A Registered Investment Advisor
A Registered Investment Advisor I NTRODUCTION T ODAY S P RESENTATION - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
A Registered Investment Advisor I NTRODUCTION T ODAY S P RESENTATION - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
A Registered Investment Advisor I NTRODUCTION T ODAY S P RESENTATION Protecting & Educating Parishioners Vista Senior Center Volunteer in 2015 started office hours, gave fraud talk Late in 2015: Euthanasia Law Passed, New Soc
INTRODUCTION
TODAY’S PRESENTATION
Protecting & Educating Parishioners
- Vista Senior Center Volunteer in 2015 started
- ffice hours, gave fraud talk
- Late in 2015: Euthanasia Law Passed, New
Soc Sec Law, Consumer Reports article “Crying Shame”
- OK God I get it! Bring this to faithful.
- Warn the public that mainstream financial
services on you rather than rallying for your success.
TODAY’S PRESENTATION
Handouts
- OWA brochure – sensible, prudent investing
- Catholic Health Care Directive
- “Protect Yourself from Fraud”
- Free Smoke Alarm Program SD County
- Catholic/Secular Portfolio summaries
- Blog post on our web site with everything;
read online, share with others, print it
- We’ll mail you copies of anything you
- request. Just let us know.
TODAY’S PRESENTATION
“From Scams to Prudent Practices” - Topics
- Senior Fraud
- Spousal Benefit phasing out – what to do?
- Misunderstood & Valuable Medi-Cal LTC
- Euthanasia: Protect yourself, Catholic values
- Catholic Investing – prudent investing wins
and this can be done in a Catholic way.
- The key to all of this – holistic planning with
a prudent advisor held to a fiduciary level of
- care. Someone who orchestrates for you.
- We will keep discussion to a minimum.
TODAY’S PRESENTATION
From Scams to Prudent Practices
- Holistic Planning
- Indep. Experts–advice review RIA, CFP, CPA
- Less chance of ommission.
- Valuable advice: “collective wisdom”
- Understandable/Actionable Documents
- Gentle & kind accountability to executing the
sound advice provided through consistent progress meetings.
- Steady progress. “Lather, rinse, repeat”
TODAY’S PRESENTATION
From Scams to Prudent Practices
- What are the steps to holistic planning?
- Step 0: Discovery meeting with OWA.
- Five elements are documented that are
critical before you hire someone to assemble your first written plan or DIY - valuable
1. Values – More important than $$/goals -your ”why” 2. Goals – specific tangible financial goals 3. Where are you now financially – starting point 4. Who is currently on your team 5. What are your preferences in an advisor
TODAY’S PRESENTATION
Focus on “Fiduciary Hiring Skills”
- What advisor attributes to look for?
- Are they driven by discovering your
values/goals and maximizing achievement?
- Fiduciary duty? (Follow the money!)
- Confident Cowboy? or Fiduciary Project Mgr?
- Have specific processes to deliver sound
advice? (to deliver sound to achieve your goals not sell their products)
- Independent & surrounded with same?
VIDEO #1
- Let’s begin with a video that demonstrates
the difference between a broker (think Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley, UBS, etc.) and a fiduciary Registered Investment Advisor – think O’Reilly Wealth Advisors….
- https://goo.gl/lNUJ7
MEDI-CAL LONG TERM CARE
(IS NOT A POVERTY PROGRAM)
WHAT IS LONG TERM CARE?
- ADL’s – need help with 2 or more.
- Medicare covers “repairs” – you are sick or
injured, you get better again.
- Medicare does not cover long term care.
- Besides physical needs – a rapidly increasing
concern is dementia.
- Long term care is expensive (e.g. $72k/yr)
- Long term care insurance is also expensive
and can be hard to get.
MEDICAID, MEDI-CAL
- The states have various programs to help
citizens pay for long term care for those that cannot afford it.
- Cali is known to have perhaps the most
luxurious program of all 50 states
- The published requirements for qualification
are based on assets not income.
- Many assets are exempted: home, auto,
certain businesses, vacation property, retirement accounts…
MEDICAID, MEDI-CAL
- The challenge is non-qualified taxable
accounts – bank, portfolio, stocks, bonds
- Most people think of “spending down” to
qualify.
- The rules for spending down and moving
assets are very specific and cannot be violated.
- Turns out you can get it done much easier.
- You need an estate planning attorney that
knows this specific field. (elder care lawyer)
MEDICAID, MEDI-CAL
- The atty goes to the court and documents
that you need “x” amount over and above SS and your other income.
- Let’s say the judge says OK to $4,000/mo or
48,000/year.
- Then they use CD’s to determine how many
- assets. If they use a 12 month CD paying
1%, then you need $4,800,000 in your portfolio – and you are approved despite having a $4.8M portfolio. Once approved, they do not re-visit the approval process.
MEDI-CAL: ESTATE PLANNING
- There’s more to it though.
- After the second spouse dies, the state will
come back seeking repayment of the potentially hundreds of thousands of dollars.
- Your estate planning work requires some
special tweaks for this strategy and the last tweak is that your revocable trust is converted to an irrevocable trust and the government cannot access it. They can get access to a revocable or “living” trust.
- Guidance from “elder care law attorney”
OTHER IMPORTANT CONSIDERATIONS
- This only works in a facility that accepts
Medi-Cal. The trick is to find one that suits you and get your foot in the door without mentioning Medi-Cal.
- The very best/newest facilities may not
accept Medi-Cal.
- If you demand top notch facilities, this may
not work for you and you may want to consider a two-pronged approach.
- Be careful with consultants – the nursing may
pay them for the referral – conflict of interest
SENIOR FRAUD
CONSUMER REPORTS
November 2015
- Case Studies – Nov. 2015 issue Consumer
- Reports. Available on-line.
- Protect Yourself From Fraud
- Scams avoided – great – what about “legal
scams”….(these are the larger issue)
- How to recognize conflicts of interest which
are legal but usually result in poor results.
- How to make the smartest choices about
your money. (Yes, holistic planning)
CONSUMER REPORTS
November 2015
- Philip Deeb, 77, unscrupulous financial advisor bilked
him out of $186,000
- Edna Schmeets, 86, $297,000- swindler with “prize”
- Fr. Michael Ortiz, 86, $40,000 swindler with $1.6M prize
- Rev. Al Cadenhead, 68, $16,000 IRS imposter
- Wade Gardner, 62, $3,000, promised project work
- Beth Baker, 87, $65,000 fraudsters say she was saving
her son overseas
- Marjorie DeGrace, 77, $9,000, fraudulent contractor
- Louise Brown, 68, Man met through dating site, $60,000
to help him with business troubles abroad.
CONSUMER REPORTS
November 2015
- 2010 survey: 1 in 5 taken advantage of financially
- FTC reports: Fraud complaints rose 47% 2012-14
- Victims are often deeply ashamed
- Victims are afraid of reprisals from scammers who
threatened them,
- Some may fear losing their independence
- Scammers use seniors isolation to take advantage – so
get out in the community like you are now!
CA DEPT OF BUS. OVERSIGHT
Protect Yourself from Fraud
- This document categorizes different types of fraud and
activities that may be a sign of fraud. The focus is on how to recognize it could be fraud.
- A critical step is to “investigate before you invest”
- “An investment in knowledge pays the best interest.”
Benjamin Franklin
- The most important part of the document is found in the
center – the Check before you Invest form.
- Demand that anyone selling you financial products &
service fills the form COMPLETELY and signs it.
- Then check them out using the list of authorities
provided.
CA DEPT OF BUS. OVERSIGHT
Protect Yourself from Fraud
- Never, ever be shy to ask: exactly how much they get
paid, when and how. It’s an absolutely fair question.
- OWA says do your due diligence! Ask to be placed into
contact with at least 2 current clients – and once in contact – don’t be afraid to ask direct questions about the experience and results.
- OWA says: Yep, you got it – holistic plan that contains
the wisdom of several experts.
LEGAL SCAMS
INVESTING, YOU HAVE A CHOICE
- Investing – Registered Investment Advisor
(RIA)
– Choose to work with someone that must act in your interest not theirs. When it comes to investing, you have a choice to work with a financial products salesperson who has conflicts of interest or an RIA who must fully disclose if they have any conflicts and most do not. – US Gov’t. video (1:05) – Mutual Fund A vs. Mutual Fund B.. – Happens every single day, THOUSANDS of times. – https://goo.gl/L9xtoq
YOU HAVE A CHOICE
Conflicts of interest
- Most “financial advisors” earn commission
selling products or conducting transactions.
- Conflict-of-interest; sell products that are
NOT in your best interest. Max commission, gives tangible rewards or boss is pushing.
- “Follow the money” is always a good idea!
- Products are “opaque” – fine print -Annuities.
- Front end loaded, back end loaded or other
awful terms & conditions, penalties.
- Use emotion selling, products die off regularly
YOU HAVE A CHOICE
Conflicts of interest.
- This is not an indictment of your financial
advisor personally.
- They are fine, outstanding people.
- Road to ____ paved with good intentions.
- Advisors themselves lack understanding
- The products and transactions are opaque to
them too, not just you.
- If you are persistent on your ?’s, they may not
be able to describe the flow of fees/comm.
- I feel for them – but their decisions are resp.
SOCIAL SECURITY CHANGES
SOCIAL SECURITY
Valuable Benefit Being Phased Out
- Budget Act of 2015, passed November 2015
- Two claiming strategies being phased out.
- “File & Suspend”: Defer your benefits; allow
them to grow (70), allow you spouse to collect on your record (50%) . Typically done at age 66. Beginning May 1, 2016 goes away.
- If you are 66 or older by 4/29/2016 deadline
you may want to file & suspend before ends.
- Each situation is unique.
SOCIAL SECURITY
Valuable Benefit Being Phased Out
- Already using? You’re grandfathered.SS
Admin could change rules unpredictably.
- We’ve experienced and it’s been reported
that actual SS admin employees are not able to understand the potential claiming scenarios.
- We’ve discovered an excellent (though
complex) analysis of the new law and how it impacts individuals and couples in various
- situations. Copies available, and at our blog.
SOCIAL SECURITY
Valuable Benefit Being Phased Out
- Strategy: Everyone’s situation unique.
- First, model the social security claiming
- strategies. Your advisor should have that
- capability. On-line (be careful.)
- Include the most promising claiming versions
in your overall financial planning income forecasting.
- You need your most recent social security
info, and update forecasts annually based on latest info. Use safe assumptions on inflation
SOCIAL SECURITY
A Written Plan; Informed by Experts
- Social Security is not a strategy – it’s one
source of income in retirement.
- Get a holistic plan in writing, focused on your
goals and with your situation and starting point, informed by experts, implement it, update the plan, and implement some more.
- Lather, rinse, repeat.
- I would be glad to discuss your situation with
you one-on-one.
EUTHANASIA & CATHOLICISM
EUTHANASIA & CATHOLICISM
Work With an Competent Estate Planning Attorney who Respects your Beliefs
- Use the provided document as a way to
communicate to your attorney what you want.
- What are the beliefs? Let’s review the doc:
- Death Is A Normal Part of the Human Condition
- Euthanasia Is Wrong
- Pain Relief
- Proportionality of Life-Sustaining Medical
Treatment – review and get help
EUTHANASIA & CATHOLICISM
Work With an Competent Estate Planning Attorney who Respects your Beliefs
- Physician Orders for Life-Sustaining Treatment
(POLST) to be very specific about what should and should not be done as they near death.
- Different from Health Care Directive – done with
the physician very near death. Present all times.
- Prepare it congruent with Catholic teachings.
- Get help.
HOW TO INVEST PRUDENTLY, GET EXCELLENT RETURNS AND STILL ALIGN WITH YOUR CATHOLIC VALUES
A GREAT ADVISOR WILL HELP YOU AVOID BEHAVIOR GAP
THE RANDOMNESS OF RETURNS: SECTORS
Annual Return (%)
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Highest Return 54.05 3.63- 6.31
- 16.09
- 6.63
- 23.35
- 9.09
- 28.11
- 13.09
- 38.17
- 7.11
- 21.08
- 38.39
- 12.77
- 23.58
- 39.41
- 14.16
- 14.86
- 23.78
- 41.22
- 0.38
- 25.78
- 16.67
- 23.84
- 41.99
- 0.71
- 35.38
- 17.44
- 37.31
- 1.40
- 8.69
- 48.14
- 14.12
- 40.14
- 28.40
- 38.33
- 6.04
- 17.88
- 51.35
- 16.51
- 8.83
- 14.16
- 9.09
- 48.14
- 14.12
- 40.14
- 17.44
- 37.31
- 6.04
- 38.17
- 25.78
- 23.78
- 1.40
- 8.69
- 41.22
- 6.31
- 16.09
- 14.86
- 6.63
- 38.39
- 8.83
- 7.11
- 13.09
- 17.88
- 51.35
- 16.51
- 12.77
- 21.08
- 23.35
- 23.58
- 39.41
- 0.71
- 35.38
- 28.40
- 38.33
- 41.99
- 0.38
- 16.67
- 23.84
- 28.11
- For illustrative purposes only.
MODEL PORTFOLIO: 5 DESIGNS LOW TO HIGH DIVERSIFICATION
Model Portfolio 1 Model Portfolio 2 Model Portfolio 3 Model Portfolio 4 Model Portfolio 5EQUITY 60% 60% 60% 60% 60%
US STOCKS 60% 60% 60% 60% 30% US Large Cap S&P 500 Index 60.0% 60.0% 30.0% 15.0% 7.5% US Large Cap Value Fama/French US Large Cap Value Research Index — — — 15.0% 7.5% US Small Cap Fama/French US Small Cap Index — — 30.0% 15.0% 7.5% US Small Cap Value Fama/French US Small Cap Value Research Index — — — 15.0% 7.5% NON-US STOCKS — — — — 30% International Value Fama/French International Value Index — — — — 15.0% International Small Cap Dimensional International Small Cap Index — — — — 15.0%FIXED INCOME 40% 40% 40% 40% 40%
One-Year US Fixed BofA Merrill Lynch One-Year US Treasury Note Index — 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% 40.0% US Fixed (all maturities) Barclays Capital US Government/Credit Bond Index 40.0% — — — —Diversification
- 6.46
- 21.22
- 9.18
- 21.40
- 1.02
- 9.84
- 21.90
- 2.70
- 3.30
- 11.19
- 22.27
- 1.59
- 3.50
- 3.91
- 12.01
- 24.51
- 5.42
- 1.02
- 3.30
- 9.18
- 21.40
- 2.70
- 3.91
- 12.01
- 21.90
- 3.50
- 11.19
- 22.27
- 9.84
- 21.22
- 1.59
- 6.46
- 24.51
- 5.42
MODEL PORTFOLIO: HISTORICAL RETURNS
Annual Return (%)
40
WELL KNOWN RECENT EXAMPLES OF “FAILURE TO DIVERSIFY”
- The “Lost Decade”, 1/1/2000 – 12/31/2009, (see separate illustration)
- The Dot Com Crash (part of the lost decade)
EXPENSE RATIOS AS A PREDICTOR OF FUTURE PERFORMANCE
Morningstar study: “If there’s anything in the whole world of mutual funds that you can take to the bank, it’s that expense ratios help you make a better
- decision. In every single time range and data point
tested, low expense ratio funds beat high expense ratio funds.” Morningstar concluded:
“Expense ratios are strong predictors of performance.”
THINGS THAT I SEE REGULARLY
SYMBOL NAME Exp (%) # issues Turnover Cash (%) ARTMX Artisan Midcap Investor (growth) 1.19 66 51% 5.66% FMAGX Fidelity Magellan (large) 0.68 150 71% 1.27% JAWWX Janus Global Class T Shares 0.87 122 51% 0.90% JSVAX Janus Contrarian Fund ()Mid Cap) 1.02 34 70% 2.26% OAKIX Oakmark Intl Class I (Large Int'l) 0.95 59 48% 2.51% OAKMX Oakmark Class I 0.85 57 33% 5.71% PISRX Forward Int Sm Comp 1.65 112 65% 0.60% How do DFA funds compare? (These funds used in OWA's model portfolios) DFQTX DFA Core Equity 2 0.22 2793 6% 0.16% DFIEX DFA Core International 0.38 4733 7% 0.79% DFCEX DFA Core Emerging Markets 0.61 3686 2% 0.18%
DIMENSIONS POINT TO DIFFERENCES IN EXPECTED RETURNS
US PREMIUMS (Arithmetic Average of Annual Premiums)8.15%
1928–20143.08%
1964–20142.55%
1928–20145.10%
1928–20143.46%
1928–20141.17%
1973–2014 FIXED INCOME DIMENSIONS EQUITY DIMENSIONSMarket
(Equity Premium)Company Size
(Small Cap Premium )Relative Price
(Value Premium)Profitability
(Profitability Premium)Term
(Term Premium)Credit
(Credit Premium)FIVE-YEAR MOVING AVERAGE OF PREMIUMS & VIDEO
Market, size, value, and profitability: US markets
MARKET minus BILLS SMALL CAP minus LARGE CAP VALUE minus GROWTH HIGH PROF minus LOW PROF45
DISTRIBUTION OF US MARKET RETURNS
CRSP 1–10 Index returns by year 1926–2014
1949 20.2 1951 20.7 1963 21.0 1970 0.0 1993 11.1 1982 21.0Positive Years: 67 75%
1953 0.7 2014 11.6 1996 21.4Negative Years: 22 25%
2011 0.8 2004 12.0 1944 21.5 1960 1.2 1959 12.7 1983 22.0 1987 1.7 1952 13.4 1979 22.6 1997 31.4 1948 2.1 1968 14.1 1998 24.3 2003 31.6 1939 2.8 1965 14.5 1955 25.2 1985 32.2 1947 3.6 2006 15.5 1999 25.2 1936 32.3 1973- 18.1
- 8.7
- 15.2
- 8.6
- 11.4
- 7.1
- 11.1
- 6.2
- 10.9
- 6.0
- 28.8
- 10.2
- 4.3
- 36.7
- 27.0
- 10.1
- 3.6
- 43.5
- 34.7
- 21.1
- 10.0
- 0.1
- 50% to -40%
- 40% to -30%
- 30% to -20%
- 20% to -10%
- 10% to 0%
OWA’S MODEL PORTFOLIOS
- Very diversified exposure to USA, developed
countries & emerging markets, tilted toward the dimensions of small, value and profitability. About 12,000 stocks globally. Low exp ratios.
- Small diversified exposure to US REITS.
- Very diversified exposure to US treasuries,
global corporate bonds and TIPS.
- Eight models from conservative to “aggressive”.
- Models coupled with cash reserves in
retirement.
- Matched to client risk tolerance and timing.
OWA’S CATHOLIC/CHRISTIAN PORTFOLIOS
- Maintain Evidence-Based Investing Philosophy
– Swap out the three largest funds that together invest in stocks globally with their socially screened counterparts.
- DFQTX replaced with DFUEX (U.S. Equities)
- DFIEX replaced with DSCLX (International Equities)
- DFCEX replaced with DFESX (Emerging Mkts Equities)
- Maintain use of Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA)
as the world’s leader in evidence-based investing compliant portfolio building blocks.
- Created duplicate set of 8 model portfolios with
equity exposure from 40% to 100%.
- Models are the same, except for the swap out of
three funds that together cover stocks globally.
OWA’S CATHOLIC PORTFOLIOS
- Social Screen Concepts
– An internationally recognized consultant is used to implement the screens in the three funds. – It’s a challenge to constantly track thousands of companies globally for their current activity in the areas being addressed. – Perfection is impossible.
- Funds started because of the needs of a Catholic
- Diocese. Certain screens were added (Sudan) to
attract other large initial investors to justify fund start-up.
- Portfolio behavior will be slightly different since
content of equities slightly different. (11k vs 9k)
OWA’S CATHOLIC PORTFOLIOS
Social Screens Applied:
- Abortion
- Stem cells
- Pharmaceutical manufacturers (abortive agents and contraceptives)
- For-profit healthcare providers (who profit from anti-Life activities)
- Child labor
- Pornography
- Gambling
- Tobacco or alcohol
- Military weapons or weapons of mass destruction
- Sudan
Review Performance Sheets
TWO ADDITIONAL IMPORTANT TOPICS
- 1) Reverse Mortgages
- Can be excellent tool used carefully in the context of a holistic plan.
- It could be the tool that closes a gap in needed retirement income –
not for “luxuries” but for basics.
- The interest rate is higher than for forward mortgage since the
government backs the loan and takes the risk.
- Terms are: your residence, still living there, upkeep done and real
estates taxes paid.
- It’s important to note – hopefully your mortgage payment is low and
little debt is owed – but whatever mortgage (P&I) exists – goes away, further assisting your cash flow situation.
- Two extremes…..
– Your home drops significantly in value – when the second spouse passes, the grown children can walk away. – Your home quintuples in value. Children sell it (or acquire it) and get the profits. – Action is required when the home becomes empty.
- Reverse mortgages will likely see accelerated use.
MEDICARE/HEALTH CARE INS
- Health care insurance whether pre or post 65 is complicated and
should only be navigated with an expert.
- Each situation is unique and an expert makes a huge difference.
- Large amounts of money can be expended on medical expenses,
and therefore their expertise can dramatically slow the depletion of your resources.
- We know two fantastic resources and would be glad to refer you to
them.
- As with all the other topics mentioned – don’t treat this as an
independent issue but rather look at in the context of a holistic plan.
- See handout about free help for San Diego County seniors for
smoke detectors (Burn Institute) – statistics show many seniors are at great risk to be harmed due to fires.
SMOKE DETECTORS
ARE YOU THINKING ABOUT BEING A DIY?
- Think again?
- https://goo.gl/oVZwJS
DID YOU VALUE THIS CONTENT?
- Next steps:
- Don’t be daunted. Don’t give up. It’s worth it to do what you can to
get to the best situation possible. No one’s situation is perfect. You’ll sleep better knowing you’ve been the best steward you can within your situation.
- Schedule a Discovery Meeting today – get your values and goals in
writing, learn more about where you are now. These are the important tasks before assembling and executing a written plan of action.
- See me after the meeting and we can schedule your discovery
meeting.I will also share our expert resources with you.
- Please share the value of these ideas with others – and I’m happy to
speak to anyone that wishes to learn more.
- Share this with your parish. We would be happy to bring this to your
parish.
- Please complete simple 3 question evaluation.
THANK YOU! O’Reilly Wealth Advisors 760-804-0910 www.oreillywa.com