Analyst Meeting March 3 rd 2011 h 3 rd 2011 M KCE at a Glance KCE - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Analyst Meeting March 3 rd 2011 h 3 rd 2011 M KCE at a Glance KCE - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Analyst Meeting March 3 rd 2011 h 3 rd 2011 M KCE at a Glance KCE at a Glance Ranked #3 in the World Automotive PCB maker Leading supplier of Printed Circuit Boards Leading supplier of Printed Circuit Boards Specialize in
KCE at a Glance KCE at a Glance
- Ranked #3 in the World – Automotive PCB maker
- Leading supplier of Printed Circuit Boards ‐
Leading supplier of Printed Circuit Boards Specialize in automotive PCB
- Largest State‐of the‐art mass production
facility in Southeast Asia
- Standard to complex PCB Technology capability
- Average sales growth 20% Y‐o‐Y, over the past
Average sales growth 20% Y o Y, over the past 5 year(2003‐2007/8)
- Most diversed customer portfolio in PCB
industry – world’s top 20 Tier 1s
Printed Circuit Board
- A device to wire electronic components
- Tailor‐made to fit customer’s design
- Technology from single sided to laser drilled multilayer boards
- Technology from single‐sided to laser drilled multilayer boards
Local to Global Milestones
Company Structure
Manufacturing Facilities
Sales Office Location
Financial
Sales Revenue Growth
- KCET Phase I started 2001
Phase II started 2003
UNIT : MILLION BAHT
Phase III started 2005
- Ramped up to full capacity in 2007 (21 m Sq.ft./yr.)
- Impact of economic crisis in 4Q08 and 1H09
- Full recovery in demand since March 2010
6,668 7,540 8,365 7,667 7,245 8,100 3,756 3,502 3,619 4,969 5,713 5,752
$142m $166m. (+16 6%) $199m. (+20.0%) $242m. (+21.6%) $232m. (‐4.1%) $270m. (+18%) $229m. (+36.3%) $95m. (+17.9%) $79m. (‐16.1%) $84m. (+6.3%) $119m. (+41.3%) $142m. (+19.2%) (+16.6%) ( 0 0%) ( %) $168m. (‐27.5%) ( 36.3%)
Y2000 Y2001 Y2002 Y2003 Y2004 Y2005 Y2006 Y2007 Y2008 Y2009 Y2010 Y2011F
Financial Summary
18% 14% 13% 19% 15% 20% 15% 15% 20% 25% 4% 3% 3% 11% 10% 14% 7% 13% 5% 2% 3% 2% 7% 7% 7% 3% 5% 10% 15% YR2007 YR2008 YR2009 0% ‐1% 5% 2% 2% ‐5% 0%
Gross Profit EBIT (Operating Profit) EBT Net Profit (Loss) EBITDA CAPITAL INVESTMENT
YR2010 YR2007 YR2008 YR2009 YR2010 USD/THB 34.5197 33.3215 34.1898 31.5768 ‐5% ‐10% Sales revenue THB 8,365.4 7,667.3 5,752.4 7,245.2 USD 242.3 230.1 168.3 229.4 Gross Profit 1,471.2 1,065.2 1,079.2 1,430.3 EBIT (Operating Profit) 365.2 (28.1) 264.8 481.1 EBT 234.7 (76.8) 124.6 494.3 Net Profit (Loss) 257.4 (399.2) 171.6 534.6 EBITDA 912.9 519.0 853.8 1,079.0 CAPITAL INVESTMENT 877.5 975.2 96.0 216.0
Financial Summary
Baht/Mil
8,365 7,667 5 752 7,245 7,000 8,000 9,000
Baht/Mil.
5,752 4,000 5,000 6,000 1,471 1,065 1,079 1,430 257 171 535 1,000 2,000 3,000 (399) ‐1,000 YR2007 YR2008 YR2009 YR2010 Sales revenue Gross Profit Net Profit (Loss)
YR2007 YR2008 YR2009 YR2010
- 1. SALES REVENUES (GROWTH Y‐o‐Y)
11% ‐8% ‐25% 26%
- 2. GROSS PROFIT (% to sale)
17.6% 13.9% 18.8% 19.7%
- 3. NET PROFIT (% to sale)
3.1% ‐5.2% 3.0% 7.4%
QTR Performance ‐ Group
1 858 1,894 1,972 2 000 2,500 7,245
7,000 8,000 Baht/Mil.
1,628 1,730 1,858 1,894 1,522 1,500 2,000
4 000 5,000 6,000
341 426 453 405 362 209 124 162 181 161 165 500 1,000 1,430
2,000 3,000 4,000
124 162 181 161 165 27 ‐ Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 535
‐ 1,000
Y2010 20% 7.4% TOTAL SALES GROSS PROFIT NET PROFIT TOTAL SALES GROSS PROFIT
Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010
- 1. SALES REVENUES (GROWTH Q‐o‐Q)
26% 6% 7% 2% 4% ‐23% 2 GROSS PROFIT (% t l ) 20 9% 24 7% 24 4% 21 4% 18 4% 13 8%
- 2. GROSS PROFIT (% to sale)
20.9% 24.7% 24.4% 21.4% 18.4% 13.8%
- 3. NET PROFIT (% to sale)
7.6% 9.4% 9.7% 8.5% 8.4% 1.8% UTILIZATION % 91% 95% 87% 86% 87% 68% SCRAP 5.0% 6.0% 6.0% 5.0% 5.7% 5.9%
SG&A Expenses
900 1000
Baht/Mil. 758 20 887.84
In 2009 ,KCEI posted
13% to Sales 12% to Sales
600 700 800 Depre ‐ KCEI Shutdown Depre.&Amortization
758.20
depreciation of 51 mil to SG&A during plant shutdown. In 2010, KCEI reopened and
300 400 500 Depre.&Amortization Fixed Expenses Variable Selling
posted a full year expense of 99 mil to SG&A. Other increase was from the newly opened l ffi i J
100 200 expense Staff Cost
sales office in Japan.
Y2009 Y2010
Y2009 Y2010 % YoY Staff Cost 185.65 230.52 24% V i bl S lli 378 42 462 47 22% Variable Selling expense 378.42 462.47 22% Fixed Expenses 118.50 165.13 39% Depre.&Amortization 24.60 29.72 21% Depre ‐ KCEI Shutdown 51 04 0 00 ‐100% Depre ‐ KCEI Shutdown 51.04 0.00 ‐100%
Balance Sheet Structure
KCE Group 2007 ‐ 2010 Figures in million Baht
2007 2007 2008 2009 2010 2010 2009 2008
4,009 3,041 2,942 3,189
Current assets
6,280 6,323 4,872 4,863
Current Liabilities
5,867 6,343 5,866 5 563
Non-current t
887 752 1,457 1,245
Non-current liabilities
, , 5,563
assets
2,710 2,310 2,479 2,645 752
Equity
Total net assets 9,877 9,385 8,808 8,753 Total net equity 9,877 9,385 8,808 8,753 and liabilities
Liability Structure
80% 90% 100% 50% 60% 70%
S/T Loan
30% 40% 50% 0% 10% 20% 2008 2009 2010 Operating lease Long‐term debt
2.72% 3.84% 2.54% 7.90% 19.18% 17.84%
Other short‐term liabilities Current portion of long‐term debt Account payable
7.47% 4.40% 4.84% 6.60% 7.20% 8.24% 12.25% 13.81% 14.65%
Short‐term loans
63.05% 51.58% 51.88%
Capital Structure
5207 5679 5177 4918
2.5 3
5000 6000
Baht/Mil.
D/E
2710 2310 2479 2645 1.92 2.46 2.09 1.86
1.5 2
3000 4000 192 118 159 145
0.5 1
1000 2000 Y2007 Y2008 Y2009 Y2010 Cash and Current Investment Interest Bearing Debt Equity Net Interest Bearing Debt to Equity(time)
Key Ratios Y2007 Y2008 Y2009 Y2010 Net interest bearing debt to equity(times) 1.85 2.41 2.02 1.80 Total debt to equity(times) 2 64 3 06 2 55 2 31 Total debt to equity(times) 2.64 3.06 2.55 2.31 Net interest bearing debt to EBITDA(times) 5.49 10.72 5.88 4.42 Interest coverage(times) 1.24 ‐0.1 0.98 2.41
Debt Analysis
Debt Analysis Finance Cost
Baht/Mil
ST LOANS 65%
294 285 271 250 300 350
Baht/Mil.
65%
200 100 150 200
LT LOANS 30% CAPITAL LEASE 5%
50 100 Y2007 Y2008 Y2009 Y2010
5%
Weighted Avg Interest Rate 5.7% 5.1% 4.5% 3.5% Weighted Avg Interest Rate 5.7% 5.1% 4.5% 3.5%
Operation and Sales
Guidance
FY 2011
- Revenue:
~US$270mil (+18%)
- Gross Margin: ~22%‐23% (2010 ~20%)
- Reduce D/E
- Reduce D/E
- Net D/E: <1.4 times
- Total D/E: <1.8 times
- CAPEX: ~US$5mil
- Reduce Copper price risk and
Exchange rate risk using options Exchange rate risk using options
- Increase complex PCBs
QTR Performance ‐ KCE Electronics
Baht/Mil
645 715 716 715 838 629 700 800 900 2,898 2,500 3,000 3,500
Baht/Mil.
300 400 500 600 1 000 1,500 2,000 2,500 141 183 175 171 192 132 48 111 75 51 113 66 ‐ 100 200 300 670 305 ‐ 500 1,000
23% 10.5%
Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 TOTAL SALES GROSS PROFIT NET PROFIT Y2010 TOTAL SALES GROSS PROFIT NET PROFIT
Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010
- 1. SALES REVENUES*1 (GROWTH Q‐o‐Q)
27% 11% 0% 0% 17% ‐25% 2 GROSS PROFIT (% to sale) 21 9% 25 7% 24 4% 23 9% 22 9% 21 0%
- 2. GROSS PROFIT (% to sale)
21.9% 25.7% 24.4% 23.9% 22.9% 21.0%
- 3. NET PROFIT*2 (% to sale)
7.4% 15.5% 10.5% 7.1% 13.4% 10.5% UTILIZATION % 95% 101% 91% 89% 99% 82% SCRAP RATE % 4 2% 3 9% 4 8% 5 1% 4 6% 5 0% Remark : *1 Excl Interco.Sales *2 Excl Dividend , Impairment SCRAP RATE % 4.2% 3.9% 4.8% 5.1% 4.6% 5.0%
QTR Performance ‐ KCE International
/ Baht/Mil.
317 299 300 350 1,071 1,000 1,200 235 219 150 200 250 600 800 36 42 4 44 44 33 10 17 20 13 50 100 131 43 ‐ 200 400
12%
(7) (19) (31) (7) ‐50 ‐ Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 TOTAL SALES GROSS PROFIT NET PROFIT Y2010
TOTAL SALES GROSS PROFIT NET PROFIT
4.0%
12%
Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010
- 1. SALES REVENUES(GROWTH Q‐o‐Q)
454% 35% ‐6% ‐27%
- 2. GROSS PROFIT (% to sale)
18.7% 13.8% 11.0% 4.6%
- 3. NET PROFIT *2(% to sale)
7.2% 6.4% 4.3% ‐3.3% UTILIZATION % 0% 0% 62% 87% 80% 63% SCRAP RATE % 2.7% 3.0% 2.9% 3.3% Remark : *2 Excl Dividend
QTR Performance ‐ KCE Technology
953 992 879 820 1,000 1,200
Baht/Mil.
3,122 3,000 3,500 820 794 629 600 800 1,500 2,000 2,500 205 217 185 137 106 29 79 93 81 73 46 200 400 458 183 500 1,000 (17) ‐200 ‐
Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010 TOTAL SALES GROSS PROFIT NET PROFIT
‐ Y2010 TOTAL SALES GROSS PROFIT NET PROFIT
15% 5.9%
Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010 Q2 2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2010
- 1. SALES REVENUES*1 (GROWTH Q‐o‐Q)
28% 4% ‐11% ‐7% ‐3% ‐21%
2 GROSS PROFIT (% to sale)
21 5% 21 9% 21 1% 16 8% 13 4% 4 6%
- 2. GROSS PROFIT (% to sale)
21.5% 21.9% 21.1% 16.8% 13.4% 4.6%
- 3. NET PROFIT (% to sale)
8.3% 9.4% 9.2% 8.9% 5.8% ‐2.7% UTILIZATION % 89% 91% 82% 83% 82% 62%
SCRAP RATE % 5 6% 7 4% 7 8% 6 7% 7 7% 7 9% *1 Excl Intercom ,Sales SCRAP RATE % 5.6% 7.4% 7.8% 6.7% 7.7% 7.9%
Scrap
Product Mix
(Value) (Value)
SWOT Analysis
STRENGTH WEAKNESS
2 f i i
Expand KCE presence in Automotive industry while moving more into
‐ Higher operating costs than some countries like China, India, and Vietnam ‐ Not fully vertically integrated ‐ Constantly appreciating currency ‐ 25 years of experience in PCB ‐ Strong sales network Worldwide ‐ Has its own laminate supply ‐ More than 20 years in automotive PCB
g High Technology PCB for consumer market both locally and abroad
Constantly appreciating currency ‐ High debt to equity ‐ High turnover rate due to high demand in labor ‐ Ranked 3rd in the World for auto PCB ‐ Implemented SAP on all modules ‐ It’s the only HDI plant in Thailand ‐ Has its own direct laser technology
OPPORTUNITY THREAT
y
‐ Many automotive PCB makers have merged or went out of business during the crisis while the demand in automotive is expected to exceed its peak in 2008 ‐ Growing demand while supply is limited for HDI PCB as a
‐ Automotive market is the first to slow down and the last to recover during crisis ‐ More Chinese PCB makers may want to h i k i
Growing demand while supply is limited for HDI PCB as a result of global crisis ‐ Growing demand for MLB and HDI PCB in Thailand ‐ The future trend of automotive industry is shifting towards hybrid and electric cars which will drastically increase the
enter the automotive market since currently there are only a few Chinese PCB makers in Automotive PCB.
y y demand of PCB
Transition into High Technology Products
HS SBU and HS, SBU and
P d t Mi 2009
Doublesided 14% 6 Layers and HDI 5% HS, SBU and Semiflex 2%
Product Mix 2010
Doublesided 13% 6 Layers and HDI 5% Semiflex 2%
Product Mix 2009
4 layers 6 Layers and above 25% 4 layers above 21% 54% 59%
Product Mix FY2013
Doublesided 8% HDI 14% HS, SBU and Semiflex 7%
Product Mix FY2013
4 layers 33% 6 Layers and above 38%
CAPEX FY 2010
12.0% 14.0% 25.00 30.00 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 0 00 15.00 20.00
- ns of USD
0.0% 2.0% 4.0% ‐ 5.00 10.00
Milli
2007 2008 2009 2010 CAPEX (M. US$) Capex/Sales (%)
- KCE spent $6.8mil in CAPEX (2010)
- US$1.9mil is spent on maintenance of CAPEX while the rest is spent
- n production improvements
- Total CAPEX for the Y2010 equals to approximately 3% of revenue. This figure
is an increase from Y2009 of 1.5%
Appendices
World Electronic Equipment
Growth rate World Electronic Equipment
Electronic Product Shipment Forecast(Constant 2010 rate)
2 207 2,394 2,599
2500 3000
2009 ‐ 2014 9.90% CAAGR
16% 14% 16% 18%
Growth rate
$ Billion
1,618 1,876 2,025 2,207
1500 2000 8% 9% 8% 9% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 500 1000 0% 2% 4% 6% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: N.T. Information Ltd February 2011 y
World PCB Production
World PCB Production
(Constant 2010 Rates)
Growth rate
52 08 55.24 58.40 61.98 66.03 60 70 $ Billion 18% 25% 30% 44.07 52.08 30 40 50 60 18% 7% 10% 15% 20% 10 20 30 6% 6% 6% 7% 0% 5% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Source: N.T. Information Ltd February 2011 y
Automotive PCB
Growth rate
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 27% 25% 30% 3860 4130 4460 4817 62.3 74.1 79.7 85.7 88 90 70 80 90 100 5000 6000 7000 9% 7% 8% 8% 10% 15% 20% 2800 3550 3860 20 30 40 50 60 2000 3000 4000 7% 8% 8% 0% 5% 10 20 1000 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
*Including passenger cars, trucks and buses
PCB Usage($M) Auto Shipment(M)*
Sales by Currencies
90% 100% 70.8% 74.2% 72.4% 71.2% 75.3% 60% 70% 80% 30% 40% 50% USD EUR BATH 3 9% 2 7% 2 7% 3 6% 3 1% 25.3% 23.1% 24.9% 25.2% 21.6% 0% 10% 20% 3.9% 2.7% 2.7% 3.6% 3.1% 0% Y2006 Y2007 Y2008 Y2009 Y2010
CURRENCY Y2006 Y2007 Y2008 Y2009 Y2010 EUR € 39,203,346 € 39,212,331 € 36,310,052 € 29,173,034 € 35,575,233 PSS £43,630 £595,151 £942,299 £61,653 £337,727 USD $140,722,628 $180,410,489 $167,226,456 $121,644,686 $173,950,960
Copper and Currency Risk