Cardiovascular Disease in Dorset where are we now & where to - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Cardiovascular Disease in Dorset where are we now & where to - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Cardiovascular Disease in Dorset where are we now & where to from here? Dorset Health & WellBeing Board November 2014 Dr Craig Wakeham Dorset CCG Chair CVD Clinical Commissioning Programme Dr David Phillips Director of Public
Outline of this Session
- 1. What is CVD and why we might be interested
- 2. Introduction to the natural history of CVD
- 3. What outcomes are we interested in?
- 4. What do we know about key outcomes locally
and nationally?
- 5. What is the significance of these findings?
- 6. How might we address this together?
Cardiovascular Disease – what is it?
Progressive blockage of blood vessels reducing blood flow to key organs, for example:
BRAIN
- [mini] Stroke
- Dementia [some forms]
HEART
- Angina & Heart attack
- Heart failure
Blood Vessel Disease
- Big vessels – e.g. aortic aneurysm
- Smaller vessels – e.g. gangrene
- Other organs – e.g. kidneys
But SAME Risk Factors SAME Disease Process
Why are we interested?
- Number One cause of early death
- Health & WellBeing Strategy priority
- It develops over many years giving us plenty of
- pportunity to do something
- Much of it is preventable
- We know what the factors are and what works
- Rates & risks vary considerably across
localities
- Important time trends
Male Premature Death Rates from CVD Bournemouth and Dorset 2001 - 2013
20 40 60 80 100
Female CVD mortality (< 75)
England Dorset
50 100 150 200 250
Male CVD mortality (< 75)
England Dorset
CVD premature death rates Dorset 2001-13 Men & Women
- 15%
- 10%
- 5%
0% 5% 10% 15% 2001 - 03 2003 - 05 2005 - 07 2007 - 09 2009 - 11 2011 - 13
Year-to-year change in Female CVD mortality (under 75)
England Dorset
Increase Decrease
- 15%
- 10%
- 5%
0% 5% 10% 15% 2001 - 03 2003 - 05 2005 - 07 2007 - 09 2009 - 11 2011 - 13
Year-to-year change in Male CVD mortality (under 75)
England Dorset
Increase Decrease
50 100 150 200 250
Early Male CVD mortality projections (under 75) England Dorset
Manage Risk
General population At-risk individuals and groups CVD patients
A Framework for CVD
Prevent Modifiable Risks developing Prevent Complications Further Events
End- stage
Acute Care
Modified from A Tonkin, Atherosclerosis and Heart Disease, 2003
Population-wide strategies Treat high risk not high risk factor levels Implement effective treatments
Inequalities
How do we define ‘normal’ and why does it matter?
Modified from A. Rogers
Hypertension Hyperchol- esterolaemia Obesity
Disease burden DALYs
BP (mmHg) Cholesterol (mmol/l) BMI
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000
100 120 140 160 180 200
1000 2000 3000 4000
3.8 4.4 5.1 5.7 6.3 7.0 7.6
1000 2000 3000
20 23 26 29 32 35 38 41 44
Cardiovascular Disease Life Course
Birth childhood adults
- lder age
parents Death Social status / environment (e.g. air quality) Diet: healthy eating, cholesterol, salt, alcohol Lack of physical activity Smoking Obesity Diabetes / High BP Maternal risk factors, e.g. smoking Angina / Heart Attack / Stroke
Good antenatal care
Hospital / GP care Healthchecks and follow up
Active transport / access to open spaces
GP management
- f diabetes / BP
Rehab and social care
Progress Managing CVD in Dorset
Birth childhood adults
- lder age
parents Death
Good antenatal care Hospital / GP care Healthchecks and follow up Active transport / access to open spaces GP management of diabetes / BP Rehab and social care
Control of ↑ BP Prevalence of ↑ BP NHS Healthchecks Excess weight in adults Patients with CHD cholesterol < 5 Heart failure / death at home Binge drinking Childhood
- besity
Time to treatment for AMI Smoking prevalence Patients with CHD BP < 150/90 Smoking in pregnancy Children walk / bike to school
- 80000
- 60000
- 40000
- 20000
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Reasons for the fall in coronary heart disease deaths in England & Wales 1981-2000
Where to from here?
- Existing Opportunities:
- Better Together
- NHS Five year plan - prevention
- Clinical Services Review – outcomes/systems
focus
- District health improvement plans
- Thoughts & Next Steps…….