Challenges and Opportunities in ICT Challenges and Opportunities in ICT a European perspective a European perspective Dr. Joao Schwarz da da Silva Silva Dr. Joao Schwarz Director- - INFSO INFSO- -D D Director European Commission European Commission The International Workshop on The International Workshop on Convergent Technologies Convergent Technologies Oulu, June 2005 , June 2005 Oulu
Contents Contents • Key Challenges Ahead • Key Challenges Ahead – User expectations User expectations – – Convergence Convergence – – Wireless evolution Wireless evolution – – The scale of networking The scale of networking – – Interoperability Interoperability – – Explosion of devices and data Explosion of devices and data – – Vulnerability and Privacy Vulnerability and Privacy – – The new wave of media The new wave of media – – The new shape of innovation The new shape of innovation – • The 7th Framework Programme • The 7th Framework Programme • Conclusions • Conclusions
Worldwide I CT market, 2004- -2006, in % 2006, in % Worldwide I CT market, 2004 Worldwide Market Value 2005: 2,044 billion Euro Worldwide Market Value 2005: 2,044 billion Euro EU share 620 billion Euro EU share 620 billion Euro
User Expectations User Expectations Home Office The user does not wish to be The user does not wish to be Phone considered exclusively as considered exclusively as a consumer. a consumer. Office Computer • All-in-one device: convergence or divergence of applications? • Quality of Experience: devices with intuitive, flexible, interactive and enabling interfaces, active guidance, personalised services, context awareness, price not an issue if the service proposition is compelling. • Life assistant services: citizens wish to remain independent and mobile even in advanced years. • Privacy safeguarding: requirements will increase in reaction to the growing possibilities of information interception and user profiling (location awareness and identity). • Security technology: is demanded by users to cope with tracking services and surveillance systems Challenges: Challenges: Bridging the gap from technological availability to actual market t Bridging the gap from technological availability to actual marke take- -up up take Creating opportunities for user- -based innovation based innovation Creating opportunities for user
The world of Convergence The world of Convergence BROADBAND BROADBAND MOBILE MOBILE BROADCAST BROADCAST CE CE Com m unication, Com m unication, Services, Pre-Recorded Entertainm ent, Entertainm ent, Entertainm ent Content E-Business Pictures and Video Personal Media Simple Networks Service Enabled Networks Each island island offers offers A converged archipelago Each A converged archipelago numerous services on services on offers all services on all numerous offers all services on all distinct devices devices distinct devices devices Challenges: Challenges: Providing end- Providing end -to to- -end service at minimal OPEX and CAPEX end service at minimal OPEX and CAPEX Ensuring the creation and management of convergence Ensuring the creation and management of convergence Moving from product supply to solution provision Moving from product supply to solution provision
Wireless Evolution Wireless Evolution Focus: User- -content content User Focus: Bandwidth Bandwidth Subscribers > QoE > Simplicity Focus: > Performance > Service Richness Growth Growth > Security/trust > Broadband > Price > New Services Focus: > Efficiency Coverage Coverage > Scalability > Voice Quality > Ubiquity > Portability > Price > Capacity > Coverage > Mobility Voice
Global B3G activities Global B3G activities China • 3G licenses not yet granted Dominated by global IT industry • Research on beyond 3G in 863 • IEEE activities in Europe FuTURE Project • IEEE 802.11a, b, g, h, n • UMTS • Joint Research Center Shanghai • IEEE 802.15 • UMTS enhancements • IEEE 802.16, a, d, e • Research on systems • IEEE 802.20 • IEEE 802.21 beyond 3G in FP6 • Claims from start-ups and IT companies • Reluctant with wide-spread 3G Japan • 3G deployment (cdma2000, WCDMA) • Enhancements of 3G to provide 4G solutions • Research on systems beyond 3G • DoCoMo proposal Super 3G • HPI / WiBro (WiMAX derivative) under Korea • Flarion (Fast Low Latency Access with Seamless Handoff and OFDM) deployment • Arraycomm – advanced antenna technology • Research on systems beyond 3G and SDMA development (3.5G) • Navini Networks – Advanced beamforming technology for range & coverage • IP Wireless – TD-CDMA with IP core network • Aperto Networks – Fixed Broadband Wireless Access vendor CJK – China, Japan, Korea • Redline Communications – Fixed BWA • Cooperation on government level, one • Airspan – Fixed BWA working group on mobile • Alvarion – Fixed BWA • Intel – Active in 802.16 development and its communication Globally promotion in WiMAX • Cooperation between SDOs • ITU-R Framework Many activities are on short-range and WLAN • Recommendation enhancements • WWRF, since 2001
Where should we go next? Where should we go next? Mobility • High-speed • High-capacity Broadband • Low bit cost connectivity • IP-based 4G Access B3G/4G 3.5G 3G in broad sense 2 G Nomadic Wireless t e t n e Access n D D W-LAN I - I F - R F t R e t n e n 0.1 t 10 r 1 100 Information e o t r n e s o n n s c e n Speed (Mbit/s) o c S e h o S h d A d A Near Field Comm. net Near Field Comm. net Ubiquity There is life at the edge of the network There is life at the edge of the network
Wireless pervasiveness Wireless pervasiveness Short Range World Short Range World Mobile World Mobile World Networks with low performance devices (e.g. RF tags and sensors) B3G Radio Access B3G Mobile Network Networks with high performance devices (e.g. home appliances) Short range Mobile NW Local NW Mobile Edge Mobile Edge Mobile-Short range NW
Networking convergence Networking convergence (IP based core network) DMB New radio New radio New radio New radio DVB-H DTV interface interface interface interface DTV Cellular Wire -line Wire -line WLAN GSM-3G xDSL 4G xDSL C o m m . T o w e r Health P D A sensor e t i l l e a t S B rid g e G a t e w a y WPAN T e le v is io n P D A P r in te r V id e o Home sensor L a p to p P DA Cargo sensor C o m m . T o w e r C o m m . T o w e r C o m m . T o w e r P B X Highway Nuclear C o m m . T o w e r Ocean sensor River sensor Bridge sensor sensor sensor Should the infrastructure be separated from the services? Should the infrastructure be separated from the services?
Services convergence Services convergence Home HDTV HDTV gateway Any device Anywhere games games Content Content Satellite Satellite AV Music program Mobile Interactive service 3D TV Anytime Computer Computer terminal Multimedia Cable Cable Terrestrial Terrestrial Wired/wireless Wired/wireless 3D A/V HDTV PC DVB-H terminal Which regulatory approach is best suited to a converged world? Which regulatory approach is best suited to a converged world?
The scale of networking The scale of networking The wide area networks of yesterday (eg: GSM) > A Million nodes @ €50k The Nomadic local area networks of today (eg: WiFi) > Millions of Nodes @ €100 The Sensor and Personal area network of tomorrow > Billions of Nodes @ €1 Challenges: Challenges: � Removing social, geographical, economic and capacity Removing social, geographical, economic and capacity impediments through the provision of cost effective impediments through the provision of cost effective infrastructures, allowing an “ infrastructures, allowing an “Always on Always on” ” network existence. network existence. � � Contributing to accrued facilities based competition. Contributing to accrued facilities based competition.
Explosion of Devices and Data Explosion of Devices and Data Amount of data received or transmitted (in Petabytes/Day) 1,200,000 1,000,000 Industrial • Information explosion and Information explosion and • Automobile overload overload 800,000 Entertainment • Number of communicating Number of communicating • 600,000 Mobile data devices growing from data devices growing from 400,000 2.4 billion to 23 billion in 2.4 billion to 23 billion in 2008 and one trillion by 2012 2008 and one trillion by 2012 200,000 Computers 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Challenges: Challenges: � Designing and managing an information infrastructure where all Designing and managing an information infrastructure where all devices communicate with and understand one another devices communicate with and understand one another � � Creating an advanced digital eco- -system for the agile enterprise system for the agile enterprise Creating an advanced digital eco
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