360 Foodservice - 2015
360 Foodservice - 2015
Dan McGlynn – Account Director CGA Strategy
360 Foodservice - 2015 Dan McGlynn Account Director CGA Strategy - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
360 Foodservice - 2015 Dan McGlynn Account Director CGA Strategy 360 Foodservice - 2015 Who are CGA? The Consumer CGA Real product- Operators level sales 360 Foodservice - 2015 Foodservice through 3 lenses 360 Foodservice - 2015
360 Foodservice - 2015
360 Foodservice - 2015
Dan McGlynn – Account Director CGA Strategy
360 Foodservice - 2015
Who are CGA?
CGA
The Consumer
Real product- level salesOperators
360 Foodservice - 2015
Foodservice through 3 lenses
360 Foodservice - 2015
High St eating out market continues to deliver strong L4L growth
Source: Coffer Peach Business Tracker Sept 2015
0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Total Sales Growth 5.7% 6.8% 5.6% 5.8% 5.8% 3.7% 5.2% 6.2% 5.8% 4.8% 4.3% 4.6% LFL Sales Growth 2.2% 3.4% 1.9% 1.4% 1.6%
1.2% 2.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6% 1.2%
360 Foodservice - 2015
124,463
+0.8%
Total GB Eating Drinking
2015
+5.4%
2015 2015
38,586 56,132
+8.1%
2015
Restaurants
27,252 2015
27,039
Wet led pubs
And the much maligned on trade is now back into growth, as food takes over from drinks
Source: CGA Outlet Index Sept 2015
360 Foodservice - 2015
Contract catering is evolving, with growth and adaptation of offer
Source: CGA Outlet Index
360 Foodservice - 2015
#1 The Consumer
360 Foodservice - 2015
CGA Peach BrandTrack
Of UK consumers are eating out weekly
360 Foodservice - 2015
Of 25-34 year olds eat out weekly…the highest of all age groups
CGA Peach BrandTrack
360 Foodservice - 2015
360 Foodservice - 2015
360 Foodservice - 2015
Day-parts are expanding 21% 33% 72% 48% 68% 28%
Breakfast Lunch Mid-afternoon Mid-morning Early Evening Late Evening
CGA Peach Brand Track Aug 2015Percentage of consumers eating out by day part
360 Foodservice - 2015
Higher standard of food quality
More personalised
Better value for money
360 Foodservice - 2015
#2 Demand
360 Foodservice - 2015
‘operator’
OPTIMISM FOR 2015
‘supplier’
CGA Peach Business Leaders Survey 2015360 Foodservice - 2015
Of business leaders see Travel Hubs as key growth hotspots
CGA Peach Business Leaders Survey 2015360 Foodservice - 2015
11% 9% 14% 6% 33% 29% 31% 37% 61% 44% 66% 48% 0% 6% 6% 8% 23% 27% 42% 46% 50% 52% 54% 73%
Sandwich/bakery Drink led pubs/bars Takeaway/delivery Fast food Mainstream casual dining Healthy/salad/juice bars Coffee shops Pub restaurant/food led pubs Premium fast food (e.g. LEON, Tortilla) Street food/Pop-ups All day/flexible formats Premium casual dining Suppliers Operators
Formats positioned to thrive in 2015
CGA Peach Business Leaders Survey 2015Foodservice market segmentation
Retail, Travel & Leisure 21.2k Retail 9.6k Coffee Shops Sandwich Bars Bakery Stores Dep’t Store Cafes & Garden Centre Cafes Supermarket Cafes & Grab & Go Petrol Forecourts Convenience Stores Travel 1k Roadside & MSA Railway Stations Airports Ports Leisure 10.6k Sports Clubs Event Catering Stadia Visitor Attractions Entertainment Venues Hotels, Pubs & Restaurants 171.2k Hotels 12.5k Full Service Budget Guest Houses Holiday Parks Conference Centres Pubs & Bars 81.3k Branded and Managed Tenanted and Leased Independent Social Clubs Nightclubs Restaurants 77.4k Service-Led Fine Dining Independent Branded Fast Food Branded Traditional Branded Emerging Independent360 Foodservice - 2015
360 Foodservice - 2015
food focused venues have opened in ten years
CGA Outlet Index360 Foodservice - 2015
Which food trends will make an impact this year
10% 18% 23% 13% 13% 30% 31% 17% 18% 24% 27% 23% 57% 14% 14% 16% 18% 22% 22% 22% 24% 24% 24% 39% 43% 53%
Ceviche Ramen Bakery Steak Sushi Chicken Cheaper cuts (e.g. flatiron steaks) Sustainable fish Hotdogs Single item menus Burgers British Traditional Barbecue Suppliers Operators
CGA Peach Business Leaders Survey 2015360 Foodservice - 2015
#3 Supply – The Wholesaler
360 Foodservice - 2015
Wholesale is seeing steady L4L growth
1.3%
TOTAL WHOLESALE FOODSERVICE L4L MAT GROWTH
0.6%
Food L4L MAT growth
7.3%
Drinks L4L MAT growth
Source: CGA Foodservice Index Sept 2015
Non-Food L4L MAT growth
Ambient L4L MAT growth
Chilled L4L MAT growth
4.8%
Frozen L4L MAT growth
360 Foodservice - 2015
Largest Wholesale Categories
Source: CGA Foodservice Index Sept 2015
360 Foodservice - 2015
Strong L4L growth in Independents
2.8%
TOTAL WHOLESALE FOODSERVICE L4L MAT GROWTH
2.0%
Food L4L MAT growth
5.1%
Drinks L4L MAT growth
Source: CGA Foodservice Index Sept 2015
5.3%
Non-Food L4L MAT growth
0.3%
Ambient L4L MAT growth
Chilled L4L MAT growth
5.4%
Frozen L4L MAT growth
360 Foodservice - 2015
Largest Independent Wholesale Categories
Source: CGA Foodservice Index May 2015
360 Foodservice - 2015
MAT growth in Education
Source: CGA Foodservice Index Sept 2015
360 Foodservice - 2015
More children having school lunches since Sept 2014
Source: CGA Foodservice Index Sept 2015
360 Foodservice - 2015
Of all purchases are branded products
Source: CGA Foodservice Index Sept 2015
360 Foodservice - 2015
Value % Change Value % Share
Education
+7% 18.8%
Accommodation
+1% 10.7%
Pubs and bars
10.8%
Travel, Sport and Leisure
+3% 11.4%
FSR
+4% 8.0%
Heath and Welfare
+2% 13.7%
Fast Food And Cafe
+2% 14.9%
Business and Industry
+3% 11.7%
Frozen market shows great performance
Source: CGA Foodservice Index Sept 2015
360 Foodservice - 2015
So what does all this mean?
a focus for investors
never been so high
manufacturers compared with the grocery channel
is essential to maximise the opportunities
360 Foodservice - 2015
Thank you dan.mcglynn@cgastrategy.co.uk