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Capacity Remuneration Mechanisms Overview & Strategic Reserves - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Capacity Remuneration Mechanisms Overview & Strategic Reserves for Belgium Hanspeter H oschle Workshop on Fact Sheets KU Leuven Energiestichting / Energie-Instituut (U-Wetoco) April 30, 2014 Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR


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SLIDE 1

Capacity Remuneration Mechanisms

Overview & Strategic Reserves for Belgium Hanspeter H¨

  • schle

Workshop on Fact Sheets KU Leuven Energiestichting / Energie-Instituut (U-Wetoco) April 30, 2014

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SLIDE 2

Outline

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

1 Introduction 2 Capacity Remuneration Mechanisms (CRMs) 3 Concepts for CRM 4 Strategic Reserves for Belgium 5 Lessons Learned

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Introduction Possible Market Failure

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

◮ Power generator business model:

◮ Revenues from selling electricity

to cover variable costs

◮ Inframarginal rents to cover fix costs

◮ Current discussion:

◮ Eroded profitability due to reduced load factors and prices ◮ Missing Money Problem

◮ Problem causes:

◮ Large integration of RES (mostly offering at zero marginal cost) ◮ Merit order effect (Reduced prices & reduced load factors)

◮ Challenges:

◮ Lack of investment in generation capacity ◮ Disvestment of existing capacity

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Variable Cost t Price e/MWh Inframarginal rent Coverage variable cost

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SLIDE 4

Security of Supply & Market Design

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

◮ Market design determines

remuneration of generators

◮ RES cause shift of merit

  • rder & increase price

variability

◮ RES influence revenue

streams of conventional power generators

◮ Eroded profitability and lack

  • f investment incentives

Energy-based payment (Output) e/MWh Capacity-based payment (Availability) e/MW

Time horizon

Forward Day-Ahead (D-1) Realtime (RT) Forward Markets Long-term contracting Day-Ahead Market

energy-only (Power exchange)

Ancillary Service Markets

Primary (R1), secondary (R2), tertiary reserve (R3),...

Remuneration for Output & Flexibility

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SLIDE 5

Security of Supply & Market Design

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

◮ Market design determines

remuneration of generators

◮ RES cause shift of merit

  • rder & increase price

variability

◮ RES influence revenue

streams of conventional power generators

◮ Eroded profitability and lack

  • f investment incentives

Energy-based payment (Output) e/MWh Capacity-based payment (Availability) e/MW

Time horizon

Forward Day-Ahead (D-1) Realtime (RT) Forward Markets Long-term contracting Day-Ahead Market

energy-only (Power exchange)

Ancillary Service Markets

Primary (R1), secondary (R2), tertiary reserve (R3),...

Remuneration for Output & Flexibility C

  • m

p l e m e n t a r y C a p a c i t y R e m u n e r a t i

  • n

M e c h a n i s m s

Capacity remuneration mechanisms as complementary adaptation if existing markets fail to create adequate investment climate

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SLIDE 6

Theory - Principle - Desired Outcome

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

◮ Capacity Remuneration Mechanism:

◮ Policy instrument ensuring adequate level of generation capacity ◮ Complementary mechanism besides the energy market influencing

the volume and type of generation capacity through remunerating available capacity

◮ Working Principle:

◮ Additional revenue streams valuing the installed capacity [e/MW] ◮ Replacement of investment incentives from price spikes with a more

steady investment incentive

◮ Desired outcome:

◮ Resolve potential problems emerging from market malfunctioning to

ensure security of supply

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SLIDE 7

Starting Point & Design Criteria

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

Capacity Remuneration Mechanisms? Yes or No? How does it look like? Which product fits best?

Energy System

Current Situation

◮ Energy mix ◮ Network congestions ◮ Load flexibility ◮ Demand Response potential ◮ ...

Physical Uncertainties

◮ Renewable energy sources ◮ Ressources (Water, Gas, ...) ◮ Growing Demand ◮ Increasing peak-Load ◮ ...

Future context

◮ Technology transition ◮ Regulatory roadmaps ◮ Energy substitution ◮ Drivers of demand ◮ ...

Driven by A threat for SoS ? 3-5 years lead time

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SLIDE 8

Starting Point & Design Criteria

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

Capacity Remuneration Mechanisms? Yes or No? How does it look like? Which product fits best?

Energy System

Current Situation

◮ Energy mix ◮ Network congestions ◮ Load flexibility ◮ Demand Response potential ◮ ...

Physical Uncertainties

◮ Renewable energy sources ◮ Ressources (Water, Gas, ...) ◮ Growing Demand ◮ Increasing peak-Load ◮ ...

Future context

◮ Technology transition ◮ Regulatory roadmaps ◮ Energy substitution ◮ Drivers of demand ◮ ...

Driven by A threat for SoS ? 3-5 years lead time

Mechanism Designs

Volume based vs Price based Market wide vs Targeted Centralized market vs Decentralized market Technology dedicated vs Technology neutral

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SLIDE 9

Starting Point & Design Criteria

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

Capacity Remuneration Mechanisms? Yes or No? How does it look like? Which product fits best?

Energy System

Current Situation

◮ Energy mix ◮ Network congestions ◮ Load flexibility ◮ Demand Response potential ◮ ...

Physical Uncertainties

◮ Renewable energy sources ◮ Ressources (Water, Gas, ...) ◮ Growing Demand ◮ Increasing peak-Load ◮ ...

Future context

◮ Technology transition ◮ Regulatory roadmaps ◮ Energy substitution ◮ Drivers of demand ◮ ...

Driven by A threat for SoS ? 3-5 years lead time

Mechanism Designs

Volume based vs Price based Market wide vs Targeted Centralized market vs Decentralized market Technology dedicated vs Technology neutral

Mechanism Type

Capacity Payment Capacity Auction Capacity Obligation Reliability Options Capacity Subscription Strategic Reserve

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SLIDE 10

Categorization of Capacity Remuneration Mechanisms

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned Capacity Remuneration Mechanisms Price-based Volume-based Targeted Market-wide

Mechanism Type

Capacity Payment Capacity Auction Capacity Obligation Reliability Options Capacity Subscription Strategic Reserve

fixing price → volume emerges from market fixing volume → prices emerges from market

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SLIDE 11

Categorization of Capacity Remuneration Mechanisms

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned Capacity Remuneration Mechanisms Price-based Volume-based Targeted Market-wide

Mechanism Type

Capacity Payment Capacity Auction Capacity Obligation Reliability Options Capacity Subscription Strategic Reserve

fixing price → volume emerges from market fixing volume → prices emerges from market

Planned PJM Planned CAISO Planned

Capacity Markets

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SLIDE 12

Concepts Capacity Payments

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

Authority Regulator System Operator

e

Consumer Retailer Capacity Provider Cost Allocation P a y m e n t & V e r i fi c a t i

  • n

P r

  • c

u r e m e n t

  • f

C a p a c i t y Determination Level of Payment A u t h

  • r

i z a t i

  • n

◮ New investments derive from financial incentives ◮ Deration factor of capacity:

availability in times of scarcity, technology & flexibility Easy to implement and easy to phase out Direct support of specific technologies possible Very steady revenue stream × Assumptions about investment response × Level of payment subject to political discussion × Implemented with a consumption-independent use of charge for final consumer

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SLIDE 13

Concepts Capacity Markets (Centralized & Decentralized)

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

Authority Regulator System Operator

e

Consumer Retailer/LSEs Capacity Provider

Centralized

C

  • s

t A l l

  • c

a t i

  • n

Payment & Verification Procurement of Capacity D e t e r m i n a t i

  • n

V

  • l

u m e

  • f

C a p a c i t y A u t h

  • r

i z a t i

  • n

Authority Regulator System Operator

e

Consumer Retailer/LSEs Capacity Provider

Decentralized

Cost Allocation Verification Procurement

  • f Capacity

D e t e r m i n a t i

  • n

V

  • l

u m e

  • f

C a p a c i t y

◮ Capacity introduced as new commodity ◮ Demand of capacity determined by authority ◮ System Operator procures capacity (centralized) ◮ LSEs procure capacity acoording to their share of demand

(decentralized)

◮ Cost are allocated to the consumers

Amount of capacity is directly set by the authority Market-based CRM × Change of current market design → Effort for Implementation and Administration × Tracking and Verification of Capacity by System Operator

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SLIDE 14

Concepts Strategic Reserve

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

Authority Regulator System Operator

e

Consumer Retailer Capacity Provider Cost Allocation P a y m e n t & V e r i fi c a t i

  • n

P r

  • c

u r e m e n t & A c t i v a t i

  • n
  • f

C a p a c i t y Determination Volume of Reserve A u t h

  • r

i z a t i

  • n

◮ Emergency capacity held by the system operator ◮ Contracted capacity taken out of the market ◮ System operator determines activation

→ In times of critical scarcity or for redispatching If market proves efficient, influence of strategic reserve minimal Easy to implement, only small changes Flexible tool in size and activation × Incorrect activation lead to market distortion × Does not address flexibility issue from RES × Price of strategic reserve forms price cap in the market

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SLIDE 15

CRM in Europe & Belgium Subject to Current Discussion

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

Italy discussed Capacity Market Reliability Options France discussed Capacity Obligation Great Britain discussed Capacity Auction Germany discussed Strategic Reserves Capacity Market Poland discussed Capacity Market Spain/Portugal Capacity Payments Sweden/Finland Strategic Reserves Greece Capacity Obligations Bulgaria Capacity Payments

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SLIDE 16

CRM in Europe & Belgium Subject to Current Discussion

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

Italy discussed Capacity Market Reliability Options France discussed Capacity Obligation Great Britain discussed Capacity Auction Germany discussed Strategic Reserves Capacity Market Poland discussed Capacity Market Spain/Portugal Capacity Payments Sweden/Finland Strategic Reserves Greece Capacity Obligations Bulgaria Capacity Payments

Belgium: Strategic Reserves

◮ Situation in Belgium

◮ Nuclear phase-out in stages until 2025 ◮ Total installed capacity of 5926 GW (∼35% in June 2013) ◮ Increased share of RES ◮ Share of total generated electricity 8.9% in 2012 (4.8% in 2007) ◮ Threatened system adequacy

◮ Plan Wathelet

◮ Secretary of State in charge of environment, energy and mobility ◮ Melchior Wathelet ◮ Issued in June 2012, accepted by the government in July 2013 ◮ Strategic reserves to ensure security of supply

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SLIDE 17

Strategic Reserves for Belgium General Concept

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

Scope & Volume: (Decided)

◮ Contracted for a period from 1.11.2014 to 31.10.2017

(3 winter periods (November-March))

◮ Volume: 800 MW

(can be adapted to react on absent nuclear power plants)

◮ SGR: Contracting of Generation with 3-year-contracts ◮ SDR: Contracting of Demand (≥ 50 MW) with 1-year-contracts ◮ Application period starts in July 2014 ◮ Proposed volume by ELIA (based on simulation/forecast):

◮ Winter 2014/2015:

0 - 800 MW

◮ Winter 2015/2016: 1200 - 2200 MW ◮ Winter 2016/2017: 1300 - 2300 MW

Tendering & Remuneration: (Discussed)

◮ “Competitive Negotiated Tendering” ◮ Accepted offers are paid-as-bid

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SLIDE 18

Strategic Reserves for Belgium supplied via Generation (SGR)

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

◮ Certification (Obligation to make offer)

◮ Power plants with programmed closure,

announced closure & temporarily closure ◮ Remuneration

◮ For Reservation: Unit price [e/MW/h * 3624h] ◮ For Notification, Prolongation & Injection: cost reflective remuneration

◮ Reservation

◮ Contract for 3 years, SGR service during 5 Winter months

◮ Notification

◮ From notification to activation in less than 5.5h

◮ Activation Process

Pmax Pmin Set Point t P

≤-5.5h

warm-up period

≤-1.5h

ramp-up

≤-0.5h

Notification Verification Activation

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Current Discussion

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SLIDE 19

Strategic Reserves for Belgium supplied via Demand (SDR)

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

◮ Certification

◮ Connected to ELIA grid ◮ No interference with demand side based imbalance products ◮ Sizing based on historical demand profile

◮ Remuneration for reservation and activation (based on offer) ◮ Reservation

◮ SDR 4 (Duration: up to 4h, Delay between 2 activations: 4h,

40 activations/contract)

◮ SDR 12 (Duration: up to 12h, Delay between 2 activations: 12h,

20 activations/contract)

9h 13h Peak Hours 17h 21h Peak Hours Demand Profile Shedding Limit Reference Reserve Capacity h D

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Current Discussion

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Strategic Reserves for Belgium supplied via Demand (SDR)

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

◮ Certification

◮ Connected to ELIA grid ◮ No interference with demand side based imbalance products ◮ Sizing based on historical demand profile

◮ Remuneration for reservation and activation (based on offer) ◮ Reservation

◮ SDR 4 (Duration: up to 4h, Delay between 2 activations: 4h,

40 activations/contract)

◮ SDR 12 (Duration: up to 12h, Delay between 2 activations: 12h,

20 activations/contract) ◮ Notification & Activation Process

Adapted Demand Profile Activation

(≤4h)

Notification Verification Set Point

≤-5h

warm-up

≤-1h

ramp-down Shedding Limit Reference Reserve Capacity h D

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Current Discussion

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SLIDE 21

Capacity Remuneration Mechanisms Lessons Learned

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

◮ Increased volatile generation from RES erode profitably of

conventional generation capacity

◮ Energy-only markets can result in a missing money problem ◮ Problems to incentivize adequate investments in generation

capacity

◮ Capacity remuneration mechanisms are subject of discussion

◮ Instruments reducing investment risk by ensuring steady revenue

streams

◮ Price-based or volume-based & Market-wide or targeted ◮ Regulatory intervention which may lead to market distortions if not

properly configured

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End

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

Thank you. Questions?

Contact: Hanspeter H¨

  • schle

Kastelpark Arenberg 10, PB 2445 3001 Heverlee, Belgium

+32 16 37 78 87 hanspeter.hoschle@esat.kuleuven.be

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Appendix Further reading

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Introduction Overview Concepts Belgian SR Lessons Learned

◮ General:

◮ Fabien A. Roques

Market design for generation adequacy: Healing causes rather than symptoms Direct Link

◮ Carlos Batlle, Ignacio J. P´

erez-Arriaga Design criteria for implementing a capacity mechanism in deregulated electricity markets Direct Link

◮ Energy Institute Fact Sheet

Direct Link

◮ Belgium:

◮ Plan Wathelet

Direct Link

◮ Elia → Users’ Group → Strategic Reserves Implementation Task Force

Direct Link

◮ H. H¨

  • schle, C. De Jonghe, and D. Van Hertem,

Capacity mechanisms driving dynamic capacity investment decision making with increased renewable energy sources Direct Link U-Wetoco - H.H¨

  • schle - 30.4.2014