Chronicling Latinos diverse experience in a changing America 1615 L - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Chronicling Latinos’ diverse experience in a changing America

1615 L Street, NW, Suite 700 Washington, DC 20036 202-419-3600(main) 202-419-3608(fax) www.pewhispanic.org

DEMOGRAPHY

Population Growth, Immigration and the Latino population 46 million Latinos (2007 est.) —Tripled since 1980 Latinos Projected to Triple Again by 2050

Share Projected to Double

Growth of Latinos Driven by Past Immigration Momentum Leads to Growth of Native-Born Latino Population

Hispanic Births Far Outpace Immigration after 2000

New Geographic Centers Emerging

U.S. Population by Race & Nativity: 2006 Fastest Growth By Hispanics and Asians

Total U.S. Population — 299.4 million

White* 200.2 million 66%

Black* 38.2 million 13% Hispanic 44.3 million 15% Asian* 14.7 Million 5%

U.S. Population by Race & Nativity: 2006 Fastest Growth By Hispanics and Asians

Total U.S. Population — 299.4 million

Asian* 14.7 Million 5% Hispanic 44.3 million 15% Black* 38.2 million 13%

White* 200.2 million 66%

Native-Born -- 26.6 million 60% of Hispanics Foreign-Born -- 17.7 million 40% of Hispanics

4.0 15 22 35 43 45.5

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060

11-fold Hispanic Growth since 1950 — Driven by post-1970 Immigration

Population in millions

Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008).

4.0 15 22 35

45.7 105

128

49

57

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 Middle "Baseline" Immigration

Hispanic Growth Likely to Continue

Population in millions

Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008).

87% 10% 11% 12% 12% 13% 13% 14%

47%

85%

70% 76% 80% 83% 67% 65% 60% 56% 52%

11% 13% 13% 13% 13%

13%

5%

9%

6%

4 % 3 %

14% 16% 19% 23% 26% 29%

9%

8% 7%

6%

5%

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2005 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

White* Black* Hispanic Asian*

Hispanic Share Doubles to 29% by 2050— Asian Share also Doubles

Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008). *Not Hispanic.

Percent of Total Population

Hispanic Immigrants Exceed Births from 1970;

Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008). *Not Hispanic.

3.1 5.6 7.0 4.4 8.1 3.1

1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 2020s 2030s 2040s

Hispanic Births (millions) Hispanic Immigrants (millions) % Foreign-Born for Hispanics

Hispanic Immigrants Exceed Births from 1970; Pattern Reverses in 2000s

Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008). *Not Hispanic.

3.1 9.0 5.6 7.3 7.0 4.4 8.1 3.1

1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 2020s 2030s 2040s

Hispanic Births (millions) Hispanic Immigrants (millions) % Foreign-Born for Hispanics

Hispanic Births Exceed Immigrants from 2000; Percent Foreign-Born Has PEAKED

Source: Pew Hispanic Center population estimates & projections (2008). *Not Hispanic.

3.1 9.0 11.3 13.9 16.5 19.3 5.6 7.3 10.3 7.0 4.4 8.1 8.4 9.3 7.7 3.1

14% 18% 28% 35% 40% 38% 36% 33%

40% 40%

1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s 2020s 2030s 2040s

Hispanic Births (millions) Hispanic Immigrants (millions) % Foreign-Born for Hispanics

Hispanic Population Younger

Native-Born Younger

Counties with Largest Hispanic Populations, 1980

Counties with Largest Hispanic Populations, 2007

Where Were Concentrations in 1980?

Almost All 15% + Counties Along Border

1980 1990 2000 2007

14.6 Million Hispanics 6.4% of Total

1980 1990 2000 2007

Where Were Concentrations in 1990?

Almost All 15% + Counties Along Border, S till

22.4 Million Hispanics 9.0% of Total

236 Counties With 15%+ Hispanic

Where Were Concentrations in 2000?

Fast Growth Away from Border

1980 1990 2000 2007

12.5% of Total 35.3 Million Hispanics

333 Counties With 15%+ Hispanic

Where Were Concentrations in 2007?

Many Concentrations Emerge in Distant Areas

1980 1990 2000 2007

15.1% of Total 45.5 Million Hispanics

414 Counties With 15%+ Hispanic

Educational Attainment

Hispanic Students in Public Schools One in five public school students is Hispanic (20.5%) Between 1990 and 2006, Hispanics represented 60% of all growth Half of all Hispanics students are in California and Texas 34% of Hispanic students have parents without a HS diploma

Percent of Students who are Latino

Between 20% and 40% Latino (5 states) Between 5% and 10% Latino (12 states) Less than 5% Latino (16 states) Between 10% and 20% Latino (13 states) More than 40% Latino (4 states)

Hispanic Share of Public School Students, by State

Pew Hispanic Center tabulations of the 2006 ACS (1% IPUMS sample)

College Enrollment Rates, October 2007 Among 18-24 year olds 39% 28% 46% 43% 47%

All Latinos Immigrants Second Generation Third Generation Non- Hispanics

Among High School Completers. Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the Oct 2007 CPS.

Associate’s Degree Attainment Among 25 to 29 year olds, March 2008 9% 8% 12% 8% 11% 9%

All Latinos Immigrants Second Generation Third Generation NH Whites NH Blacks Among High School Completers. Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the March 2008 CPS.

Bachelor’s Degree or More Among 25 to 29 year olds, March 2008 17% 13% 21% 17% 40% 22%

All Latinos Immigrants Second Generation Third Generation NH Whites NH Blacks Among High School Completers. Source: Pew Hispanic Center analysis of the March 2008 CPS.

The Economic Downturn

“A Lot” or “Some” | “Not much” or “Not at all”

Many Latino Homeowners Worry They May Lose Their Homes to Foreclosure

45% 74% 63%

53% 25% 37%

Foreign-Born Hispanics Native-Born Hispanics All Hispanics

Percent of Latino Homeowners

Workplace

Labor Force by Race/Ethnicity, 2008 (millions)

11.8 10.4 22.2

Hispanic

0.1 2.4 2.5

Other*

5.4 2.0 7.4

Asian* & NHPI*

2.1 15.0 17.1

Black*

4.5 101.2 105.7

White*

24.0 131.0 155.0

Total

Foreign Born Native Born Total

* Non-Hispanic. Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from Current Population Surveys for the fourth quarter of 2008; non-seasonally adjusted.

Hispanic Share of the Labor Force, by Age: 2007

17.7% 19.6% 15.3%

14.0%

10.2% 7.3%

16-24 25-34 35-44 All Ages 45-54 55 & over

Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from Current Population Surveys for the first quarter of 2007; non-seasonally adjusted.

Hispanic Share of the Labor Force, by Education: 2007

Less Than HS High School All Hispanics Some College Associate Degree Bachelor's Degree Graduate Degree

4.5% 39.9% 14.3% 6.8%

14.0%

11.5% 9.5%

Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from Current Population Surveys for the first quarter of 2007; non-seasonally adjusted.

Rising Unemployment

“Plenty of jobs available” | “Jobs are difficult to find”

Local Job Opportunities Hard to Find

73% 83% 73% 78%

19% 10% 17% 13%

.General U.S population Foreign-Born Hispanics Native-Born Hispanics All Hispanics

Percent of Latino Adults

Note: The comparability of the data over time is affected slightly by annual revisions in the CPS methodology. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

8.9 8.0 4.9 6.5 5.9 4.4

3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Percent

Hispanics Non-Hispanics

Quarterly Unemployment Rate (seasonally adjusted)

0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5%

• Jan. to Feb. 2006
• Jan. to Feb. 2007
• Jan. to Feb. 2008

All Workers All Hispanics Hispanic Immigrants

S

• urce: Pew Hispanic tabulations of Current Population S

urvey data Note: Percent of workers employed in one month who are unemployed or discouraged in the next month.

The Monthly Job Loss Rate, Jan. 2006 to Sept. 2008

Hispanic Share of Employment for Selected Industries, 2008: 5 Highest and 5 Lowest 8.8% 9.1% 9.4% 9.8% 10.0% 18.5% 19.8% 20.7% 22.0% 23.8%

Education Publishing Public Adm Health FIRE Agriculture Non-durable Manufacturing Personal Services Eating/Lodging Construction

Source: Pew Hispanic Center tabulations from Current Population Surveys for the fourth quarter of 2008; non-seasonally adjusted.

Changing Economic Behaviors

Hispanics’ Changing Economic Behaviors 17% 28% 47% 67% 71%

Received loan Helped with loan Delayed/canceled plans to make major purchase Cut back on Xmas shopping Cut back on eating

• ut

Percent of Latino Adults

Priorities for the New Administration

Hispanics’ Priorities for Obama Administration 20% 31% 33% 43% 45% 51% 57%

Energy policy Immigration Environment National Security Health Care Education The Economy

Percent of Latino Adults saying “extremely important”

Mark Hugo Lopez Associate Director Pew Hispanic Center (202) 419-3617 www.pewhispanic.org mlopez@ pewhispanic.org

Chronicling Latinos’ diverse experience in a changing America

1615 L Street, NW, Suite 700 Washington, DC 20036 202-419-3600(main) 202-419-3608(fax) www.pewhispanic.org