A market leader in retail logistics Logistics evolved: Agility and Ability
2018 Interim Results Presentation 6 December 2018
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A market leader in retail logistics 2018 Interim Results Presentation 6 December 2018 Logistics evolved: Agility and Ability Disclaimer This presentation includes statements that are, or may be deemed to be, forward -looking statements .
2018 Interim Results Presentation 6 December 2018
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This presentation includes statements that are, or may be deemed to be, “forward-looking statements”. These forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology, including the terms “believe”, “estimates”, “plans”, “projects”, “anticipates”, “expects”, “intends”, “may”, “will”, or “should” or, in each case, their negative or other variations or comparable terminology. These forward-looking statements include matters that are not historical facts and include statements regarding the Company’s intentions, beliefs or current expectations. Any forward-looking statements in this presentation reflect the Company’s current expectations and projections about future events. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions could adversely affect the outcome and financial effects of the plans and events described herein. Forward-looking statements contained in this presentation regarding past trends or activities should not be taken as a representation that such trends or activities will continue in the future. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. No representations or warranties are made as to the accuracy of such statements, estimates or projections. Please note that the Directors of the Company are, in making this presentation, not seeking to encourage shareholders to either buy or sell shares in the Company. Shareholders in any doubt about what action to take are recommended to seek financial advice from an independent financial advisor authorised by the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000.
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Highlights – Steve Parkin 1 Financial review – David Hodkin 2 Operational review – Tony Mannix 3 Summary and Q&A – Steve Parkin 4
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Group revenue growth of 14.1% to £227.9m (H1 FY18: £199.7m) Group EBIT growth of 16.1% to £10.7m (H1 FY18: £9.2m) Group EPS growth of 14.3% to 7.2p per share (H1 FY18: 6.3p) Interim dividend of 3.2p per share, up 14.3% (H1 FY18: 2.8p) Strong growth in e-fulfilment and returns management, with revenue up 40.7% (excluding Clicklink) Clicklink well positioned to enhance earnings due to new customer wins and rate enhancements Non e-fulfilment EBIT in H1 adversely impacted by activity levels, offset by property-related income. New contract wins provide positive earnings momentum into H2 European operations growing strongly, driven by e-fulfilment and returns management Commercial vehicles EBIT reduced due to lack of manufacturer support on new vehicle sales Strong pipeline of new business opportunities in logistics
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Group revenue growth of 14.1% to £227.9m (H1 FY18: £199.7m), driven by strong growth in logistics Group EBIT growth of 16.1% to £10.7m (H1 FY18: £9.2m):
advisory service fees of £2.8m (H1 FY18: £nil)
Profit before tax and amortisation up 17.3% to £9.9m (H1 FY18: £8.4m) EPS of 7.2p, up 14.3% (H1 FY18: 6.3p) Interim dividend of 3.2p per share, up 14.3% (H1 FY18: 2.8p)
Note: The highlights are for the 6 months ended 31 October 2018, as compared to the 6 months ended 31 October 2017 (“H1 FY18”)
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driven by e-fulfilment & non e-fulfilment business units
16.1%, again driven by logistics, including property-related advisory fees
acquisitions
to £9.9m (H1 FY18: 8.4m)
(H1 FY18: £7.9m)
6.3p)
FY18: 2.8p)
£m 6m to 31 October Change Year to 30 2018 2017 % April 2018 Revenue 227.9 199.7 14.1% 400.1 Cost of sales (164.9) (142.1) (283.3) Gross profit 63.0 57.6 9.3% 116.8 Other net gains 0.1 0.1 2.4 Admin expenses (52.3) (48.3) (98.4) Operating profit before share of equity-accounted investees, net of tax 10.8 9.4 14.6% 20.8 Share of equity-accounted investees, net of tax (0.6) (0.6) (0.9) Operating profit 10.3 8.8 15.9% 19.9 EBIT 10.7 9.2 16.1% 20.9 Less: amortisation of other intangible assets (0.6) (0.5) (1.1) Share of tax and finance costs of equity-accounted investees 0.2 0.1 0.1 Operating profit 10.3 8.8 19.9 Net finance costs (1.0) (0.9) (1.9) Profit before income tax 9.3 7.9 16.9% 18.0 Income tax (1.9) (1.7) (3.7) Profit for the financial period 7.3 6.3 14.3 Basic earnings per share (p) 7.2 6.3 14.3% 14.2 Interim dividend per share (p) 3.2 2.8 14.3%
levels on established customers – e.g. ASOS, Wilko, Browns
Island, ASOS Poland
customer re-shapes their network, and a reduction in tobacco activity,
earnings growth into H2 and beyond
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£m 6m to 31 October Change 2018 2017 % E-fulfilment & returns management services 107.1 76.1 40.7% Non e-fulfilment logistics 76.1 65.7 15.8% Total value-added logistics services 183.2 141.8 29.2% Commercial vehicles 45.4 58.8
Inter-segment sales (0.7) (0.9) Group Revenue 227.9 199.7 14.1% £m 6m to 31 October Change 2018 2017 % E-fulfilment & returns management services 6.2 5.3 17.1% Non e-fulfilment logistics 7.3 6.3 16.4% Central logistics overheads (2.5) (2.5) Total value-added logistics services 11.0 9.1 21.2% Commercial vehicles 0.9 1.4
Head office costs (1.2) (1.3) Group EBIT 10.7 9.2 16.1%
Revenue EBIT
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normal accrued revenue
conversion
agreements by customers to repay the capital through open-book contract mechanisms
£m 6m to 31 October Year to 30 2018 2017 April 2018 EBIT 10.7 9.2 20.9 Depreciation & Amortisation 3.8 3.4 6.9 Other non-cash items1 0.3 1.2 (0.1) Change in working capital (4.4) (1.2) (3.2) Cash generated from operations 10.1 12.6 24.5 Net interest paid (1.0) (0.9) (1.9) Tax paid (1.9) (2.0) (4.0) Net cash flows from operating activities 7.2 9.7 18.6 Net capital expenditure (7.4) (3.6) (1.0) Acquisition of subsidiaries (0.5) (11.8) (11.8) Net cash flows from investing activities (7.9) (15.4) (12.8) Loan advance to joint venture
Net drawdown of bank loans 8.5 14.1 8.1 Finance leases advanced 0.3
(3.4) (3.7) (7.3) Shares issued 0.1 0.2 1.6 Dividends paid (5.7) (4.8) (7.6) Net cash flows from financing activities (0.2) 5.8 (5.7) Net increase / (decrease) in cash & cash equivalents (0.9) 0.1 0.1
1. Other non cash items comprise share of equity-accounted investees, share based payments and exchange differences 2. EBITDA calculated as EBIT plus depreciation and amortisation
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expectations
£m 6m to 31 October Year to 30 2018 2017 April 2018 Intangible assets 37.7 36.8 37.2 Property, plant & equipment 51.2 46.7 45.0 Interest in equity-accounted investees 0.7 1.6 1.3 Non-current financial assets 1.9 1.4 1.9 Non-current assets 91.5 86.5 85.4 Inventories 24.7 30.9 22.1 Trade & other receivables 94.7 70.8 73.4 Cash & cash equivalents 2.1 0.9 2.3 Current assets 121.5 102.6 97.8 Trade & other payables 120.7 110.6 102.4 Borrowings 10.6 7.8 9.2 Short term provisions 0.1 0.3 0.1 Current tax liabilities 2.9 1.9 2.5 Current liabilities 134.3 120.6 114.2 Borrowings 35.5 33.3 26.7 Long term provisions 1.6 1.4 1.5 Deferred tax liabilities 0.9 1.3 1.5 Non-current liabilities 38.0 36.0 29.7 Net assets 40.7 32.5 39.3
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Review of strategy, progress to date and future plans
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Increase our revenues from the major UK retailers in our existing customer base through cross-selling services Continue to target pureplay e-tailers for both fulfilment and returns operations Become the omni-channel fulfilment provider to customers where we only currently manage the e-commerce channel
The United Kingdom (€178 billion), France (€93.2 billion) and Germany (€93 billion) are the three biggest e-commerce markets in Europe Together, they account for over two-thirds of the total European e-commerce turnover 38% of all online shoppers in Europe ordered abroad in 2017, with half of them ordering goods or services over the internet from sellers from other EU countries
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2013/14 2017 2018 European e-commerce valued at no more than EUR 307 billion European e-commerce turnover increased by 11% in the year - valued at EUR 534 billion Expected European e-commerce growth rate of 13% - valued at EUR 602 billion
Online retail sales continue to soar Mintel research suggests that 45% of online customers returned at least one item last year, representing a significant cost to retailers. Financial Times, January 2018 E-commerce in UK grew to €15.6 billion in 2017 The business-to-consumer e-commerce turnover in the United Kingdom has increased to 13.7 billion pounds (15.6 billion euros), last year. This is a 13.65% increase and for next year, a growth rate of 14.3% is predicted, which means e-commerce in the UK could be worth 17.8 billion euros. Ecommerce, May 2018 Source: Ecommerce, July 2018
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Progress in 2018
is +30%
Key Customer Growth
go-live
same day moped delivery service launched
support growth in 2019
Superdry store deliveries
recognised at Supply Chain Excellence awards
Pureplays
Review of strategy, progress to date and future plans
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Enhancing and Developing new services
to support more complex stocking and replenishment strategies
shop app and in store proposition
support customer returns strategy
wrap-around after-sales Returns, Repair & Service proposition
network and click and collect technologies
major multiples
Evolving Supply Chain Needs
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The paid click-and-collect model will increasingly count against a retailer, especially as online-only services look to make delivery costs free, or keep them low, to compete in kind. You get another opportunity to sell 2018 State of Omnichannel Retail report, customers picking up a C&C order in store could spend an average of 12% more – while returns recoup added a further 18%, as you’re keeping an engaged customer in a purchase loop. C&C tracks the effectiveness of a marketing budget – and improves loyalty Opportunity knocks: Free C&C removes another barrier to purchase certainty Putting a human face on an
Those that see paid-for click and collect as dispensation for logistical outlays are the ones that will suffer in the next round of retail closures.
Source: Shift Nov 2018
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Evolving Supply Chain Needs
Online retailers face “ returns tsunami” as try-before-you-buy trends Intensifies Returns are costing UK retailers £60 billion a year 76% of consumers would “definitely” or “maybe” purchase more items if offered a try-before-you-buy
ever paying a penny 40% of retailers have seen a marked increase in “intentional returns” over the past 12 months when customers deliberately over-order multiple items knowing returns are free or cheap 69% of retailers are not deploying any technology solutions to process returns, despite shoppers increasingly wanting their returns to be processed faster. For many retailers, the new trend will result in customers returning on average three items a month, potentially tripling the cost of returns if they continue to take no action
Source: Retail Gazette, March 2018
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“Enhanced” Integrated Clicklink & Boomerang in 2019
Boomerang triage carried out in store Item can either be fast tracked through returns centre for re-sale OR Fulfilled from store to customer Reduced handling costs Improved stock availability Store based systems to link with returns centre to allow for rapid reuse of “grade A” inventory
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Clipper is working in partnership with Leeds University and one of our major customers to use fulfilment and returns to develop predictive analytics. This can help retailers’ decision making for ranging, merchandising, promotions and pricing strategies
Fulfilment Data Returns Data Predict & Propose Plan Analy se
replenishment tools
responsive, based
actual customer behaviour and feedback
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Technical services – Progress in 2018
Hi-sense: Combined power of RepairTech and Servicecare now delivering multi-channel TV repair solutions Vestel: Clipper Technical Services nominated as ‘brown goods repair partner’ Argos: Renewed contract for 2 years Amazon: Extended contract and new territory (Germany) Richer Sounds: 5 year contract extension
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Growth in Europe
Second warehouse opened in Poznan, Poland to support Westwing Retail:
Expanded geography with Amazon to operate a Returns and Repair centre from within a Clipper Germany facility Strengthened relationship with s.Oliver with potential for further future growth Exploring potential European acquisitions
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Ensuring continuity of labour
population in the UK.
right to remain post-Brexit
the UK post-Brexit
Compensation and Benefits strategy top to bottom Shift in labour strategy from a high temp to perm ratio to a more stable perm headcount with seasonal flex – pooling across site locations Full compensation and benefits review of all job levels - January – March 2019
Key strategies Influencing Factors
Solid Framework Agreements in place with key agencies and a robust PSL
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Clipper Fresh Start
FRESH START launched in May 2018 8 Key Partners including: Mencap, Scope, Remploy, Reed in Partnership, Tempus Novo 150+ people recruited directly since launch – with a target to get to 300 by end of FY Small start project with the potential for growth Significant profile for Clipper Logistics Key Labour Agencies engaged Significant CSR project for the Group Finalists in the 2018 in-house recruitment awards (Nov 2018)
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Developing technology capability
We will work with retailers to assess ‘fit for purpose’ automation solutions We will explore AI solutions for retail supply chain applications Progress in 2018 Autoboxer and conveyors installed in Ollerton to support Wilko e-commerce growth Robotic returns launched at the Superdry facility Experienced Automation Engineer recruited.
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Black Friday 2018
More UK retailers than ever before participated in Black Friday Sales this year in the face of ongoing tough trading. Ecommerce sales were up 46% compared with last year on Black Friday itself, while footfall dropped 5.4% on 2017, Springboard reports. Participation rates from retailers reached record levels and the discounts were deeper than previous years, research from sales aggregator LovetheSales.com found. A total of 72% more UK retailers took part in Black Friday this year than in 2017 and price cuts were deeper – an average discount of 37%, compared with 33% in 2017 and 30% in 2016.
Source: Springboard & LovetheSales.com– Drapers 27th Nov 18
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