Updating the Original Birth By the Numbers Fall, 2019
Is there a problem with U.S. maternity care outcomes?
Gene Declercq, PhD www.birthbythenumbers.org
With initial support from: The Transforming Birth Fund
BirthByTheNumbers.org
Birth By the Numbers Fall, 2019 Is there a problem with U.S. - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Updating the Original Birth By the Numbers Fall, 2019 Is there a problem with U.S. maternity care outcomes? Gene Declercq, PhD www.birthbythenumbers.org BirthByTheNumbers.org With initial support from: The Transforming Birth Fund Total U.S.
With initial support from: The Transforming Birth Fund
BirthByTheNumbers.org
3,600,000 3,800,000 4,000,000 4,200,000 4,400,000 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
3,788,235 4,316,233 Net Decrease 2007-2018 527,998 or 12.2%
Source: Annual NCHS Reports on Births BirthByTheNumbers.org
50 60 70 80 90 100 110
All WNH BNH Hisp Fertility rates computed by relating total births, regardless of age of mother, to women 15-44 years. www.BirthByTheNumbers.org
Fears of a “Majority/Minority” of births are unfounded…for now
Proportion of all U.S. Births, 1989-2018*
10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%
Non-Hispanic White Hispanic Non-Hispanic Black
Source: Adapted from NCHS Annual Birth Reports *2018 data is preliminary www.BirthByTheNumbers.org
6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017
Prematurity (LMP) Low Birthweight
%
Prematurity (OE)
Year BirthByTheNumbers.org LMP – based on last menstrual period OE – based on obstetric estimate
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6
Total home & birth center Home Birthing center
46,956 (1.13%) 35,587 (0.87%)
59,596 (1.57%)
80% Increase 2004-2018
38,555 1.01% 21,041 0.55% BirthByTheNumbers.org Source: NCHS Annual Birth Reports
%
0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018
Non-Hispanic white Hon-Hispanic black Hispanic Native American API
API= Asian or Pacific Islander. Source: Birth certificate data from the National Center for Health Statistics.
%
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Rank Country Country Country 1 Andorra (1 per 1,000) 16 France 31 Spain 2 Estonia 17 Germany 32 Sweden 3 Iceland 18 Hungary 33 Bahrain (3 per 1,000) 4 Japan 19 Ireland 34 Croatia 5 San Marino 20 Israel 35 Denmark 6 Singapore 21 Italy 36 Greece 7 Slovenia 22 Latvia 37 New Zealand 8 Australia (2 per 1,000) 23 Lithuania 38 Poland 9 Austria 24 Luxembourg 39 Russian Federation 10 Belarus 25 Monaco 40 Slovakia 11 Belgium 26 Montenegro 41 Switzerland 12 Cuba 27 Netherlands 42 United Kingdom 13 Cyprus 28 Norway
43 United States of America (4 per 1,000)
14 Czechia 29 Portugal 44 Bahamas 15 Finland 30 Republic of Korea Source: WHO. World Health Statistics 2019
BirthByTheNumbers.org
Rank Country Country Country 1 Andorra (1 per 1,000) 16 France 31 Spain 2 Estonia 17 Germany 32 Sweden 3 Iceland 18 Hungary 33 Bahrain (3 per 1,000) 4 Japan 19 Ireland 34 Croatia 5 San Marino 20 Israel 35 Denmark 6 Singapore 21 Italy 36 Greece 7 Slovenia 22 Latvia 37 New Zealand 8 Australia (2 per 1,000) 23 Lithuania 38 Poland 9 Austria 24 Luxembourg 39 Russian Federation 10 Belarus 25 Monaco 40 Slovakia 11 Belgium 26 Montenegro 41 Switzerland 12 Cuba 27 Netherlands 42 United Kingdom 13 Cyprus 28 Norway
43 United States of America (4 per 1,000)
14 Czechia 29 Portugal 44 Bahamas 15 Finland 30 Republic of Korea Source: WHO. World Health Statistics 2019
BirthByTheNumbers.org
Country 2016-18* Births Andorra 543 Iceland 4,228 Luxembourg 6,274 San Marino 235 Monaco 489 TOTAL 11,769
BirthByTheNumbers.org * Country data represents the most recent single year available ranging from 2016-2018.
BirthByTheNumbers.org
Defining a Set of Countries to Compare with the U.S.
15 Comparison Countries
(SOURCE: OECD, Health Data 2019)
2017 Total Births (000) 2018 GDP per capita U.S. $ 2017 % Births by Cesarean
Australia 311 54,095 *33.7 Belgium 120 50.470 20.9 Canada 376 48.262 *27.7 Czech Republic 114 39,620 *23.8 France 770 45,384 19.7 Germany 785 53,823 30.1 Israel 184 39,871 14.8 Italy 458 41,594 33.8 Japan 946 42,913 18.0 Korea 358 40,112 45.1 Netherlands 170 56,444 *16.6 Spain 391 39,971 24.4 Sweden 115 53,053 16.6 United Kingdom 755 45,637 27.3 United States 3,856 62,503 32.0
BirthByTheNumbers.org
* 2016
BirthByTheNumbers.org IOM chose 16 peer
the one’s we’ve used. They use 4 countries (Denmark, Finland, Portugal, Switzerland) that have <100,000 births. We include Belgium, Czech Republic, and Israel
Infant Deaths in First 27 days X 1,000 _____________ Live Births
Fetal deaths + deaths in the first week X 1,000 _______________ Live births + fetal deaths
BirthByTheNumbers.org
0.9 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.9 2 2 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.7 2.8 2.8 3.5 3.9
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4
Source: OECD Health Data 2019 and NCHS, Deaths Final Data for 2017.
BirthByTheNumbers.org *2016 Neonatal Mortality Rate
0.9 1.5 1.6 1.8 1.9 2 2 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.7 2.8 2.8 3.1 3.5 3.9
0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4
Source: OECD Health Data 2019 and NCHS, Deaths Final Data for 2017.
BirthByTheNumbers.org *2016 Neonatal Mortality Rate
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2.4 2.7 3.8 4.0 4.4 4.8 4.5 4.6 5.6 5.8 5.9 6.0 6.3 8.1 10.8
2 4 6 8 10 12
Japan* Korea Czech Republic Italy# Spain Netherlands Israel Sweden Germany Canada United States Belgium* United Kingdom Australia France*
#2012; *2016
Source: OECD Health Data 2019
BirthByTheNumbers.org
2.4 2.7 3.8 4.0 4.4 4.8 4.5 4.6 5.0 5.6 5.8 5.9 6.0 6.3 8.1 10.8
2 4 6 8 10 12
Japan* Korea Czech Republic Italy# Spain Netherlands Israel Sweden US NHW Germany Canada United States Belgium* United Kingdom Australia France*
#2012; *2016
Source: OECD Health Data 2019; US NHW -- NCHS (2018) Lack of Change in Perinatal Mortality in the U.S., 2014–2016
Maternal Deaths* all causes X 100,000 _______________ Live births
* Deaths in pregnancy and up to 42 days postpartum
BirthByTheNumbers.org
4 5 5 6 6 7 8 9 11 15.9
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
Italy Japan Spain Germany Australia Canada France U.K. Korea U.S.
#
* Maternal Mortality per 100,000 births; # 2015 Estimated U.S. average
Source: Maternal Mortality: 1990 to 2015 Estimates by WHO, UNICEF, UNFPA, World Bank Group & UN Population Division. Geneva: 2015; Petersen E. MMWR .vol.68. May 7, 2019. 1-7.
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4 5 5 6 6 7 8 9 11 12.8 15.9
2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
Italy Japan Spain Germany Australia Canada France U.K. Korea US NHW U.S.
* Maternal Mortality per 100,000 births; # 2015 Estimated U.S. average
Source: Maternal Mortality: 1990 to 2015 Estimates by WHO, UNICEF, UNFPA, World Bank Group & UN Population Division. Geneva: 2015; Petersen E. MMWR .vol.68. May 7, 2019. 1-7.
#
BirthByTheNumbers.org
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2.0 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.6 3.6 3.9 3.9 4.5 5.8
1 2 3 4 5 6
Japan Sweden Czech Republic Italy Spain Korea Israel Australia Germany Belgium Netherlands France United Kingdom Canada United States
Source: OECD Health Data 2019; 2019. Infant Mortality in the United States, 2017: Data From the Period Linked Birth/Infant Death File;
BirthByTheNumbers.org
US Subgroup U.S. IMR 2017 Rank
(15 - 100K)
All 5.8 15
Source: OECD Health Data 2019; 2019. Infant Mortality in the United States, 2017: Data From the Period Linked Birth/Infant Death File;
BirthByTheNumbers.org
US Subgroup U.S. IMR 2017 Rank
(15 - 100K)
All 5.8 15 White Non-Hispanic 4.7 15
Source: OECD Health Data 2019; 2019. Infant Mortality in the United States, 2017: Data From the Period Linked Birth/Infant Death File;
BirthByTheNumbers.org
US Subgroup U.S. IMR 2017 Rank
(15 - 100K)
All 5.8 15 White Non-Hispanic 4.7 15 White NH, Native Born 4.8 15
Source: OECD Health Data 2019; 2019. Infant Mortality in the United States, 2017: Data From the Period Linked Birth/Infant Death File;
BirthByTheNumbers.org
US Subgroup U.S. IMR 2017 Rank
(15 - 100K)
All 5.8 15 White Non-Hispanic 4.7 15 White NH, Native Born 4.8 15 White NH, Singleton Birth 4.2 14
Source: OECD Health Data 2019; 2019. Infant Mortality in the United States, 2017: Data From the Period Linked Birth/Infant Death File;
BirthByTheNumbers.org
US Subgroup U.S. IMR 2017 Rank
(15 - 100K)
All 5.8 15 White Non-Hispanic 4.7 15 White NH, Native Born 4.8 15 White NH, Singleton Birth 4.2 14 White NH, 30-34 yrs old 3.8 12
Source: OECD Health Data 2019; 2019. Infant Mortality in the United States, 2017: Data From the Period Linked Birth/Infant Death File;
BirthByTheNumbers.org
US Subgroup U.S. IMR 2017 Rank
(15 - 100K)
All 5.8 15 White Non-Hispanic 4.7 15 White NH, Native Born 4.8 15 White NH, Singleton Birth 4.2 14 White NH, 30-34 yrs old 3.8 12 White NH, 39-40 weeks 1.6 1
Source: OECD Health Data 2019; 2019. Infant Mortality in the United States, 2017: Data From the Period Linked Birth/Infant Death File;
BirthByTheNumbers.org
2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Rate per 1,000 live births
Source: OECD Health Data, 2019 & Ely DM, Driscoll AK. Infant mortality in the United States, 2017: Data from the period linked birth/infant death file. National Vital Statistics Reports, vol 68 no 10. Hyattsville, MD: National Center for Health Statistics. 2019. .
U.S.
* Countries with 100,000+ births (2017): Australia, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Israel, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, Spain, S. Korea, Sweden, U.K.
2.2 3.9 4.6 3.2
Industrialized Countries 31% decrease
15% decrease
2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 Rate per 1,000 live births
Source: OECD Health Data, 2019 & Ely DM, Driscoll AK. Infant mortality in the United States, 2017: Data from the period linked birth/infant death file. National Vital Statistics Reports, vol 68 no 10. Hyattsville, MD: National Center for Health Statistics. 2019. .
U.S.
* Countries with 100,000+ births (2017): Australia, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Israel, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, Spain, S. Korea, Sweden, U.K.
2.2 3.9 4.6 3.2
Industrialized Countries 31% decrease
15% decrease
If the U.S. neonatal mortality rate equaled the current average rate of the
about 6,478 fewer deaths to babies 28 days or younger annually.
>116,000 fewer neonatal deaths 2000-2017
BirthByTheNumbers.org
5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 U.S. 16 % decrease
Industrialized Countries 9% decrease * Countries with 100,000+ births (2017): Australia, Belgium, Canada, Czech Republic, France, Germany, Israel, Italy, Japan, Netherlands, S. Korea, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom
Sources: OECD Health Data 2019;
U.S.
4.0 8.0 12.0 16.0 20.0
Deaths per 100,000 live births
OECD 22% Decrease
U.S. 21% Increase
* Countries with 300,000+ births (2017): Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, S. Korea, Spain, United Kingdom
NOTE: 2008-2015 US rates unofficial^
Sources: OECD Health Data 2019; Petersen E. MMWR .vol.68. May 7,
Case Ascertainment?
BirthByTheNumbers.org
'89 '90 '91 '92 '93 '94 '95 '96 '97 '98 '99 '00 '01 '02 '03 '04 '05 '06 '07 '08 '09 '10 '11 '12 '13 '14 15 16 17 18 % Tot US 23 22. 22. 22. 21. 21. 20. 20. 20. 21. 22. 23 24 26 28 29 30 31 32 32 33 33 33 33 33 32 32 32 32 32
20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34
Source: National Center for Health Statistics Annual Birth Reports
If the 2018 cesarean rate was the same as in 1996, there would have been 424,000 fewer cesareans in the U.S. in ’18.
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5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30%
Chart Title
Primary Cesarean Rate VBAC Rate
Note: 2005-2015* unofficial
r = -.94 21.7% 13.3%
14.8 16.6 16.6 19.7 20.9 23.8 24.4 27.3 27.7 30.0 32.0 33.7 33.8 45.1
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 Israel Netherlands# Sweden France Belgium Czech Republic* Spain United Kingdom Canada Germany United States Australia* Italy Korea
#2015; *2016
Source: OECD data, 2019. * No comparative data on cesarean rates in Japan
50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 Australia Finland Israel Italy Netherlands Norway Portugal Slovak Republic Sweden Switzerland United States
Sources: OECD data 2019; WHO Europe Health for All Database.
55 48 42 38 38 35 33 32 29 27 25 24 22 22 21 16
12
12 11 5 10 20 30 40 50 60
Finland Norway France Estonia Netherlands Iceland Denmark Belgium Germany England Czech Republic Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Slovenia Scotland U.S. Latvia Italy Cyprus
Source: Euro-Peristat Project. European Perinatal Health Report. Core indicators of the health and care of pregnant women and babies in Europe in 2015. November 2018.
BirthByTheNumbers.org
3% 7% 20% 22% 23% 14% 11%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% <34 34-36 37-38 39 40 41 42+ Completed Weeks of Pregnancy
3% 8% 26% 31% 19% 8% 5%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% <34 34-36 37-38 39 40 41 42+ Completed Weeks of Pregnancy
3% 7% 20% 22% 23% 14% 11% 3% 8% 26% 31% 19% 8% 5%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% <34 34-36 37-38 39 40 41 42+ Completed Weeks of Pregnancy
3% 5% 17% 22% 28% 16% 10% 2% 3% 16% 24% 29% 17% 9%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% <34 34-36 37-38 39 40 41 42+ 2003 2018
Completed Weeks of Pregnancy
BirthByTheNumbers.org
1,449,148 1,655,989 2,169,444 2,249,114 2,933,033 3,207,261 3,545,520
3,923,116 4,101,991
4,337,872
500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 3,500,000 4,000,000 4,500,000 5,000,000
Mental Diseases & Disorders D&D Kidney Infectious & Parasitic Dis. D&D Nervous System D&D Digestive System D&D Respiratory System D&D Musculoskeletal System Neonates Pregnancy & Childbirth D&D Circulatory System
D&D – Diseases and Disorders
$10,580 $18,570 $13,010 $21,704
$0 $22,000
Vaginal no Complications Cesarean No Complications Vaginal Complications Cesarean Complications
Sources: AHRQ. 2017. HCUPnet, Healthcare Cost & Utilization Project. Rockville, MD:
NOTE: Hospital charges; no physician costs
76%
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10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 60,000 70,000
Vag no Compl. Vag w Compl. Ces no Compl. Ces w/ Compl.
Sources: AHRQ. 2017. HCUPnet, Healthcare Cost & Utilization Project. Rockville, MD:
$ 62,689
$ 14,039
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www.acog.org/Resources_And_Publications/Obstetric_Care_Consensus_Series/Safe_Preventio n_of_the_Primary_Cesarean_Delivery
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