1209 Professor BEI, Duoguang Dr. MO Xiugen Chinese Academy of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
1209 Professor BEI, Duoguang Dr. MO Xiugen Chinese Academy of - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
CGAP April 14, 2017 Washington D.C., US Digital Financial Inclusion in China 1209 Professor BEI, Duoguang Dr. MO Xiugen Chinese Academy of Financial Inclusion, RUC Contents
中国数字普惠金融 指标与监测体系
即
“1209 项目”
Professor BEI, Duoguang
- Dr. MO Xiugen
Chinese Academy of Financial Inclusion, RUC
CGAP
April 14, 2017 Washington D.C., US
Digital Financial Inclusion in China
Current Status Why is China running ahead? Why are Fintech Unicorns running ahead? Implications to Financial Inclusion? Where to go (bearing the challenges)? Implications to Other Countries
Contents
Phone Subscribers in China
Data Ministry of Industry and Information Technology
1.1 Digital China
96.2% 15%
- 1. Current Status
- 1. Current Status
1.1 Digital China
0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Internet Users
- No. of Internet Users (million)
Internet Penetration (%) 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Mobile Internet Users
Mobile Internet Users (million) Mobile Internet User as % of Internet Users
Data: China Statistical Report on Internet Development (2017), China Internet Network Information Center
- 1. Current Status
1.2 Digital Payment Payment
Data: iResearch
- 1. Current Status
1.2 Digital Payment Payment Chinese Style of Payment
- QR Code
- Not NFC
- Loose regulation
- Low requirement on
technology
- Easily replicated
- Highest popularity
- 1. Current Status
1.2 Digital Payment Payment
600mn
889mn Data: Ant Financial and JD Finance
- 1. Current Status
1.3 Digital Micro-Financing Micro-Financing
Ant Financial
网商银行 Mybank. com
Consumer Finance Supply Chain Financing
- Leverage big data.
- By End 2016, served over 5
million micro-businesses, total credit over 900 billion RMB.
- Average loan 20,000 RMB.
- “Wang Nong Dai”, covers 24
provinces, 139 counties and 2425 villages by mid-2016. Average loan size 44,000 RMB.
- “Meng Yang” Project
- Ant Credit Pay (Hua Bei)
- Ant Cash Now (Jie Bei)
- Over 100 million users
Data: Ant Financial
Example
- 1. Current Status
1.3 Digital Micro-Financing Digital-Financing
Data: Public sources, such as www.wdzj.com
0.00% 5.00% 10.00% 15.00% 20.00% 25.00% 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 2014-01 2014-02 2014-03 2014-04 2014-05 2014-06 2014-07 2014-08 2014-09 2014-10 2014-11 2014-12 2015-01 2015-02 2015-03 2015-04 2015-05 2015-06 2015-07 2015-08 2015-09 2015-10 2015-11 2015-12 2016-01 2016-02 2016-03 2016-04 2016-05 2016-06 2016-07 2016-08 2016-09 2016-10 2016-11 2016-12 2017-01 2017-02
P2P Lending Activities in China
Transaction Value (billion) Outstanding Loans (billion) Net Cash Inflow (billion) Expected Yield (right)
- 1. Current Status
1.4 Digital Wealth Management Wealth Management
5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 Developed by Banks Developed by Security Firms Developed by Telecom Operators Developed by Fintech Firms
- No. of Products
Data: Public sources, such as rong360.com 0.00 200.00 400.00 600.00 800.00 1000.00 1200.00 Developed by Banks Developed by Security Firms Developed by Telecom Operators Developed by Fintech Firms
Assets Under Management (billion RMB)
Rong360 WM Platform
- 1. Current Status
1.4 Digital Wealth Management Wealth Management
Ant Financial Yu’e Bao
The largest online funds managing 808.29 billion RMB for more than 300 million clients by Mar- 2017. Individual clients takes 99%, 70%+ invest 1000 RMB or less.
Product Issuer AUM (billion RMB) Return of 10,000 Investment during Last Day 7-Day Annualized Return Minimum Investment
Yu’e Bao Alipay 808.29 1.04 3.87% 1 RMB Cash Express (Xian Jin Kuai Xian) ICBC Credit Suisse Fund 115.20 0.99 3.54% 0 RMB How Buy Piggy Bank (Hao Mai Chu Xu Guan) How Buy Fund 115.20 0.99 3.54% 1RMB Huaxia Huo Qi Tong ChinaAMC 55.77 0.93 3.59% 0 RMB Baidu Bai Zhuan Baidu 55.77 0.93 3.59% 1 RMB Data: Public sources, such as rong360.com
- 1. Current Status
1.5 Digital Insurance Insurance
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 10% 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 2012 2013 2014 2015
2012-2015 Chinese Insurance Market (billion RMB)
Insurance Income from Internet Insurance Income from All Sources Ratio of Internet Income (right) Data: Insurance Association of China
- 1. Current Status
1.6 Digital Credit Scoring Credit Scoring
Financial Services Financial Services
Self-Escalating Process
E- Commerce Financial Service -- Payment Information Collected Financial Service -- Credit Scoring Financial Service -- Credit
- 2. Why is China Running Ahead?
Well-developed Infrastructure
- Such as affordable and available smart phones, 4G networks, internet services, etc.
- Widely available distribution logistics, express delivery to foster e-commerce
development
Friendly Regulation
- Tolerable regulation
- Develop before regulate
Innovative Spirit
- Combine modern technology with traditional Chinese Customs such as "Red
Envelopes"
Large Population and Market Size and Unmet Financial Needs
- Traditional financial services focus on high-end customers
- Huge potential for penetration and development
- 3. Why the Fintech Unicorns (instead of traditional big players)?
Traditional big players lack innovation and entrepreneurship
- Such as big banks and telecom companies
- Largely state owned, lack motivation to change
Technology learned from abroad, but duly localized
- Combine finance with e-commerce and social networks
New technology met with consumer needs
- Good match between technology and people.
- Technology matches with new life-style.
- 4. Implications to Financial Inclusion
Intention
- Not bottom-up
financial inclusion approach
Result
- Facilitates financial
inclusion Accessible
- Small size of
financial products
- Low minimum
investment and credit amount
Affordable
- Technology lowers
cost per user
Convenient
- Technology speeds
up the process of financial services reaching people
- 5. Where are we going?
5.1 Where are we going?
More than finance
- Deeply involved in all
aspects of life: housing, travelling, eating out habit, education, medical services,
Co-
- peration
- Fintech & traditional
financial service providers
- Technology plus
consumer relationship
Strategic Shifts
- Structural changes
- Eg. less bank branches
and staff in cities, more in villages
2.63% 18.05% 51.32% 74.34% 92.39% 97.65% 99.25% 99.81% 100.00% 0.00% 20.00% 40.00% 60.00% 80.00% 100.00% 120.00% 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 0.25 0.5 0.75 1 1.25 1.5 1.75 2 Frequency CDF
Rural Household Mobiles Per Adult Distribution
Data: CAFI Household Survey in Guangxi
5.1 Where are we going?
- 5. Where are we going?
- 5. Where are we going?
5.2 Bearing what challenges?
Financial Stability
Balancing innovation with risks Over-Indebtness
Digital Gap
Unable to cover everyone
“Wolf in sheep's clothing"
Be aware of illegal investing/financing activities under the name of "financial inclusion" Consumer protection and education
- 6. Implications to other countries
1. Infrastructure 2. Scenario Driven 3.Online
- Offline
- 6. Implications to other countries
Embedded Scenarios Type 1: Through E-Commerce
- 6. Implications to other countries
Type 2: Through Social-Network Embedded Scenarios
- 6. Implications to other countries
Embedded Scenarios
- 2016.12.9
项目启动
- 2017.8
开始项目 设计论证
- 2018.3
发布第一次 DFI监测报告
- 2017.12
完成人员招聘、 数据收集
- 2017.4
选择试验区
5. 5.“1209 1209”项目的进展及规划
- 我们的计划