2Q 2017 Earnings Presentation August 10, 2017 Forward Looking - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2Q 2017 Earnings Presentation August 10, 2017 Forward Looking - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
2Q 2017 Earnings Presentation August 10, 2017 Forward Looking Statements 2 This presentation contains certain statements that may be deemed forward - looking statements within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of
2Q 2017 Earnings Presentation – August 10, 2017
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Forward Looking Statements
This presentation contains certain statements that may be deemed “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. All statements, other than statements of historical fact, that address activities, events or developments that our management intends, expects, projects, believes or anticipates will or may occur in the future are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements may be identified by words like "expect," "anticipate," "estimate," “outlook”, "project," "strategy," "intend," "plan," "target," "goal," "may," "will," "should" and "believe" or other variations or similar terminology. Although we believe forward-looking statements are based upon reasonable assumptions, such statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual results or performance of the company to be materially different from any future results or performance expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to: our inability to achieve some
- r all of the anticipated benefits of the spin-off from Honeywell including uncertainty regarding qualification for expected tax treatment, indebtedness incurred in
connection with the spin-off, and operating as an independent, publicly traded company; fluctuations in our stock price; general economic and financial conditions in the U.S. and globally; growth rates and cyclicality of the industries we serve; the impact of scheduled turnarounds and significant unplanned downtime and interruptions of production or logistics operations as a result of mechanical issues or other unanticipated events such as fires, severe weather conditions, and natural disasters; price fluctuations and supply of raw materials; adverse trade and tax policies; extensive environmental, health and safety laws that apply to our operations; litigation associated with chemical manufacturing and our business operations generally; loss of significant customer relationships; protection of our intellectual property and proprietary information; cybersecurity incidents; failure to maintain effective internal controls; and prolonged work stoppages as a result of labor difficulties. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date
- f this presentation. Such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and actual results, developments and business decisions may
differ from those envisaged by such forward-looking statements. We identify the principal risks and uncertainties that affect our performance in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2016. Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation includes certain non‐GAAP financial measures intended to supplement, not to act as substitutes for, comparable GAAP measures. Reconciliations of non‐GAAP financial measures to GAAP financial measures are provided in the appendix of the presentation. Investors are urged to consider carefully the comparable GAAP measures and the reconciliations to those measures provided. Non-GAAP measures in this presentation may be calculated in a way that is not comparable to similarly-titled measures reported by other companies.
2Q 2017 Earnings Presentation – August 10, 2017
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Overview
- Continued Strong Results in 2Q17: Sales $361M, Net Income $26M, Cash Flow from
Operations $30M
- Strong Operating Performance and Production Output Across Manufacturing Sites
- Favorable 1H17 Conditions Across Nylon and Intermediates; Nitrogen Fertilizer
Fundamentals Remain Challenging
- 2Q17 Planned Plant Turnarounds Completed Successfully; Expect 4Q17 Planned
Turnaround Impact to Pre-Tax Income of ~$20M
- Global Caprolactam Supply / Demand Dynamics Normalizing with Industry Spreads
Moderating From 1H17 Highs
2Q 2017 Earnings Presentation – August 10, 2017
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2Q 2017 Financial Summary
Improved Financial Results Driven by Strong Operational Performance
$308.4 $361.4
- Volume +3%, Price +14%
– Raw Material Pass Through +10%, Market Pricing +4%
$34.1
11.1%
$54.6
15.1%
- Improved Production Volume and Favorable Market Pricing
- EBITDA Margin Up 400 bps vs. Prior Year
$15.0 $25.8
- Interest Expense $1.9M
$0.49 $0.83
- EPS Up 69% vs. Prior Year
- Share Count 31.0 Million (Diluted)
$23.1 $15.0
- Cash Flow From Operations $30M
- Capex $15M, ~Flat vs. Prior Year
- Working Capital Timing, Turns Remain Greater Than 20
Comments
2Q 2016 2Q 2017
($ Millions, Except Per Share Amounts)
Sales EBITDA
Margin %
Net Income Free Cash Flow EPS
See Appendix in this presentation for a reconciliation of EBITDA, EBITDA Margin, and Free Cash Flow, which are non-GAAP measures; Free cash flow = net cash provided by operating activities less capital expenditures
2Q 2017 Earnings Presentation – August 10, 2017
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Nylon Market Outlook
Global Caprolactam Supply / Demand Dynamics Normalizing
What We’re Seeing What We’re Expecting Nylon
- Pricing/spreads more regionalized:
tighter supply conditions in NA and Europe, dynamic China supply environment
- Price increases more than
covering raws
- North America supply/demand
remains in balance
- Continued dynamic China
supply environment
- Resin pricing continues to track
underlying caprolactam
(1) Sources: Tecnon OrbiChem and PCI Wood Mackenzie Asia = Caprolactam Asia Import Contract (Taiwan & S. Korea) Global Composite = Weighted Avg Spreads From U.S., Europe, China, Other Asia
Spread ($/MT)
Key Industry Spreads (1)
2Q17 YoY 2Q17 vs. 1Q17 Global Composite BNZ-CPL 30% (-9%) Asia BNZ-CPL 31% (-27%) Asia CPL-Resin 17% (-7%) 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 Global Composite BNZ-CPL Spread Asia BNZ-CPL Spread Asia CPL-Resin Spread
2Q 2017 Earnings Presentation – August 10, 2017
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Ammonium Sulfate (AS) Market Outlook
AS Pricing Stable Sequentially; Nitrogen Fundamentals Remain Challenging
What We’re Seeing What We’re Expecting Ammonium Sulfate
- Global urea supply additions
continue to pressure nitrogen pricing
- Nitrogen demand impacted by
low global grain pricing
- Late planting season demand
tailing off
- Tough agriculture fundamentals
for 2017 / 2018 planting season
- Cautious buying behavior ahead
- f new season fill
- Sustain AS value proposition on
sulfur nutrition
(1) As reported in Blue, Johnson
Key Industry Prices (1)
Avg Corn Belt AS price (granular $/ston N content basis) 2Q17 YoY 2Q17 vs. 1Q17 Corn Belt Granular AS 0% 1% Corn Belt Urea (-15%) (-22%) Avg Corn Belt Urea price ($/ston N content basis) 300 400 500 600 700 800 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600 Jan-16 Feb-16 Mar-16 Apr-16 May-16 Jun-16 Jul-16 Aug-16 Sep-16 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17
Avg Corn Belt AS price (granular $/ston N content basis) Avg Corn Belt Urea price ($/ston N content basis)
2Q 2017 Earnings Presentation – August 10, 2017
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Chemical Intermediates Market Outlook
Stable End Market Environment
What We’re Seeing What We’re Expecting Chemical Intermediates
- Phenol / Acetone demand
steady; Industry turnaround activities tighten supply
- Refinery grade propylene (RGP)
input price up significantly in 1H17
- Stable North America market
environment
- Acetone supply/demand in
balance
Key Industry Prices (1)
Cents per Pound
(1) As reported in IHS Markit 2Q17 YoY 2Q17 vs. 1Q17 Acetone, Large Buyer 42% (-6%) Refinery Grade Propylene 43% (-13%) 20 40 60
Acetone, Large Buyer Refinery Grade Propylene
2Q 2017 Earnings Presentation – August 10, 2017
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Operational Excellence
Driving Higher Uptime, More Stable Production and Higher Returns
- 1H17 Production Up 7% vs. Prior Year and 9% Above 2012-2015
Average
– Continuing to Benefit from Upgrades and Reliability Improvements
- Driving Maturity of our Mechanical Integrity Programs,
Turnaround Excellence
– Focused Maintenance Capex Drives More Stable Production, Higher Returns – Critical Equipment Initiative Enhances Long-Term, Reliable Supply Position
- 2017 Planned Turnarounds Expected to be In-Line with Historical
Levels in Total
– Turnarounds Key to Safe, Sustainable and Improved Operations – 2Q17 Turnaround Completed on Time and on Budget – 4Q17 Turnaround: Expect ~$20M Impact to Pre-Tax Income
2012-2015 Avg 1H16 1H17
Annualized Plant Production
Frankford Annual Capacity: 1.1B lbs Phenol Hopewell Annual Capacity: 795M lbs Caprolactam Chesterfield Annual Capacity: 440M lbs Nylon 6 Resin
2Q 2017 Earnings Presentation – August 10, 2017
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2H 2017 Framework
Continued Strong Plant Production, Monitoring Market Pricing Nylon Spreads
- North America supply/demand remains balanced
- Potential capacity adds in China
Ammonium Sulfate Pricing
- Seasonal demand to drive pricing
- Higher export volume 2H17 vs. 1H17
Raw Materials
- Movement in oil-based raw materials impacts top-line
- ~50% of sales covered by formula price agreements
Operations
- Continued high utilization rates
- 4Q17 planned turnaround impact to pre-tax income of ~$20M
Capital Expenditures
- 1H17 capex ~$48M, continue to expect ~$90M FY17
- Elevated HSE spend
2H17 vs. 1H17 Expectations
2Q 2017 Earnings Presentation – August 10, 2017
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Summary
- Strong Sales, Production, Earnings and Cash Flow in 1H17
- Favorable 1H17 Nylon and Intermediates Environment, While Nitrogen Fertilizer
Fundamentals Remain Challenging
- Driving Maturity of our Mechanical Integrity Programs, Turnaround Excellence
- Sustainable Low-Cost Position, Higher-Value Product Mix Supports Outperformance
2Q 2017 Earnings Presentation – August 10, 2017
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Appendix: Reconciliation of non-GAAP Measures to GAAP Measures
2Q 2017 Earnings Presentation – August 10, 2017
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Reconciliation Of Net Cash Provided By Operating Activities To Free Cash Flow
(in $ thousands)
Three Months Ended June 30, Six Months Ended June 30, 2017 2016 2017 2016 Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities $ 29,586 $ 37,812 $ 60,792 $ 41,853 Expenditures for Property, Plant and Equipment (14,571) (14,666) (47,785) (39,292) Free Cash Flow (1) $ 15,015 $ 23,146 $ 13,007 $ 2,561
(1) Free Cash Flow is a non-GAAP measure and defined as Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities less Capital Expenditures The Company believes that this metric is useful to investors and management as a measure to evaluate our ability to generate cash flow from business operations and the impact that this cash flow has on our liquidity.
2Q 2017 Earnings Presentation – August 10, 2017
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Reconciliation Of Net Income To EBITDA
(in $ thousands) Three Months Ended June 30, Six Months Ended June 30, 2017 2016 2017 2016 Net Income $ 25,766 $ 15,008 $ 53,059 $ 42,402 Interest Expense 1,873 — 3,412 — Income Taxes 15,317 9,213 32,265 25,370 Depreciation and Amortization 11,663 9,869 22,959 19,657 EBITDA (2) $ 54,619 $ 34,090 111,695 87,429 Prior Year One-Time Benefit (3) — 15,500 EBITDA Excluding Prior Year One-Time Benefit $ 111,695 $ 71,929 Sales $ 361,441 $ 308,418 $ 738,145 $ 608,248 EBITDA Margin (4) 15.1% 11.1% 15.1% 14.4% EBITDA Margin Excluding Prior Year One-Time Benefit 15.1% 11.8%
(2) EBITDA is a non-GAAP measure and defined as Net Income before Interest, Income Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization (3) Prior Year One-Time Benefit reflects the $15.5 million one-time benefit in 1Q 2016 related to the termination of a long-term supply agreement (4) EBITDA Margin is defined as EBITDA divided by Sales
The Company believes these non-GAAP financial measures provide meaningful supplemental information as they are used by the Company’s management to evaluate the Company’s operating performance, enhance a reader’s understanding of the financial performance of the Company, and facilitate a better comparison among fiscal periods and performance relative to its competitors, as these non-GAAP measures exclude items that are not considered core to the Company’s operations.