Building a Sustainable Business At US$1,300/oz Gold Price Denver Gold Forum
Nick Holland
16 September 2014
Building a Sustainable Business At US$1,300/oz Gold Price Denver - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Building a Sustainable Business At US$1,300/oz Gold Price Denver Gold Forum Nick Holland 16 September 2014 Forward looking statements Certain statements in this document constitute forward looking statements within the meaning of Section
Nick Holland
16 September 2014
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Certain statements in this document constitute “forward looking statements” within the meaning of Section 27A of the US Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the US Securities Exchange Act of 1934. In particular, the forward looking statements in this document include among others those relating to the Damang Exploration Target Statement; the Far Southeast Exploration Target Statement; commodity prices; demand for gold and other metals and minerals; interest rate expectations; exploration and production costs; levels of expected production; Gold Fields’ growth pipeline; levels and expected benefits of current and planned capital expenditures; future reserve, resource and other mineralisation levels; and the extent of cost efficiencies and savings to be achieved. Such forward looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other important factors that could cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the company to be materially different from the future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by such forward looking statements. Such risks, uncertainties and other important factors include among others: economic, business and political conditions in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru and elsewhere; the ability to achieve anticipated efficiencies and other cost savings in connection with past and future acquisitions, exploration and development activities; decreases in the market price of gold and/or copper; hazards associated with underground and surface gold mining; labour disruptions; availability terms and deployment of capital or credit; changes in government regulations, particularly taxation and environmental regulations; and new legislation affecting mining and mineral rights; changes in exchange rates; currency devaluations; the availability and cost of raw and finished materials; the cost of energy and water; inflation and other macro-economic factors, industrial action, temporary stoppages of mines for safety and unplanned maintenance reasons; and the impact of the AIDS and other occupational health risks experienced by Gold Fields’ employees. These forward looking statements speak only as of the date of this document. Gold Fields undertakes no obligation to update publicly or release any revisions to these forward looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this document or to reflect the
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
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Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
What Investors Want Aug 2012 Portfolio Review Aug - Dec 2012 Sibanye Gold Dec - Jan 2012 New Cash Strategy 2013 Business Plan A New Paradigm 15 April 2013
Gold Price < US$1,300/oz
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Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
>15% Free Cash Flow Margin at US$1,300/oz Gold
1. Focus on free cash flow ̵ Structural shift in cost base ̵ >15% free cash flow at a US$1,300/oz gold price ̵ No marginal mining, no high-grading, maintain cut-off grades ̵ Protect sustainability of ore bodies by investing in development and stripping 2. Reboot and deliver South Deep 3. Drive brownfields exploration 4. No greenfields exploration & projects and divest non-core assets 5. Strengthen balance sheet 6. Pay dividends
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451,000 496,000 598,000 557,000 548,000
200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 100,000 200,000 300,000 400,000 500,000 600,000 700,000 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 US$/oz Ounces
Gold Produced Gold Price AIC
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
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Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
3.6 38 54 65
1,372 1,315 1,265 1,283 1,275
500 1,000 1,500 2,000
50 100 150 200 250 Q2 2013 Q3 2013 Q4 2013 Q1 2014 Q2 2014 US$/oz US$ million Net cash flow Gold price
1 Net cash flow from operating activities after taking account of net capital expenditure, environmental payments, debt service costs and non-recurring items.
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Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Source: Bloomberg 47%
0% 20% 40% 60% GFI & Sibanye Combined Randgold Goldcorp Agnico Eagle Newmont Anglogold Barrick Yamana Newcrest Harmony Kinross
Total Shareholder Returns
28 November 2012 to 3 September 2014
1,000 1,100 1,200 1,300 1,400 1,500 1,600 1,700 1,800
Gold Price
28 November 2012 to 3 September 2014 28 Nov 2012 US$1,719.69/oz 3 Sep 2014 US$1,269.40/oz
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Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
1 12-month rolling historical average
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Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Woodjam British Columbia “The wrong metal” Asosa Ethiopia “The wrong address” Yanfolila Mali “Franchise / hurdle rates” Royalty Portfolio
“Value release”
Talas Kyrgysztan “The wrong address” Arctic Platinum Project Finland “The wrong metal” Chucapaca Peru “Franchise / hurdle rates” Salares Norte Chile “Great optionality” FSE Phillippines “Great optionality” Sold Disposal Underway Retain
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Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
15% Free Cash Flow Margin US WACC 6% Real compounded (Threshold)
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Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
256.9 83.4 84.6 66.0 22.9 1 042 1,372 692 1,010 1,228 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 Region St Ives Granny Smith Agnew/Lawlers Darlot 50 100 150 200 250 300
Production AIC US$/oz Koz
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Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
KPI Unit GFI 9 Months ABX 9 Months Comments Safety TRIFR 7.72 15.51 Actual injuries - 11 under GFI vs 30 under ABX Ore Processed Kt 1,931 2,274 Only mining ore that contributes to the required margin Head Grade g/t 6.29 5.08 As above Gold Production Koz 367,540 341,466 All In Sustaining Cost A$/oz 982 1,243 Gold Price A$/oz 1,398 1,464 Free Cash Flow Margin % 28% 11% Efficiencies have compensated for gold price
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RESOURCE EXTENSION & EXPLORATION
DISCOVERY
RESOURCE
4.3 Moz
Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
RESERVE
2.0 Moz
2013 2019 LoM Extension Potential
LoM
~12 Moz produced since 1980
5 10 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Moz
Consistent Reserve Replacement History
Reserves Production Cumm Production
Optimisation Opportunities Neptune in production in H2 2014 - expected to underpin improved H2 2014 Invincible in production in H1 2015 – consolidate open pit mining in one higher grade pit Fast-track exploration of Invincible and Speedway Trend for life extension
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Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
potential
exploration opportunities with potential to extend mine life beyond 10 years
̵ Lawlers
series
̵ Agnew
Kim and FBH
directions Optimisation Opportunities High grade FBH and Link Drive area to underpin 2015 plan Shallower Kath and Waroonga North opportunities fast-tracked Cinderella “boundary pillar” between Agnew and Lawlers not explored
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4
F2001 F2002 F2003 F2004 F2005 F2006 F2007 F2008 F2009 F2010 F2011 F2012 F2013
Million Ounces
Reserves and Production
Reserves Production Cumulative Production
RESOURCE EXTENSION & EXPLORATION
DISCOVERY
RESOURCE
RESERVE
0.95 Moz
across combined land package
600/700 Series, Kath, Hidden Secret & Cinderella
planning
2013 2019 LoM Extension Potential
LoM
~7 Moz produced since 1985
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Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 20147
potential
exploration opportunities with potential to extend mine life beyond 15 years ̵ Wallaby Underground
̵ Lake Carey under-explored
Froy at St Ives
̵ Large tenement position with multiple targets
Optimisation Opportunities Wallaby resource conversion and exploration at depth Improved extraction ratio through potential use of paste fill CIL plant under-utilised – 50% upside
RESOURCE EXTENSION & EXPLORATION
DISCOVERY
RESOURCE
3.3 Moz
RESERVE
0.8 Moz
2013 2020 LoM Extension Potential
LoM
~7 Moz produced since 1989
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Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
181.3 140.7 40.5 1,084 1,026 1,282 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 Region Tarkwa Damang 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200
Production AIC
US$/oz Koz
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Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Optimisation Opportunities Optimisation of Mill from 12 Mtpa to +13 Mtpa by early 2015 PPA agreement with independent third party Teberebie pillar expansion (AGA ground exchange)
RESOURCE EXTENSION & EXPLORATION
DISCOVERY
RESOURCE
RESERVE
Resource conversion
2013 2030 LoM Extension Potential
LoM
~9.4 Moz produced since 1997
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Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Optimisation Opportunities Underway Significant reserve upside - exploration focus on 30 km strike Improved plant availability, reduced dilution, recoveries and throughput
RESOURCE EXTENSION & EXPLORATION
DISCOVERY
RESOURCE
RESERVE
strategy
prospects
2013 2019 LoM Extension Potential
LoM
~4.03 Moz produced since 1997
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Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Optimisation Opportunities Underway Future capital reduced through cancellation of TSF raise and review of cheaper alternatives Potential to increase reserves by ~ 30% through TSF and WSF
RESOURCE EXTENSION & EXPLORATION
DISCOVERY
RESOURCE
RESERVE
2013 2023 LoM Extension Potential
LoM
~2.0 Moz Au eq produced since 2008
better define Geo-metallurgy
to increase LoM footprint
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Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Steady state production: 650 Koz to 700 Koz p.a.@ AIC of US$900/oz by the end of 2017
Destress Step Change Improved Productivity Operator & Technician Skills Fleet Availability & Utilisation Ore Handling Infrastructure
̵ Affected majority of production and destress areas ̵ Commenced mid-May ̵ Completed end-September ̵ Expected to provide stability for life-of-mine
̵ Labour refresher training ̵ Machine maintenance
RESOURCE EXTENSION & EXPLORATION
DISCOVERY
RESOURCE
RESERVE
palaeoplacer with high predictability
continues to be effective
configuration being reviewed
2013 2087 LoM Extension Potential
LoM
~15 Moz produced since 1968
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Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
1. 4x4 Metre Destress Method
2. Inclined Slot Method
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Nick Holland | Denver Gold Forum | Building a Sustainable Business at US$1,300/oz Gold Price | 16 September 2014
Nick Holland
16 September 2014