2011 Interim Results
4 August 2011
2011 Interim Results Agenda Introduction Andy Stevens Chief - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
4 August 2011 2011 Interim Results Agenda Introduction Andy Stevens Chief Executive Officer Financial Results Warren Tucker Chief Financial Officer Business Review Andy Stevens Q&A 1 1 2011 Interim Results Cobham plc
4 August 2011
Cobham plc 1 2011 Interim Results 1
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* Core businesses. See Appendix for definitions, including underlying, used throughout this presentation.
2011 Interim Results
Full Year 2010 H1 2010 H1 2011 Change £m £m £m 1,902.6 Revenue 963.4 891.9 (7.4%) 348.4 Trading Profit 167.2 166.9 (0.2%) 18.3% Trading Margin 17.4% 18.7% 1.3pts 306.1 Underlying Profit before Taxation 144.6 148.9 3.0% 19.68p Underlying Earnings Per Share 9.29p 9.76p 5.1% 5.0% PV Spend %* 5.2% 5.6% 0.4pts
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%
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2011 Interim Results *Excludes Excellence in Delivery
Full Year 2010 H1 2010 H1 2011 Growth £m £m £m 342.4 Trading Profit (ex. JV) 164.7 163.4 (0.8%) 271.4 Operating Cash Flow 135.1 158.7 17.5% 79.3% Operating Cash conversion 82.0% 97.1% 15.1pts 218.6 Free Cash Flow from Business 103.0 128.9 25.1% 86.5 Decrease/(Increase) in Net Debt 39.3 (51.5) 6.00p Dividend per Share 1.628p 1.800p 10.6%
*
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Defence Communications (ex CDS) Antenna Systems (ex CDS) Aerospace and Security (CAS) Defence Systems (CDS) Aviation Services (CAvS) Mission Systems (CMS) US Composites + Passive Microwave (ex CDS) Analytic Solutions (ex CDS)
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Core businesses – seven Strategic Business Units (SBUs) Non-core businesses – two SBUs Analytic Solutions Commercial Systems
Divisions
Avionics (ex CAS) Beacons (ex CMS)
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2011 Interim Results
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Excludes FX, Acquisitions and Disposals. Prior year are proforma numbers for illustration purposes 2011 Interim Results – see appendix for definition of core businesses
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Excludes FX, Acquisitions and Disposals. Prior year are proforma numbers for illustration purposes 2011 Interim Results – core as defined on slide 5
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Excludes FX, Acquisitions and Disposals. Prior year are proforma numbers for illustration purposes 2011 Interim Results - core as defined on slide 5
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Excludes FX, Acquisitions and Disposals. Prior year are proforma numbers for illustration purposes 2011 Interim Results - core as defined on slide 5
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Excludes FX, Acquisitions and Disposals. Prior year are proforma numbers for illustration purposes 2011 Interim Results - core as defined on slide 5
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Cumulative exceptional cost
Benefits Exceptional costs
Exit run-rate for 2013 is £65m
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Actual Forecast Plan
H1
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H2 H2
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2011 Interim Results - core as defined on slide 5
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2011 Interim Results
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2011 interim results COGS (Ceramic Oxygen Generating System) RAIMS (Radio & Audio Interface Management System) 17
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2011 interim results *Based on Airbus analysis 18
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2011 interim results OBIGGS – On Board Inert Gas Generation Systems 19
Time
Fixed wing Unmanned
Commercial Regional
Retrofit
Military Civil
Rotary
Civil OEM adoption Military OEM adoption
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Key: live site
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2011 interim results - core as defined on slide 2. Group revenue analysis on slide 34 22
USA 51% (2010: 55%) Other EU countries 15% (2010: 14%) Australia 14% (2010: 11%) UK 10% (2010: 10%) RoW 10% (2010: 10%)
US Defence / Security 42% (2010: 47%) Non US Defence / Security 29% (2010: 26%) Commercial/GA 21% (2010: 17%) Other Communication 8% (2010: 10%)
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HIGHER LOWER BUILDING SCALE IN TOP 3 Commercial Systems (Avionics & Beacons) Aviation Services MARKET GROWTH
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Defence/ Security Commercial
Size of bubble represents Cobham revenue
Analytic Solutions Antenna Systems Mission Equipment
Tactical Comms & Surveillance (TC&S) Sensor Systems Aerospace Comms Life Support
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2011 - 2012 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Announcements Exhibitions/ Air Shows
8 Preliminary Results 26 AGM & Interim Management Statement w/c 9 Farnborough Air Show 9 Interim Management Statement w.c. 12 DSEI Exhibition, London 9 (TBC) Interim Results
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Full Year 2010 H1 2006 H1 2007 H1 2008 H1 2009 H1 2010 H1 2011 0.7% Core Businesses Organic Revenue Growth 5.8% 5.9% 12.0% 1.5% 3.0% (2.6)% 3.8% Earnings Per Share Growth (constant translation) 9.9% 15.3% 19.2% 18.7% 3.6% 5.8% 79.3% Operating Cash Conversion 71.1% 75.1% 116.3% 87.4% 82.0% 97.1% 5.0% Core Businesses PV Spend % * 6.3% 5.7% 6.1% 6.0% 5.2% 5.6% Defence/Security (8)% Commercial 12% (2.6)%
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Programme/Platform Ship Set Values US$k Military Fast Jets / Trainers F16 $500-$800 F/A 18 E/F/G $880-$4,000 F35 $1,300 Eurofighter Typhoon $1,500 Hawk $500 Rafale $150 PC-7 $160 T50 $220 Gripen $160-$500 Medium / Large Military C17 $500 C130/KC130 $700-$4,000 UAV / Missiles Predator/Reaper $300-$600 AMRAAM $120 AARGM $140 PAC3/Patriot $200 Global Hawk $1,900-$2,200 Rotary EH101 $400-$600 Apache $580 CH53K $400 MH60/UH60 $300-$650 V22 $1,000 Commercial A320 $60 A350 $100 A380 $230 B737 $120 B787 $110-$150 C919 $35 SK105 $350 Naval DDG 1000 $2,600 Aegis DPYIDV $2,400
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2040
Ship Set Value Aircraft Production
$1,200 Some reduction in LRIP $20 $410 $500 $700 $950 $1,300
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SOLO Transmitter Camera Camera Mobile surveillance Camera Camera Camera Car Camera Camera Camera Mobile surveillance SOLO Transmitter
Key
Mesh 1 Mesh 2 SOLO link out
Police command Police command
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Full Year 2010 H1 2010 H1 2011 Growth 26.5% Underlying Tax Rate 26.5% 25.5% Earnings Per Share 19.68p Underlying 9.29p 9.76p 5.1% 13.27p Basic 6.55p 6.96p 13.20p Diluted 6.50p 6.93p 6.00p Dividend Per Share 1.628p 1.800p 10.6% 19.00p Free Cash Flow Per Share 8.96p 11.26p 25.7%
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Full Year 2010 H1 2010 H1 2011 £m £m £m 342.4 Trading Profit (excluding joint ventures) 164.7 163.4 57.9 Depreciation and other movements 27.8 23.8 (71.8) Decrease/(Increase) in working capital and provisions (29.6) (4.9) (57.1) Net Capital expenditure (27.8) (23.6) 271.4 Operating cash flow 135.1 158.7 (21.6) Taxation paid (14.9) (17.4) 6.0 Dividends received from JVs 2.8 4.5 (37.2) Interest (20.0) (16.9) 218.6 Free cash flow 103.0 128.9 (64.6) Dividends paid
(13.4) Restructuring costs (0.3) (20.1) (5.9) Acquisition payments less disposal proceeds, other related costs and loans to JVs (9.4) (72.0) (28.8) Product damages award
Issue of share capital less purchase of treasury shares 10.0 (65.7) (26.5) Exchange movements (64.0) 27.2 86.5 Decrease/(Increase) in net debt 39.3 (51.5) 326.1 Net Debt 373.3 377.6 0.8 Net Debt : EBITDA 0.9 0.9
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£m H1 2010 H1 2011 Organic Growth H1 2010 H1 2011 Cobham Aerospace and Security 355.9 309.3 (4.9)% 80.2 68.8
Margin 22.5% 22.2%
Cobham Defence Systems 179.3 149.8 (11.0)% 22.5 27.3
Margin 12.5% 18.2%
Cobham Mission Systems 157.7 167.7 4.1% 26.5 35.0
Margin 16.8% 20.9%
Cobham Aviation Services 131.3 149.9 7.5% 15.7 21.4
Margin 12.0% 14.3%
Head Office and eliminations (3.6) (4.0) 4.0 1.0 Core Group businesses 820.6 772.7 (2.6)% 148.9 153.5
Margin 18.1% 19.9%
Non core businesses 142.8 119.2 18.3 13.4 Cobham Group 963.4 891.9 (3.9)% 167.2 166.9
Margin 17.4% 18.7%
Revenue Trading Profit
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USA 56% (2010: 60%) Other EU countries 13% (2010: 13%) Australia 12% (2010: 9%) UK 9% (2010: 9%) RoW 10% (2010: 9%)
US Defence / Security 47% (2010: 51%) Non US Defence / Security 25% (2010: 23%) Commercial/GA 20% (2010: 16%) Other Communication 8% (2010: 10%)
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Historic average effective rate 2007 $1.83 : £1 2008 $1.93 : £1 2009 $1.70 : £1 2010 $1.58 : £1
Dollar/Euro exposure predominantly hedged for 2011 with $43m @ 1.38, 2012 $32m @ 1.35
2011 Total 2013 to 2014 $195m Hedging in place $183m $73m 94% hedged for 2011 Avg hedge rate $1.56: £1 $90m Avg hedge rate $1.61: £1 Hedging in place Avg hedge rate $1.61: £1 2012
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2011
Full Year Opening Half Year Half Year Income Statement (average rate) 1.55 1.53 1.61 Balance Sheet (closing rate) 1.57 1.61 1.50 1.61
2010
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Full Year 2010 H1 2010 H1 2011 £m £m £m 230.1 Operating profit 119.9 113.4 17.5 Business restructuring (1.1) 19.2 2.8 Unrealised losses/(gains) on revaluation of currency instruments 14.7 (1.1) 63.3 Amortisation of intangible assets arising on acquisition 32.7 33.6 28.8 Settlement of commercial dispute
M&A deferred & contingent payment & expenses 1.0 1.8 348.4 Trading profit 167.2 166.9 (42.3) Net underlying finance expense (22.6) (18.0) 306.1 Underlying profit before taxation 144.6 148.9
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£m Year to 31/12/09 Year to 31/12/10 Organic Growth Year to 31/12/09 Year to 31/12/10 Cobham Aerospace and Security 704.6 681.8 (4.6)% 162.2 155.7
Margin 23.0% 22.8%
Cobham Defence Systems 362.2 361.7 (1.3)% 56.3 53.2
Margin 15.5% 14.7%
Cobham Mission Systems 290.3 320.8 9.8% 50.1 65.1
Margin 17.3% 20.3%
Cobham Aviation Services 230.9 273.5 7.2% 31.3 36.4
Margin 13.6% 13.3%
Head Office and eliminations (11.6) (7.8) (0.1) 1.7 Core Group businesses 1,576.4 1,630.0 0.7% 299.8 312.1
Margin 19.0% 19.1%
Non core businesses 304.0 272.6 37.2 36.3 Cobham Group 1,880.4 1,902.6 (0.3)% 337.0 348.4
Margin 17.9% 18.3%
Revenue Trading Profit
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Focus on Defence, Security & Commercial markets Sell technically differentiated products & services Build sustainable scale positions Actively manage the portfolio
that we can can add value and manage risk across the portfolio
attractive characteristics, and in which we can maintain a sustainable competitive advantage
investment, maintain market leadership and deliver long term business growth
deliver distinctive technologies or capabilities to accelerate our organic growth
Deliver operational excellence
standardising processes, integrating operations and building operational capabilities
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Underlying To assist with the understanding of earnings trends, the Group has included within its published statements trading profit and underlying earnings results. Trading profit has been defined as operating profit from continuing operations excluding the impacts of certain transaction related costs and business restructuring costs as detailed below. Also excluded are the marking to market of currency instruments not realised in the period and items deemed by the Directors to be of an exceptional nature. Underlying earnings are defined as trading profit less net underlying finance expense, which excludes the unwinding of acquisition related discounting, and after deducting taxation and non- controlling interests. Transaction related costs excluded from trading profit and underlying earnings include the amortisation of intangible assets recognised on acquisition, the writing off of the pre-acquisition profit element of inventory written up on acquisition and other direct costs associated with business combinations and disposals. Business restructuring costs Net debt Business restructuring costs comprise exceptional costs or profits associated with the restructuring of the Group‟s businesses including costs associated with the Excellence in Delivery programme. Net debt is defined as the net of cash and cash equivalents less borrowings at the balance sheet date. Operating Cash Flow Operating cash flow is defined as cash generated from operations, after cash flows from the purchase or disposal of tangible fixed assets. Operating cash conversion is defined as operating cash flow as a percentage of trading profit, excluding profit from joint ventures. Free cash flow is operating cash flow after net interest and taxation. Free Cash Flow per share Organic revenue growth PV Investment Core businesses Defined as free cash flow/average number of shares in issue Organic revenue growth is defined as revenue growth stated at constant translation exchange rates, excluding the incremental effect of acquisitions and disposals. Private Venture (PV or company funded R&D – Research and Development) measures exclude Aviation Services, where there is no technology investment. All numbers referring to „core businesses‟ exclude Analytic Solutions and Commercial Systems as the Group plans to divest these activities.
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AARGM Advanced Anti-Radiation Guided Missile Acq Acquisition AMRAAM Advanced Medium-Range Air-to-Air Missile C4ISR Command, Control, Communications, Computers, Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance CAGR Compound Annual Growth Rate CAS Cobham Aerospace and Security CAvS Cobham Aviation Services CDS Cobham Defence Systems CMS Cobham Mission Systems COGS Ceramic Oxygen Generating Unit DoD Department of Defense EBITDA Earnings Before Interest Tax Depreciation and Amortisation EiD Excellence in Delivery EPS Earnings Per Share ERP Enterprise Resource Planning EW Electronic Warfare FAA Federal Aviation Authority FX Foreign Exchange GA General Aviation IED Improvised Explosive Device IFRS International Financial Reporting Standards JSF Joint Strike Fighter JV Joint Venture MIDAESS Missile Defence Agency Engineering and Support Services MFTS Military Flying Training Services OCI Organisational Conflict of Interest OEM Original Equipment Manufacturer PBT Profit Before Tax PV Private Venture (Company funded R&D) RAIMS Radio and Audio Interface Management System R&D Research & Development RDT&E Research, Development, Test and Evaluation RoW Rest of World SATCOM Satellite Communication SBU Strategic Business Unit SOF Standard Operating Framework UAV Unmanned Aerial Vehicle WnAN Wireless network After Next
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For the purposes of the following disclaimers, references to this “document” shall be deemed to include references to the presenters‟ speeches, the question and answer session and any other related verbal or written communications. This document contains certain “forward-looking statements” with respect to the financial condition, results of
these items. Forward-looking statements are sometimes but not always identified by their use of a date in the future or such words as “anticipates”, “aims”, “due”, “could”, “may”, “should”, “expects”, “believes”, “intends”, “plans”, “targets”, “goal”, or “estimates”. By their very nature, forward-looking statements are inherently unpredictable, speculative and involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or will occur in the future. There are various factors that could cause actual results and developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to, changes in the economies, political situations and markets in which the Group
in the regulatory and competition frameworks in which the Group operates; the impact of legal or other proceedings against or which affect the Group; changes to or delays in programmes in which the Group is involved; the completion of any acquisitions and divestitures and changes in currency exchange rates. All written or verbal forward-looking statements, made in this document or made subsequently, which are attributable to Cobham or any
referred to above. Cobham does not intend to update these forward-looking statements.
2011 interim results