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Weather and climate tools for rangeland restoration planning and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Weather and climate tools for rangeland restoration planning and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Weather and climate tools for rangeland restoration planning and management Stuart Hardegree, Corey Moffet (USDA-ARS) John Abatzoglou, Katherine Hegewisch (University of Idaho) and Mark Brunson (Utah State University) Site Availability, Species
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Site Availability, Species Availability, Species Performance
Planting and Seedbed Preparation Pre-emergent Herbicide Adapted Plant Materials Prescribed Fire Limit Nutrients Prescribed Grazing Alter Seeding Rate Mulch
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Site Availability, Species Availability, Species Performance
Planting and Seedbed Preparation Pre-emergent Herbicide Adapted Plant Materials Prescribed Fire Limit Nutrients Prescribed Grazing Alter Seeding Rate Mulch
W E A T H E R
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Germinated seed Emerged seedling Seed Established seedling Juvenile Adult
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Boise, Idaho
Annual March - May
Rangeland Weather: Arid/Semi-arid, Highly Variable
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Rangeland Weather: Arid/Semi-arid, Highly Variable
Boise, Idaho
Annual March - May
Shorter time scale: more highly variable
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Learning while doing Adaptive iteration
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Unsuccessful Unsuccessful Partially Successful Compare Outcomes Implement Option C Option B Option A Option C Successful Option D Develop Management Options
Active Adaptive Management Learn from Doing
Adapted from: Allen CR, JJ Fontaine, KL Pope and AS Garmestani. 2011. Adaptive management for a turbulent future. Journal of Environmental Management 92:1339-1345
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Unsuccessful Unsuccessful Partially Successful Compare Outcomes Implement Option C Option B Option A Option C Successful Option D Develop Management Options
Active Adaptive Management Learn from Doing
Adapted from: Allen CR, JJ Fontaine, KL Pope and AS Garmestani. 2011. Adaptive management for a turbulent future. Journal of Environmental Management 92:1339-1345
W E A T H E R
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Moderate Weather Year Poor Weather Year Good Weather Year Consider Consider Re-assess Partially Successful Option B Moderate Weather Year Poor Weather Year Good Weather Year Re-Assess Re-Assess Abandon Unsuccessful Option A Moderate Weather Year Poor Weather Year Good Weather Year Unlikely Adopt Consider Successful Option C
Weather Centric Adaptive Management
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Iterative/Contingency Adaptive Management
Unsuccessful Square One Year 2 Contingency 1 Partially Successful Year 2 Contingency 2 Year 2 Contingency ...
Year 3 Contingency 1 Year 3 Contingency 2 Year 3 Contingency ...
Year 4 Contingency 1 Year 4 Contingency 2 Year 4 Contingency ...
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Management Implications:
- Access to weather information where you don’t
have a weather station.
- Retrospective analysis of field success in terms of
seasonal patterns of precipitation, air temperature, and soil conditions.
- Expansion of inferences from short term field
studies.
- Interpretation of field results for adaptive
management
- Development of long-term, weather-centric
contingency plans for rangeland restoration
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Questions?
John Abatzoglou Alex Boehm Cynthia Brown Mark Brunson Jeanne Chambers Matt Germino Nancy Glenn Anne Halford Katherine Hegewisch Jeremy James Gwendwr Meredith Corey Moffet Tom Monaco Génie MontBlanc Mike Pellant David Pilliod Bruce Roundy Jeanne Schneider Nancy Shaw Roger Sheley Tony Svejcar Justin Welty
GBRMP
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