2012 Annual Passenger Counts Joint Powers Board Meeting April 5, - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2012 Annual Passenger Counts

Joint Powers Board Meeting April 5, 2012

Presentation Outline

• Purpose and Count Methodology
• 2012 Count Results
• Conclusions and Next Steps
• 2

Purpose of Ridership Counts

• Provide a measurement relative to previous

years

• Data for evaluating service changes
• Identify trends: station, time, train, direction
• Allocate resources
• Validate revenue-based ridership estimates
• Identify potential access issues
• Parking capacity, connectivity
• 3

Data Collection Methodology

• Headcounts on every weekday train

averaged over 5 weekdays

• Headcount on every weekend train for one

weekend only

• Cost of approximately $200,000
• Differs from monthly revenue based on

average weekday ridership

• Count data adjusted for previous years to

correct counting data error

• First time bikes denied boarding counted
• 4

AWR: 1997 – 2012

5

96 trains 96 trains 98 trains 96 trains 86 trains 76 trains 90 trains 86 trains

Riders by Time Period: 2011 vs 2012

6

Feb 2011 86 Trains Feb 2012 86 Trains Difference % Change Traditional Peak

18,262 20,473 2,211 12.1%

Midday

4,587 4,870 283 6.2%

Reverse Peak

12,768 14,353 1,585 12.4%

Night

2,162 2,658 497 23.0%

TOTAL

37,779 42,354 4,576 12.1%

2011 Station Ridership

7

• 27 Stations increased ridership 2011 vs 2012
• 2 stations decreased/maintained ridership 2011

vs 2012

San Fran 774 22nd St. 216 Bayshore 27 SSF 24 San Bruno 28 Millbrae 279 Burlingame 74 San Mateo 130 Hayward Park 39 Hillsdale 214 Belmont 85 San Carlos 67 Redwood City 293 Menlo Park 159 Palo Alto 632 California Ave. 174 San Antonio 133 Mountain View 301 Sunnyvale 177 Lawrence 76 Santa Clara 60 College Park 11 San Jose 507 Tamien 76 Capitol 8 Morgan Hill 7 Gilroy 3 Blossom Hill

• 1

San Martin

Station Rank - Top 10

8

2011 86 trains 2012 86 trains Change In AWR % AWR Growth Station Rank AWR Rank AWR San Francisco 1 8,897 1 9,670 774 8.7% Palo Alto 2 4,028 2 4,661 632 15.7% Mountain View 3 3,368 3 3,670 301 8.9% San Jose Diridon 4 2,681 4 3,187 507 18.9% Millbrae 5 2,600 5 2,880 279 10.7% Redwood City 6 2,106 6 2,399 293 13.9% Hillsdale 7 1,883 7 2,097 214 11.4% Sunnyvale 8 1,787 8 1,965 177 9.9% Menlo Park 9 1,347 9 1,477 130 9.7% San Mateo 10 1,312 10 1,471 159 12.1%

County-by-County Comparison

9

County 2011 AWR 2012 AWR Change % San Francisco 10,071 11,088 1,017 10.1% San Mateo 12,285 13,678 1,393 11.3% Santa Clara 15,423 17,588 2,165 14.0% TOTAL 37,779 42,354 4,575 12.1%

All counties see double digit increase in ridership

Gilroy Extension Ridership

• Gilroy extension ridership was declining prior to

introduction of Baby Bullet service

• Numbers represent cumulative ridership for 4

stations

• 2001: 1524
• 2005: 598
• FY 2006 Service was reduced to 3 trains
• 2009 counts: 393
• 2010 counts: 323 (-70 AWR)
• 2011 counts: 348 (+25 AWR)
• 2012 counts: 366 (+18 AWR)
• Ridership has decreased 6.8% since 2009

10

11

2012 Riders per Train Type

Peak-period average ridership per train type

Train Type Feb 2011 Feb 2012 Percent Change Baby Bullet 547 615 12.4% Limited 472 532 12.9% Local 288 304 5.5%

• Robust growth on all service types; particularly those

with shorter travel times

• Demonstrates the need for a family of services

2012 Maximum Loads - Top 5

12

NORTHBOUND February Peak Month (adjusted +16%) Train # Depart SJ Max Load Seats Full Max Load Seats Full

329 8:03 AM 698 107% 810 125% 323 7:45 AM 675 104% 783 120% 369 4:45 PM 625 96% 725 112% 319 7:03 AM 607 93% 704 108% 217 6:57 AM 577 89% 670 103%

SOUTHBOUND February Peak Month (adjusted +16%) Train # Depart SF Max Load Seats Full Max Load Seats Full

378 5:33 PM 675 104% 783 120% 324 8:14 AM 626 96% 726 112% 280 5:56 PM 616 95% 715 110% 372 5:14 PM 609 94% 707 109% 314 7:14 AM 575 88% 667 103%

Midday Boardings: 2011 to 2012

NORTHBOUND Train Total Boardings % Change 2011 2012 135 480 555 15.6% 237

• 139

436 432

• 1.0%

155 391 441 12.7% 257

• 159

574 582 1.4% TOTAL 1,881 2,009 6.8% SOUTHBOUND Train Total Boardings % Change 2011 2012 134 395 474 19.8% 236

• 138

421 436 3.8% 154 438 489 11.7% 256

• 158

780 846 8.4% TOTAL 2,034 2,246 10.4%

• Midday ridership increases despite reduction of 4 trains
• Ridership growth particularly on shoulder peak trains

Average Trip Length

Average trip length for 2012 has decreased slightly from 23.1 in 2011

14

Train Type Average Trip Length (miles) Weekday 22.8 Baby Bullet 28.3 Peak Non-Baby Bullet 20.1 Off Peak 20.5 All Locals 20.2

Average Weekday Bicycle Ridership

15

• 2012 saw a 15.8% increase in AWBR
• 31% increase in bike spaces completed in

June 2011

4,243 1,614 1,860 2,271 2,334 2,382 2,890 2,659 3,664

500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013

Year AWBR

Bikes-Denied Boardings

• First time bike denials counted
• Will continue to count in future
• Results consistent with self-reporting and

information shared in Board reading files

• Denials found for trains:

– 324, Bombardier, at SF, 22nd, and Millbrae – 369, Bombardier, at Hillsdale and Palo Alto – 378, Gallery, at Millbrae

• 16

Bicycle Boardings: Top 5 Stations

17

Station 2011 AWBR 2012 AWBR % Change San Francisco 895 1,051 17.5% Palo Alto 430 520 20.9% Mountain View 320 374 17.0% Redwood City 217 263 21.1% San Jose Diridon 229 248 8.3%

2012 Bicycle Top 10 Max Load

Train No. Type Departs Max Load AWBR 220 G 7:44 AM SF 73 102 230 G 8:44 AM SF 73 90 267 G 4:39 PM SJ 70 95 277 G 5:39 PM SJ 69 92 373 G 5:25 PM SJ 59 71 324 B 8:14 AM SF 59 68 369 B 4:45 PM SJ 57 66 322 G 7:59 AM SF 57 62 332 G 8:59 AM SF 54 60 379 G 5:45 PM SJ 53 60

B - Bombardier Car; G - Gallery Car

19

Weekend Service

2011 2012 2011 to 2012 % Change Saturday 12,309 11,460

• 849
• 6.9%

Sunday 8,554 8,746 192 2.2% TOTAL 20,863 20,206

• 657
• 3.1%

2011 2012 Saturday Sunday Saturday Sunday Broadway 115 59 86 68 Atherton 75 47 56 45

Weekend Pilot Bullet Service

Southbound (Sat + Sun) Train Feb 2011 Feb 2012 428 700 565 802 365 373 430 524 496 442 885 729 804 434 440 444 477 389

• Ridership decreased but Bullet service

remains robust

Northbound (Sat + Sun) Train Feb 2011 Feb 2012 427 750 626 801 589 618 429 722 694 441 665 618 803 288 329 445 542 474

20

Conclusions

• Ridership is at an all-time high - exceeds

previous high seen in 2010

• Sign of local economic recovery
• All weekday service sees growth
• All three counties saw ridership increases
• On-board bike ridership increased with

expanded on-board capacity

• Weekend, particularly Saturday, ridership

decrease under review

• 21

Next Steps

• FY 2013 budget remains challenging with fuel price

increases and relies heavily on one-time funding sources

• Staff remains very concerned about the projected

deficit for FY 2014 which will require finding additional one-time funds absent any dedicated revenue source for Caltrain operations

• FY 2014 final budget subject to negotiations

between the JPB partners

• 22

Next Steps

• Ridership growth strains capacity in peak periods
• Data will be used to develop potential service

scenarios that

• Positively impact the greatest numbers of

customers possible

• Balances fiscal constraints with continued

growing demand for service

• Timing of any service increase must contemplate
• perator transition to TASI