21 st September 2006 2006 Interim Results Presentation Forward - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
21 st September 2006 2006 Interim Results Presentation Forward - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
21 st September 2006 2006 Interim Results Presentation Forward looking statements This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future
Page 3 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Forward looking statements
This presentation may contain forward-looking statements and information that both represents management's current expectations or beliefs concerning future events and are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements.
Page 4 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Interim Results Presentation
Highlights Simon Lockett Financial Results Tony Durrant Exploration & Appraisal Robin Allan Production & Development Neil Hawkings
Page 5 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Highlights
Page 6 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Operational highlights
2006 successes on Dua, Lembu Peteng, Macan Tutul, Lukah, and West Lobe, with more wells to follow
- Operated drilling
success in Indonesia & Vietnam
- Significant progress
- n new gas sales in
Pakistan & Indonesia Zamzama, Bhit, Badhra, Kadanwari, Zarghun, Qadirpur, North Sumatra Block A, Natuna Sea Block A Production up on 2005 full year average (33,235 boepd), tangible progress towards 50,000 boepd target
- Production of 33,521
boepd
Production Profile by Region (boepd)
2006 60000 80000 2007 2008 2009 2010 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 70000Production Profile (boepd)
2006 60000 80000 2007 2008 2009 2010 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 Potential new projects Booked reserves 70000 Asia M/East & Pakistan West Africa North Sea- Acquisition in North
Sumatra with significant upside 110 bcf net undeveloped certified reserves, with a ready gas buyer. Significant potential upside
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Financial highlights
- Expenditures on track
$50m exploration $100m development Significant cash inflow in January 2006
- Profit after tax - up
64% to $33.7m Rising oil and gas prices, stable production
1H 2005 1H 2006
64%
- Healthy cashflow – up
218% to $172.3m Disciplined approach to expenditure
1H 2005 1H 2006
218%
- Improved balance
sheet Half year net cash position of $43.8m vs. year end net debt position of $26.2m
End 2005 1H 2006
- 26.2m
+43.8m
Page 8 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Asia Building on our Natuna Sea position
- Lembu trend appraisal
and Anoa oil finds
- Dua & Swan
development studies
- Blackbird exploration
well results in Q4
- North Sumatra
Development Planning
- Gas sales and Ratna
negotiations ongoing
Asia
Middle East / Pakistan Enhancing the Pakistan gas business
- Continuing production
growth
- New gas contracts
and field expansion
- New business focus in
the region
Middle East/Pakistan
Page 9 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
North Sea Returning to growth
- Frøy development plan on track
- Applications in UK and Norway licensing rounds
- UK Peveril well in 4th Quarter
North Sea
West Africa Building a new core Business
- Seeking to optimise Chinguetti development
- Tiof development studies
- High impact exploration in Guinea Bissau
and Congo
West Africa
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Financial Results
Page 11 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Production and Income Statement
Working Interest Production (mboepd) Entitlement Interest Production (mboepd) Realised oil price ($/bbl) Realised gas price ($/mcf) Sales and other operating revenues Cost of sales Exploration/New Business General and administration costs Operating profit Financial Items Profit before taxation Taxation Profit after tax
Prepared in accordance with IFRS
12 months to 31 Dec 2005 6 months to 30 June 2005 33.3 28.7 48.4 3.8 34.8 30.2 38.1 3.4 $m 149.3 (73.7) (5.7) (9.1) 60.8 1.2 62.0 (41.5) 20.5 Highlights Underlying operating costs per barrel flat at $5.2/bbl Includes $9.2m of exploration write-off principally in Egypt Effective tax rate of 43% of gross profit Includes $15.9m of mark-to-market hedging adjustments Strong gas prices in Singapore Average 1% premium to Brent crude Oil and gas split steady at around 30/70 6 months to 30 June 2006 33.5 31.0 66.5 5.3 $m 219.6 (85.5) (15.8) (8.2) 110.1 (18.6) 91.5 (57.8) 33.7
Page 12 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Cashflow
Net cash flow from operations Net interest Taxation Operating cash flow Capital expenditure Pre licence exploration costs Net cash flow before financing
6 months to 30 June 2005 $m 6 months to 30 June 2006 $m
223.6 (1.3) (50.0) 172.3 (95.9) (6.6) 69.8 93.9 (0.1) (39.6) 54.2 (62.0) (-) (7.8)
2006 2005 Development 95.9 62.0 Exploration 28.0 34.0 Acquisitions
- 17.0
39.0 39.9
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Balance Sheet
Intangibles Producing and Development Assets Cash and Equivalents Net Working Capital Long-Term Debt Provisions Net Assets
As at 31 December 2005 $m As at 30 June 2006 $m
111.6 570.1 43.8 (54.8)
- (258.3)
412.4 63.9 568.9 38.5 5.5 (63.6) (250.5) 376.1
Unused facility of $275 million Favourable movement in working capital due to cargo delivery schedule Net cash resources of $43.8 million at period end Vietnam farm-out will complete after Blackbird well
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Commodity pricing compared with hedges 2003-2012
Dated Brent Oil ($/bbl)
80.00 20.00 100.00 03 70.00 60.00 50.00 40.00 30.00 90.00 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 Year
HSFO Singapore 180 ($/metric tonne)
450.00 150.00 500.00 03 400.00 350.00 300.00 250.00 200.00 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 Year
Commodity Price and Forward Curve Average Cap Average Floor
Page 15 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Financial strategy
- Disciplined exploration spend of $50 million on a pre-tax basis – under
review for 2007 in light of E&A success
- Strong balance sheet and unused funding available for development
capital and acquisitions
- Fully capturing current oil and gas pricing
- Buyback programme available according to market conditions
Page 16 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Exploration Highlights
Page 17 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Blocks 12E & W Operator – Premier
- Dua (spudded 1st May 2006)
- Blackbird
- Swan commericalisation
- pportunities for 2007
- Falcon, Peacock and Quit:
follow-on prospects
Dua Structure
12E-CS-1X
Blackbird Structure
Quit Peacock Falcon Swan Dua Blackbird
Vietnam
Canary
Page 18 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Dua-1X
12-A-1X Dua-1X Discovery Dua-2X Premier Dua-4X
5km
Vietnam - Dua
Premier Dua-5X
Page 19 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
- Dua-4x and -4xst
intersected gas- bearing reservoirs
- Dua-5x intersected
gas and oil-bearing reservoirs
Premier Dua-4X & -4Xst Premier Dua-5X
Additional oil and gas discoveries in shallower reservoirs
Vietnam – new Dua
NCS sandstones NCS carbonates
Page 20 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Indonesia drilling update – Natuna A PSC
Natuna Sea Block A PSC
- 2006 Success in:
- Macan Tutul-1
- Lembu Petang-1
- Lukah-1
- Planned Ibu Lembu
follow-up drilling Q4 2006
Lembu Peteng-1 Lukah-1 Macan Tutul-1
Page 21 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation Ibu Lembu-1
Lembu Peteng follow-up potential
- A new oil and gas trend within tie-back
distance to existing infrastructure
Lembu Peteng-1 Lembu Peteng
Page 22 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Exploration – the next 12 months
West Africa
Guinea Bissau: Eirozes-1 Espinafre-1 Mauritania : Kibaro-1 Gabon : Themis-1
M/East & Pakistan
Pakistan : Anne-1
Asia
Indonesia : Ibu Lembu-1 : 3-4 further wells (commencing September) : Kakap Vietnam : Blackbird-1 : Dua-5x India : Masimpur-3 : Hailakandi-1 : Kanchanpur-1
North Sea
UK : Peveril 2007 JAN FEB MAR APR OCT NOV DEC MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP 2006 SEP Appraisal wells Exploration wells Contingent Wells High impact wells
Page 23 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Vietnam – opportunity set
Flamingo Major high, 3D repro being interpreted Swan Possible well to test gas volumes in SW of closure Quit Risky but big potential Blackbird In success case, 3D April 2007, appraisal well April 2008 Falcon & Others On trend, follow-up to Blackbird Jay Near field exploration to Dua Chim Dau Near field exploration to Dua Dua Field Further appraisal
Page 24 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation Existing Well 12E-LX-1X Drilled outside structure Premier 12E-CS-1X Planned at crest 12E-LX-1X Thick sands with residual oil; drilled close to mapped contact Anticipated Oil Water Contact at spill-point
Blackbird Prospect – estimated 80 million barrels reserves potential
Vietnam - Blackbird
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Indonesia drilling programme - 2007
Lembu Peteng-2
Natuna Sea Block A PSC
- 3-4 wells are planned
for 2007. Contenders are shown
Ibu Lembu Kakap Lembu Tenggiling Ganesha Tupai
Page 26 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
India high-impact wells
Cachar Block
- 2 Tcf gas prospect
- Masimpur-1 mobilising for December 2006 spud
- Hailakandi-1 & Kanchanpur-1 follow-up wells,
each with high potential
Masimpur Anticline
NW Primary Target: Oligocene Renji Formation Seismic line POC-03-12 SE
Page 27 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Pakistan – Anne high impact exploration
Anne-1 E W
- Key well for Indus
Delta
- 300 million barrels
potential
- Now scheduled for
July 2007
Page 28 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Gabon and Congo
Page 29 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Block Marine IX Highly prospective block, with significant reserve potential. Premier 58.5% – Operator
Congo high impact exploration
Kitina 150 m bbls Moho 110 m bbls N’Kossa 280 m bbls
Frida Prospect
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Congo Block IX : Frida Prospect
- Decree authorising award of PSC issued May 19th
- Presidential approval expected in August 2006
- JOA signed by all parties
- Possible drilling end 2007–early 2008
- Estimated reserves >200MMBO
Top Lower Albian depth map with Miocene channel depth overlay
Page 31 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
South Gabon Exploration Portfolio
Gabon : Dussafu and Themis PSC’s
Moubenga-1 discovery Walt Whitman-1 discovery GMC-1 discovery
Themis Marin PSC
- 2005 3D
- Rig contracted for 3Q
2007 well Dussafu Marin PSC
- Large oil-prone block
- Reassessing existing
discoveries previously regarded as ‘sub- commercial’ at lower
- il prices
- Finalising prospects for
2007-8 drilling (subject to rig availability)
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- At $50/bbl oil price economics
generates $7 NPV/bbl
- Firm drilling programme
commencing January 2007
Guinea Bissau high-impact wells
135 mbbls 100 mbbls 180 mbbls 80 mbbls 151 mbbls 230 mbbls 110 mmbbls Eirozes 190m bbls 300 mmbbls Espinafre 70 mbbls
Sinapa-1 Sinapa-2,2z
175 mbbls 190 mbbls 30 mbbls
Page 33 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation North
Eirozes-1 Proposed Well (WD= 120 metres)
Eirozes Prospect: mean reserves 190 million barrels
Top Albian Sand Salt South
Guinea Bissau high-impact wells
Page 34 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Espinafre Prospect: mean reserves 70 million barrels
North Top Albian Sand Salt South
Espinafre-1 Proposed Well (WD= 34 metres)
Guinea Bissau high-impact wells
Page 35 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
UK exploration - Peveril
Blocks 39/2, 39/7
- Premier share 30%
- Carried interest
- 40m bbl prospect
- Close to Fife
infrastructure
- Drilling December 2006
Peveril Prospect
Page 36 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
UK exploration - Peveril
Page 37 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Building for the future
- Licensing Rounds – outstanding applications
- Indonesia
- Egypt
- Norway
- UK
- Out-of-round applications
- Farm-ins
- Acquisitions
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Operational Highlights
Page 39 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Vietnam – moving Block 12 into development
Page 40 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Indonesia - North Sumatra Block A
- Certified 110 bcf (~18mmboe) net
discovered gas reserves with a ready gas buyer at a good price.
- 20+ exploration prospects, 1.5 tcf+ gross
- Partnership with ConocoPhillips, Medco and
Japex (Premier Interest 16.67%)
- Low initial entry cost of $17 million
Page 41 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Indonesia – Natuna Sea Block A
Anoa Development – GSA 1
- Existing oil and gas process
and export Wet Gas Area
- Potential for Liquids
Development
- Further Appraisal
required Gajah Baru
- Focus of GSA2 Plans
- 500 Bcf of Certified
Reserves
- First Gas 2010
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Indonesia – ongoing Anoa development
West Lobe Central Lobe East Lobe Anoa Field 3D Reservoir View
- West Lobe development drilling proceeding well
- 67 ft oil column confirmed in Central Lobe area -
Potential to significantly increase Anoa oil production
- 100 ft hydrocarbon bearing interval encountered above
the main Anoa reservoir
- Tie-in Opportuinity - Macan Tutul
- Further 2007 Exploration Opportunities
Page 43 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Indonesia – Block A drilling plans
JUL 2006 SEP NOV SEP NOV JUL MAY MAR JAN 2007 2006 Drilling Programme West Lobe Wells – Batch Drilled West Lobe Well Completions Ibu Lembu SA-21 WO Rig on contract to Serica 2007 Drilling Programme Central Lobe Development and Comp E&A Well 1 E&A Well 2 West Lobe-5 E&A Well 3 E&A Well 4 (Option)
Indonesia
Page 44 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Kadanwari
- Further development drilling to proceed
in 2006 and 2007 Qadirpur
- Further plant expansion to proceed
- Term sheet agreed for further 100
mmscfd from 2008
- Deeper reservoir being drilled
Zamzama
- Phase 2 project progressing to plan
- 150 mmscfd - first gas in 2007
Bhit/Badhra
- GSA awaiting formal signature
- First gas in 2008
Zarghun South
- Agreement reached on GSA
Pakistan - a continually growing gas business
K18 K17 K16
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Mauritania – optimising the Chinguetti development
- Production commenced at ~70,000 bopd, 5,700 bopd net Premier
- Current production 30,000 to 35,000 bopd - complex reservoir architecture
- Reserves under review by Operator
- Further development drilling in Q4 2006 (Phase 2A)
- Additional development wells also being considered for 2007-8 (Phase 2B and 3)
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- New seismic acquired and processed
- Geological model constructed
- Reservoir model being built
- Development concept selection under way
- 20-50 mmbbl of reserves
- Development Plan submission mid-2007
- First oil 2010
Norway - progressing the Frøy development
FPSO Jack-up with Processsing
Page 47 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Building for the future
- Premier is continually seeking new opportunities to add
production growth opportunities to our portfolio via:
- Acquisitions
- License Rounds
- Farm-ins
- During the first half of the year we have been actively
pursuing new production growth opportunities
Page 48 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Summary
Page 49 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Strategy
Progress
- Drilling a high quality
exploration programme, already yielding results
- Gained Sumatra entry
via acquisition
- Norway organic growth
starting to deliver
- Delivering growth in
existing assets in Pakistan & Indonesia Strategy
- Targeting
production growth to 50,000 bopd
- Minimum of 4 high
impact wells per annum within disciplined spend
- Acquisitions focus
- n core areas
- Operating in 4
regional Businesses
Page 50 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
5 Year production potential
Production Profile by Region (boepd)
2006 60000 80000 2007 2008 2009 2010 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000 70000
Production Profile (boepd)
2006 60000 80000 2007 2008 2009 2010 50000 40000 30000 20000 10000
(NB: Only includes discovered hydrocarbons (no exploration success assumed or acquisitions))
Potential new projects Booked reserves 70000 Asia M/East & Pakistan West Africa North Sea
Page 51 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Exploration – the next 12 months
West Africa
Guinea Bissau: Eirozes-1 Espinafre-1 Mauritania : Kibaro-1 Gabon : Themis-1
M/East & Pakistan
Pakistan : Anne-1
Asia
Indonesia : Ibu Lembu-1 : 3-4 further wells (commencing September) : Kakap Vietnam : Blackbird-1 : Dua-5x India : Masimpur-3 : Hailakandi-1 : Kanchanpur-1
North Sea
UK : Peveril 2007 JAN FEB MAR APR OCT NOV DEC MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP 2006 SEP Appraisal wells Exploration wells Contingent Wells High impact wells
Page 52 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation
Look Ahead
- Close out gas sales contracts in Indonesia/Pakistan
- Commercialise Frøy, Dua & North Sumatra
- High impact exploration in Guinea Bissau, Vietnam,
India, UK and Pakistan
- Actively target acquisitions in core areas
Page 53 | 2006 Interim Results Presentation www.premier-oil.com