2 nd Quarter Earnings Alcoa Corporation July 15, 2020 Important - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

2nd Quarter Earnings

Alcoa Corporation

July 15, 2020

This presentation may contain statements that relate to future events and expectations and as such constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements include those containing such words as “anticipates,” “believes,” “could,” “estimates,” “expects,” “forecasts,” “goal,” “intends,” “may,” “outlook,” “plans,” “projects,” “seeks,” “sees,” “should,” “targets,” “will,” “would,” or other words of similar meaning. All statements by Alcoa Corporation that reflect expectations, assumptions or projections about the future, other than statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements, including, without limitation, forecasts concerning global demand growth for bauxite, alumina, and aluminum, and supply/demand balances; statements, projections or forecasts of future or targeted financial results or operating performance; statements about strategies, outlook, and business and financial prospects; and statements about return of capital. These statements reflect beliefs and assumptions that are based on Alcoa Corporation’s perception of historical trends, current conditions, and expected future developments, as well as other factors that management believes are appropriate in the circumstances. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and changes in circumstances that are difficult to predict. Although Alcoa Corporation believes that the expectations reflected in any forward-looking statements are based on reasonable assumptions, it can give no assurance that these expectations will be attained and it is possible that actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements due to a variety of risks and uncertainties. Such risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to: (a) current and potential future impacts of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic on the global economy and our business, financial condition, results of operations,

• r cash flows; (b) material adverse changes in aluminum industry conditions, including global supply and demand conditions and fluctuations in London Metal Exchange-

based prices and premiums, as applicable, for primary aluminum and other products, and fluctuations in indexed-based and spot prices for alumina; (c) deterioration in global economic and financial market conditions generally and which may also affect Alcoa Corporation’s ability to obtain credit or financing upon acceptable terms or at all; (d) unfavorable changes in the markets served by Alcoa Corporation; (e) the impact of changes in foreign currency exchange and tax rates on costs and results; (f) increases in energy costs or uncertainty of energy supply; (g) declines in the discount rates used to measure pension liabilities or lower-than-expected investment returns on pension assets, or unfavorable changes in laws or regulations that govern pension plan funding; (h) the inability to achieve improvement in profitability and margins, cost savings, cash generation, revenue growth, fiscal discipline, or strengthening of competitiveness and operations anticipated from portfolio actions, operational and productivity improvements, cash sustainability, technology advancements, and other initiatives; (i) the inability to realize expected benefits, in each case as planned and by targeted completion dates, from acquisitions, divestitures, restructuring activities, facility closures, curtailments, restarts, expansions, or joint ventures; (j) political, economic, trade, legal, public health and safety, and regulatory risks in the countries in which Alcoa Corporation operates or sells products; (k) labor disputes and/or and work stoppages; (l) the outcome of contingencies, including legal and tax proceedings (including the Australian Taxation Office matter), government or regulatory investigations, and environmental remediation; (m) the impact of cyberattacks and potential information technology or data security breaches; and (n) the other risk factors discussed in Item 1A

• f Alcoa Corporation’s Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2019, Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2020, and other reports filed by Alcoa

Corporation with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Alcoa Corporation disclaims any obligation to update publicly any forward-looking statements, whether in response to new information, future events or otherwise, except as required by applicable law. Market projections are subject to the risks described above and

• ther risks in the market.

Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements

Important information

2

Some of the information included in this presentation is derived from Alcoa’s consolidated financial information but is not presented in Alcoa’s financial statements prepared in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Certain of these data are considered “non-GAAP financial measures” under SEC rules. Alcoa Corporation believes that the presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is useful to investors because such measures provide both additional information about the operating performance of Alcoa Corporation and insight on the ability of Alcoa Corporation to meet its financial obligations by adjusting the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure for the impact of, among others, “special items” as defined by the Company, non-cash items in nature, and/or nonoperating expense or income items. The presentation of non-GAAP financial measures is not intended to be a substitute for, and should not be considered in isolation from, the financial measures reported in accordance with GAAP. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures and management’s rationale for the use of the non-GAAP financial measures can be found in the appendix to this presentation.

Non-GAAP financial measures

Important information (continued)

3

A glossary of abbreviations and defined terms used throughout this presentation can be found in the appendix.

Glossary of terms

Roy Harvey

President and Chief Executive Officer

2Q20 Financial results and business review

Operations and improvements continue amid pandemic

▪ Net loss of $197 million, or $1.06 per share; excluding special items, adjusted net loss of $4 million, or $0.02 per share ▪ Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items of $185 million ▪ Cash balance at $965 million on June 30

2Q20 Financial results

▪ No serious injuries in second quarter; maintaining comprehensive COVID-19 health and safety protocols, and supporting communities ▪ Sustained shipment levels; Bécancour restart ~90% complete ▪ Production records in Bauxite and Alumina segments ▪ Intalco curtailment announced; San Ciprián smelter consultations begun ▪ Enhanced liquidity; issued $750 million of debt maturing 2027 on July 13 ▪ Aluminum and alumina prices have increased from April lows

Business review

5

COVID-19 crisis response framework and actions COVID-19 crisis framework

Path forward to assure health, safety, business continuity

6

Global Crisis Response Team Regional Crisis Response Teams Location Crisis Response Teams

Level 1 Preparation Level 2 Initial Response Level 3 Aggressive Response Level 4 Critical Level 5 Curtailment/ Shutdown

Health Prevention Response Operations Business Continuity Plan Crisis Management Plan

Leading and Lagging Indicators

Response levels

Alcoa COVID-19 response

As of June 30, 474 (~2%) employees and contractors diagnosed with COVID-19, 97% have fully recovered

• Prioritizing health and safety of employees

in alignment with public health regulations

• Supporting employees with COVID-19;

minimizing risk of exposure for others

• Enhanced cleaning, hygiene and social

distancing protocols remain in workplace

• Global travel suspension, work from home
• Alcoa Foundation donating $4 million to fund

community response activities at Alcoa

• perating locations

Segment operational and commercial update

Operations running well; commercial activity picking up

Bauxite Aluminum

7

Alumina

Segment production and operational performance

4Q19 2Q19 3Q19 1Q20 2Q20 5.8 5.9 5.8 6.2 6.4 +9% 36.2 36.7 36.7 36.4 37.0 +2% 132 127 132 124 134 +8%

▪ Juruti quarterly shipments record ▪ First half and quarterly production records for Bauxite segment ▪ Record quarterly production rate (tonnes per day) for Alumina segment ▪ First half production records at São Luís and Wagerup ▪ Bécancour restart ~90% complete; expected to reach full production in 3Q20 ▪ Intalco curtailment underway

Average daily production, kdmt

▪ Shipments and pricing largely unaffected ▪ Bauxite demand stable ▪ Stronger Chinese metal prices supporting smelter grade alumina imports into China ▪ Value-add product percentage of sales expected to be flat 3Q vs 2Q; foundry products showing some improvement ▪ Regional premiums improving on Section 232 tariff rumors and rising Chinese imports

Commercial impacts

Average daily production, kmt Average daily production, kmt

2020 market dynamics

Prices beginning recovery with inventory build slowing

8 Sources: Alcoa analysis, Baiinfo, Aladdiny, CRU, LME, Platts. 1. Includes reported and unreported stocks at end of period.

Prices and Inventory Industry Profitability

June 2020

Alumina Aluminum

Refining production cash negative ($/t) Smelting production cash negative ($/t) Alumina price ($/t) LME aluminum cash price ($/t) Global total aluminum stocks1 (Mt)

275 262 352 323 200 250 300 350 400 1/1/20 6/30/20 FOB WA Shanxi 1,602 2,068 1,978 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200 1/1/20 6/30/20 1,772 LME SHFE 7.2 6.9 7.1 7.3 7.7 9.3 5.3 4.3 3.9 3.8 5.8 4.9 13.5 1Q20 1Q19 11.1 12.5 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 11.2 2Q20 11.0 14.2 China World ex-China 7% 8% China 15% World ex-China 1% China 15% World ex-China 15% $0-$50 cash negative $0-$100 cash negative > $100/t cash negative

Key strategic actions, 2020 programs, COVID-19 response

Continuing near and long term improvement programs

9

Key strategic actions

(October 2019)

New operating model: Creating a leaner, more integrated, operator-centric Alcoa Non-core asset sales: Generating additional cash through non-core asset sales ▪ Gum Springs treatment facility sale (January 2020) Asset portfolio review: Positioning to succeed financially in an evolving sustainable world ▪ Point Comfort refinery closure (announced December 2019) ▪ Intalco smelter curtailment (announced April 2020) ▪ San Ciprián smelter consultation (May 2020)

2020 Programs

(February 2020)

Leaner working capital: Lowering inventory, optimizing contract terms ▪ $75-100 million Productivity improvement: Lowering production costs through improved efficiencies and higher volumes ▪ ~$100 million

COVID-19 response

(March 2020)

Pension deferral: ~$220 million of U.S. pension funding deferred to 2021 via the CARES Act Capex reduction: $100 million in 2020 to new target of $375 million Other spending cuts: $60 million in 2020 from hiring, travel and other reductions, environmental/ARO deferrals

William Oplinger

Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Liquidity position and rationale for debt issuance ($M) Pro forma cash and maturity profile

Debt issuance provides optionality in uncertain times

Reasons for debt issuance

11

On July 13, issued $750 million aggregate principal amount of 5.5% senior notes due 2027 Cash proceeds provide increased liquidity and flexibility in the short term, as these major factors coincide: ▪ Signs of solid recovery in China, but timing of world ex- China economic recovery uncertain ▪ Strategic actions ongoing in 2020 include non-core asset sales and portfolio review; potentially sources, and uses, of cash ▪ Options to make other capital structure moves, including reducing nearer term maturities or pension de-risking actions if they generate stockholder value ▪ Reaffirming the basic tenets of our capital allocation framework including the mid-term proportional net debt target

77 1,500 750 500 750 500 2020 2024 2022 2021 2023 2025 2026 2027 2028 New Senior Notes Maturities as of 2Q20 Revolving Credit 965 1,701 736 Debt issue 2Q20 cash Pro forma

Cash balance Maturity profile

M, Except realized prices and per share amounts 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 Prior year change Sequential change Income statement highlights Revenue $2,711 $2,381 $2,148 $(563) $(233) Restructuring and other charges, net $370 $2 $37 $(333) $35 Provision for income taxes $116 $80 $45 $(71) $(35) Net (loss) income attributable to Alcoa Corporation $(402) $80 $(197) $205 $(277) Diluted (loss) earnings per share $(2.17) $0.43 $(1.06) $1.11 $(1.49) Adjusted income statement highlights Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items $455 $321 $185 $(270) $(136) Provision for income taxes $94 $66 $(96) $(190) $(162) Operational tax rate 46.5% 78.5% 178.3% 131.8% pts. 99.8% pts. Adjusted net loss attributable to Alcoa Corporation $(2) $(42) $(4) $(2) $38 Adjusted diluted loss per share $(0.01) $(0.23) $(0.02) $(0.01) $0.21

Quarterly income statement highlights

12

Revenues, Adjusted EBITDA, reflect softer market

Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items sequential changes, $M

Lower market prices impact Adjusted EBITDA

13 321 185 16 15 9 37 25 API 1Q20 Currency Volume Price / mix (23) Metal prices Raw materials Energy Production costs Other 2Q20 (46) (142) (27)

1Q20 2Q20 Change Bauxite $120 $131 $11 Alumina 193 88 (105) Aluminum 62 (34) (96) Segment total 375 185 (190) Transformation (16) (10) 6 Intersegment eliminations (8) 30 38 Other corporate (30) (20) 10 Total $321 $185 $(136)

Quarterly cash comparison and cash flow information Quarter ending cash balance, $M

Cash balance improves to $965 million

YTD Cash flow information, $M

14

1. Sources defined as Adjusted EBITDA excluding special items plus changes in working capital (accounts receivable, inventories, accounts payable) and proceeds from asset sales. 2. Restructuring includes payments related to divestiture of the Avilés and La Coruña facilities and severance related to implementing the new operating model. 3. Minimum required pension/all OPEB funding is reflected net of related expenses within Adjusted EBITDA.

$1,017 $834 $841 $879 $829 $965 1Q19 2Q20 2Q19 4Q19 3Q19 1Q20 +$131 $506 $199 $125

Proceeds from asset sales

Sources1 $830

Adjusted EBITDA Change in working capital

$168 $123 $90 $81 $71 $62 $56 $50 $43

Interest

Uses

Capital expenditures Pension/OPEB funding3 Net distributions to NCI Cash income taxes Restructuring2 Environmental/ARO Special items Other

$744

Key financial metrics and pension/OPEB update

Focus on balance sheet; modest pension impacts

Pension/OPEB update

15

2Q20 Days working capital

24 Days

1H20 Return on equity 1H20 Capital expenditures Proportional adjusted net debt 1H20 Free cash flow less net NCI distributions 2Q20 Cash balance

$168M $(60)M $965M (2.3)% $3.3B

Key financial metrics

Balance sheet impacts (remeasured at year end) ▪ Pension expected return on plan assets is 6.28%; preliminary actual returns were ~0% through June 30 ▪ Discount rate for pension and OPEB liabilities down ~35 and ~60 basis points, respectively, from last plan remeasurement to June 30 (pension remeasurement April 30 due to Intalco curtailment, $0.2 billion impact) Funding requirements (current estimates) ▪ ~$220 million CARES Act deferral of 2020 U.S. pension funding to January 1, 2021; nets to ~$80 million FY20 pension funding ▪ U.S. pension pre-funding balance of ~$380 million available for future funding requirements in FY21+ ▪ OPEB cash requirements ~$100 million in FY20

Impacts of announced FY20 actions, before tax and noncontrolling interest, $M

On target to achieve cash actions totaling ~$900 million

16

Cash actions

Run rate One time Deferral FY20 Key strategic actions New operating model 60 45 Non-core asset sales 200 200 Portfolio review 35-100 (25) 10-75 2020 programs Leaner working capital 75-100 75-100 Lower production costs 100 100 COVID-19 response Reduce capital expenditures 100 100 Defer environmental/ARO 25 25 Defer pension funding to 2021 220 220 Hiring, travel, other restrictions 20 15 35 Total ~225 ~400 ~260 ~900 Comments Savings at full run rate in 2Q20 Asset sale program continuing Intalco, San Ciprián processes underway DWC working capital down $138 since 12/31/19 Volume driving current improvement Spending at targeted rate Spending at targeted rate Underway using CARES Act Spending at targeted rate

YTD

FY20 Key metrics

2020 Outlook

1. Intalco curtailment reflected in outlook. 2. Estimate will vary with market conditions and jurisdictional profitability. 3. AWAC portion of FY20 Outlook: ~30% of return-seeking capital expenditures, and ~60% of sustaining capital expenditures. 4. Net of pending tax refunds. 5. As of June 30, 2020, the environmental remediation reserve balance was $323M and the ARO liability was $665M. 17

Income statement excl. special items impacts

1H20 FY20 Outlook Bauxite shipments (Mdmt) 24.3 48.0 – 49.0 Alumina shipments (Mmt) 6.8 13.6 – 13.7 Aluminum shipments (Mmt)1 1.5 2.9 – 3.0 Transformation (adj. EBITDA impacts) $(26)M ~ $(75)M Intersegment elims. (adj. EBITDA impacts) $22M Varies Other corporate (adj. EBITDA impacts) $(49)M ~ $(90)M Depreciation, depletion and amortization $322M ~ $665M Non-operating pension/OPEB expense $52M ~ $100M Interest expense $62M ~ $150M Operational tax rate2 (97.7)% Varies Net income of noncontrolling interest $106M 40% of AWAC NI

Cash flow impacts

1H20 FY20 Outlook Minimum required pension/all OPEB funding $103M ~ $180M Additional pension funding $4M Will vary based

• n market

conditions and cash availability Discretionary debt repayment $0M Stock repurchases $0M Return-seeking capital expenditures3 $31M ~ $35M Sustaining capital expenditures3 $137M ~ $340M Payment of prior year income taxes4 $47M ~ $50M Current period cash taxes2 $76M Varies Environmental and ARO payments5 $56M ~ $125M Impact of restructuring and other charges $71M TBD Note: The COVID-19 pandemic has increased the potential for variance of actual results compared to our outlook. Additional market sensitivities and business information are included in appendix.

Roy Harvey

President and Chief Executive Officer

Key takeaways

Operating well through pandemic; positioning for future

19

• Strong operating performance

YoY production increases across all segments; working capital improvements bolstering cash balance

• Care and safety

Protecting our employees and our

• perations throughout the COVID-19

pandemic

• Building our future

Increased liquidity and flexibility driving continued progress on our strategic priorities

Drive results and deliver returns to stockholders over the long term

Appendix

Strengthening the Company, 2017-2019

21

▪ Revitalized safety program; zero fatalities in 2018 ▪ Restarted Portland smelter and Lake Charles calciner ▪ Streamlined business units to three, reduced administrative locations, relocated headquarters to Pittsburgh ▪ Set annual production records ▪ Terminated Rockdale power contract, closed site ▪ Restarted Warrick smelter ▪ Divested Portovesme smelter ▪ Launched ELYSISTM joint venture ▪ Renegotiated revolving credit for more favorable terms ▪ Froze salaried pension plan as of January 1, 2021; prefunded pension with $500 million debt issue ▪ Repurchased $50 million in stock

2017 – 2018 2019

▪ Continued solid safety performance; zero fatalities ▪ Set annual and quarterly production records ▪ Modernized labor contracts in Canada, U.S. and Australia ▪ Began restart of Bécancour smelter ▪ Initiated Deschambault smelter creep project ▪ Divested Avilés and La Coruña facilities, as well as minority interest in Saudi rolling mill ▪ Implemented new operating model ▪ Announced Point Comfort alumina refinery closure ▪ Agreed to sale of Gum Springs treatment facility ▪ Achieved four ASI certifications across value chain ▪ Joined International Council on Mining and Metals ▪ Finalized Suriname closure agreements; transferred dam ▪ Took further actions to reduce pension/OPEB net liability

Key actions

Capital allocation framework and considerations

Capital allocation framework

22 1. Adjusted net debt defined as the Alcoa proportional share of net debt plus net pension and OPEB liability

Maintain liquidity throughout the cycle Capital expenditures to sustain and improve operations Return excess cash to stockholders Invest in value creating growth projects Reduce adj. net debt1 to $2.0B-$2.5B

• ver 2-4

years Transform the portfolio

▪ $1 billion target for minimum cash balance ▪ Sustaining capital expenditures of ~$340 million, return seeking capital of ~$35 million, per 2020 outlook ▪ Based on current discount rates and estimated asset returns, expect meeting adjusted net debt target solely through minimum required pension contributions ▪ $150 million available of existing $200 million buyback authorization ▪ Portfolio review and transformation over five years ▪ Invest in major value creating projects

Maximize value creation opportunities

M, Except realized prices and per share amounts 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 Prior Year Change Sequential Change Realized primary aluminum price ($/mt) $2,167 $1,988 $1,694 $(473) $(294) Realized alumina price ($/mt) $376 $299 $250 $(126) $(49) Revenue $2,711 $2,381 $2,148 $(563) $(233) Cost of goods sold 2,189 2,025 1,932 (257) (93) SG&A and R&D expenses 75 67 49 (26) (18) Adjusted EBITDA 447 289 167 (280) (122) Depreciation, depletion and amortization 174 170 152 (22) (18) Other expenses (income), net 50 (132) 51 1 183 Interest expense 30 30 32 2 2 Restructuring and other charges, net 370 2 37 (333) 35 Provision for income taxes 116 80 45 (71) (35) Net (loss) income (293) 139 (150) 143 (289) Less: Net income attributable to noncontrolling interest 109 59 47 (62) (12) Net (loss) income attributable to Alcoa Corporation $(402) $80 $(197) $205 $(277) Diluted (loss) earnings per share $(2.17) $0.43 $(1.06) $1.11 $(1.49) Diluted average shares1 185.5 186.6 185.9 0.4 (0.7)

Quarterly income statement

Quarterly income statement

23

• 1. For 2Q19 and 2Q20, share equivalents related to employee stock-based compensation were excluded from Diluted average shares as the impact was anti-dilutive

given a net loss attributable to Alcoa Corporation.

M, Except per share amounts 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 Description of significant 2Q20 special items Net (loss) income attributable to Alcoa Corporation $(402) $80 $(197) Diluted (loss) earnings per share $(2.17) $0.43 ($1.06) Special items $400 $(122) $193 Cost of goods sold 8 32 17

Bécancour restart costs

SG&A and R&D expenses

• 1

Restructuring and other charges, net 370 2 37

Intalco smelter curtailment and take or pay contracts at idled facilities

Other expenses (income), net

• (169)

(3) Provision for income taxes 22 14 141

Interim tax impacts

Noncontrolling interest

• (1)
• Adjusted net loss attributable to Alcoa Corporation

$(2) $(42) $(4) Adjusted diluted loss per share $(0.01) $(0.23) $(0.02)

Breakdown of special items by income statement classification – gross basis

Special items

24

M, Except realized prices and per share amounts 2Q19 1Q20 2Q20 Prior Year Change Sequential Change Realized primary aluminum price ($/mt) $2,167 $1,988 $1,694 $(473) $(294) Realized alumina price ($/mt) $376 $299 $250 $(126) $(49) Revenue $2,711 $2,381 $2,148 $(563) $(233) Cost of goods sold 2,181 1,993 1,915 (266) (78) COGS % of Revenue 80.5% 83.7% 89.2% 8.7% pts. 5.5% pts. SG&A and R&D expenses 75 67 48 (27) (19) SG&A and R&D % of Revenue 2.8% 2.8% 2.2% (0.6)% pts. (0.6)% pts. Adjusted EBITDA 455 321 185 (270) (136) Depreciation, depletion and amortization 174 170 152 (22) (18) Other expenses, net 50 37 54 4 17 Interest expense 30 30 32 2 2 Provision for income taxes 94 66 (96) (190) (162) Operational tax rate 46.5% 78.5% 178.3% 131.8% pts. 99.8% pts. Adjusted net income 107 18 43 (64) 25 Less: Adjusted net income attributable to noncontrolling interest 109 60 47 (62) (13) Adjusted net loss attributable to Alcoa Corporation $(2) $(42) $(4) $(2) $38 Adjusted diluted loss per share $(0.01) $(0.23) $(0.02) $(0.01) $0.21 Diluted average shares1 185.5 185.7 185.9 0.4 0.2

Quarterly income statement excluding special items

25

• 1. For all periods presented, share equivalents related to employee stock-based compensation were excluded from Diluted average shares as the impact was anti-dilutive

given an adjusted net loss attributable to Alcoa Corporation.

Quarterly income statement excluding special items

$M Bauxite Alumina Aluminum3,4 Transformation Intersegment eliminations Other corporate Alcoa Corporation

Total revenue $311 $892 $1,477 $4 $(536)

• $2,148

Third-party revenue $66 $603 $1,475 $4

• $2,148

Adjusted EBITDA1 $131 $88 $(34) $(10) $30 $(20) $185 Adjusted EBITDA margin % 42.1% 9.9% (2.3)% 8.6% Depreciation, depletion and amortization $30 $37 $79

• $6

$152 Other (income) expenses, net2

• $8

$12

• $34

$54 Interest expense $32 Provision for income taxes $(96) Adjusted net income $43 Net income attributable to noncontrolling interest $47 Adjusted net loss attributable to Alcoa Corp. $(4)

Three months ending June 30, 2020, excluding special items

2Q20 Financial summary

26 1. Includes the Company’s proportionate share of earnings from equity investments in certain bauxite mines, hydroelectric generation facilities, and an aluminum smelter located in Brazil, Canada, and/or Guinea. 2. Amounts for Alumina and Aluminum represent the Company’s proportionate share of earnings from its equity investment in the Saudi Arabian joint venture. 3. Flat-rolled aluminum shipments, revenue and adjusted EBITDA were 0.08 Mmt, $277M and $2M, respectively. 4. Third-party energy sales volume, revenue and adjusted EBITDA in Brazil were 970 GWh, $14M and $2M, respectively.

Segment Adj. EBITDA 1Q20 Currency Metal prices API Raw materials Energy Price/mix Volume Production costs Other Adj. EBITDA 2Q20 Bauxite $120 2 2 (2) 9 (2) 2 $131 Alumina $193 (29) (82) 10 3 (7) 1 4 (5) $88 Aluminum $62 (144) 10 6 10 (14) (1) 35 2 $(34) Segment Total $375 (27) (144) (72) 16 15 (23) 9 37 (1) $185

Adjusted EBITDA excl. special items sequential changes by segment, $M

2Q20 Adjusted EBITDA drivers by segment

27 27

Aluminum value chain

28

24.3 Mdmt shipments 6.8 Mmt shipments

1H20 Alcoa product shipments by segment

1.5 Mmt shipments

30% 70% Intercompany Third Party 100% 0% Intercompany Third Party 88% 12% Intercompany Third Party

Aluminum Alumina Bauxite

Alcoa 2Q20 production cash costs

Alumina refining

Composition of alumina and aluminum production costs

Aluminum smelting

29 1. Australia is priced on a 16 quarter rolling average. 35% 12% 14%

35% Bauxite Caustic Conversion Natural Gas Fuel Oil 4%

Input Cost Inventory Flow Pricing Convention FY20 Annual Cost Sensitivity Caustic Soda 5 - 6 Months Quarterly, Spot $10M per $10/dmt Natural Gas1 N/A N/A N/A Fuel Oil 1 - 2 Months Prior Month $3M per $1/barrel

34% 14% 24% 8% 20% Alumina Conversion Materials Carbon Power

Input Cost Inventory Flow Pricing Convention FY20 Annual Cost Sensitivity Alumina ~2 Months API on a 6-8 month average $39M per $10/mt Petroleum Coke 1 - 2 Months Quarterly $7M per $10/mt Coal Tar Pitch 1 - 2 Months Quarterly $1.8M per $10/mt

$M Segment LME + $100/mt API + $10/mt Midwest + $100/mt Europe + $100/mt Japan + $100/mt AUD + 0.01 0.661 BRL + 0.10 5.381 CAD + 0.01 1.391 EUR + 0.01 1.101 ISK + 10 141.371 NOK + 0.10 10.041 Bauxite (4) 3 Alumina 119 (18) 8 (1) Aluminum 219 (47) 141 86 27 (2) 2 (3) 11 2 Total 219 72 141 86 27 (22) 9 2 (4) 11 2

Estimated annual Adjusted EBITDA sensitivities

2020 Business information

30

Pricing conventions

Segment 3rd-Party Revenue Bauxite

• Negotiated prices

Alumina

• ~95% of third-party smelter grade alumina priced on API/spot
• API based on prior month average of spot prices

Aluminum

• LME + Regional Premium + Product Premium
• Primary aluminum 15-day lag; flat rolled aluminum 30-day lag
• Brazilian hydroelectric sales at market prices

Regional premiums % of 2020 Primary aluminum shipments Midwest ~50% Rotterdam Duty Paid ~40% CIF Japan ~10%

Regional premium breakdown

1. Average 2Q20 exchange rates

Currency balance sheet revaluation and EBITDA sensitivities ($M, except currencies) Balance sheet revaluation impact

With large currency moves, revaluations can have impacts

Currency annual sensitivity and actual impact

31 1. Total EBITDA currency impact includes balance sheet revaluation (based on quarter end values) and currency impacts (based on quarterly averages)

+0.01 AUD +0.10 BRL +0.01 CAD +0.01 EUR + 10 ISK +0.10 NOK Total EBITDA sensitivity (22) 9 2 (4) 11 2 4Q19 currency avg. 0.68 4.12 1.32 1.11 123.54 9.12 1Q20 currency avg. 0.66 4.44 1.34 1.10 127.78 9.44 1Q20 EBITDA impact 12.6 7.0 1.1 0.4 1.2 1.3 23.6 2Q20 currency avg. 0.66 5.38 1.39 1.10 141.37 10.04 2Q20 currency sequential impact 1.8 21.0 2.7 0.3 3.7 2.4 31.9 AUD BRL CAD EUR ISK NOK Total 9/30/19 currencies 0.68 4.16 1.33 1.09 124.11 9.08 12/31/19 currencies 0.70 4.05 1.31 1.12 121.38 8.82 4Q19 revaluation (4.9) (1.8) (0.9) 1.2 0.4 1.5 (4.5) 3/31/20 currencies 0.61 5.16 1.42 1.11 139.54 10.57 1Q20 revaluation 20.9 10.0 4.4 0.4 3.1 (1.6) 37.2 1Q20 sequential impact 25.8 11.9 5.3 (0.7) 2.7 (3.2) 41.8 6/30/20 currencies 0.69 5.44 1.37 1.13 137.77 9.68 2Q20 revaluation (20.1) 1.8 (1.6) (0.5) 0.6 (1.0) (20.8) 2Q20 revaluation sequential impact (40.9) (8.2) (6.0) (1.0) (2.5) 0.7 (58.0) Total 2Q20 EBITDA currency impact1 (39.3) 13.0 (3.4) (0.8) 1.3 3.1 (26.7)

Totals may not tie due to rounding

▪ In the Bauxite segment, Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be ~$5 million lower, primarily due to lower export volume ▪ In the Alumina segment, expecting ~$15 million lower due to higher energy costs from Western Australia gas contract commencing in June, partially offset by higher sales volume due to timing of shipments and lower costs ▪ In the Aluminum segment: ▪ Lower alumina costs are estimated to provide a sequential benefit of ~$10 million ▪ Other items (excluding metal prices and foreign currency) expected to be flat sequentially ▪ Due to volatility in quarter end exchange rates, 2Q20 adjusted EBITDA included an unfavorable balance sheet revaluation impact of $21 million and $58 million sequential decline compared to 1Q20; currency changes related to balance sheet revaluation are not incorporated into the currency sensitivities provided for EBITDA ▪ Estimate intercompany profit elimination for every $10/mt decrease in API prices to be a $8 to $10 million favorable impact based on comparison of the average prices of the last two months of each quarter; consider intersegment eliminations as component of minority interest calculation ▪ The Company expects third quarter 2020 operational tax expense to approximate $150 million, based on recent

• pricing. Alcoa’s operational tax rate can fluctuate significantly in the current economic environment, even with

modest change in the tax expense.

Items expected to impact adjusted EBITDA for 3Q20

Additional business considerations

32

Net pension and OPEB liability and financial impacts Net liability as of June 30, 20201

Pension and OPEB summary

Estimated financial impacts, $M

33

Pension Total $1.6B

U.S. $1.3 ROW $0.3 U.S. $0.8

OPEB Total $0.8B

Pension funding status as of December 31, 2019 − U.S. ERISA ~80% − GAAP Worldwide ~77% U.S. pension contributions currently not tax deductible

1. The impact on the combined pension and OPEB liability of a 25 basis point change in the weighted average discount rate is approximately $175 million. 2. Certain Canadian pension plans remeasured as of January 31, 2020 due to announced benefit freeze. U.S. hourly pension and retiree life plans remeasured as of April 30, 2020 due to the Intalco curtailment. 3. U.S. pension cash funding requirements are based on smoothed asset performance and 25-year average segment rates mandated by the IRS. The COVID-19 stimulus allows 2020 pension funding of approximately $220 million to be deferred to January 1, 2021.

Expense impact 2020 Segment pension $50 Segment OPEB 5 Corporate pension & OPEB 5 Total adj. EBITDA impact 60 Non-operating 110 Special items2 (curtailment/settlement) 2 Total expense impact $172 Cash flow impact 2020 Minimum required pension funding3 $80 OPEB payments 100 Total cash impact $180

Investments summary

34 1. Alcoa Corporation has an investment in a joint venture related to the ownership and operation of an integrated aluminum complex (bauxite mine, alumina refinery, and aluminum smelter) in Saudi Arabia. The joint venture is owned 74.9% by the Saudi Arabian Mining Company (known as “Ma’aden”) and 25.1% by Alcoa Corporation. 2. Halco Mining, Inc. owns 100% of Boké Investment Company, which owns 51% of Compagnie des Bauxites de Guinée (CBG). 3. Pechiney Reynolds Quebec, Inc. owns a 50.1% interest in the Bécancour smelter in Quebec, Canada thereby entitling Alcoa Corporation to a 25.05% interest in the

• smelter. Through two wholly-owned Canadian subsidiaries, Alcoa Corporation also owns 49.9% of the Bécancour smelter.

4. Each of the investees either owns the facility listed or has an ownership interest in an entity that owns the facility listed. 5. A portion or all of each of these ownership interests are held by majority-owned subsidiaries that are part of AWAC. Investee Country Nature of Investment4 Ownership Interest Carrying Value as of June 30, 2020 Income Statement Location of Equity Earnings ELYSISTM Limited Partnership Canada Aluminum smelting technology 48.235% Ma’aden Aluminium Company1 Saudi Arabia Aluminum smelter 25.1% Ma’aden Bauxite and Alumina Company1 Saudi Arabia Bauxite mine and Alumina refinery 25.1%5 Subtotal Ma’aden and ELYSISTM $564M Other (income) expenses, net Consorcio Serra do Facão Brazil Hydroelectric generation facility 34.97% Energetica Barra Grande S.A. Brazil Hydroelectric generation facility 42.18% Halco Mining, Inc.2 Guinea Bauxite mine 45.0%5 Manicouagan Power Limited Partnership Canada Hydroelectric generation facility 40.0% Mineração Rio do Norte S.A. (MRN) Brazil Bauxite mine 18.2%5 Pechiney Reynolds Quebec, Inc.3 Canada Aluminum smelter 50.0% Subtotal other $473M COGS Total investments $1,037M

Investments listing and income statement location

Tailings and residue impoundments management process and inventory Robust and ongoing management process

Rigorous standard in place to manage tailings and residue

▪ Established industry-leading standards over 25 years ago; global impoundment policy in place; 2019 impoundment database most recently updated as of June 30, 2020 ▪ Governance structure with global oversight; all Alcoa standards externally benchmarked and updated in 1Q20 ▪ Completed 2019 third-party inspections of Alcoa operated impoundments, proposed actions tracked; non-operated facilities also tracked. 2020 inspections progressing ▪ Impoundment facilities master planned, engineered, constructed, operated, maintained, closed and rehabilitated in accordance with global standards ▪ Alcoa has led industry improvements including residue dry stacking and filtration technologies (Kwinana and Pinjarra alumina refineries) and studying options at other locations ▪ International Council on Mining and Metals (ICMM) member; engaged in developing the Global Tailings Standard (GTS) and planning for implementation in 3Q20

Inventory of tailings dams & residue storage1

35

▪ No Alcoa operated upstream bauxite tailings dams ▪ 37 Alcoa operated upstream residue storage areas (RSAs)

• 1. Information as of June 2020. Inventory does not include 97 Alcoa operated and 15 minority joint venture other impoundments such as hydroelectric dams, fresh water

reservoirs, stormwater management, process water, ash ponds, process materials outside of bauxite residue, and tailings, closed and remediated legacy location RSAs.

26 4 3 5 37 19 11 Upstream Non-upstream 31 2 1 9 2 13 16 11 Upstream Non- upstream Alcoa operated Minority-owned joint ventures RSAs inactive Tailings dams active RSAs active Tailings dams inactive

Alcoa Corporation annual consolidated amounts as of June 30, 2020 Bauxite production, Mdmt

Production and capacity information

Alumina refining, kmt

36

1. The Company’s proportionate share of earnings from its equity investment in the Saudi Arabian joint venture does not impact adjusted EBITDA. 2. On July 26, 2019, the Bécancour smelter began the restart of curtailed smelting capacity. 3. On April 22, 2020, Alcoa announced curtailment of the remaining 230,000 metric tons of smelting capacity at Intalco; expected completion third quarter of 2020.

Aluminum smelting, kmt

Mine Country 2019 Production Darling Range Australia 34.7 Juruti Brazil 6.0 Poços de Caldas Brazil 0.3 Trombetas (MRN) Brazil 2.2 Boké (CBG) Guinea 3.0 Al Ba’itha1 Saudi Arabia 1.2 Total 47.4 Facility Country Capacity Curtailed Kwinana Australia 2,190

• Pinjarra

Australia 4,234

• Wagerup

Australia 2,555

• Poços de Caldas

Brazil 390 214 São Luís (Alumar) Brazil 1,890

• San Ciprián

Spain 1,500

• Total

12,759 214 Ras Al Khair1 Saudi Arabia 452

• Facility

Country Capacity Curtailed Portland Australia 197 30 São Luís (Alumar) Brazil 268 268 Baie Comeau Canada 280

• Bécancour2

Canada 310 25 Deschambault Canada 260

• Fjarðaál

Iceland 344

• Lista

Norway 94

• Mosjøen

Norway 188

• San Ciprián

Spain 228

• Intalco3

U.S. 279 209 Massena West U.S. 130

• Warrick

U.S. 269 108 Wenatchee U.S. 146 146 Total 2,993 650 Ras Al Khair1 Saudi Arabia 186

Valuation framework key considerations

Valuation framework

37 1. Dollar amounts reflect Alcoa Corporation’s consolidated balance sheet values as of June 30, 2020. The “Alcoa” percentages exclude amounts attributable to Alcoa Corporation’s partner in the AWAC JV.

Business Operations

Bauxite Economic value using market multiple of: i. AWAC joint venture, minus small portions of AWAC JV in Aluminum and Transformation ii. Ownership in certain mines and refineries outside the JV $517M Alumina $637M Aluminum Economic value using market multiple of: i. Smelters, casthouses, rolling mill, and energy assets ii. Smelters and casthouses restart optionality $146M Non-segment expenses (income) Economic value using market multiple of: i. Net corporate expenses and Transformation $60M Enterprise value

+ +

• =

+

Financial Considerations

Noncontrolling interest Implied value of noncontrolling interest in AWAC JV, based on Alumina Limited’s observed enterprise value Debt & debt-like items1 Book value of debt of $1.8B ($1.8B, >95% Alcoa), pension & OPEB net liabilities of $2.4B ($2.4B, >95% Alcoa; U.S. contributions not tax deductible), environmental & ARO liabilities of $0.8B ($1.0B, ~80% Alcoa) Cash & equity investments1 Cash position of $0.8B ($1.0B, ~85% Alcoa) plus carrying value of investments in the Ma´aden joint venture and ELYSISTM of $0.5B ($0.6B, ~85% Alcoa) Equity value

+

• =

LTM ending 6/30/2020

• Adj. EBITDA excl.

special items

Adjusted EBITDA reconciliation

38 Alcoa Corporation’s definition of Adjusted EBITDA is net margin plus an add-back for depreciation, depletion, and amortization. Net margin is equivalent to Sales minus the following items: Cost of goods sold; Selling, general administrative, and other expenses; Research and development expenses; and Provision for depreciation, depletion, and amortization. Adjusted EBITDA is a non-GAAP financial measure. Management believes that this measure is meaningful to investors because Adjusted EBITDA provides additional information with respect to Alcoa Corporation’s operating performance and the Company’s ability to meet its financial obligations. The Adjusted EBITDA presented may not be comparable to similarly titled measures of other companies.

$M 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 FY19 1Q20 2Q20 LTM Net (loss) income attributable to Alcoa $(199) $(402) $(221) $(303) $(1,125) $80 $(197) ($641) Add: Net income (loss) attributable to noncontrolling interest 141 109 74 (52) 272 59 47 128 Provision for income taxes 150 116 95 54 415 80 45 274 Other expenses (income), net 41 50 27 44 162 (132) 51 (10) Interest expense 30 30 30 31 121 30 32 123 Restructuring and other charges, net 113 370 185 363 1,031 2 37 587 Depreciation, depletion and amortization 172 174 184 183 713 170 152 689 Adjusted EBITDA 448 447 374 320 1,589 289 167 1,150 Special items before tax and noncontrolling interest 19 8 14 26 67 32 18 90 Adjusted EBITDA excl. special items $467 $455 $388 $346 $1,656 $321 $185 $1,240

Free Cash Flow reconciliation

39 Free Cash Flow and Free Cash Flow less net distributions to noncontrolling interest are non-GAAP financial measures. Management believes that these measures are meaningful to investors because management reviews cash flows generated from operations after taking into consideration capital expenditures and net distributions to noncontrolling interest. Capital expenditures are necessary to maintain and expand Alcoa Corporation’s asset base and are expected to generate future cash flows from

• perations, while net distributions to noncontrolling interest are necessary to fulfill our obligations to our joint venture partners. It is important to note that Free Cash Flow

and Free Cash Flow less net distributions to noncontrolling interest do not represent the residual cash flows available for discretionary expenditures since other non- discretionary expenditures, such as mandatory debt service requirements, are not deducted from the measure.

$M 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 Cash from (used in) operations $168 $82 $174 $262 $(90) $288 Capital expenditures (69) (89) (87) (134) (91) (77) Free cash flow 99 (7) 87 128 (181) 211 Contributions from noncontrolling interest 20 1 20 10

• 16

Distributions to noncontrolling interest (214) (72) (102) (84) (31) (75) Free cash flow less net distributions to noncontrolling interest $(95) $(78) $5 $54 $(212) $152

Net Debt reconciliation

40

4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 $M Cons. NCI Alcoa Prop. Cons. NCI Alcoa Prop. Cons. NCI Alcoa Prop. Short-term borrowings $- $- $- $- $- $- $- $- $- Long-term debt due within one year 1

• 1

1

• 1

1

• 1

Long-term debt, less amount due within one year 1,799 31 1,768 1,801 31 1,770 1,800 31 1,769 Total debt 1,800 31 1,769 1,802 31 1,771 1,801 31 1,770 Less: Cash and cash equivalents 879 167 712 829 139 690 965 157 808 Net debt 921 (136) 1,057 973 (108) 1,081 836 (126) 962 Plus: Net pension / OPEB liability 2,330 40 2,290 2,265 40 2,225 2,393 38 2,355 Adjusted net debt $3,251 $(96) $3,347 $3,238 $(68) $3,306 $3,229 $(88) $3,317

Net debt is a non-GAAP financial measure. Management believes that this measure is meaningful to investors because management assesses Alcoa Corporation’s leverage position after considering available cash that could be used to repay outstanding debt. Adjusted net debt is also a non-GAAP financial measure. Management believes that this additional measure is meaningful to investors because it provides further insight into Alcoa Corporation’s leverage position by including the Company’s net pension/OPEB liability.

Days Working Capital

41 1. Days Working Capital = DWC working capital divided by (Sales / number of days in the quarter).

$M 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 Receivables from customers $758 $684 $596 $546 $570 $402 Add: Inventories 1,799 1,767 1,649 1,644 1,509 1,419 Less: Accounts payable, trade 1,503 1,523 1,418 1,484 1,276 1,253 DWC working capital $1,054 $928 $827 $706 $803 $568 Sales $2,719 $2,711 $2,567 $2,436 $2,381 $2,148 Number of days in the quarter 90 91 92 92 91 91 Days Working Capital1 35 31 30 27 31 24

Reconciliation and calculation information

Annualized Return on Equity (ROE)

42 1. Special items include provisions for interest expense, income taxes, and noncontrolling interest. 2. Denominator calculated using average of quarter ending balances.

$M 1H19 1H20 Numerator: Net (loss) income attributable to Alcoa Corporation $(601) $(117) Add: Special items1 556 71 ROE Adjusted Net Income YTD $(45) $(46) ROE Adj. Net Income multiplied by two $(90) $(92) Denominator2: Total assets $15,652 $13,475 Less: Total Liabilities 8,681 7,908 Less: Noncontrolling Interest 1,945 1,578 Shareholders’ Equity $5,026 $3,989 ROE

• 1.8%
• 2.3%

(Net Loss/Income Attributable to Alcoa + Special Items) (Total Assets – Total Liabilities – Noncontrolling Interest)2 ROE % = X 100 (-$601 + $556) x 2 ($15,652 – $8,681 – $1,945) 1H19 ROE % = X 100 = -1.8% (-$117 + $71) x 2 ($13,468 – $7,901 – $1,578) 1H20 ROE % = X 100 = -2.3%

Reconciliation and calculation information

Annualized Return on Capital (ROC)

43 1. Special items exclude interest expense, income taxes, and noncontrolling interest. 2. Denominator calculated using average of quarter ending balances. 3. Interest expense less interest income. 4. Fixed tax rate of 35%. 5. Defined as cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and short-term investments.

$M 1H19 1H20 Numerator: Net (loss) income attributable to Alcoa Corporation $(601) $(117) Add: Net income attributable to noncontrolling interest 250 106 Add: Provision for income taxes 266 125 Profit before taxes (PBT) (85) 114 Add: Interest expense 60 62 Less: Interest income 10 4 Add: Special items1 501 (83) ROC earnings before taxes $466 $89 ROC earnings before taxes multiplied by two $932 $178 ROC earnings after fixed tax rate of 35% $606 $116 Denominator2: Total assets $15,653 $13,475 Less: Cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash and short-term investments 930 901 Less: Current liabilities 2,667 2,232 Add: Long-term debt due within one year and short-term borrowings 1 1 Capital Base2 $12,057 $10,343 ROC 5.0% 1.1%

(PBT + net interest3 + special items1) x 4 x (1 – fixed tax rate4) (Total assets – cash5 – current liabilities + short-term debt) ROC % = X 100 ((-$85 + $50 + $501) x 2) x (1 – 0.35) ($15,653 – $930 – $2,667 + $1) 1H19 ROC % = X 100 = 5.0% (($114 + $58 – $83 ) x 2) x (1 – 0.35) ($13,468 – $901 – $2,225 + $2) 1H20 ROC % = X 100 = 1.1%

Abbreviation Description % pts Percentage points 1H## Six months ending June 30 1Q## Three months ending March 31 2H## Six months ending December 31 2Q## Three months ending June 30 3Q## Three months ending September 30 4Q## Three months ending December 31 Adj. Adjusted API Alumina Price Index ARO Asset retirement obligations AUD Australian dollar AWAC Alcoa World Alumina and Chemicals B Billion BRL Brazilian real CAD Canadian dollar CIF Cost, insurance and freight CO2e Carbon dioxide equivalent COGS Cost of goods sold Cons. Consolidated DoC Days of consumption dmt Dry metric ton DWC Days working capital EBITDA Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization Elims. Eliminations EPS Earnings per share ERISA Employee Retirement Income Security Act of 1974 EUR Euro Est. Estimated

• excl. or ex.

Excluding

Abbreviations listed in alphanumeric order

Glossary of terms

44

Abbreviation Description FY## Twelve months ending December 31 GAAP Accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America GWh Gigawatt hour ISK Icelandic krona JV Joint venture kmt/kdmt Thousand metric tonnes/Thousand dry metric tonnes LME London Metal Exchange LTM Last twelve months M Million Mdmt Million dry metric tons Mmt Million metric tons Mt Metric ton N/A Not applicable NCI Noncontrolling interest NI Net income NOK Norwegian krone OPEB Other postretirement employee benefits PBT Profit before taxes Prop. Proportional R&D Research and development ROC Return on capital ROW Rest of world SEC Securities and Exchange Commission SG&A Selling, general administrative and other TBD To be determined U.S. United States of America USD United States dollar USW United Steelworkers YTD Year to date