Approach for the sufficiency of measures analysis Prepared by - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Approach for the sufficiency of measures analysis

Prepared by ACTION project WP6 Samuli Korpinen, SYKE HELCOM GEAR, 16 May 2019

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GENERAL APPROACH

Total reduction of each pressure (%) Probability to reach good state

Photo: Jan Ekebom

EXISTING MEASURES

• Type (KTM)
• Link to activity
• Implementation
• Time lags

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MEASURES

all types, except research, monitoring, coordination, indicators, targets, information systems/tools etc.) measures affecting activities, pressures and state time lags:

• Include measure which still affect the environment
• If time lag is beyond BAU period, discuss that

separately (!) TO BE INCLUDED IN SOM ANALYSES

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PRESSURE REDUCTI ON

KEY QUESTION: How much a measure will reduce each

• f the pressures?

We need to find out: 1. Each measure’s effect on pressure reduction (per source/activity) 2. Contribution of each source/activity to the pressure

Photo: Samuli Korpinen

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PRESSURE REDUCTI ON

PRESSURE REDUCTION MSFD Annex III activity and pressure lists MEASURE GROUP

CONTRIBUTING TO A PRESSURE ACTIVITY 1 50 % ACTIVITY 2 25 % ACTIVITY 3 10 % ACTIVITY 4 10 % ACTIVITY 5 5 % ACTIVITY 6 0 % PRESSURE REDUCTION % FROM A MEASURE GROUP Probab ility 0.05 0-5 0.15 5-10 0.7 11-15 0.1 16-30 31-50

Key Type Measures (and all the specific

• nes listed underneath)

SURVEY #1 SURVEY #2

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PROJECTED DEVELOPMENT OF PRESSURES

PRESSURE REDUCTION MEASURE GROUP PROJECTED PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT PRESSURE REDUCTION TOTAL PRESSURE REDUCTION

Photo: Jouko Lange

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Can we achieve good state? (or our pressure targets)

• State targets (e.g. biodiversity)

How much pressures have to be decreased to reach GES for different state components?

• Pressure targets (e.g. nutrient

inputs, marine litter)

Can we achieve good status?

DEFINE AND PRIORITIZE RELEVANT PRESSURES FOR EACH STATE COMPONENT PRESSURE REDUCTION % PROBABILITY FOR GES

Photo: Samuli Korpinen

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Photo: Heidi Arponen