Children: Whats at Stake. November 14, 2012 1 11/14/2012 - - PDF document

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Children: Whats at Stake. November 14, 2012 1 11/14/2012 - - PDF document

11/14/2012 The Fiscal Showdown and Children: Whats at Stake. November 14, 2012 The Fiscal Showdown and Children: Whats at Stake. November 14, 2012 1 11/14/2012 Co-sponsored by and Joe Theis isse sen Senior Vice President,


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11/14/2012 1

The Fiscal Showdown and Children: What’s at Stake.

November 14, 2012

The Fiscal Showdown and Children: What’s at Stake.

November 14, 2012

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Co-sponsored by

and

Joe Theis isse sen

Senior Vice President, Programs Voices for America’s Children Moderator

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Ala lan Housem eman an

Executive Director Center for Law and Social Policy (CLASP) Chair, Children’s Leadership Council

Ell llen Nis issenbaum baum

Senior Vice President For Government Affairs Center on Budget and Policy Priorities

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Deborah

  • rah Wein

instei ein

Executive Director Coalition on Human Needs

Huge e Fis iscal l Decis isions ions Lie ie Ah Ahead:

The Key Po

Policy y Choices for Pro rote tecting ng the Po Poor CHN,CLC, Voices for America’s Children Ellen n Nissenbaum aum www.cb .cbpp.or pp.org nissenbau nbaum@ m@cbp bpp.org p.org Nove

  • vembe

mber r 14, 2012

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Center on Budget and Policy Priorities cbpp.org 9

Long-Term Debt is Unsustainable

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities cbpp.org 10

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Center on Budget and Policy Priorities cbpp.org

Number of U.S. Households Living Below World Bank Measure of Serious Poverty in Developing Nations:

Living on Less Than $2 a Day, Per Person

Cash Income Cash Income plus Food Stamps 1996 636,000 households with 1.4 million children 475,000 households Start of 2011 1.46 million households with 2.8 million children 800,000 households

Source: Shaefer and Edin, “Extreme Poverty in the United States,” 1996 to 2011.

11 Center on Budget and Policy Priorities cbpp.org

Tax cuts & UI expire in December Sequestration hits in January Debt limit is hit in early 2013 Current FY13 CR runs through March 27

12

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Center on Budget and Policy Priorities cbpp.org

Deficit Deal:

3-legged stool

Discretionary spending

Health/other entitlements Revenues

(reduce deficit? Lower rates?)

13 Center on Budget and Policy Priorities cbpp.org

The 3 legs of the stool: the central issues

  • “Discretionary” (appropriated) spending: we’ve

already cut $1.5 trillion since 2011. Will the Congress make further cuts in this area, below the deep cuts enacted in the Budget Control Act? If so, will nondefense spending be protected?

  • Revenues: will new revenues contribute to deficit

reduction, or will conservatives win and force a new round of income tax rate cuts?

  • Entitlements: how much will be cut in health, and

what does that mean for Medicaid? SNAP? Other low-income entitlements “off the table?”

14

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Center on Budget and Policy Priorities cbpp.org

KEY DECISIONS TO PROTECT THE POOR

  • Averting further cuts in NDD (nondefense discretionary)
  • No cuts in nonhealth low-income entitlements (SSI,etc)
  • Reject deep cuts and harmful changes in SNAP
  • Medicaid (protect beneficiaries, no cost shifts to states, no

per capita cap)

  • No cuts or harmful changes in the refundable tax

credits for working poor (EITC, Child Tax Credit)

  • Ensuring tax reform is progressive

15 Center on Budget and Policy Priorities cbpp.org

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Non-Defense Discretionary Spending Cuts Far Below Historical Levels

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Center on Budget and Policy Priorities cbpp.org 17

Nearly Half of NDD Spending is Grants to States; Low-Income Programs

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities cbpp.org

There Are Both Risks and Opportunities on Taxes, Especially for Low-Income Families with Children

18 18

  • If new tax revenue is raised, who will bear the burden? Will revenue increases

be progressive?

  • How will low-wage workers fare? Some emerging proposals to make

everyone who works pay at least some federal income tax would effectively result in a several-thousand-dollar tax increase for low-income working families.

  • A mother raising two children on full-time minimum-wage earnings now

receives a $7,000 tax credit check because of the Earned Income Tax Credit and Child Tax Credit — essentially a large negative income tax. For her to

  • we income tax would require taking more than $7,000 — the equivalent of

$3.50 an hour — away from her.

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Center on Budget and Policy Priorities cbpp.org

Most Who Don’t Owe Federal Income Tax Are Workers, Elderly, Disabled, or Students

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities cbpp.org

The Case for Letting the High- Income Tax Cuts Expire

Proposed Extension of Bush Tax Cuts Favors Millionaires

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Center on Budget and Policy Priorities cbpp.org

Raising Threshold for Extending Bush Tax Cuts Would Cost $366 Billion Over First Decade

*Excludes additional savings from reduced interest on the debt. **Savings exclude any reductions in estate tax cuts. Source: Joint Committee on Taxation

21 Center on Budget and Policy Priorities cbpp.org

Large Deficit-Reduction Packages Have Included Large Revenue Increases

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Center on Budget and Policy Priorities cbpp.org 23

Tax Expenditures are Substantial

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities cbpp.org

BOTTOM LINE: A Balanced Plan

REVENUES

  • Bipartisan commissions all agree
  • Getting to $2+ trillion
  • $1.5 trillion cuts already enacted
  • What’s “off the table?”
  • Two big budgetary “losers” w/o major revenues
  • Big hit on federal funding for state governments?

24

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Center on Budget and Policy Priorities cbpp.org

Core Principles for Deficit Reduction

  • Requires substantial new revenues & spending cuts
  • Don’t increase poverty or income inequality.
  • End the 2001/2003 tax cuts for the wealthiest 2%
  • Factor in the $1.5 trillion spending cuts already made
  • No more cuts in total discretionary spending below BCA
  • Don’t shift costs to states (especially Medicaid)
  • No structural changes or harmful reforms in Medicaid or SNAP

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Take Action to Protect Children

Deborah Weinstein Coalition on Human Needs

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Impact of Automatic Cuts on Children (aka “sequestration”)

750,000 – 900,000 fewer infants, children and moms receiving WIC 80,000 fewer children with child care assistance 96,000 fewer children in Head Start 413,000 fewer adults and youth getting job training 1.8 million fewer low-income schoolchildren with reading and math help 5 million fewer families will receive prenatal care and other maternal and child health services 212,000 fewer children vaccinated against childhood diseases 27,000 fewer infants receiving special education early intervention services

Medicaid and SNAP

  • Medicaid serves one-third of all children in the

U.S. House-pas passed ed budget would d cut Medicaid caid by 1/3 ($810b) ) by 2022

  • SNAP/food stamps served 46.6 million people

in July 2012, nearly half of them children. House-pas passed ed budget would d cut SNA NAP by $134 34 billion

  • n by 2022 – could

d mean 8 million

  • n people

e denied d food aid

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Tax Credits, UI, SNAP lift families out of poverty

All children lifted

  • ut of poverty

by EITC and CTC, 2011:

4.9 million ion

All people lifted

  • ut of poverty by

UI, 2011:

2.3 million ion

All people lifted

  • ut of poverty by

SNAP, 2011:

3.9 million ion (1.7m children dren)

source: U.S. Census Bureau

Strengthening America’s Values and Economy (SAVE) For All Letter signed by 1,900+ organizations nationwide

Prot

  • tec

ect low-in inco come me and vulner erable able peopl ple e Promo

  • mote

e job creation

  • n

to streng ngthen en the econom nomy Incre rease ase revenu nues es from m fair sources ces Seek responsi

  • nsible

ble savings ngs from the Pentag agon

  • n and ot
  • ther

areas as

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What we’re up against

  • CEO’s ready to spend $60 million to get a

“balanced plan” (see Kids Not CEO’s, at www.Americansfortaxfairness.org)

  • “Deficit scolds” using

fear of fiscal “cliff” to call for huge spending cuts

  • Little will to invest in rebuilding

the economy – kids (and former kids) will pay

But! There is recent precedent for beating piles of CEO $

People spoke out throug rough the vot vote. Now

  • w that the ele

lecti tion

  • n is

is

  • ver
  • ver,

, we stil ill l need to speak k out.

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Ways to be heard:

Easie siest t First:  Send d an email il: SAVE VE for All emailab ilable le let etters ers to Congress ess:

Go to www.chn.org n.org/ta takeac eaction ion

Tell l your net etwor

  • rks

s to send it too!

Pledg edge for chil ildren dren

www.v .voi

  • ices

es.org .org

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Meet with Senators

By Phone In person

Get in the press:

  • Opin

inion

  • n pie

ieces es:

  • Op-eds
  • Letters to the Editor
  • Blogs
  • Talk to editorial boards

CHN can help: contact Angie Evans, aevans@chn.org CLC LC can help with op-eds:

contact Amy Harfeld,

coordinator@childrensleadershipcouncil.org

  • Hold

ld eve events: ts:

  • Site visit
  • Release a report

(CHN will have state fact sheets you can use)

  • Stand in front of

senator’s office

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Call l in Day: y: November mber 28 Key message ges, s, whatever r you do

  • If your group has signed SAVE for All letter,

mention it and how many groups have signed

  • If you’ve signed the Voices pledge with many
  • thers in your state, talk about that
  • Talk about key choices…
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A Choice:

The cost of continuing the favorable tax treatment for hedge fund managers:

$21 billion

  • n over

10 years

The cost of avoiding sequestration-level cuts for housing vouchers and WIC:

$21 billion

  • n over

10 years Choice #2

Spend $156 million for 2 2 V-22 Osprey helic icopter ers, which cost 5 times as much as other helicopters and don’t work well. OR OR Provide low-cost child care to 22,00 ,000 childr ildren en

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Choice #3

Keep ep estate e tax low: w:

  • Helps 7,400 estates

nationwide, who get $1.1 million more each than if at 2009 levels.

  • Helps 140 Ohio

estates. OR OR

  • Preserve refundable

tax credits for 13m families; 25.7m children.

  • Helps 500,000 Ohio

families; nearly 1 million children.

Source: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities

We can help!

  • Fill out survey to ask for help in specific

areas

  • We’ll send a follow-up email with more

resources

  • Contact Angie Evans (aevans@chn.org) for

more info about holding meetings or press activities Just don’t be silent – too much is at stake!

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Tha hanks nks!