Bonham Housing Action Plan Final Presentation to the City Council of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Bonham Housing Action Plan Final Presentation to the City Council of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Bonham Housing Action Plan Final Presentation to the City Council of Bonham Texas March 11, 2019 1 Daniel Oney Denison High School Austin College University of Texas Dallas Senior Economist Virginia General Assembly


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Bonham Housing Action Plan

Final Presentation to the City Council of Bonham Texas

March 11, 2019

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SLIDE 2

Daniel Oney

  • Denison High School
  • Austin College
  • University of Texas – Dallas
  • Senior Economist Virginia

General Assembly

  • Research Manager City of Dallas
  • Founder Axianomics, LLC
  • Managing Director Newmark

Knight Frank

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BHAP History

  • The City of Bonham launches Bet on Bonham and Bonham Needs

Rooftops in 2017

  • Texas Downtown Association, Manufacturers Roundtable in 2018
  • Study Elements:
  • 1. Statistical profile of Bonham market (demographics, economics, housing

trends)

  • 2. Residential market analysis (effective demand for housing in Bonham)
  • 3. Housing Action Plan Playbook (strategies and tactics to coordinate housing

policy)

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SLIDE 4

Challenge

  • Winners and losers in rural America
  • The City of Bonham is growing, adding families and new industry.
  • The Bonham Housing Action Plan (BHAP) will guide policy to create an

investment friendly housing market.

  • The BHAP is a multi-year, multi-tactic initiative to attract housing at

many price points but focusing on homes for middle-income and young professional households.

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SLIDE 5

Bonham’s Economy is Strong

8.0% 3.7% 2.8%

Manufacturing Retail Professional Services

Job Growth (5-Year Annual Average Rate)

3.3% Unemployment Rate Economic Development Announcements:

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SLIDE 6

Bonham’s Population is Growing

750 Net New Households in the Next Decade 1,500 new 18-44 year old’s by 2028 8,100 City Residents 34,400 in the Bonham Micropolitan Statistical Area

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Bonham Households are Earning More

11.0% 21.3% 26.0% Total Manufacturing Professional Services

Wage Growth Since 2015 Average Household Income $56,400

Annual Average $37,800 $52,700 $43,400

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Bonham is Investing in its Future

New $30M High School will give students the latest facilities and

  • resources. photo by Kyle Porter

$18M restoration will return the Fannin County Courthouse to its 19th Century beauty New strategic planning framework for downtown, infrastructure, parks, workforce and housing

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Lower Bois D'arc Creek Reservoir bringing stable water supply and economic impact

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Bonham Has a Housing Gap

Bonham has a 400 unit home gap because of population growth and underinvestment since the Great Recession. Much of the gap resulted from strong competition for investment in the DFW market. But Bonham’s market is becoming more competitive. 400 Missing Homes!

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SLIDE 10

Single Family Indicators for Growing Demand

$188,000 In 2018

65 % Since 2015

Sale Prices

3 Months

Average Sale Prices Housing Supply

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SLIDE 11

Multiple Products

Townhouse Duplex Single-Family

The Market Can Support Housing Variety

Multiple Price Points $115K to $300K

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BHAP Playbook

  • A guide for the City of

Bonham, the Bonham Economic Development Corporation (BEDCO) and community stakeholders to attract new housing investment.

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BHAP Playbook Elements

  • Community Vision
  • Visioning Bonham
  • Market Awareness
  • BHAP studies
  • Comprehensive Housing

Strategy

  • Multiple options
  • Reinforcing elements

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BHAP Playbook Elements

  • Preparation Work: Being ready for growth
  • Subdivision: Fast, flexible units, variety of prices
  • Traditional Neighborhood: Challenging strategy to restore downtown

prosperity

  • Home Renovation: Jumpstart virtuous cycle of reinvestment
  • Prefabricated Housing: Potential to deliver workforce housing,

demonstration project

  • Multifamily Development: Support new arrivals and families in

transition

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Preparation – Ready to support housing

No excuses for developers to look elsewhere

  • Vision – to signal where Bonham is

headed

  • Market awareness – to demonstrate

demand and price points

  • Development policy review – to identify

potential bottle necks

  • Infrastructure – to meet growth needs

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Initiative or Question Major Element Annexation Review ETJ and long-term needs Zoning Review and update code Development Review and update code Resources Evaluate staffing and infrastructure Services Confirm service capacity

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Subdivision – Foundation priority

  • Marketing to appropriate developers.
  • Challenge municipal services (subdivision

process, plan review and building inspections.)

  • Annexation, infrastructure and ongoing

city services.

  • Fiscal analysis and developer impact fees

so new development pays its own way.

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Housing Unit Goal = 150 New Units Pros Cons

  • 1. Builders can fine-tune

product to meet. emerging market trends

  • 2. Potential to deliver large

number of units.

  • 3. Potential to provide a

mix of single-family types.

  • 4. Easier administration by

working with a single developer.

  • 1. May require mains utility

construction.

  • 2. May require enhanced

building inspection capacity.

  • 3. May require review and

upgrading zoning and development codes to have maximum community benefit.

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Traditional Neighborhood – Strengthen downtown

  • Rebuild the heart of Bonham.
  • Encourage housing variety on vacant land

in blocks around the square.

  • Single family, duplex, four plex, “mother-

in-law suites”.

  • Potential to transform image - what small

Texas towns “should” look like.

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Housing Unit Goal = 70 New Units Pros Cons

  • 1. Housing variety for

singles, young couples, families with children, empty nesters.

  • 2. Maximizing existing

streets and utilities.

  • 3. Preserve historic

buildings.

  • 4. Increasing the market for

retail, restaurants.

  • 5. Increasing opportunities

to walk and bicycle.

  • 6. Reducing car trips and

vehicle miles traveled.

  • 1. Code may need to

change.

  • 2. Infrastructure upgrades:

sidewalks, street lights, drainage and landscape

  • 3. Homeowner concerns

about density

  • 4. Finding the right

developers.

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Home Renovation – Jumpstart reinvestment

  • Encourage owners to reinvest.
  • Many potential participants.
  • Small grants or property tax rebates – few

$100s of dollars each.

  • Create virtuous cycle.
  • Demonstrates City commitment across

Bonham.

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Housing Unit Goal = 300 Renovated Units Pros Cons

  • 1. Potentially large number
  • f participants for

relatively little cost.

  • 2. Can tie to property tax –

no cash out of pocket.

  • 3. Small impact on City

services.

  • 4. Supports local trades

and labor work.

  • 1. Working with

homeowners with no developer experience.

  • 2. Administrative costs for

relatively small projects.

  • 3. Upfront funding if grant

program.

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Home Renovation – Jumpstart reinvestment (cont.)

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Program Recommendations and Outline:

  • Part of overall housing strategy – demonstrated City’s

commitment.

  • Clear and predictable regulations.
  • Set a total budget - example: $70,000 in the first year,

$10,000 per ward plus $20,000 available after a ward used up its $10,000 allocation.

Keep the regulations simple:

1. Single-family homeowner eligibility. 2. Current on City taxes and fees. 3. Minimum required investment - 10 to 20 percent of the appraised value of the home or $8,000 and $15,000 per home. 4. Estimated investment approved before eligible work is completed. 5. A standard development agreement (contract). 6. Improvements completed quickly and subject to building inspection verifications (photos, invoices and receipts.) 7. Paid in a lump sum after post-renovation appraisal.

Example calculation:

  • 1. Set grant at 10 times increased

value.

  • 2. Assume new roof for $8,000, and

this raises the value of the home by $5,000.

  • 3. Every year this $5,000 increase

generates an additional $34.32 in City property taxes.

  • 4. So, the total incentive to the

homeowner will be $343.20. This represents a 4.3% savings on the roof

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Prefabricated Housing – Accommodate workers

  • Clustered in townhouse or infill

developments – neighborhood effect.

  • Potential cost savings over manually-built

housing – time savings, labor costs.

  • New homes on permanent foundations.

Mobile home has temporary foundation.

  • Assembly-line precision in a climate-

controlled factor setting.

  • Assembled on site.

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Housing Unit Goal = 50 New Units Pros Cons

  • 1. Potentially faster than

manually-built homes

  • 2. Potential buyer cost

savings

  • 3. Minimal zoning or code

changes required.

  • 4. Less dependent on

skilled trades for on-site work.

  • 5. Potential to brand

Bonham as a prefabricated home demonstration hub.

  • 1. Risk of confusing

consumers (prefabricated & mobile homes play different potential roles.)

  • 2. Given transportation

costs, savings may not be as much as expected.

  • 3. Maximum savings

require relatively large number of units.

  • 4. Fewer skilled trade

employment

  • pportunities.
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Multifamily – Flexibility & transitions

  • Many rental homes in Bonham.
  • Little recent apartment investment.
  • Goal of one multi-family, garden-style

development.

  • High quality landscaping and adequate

parking.

  • West side of the city - near retail.
  • Focus on builder manager.

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Housing Unit Goal = 140 New Units Pros Cons

  • 1. Highly visible with

amenities for new or prospective households.

  • 2. No-maintenance, lock-

and-leave lifestyle.

  • 3. Deliver many units

quickly – size variety.

  • 4. Concentrate household

spending power.

  • 5. Support households in

transition.

  • 6. Stimulate higher rents

for other rental owners (owner benefit.)

  • 1. Are riskier for developers

than building single- family subdivisions.

  • 2. Long planning and

development time – up to two years.

  • 3. Market conditions can
  • change. Hard to adjust.
  • 4. New unit rents will be

much higher than prevailing Bonham rents (renter cost.)

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Questions?

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Appendix – Revised Housing Market Forecasts

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Housing Product Program (Low Price Assumptions)

Townhouse 1 Townhouse 2 Duplex Single Family 1 Single Family 2 Single Family 3 Single Family 4 Bedrooms 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 Baths 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 Total Square Feet 1,343 1,525 1,583 1,152 1,510 2,013 2,237 Price Per Sq.Ft. $98 $105 $110 $98 $110 $115 $125 Construction Price $131,614 $160,125 $174,130 $112,896 $166,100 $231,495 $279,625

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Housing Product Program (High Price Assumptions)

Townhouse 1 Townhouse 2 Duplex Single Family 1 Single Family 2 Single Family 3 Single Family 4 Bedrooms 2 3 3 2 3 3 3 Baths 1 2 2 1 2 2 2 Total Square Feet 1,343 1,525 1,583 1,152 1,510 2,013 2,237 Price Per Sq.Ft. $105 $115 $125 $105 $125 $135 $140 Construction Price $141,015 $175,375 $197,875 $120,960 $188,750 $271,755 $313,180

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Housing Demand (Annual Units)

Mortgage Rate Townhouse 1 Townhouse 2 Duplex Single Family 1 Single Family 2 Single Family 3 Single Family 4 Total Units 4.0% 9 9 8 8 13 15 8 70 4.5% 8 9 8 8 12 14 7 66 5.0% 8 8 8 7 11 13 7 62 5.5% 7 8 7 6 11 12 6 57 6.0% 7 7 6 6 10 11 6 53 Demand totals assume a mix of product is provided. Individual product demand will be higher if some product types are not delivered. For example, if no duplex homes are built, some of that demand will shift to Townhouse 2 and Single Family 2 which are comparable products.

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