A Gold Focused Royalty Company
June 2010
1
A Gold Focused Royalty Company June 2010 Cautionary Statement y - - PDF document
1 A Gold Focused Royalty Company June 2010 Cautionary Statement y Forward-Looking Statements This Presentation contains "forward-looking statements", which may include but are not limited to, statements with respect to future events
1
Forward-Looking Statements This Presentation contains "forward-looking statements", which may include but are not limited to, statements with respect to future events or future performance, management's expectations regarding Franco-Nevada’s growth, results of operations, estimated future revenues, costs and timing of acquiring new royalties, equity and other resource related interests, requirements for additional capital, mineral reserve and resources estimates, production costs and revenue, future demand for and prices of commodities, expected mining sequences, business prospects and opportunities. All statements, other than g statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements. In addition, the words "expects", ”expected”, “estimated” and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements contained in this Presentation are based upon assumptions management believes to be reasonable, including, without limitation, the ongoing operation of the properties by the owners or operators of such properties in a manner consistent with past practice, the accuracy of public statements and disclosures made by the owners or operators of such underlying properties, no material adverse change in the market price of the commodities, and any other factors that cause actions, events or results to differ from those anticipated, estimated or intended. H th b th t f d l ki t t t ill t b t t l lt d f t t ld diff t i ll f However, there can be no assurance that forward-looking statements will prove to be accurate, as actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Franco-Nevada cannot assure investors that actual results will be consistent with these forward-looking statements and readers are cautioned that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements due to the inherent uncertainty therein. These risks, uncertainties and other factors include, but are not limited to: general business and economic conditions; fluctuations in the prices of the primary commodities that drive the Company’s royalty revenue (gold, platinum group metals copper nickel oil and gas); fluctuations in the value of the Canadian and Australian dollar and any other currency in which the Company generates metals, copper, nickel, oil and gas); fluctuations in the value of the Canadian and Australian dollar, and any other currency in which the Company generates revenue, relative to the U.S. dollar; changes in national and local government legislation, including taxation policies; regulations and political or economic developments in any of the countries where the company holds interests in mineral or oil and gas properties; influence of macroeconomic developments; business opportunities that become available to, or are pursued by us; access to debt and equity capital; litigation; title disputes related to our interests or any
limited to unusual or unexpected operating difficulties, financial stress and other natural disasters or civil unrest. For additional information with respect to risks, uncertainties and assumptions, please also refer to the “Risk Factors” section of our most recent Annual Information Form filed with the Canadian securities regulatory authorities on www.sedar.com, as well as our Annual and interim MD&A. The forward-looking statements herein are made as of the date
future events or results or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. Non-GAAP Measures Royalty Revenue, Free Cash-Flow, EBITDA, Margin and Adjusted Net Income are intended to provide additional information only and do not have any standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with GAAP. Definitions and reconciliations to GAAP can be found in our financial disclosures. These measures are not necessarily indicative of operating profit or cash flow from operations as determined under GAAP. Other companies may calculate these measures differently. The following notes are standardized for the attached presentation.
(1)
R lt R i d fi d b th C h i d i bl f ti lt t d d i th i d
2
(1)
Royalty Revenue is defined by the Company as cash received or receivable from operating royalty assets earned during the period.
(2)
Free Cash Flow is defined by the Company as operating income plus depletion and depreciation, non-cash charges, and any impairment of investments and royalty interests.
(3)
Margin is defined as Free Cash Flow as a percentage of Royalty Revenue
2.00 2.50
FNV vs S&P/TSX Since IPO
1.00 1.50 0.00 0.50
3 FNV S&P
4
5
t picall 2 to 5% of mine re en es/prod ction – typically 2 to 5% of mine revenues/production – paid in cash or in-kind at refinery each month
– right to % of gold production from a mine (eg. 50%) in exchange for:
(1) an initial up front payment (2)
( ) g g p p y ( yp y )
NSR Stream One ounce sold at $1000 $1000 Applicable cost $400 Margin for royalty calc $1000 $600 Applicable % 5% 50%
Applicable % 5% 50% Revenue per oz to FNV $50 $300
6
Project Location Operator Value ($US m) Palmarejo Mexico Coeur $75 j Hislop Ontario
$4 Prosperity British Columbia Taseko $366
7
Goldstrike Nevada
P l j M i * Goldstrike - Nevada Bald Mountain - Nevada Hemlo - Ontario Palmarejo – Mexico* Mesquite – California Cerro San Pedro – Mexico Gold Quarry – Nevada* Subika – Ghana* Holloway - Ontario Hislop - Ontario Holt - Ontario Marigold - Nevada Musselwhite – Ontario Stillwater – Montana Tasiast - Mauritania Detour Lake Ontario Stillwater – Montana East Boulder - Montana Detour Lake - Ontario
Goldstrike Palmarejo 8 * post IPO acquisitions
By Royalty Revenue(1): $142.8m By Free Cash Flow(2): $124.3m (87% margin) By numbers: 196 mineral and 114 oil & gas By commodity: 78% precious metals, 22% other B i 79% f USA & C d By region: 79% from USA & Canada
Royalty Revenue(1) by C t Royalty Revenue(1) C t Royalty Revenue(1) by C dit
Oil & G
Other 4% Australia 2%
Country
Goldstrike - NSR 15% Oth Mi l Edson 6% Midale 3% O&G Other 5%
Components Commodity
Gold 70% PGM 8% Other Minerals 2% Oil & Gas 20%
US 58% Canada Mexico 15%
15% Goldstrike - NPI 14% Stillwater 7% Pandora 1% Other Minerals 2% Weyburn 6% 6%
58% Canada 21%
Palmarejo 13% Gold Quarry 10% Marigold 5% Gold - Other 13%
9
)
Working interests
Year Ended December 31, 2009
R Stream royalties 15% interests 5%
Revenue- Based royalties 63% Profit- based royalties 17%
10
* Management estimate based on $1000/oz gold price & revenue for 2010
(US$ millions except per share and %)
Royalty Revenue(1) $41.8 $29.2 $27.5 Gold Royalty Revenue 27.4 19.1 12.2 Total revenue(2) 37.9 33.1 27.5
e e ue 3 9 33 5 Net income 7.8 3.8 5.2 Earnings per share $0.07 $0.04 $0.06 Free Cash Flow(3) 37 1 24 9 23 4 Free Cash Flow(3) 37.1 24.9 23.4 Free Cash Flow(3) per share 0.33 0.25 0.26 Margin(4) 89% 85% 85% Adjusted Net Income(5) 8.6 0.5 4.4 Adjusted Net Income per share $0.08 $0.01 $0.05 Working capital (at March 31) $598.1 $185.2 $290.9 Total shareholders’ equity (at March 31) $2,010.6 $1,423.1 $1,528.8
(1)
Royalty Revenue is defined by the Company as cash received or receivable from operating royalty assets earned during the period.
(2)
Includes fair value changes on derivative assets.
11
g
(3)
Free Cash Flow is defined by the Company as operating income plus depletion and depreciation, non-cash charges, and any impairment of investments and royalty interests.
(4)
Margin is defined as Free Cash Flow (3) as a % of Royalty Revenue(1).
(5)
Adjusted Net Income is defined by the Company as net income excluding impairment charges related to royalties and working interests and investments, fair value changes for royalties accounted for as derivative assets, foreign currency gains/losses; gains/losses on sale of investments; and the impact of taxes on all these items.
45 50 35 40 45 25 30 $ millions) Oil & Gas Base Metals & Other PGM 10 15 20 ($ Gold 5 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010
Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2008 Q1 2009 Q2 2009 Q3 2009 Q4 2009 Q1 2010
12
13
C it l R @ M h 31 2010 US$ Milli Capital Resources @ March 31, 2010 US$ Millions Working Capital $598 Marketable Investments (Primarily NEM) $52 Available Credit Facility $175 Total Available Capital $825
14
Major new long-life gold asset in Canada
Open pit copper/gold porphyry in B.C. Proven operator with Taseko Mines Ltd. 22% of LOM gold production (>$400/oz)
Net 65,000- 55,000 ounces to Franco per annum for life of mine $350 million commitment plus 2 million $350 million commitment plus 2 million FNV 2017 warrants Franco funds when conditions met and pro-rata with balance of construction pro-rata with balance of construction financing Accretive on all measures
15
Gold only royalty revenues excluding other revenues *
Prosperity $44-48m Palmarejo $16 19m Tasiast $9-11m Holt 3-4m M i ld 1 4 Detour $14-17m Tasiast Exp. 6-11m Hemlo 5-15m Subika 6-11m
$70.7m $100.5m
Palmarejo $16-19m Holloway-Hislop 4-5m Hollister 3-5m Other 1-2m Marigold 1-4m Duketon 2-3m Ity 1m Rosemont 1-2m Goldfields 1-2m Perama Hill 2-3m
2008A 2009A 2010/11E 2011/12E 2012/14E
16
* Appendix provides detail to pro-forma estimates assuming operator or analyst projections and $1,100/oz gold.
2008 June $0.12 December $0.12 $0.24 $21.8 m 2009 June $0.14 December $0.14 $0 28 $28.2 m $0.28 2010* June $0.150 July $0.025 August $0.025 September $0.025 October $0.025 November $0 025 $34.0 m**
November $0.025 December $0.025 $0.30
17
* September to December dividends are indicative and subject to board declaration. ** Based on C$=$US and 114m shares outstanding.
Goldstrike
arry
Gold Qua
rejo Palmar
18
Bald Mountain ‐ Barrick Goldstrike ‐ Barrick East Boulder ‐ Stillwater Weyburn ‐ Cenovus Cerro San Pedro ‐ New Gold Mesquite – New Gold Palmarejo ‐ Coeur Marigold ‐ Goldcorp Robinson ‐ Quadra Tasiast ‐ Red Back Marigold ‐ Goldcorp
19
45 35 40 25 30 Gold 15 20 DOW/G 10 15 5 20
Longer term Near term 2012+ New in 2010-11 Current producers
Longer term Near term 2012+ New in 2010-11 Current producers Goldstrike Holloway/Hislop/Holt Hemlo NPI Prosperity* Pinson Palmarejo* Gold Quarry* Stillwater Hollister Hemlo NSR Tasiast Detour Subika* Falcondo nickel Pinson Dee/Arturo Pandora platinum Kirkland Lake Marigold Robinson Oil & gas th Marigold Duketon Ity th Rosemont Goldfields Perama Hill th Kirkland Lake Arctic Gas >145 other exploration assets
>20 MINERAL OPERATIONS ROYALTIES UNDER PROJECTS AT FEASIBILITY,
>100,000 acres of undeveloped O&G land
BROAD EXPOSURE TO >100 O&G OPERATIONS DEVELOPMENT OR REACHING PAYOUT , PERMITTING, FINANCING STAGES OR ON STANDBY
FUTURE POTENTIAL UPSIDES AT NO COST
21
* new acquisitions post IPO
Property Royalty Operator Update
Tasiast 2% NSR Red Back Mining Major reserve and resource expansions and $600m Kinross investment. Royalty expected to begin paying in early 2011. Analysts expect further production expansion. Hollister 3-5% NSR Great Basin Gold Commercial production expected in 2010. High grade Hatter Graben discovery falls on 5% royalty ground. Hemlo 3% NSR & 50% NPI Barrick Gold Steady mining on royalty ground expected to being in 2011. Detour 2% NSR Detour Gold Major reserve and resource expansions. Feasibility study recently completed with average production of 650 koz/yr. H ll / Slidi S l & S A d R f d i d hi h d di Holloway/ Hislop Sliding Scale & 4% NSR St Andrew Goldfields Recent start of production and new high grade discovery Other Various Various Duketon start of production, Rosemont & Perama Hill
22
Other Various Various Duketon start of production, Rosemont & Perama Hill permitting, Falcondo possible restart
Amount Asset Royalty Commodity Operator Location $104m Gold Quarry 7 29% Gold Newmont Nevada $104m Gold Quarry 7.29% Gold Newmont Nevada $80m Palmarejo 50% Gold Coeur d’Alene Mexico $58m Subika 2% Gold Newmont Ghana $20m Marigold 2.5-5% Gold Goldcorp Nevada A$20m Mt Keith 0.375% Nickel BHP Australia $350m Prosperity 22% Gold Taseko Canada
23
Operator Royalty Annual Incremental Royalty Potential @ $1100 gold 2010 Palmarejo Coeur d’Alene 50% stream $16-19m
St Andrew Gold 4-6% NSR 4-5m
Great Basin Gold 3-5% NSR 3-5m
Barrick Gold 3% NSR 1-2m
2011 Tasiast Red Back Mining 2% NSR $9-11m
St Andrew Gold 10% NSR 3-4m
Goldcorp 1.4-4% NSR 1-4m
g p % Duketon Regis Resources 2% NSR 2-3m
La Mancha 1-1.5% NSR 1m
Hemlo NPI Barrick Gold 50% NPI $5-15m
Hemlo NPI Barrick Gold 50% NPI $5-15m
Detour Gold 2% NSR 14-17m
Newmont 2% NSR 6-11m
2% NSR 6-11m
Linear Gold 2% NSR 1-2m
Rosemont Eldorado Gold Augusta Resources 2% NSR 1.5% NSR 2-3m 1-2m
24
–
–
–
25
200 350 140 160 180 200 250 300 350 80 100 120 140 150 200
Copper 20 40 60 50 100 Gold (Ko (Mlb) 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29 31 33 A i C P d ti P fil (K ) FNV G ld St (K ) C i C P d ti P fil (Mlb)
Au in Conc. Production Profile (Koz) FNV Gold Stream (Koz) Cu in Conc. Production Profile (Mlb)
26
Source: Based on Mine Production Profile in Taseko Technical Report dated November 2, 2009. Current environmental approval applications are for a mine plan with a 20 year mine life.
100%
11.1% 15.8% 17.6% 14.1% 90% 95% (%) 80% 85%
Prosperity 88.9% 84.2% 82.4% 85.9% 70% 75% Relative Co FNV 60% 65% EV 2014 R 2014 CF NAV EV 2014 Revenue 2014 CF NAV
27
Note: Revenue and CF for estimates for FNV for 2014 are assumed to be the same as the BMO research revenue and CF estimate for 2013 at $925/oz Au. Revenue and CF for Prosperity are based on $925/oz for 2014 (first full year of payments). EV is based on May 6, 2010 closing price for FNV. NPV estimate for FNV and Prosperity is based on analyst consensus estimates. The long term average consensus price used for gold is $860/oz.
PRO-FORMA NAV BREAKDOWN
Prosperity Base Metals 8% Prosperity 18% Palmarejo Oil & Gas 16% 8% Palmarejo 14% Goldstrike 12% Other Gold 20% 12% Stillwater 6% Gold Quarry 6%
28
Source: Broker research at analyst consensus prices. Includes NAV of mining assets only, cash is not reflected. Prosperity NAV calculated using long term average consensus price for gold of $860/oz.
P/NAV (x)
2.0 1.8 1.8 1 6 2.0x
P/NAV (x)
1.6 1.2x 1.6x 0 0x 0.4x 0.8x 0.0x R
Gold F reehold S ilver Wheaton F ranco- Nevada
29
Source: Courtesy of UBS. Based on Bloomberg, street research, IBES estimates.
Royal Gold Silver Wheaton C dit i M tl ld M tl ld M tl il Commodity mix Mostly gold Mostly gold Mostly silver Revenues by geography(1) USA 45% Canada 27% Mexico 22% USA 40% Africa 27% Mexico 15% Mexico 45%
Sweden 11% Number of mineral royalties 197 192 19 Market cap at May 17, 2010 $3,609m $2,431m $7,187m Proforma liquidity 569 54 280 Proforma liquidity 569 54 280 Debt 255 129 Acquisition obligations 350 675 Enterprise Value (2) $3,390m $2,632m $7,711m Total Assets(1) $2,117m $1,586m $2,286m Tax basis of assets (provides tax shield) High Low
t lt
(1) (3)
$155 $118 $216
(1)
For period ended March 31, 2010
(2)
SLW asset obligations include a portion of the Barrick transaction, Rosemont, and Navidad obligations.
LTM net royalty revenue (1) (3) $155m $118m $216m Indicative annual dividends(4) $30m $17m $0
30
g p , , g
(3)
Royalty revenue less cost of purchasing ounces for streams. LTM = Last twelve months
(4)
Current per share payout at 0.95 C$/US$
Position with Franco-Nevada Current or Past Major Experience Pierre Lassonde Director, Chairman Chairman, World Gold Council Vice Chairman, Director and President, Newmont Mining Co-CEO and Co-Founder, Old Franco-Nevada David Harquail Director, President & CEO Executive V.P., Newmont Mining David Harquail Director, President & CEO Executive V.P., Newmont Mining President & MD, Newmont Capital S.V.P. Old Franco-Nevada Derek Evans(1) Director President & CEO, Pengrowth Energy Trust CEO, Focus Energy Trust gy Renaissance Energy Limited Graham Farquharson(2) Director President, Strathcona Mineral Services Ltd. Board Member, Placer Dome and Cambior Inc. L i Gi
(1)
Di t P id t G Mi i S i I Louis Gignac(1) Director President, G Mining Services Inc. President and CEO, Cambior Inc. Randall Oliphant(1) Director Executive Chairman, New Gold Inc. CEO, Barrick Gold Corporation
Director Partner and Chairman, Cassels Brock & Blackwell LLP Twentieth Premier of Ontario Board Member, Old Franco-Nevada
31
(1)
Member of the Audit and Risk Committee
(2)
Member of the Compensation and Corporate Governance Committee
Cumulative dividends Added market value MC = $2.9B
US $1.1B Added market value New Equity Cumulative equity financing
US $0 2B MC = $1.7B
US $0.2B MC = $1.3B
IPO Dec 2007 2008 2009 Dec 2008 Dec 2009
32
250%
IPO $1.3B Financing $260m Financing $313m Gold Quarry $103 Palmarejo $75m
200%
$103m
150%
Ahafo Offer For
100%
Marigold
$100m IRC $675m Prosperity $350m
50%
December 20, 2007 IPO issue price C$15.20/sh
0% 33 FNV S&P
Capital Structure(2) Shares Outstanding 114.02m W t @ C$32/ h M h 2012 5 75 Analyst Coverage BMO Capital Markets David Haughton BOA/Merrill Lynch Mike Jalonen Warrants @ C$32/sh March 2012 5.75m Warrants @ C$75/sh June 2017 5.75m Options (Avg C$16.00/sh) 2.43m BOA/Merrill Lynch Mike Jalonen CIBC Capital Markets Cosmos Chiu Credit Suisse Anita Soni GMP Securities Craig West Other 0.43m 128.38m Share Price Range(1) C$33.50-C$24.64 g National Bank Financial Tanya Jakusconek Paradigm Capital Don MacLean RBC Capital Markets Stephen Walker Market Capitalization(2) $3.3B Working Capital + Marketable Investments(3) $650.3m $ TD Securities Greg Barnes UBS Securities Brian MacArthur Wellington West Paolo Lostritto Available Credit Facilities $175m Debt or Hedges Nil 2010 Dividends (Indicative) (4) $34.21m (C$0 30/share) Major Shareholders Fidelity US Invesco Trimark Canada (C$0.30/share) Management Ownership (3) 5.0% (6.3% diluted)
US Blackrock Europe Oppenheimer US
34
(1)
Previous 52 weeks
(2)
As at April 30, 2010
(3)
As at March 31, 2010
(4)
@ $CAN/$US = 1.00