Caliddas Q3 2019 Results November 13 th , 2019 1 Disclaimer The - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Caliddas Q3 2019 Results November 13 th , 2019 1 Disclaimer The - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Caliddas Q3 2019 Results November 13 th , 2019 1 Disclaimer The information provided herein is for informational and illustrative purposes only and is not, and does not seek to be, a source of legal, investment or financial advice on any
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Disclaimer
The information provided herein is for informational and illustrative purposes only and is not, and does not seek to be, a source of legal, investment or financial advice on any subject. This presentation does not purport to address any specific investment objectives, financial situation
- r particular needs of any recipient. It should not be regarded by recipients as a substitute for
the exercise of their own judgment. This information does not constitute an offer of any sort and is subject to change without notice. Calidda is no obligation to update or keep current the information contained herein. Calidda expressly disclaims any responsibility for actions taken or not taken based on this
- information. Calidda does not accept any responsibility for losses that might result from the
execution of the proposals or recommendations presented. Calidda is not responsible for any content that May originate with third parties. Calidda May have provided, or might provide in the future, information that is inconsistent with the information herein presented. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained herein.
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Table of Contents
01
Key Updates and Results
02
Commercial Performance
03
Operational Performance
04
Financial Performance
05
Conclusions
06
Q&A
4
Key Updates and Results
01
5
1) MMCFD = Million cubic feet per day. 2) Number of clients which are located in front of the existing distribution network of Calidda. 3) Network Penetration = Accumulated clients / Potential clients 4) Adjusted Revenues = Revenues less pass-through concepts, such as natural gas, transport of natural gas and IFRIC 12 (investments in the distribution network). 5) EBITDA without extraordinary expenses related to arbitration results. 6) Adjusted EBITDA Margin = EBITDA / Adjusted Revenues 7) Interest Coverage = EBITDA / Interests from debt
Calidda at a Glance
1
◼
In September 6th, Calidda issued for second time a PEN 342MM (approx. USD 100.6MM) 10 year bullet bond.
◼
Calidda’s client base and invoiced volume both increased during the Q3 2019 by 28% and 1%, respectively, compared to Q3 2018’s figures, achieving more than 900 thousand clients.
◼
Our network length was extended by 1,504 km, whereby the distribution system reached a total of 10,792 km of underground pipelines.
◼
Calidda’s Revenues, Adjusted Revenues and EBITDA increased by 11%, 13% and 8%, respectively, driven by a higher distribution tariff since Aug-19 (7% Increase in distribution rate), higher invoiced volume (+9.8 MMCFD) and larger number of connections and related services (+197k customers).
◼
Calidda’s corporate credit and senior unsecured international ratings as of Q3 2019 is BBB / Baa2 / BBB- (Fitch / Moody’s / S&P),
- utlook stable.
Key Updates
Key Operational Results Q3 2019 Q3 2018 Var % Accumulated Clients 904,424 706,865 28% Invoiced Volume (MMCFD)1 784 774 1% Network Lenght (km) 10,792 9,288 16% Potential Clients2 1,047,862 927,220 13% Network Penetration3 86% 76%
- Key Financial Results
Q3 2019 Q3 2018 Var % Revenues (USD MM) 529 475 11%
- Adj. Revenues4 (USD MM)
223 197 13% EBITDA5 (USD MM) 128 119 8% Adjusted EBITDA Margin6 57% 61%
- Net Income (USD MM)
62 54 15% Interest Coverage7 (x) 8.5x 8.7x
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Commercial Performance
02
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Segment Evolution (# of clients) Highlights
Power Generation Industrial NGV Stations Residential and Commercial (thousands)
During the last 4 years, the number of clients from the Residential & Commercial segment has increased at a rate of 30% per year. Active vehicles as of Set-19: 191,488.
Solid Base of Clients with upward trend
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17 18 22 23 27 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019 507 535 577 626 651 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019 232 240 257 275 278 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019 344 438 576 760 903 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019
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◼ As of Q3 2019, invoiced volume has increased 1% against 2018 mainly due to the lower demand
from the Residential and Commercial Segment.
Upward Trend of Invoiced Volume
(Amounts expressed in MMCFD)
2
◼ 79%
- f
the invoiced volume comes from Take-or-Pay long term contract’s with 16 clients.
◼ Contract’s
average remaining life is 15 years, and amount 619 MMCFD.
Industrial 44 MMCFD Power Generation 575 MMCFD 75% 75% 74% 73% 73% 15% 15% 16% 16% 16% 9% 8% 8% 9% 9% 699 739 763 779 784 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019 Residential and Commercial NGV Stations Industrial Power Generation
9 Power Generation Industrial NGV Stations Residential & Commercial
Historic Invoiced Volume per Client Segment
(Amounts expressed in MMCFD)
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8 10 12 14 17 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019 108 112 121 128 129 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019 62 63 62 68 68 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019 521 555 568 569 569 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019
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Operational Performance
03
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◼ The network penetration ratio has greatly increased by
more than 25% during the past two years up to 86% by the end of Q3 2019. This is explained by Calidda’s customer focused energetic solution, which benefits from the government subsidies, and secures the sustained savings from the use of natural gas against alternative fuels.
◼ As of Q3 2019, Calidda’s distribution system has
almost doubled in size when compared to 2015’s figures, and consists of 10,792 km of under ground pipelines.
◼ During Q3 2019, Calidda built 1,101 km, out of which
1,087 km were low pressure polyethylene pipelines, while the remaining were steel high pressure network.
Clients progress and penetration ratio1 Distribution System (km)
1) Penetration Rate = Total Clients / Potential Clients * (*) Clients who are adjacent to Calidda's distribution network.
Large Distribution System with Improving Penetration Index
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609 747 828 960 1.048 345 438 577 761 904 57% 59% 70% 79% 86% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 500 1.000 1.500 2.000 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019 Thousands Potential Clients* Total Clients Penetration rate
5.988 7.425 8.347 9.691 10.792 5.531 6.928 7.807 9.104 10.191 458 496 540 588 601
2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019 km
Total Polyethylene Network Steel Network
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◼ During Q3 2019, both Regulated and Independent clients consumed 292 MMCFD,
equivalent to 70% of our natural gas distribution capacity (Lurín-Ventanilla).
◼ Over the same period, Regulated clients consumed around 161 MMCFD, equivalent to
70% of the total contracted supply volume and 68% of the transportation volume of natural gas1. Clients are divided in two groups: (i) Independent Clients, which consume more than 1 MMCFD and sign separated contracts of natural gas (NG) supply, transportation and distribution services, and (ii) Regulated Clients, which consume less than 1 MMCFD and only sign a contract with Calidda, who then provides NG distribution service and acts as an intermediary to supply NG and transportation services.
Calidda’s capacity: 420MMCFD Distributed (MMCFD): 161 [Reg] + 131 [Ind] = 292 Invoiced (MMCFD): 161 [Reg] + 184 [Ind] = 345 Independent clients (Power Generation): Distributed: 283 MMCFD Invoiced: 439 MMCFD
Natural Gas Distribution and Transportation Capacity
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Calidda’s City Gate
1/ Contracted volume takes into consideration fixed (Take-or-Pay) and non-fixed (interruptible) contracted capacity.
Residential Industrial Mainly network Power Generator
MMCFD MMCFD
420
- 150
300 450
Jan/2018 Apr/2018 Jul/2018 Oct/2018 Jan/2019 Apr/2019 Jul/2019
Regulated Clients Independent Clients Cálidda's Capacity 228 235
- 50
100 150 200 250
Jan/2018 Apr/2018 Jul/2018 Oct/2018 Jan/2019 Apr/2019 Jul/2019
Regulated Clients Transportation - TgP Gas - Pluspetrol
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Financial Performance
04
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◼ Even though the Residential and Commercial segment represents only 2.1% of the invoiced volume, it concentrates 16% of our distribution
- revenues. More over, if we take into consideration the revenues from installation services, this segment represents 37.7% of our Adjusted
Revenues.
◼ On the other hand, the Power Generation segment represents 72.4% of the invoiced volume, 46.7% of the distribution revenues, and 29.4%
- f the Adjusted Revenues.
Invoiced Volume Adjusted Revenues1 Distribution Revenues
1) Adjusted Revenues = Revenues less pass-through concepts, such as natural gas, transport of natural gas and IFRIC 12 (investments in the distribution network).
2/ Installation Services Revenues include revenues from the client’s facilities, connection fees and financing. 3/ Others: mainly derived from network relocation and other non recurrent services.
Diversified Revenues’ Source by Client Segment
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2 3
37.7% 2,1% 16,7% 8,7% 72,4% 16,0% 22,5% 14,8% 46,7% 29,4 % 14,2 % 9,3% 10,1 % 27,6 % 9,4%
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Sound and Controlled Financial Indicators
(Amounts expressed in US$ MM; last twelve months as of Q2 2019)
Total Revenues EBITDA & Adj. EBITDA Margin (%) CAPEX Funds From Operations1
1/ Funds From Operations (FFO) = Net Income + Depreciation & Amortization
CAGR (15 - 18) 5% 12%
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199 207 229 278 304 342 329 351 397 424 541 536 579 675 729 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019 Total Adjusted Revenues Pass-through & IFRIC 12 104 124 138 159 168 52,1% 60,0% 60,4% 57,3% 57,5%
- 10,0%
10,0% 30,0% 50,0% 70,0% 90,0% 110,0%
- 50
100 150 200 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019 EBITDA Adjusted EBITDA Margin 85 85 89 119 138 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019 Secondary Network Main Network 58 84 95 96 107 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019
16 Debt / Capitalization2 (%) Interest Coverage3 FFO4 / Net Debt
Sound and Controlled Financial Indicators
(Amounts expressed in US$ MM; last twelve months as of Q2 2019)
Debt & Net Debt1 / EBITDA
1/ Net Debt = Financial Debt - Cash 2/ Capitalization = Equity + Financial Debt 3/ Interest Coverage = EBITDA / Accrued interests 4/ Funds From Operations (FFO) = Net Income + Depreciation & Amortization
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3,2x 2,8x 2,9x 2,9x 3,3x 2,6x 2,6x 2,6x 2,8x 2,8x 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019 Debt/EBITDA Net Debt/EBITDA 54,8% 53,7% 56,8% 59,3% 64,2% 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019 6,8x 7,8x 8,5x 8,8x 8,5x 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019 20,7% 25,7% 26,1% 21,8% 23,1% 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019
17 Debt Maturity Equity Net Income Total Assets
Sound and Controlled Financial Indicators
(Amounts expressed in US$ MM; last twelve months as of Q2 2019)
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735 743 814 922 981 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019 276 296 304 316 313 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019 34 55 59 69 77 2015 2016 2017 2018 Q3 2019 61 101 320 13 26 27 14 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024-2027 2028 2029 Bono Local Bono Internacional Deuda Bancaria
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Conclusions
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Q&A
06
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Shareholders with Extensive Experience in Energy Markets
Stock Control: 60% of property over Calidda Stock Control: 40% of property over Calidda
Controlled Investments
(1) (1)
Non-Controlled Investments Controlled Investments Non-Controlled Investments
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▪
Leading energy company with businesses in the electricity and NG sectors in Colombia, Peru, Guatemala and Brazil.
▪
Founded in 1896, and controlled by the District of Bogotá since 1956, with a 65.7%
- wnership stake.
▪
Leader in the Energy Sector: major player in the transmission and distribution of electricity and natural gas.
▪
Valid Rating: BBB Fitch Ratings, BBB- S&P, AAA (Col) – Fitch Ratings.
▪
One of the largest distribution and transportation companies of NG in Colombia.
▪
Founded in 1974 by the government of Colombia. Currently controlled by Grupo Aval.
▪
Main operator in the distribution of NG in Colombia through Gases de Occidente, Surtigas and Gases del Caribe, and participates in the power distribution in Colombia.
▪
GEB has 15.2% ownership stake in Promigas1.
▪
Valid Rating: BBB- Fitch Ratings, AAA(Col) – Fitch Ratings.
1) GEB has the permission of the Municipal Council to sell his participation in these companies.
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Calidda’s Adjusted Revenues Composition
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Pass-Through Concepts Distribution of the Adjusted Revenues (%) – Q3 2019
Sell and transport
- f natural gas
Pass-through income related to the acquisition and transportation of natural gas which are transferred to the final consumer. Distribution service Main operative income of Calidda which is generated by the distribution of natural gas through underground pipelines to different kinds of clients. Connection fees One time fee which is paid by the new clients when connected to Calidda’s natural gas network. Connection services Operative income which is paid by the consumer for the internal installation of pipelines needed to achieve the connection to the natural gas network. Includes revenues from the facility’s financing. Revenues of network expansion Pass-through income related to the investments executed by Calidda in order to expand the distribution network. Other services Operative income which mainly comes from network relocation services and other services. 63% 20% 4% 13%
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Source: 1/ NG Tariff: According to the distribution tariff sheet as of Jun-19. 2/ Tariff to the BT5B consumer Residential and Non Residential from Luz del Sur as of Jun-19. 3/ Source: FACILITO (Osinergmin) as of Jun-19. 4/ According to the gas price of distributors of LPG. 5/ According to Petroperu ex-plant as of Jun-19. LPG: Liquified Petroleum Gas NGV: Natural Gas for Vehicles
A
2/ 1/ 3/ 3/ 3/ 4/ 5/ 5/ 3/ 1/ 1/ 3/ 3/ 3/ 4/ 2/
- 23%
- 64%
- 82%
- 78%
- 31%
- 61%
- 86%
- 73%
Residential & Commercial (US$/MMBTU) NGV Stations (US$/MMBTU) Industrial (US$/MMBTU) Power Generation (US$/MMBTU)
Competitivity: Calidda’s Final User GN Tariffs vs. Alternatives as of Q2 2019
- 44%
9,97 12,92 27,37 NGV Vehicular LPG Gasoline 90 3,91 22,20 17,94 Generator's tariff Diesel Industrial petroleum 6,03 5,65 44,40 22,20 16,27 17,94 D E Electrical energy Diesel LPG Industrial Petroleum 6 12,43 10,81 6,43 18,08 32,08 17,18 22,20 A1 Residential A2 Residential C Commercial LPG Residential Residential Electrical Energy LPG Commercial Diesel 2
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15,4 15,0 14,6 14,1 16,1 12,9 7,7 6,5 6,4 3,8 1,9 1,3
418,8 430,6 456,4 441,2 494,4 456,0 250,0 300,0 350,0 400,0 450,0 500,0 550,0 0,0 5,0 10,0 15,0 20,0 25,0 30,0 35,0 40,0 45,0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 Proven Probable Production
Natural Gas Reserves Ensure the Sustainability of Calidda
Lifespan – Proven Natural Gas Reserves3 36.8 years 34.8 years 32.1 years 31.9 years 32.6 years 28.2 years
1) Source: Ministry of Energy and Mine, up to Dec. 17. 2) Source: Perupetro, up to Dec. 17. 3) Lifespan of Proven reserves = Proven reserves / Production of natural gas. The estimation accounts the natural gas reserves and production of the same year.
A
◼ Natural Gas Reserves trend (thousands of trillions of cubic feet)1 and Production2 (thousands of millions of cubic feet) in Peru.
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