360 Foodservice - 2015 Dan McGlynn Account Director CGA Strategy - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

360 foodservice 2015
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360 Foodservice - 2015 Dan McGlynn Account Director CGA Strategy - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

360 Foodservice - 2015 Dan McGlynn Account Director CGA Strategy 360 Foodservice - 2015 Who are CGA? The Consumer CGA Real product- Operators level sales 360 Foodservice - 2015 Foodservice through 3 lenses 360 Foodservice - 2015


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360 Foodservice - 2015

360 Foodservice - 2015

Dan McGlynn – Account Director CGA Strategy

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360 Foodservice - 2015

Who are CGA?

CGA

The Consumer

Real product- level sales

Operators

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360 Foodservice - 2015

Foodservice through 3 lenses

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360 Foodservice - 2015

High St eating out market continues to deliver strong L4L growth

Source: Coffer Peach Business Tracker Sept 2015

  • 1.0%

0.0% 1.0% 2.0% 3.0% 4.0% 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15 Total Sales Growth 5.7% 6.8% 5.6% 5.8% 5.8% 3.7% 5.2% 6.2% 5.8% 4.8% 4.3% 4.6% LFL Sales Growth 2.2% 3.4% 1.9% 1.4% 1.6%

  • 0.3%

1.2% 2.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6% 1.2%

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360 Foodservice - 2015

124,463

+0.8%

Total GB Eating Drinking

2015

+5.4%

2015 2015

  • 2.9%

38,586 56,132

+8.1%

2015

Restaurants

27,252 2015

  • 5.6%

27,039

Wet led pubs

And the much maligned on trade is now back into growth, as food takes over from drinks

Source: CGA Outlet Index Sept 2015

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360 Foodservice - 2015

Contract catering is evolving, with growth and adaptation of offer

Source: CGA Outlet Index

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360 Foodservice - 2015

#1 The Consumer

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360 Foodservice - 2015

CGA Peach BrandTrack

Of UK consumers are eating out weekly

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360 Foodservice - 2015

Of 25-34 year olds eat out weekly…the highest of all age groups

CGA Peach BrandTrack

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360 Foodservice - 2015

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360 Foodservice - 2015

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360 Foodservice - 2015

Day-parts are expanding 21% 33% 72% 48% 68% 28%

Breakfast Lunch Mid-afternoon Mid-morning Early Evening Late Evening

CGA Peach Brand Track Aug 2015

Percentage of consumers eating out by day part

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360 Foodservice - 2015

Higher standard of food quality

More personalised

  • ffers

Better value for money

?

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360 Foodservice - 2015

#2 Demand

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360 Foodservice - 2015

25%

‘operator’

OPTIMISM FOR 2015

15%

‘supplier’

CGA Peach Business Leaders Survey 2015
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360 Foodservice - 2015

Of business leaders see Travel Hubs as key growth hotspots

CGA Peach Business Leaders Survey 2015
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360 Foodservice - 2015

11% 9% 14% 6% 33% 29% 31% 37% 61% 44% 66% 48% 0% 6% 6% 8% 23% 27% 42% 46% 50% 52% 54% 73%

Sandwich/bakery Drink led pubs/bars Takeaway/delivery Fast food Mainstream casual dining Healthy/salad/juice bars Coffee shops Pub restaurant/food led pubs Premium fast food (e.g. LEON, Tortilla) Street food/Pop-ups All day/flexible formats Premium casual dining Suppliers Operators

Formats positioned to thrive in 2015

CGA Peach Business Leaders Survey 2015
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Foodservice market segmentation

Retail, Travel & Leisure 21.2k Retail 9.6k Coffee Shops Sandwich Bars Bakery Stores Dep’t Store Cafes & Garden Centre Cafes Supermarket Cafes & Grab & Go Petrol Forecourts Convenience Stores Travel 1k Roadside & MSA Railway Stations Airports Ports Leisure 10.6k Sports Clubs Event Catering Stadia Visitor Attractions Entertainment Venues Hotels, Pubs & Restaurants 171.2k Hotels 12.5k Full Service Budget Guest Houses Holiday Parks Conference Centres Pubs & Bars 81.3k Branded and Managed Tenanted and Leased Independent Social Clubs Nightclubs Restaurants 77.4k Service-Led Fine Dining Independent Branded Fast Food Branded Traditional Branded Emerging Independent
  • inc. Street
Food Contract Sector 108.4k B&I 39.6k Contracted In-House Cost Sector 68.8k Defence Justice Healthcare Local Authorities Remote Education

360 Foodservice - 2015

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360 Foodservice - 2015

food focused venues have opened in ten years

CGA Outlet Index
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360 Foodservice - 2015

Which food trends will make an impact this year

10% 18% 23% 13% 13% 30% 31% 17% 18% 24% 27% 23% 57% 14% 14% 16% 18% 22% 22% 22% 24% 24% 24% 39% 43% 53%

Ceviche Ramen Bakery Steak Sushi Chicken Cheaper cuts (e.g. flatiron steaks) Sustainable fish Hotdogs Single item menus Burgers British Traditional Barbecue Suppliers Operators

CGA Peach Business Leaders Survey 2015
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360 Foodservice - 2015

#3 Supply – The Wholesaler

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360 Foodservice - 2015

Wholesale is seeing steady L4L growth

1.3%

TOTAL WHOLESALE FOODSERVICE L4L MAT GROWTH

0.6%

Food L4L MAT growth

7.3%

Drinks L4L MAT growth

Source: CGA Foodservice Index Sept 2015

  • 3.3%

Non-Food L4L MAT growth

  • 0.1%

Ambient L4L MAT growth

  • 3.1%

Chilled L4L MAT growth

4.8%

Frozen L4L MAT growth

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360 Foodservice - 2015

Largest Wholesale Categories

Source: CGA Foodservice Index Sept 2015

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360 Foodservice - 2015

Strong L4L growth in Independents

2.8%

TOTAL WHOLESALE FOODSERVICE L4L MAT GROWTH

2.0%

Food L4L MAT growth

5.1%

Drinks L4L MAT growth

Source: CGA Foodservice Index Sept 2015

5.3%

Non-Food L4L MAT growth

0.3%

Ambient L4L MAT growth

  • 0.8%

Chilled L4L MAT growth

5.4%

Frozen L4L MAT growth

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360 Foodservice - 2015

Largest Independent Wholesale Categories

Source: CGA Foodservice Index May 2015

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360 Foodservice - 2015

MAT growth in Education

Source: CGA Foodservice Index Sept 2015

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360 Foodservice - 2015

More children having school lunches since Sept 2014

Source: CGA Foodservice Index Sept 2015

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360 Foodservice - 2015

Of all purchases are branded products

Source: CGA Foodservice Index Sept 2015

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360 Foodservice - 2015

Value % Change Value % Share

Education

+7% 18.8%

Accommodation

+1% 10.7%

Pubs and bars

  • 3%

10.8%

Travel, Sport and Leisure

+3% 11.4%

FSR

+4% 8.0%

Heath and Welfare

+2% 13.7%

Fast Food And Cafe

+2% 14.9%

Business and Industry

+3% 11.7%

Frozen market shows great performance

Source: CGA Foodservice Index Sept 2015

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360 Foodservice - 2015

So what does all this mean?

  • FS see’s good growth and it continues to be

a focus for investors

  • The demand for eating out of the home has

never been so high

  • A larger growth potential for frozen

manufacturers compared with the grocery channel

  • Quality data, insight and thought leadership

is essential to maximise the opportunities

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360 Foodservice - 2015

Thank you dan.mcglynn@cgastrategy.co.uk