Capitalising on the longevity economy Investment Conference 2019 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Capitalising on the longevity economy Investment Conference 2019 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Capitalising on the longevity economy Investment Conference 2019 As the world ages, social trends will disrupt long-held patterns of behaviour Ned Salter Head of Equities Fidelity International What is the longevity economy? What is the
As the world ages, social trends will disrupt long-held patterns of behaviour
Ned Salter
Head of Equities Fidelity International
What is the longevity economy?
What is the longevity economy?
What is the longevity economy?
A new class of age 50+, controlling vast swaths of personal wealth
They are technologically fluent
They’re enjoying life
Investing in education
And keeping fit
Investors can capitalise on those facts, but we must be mindful of key social trends and how they’ll influence behaviour of the oldies
Girl Power
It’s not just because women like to shop
Women control 64% of consumer purchases ($5-$15 trn US alone)
Women also make up 66% of informal caregivers, focus on eldercare
Yet men make up 83% of the tech-oriented roles at Google
And only 3% of venture backed tech companies have female CEOs
97% of creative directors at marketing firms are men
3% 97%
Women Men
Women earn more than $18 trn per year
2018 GDP $15.5 trn 2018 GDP $21.4 trn
A crisis of wellbeing
Three in four of us have felt so stressed in the last year we’ve been 'overwhelmed' or 'unable to cope'
The percent of over-50’s who feel lonely has doubled in a decade
Wellness is now > $4.2 trn industry per year
- 200
400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Personal Care, Beauty, & Anti- Aging Healthy Eating, Nutrition, & Weight Loss Wellness Tourism Fitness & Mind- Body Preventive & Personalized Medicine and Public Health Traditional & Complementary Medicine Wellness Real Estate Spa Economy Thermal/Mineral Springs Workplace Wellness
Wellness Market Growth (USD bn)
2015 2017
This isn’t going to work
We need more human contact
And a move towards de-digitization?
Source: IDC, IHS, Bain, Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan, e-marketeer, New Zoo, Magna, 2018.
Connectivity Enablers, Network Builders and Innovators (in USD Million)
Many assume that innovation spending will rise forever
$0 $1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 $6,000 $7,000 $8,000 $9,000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019E 2020E 2021E 2022E 2023E 2024E 2025E Enablers Network Builders Innovators
Moral Authority
Children today are holding adults more accountable than ever
Teens in the U.S. spend $91 bn, $211 bn when you include parents
Patterns of behaviour are changing, not just patterns of spending
Flight shaming in action
Personal choices to reduce your contribution to climate change Swedish air passenger numbers fall due to flight shaming
Staying ahead of social trends
44
39
13 7
32
Consumer Financials / Real Estate TMT Health Care
- Nat. Resources
& Utilities Industrials / Cyclicals
Staying ahead of social trends
Family of signals & nudges
5) Technical & Quantitative 1) Behavioural finance 3) FIL ESG ratings 4) Cross-asset signals 2) Intelligence
Primary Research Alternative Data
e.g. web scraping, sentiment analysis satellite imagery