Vision 2020 ADB ADB s s Trade and Trade and Vision 2020 I - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

vision 2020 adb adb s s trade and trade and vision 2020 i
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Vision 2020 ADB ADB s s Trade and Trade and Vision 2020 I - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Vision 2020 ADB ADB s s Trade and Trade and Vision 2020 I nvestment Strategy and how to and how to I nvestment Strategy create spillover from I ndia s s create spillover from I ndia Northeast Northeast


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Vision 2020 Vision 2020 – – ADB ADB’ ’s s Trade and Trade and I nvestment Strategy I nvestment Strategy – – and how to and how to create spillover from I ndia create spillover from I ndia’ ’s s Northeast Northeast Achievements & Future Direction Achievements & Future Direction

Hans-Peter Brunner

Senior Economist

Asian Development Bank

New Delhi, 10 and 11 March 2008

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Phase II activities have adopted three conclusions:

1. Need to improve the performance of the existing corridors based on the finding of the in depth analysis.

  • The solution at gateway points should be pursued at the local level with overall

support from the central governments. 2: Need to address sector wide issues

  • Four areas identified as priority: (i) the establishment of a system to enable

trucks of one country to travel into others; (ii) the establishment of customs clearance arrangements so as to ensure that transit cargoes be handled as transit cargoes; (iii) the adoption of a single administrative document as a common customs declaration form; (iv) the development of electronic data interchange (EDI); (v) system of product standards, conformity assessment, metrology, and certification. 3: Need to broaden the current scope of work – Need to develop a strategy for establishing effective physical links connecting SASEC and GMS subregions (BIMSTEC initiative)

Phase I I Activities

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  • Several views have been expressed from participating countries on TrWG activities

– Slow progress of TrWG activities – Need to accommodate differing needs of SASEC countries, both land locked and transit/coastal countries – Need to reflect recent changes in international trade environment by expanding the scope of the TrWG study to include the linkage with GMS

  • Sub-regional cooperation has followed its own process of evolution

– Started in a conservative manner. At the initial stage, it was agreed to: (i) confine the study scope to existing corridors (no new corridor); and (ii) no change to the existing bilateral arrangements. An important role is the provision

  • f a platform where four countries can communicate each other under different

setting rather than usual bilateral setting for talk. – As a study progresses, more serious look has begun to be given to specific needs or benefits for each country. – The consultant had come up with identifications of impediments and a rather long list of possible actions for the removal of these impediments. – The phase III is for the implementation of the findings of the Phase II study. This requires: (i) the selection of priority corridors; and (ii) development of actions to be taken for each of the priority corridors. This would also require the discussion on the institutional arrangement for implementation.

Objective of the TrWG under Phase I I I

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Cost to upgrade harvesting and post-harvesting techniques to lower the cost of harvesting and lessen post-harvest losses: Quality Control/Standards/Laboratories: US$4,250,000 Grading and Sorting Facilities: US$3,750,000 Improve Harvesting Techniques/Technology: US$5,500,000

Land Preparation 8.4% Fertilizing 0% Spraying 0% Plant Maintenance 13.3% Harvesting 68.5% Planting 6.5% Administration 3.2% Irrigation 0% Packing & Transport 63.4% Equip & Materials 15.8% Labor 21.8% Transport 5.5% Equipment 7.6% Labor 86.9 Transport 6.9% Equipment 10.3% Labor 82.8% Transport Services 63.6% Post-harvest Losses 26.0% Labor 10.4%

Cost of enhancing and developing Labor: US$4,500,000 through upgrading and operating vocational training and education centers Transport and Logistics Improvements: Cost to develop cold chain: US$19,500,000 (includes cost to establish cold storage, procure reefers, and improve facilities at airports and border posts)

Integrated Value Chain Analysis for Pineapple in NES

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Guwahati Dibrugarh Haldia

Pilot: Develop NE SME Trade Hub Pilot: Develop NE SME Trade Hub

Bamboo, Rubber, Pineapple potential mostly concentrated in this area – potential for trade hub

(unofficial picture is not to scale) River Ganga

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Value chain lattice for Value chain lattice for the NER the NER

Delhi, Kolkata EU, USA, France… Source All NER, Assam, Mizoram Plantations Pre-processing units/ CFCs Production units Regional Hub Guwahati

  • ICD
  • Trade Center
  • Warehousing

Source: Bangladesh, Nepal All states of NER Final Market Domestic/ International Final Market Europe… Final Market Domestic/ International Bamboo Value Chain R u b b e r V a l u e C h a i n Pineapple Value Chain Other Value Chains P l a n t a t i

  • n

s Collection Centers Regional Hub Agartala Cargo hub Cold storage

  • Trade Center

Seedling labs Nurseries Training facilities P r

  • c

e s s i n g u n i t s Plantations Source: Bhutan, Tripura, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram Final Market Production units Source All NER, Meghalaya, Assam, Tripura O t h e r V a l u e C h a i n s

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Project Benefits Project Benefits

Establishment of value chains in the NER Establishment of value chains in the NER Inclusion of new Inclusion of new SMEs SMEs and businesses, and and businesses, and backward linkages in value chains backward linkages in value chains ~ 250,000 jobs in 10 ~ 250,000 jobs in 10-

  • 12 value chains

12 value chains Generation of around $2 billion output across Generation of around $2 billion output across NER NER

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Multiscale Agent Model Multiscale Agent Model

Labor (categories) Labor (categories) Firms (categories) Firms (categories) Employment Employment Productivity Productivity Economic production Economic production Market prices Market prices Costs of transportation Costs of transportation Trade networks Trade networks

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New England Complex Systems I nstitute ( New England Complex Systems I nstitute ( Necsi Necsi) and ADB ) and ADB

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New England Complex Systems I nstitute ( New England Complex Systems I nstitute ( Necsi Necsi) and ADB ) and ADB

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The Bamboo The Bamboo-

  • Rhino I VCA

Rhino I VCA

(I ntegrated Value Chain Analysis) (I ntegrated Value Chain Analysis)

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Key Barriers to competitiveness Key Barriers to competitiveness… …1 1

Source: Global Development Solutions, LLC Source: Global Development Solutions, LLC.

.

X X X X

Insufficient access to export/import containers & customs Insufficient access to export/import containers & customs clearance from & to Guwahati directly to and from foreign clearance from & to Guwahati directly to and from foreign location location

X X

Limited supply of locally produced high quality chemicals and Limited supply of locally produced high quality chemicals and

  • ther inputs used in rhino
  • ther inputs used in rhino-
  • bamboo product manufacturing

bamboo product manufacturing

X X

Undeveloped bamboo commercial plantations Undeveloped bamboo commercial plantations

X X

Poor electricity infrastructure in rural areas Poor electricity infrastructure in rural areas

X X

Poor road infrastructure in rural and urban areas Poor road infrastructure in rural and urban areas

X X X X

High transaction costs of moving finished product to export High transaction costs of moving finished product to export markets and/or importing machinery and other inputs from markets and/or importing machinery and other inputs from abroad abroad

X X X X

High transaction costs

  • f

raw bamboo moving from High transaction costs

  • f

raw bamboo moving from homestead/ forest to processing units, including high unofficial homestead/ forest to processing units, including high unofficial charges charges

X X X X

Undeveloped primary processing support units close to Undeveloped primary processing support units close to Bamboo Bamboo-

  • Rhino locations (forest and homestead)

Rhino locations (forest and homestead)

Market Market Private Private Public Public Issues Issues Item Item

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Key Barriers to competitiveness Key Barriers to competitiveness… …2 2

Source: Global Development Solutions, LLC. Source: Global Development Solutions, LLC.

X X

Unorganized bamboo processing sector Unorganized bamboo processing sector

X X

Unorganized bamboo commercial planting sector Unorganized bamboo commercial planting sector

Human Human Resource Resource

X X

Insufficient R&D of bamboo species & their processing Insufficient R&D of bamboo species & their processing applications applications

X X

Pervasive rent Pervasive rent-

  • seeking

seeking behavior behavior by customs officials in by customs officials in main clearing points of main clearing points of Amingaon/Guwahati Amingaon/Guwahati and and Kolkata Kolkata

X X X X

Most important institutions that facilitate movement of Most important institutions that facilitate movement of goods in and out of NER (ICD, etc) primarily driven to goods in and out of NER (ICD, etc) primarily driven to accommodate tea exports from the region, without accommodate tea exports from the region, without support for bamboo support for bamboo-

  • rhinos and other sectors

rhinos and other sectors

X X

Pervasive rent Pervasive rent-

  • seeking

seeking behavior behavior of police and forestry

  • f police and forestry
  • fficials along bamboo
  • fficials along bamboo-
  • moving roads and location

moving roads and location

Governance/ Governance/ Institutional Institutional

Private Private Public Public I ssues I ssues I tem I tem

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Selling Bamboo Selling Bamboo-

  • Rhinos at $40

Rhinos at $40 versus $20 versus $20

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Material productivity logistics Northeast World

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Possible I mplementation Structure Possible I mplementation Structure

ADB Exim Bank SMEs, Value Chain Clusters Private Equity/ Lead Firm Investors/ Commercial Banks/Sponsors PPP

OCR loan US$40 Million TA Grant US$7.5 Million

Investment Committee

UBI, NABARD, Commercial Banks

M-DoNER PMU

Implementing Agency

Infrastructure Projects

TA Board

Capacity Building, Business Development Project Development/ Execution Fund Managem- ent TA Grant US$2.5 Million Trade Finance facility US$100 Million

Oversight Committee

Contribution US$10 Million