Long-Term Program & Accommodation Strategy 2017 - 2026 Accommodation and Space Ward 11: St. Paul’s March 1, 2018 Daniel Castaldo, Joyce Kwong and Nechama Hirchberg: TDSB Planning
Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space 1 Welcome / Introductions 2 Long-Term Program and Accommodation Strategy (LTPAS) 3 Actions Taken to Date 4 Enrolment, Demographics and Residential Development 5 Midtown in Focus 6 Upcoming Studies in the LTPAS 2017-26 7 Capital Funding and Education Development Charges 8 Update on Hodgson MS – Addition Project 9 Questions / Comments? 10 Conclusion 2
Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space Provides an approach to program and • accommodation planning with a ten-year timeframe . Allows for responsiveness and flexibility in a • changing environment by including an annual cycle of review. Outlines guiding principles and studies to • address accommodation issues and program priorities across the system. First approved by the Board of Trustees in • May 2014. Presented annually for approval, latest • version approved in June 2017. Includes an annual work plan for the • upcoming school year. Available on the TDSB public website: http://www.tdsb.on.ca/AboutUs/StrategyPlanning/LongTermProgramandAccommodationStrategy.aspx 3
Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space Summary of Actions Taken Since 2015: New French Extended program at Forest Hill Jr. & Sr. PS to mitigate enrolment growth at Eglinton Jr. PS • Boundary change between Eglinton Jr. PS and Northlea E&MS (Ward 13) • Boundary change between Hodgson MS and Glenview Sr. PS (Ward 8) • Grade changes at five local schools – junior / intermediate system to a junior / middle school system • Approval for the complete rebuild of Davisville Jr. PS, adding over 200 new pupil places • Approval for a large addition at Hodgson MS, adding over 270 new pupil places • Internal renovations at Hodgson MS • 1 additional instructional classroom created for September 2017 • Internal renovations at Forest Hill Jr. PS • 3 additional instructional classrooms and one multi-purpose room created through internal renovation for September • 2017 Internal renovations at Eglinton Jr. PS • 1 additional seminar/resource room created for September 2017 • 2 more instructional classrooms to be created for September 2018 • Boundary changes between Brown Jr. PS and Deer Park Jr. & Sr. PS to mitigate enrolment growth at Brown Jr. PS • Internal renovations at Deer Park Jr. & Sr. PS • 2 additional instructional classrooms to be created for September 2018 • 4
Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space Enrolment, Demographics and Residential Development 5
Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space Elementary enrolment has Changes in Enrolment at Ward 11 Schools • increased by a total of 435 students since 2015 (+6%) + 647 System (+1.8%) • + 435 Projections suggest • elementary enrolment will continue to increase substantially to 2022 + 22 - 91 Secondary enrolment has • remained stable since 2015 System (-1.5%) • Projections suggest that • secondary enrolment will remain relatively stable; optional attendance is reduced as in-district enrolment grows Based on June 2017 Enrolment Projections 6
Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space School By School Enrolment Projections - Elementary Grade Site Actual Projected Projected Elementary Schools Capacity Utz. Utz. Utz. Range Size Enrolment* 2022** 2027** Brown Junior Public School JK ‐ 6 2.67 601 596 99% 519 86% 442 74% Cedarvale Community School JK ‐ 8 4.03 383 421 110% 435 114% 412 108% Cottingham Junior Public School JK ‐ 6 2.64 104 157 151% 175 168% 177 170% Davisville Junior Public School/Spectrum Alt. Sr. PS*** 3.81 731 643 88% 774 106% 745 102% JK ‐ 5, SK ‐ 6 / 7 ‐ 8 Deer Park Junior and Senior Public School JK ‐ 8 4.92 508 494 97% 604 119% 625 123% Eglinton Junior Public School JK ‐ 5 1.61 507 574 113% 774 153% 803 158% Forest Hill Junior and Senior Public School JK ‐ 8 6.18 843 789 94% 791 94% 802 95% Hillcrest Community School JK ‐ 6 2.37 424 361 85% 372 88% 381 90% Hodgson Senior Public School*** 6 ‐ 8 4.18 666 550 83% 832 125% 863 130% Humewood Community School JK ‐ 8 3.83 611 601 98% 607 99% 587 96% J R Wilcox Community School JK ‐ 8 2.87 411 330 80% 385 94% 383 93% Maurice Cody Junior Public School JK ‐ 5 2.89 709 637 90% 615 87% 619 87% McMurrich Junior Public School JK ‐ 6 2.91 601 513 85% 572 95% 570 95% Oriole Park Junior Public School JK ‐ 5 3.14 242 275 114% 266 110% 267 110% West Preparatory Junior Public School JK ‐ 6 4.05 529 547 103% 490 93% 487 92% Winona Drive Senior Public School 7 ‐ 8 3 455 421 93% 485 107% 493 108% *As of October 31, 2017 **PRELIMINARY LONG ‐ TERM ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS ‐ SUBJECT TO CHANGE ***Reflects updated capacity after construction is complete 7
Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space School By School Enrolment Projections - Secondary Grade Site Actual Projected Projected Secondary Schools Capacity Utz. Utz. Utz. Range Size Enrolment* 2022 2027 Forest Hill Collegiate Institute 9 ‐ 12 6.72 789 983 125% 907 115% 866 110% North Toronto Collegiate Institute 9 ‐ 12 4.76 1,233 1,266 103% 1,274 103% 1,298 105% Northern Secondary School 9 ‐ 12 7.39 1,785 1,790 100% 1,767 99% 1,807 101% *As of October 31, 2017 **PRELIMINARY LONG ‐ TERM ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS ‐ SUBJECT TO CHANGE School By School Enrolment Projections - Summary As a whole, elementary enrolment is projected to increase across the Ward. • The degree of enrolment growth will vary, i.e. not all schools will experience accommodation • pressure and/or require some form of intervention. Secondary enrolment is projected to remain stable over the mid to long-term. • Over 50% of regular track enrolment at Ward 11 secondary schools is made up of students • attending from out of boundary (optional attendance). As local enrolment increases the number of students admitted on optional attendance will • decrease. 8
Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space Residential Development Summary Nearly 20,000 residential units • are proposed or under construction within the attendance areas of Ward 11 elementary schools. Vast majority – nearly 75% - • fall within the Eglinton Jr. PS attendance area. Some schools fall within • stable ‘Neighbourhoods’ areas, where intensification is discouraged. Growth is focused along the • ‘Avenues’ , and the intersections like Yonge- Eglinton, Yonge-Davisville and Yonge-St. Clair 9
Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space Elementary Utilization Rate – Actual Enrolment 2017 Ward 11 This ‘heat map’ displays the level of elementary school utilization across the City 10
Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space Elementary Utilization Rate – Projected Enrolment 2021 Ward 11 Note that this map reflects the ‘known’ Based on June 2016 Enrolment Projections development information and demographic data at a single point in time 11
Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space Elementary Utilization Rate – Projected Enrolment 2026 Ward 11 Note that this map reflects the ‘known’ Based on June 2016 Enrolment Projections development information and demographic data at a single point in time 12
Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space Midtown in Focus Y onge-Eglinton Secondary Plan 13
Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space Midtown in Focus is an extensive City of Toronto-led study that will result in: • Updates to the existing Yonge-Eglinton Secondary Plan • Infrastructure assessments and strategies, including Community Services and • Facilities TDSB Planning staff have been meaningfully engaged in this process for over two • years. The new plan for Midtown aims to ensure growth positively contributes to the vitality • and livability of the community, and that infrastructure keeps pace with development. Local public schools are critical elements of Community Services and Facilities. • City Council in 2016 identified new school capacity as an infrastructure priority, due to • the inability of existing local school capacity to absorb the projected growth rate Strategies will identify space and facility needs, and set out priorities to support future • growth. They will be used to guide development review and inform future facility planning. 14
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