2Q 2019 Earnings Presentation
August 1, 2019
2Q 2019 Earnings Presentation August 1, 2019 Forward Looking - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2Q 2019 Earnings Presentation August 1, 2019 Forward Looking Statements 2 This presentation contains certain statements that may be deemed forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of
August 1, 2019
2Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – August 1, 2019
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This presentation contains certain statements that may be deemed “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All statements, other than statements of historical fact, that address activities, events or developments that our management intends, expects, projects, believes or anticipates will or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements may be identified by words like "expect," "anticipate," "estimate," “outlook”, "project," "strategy," "intend," "plan," "target," "goal," "may," "will," "should" and "believe" or other variations or similar terminology. Although we believe forward-looking statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, such statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond our control and difficult to predict, which may cause the actual results or performance of the Company to be materially different from any future results or performance expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to: the impact of scheduled turnarounds and significant unplanned downtime and interruptions of production or logistics operations as a result of mechanical issues or other unanticipated events such as fires, severe weather conditions, and natural disasters; price fluctuations and supply of raw materials; our operations requiring substantial capital; general economic and financial conditions in the U.S. and globally; growth rates and cyclicality of the industries we serve; risks associated with our indebtedness including with respect to restrictive covenants; failure to develop and commercialize new products or technologies; loss of significant customer relationships; adverse trade and tax policies; extensive environmental, health and safety laws that apply to our
information; prolonged work stoppages as a result of labor difficulties; cybersecurity and data privacy incidents; failure to maintain effective internal controls; disruptions in transportation and logistics; our inability to achieve some or all of the anticipated benefits of our spin-off including uncertainty regarding qualification for expected tax treatment; fluctuations in our stock price; and changes in laws or regulations applicable to our business. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date of this presentation. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and actual results, developments and business decisions may differ from those envisaged by such forward-looking statements. We identify the principal risks and uncertainties that affect our performance in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Annual Report on Form 10- K for the year ended December 31, 2018. Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation includes certain non‐GAAP financial measures intended to supplement, not to act as substitutes for, comparable GAAP measures. Reconciliations of non‐GAAP financial measures to GAAP financial measures are provided in the appendix of the presentation. Investors are urged to consider carefully the comparable GAAP measures and the reconciliations to those measures provided. Non-GAAP measures in this presentation may be calculated in a way that is not comparable to similarly-titled measures reported by other companies.
2Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – August 1, 2019
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closure of Pottsville, PA manufacturing facility; Expect ~1 year cash payback
high-return growth and cost savings projects
~$0.04 benefit vs. prior year
duty determinations by end of 3Q19
turnarounds to be $35-$40M
expect unfavorable pre-tax income impact of $6-$8M in 3Q19 and $5-$7M in 4Q19
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$400.5 $345.2
– Raw Material Pass Through (9%), Market Pricing ~Flat
$53.0
13.2%
$35.9
10.4%
Closure of Pottsville, PA Manufacturing
Claim Offset by (~$2M) 1Q18 Phenol Force Majeure Carryover
$28.4 $15.3
$0.91 $0.53
Contributed ~$0.04 Benefit vs. Prior Year
$10.4 ($6.4)
Year – Unfavorable Impact of Changes in Working Capital
Investments
Comments
2Q 2018 2Q 2019
($ Millions, Except Per Share Amounts)
Sales EBITDA
Margin %
Net Income Free Cash Flow EPS (Diluted)
See Appendix in this presentation for a reconciliation of EBITDA, EBITDA Margin, and Free Cash Flow, which are non-GAAP measures; Free cash flow = net cash provided by operating activities less capital expenditures
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What We’re Seeing What We’re Expecting
destocking in carpet and auto end markets
regionalized: China/Asia weakening on soft end-market demand environment
year growth deceleration
global operating rates, pricing and spreads
(1) Sources: Tecnon OrbiChem and Wood Mackenzie Asia = Caprolactam Asia Import Contract (Taiwan & S. Korea) Global Composite = Weighted Avg Spreads From U.S., Europe, China, Other Asia
BNZ-CPL Spread ($/MT)
Key Industry Spreads (1)
2Q19 YoY 2Q19 vs. 1Q19 Global Composite BNZ-CPL (13%) (3%) Asia BNZ-CPL (20%) (3%) Asia CPL-Resin (22%) (31%)
Nylon
CPL-Resin Spread ($/MT)
200 400 600 800 400 800 1200 1600 Global Composite BNZ-CPL Spread Asia BNZ-CPL Spread Asia CPL-Resin Spread
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What We’re Seeing What We’re Expecting
relative to recent nitrogen pricing
lower crop yields and reduced planted acres projections
decline and higher export mix; Global pricing relatively flat year-
sulfur nutrition
(1) As reported in Green Markets
Key Industry Prices (1)
Avg Corn Belt AS price (granular $/ston N content basis) 2Q19 YoY 2Q19 vs. 1Q19 Corn Belt Granular AS (1%) (1%) Corn Belt Urea 20% 11% Avg Corn Belt Urea price ($/ston N content basis)
Ammonium Sulfate
500 600 700 800 1000 1200 1400 Jan-18 Feb-18 Mar-18 Apr-18 May-18 Jun-18 Jul-18 Aug-18 Sep-18 Oct-18 Nov-18 Dec-18 Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Avg Corn Belt AS price (granular $/ston N content basis) Avg Corn Belt Urea price ($/ston N content basis)
2Q 2019 Earnings Presentation – August 1, 2019
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What We’re Seeing What We’re Expecting Chemical Intermediates
further lengthened in 2Q19 pressuring spot market spreads
moderating into 3Q19
inventory levels to stabilize
dumping duties announced for Singapore and Spain – expect remaining preliminary duty determinations by end of 3Q19
Key Industry Prices (1)
Cents per Pound
(1) As reported in IHS Markit 2Q19 YoY 2Q19 vs. 1Q19 Acetone, Small/Medium Buyer (37%) (11%) Acetone, Large Buyer (28%) 1% Refinery Grade Propylene Costs (36%) 2% 10 20 30 40 50 60 Acetone, Small/Medium Buyer Acetone, Large Buyer Refinery Grade Propylene Costs
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inventory, logistics and storage capacity to mitigate impact of extended supply chain
Near-Term Long-Term Financial Impact
Pre-Tax Income Impact ($M) 3Q19 4Q19 FY19 $6-$8 $5-$7 $11-$15
to build cumene buffer inventory
increases as supply chain realigns into 2020
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– 2Q19: ~$5M, 3Q19: ~$5M, 4Q19: $25-$30M
higher export mix
expect remaining preliminary duty determinations by end of 3Q19
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Focus Areas For Further Value Creation
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2018 2019E 2020E
Maintenance HSE Growth/Cost Savings $109M
~55% ~12% ~33%
~$150M
~57% ~8% ~35%
~2018 Levels Growth/Cost Savings HSE
Maintenance
timing of planned plant turnarounds
return projects; 20%+ IRR target
adds ~$15M incremental capex in 2019
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1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q FY 2017
~$4M ~$20M ~$34M 2018 ~$2M ~$10M ~$30M
2019E
~$5M $25-$30M $35-$40M 2020E
In-line with historical averages
Pre-Tax Income Impact by Quarter (1)
(1) Primarily reflects the impact of fixed cost absorption, maintenance expense, and the purchase of feedstocks which are normally manufactured by the Company
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(in $ thousands) The Company believes that this metric is useful to investors and management as a measure to evaluate our ability to generate cash flow from business operations and the impact that this cash flow has on our liquidity.
(1) Free cash flow is a non-GAAP measure defined as Net cash provided by operating activities less Expenditures for property, plant and equipment
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(in $ thousands) The Company believes these non-GAAP financial measures provide meaningful supplemental information as they are used by the Company’s management to evaluate the Company’s operating performance, enhance a reader’s understanding of the financial performance of the Company, and facilitate a better comparison among fiscal periods and performance relative to its competitors, as these non-GAAP measures exclude items that are not considered core to the Company’s operations.
(2) EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure defined as Net Income before Interest, Income Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization (3) One-time Pottsville restructuring charges reflect the closure of the Company’s Pottsville, Pennsylvania films plant (4) EBITDA margin is defined as EBITDA divided by Sales