2017 - 2026 Accommodation and Space Ward 11: St. Pauls March 1, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Long-Term Program & Accommodation Strategy

Accommodation and Space Ward 11: St. Paul’s

March 1, 2018

Daniel Castaldo, Joyce Kwong and Nechama Hirchberg: TDSB Planning

2017 - 2026

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

1 Welcome / Introductions 2 Long-Term Program and Accommodation Strategy (LTPAS) 3 Actions Taken to Date 4 Enrolment, Demographics and Residential Development 5 Midtown in Focus 6 Upcoming Studies in the LTPAS 2017-26 7 Capital Funding and Education Development Charges 8 Update on Hodgson MS – Addition Project 9 Questions / Comments? 10 Conclusion

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

Available on the TDSB public website: http://www.tdsb.on.ca/AboutUs/StrategyPlanning/LongTermProgramandAccommodationStrategy.aspx

• Provides an approach to program and

accommodation planning with a ten-year timeframe .

• Allows for responsiveness and flexibility in a

changing environment by including an annual cycle of review.

• Outlines guiding principles and studies to

address accommodation issues and program priorities across the system.

• First approved by the Board of Trustees in

May 2014.

• Presented annually for approval, latest

version approved in June 2017.

• Includes an annual work plan for the

upcoming school year.

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

Summary of Actions Taken Since 2015:

• New French Extended program at Forest Hill Jr. & Sr. PS to mitigate enrolment growth at Eglinton Jr. PS
• Boundary change between Eglinton Jr. PS and Northlea E&MS (Ward 13)
• Boundary change between Hodgson MS and Glenview Sr. PS (Ward 8)
• Grade changes at five local schools – junior / intermediate system to a junior / middle school system
• Approval for the complete rebuild of Davisville Jr. PS, adding over 200 new pupil places
• Approval for a large addition at Hodgson MS, adding over 270 new pupil places
• Internal renovations at Hodgson MS
• 1 additional instructional classroom created for September 2017
• Internal renovations at Forest Hill Jr. PS
• 3 additional instructional classrooms and one multi-purpose room created through internal renovation for September

2017

• Internal renovations at Eglinton Jr. PS
• 1 additional seminar/resource room created for September 2017
• 2 more instructional classrooms to be created for September 2018
• Boundary changes between Brown Jr. PS and Deer Park Jr. & Sr. PS to mitigate enrolment growth at Brown Jr. PS
• Internal renovations at Deer Park Jr. & Sr. PS
• 2 additional instructional classrooms to be created for September 2018

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

Enrolment, Demographics and Residential Development

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

Changes in Enrolment at Ward 11 Schools

+ 435 + 647 + 22

• 91
• Elementary enrolment has

increased by a total of 435 students since 2015 (+6%)

• System (+1.8%)
• Projections suggest

elementary enrolment will continue to increase substantially to 2022

• Secondary enrolment has

remained stable since 2015

• System (-1.5%)
• Projections suggest that

secondary enrolment will remain relatively stable;

• ptional attendance is

reduced as in-district enrolment grows

Based on June 2017 Enrolment Projections

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

School By School Enrolment Projections - Elementary

Elementary Schools

Grade Range Site Size Capacity Actual Enrolment* Utz. Projected 2022** Utz. Projected 2027** Utz.

Brown Junior Public School

JK‐6 2.67 601 596 99% 519 86% 442 74%

Cedarvale Community School

JK‐8 4.03 383 421 110% 435 114% 412 108%

Cottingham Junior Public School

JK‐6 2.64 104 157 151% 175 168% 177 170%

Davisville Junior Public School/Spectrum Alt. Sr. PS***

JK‐5, SK‐6 / 7‐8

3.81 731 643 88% 774 106% 745 102%

Deer Park Junior and Senior Public School

JK‐8 4.92 508 494 97% 604 119% 625 123%

Eglinton Junior Public School

JK‐5 1.61 507 574 113% 774 153% 803 158%

Forest Hill Junior and Senior Public School

JK‐8 6.18 843 789 94% 791 94% 802 95%

Hillcrest Community School

JK‐6 2.37 424 361 85% 372 88% 381 90%

Hodgson Senior Public School***

6‐8 4.18 666 550 83% 832 125% 863 130%

Humewood Community School

JK‐8 3.83 611 601 98% 607 99% 587 96%

J R Wilcox Community School

JK‐8 2.87 411 330 80% 385 94% 383 93%

Maurice Cody Junior Public School

JK‐5 2.89 709 637 90% 615 87% 619 87%

McMurrich Junior Public School

JK‐6 2.91 601 513 85% 572 95% 570 95%

Oriole Park Junior Public School

JK‐5 3.14 242 275 114% 266 110% 267 110%

West Preparatory Junior Public School

JK‐6 4.05 529 547 103% 490 93% 487 92%

Winona Drive Senior Public School

7‐8 3 455 421 93% 485 107% 493 108%

*As of October 31, 2017 ***Reflects updated capacity after construction is complete **PRELIMINARY LONG‐TERM ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS ‐ SUBJECT TO CHANGE

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

School By School Enrolment Projections - Secondary School By School Enrolment Projections - Summary

• As a whole, elementary enrolment is projected to increase across the Ward.
• The degree of enrolment growth will vary, i.e. not all schools will experience accommodation

pressure and/or require some form of intervention.

• Secondary enrolment is projected to remain stable over the mid to long-term.
• Over 50% of regular track enrolment at Ward 11 secondary schools is made up of students

attending from out of boundary (optional attendance).

• As local enrolment increases the number of students admitted on optional attendance will

decrease.

Secondary Schools

Grade Range Site Size Capacity Actual Enrolment* Utz. Projected 2022 Utz. Projected 2027 Utz.

Forest Hill Collegiate Institute

9‐12 6.72 789 983 125% 907 115% 866 110%

North Toronto Collegiate Institute

9‐12 4.76 1,233 1,266 103% 1,274 103% 1,298 105%

Northern Secondary School

9‐12 7.39 1,785 1,790 100% 1,767 99% 1,807 101%

*As of October 31, 2017 **PRELIMINARY LONG‐TERM ENROLMENT PROJECTIONS ‐ SUBJECT TO CHANGE

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

Residential Development Summary

• Nearly 20,000 residential units

are proposed or under construction within the attendance areas of Ward 11 elementary schools.

• Vast majority – nearly 75% -

fall within the Eglinton Jr. PS attendance area.

• Some schools fall within

stable ‘Neighbourhoods’ areas, where intensification is discouraged.

• Growth is focused along the

‘Avenues’ , and the intersections like Yonge- Eglinton, Yonge-Davisville and Yonge-St. Clair

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

Elementary Utilization Rate – Actual Enrolment 2017 Ward 11

This ‘heat map’ displays the level of elementary school utilization across the City

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

Elementary Utilization Rate – Projected Enrolment 2021

Based on June 2016 Enrolment Projections

Ward 11

Note that this map reflects the ‘known’ development information and demographic data at a single point in time

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

Elementary Utilization Rate – Projected Enrolment 2026

Based on June 2016 Enrolment Projections

Ward 11

Note that this map reflects the ‘known’ development information and demographic data at a single point in time

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

Midtown in Focus Y

• nge-Eglinton Secondary Plan

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

• Midtown in Focus is an extensive City of Toronto-led study that will result in:
• Updates to the existing Yonge-Eglinton Secondary Plan
• Infrastructure assessments and strategies, including Community Services and

Facilities

• TDSB Planning staff have been meaningfully engaged in this process for over two

years.

• The new plan for Midtown aims to ensure growth positively contributes to the vitality

and livability of the community, and that infrastructure keeps pace with development.

• Local public schools are critical elements of Community Services and Facilities.
• City Council in 2016 identified new school capacity as an infrastructure priority, due to

the inability of existing local school capacity to absorb the projected growth rate

• Strategies will identify space and facility needs, and set out priorities to support future
• growth. They will be used to guide development review and inform future facility

planning.

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

• The Midtown in Focus study included an assessment of long-term population growth

potential beyond 2031 – a ‘soft site’ analysis that was unique to this process.

• Long-term forecasted population estimates provided by the City are under review by

TDSB Planning Staff to determine the number of additional pupil places required to support this growth.

• Given that local TDSB elementary schools are situated on small, constrained sites that

lack opportunities for significant expansion, the provision of new school infrastructure could be explored as part of a mixed-use development.

• Proposed policies within the Yonge-Eglinton Secondary Plan will encourage this

alternative model of school accommodation.

• The infrastructure strategies being developed in partnership with the City will require

that developers give greater consideration to the accommodation needs of the TDSB.

• Concurrently, the TDSB continues to work through the internal criteria for

accommodating schools in mixed-use developments.

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

What could this look like?

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

Yonge-Eglinton Growth Estimates

Source: City of Toronto Midtown in Focus, Growth Estimates, February 10, 2018

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

• This graphic identifies the existing built form of the Yonge-Eglinton Centre as well as all approved development proposals as of

June 2017

• Vast majority of growth is projected to occur within the Eglinton Jr. PS attendance area

• Jr. PS

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

• This graphic expands upon the previous slide by including all proposed residential development as of June 2017 (note: not all

developments will materialize as proposed)

• Jr. PS

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

• This graphic reflects the long-term potential build out of the Yonge-Eglinton area as per the built form directions contained

within the draft Yonge-Eglinton Secondary Plan (2051+)

• Jr. PS

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

How is the TDSB going to manage this?

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

Upcoming Studies:

• As per the approved LPTAS, the Board will be undertaking a series of studies over the next 12 months that will

seek to manage continued enrolment growth at local schools.

• Short Term: Boundary change study – Eglinton Jr. PS & Maurice Cody Jr. PS (Currently underway)
• This study is exploring a potential boundary change that could see a small portion of Eglinton Jr. PS’

attendance area assigned to Maurice Cody Jr. PS.

• Pending the conclusion of a public process and Board approval, this could be implemented for

September 2018.

• Mid Term: Yonge-Eglinton PART Phase II (Fall 2018 – Spring 2019)
• This study will continue to explore a series of accommodation options for mitigating growth at local

elementary schools, particularly at Eglinton Jr. PS.

• This could include boundary, grade and/or program changes
• Capital funding from the Ministry of Education may be required to implement the outcome(s)
• This study will include the Bannockburn property, a former elementary school located at northwest of

the Yonge-Eglinton area that could accommodate up to 300 students. The building is currently leased to a private school.

• The redirection of new residential development to schools outside of the area will be explored, similar

to the regime implemented on the west side of Yonge Street.

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

• The Board will also continue to work with the City on developing policies and strategies to support the

provision of new schools within the community.

• Example: any developer proposing an intensification project within a prescribed radius of Eglinton Jr. PS be

required to engage with the TDSB on opportunities to provide school space within the development.

• Advocacy for appropriate planning and financial tools will continue:
• TDSB should have access to Education Development Charges
• Planning Act needs to better reflect the needs of school boards in high density urban environment

(currently too suburban in its approach)

• TDSB Planning staff will work with population forecasts provided by the City to quantify the number of

additional elementary and secondary students that could be expected over the long-term, I.e. the quantum of space the Board will require over the next 25 – 30 years.

• This will assist the Board in justifying the provision of additional school space within the Yonge-Eglinton area

to the Ministry of Education.

• This work will be supported by an updated pupil yield study that has recently been completed by TDSB

Planning Staff

• The Board has and will continue to be unsupportive of residential development applications given that long-

term accommodation solutions are not yet available.

• This does not mean that future development will or can be stopped (no statutory ability)

Long-Term:

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

TDSB Capital Funding Challenges & Education Development Charges

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

TDSB Capital Funding Challenges

• The Toronto District School Board is not currently eligible to levy an Education

Development Charge (EDC)

• An EDC by-law would allow the TDSB to levy charge against all new residential (per unit)

and non-residential development (per GFA) across the City.

• As per current legislation , these funds are only to be used for the acquisition of land and

not the actual construction of new schools or additions to existing schools.

• The current regulation prohibits school boards with excess system-wide capacity from

passing an Education Development Charge by-law.

• An analysis suggests that there are well over 246 school communities across the City where

residential intensification will contribute to enrolment growth, many of these schools do not have existing space and/or land to accommodate this growth.

• A total of 280,450 residential units are in various stages of the development approvals

process and will become occupied between 2018 and 2033.

• The TDSB has taken a strong position that this regulation should be amended to allow the

Board to plan effectively– Growth should pay for growth

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

TDSB Capital Funding Challenges

• Earlier this week the Toronto District School Board filed a legal challenge with the Ontario

Superior Court of Justice, known as a judicial review, requesting that the existing EDC policy and regulatory framework be reviewed

• The desired outcome is an amended regulation that does not preclude the TDSB from

accessing EDC’s, which is an inequity (TCDSB has access)

• Why? The current EDC regulation O.20/98 is not in accord with the Education Act
• We have a statutory requirement to provide adequate accommodation for all

students within the City and the EDC regulation prevents the Board from doing this.

• The Education Act provides school board with a tool to accommodate students in

areas where schools are required – this tool is an EDC.

• School boards across the Province have no statutory authority to stop or prevent
• development. The Superior Court has held that school boards have a legislated tool

available to accommodate development - an EDC

EDC’s Continued

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Update on Hodgson MS

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Ward 11 Forum – Accommodation and Space

• In November 2016 the Ministry of Education provided a funding approval of $5.8M to construct a 12-

Classroom addition at Hodgson MS

• This project was required to support the implementation of an accommodation plan whereby grade 6

students from overutilized junior elementary schools were directed into Hodgson MS, formally a grade 7-8 Senior school.

• Since the business case for the addition was submitted in July 2016, TDSB Planning Staff has produced a set of

revised enrolment projections for local schools that suggests a much higher rate of growth than had been anticipated.

• TDSB Planning Staff have also been working very closely with City of Toronto Planning staff through the

Midtown in Focus process to understand long-term urban structure changes and associated projected population growth.

• This revised enrolment projection for Hodgson MS suggests that the 12-classroom addition may be

insufficient to accommodate the projected long-term enrolment.

• Over the next few weeks the architects will be reviewing the project to determine if a third storey could be

added, which could provide up to 7 more classrooms.

• Board staff have also asked the architects to explore a design for a completely new school. This would not
• nly provide the additional capacity necessary and flexibility required, but could also include larger program

spaces like gymnasium and library.

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Ward 11 Forum – Accommodation and Space

Responding to Change Residential Development Applications

Since the conclusion of the Yonge-Eglinton PART a total of 7,600 new residential units have been proposed within the catchment area of Hodgson MS. These units were not included in the projections used to justify the 12-classroom addition at Hodgson MS.

1 Pupil Yield Factors 2

TDSB Planning staff has completed an extensive study of all existing units within the catchment area of Eglinton Jr. PS, a feeder school to Hodgson MS, to understand the shift in pupil yields emanating from new development in the area. This study found that pupil yields had increased for new condominium developments. Factoring these higher yields into enrolment projections for Eglinton Jr. PS and adjacent junior schools has resulted in a higher long-term scenario.

Midtown in Focus – City

• f Toronto Growth

Projections 3

The City of Toronto is also working to meet the hard and soft infrastructure levels required to serve the rate of population growth in the Yonge- Eglinton Centre. The City is currently preparing a new Secondary Plan for the area that includes a robust growth analysis. The TDSB has been working closely with the City through this process. Current City estimates for the Secondary Plan area –based on approved and/or pipeline development projects – suggest that the population will increase from 66,000 to 94,000 people by 2031, then potentially to 127,000 by 2051. Any opportunity to secure additional capacity should be explored

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Thank

You

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

TDSB Capital Funding Challenges

• Capital projects at the TDSB are currently funded by only two sources;

1. Ministry of Education Capital Priority grants 2. TDSB revenue generated by the disposition of properties 1. Capital Priority Grants

• Limited funds for new capital projects are available provincially, every year there only

millions available to fund billions of dollars in requests

• All school boards across the province submit project proposals, up to 10
• This process cannot address all of the capital needs of school boards across the

Province

• The funding ‘pot’ varies from year to year; there no guarantee as to whether or not

capital funds will be made available, nor if/how many will be supported

• Doesn’t provide the autonomy necessary for effective long-term planning

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Ward 11 Forum – LTPAS, Accommodation and Space

TDSB Capital Funding Challenges

2. Disposition of Property

• The TDSB is also expected to sell properties to generate revenue for school renewal,

this is a recent shift in provincial direction (2015)

• A special exemption must be granted by the Minster of Education if this funding

source is to be applied to a new school/addition

• The process undertaken to review a site for potential sale is extremely challenging,

contentious and lengthy

• Often at odds with the local community and/or the City of Toronto’s objectives
• The TDSB must be able to plan for the future and to preserve options should new

schools be required in these communities over the long, long-term

• This is not a sustainable approach to capital funding and the Board has mostly

exhausted these opportunities where they once existed