Acquisition of Bank of Commerce in the Philippines 8 May 2012 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Acquisition of Bank of Commerce in the Philippines 8 May 2012 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Acquisition of Bank of Commerce in the Philippines 8 May 2012 Agenda 1. Summary 2. Philippines Economy and Banking Sector 3. Overview of BoC 4. Details of Acquisition 5. Effects of Acquisition 6. Business Plan 7. Timeline 8. Final Remarks
Agenda
- 1. Summary
- 2. Philippines Economy and Banking Sector
- 3. Overview of BoC
- 4. Details of Acquisition
- 5. Effects of Acquisition
- 6. Business Plan
- 7. Timeline
- 8. Final Remarks
SUMMARY
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Summary
- 60% of Bank of Commerce (“BoC”) from the San Miguel Corporation (“SMC”) Group and others for
PHP12.2 bil (RM881 mil), equivalent to 1.14x P/BV as at 31 Dec 2011. Post alignment with CIMB’s accounting and provisioning policies, P/BV could increase to about 1.30x
- SMC Retirement Plan retains 27% stake
- CIMB signs Collaboration Agreement with SMC for banking referrals into SMC eco-system
- BoC ranks 16th in term of total assets among 38 universal and commercial banks in the Philippines
- Philippines has been the “missing link” in CIMB Group’s ASEAN footprint
- “Option” on probable “take-off” of Philippines economy
- BoC has been in “clean-up” mode so it is under-leveraged with high growth potential
- SMC is a strong partner with impressive range of businesses and network of business partners
- BoC will leverage on CIMB Group’s management capabilities and ASEAN platform and network
PHILIPPINES ECONOMY AND BANKING SECTOR
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5th Largest Economy and 2nd Largest by Population in ASEAN
Indonesia Thailand Malaysia Singapore Philippines Vietnam Myanmar Brunei Cambodia Laos
Population (mil) 240.5 64.3 28.7 5.3 95.8 89.3 62.4 0.4 14.4 6.6 Nominal GDP (USD ‘bil) CIMB’s presence UB presence UB presence UB presence UB presence No presence IB presence Rep
- ffice
IB presence CB presence WIP
834.3 339.4 266.5 247.6 216.1 121.6 50.2 15.6 13.2 7.9
Indonesia Thailand Singapore Malaysia Philippines Vietnam Myanmar Brunei Cambodia Laos Note: Data as at 2011 Source: IMF statistics
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Growing Optimism
The Philippines has the potential to become one of the top 10 countries that can greatly contribute to global growth within the decade Goldman Sachs, 2012 There is a clear market consensus emerging that Aquino's economic program is on the right track, one that could see an unprecedented influx of capital to the Philippines in 2012 Asia Times Online, 2012 Philippines’ recent performance indicates that the country’s economy has already stabilized since the global financial crisis, with more robust and less variable growth World Bank, 2011
- The near-term outlook for the
country is favourable, characterized by moderating but still rapid growth
- Praise the Aquino government for
starting “reforms to address long- standing constraints to growth.” IMF, 2011
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Increasing Trade and Remittance Volume with ASEAN
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Source: Philippines National Statistical Office
Philippines-ASEAN Remittance Philippines-ASEAN Trade
Philippines- ASEAN Trade (USD ‘bil) % of Total Philippines Trade
Within ASEAN, MIST are the largest trading partners of the Philippines
Philippines- ASEAN Remittance (USD ‘mil) % of Total Philippines Remittance
SG and Malaysia are the top 2 ASEAN countries sending remittance to the Philippines
21.2 22.8 20.0% 21.1%
2008 2011
Malaysia 16% Indonesia 12% Singapore 43% Thailand 23% Others 6% 620.5 944.7 3.8% 4.7%
2008 2011
Malaysia 13% Indonesia 2% Singapore 84% Thailand 1% Others 1%
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Improved Corruption Perception and Overall Competitiveness
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Sources: 1) Transparency International 2) World Economic Forum - Competitiveness Index
Corruption perception and overall competitiveness of ASEAN countries Countries Corruption Index Ranking Overall Competitiveness Index Ranking 2010 2011 2010 2011 Singapore 3 5 3 2 Malaysia 56 60 26 21 Thailand 78 80 38 39 Indonesia 110 100 44 46 Vietnam 116 112 59 65 Philippines 134 129 85 75 Laos 154 154 n.a n.a Cambodia 154 164 109 97 Myanmar 176 180 n.a n.a
- World Economic Forum ranked the Philippines as 75th in the world in its 2011-2012 Global Competitiveness
Report
- In the area of Macroeconomic Environment under the same report, Philippines improved 14 places to 54th in
the world noting the country’s improved national savings, managed inflation, low interest rate environment, lowering debt-to-GDP ratio, and credit ratings upgrade during the year
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However Unemployment Rates and FDIs Remain An Issue
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Unemployment (%) FDI from 2007 to 2010 (USD ‘bil)
3.2 3.3 3.7 3.3 3.2 3.0 9.1 8.4 7.9 7.1 6.6 6.3 2.1 2.2 3.0 2.2 2.1 2.3 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.3 7.2 7.5 7.4 7.4 7.5 7.3 4.6 4.7 4.6 4.4 4.1 4.1
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 E 2012F
Malaysia Indonesia Singapore Thailand Phillipines Vietnam 8.1 26.5 31.1 31.8 34.4 99.5
Phillipines Malaysia Thailand Vietnam Indonesia Singapore Source: BSP statistics
Consumer Loans Deposits Breakdown OFW remittances Total Assets Net Loans1 Total Deposits
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Philippines Banking Sector Has Yet To Take-Off
Notes: 1. Net Loans excludes interbank loans 2. Based on exchange rate of USD:PHP = 43.212 Source: BSP website
PHP ‘bil CAGR 8.1%
2,560 2,698 2,908 3,201
2008 2009 2010 Sep-11
CAGR 8.5% PHP ‘bil
4,195 4,672 5,125 5,036
2008 2009 2010 Sep-11
PHP ‘bil CAGR 6.9%
2008 2009 2010 Sep-11 Mortgage Credit Card Auto Others
363 413 473 518
CAGR 13.7% PHP ‘bil
16% 17% 18% 19% 35% 37% 38% 39% 26% 23% 23% 21% 23% 23% 21% 22%
2008 2009 2010 Sep-11 Demand Savings Time Foreign
USD ‘bil
16.4 17.3 18.8 20.1
2008 2009 2010 2011
CAGR 7.6%
5,676 6,192 6,918 7,038
2008 2009 2010 Sep-11
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Overall Banking Penetration Is Still Low
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Loan penetration in 2010 Deposit penetration in 2010
Source: Central bank statistics of selected countries
Outstanding loans as a % of GDP Deposits as a % of GDP
241% 149% 137% 104% 86% 34% 28% 11%
Hong Kong Malaysia China Singapore Thailand Philippines Indonesia Cambodia
392% 187% 197% 140% 75% 55% 37% 14%
Hong Kong Malaysia China Singapore Thailand Philippines Indonesia Cambodia
OVERVIEW OF BOC
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Overview of BoC
- 16th largest bank by total assets in Philippines
- Core business: Traditional deposit products, corporate banking, consumer banking, treasury, asset management,
trust services, trade, and credit card service
- Owns 24.25% equity interest in Bancommerce Investment Corporation (“BIC”) which provides IB services
- 80.37% owned by SMC Group, 9.8% owned by Caritas Health Shield and 12.7% owned by minority shareholders
00 122 branches 300 ATMs 1,662 employees ~350k customers Recent History 2007
- SMC Group injected capital into BoC for 34% stake
2008 - 2012
- SMC Group injected further capital into BoC and gradually increase its stake to 80.37%
- SMC Group undertook various initiatives to clean up and deleverage the bank
- Orderly disposal of structured notes
- Management overhaul and workforce rationalisation
- Embarked on IT transformation programme
Present
- Healthy capital position with CAR of 23%
- Low LDR (~45%) as SMC has been focusing on cleaning up the bank and exploring options for a
partner to manage the bank
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Comparative Analysis
Notes: BDO = Banco De Oro Unibank,, BPI = Bank of the Philippine Islands, Land Bank = Land Bank of the Philippines, PNB = Philippine National Bank, Dev Bank = Development Bank of the Philippines, RCBC = Rizal Commercial Banking Corporation, CBC = China Banking Corporation, UCPB = United Coconut Planters Bank 1.Based on financial statements published in BSP website as at 31 Sep 2011
- 2. As 31 Dec 2011
- 3. Average of top 15 Philippines banks by total assets
Total Assets, Total Deposits and Net Loans1 Branch Network2 Capital Adequacy Ratio1
(PHP ‘bil) 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 BDO Metrobank BPI Land Bank Dev Bank PNB RCBC Union Bank Citibank CBC Security Bank UCPB HSBC Allied Bank Phil Trust BoC Total Assets Total Deposits Total Loans
Average CAR3 = 16.5% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 18% 20% 22% 24% BDO Metrobank BPI Land Bank Dev Bank PNB RCBC Union Bank Citibank CBC Security Bank UCPB HSBC Allied Bank Phil Trust BoC Tier 1 CAR CAR Average Tier 1 CAR3 = 14.3%
Market Share: Total Assets 1.5%; Total Deposits: 1.6%, Net Loans: 1.5% #16
812 785 744 387 334 327 315 293 219 189 122
BPI Metrobank BDO RCBC PNB Land Bank Allied Bank CBC UCPB Union Bank BoC
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BoC Indicators (1)
Profitability Deposits Gross Loans NIM Asset Quality Total CAR and Tier 1 CAR
PHP ‘bil PHP ‘bil ROE Net Profit PHP ‘bil (1,714.6) 617.3 639.3 579.9
2008 2009 2010 2011
- 56.0%
13.6% 7.0% 3.9% 4.7% 3.7% 3.5% 3.6%
2008 2009 2010 2011
10.7% 15.6% 16.8% 23.1% 7.2% 12.8% 16.3% 23.1%
2008 2009 2010 2011 Total CAR Tier 1 CAR
77.9 86.8 87.2 71.8
2008 2009 2010 2011
2008 2009 2010 2011
Allowance Coverage Net Impaired Loans ratio
39.9% 49.7% 180.1% 81.9% 15.1% 14.4%
- 9.6%
2.9% 39.2 36.4 31.5 32.6 2008 2009 2010 2011
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BoC Indicators (2)
LD Ratio CI Ratio
- Low LDR ~ 45% as BoC has not pursued
aggressive loan growth
- Corporate and SME loans comprise ~95% of total
loan book
- Significant growth potential to expand its retail loan
portfolio
- Higher CI Ratio for Philippines banks relative to
- ther ASEAN banks due to:
- Continued reliance on counter service in
branches
- Under developed IT infrastructure to enhance
- perations efficiency
50.0% 41.9% 36.1% 45.4% 68.0% 66.5% 62.6% 68.4%
2008 2009 2010 2011
BoC Industry 60.0% 62.0% 61.7% 63.9% 61.5% 62.8%
2009 2010 2011
BoC Industry
DETAILS OF ACQUISITION
Post Acquisition Current Shareholding Structure
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Acquisition Structure
BoC Caritas Health Shield * Others San Miguel Properties
39.35% 9.77% 9.86%
SMC Retirement Plan
39.94%
Q-Tech Alliance
1.08%
Entities related to SMC Group (Total = 80.37%)
Note: * Health care provider with over 100 branch offices supported by 554 hospitals and clinics serving ~300,000 members
BoC Caritas Health Shield * Others SMC Retirement Plan
26.93% 9.77% 2.18%
CIMB Bank
59.98%
San Miguel Properties
1.14%
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Purchase Consideration and Valuations
RM ’mil Purchase Consideration 881 59.98% book value 770 P/BV 1.14x
- RM111 mil premium to book for controlling stake
- 2011 net P/E multiple of 35x as BoC operating at
suboptimal levels
- Post alignment with CIMB’s accounting and
provisioning policies, P/BV could increase to about 1.30x
Note: * Adjustments made to the book value for the purposes of the Proposed Acquisition subsequent to due diligence
- We will be acquiring:
- A ready banking platform in the Philippines
- Low LD ratio and high capital for growth
- Collaboration with one of the largest
conglomerates in Philippines
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Overview of SMC Group
Key Businesses 2011 Revenue (PHP ‘bil) 2010 Revenue (PHP ‘bil) Annual growth Beverages 87.0 90.3
- 4%
Food 89.6 80.4 11% Power 71.4 66.1 8% Packaging 24.1 23.4 3% Fuel & Oil 274.0 229.1 20%
- Philippines’ most diversified conglomerate and one of the
largest publicly listed companies
- Total revenue in 2011 is PHP536 bil (RM38.8 bil)
contributed about 5% to the country’s GDP
- Subsidiaries and affiliates have very strong industry-
leading positions in key sectors of the Philippine economy
- Has over 17,000 employees as of end 2011
- Growing presence in ASEAN
SMC Group recently completed an investment in PAL Holdings, the parent company of Philippine Airlines
- Inc. and Air Philippines Corp
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Overview of the Collaboration Agreement with SMC
Note: 1) Subject to the Bank’s approved licenses, service capabilities, as well as regulations of BSP and/or other Philippines regulatory agencies
CIMB to be the preferred banking services provider for the SMC ecosystem Scope 1) Channeling/referral of wholesale and retail banking opportunities 2) SMC companies shall provide relevant information necessary to undertake credit review of the vendors/dealers 3) Co-location of retail distribution points, e.g. setting up branches/ATMs at Petron stations Wholesale banking Retail banking Entities/Subjects
- SMC Group
- Vendors/suppliers of the SMC Group
- Dealers/sub-dealers of the SMC Group
- Employees of the SMC Group and of
affiliate companies of SMC
- Retail customers of the SMC Group
Products/Services
- Loans and deposits
- Transaction banking
- Treasury
- Investment banking
- Securities services, e.g. trustee &
custodial services
- Salary accounts
- Housing loans
- Car loans
- Staff personal loans
- Credit/debit cards
EFFECTS OF ACQUISITION
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Proforma Financial Effects
31 Dec-11 (RM ’mil) Proforma BoC Contribution Balance Sheet Total assets 300,203 6,928 307,131 2.31% Gross loans 191,393 2,361 193,754 1.23% Customer deposits 221,933 5,204 227,137 2.34% Income Statement Total Income 12,122 353 12,475 2.91% Net interest income * 7,947 234 8,181 2.95% Net earnings 4,031 42 4,056 0.63%
Notes: PHP/MYR exchange rate as at 31 Dec-11 of 13.80 * Includes Islamic net financing income
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Proforma Key Ratios
31 Dec-11 (%) Proforma Increase / (Decrease) NIM 3.12 3.60 3.13 +0.01 Non-interest income / total income 34.4 33.8 34.4
- Cost / Income
54.7 61.7 54.9 +0.20 Allowance coverage 81.1 81.9 81.1
- Net impaired loans ratio
1.0 2.9 1.0
- Loans to deposit ratio
86.2 45.4 85.3
- 0.90
CASA ratio 34.5 67.3 35.3 +0.80
Note: PHP/MYR exchange rate as at 31 Dec-11 of 13.80
Impact to Balance Sheet, P&L & Key Ratios
- Minimal impact to CIMB Group financials & key ratios
Estimated Capital Impact
- CIMB Bank’s capital position remains strong post- transaction, well above the
proposed internal targets and the minimum regulatory ratios for Basel 2
- Under Basel 2
- Core Tier 1 ratio and Tier 1 ratio remain unchanged
- RWCR: ~ 70 bps decline in FY2012
- No impact to CIMBGH’s DL & Gearing ratio
Estimated EPS and ROE Impact
- EPS & ROE accretive from 2013 onwards
- Expect only 3-4 months consolidation for 2012
Proforma Financial Impact
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BUSINESS PLAN
- To be among the top 10 banks in the Philippines in terms of assets
- To be No.1 ASEAN universal bank of choice in the Philippines for local and regional customers
- Key focus areas : Wholesale, Mass Affluent Retail and Remittance
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Initial Thoughts
Detailed Plan Being Formulated
Supported by CIMB Group’s UB platform People
Leverage our product experts, e.g. Treasury, IB, retail
Systems / Platforms
Regional ATM link, CIMB Clicks, 1Platform, etc
Products
CIMB Money Transfer, credit cards, CIMB Preferred , etc
Branding / Marketing
Shared ASEAN branding customised for local market
Branches 321 630 157 2 7 122 1,239 ATMs 2,199 1,749 533 6 10 300 4,797 Staff 20,575 13,933 4,198 1,323 93 1,662 41,784 Customers 7.8 mil 4.2 mil 2.2 mil 277 k 3 k 350 k 14.8 mil
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Overview of Business Strategy for Philippines
Wholesale Banking
- Tap into ready pool of corporates to offer integrated/ regional corporate banking
products and IB services
- Strengthen transaction banking capabilities to enhance deposit-taking, especially
CASA
- Systematically target the mid corporate/ SME especially those in the SMC
ecosystem value chain, e.g. suppliers, dealers, retailers
- Position CIMB as the preferred ASEAN bank for cross-border transactions, e.g.
trade finance, regional treasury products, etc
- Upgrade license from commercial to universal bank
Retail Banking
- Leverage regional strengths to simultaneously target 2 distinct market propositions
in the Philippines:
- Affluent segment – Replicate regional offerings in the Philippines, e.g. CIMB
Preferred, regional credit card proposition, regional ATM link, etc
- Regional remittance – Leverage our regional footprint and explore global
partnerships to capture the vast cross-border remittance opportunities in the Philippines
TIMELINE
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Indicative Timeline
Details Indicative Timing Signing of Definitive Agreements / Bursa Announcement 8 May 2012 Submission / application to regulatory authorities and any other relevant parties Late May 2012 Regulatory approvals obtained (assume 3 months) # Late Aug 2012 Completion Late Aug 2012 Registration of shares Late Sep 2012
Note: # Subject to timing of regulatory approvals
FINAL REMARKS
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In Summary
High Growth Potential Widen Platform Strong Partnership
- Banking market still
underpenetrated
- 5th largest economy in ASEAN
with a stable growth rate
- Stabilising political situation
- Increasing trading links with
ASEAN
- Increasing CIMB Group’s
presence in ASEAN to cover 99% of ASEAN population and almost 100% of ASEAN GDP
- Enhances our scale and
position to capture intra-ASEAN flows
- Leverage on SMC companies’
retail footprint to strengthen BoC’s distribution capabilities
- Tap into SMC’s >17,000
employee base for distribution
- f retail banking products
- Tap into SMC companies’
vendors and clients base
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- Recent acquisitions of BOC and RBS IB for a total of RM1,730 mil cash
- No equity dilution, small goodwill addition and EPS neutral in 2012 and positive in 2013
- Enhanced CIMB Group’s intrinsic franchise value
- Effectively full coverage of ASEAN
- Largest retail branch network in ASEAN
- Largest APAC based IB
- No further (significant) acquisitions being contemplated
Final Remarks
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