64 17.64 17.52 17.52 16.52 16.52 16.66 16.66 Transfer to CVF Transfer to CVF 23.27 23.27 22.23 22.23 21.04 21.04 20.22 20.22 19.26 19.26 Transfer to CVB Transfer to CVB 2.40 2.40 2.40 2.40 2.00 2.00 2.60 2.60 3.00 3.00 RI&C and Reserves RI&C and Reserves 12.28 12.28 11.79 11.79 11.34 11.34 10.90 10.90 10.79 10.79 H&P & Other Transfers H&P & Other Transfers 65.39 65.39 62.98 62.98 60.38 60.38 58.30 58.30 57.32 57.32 Total Expenditures Total Expenditures and Reserves and Reserves 1.71 1.71 .65 .65 .31 .31 .35 .35 1.15 1.15 Remaining Balance Remaining Balance FY 2012 FY 2012 Projection Projection FY 2011 FY 2011 Projection Projection FY 2010 FY 2010 Projection Projection FY 2009 FY 2009 Projection Projection FY 2008 FY 2008 Projection Projection
($ In Millions) ($ In Millions)
9.38 9.38 8.92 8.92 8.48 8.48 8.06 8.06 7.61 7.61 Transfer to OCA/Arts Transfer to OCA/Arts 18.06 18.06 17.64 17.64 17.52 17.52 16.52 16.52 16.66 16.66 Transfer to CVF Transfer to CVF 23.27 23.27 22.23 22.23 21.04 21.04 20.22 20.22 19.26 19.26 Transfer to CVB Transfer to CVB 2.40 2.40 2.40 2.40 2.00 2.00 2.60 2.60 3.00 3.00 RI&C and Reserves RI&C and Reserves 12.28 12.28 11.79 11.79 11.34 11.34 10.90 10.90 10.79 10.79 H&P & Other Transfers H&P & Other Transfers 65.39 65.39 62.98 62.98 60.38 60.38 58.30 58.30 57.32 57.32 Total Expenditures Total Expenditures and Reserves and Reserves 1.71 1.71 .65 .65 .31 .31 .35 .35 1.15 1.15 Remaining Balance Remaining Balance FY 2012 FY 2012 Projection Projection FY 2011 FY 2011 Projection Projection FY 2010 FY 2010 Projection Projection FY 2009 FY 2009 Projection Projection FY 2008 FY 2008 Projection Projection
($ In Millions) ($ In Millions)
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
$47.1 $50.5 $53.1 $56.2 $59.0 $61.9 $65.0
$0 $10 $20 $30 $40 $50 $60 $70
Budget Estimate Projection Projection Projection Projection Projection FY 2007 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012
15.2% 7.2% 5.2% 5.8% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
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CVF Revenue Forecast ($ In Millions)
7.6 9.9 9.6 9.8 10.0 10.2 10.4 6.0 6.5 6.1 6.3 6.5 6.6 6.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.0
$0 $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $14 $16 $18 $20
Budget Estimate Projection Projection Projection Projection Projection FY 2007 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012
Convention Center Alamodome Other Revenue $14.6 $16.8 $16.1 $16.5 $16.9 $17.2 $17.7
Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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FY 2008 Forecast FY 2009 Forecast FY 2010 Forecast FY 2011 Forecast FY 2012 Forecast $0.82 $0.43 $0.39 $0.41 $0.43 Contribution to Maintain 15% - Incremental ($ in Millions)
Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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29.8 29.8 30.8 30.8
Total Expenditures Total Expenditures
1.0 1.0
Annual Reserves Annual Reserves
($3.0) ($3.0) $0.2 $0.2 Remaining Remaining Balance Balance
Beginning Balance Beginning Balance
1.9 1.9
Proposed Midyear Proposed Midyear
24.9 24.9 31.0 31.0
Current Revenues Current Revenues FY 2007 FY 2007 Re Re-
Est. . FY 2007 FY 2007 Budget Budget (In Millions) (In Millions)
29.8 29.8 30.8 30.8
Total Expenditures Total Expenditures
1.0 1.0
Annual Reserves Annual Reserves
($3.0) ($3.0) $0.2 $0.2 Remaining Remaining Balance Balance
Beginning Balance Beginning Balance
1.9 1.9
Proposed Midyear Proposed Midyear
24.9 24.9 31.0 31.0
Current Revenues Current Revenues FY 2007 FY 2007 Re Re-
Est. . FY 2007 FY 2007 Budget Budget (In Millions) (In Millions)
Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
(In Millions) (In Millions) FY 2008 FY 2008 Forecast Forecast FY 2009 FY 2009 Forecast Forecast FY 2010 FY 2010 Forecast Forecast FY 2011 FY 2011 Forecast Forecast FY 2012 FY 2012 Forecast Forecast Beginning Beginning Balance Balance Current Revenues Current Revenues Total Total Expenditures Expenditures
32.3 32.3 32.1 32.1 33.0 33.0 33.9 33.9 34.7 34.7
Remaining Remaining Balance Balance Annual Reserves Annual Reserves
(3.0) (3.0) ($4.8) ($4.8) ($1.6) ($1.6) ($2.5) ($2.5) ($3.4) ($3.4) ($4.3) ($4.3) 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.5 30.4 30.4 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
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– – City crews service 325,000 homes City crews service 325,000 homes – – Private contractors service 14,000 homes Private contractors service 14,000 homes
Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010
Route Conversion
Actual Estimate Estimate Estimate Homes Converted (approximate) 75,000 88,000 92,000 24,000
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Represents areas currently with Automated Collection
Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
Annual Annual Reserves Reserves Remaining Remaining Balance Balance Total Total Expenditures Expenditures Current Current Revenues Revenues Beginning Beginning Balance Balance (In Millions) (In Millions)
4.1 4.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 2.0 2.0 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.0 4.0 3.4 3.4 2.9 2.9 90.7 90.7 91.8 91.8 90.4 90.4 85.8 85.8 83.9 83.9 94.3 94.3 92.1 92.1 89.4 89.4 85.8 85.8 83.1 83.1
FY 2012 FY 2012 Forecast Forecast FY 2011 FY 2011 Forecast Forecast FY 2010 FY 2010 Forecast Forecast FY 2009 FY 2009 Forecast Forecast FY 2008 FY 2008 Forecast Forecast Annual Annual Reserves Reserves Remaining Remaining Balance Balance Total Total Expenditures Expenditures Current Current Revenues Revenues Beginning Beginning Balance Balance (In Millions) (In Millions)
4.1 4.1 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 2.0 2.0 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.0 4.0 3.4 3.4 2.9 2.9 90.7 90.7 91.8 91.8 90.4 90.4 85.8 85.8 83.9 83.9 94.3 94.3 92.1 92.1 89.4 89.4 85.8 85.8 83.1 83.1
FY 2012 FY 2012 Forecast Forecast FY 2011 FY 2011 Forecast Forecast FY 2010 FY 2010 Forecast Forecast FY 2009 FY 2009 Forecast Forecast FY 2008 FY 2008 Forecast Forecast
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Monthly Fees
FY 2008 Projected FY 2009 Projected FY 2010 Projected FY 2011 Projected FY 2012 Projected
Solid Waste, Brush, Automated Conversion, & Environmental Base Fees
$15.99 $17.99 $19.59 $20.14 $20.81 Projected Monthly Increase $2.00 $1.60 $0.55 $0.67 $0.48
Total Monthly Fee
$17.99 $19.59 $20.14 $20.81 $21.29
Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds
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Purpose· · · General Fund· · · Other Funds