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!"#"$%&'%()*+(",% - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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slide-1
SLIDE 1

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SLIDE 2

Br Brief History of the Kansas Me Mesonet

  • Established in 1986 by the Kansas Research and

Extension (visit mesonet.k-state.edu)

  • From 13 stations in 1986 to 60 stations in 2018
  • Currently managed by Weather Data Library under

the Department of Agronomy

  • In the past year we deployed soil moisture sensors

(CS655) at 22 stations

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SLIDE 3

Cu Current Kan ansas as Me Mesonet St Stations

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SLIDE 4

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

4$)5*"6&7."#.89$(

slide-5
SLIDE 5
  • Deploy soil moisture sensors in 22 stations with

towers during the summer 2017.

  • Where do we install the next station?
  • Upgrade tripods to towers.
  • Create a statewide soil moisture map
  • Add soil moisture to the web API.

Fu Future (fr (from MOISST 2017)

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SLIDE 6

A A State tewide de Map p of Soil Moistur ture

Gridded 800-meter resolution map of soil moisture at 5 cm depth.

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SLIDE 7

Bu Building the Map ap

  • Soil moisture diagnostic equation (Daily time steps).
  • Soil moisture is estimated as the time-weighted average of

preceding rainfall (similar to Antecedent Precipitation Index)

  • Bounded between residual and saturation water content
  • Does not require knowledge of initial conditions

Pan, F., Peters-Lidard, C.D. and Sale, M.J., 2003. An analytical method for predicting surface soil moisture from rainfall observations. Water Resources Research, 39(11).

πœ„"#$% = πœΎπ’”π’‡π’• + πœΎπ’•π’ƒπ’– βˆ’ πœΎπ’”π’‡π’• 1 βˆ’ 𝑓123𝜸

slide-8
SLIDE 8

𝛾 = 6 𝑄

8

πœƒ8 1 βˆ’ 𝑓

:; < 𝑓1 βˆ‘ :? <

?@;AB ?@B

8CD1E 8CF

+ 𝑄

E

πœƒE 1 βˆ’ 𝑓

:B < πœƒ8 = 𝐷E + 𝐷F sin 2𝜌 𝐸𝑃𝑍

8 + 𝐷P + 𝜌

2 365

Step 1: Time-weighted sum of precipitation events (dimensionless)

So Soil moisture di diagno nostic equa quation

Loss coefficient

Precipitation source: 4-km gridded rainfall product from Parameter elevation regression on Independent Slopes Model (PRISM) http://www.prism.oregonstate.edu/ C1 = Mean annual reference ET from Kansas Mesonet stations C2 = Reference ET annual amplitude from Kansas Mesonet stations C3 = Phase constant. DOY of maximum reference ET

slide-9
SLIDE 9

Ex Example Loss Coeffici cient

Manhattan Kansas Mesonet Station

slide-10
SLIDE 10

Ex Example Beta series (d (dimensionless)

Manhattan Kansas Mesonet Station

slide-11
SLIDE 11

𝛾 = 6 𝑄

8

πœƒ8 1 βˆ’ 𝑓

:; < 𝑓1 βˆ‘ :? <

?@;AB ?@B

8CD1E 8CF

+ 𝑄

E

πœƒE 1 βˆ’ 𝑓

:B < πœƒ8 = 𝐷E + 𝐷F sin 2𝜌 𝐸𝑃𝑍

8 + 𝐷P + 𝜌

2 365

Step 1: Time-weighted sum of precipitation events (dimensionless)

So Soil moisture di diagno nostic equa quation

Loss coefficient (simplified atmospheric demand, cm per day)

πœ„"#$% = πœ„#$T + πœ„TUV βˆ’ πœ„#$T 1 βˆ’ 𝑓1π‘«πŸ“Y

Step 2: Soil moisture Diagnostic Equation

slide-12
SLIDE 12

So Soil moisture di diagno nostic equa quation

slide-13
SLIDE 13

Soil layer (cm) Number of USCRN stations RMSE (% VWC) MAE (% VWC) 0-5 cm 63 4.55 3.46 0-10 cm 67 4.27 3.27 0-20 cm 60 4.08 3.19 0-50 cm 58 3.71 2.92 0-100 cm 52 3.34 2.57

Mo Model Evaluation Using USCRN

Using all available soil moisture data since station deployment to December 2017 USCRN: US Climate Reference Network RMSE: Root Mean Squared Error MAE: Mean Absolute Error

slide-14
SLIDE 14

𝛾 = 6 𝑄

8

πœƒ8 1 βˆ’ 𝑓

:; < 𝑓1 βˆ‘ :? <

?@;AB ?@B

8CD1E 8CF

+ 𝑄

E

πœƒE 1 βˆ’ 𝑓

:B < πœƒ8 = 𝐷E + 𝐷F sin 2𝜌 𝐸𝑃𝑍

8 + 𝐷P + 𝜌

2 365

Step 1: Time-weighted sum of precipitation events (dimensionless)

So Soil moisture di diagno nostic equa quation

Loss coefficient (simplified atmospheric demand, cm per day)

πœ„"#$% = πœ„#$T + πœ„TUV βˆ’ πœ„#$T 1 βˆ’ 𝑓123Y

Step 2: Soil moisture Diagnostic Equation

slide-15
SLIDE 15

Source: Oklahoma Mesonet soil physical properties database (http://soilphysics.okstate.edu/data) Reference: Scott, B.L., Ochsner, T.E., Illston, B.G., Fiebrich, C.A., Basara, J.B. and Sutherland, A.J., 2013. New soil property database improves Oklahoma Mesonet soil moisture estimates. Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology, 30(11), pp.2585-2595.

Residual VWC Saturation VWC

Pa Parameter Estimation

slide-16
SLIDE 16

St Statewide 5-cm cm Perce cent Sand

Source: USDA-NRCS Soil Survey Database

slide-17
SLIDE 17

St Statewide 5-cm cm Sa Saturation VWC

Source: USDA-NRCS Soil Survey Database

slide-18
SLIDE 18

𝛾 = 6 𝑄

8

πœƒ8 1 βˆ’ 𝑓

:; < 𝑓1 βˆ‘ :? <

?@;AB ?@B

8CD1E 8CF

+ 𝑄

E

πœƒE 1 βˆ’ 𝑓

:B < πœƒ8 = 𝐷E + 𝐷F sin 2𝜌 𝐸𝑃𝑍

8 + 𝐷P + 𝜌

2 365

Step 1: Time-weighted sum of precipitation events (dimensionless)

So Soil moisture di diagno nostic equa quation

Loss coefficient (simplified atmospheric demand, cm per day)

πœ„"#$% = πœ„#$T + πœ„TUV βˆ’ πœ„#$T 1 βˆ’ 𝑓1π‘«πŸ“Y

Step 2: Soil moisture Diagnostic Equation

slide-19
SLIDE 19

Pa Parameter Estimation

  • Estimation of C4 parameter

using US Climate Reference Network.

  • C4 parameter should be

related to soil physical properties (Pan et al. 2012), but instead we found it highly correlated to precipitation regime.

slide-20
SLIDE 20

Re Resulting Statewide Maps

Gridded 800-meter resolution map of soil moisture at 5 cm depth.

slide-21
SLIDE 21

30 30-da day Cum umul ulative Rainf nfall

Gridded 800-meter resolution map of of 30-day rainfall from PRISM

slide-22
SLIDE 22
slide-23
SLIDE 23

Su Summary

  • The soil moisture diagnostic equation provides parsimonious

framework for making accurate predictions of root-zone soil moisture.

  • Proven method for hindcasting of soil moisture. Relevant for

calculating anomalies in areas with lack of long-term soil moisture observations.

  • Potential for assimilation of soil moisture information from in-

situ stations.

  • Future steps will be focused on validating timeseriesof map

pixels to soil moisture timeseriesfrom Kansas Mesonet stations.