to 29 September 2018 Group Highlights Operating Revenue EBITDA - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
to 29 September 2018 Group Highlights Operating Revenue EBITDA - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
to 29 September 2018 Group Highlights Operating Revenue EBITDA margin R10.5bn 16.2% R1.9bn +7.8 % +11.1 % +50 bps Profit to Dividend HEPS shareholders per share R1.3bn 494.3c 311.4c +11.6 % +11.6 % +12.4% 1 Macroeconomic
1
Group Highlights
+50bps
Operating margin
16.2%
+7.8%
Revenue
R10.5bn
+11.6%
Dividend per share
311.4c
+11.6%
HEPS
494.3c
+11.1%
EBITDA
R1.9bn
+12.4%
Profit to shareholders
R1.3bn
+5.0%
Inflation
Q2 2018: +4.5% Q3 2017: +4.8% Q3 2018
27.5%
Unemployment
Q2 2018: 27.2% Q3 2017: 27.7% Q3 2018
2
- 0.7%
GDP Growth
Q1 2018: -2.6% Q2 2017: +2.9%
Two consecutive periods of declining GDP growth putting SA into technical recession Unemployment remains unacceptably high. Job creation policies from government are critical for sustainable economic growth Rand depreciated 21% (Jan to Sep ‘18 avg close), negatively impacting importers & economy Rising inflation driven by fuel prices, VAT rate increase from 14% to 15% on 1 April ‘18 and a weakening Rand
Q2 2018
R14.06
ZAR/USD rate
Q2 2018: R12.65 Q3 2017: R13.18 Q3 2018
Macroeconomic environment
Source: Stats SA, Thomson Reuters Eikon
3
- 1.3%
Household expenditure
Q1 2018: +1.0% Q2 2017: +3.8%
22
Consumer confidence
- 1.0%
Disposable income
Q1 2018: +0.9% Q2 2017: +4.6%
+3.7%
Retail sales
Q2 2018: +3.8% Q3 2017: +8.0%
Index points
While still optimistic about their future prospects, consumers’ short term reality has been one of continued constrained spending power This has been reflected in household expenditure declining in Q2 2018, led by reduced spending on durables & semi durables Disposable income has been falling & now reports negative growth across households, a reflection of weak job & consumer markets This has led to retail sales momentum slowing, with growth above GDP likely driven by rising consumer price inflation
Consumer environment
Q2 2018 Q2 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q1 2018: 26 points Q2 2017: -9 points
Source: BER, SARB, Stats SA
4
Average comparable sales across 5 retailers: MSM, MRP, TFG, TRU & *WHL) over the last 10 years. Current levels reflect the tough economy Consistent downward trend in GDP growth & household expenditure since the global financial crisis recovery
SA retail environment
- 3
- 1
1 3 5 7 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 YTD % change Comparable sales Household expenditure GDP Global financial crisis Technical recession
Source: J.P. Morgan company reports *WHL: sales weighted average of SA Food & FBH
5
Key reasons for choice of retailer MRP the most shopped apparel retailer in the last month
Brand Store card Range/selection Other Promos and specials Quality Fashionability Value for money Price 6% 2% 2% 1% 5% 9% 7% 30% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 37%
Source: HSBC ‘Anatomy of the consumer’ Sep 2018
Spar Checkers Ackermans Edgars Woolworths Clicks Pick n Pay Pep Jet Truworths MRP Shoprite 33% 21% 26% 20% 12% 31% 37% 34% 19% 12% 38% 68%
Source: Broadcasting Research Council – Establishment Survey Products & Brands Oct 2018
Consumers are looking for value
0% 25% 50% 75%
6
Source: Thomson Reuters Eikon FY18 Market: Average across 4 SA retailers
Sound long term investment case
Debt/equity
MRPG: 3.3% Market: 45.9% MRPG: 19.0% Market: 13.3%
ROE
MRPG: 39.2% Market: 13.7%
ROA
MRPG: 29.2% Market: 10.6%
Operating cash flow/sales
40 30 20 10 13 22 23 15 36 FY’18 ROIC (%)
Comp A Comp B Average Comp C MRPG
10 year % change in ROIC
Source: Company financials
- 10
- 20
- 30
- 40
- 9
- 16
- 21
- 37
1 40 30 20 10
Highest Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
2018 2017 % change Profit attributable to shareholders (R’m) 1 279 1 138 12.4%
- W. Avg shares in issue (000)1
258 630 258 196 0.2% Basic earnings per share 494.4c 440.9c 12.1% Addbacks (R’m)2 0.1 5 (101.9%) Headline earnings (R’m) 1 279 1 143 11.9% Headline earnings per share 494.3c 442.9c 11.6% Shares for diluted earnings (000)3 265 030 263 436 0.6% Diluted earnings per share 482.4c 434.1c 11.1%
Dividend per share4 311.4c 279.0c
11.6%
7
Earnings & dividend per share
1Movement relates to LTI schemes’ shares vesting. Shares
previously held by trusts now back in the market
2Loss on disposal/ impairment of PPE & intangibles
3Higher dilution impact than PY
- weighted average share price 37.2% higher
- weighted average share options outstanding 4.2% lower
4Payout ratio maintained at 63% of HEPS
8
Retail sales growth drivers
+6.2%
RSA
+11.4%
Non RSA
+7.5%
Cash
+2.2%
Credit
+6.4%
Store
+30.1%
Online
+2.9%
Unit growth
+4.5%
RSP inflation
Geography Tender type Channel Merchandise
9
Revenue & profit growth in all chains
+5.9% +8.3% +7.1% +4.5% +23.5% Growth +8.4%
*RSOI: Retail Sales & Other Income
56.6% 16.4% 6.5% 7.0% 6.9% 6.6% Contribution
Trading division RSOI
mrp mrpSport Miladys mrpHome SheetStreet mrpMoney
Apparel Home Financial Services & Cellular
+6.2% +11.2% 16.9% +7.2% +13.8% 14.3% +23.5% +3.8% 31.1%
*RSOI Operating profit Operating margin
Trading segment
+8.4%
10
R'm 2018 2017 % change Retail sales & other income (pg 11)1 10 436 9 711 7.5% Gross profit2 4 278 3 918 9.2% Expenses3 2 987 2 774 7.7% Profit from operating activities 1 693 1 526 10.9% Net finance income 101 67 49.9% Profit before taxation 1 794 1 593 12.6% Taxation4 515 454 13.5% Profit after taxation 1 279 1 139 12.3% Profit attributable to shareholders5 1 279 1 138 12.4%
1RSOI growth first 4 months FY19 (SENS) +7.4%
2Mainly due to improved markdowns in all chains
3Excluding Kenya growth in overheads of 6.6% is lower than RSOI
growth of 6.9%
4Effective tax rate 28.7% (PY 28.5%)
5Acquired minority interest in mrpMobile MVNO in Jan 2018
Group income statement
11
R'm 2018 2017 % change Retail sales1 9 738 9 135 6.6% Total other income 698 576 21.2% Financial services & cellular (pg 28)2 673 545 23.5% Other3 25 31 (18.7%) Total retail sales, interest & other income 10 436 9 711 7.5% Finance income4 103 67 54.8% Total revenue 10 539 9 778 7.8%
1Retail sales growth per trading update 1 Apr to 4 Aug ’18 of 6.6%
1Easter/school holidays in Mar ’18 vs Apr ’17
1Sales growth higher than market growth per *Stats SA of 3.7%
(Type D +3.3%; Type E +6.4%)
2Strong growth in cellular
3Excluding insurance claim of R11m in PY growth was 25.1%
4Interest on higher cash balances (refer cash flow pg 33)
Revenue analysis
1Excludes VAT *Market per Stats SA includes VAT
12
80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep index to 100 (ZAR) BWP KES NGN AUD GHS ZMW
Stores total Sales contr. Growth local Growth ZAR Namibia 40 35% (5.7%) (5.7%) Botswana 25 22% 5.6% 7.5% Swaziland 11 8% 33.6% 33.6% Lesotho 5 4% 10.7% 10.7% Total BNLS 81 69% 3.0% Nigeria 5 5% (11.1%) (9.2%) Zambia 11 9% 31.1% 21.4% Kenya 12 7% Ghana 4 5% 32.6% 25.0% Australia 3 2% (38.2%) (39.9%) Total owned stores 116 97% 11.7% Franchise & online 11 3% 1.4% Total 127 100% 11.4%
Non RSA sales
Local currency performance against ZAR
Performance in Africa viewed on a portfolio basis Stronger Rand in Q1 FY19, depreciated in Q2 Kenya includes recently acquired franchise stores Franchise stores include recently opened stores in DRC &
- Uganda. Excluding Kenya, growth was 53.7%
Australia reduced space by 34.7%
13
Nigeria
- Port congestion & strikes have been impacting performance
- Significant reduction in lead time & improved stock flow
since end Aug 18 - positive impact on sales growth
- Long term opportunity exists in Nigeria - growing middle
class & low international brand penetration
- Commissioned local advisors to undertake a detailed
process analysis to support future growth opportunity
- Namibia’s poor economic climate continues to impact
performance - high unemployment in mining & construction
- Botswana Swaziland & Lesotho performed well with
- pportunities existing for further growth
Zambia
- Double digit sales growth at strong operating margins
- Sheet Street test stores (2) trading ahead of forecast
Corporate owned Franchise Not present
Kenya
- All 12 franchise stores acquired in May ’18
were trading by mid June (7 apparel, 5 Home)
- Performance impacted by new customs
processes, mode of transport requirements & duty increase. Expect better performance in H2
Africa
Ghana BNLS
- Improved growth across all stores
- Improved stock flow & inventory levels
- New store space identified
14
15 new stores 0 expansions 2 reductions 1 closures
stores
495
7 new stores 1 expansions 3 reductions 0 closures
stores
178
2 new stores 0 expansions 2 reductions 0 closures
stores
107
8 new stores 1 expansions 4 reductions 1 closures
stores
301
2 new stores 0 expansions 2 reductions 4 closures
stores
205
Closures Reductions Expansions New stores Nett space Stores
6 13 2 34
Space growth : w.avg
- 1.0%
- 1.4%
0.4% 3.4% 1.4%
: closing
- 1.1%
- 1.7%
0.4% 3.3% 0.9%
Space growth
stores
1286
Space growth analysis
15
3.7% growth in new space, 1.4% net of closures & reductions New store growth led by mrpApparel Opportunity continues for space optimisation in Miladys, mrpHome &
- mrpSport. ~5% of total space still to rationalise
Ongoing focus on operational metrics - H1 sales densities up 6.2% 147 leases renewed: avg escalation +6.2%; agg base rentals reduced
550000 600000 650000 700000 750000 27000 29500 32000 34500 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 H1 FY'19
m² Rm-² Sales density (LHS) Weighted avg. gross space (RHS)
750 000 700 000 650 000 600 000 550 000 43 500 32 000 29 500 27 000
m-²
5 year CAGR to FY18 Sales density: +5.2% Space: +3.2%
16
Gross profit margin
Merchandise GP
39.8%
Cellular GP
13.1%
Merchandise GP
43.3%
Cellular GP
19.1%
Merchandise GP
42.5%
Cellular GP
18.8%
Group GP% increased 60bps with gains across all divisions Merchandise GP% improved 80bps. Gains & lower markdowns in all chains Cellular GP% improved by 30bps. Gains not as high as PY due to product mix changes & focus on instore rollout
39.2% 42.0% 42.6%
2016 2017 2018
17
Comparable store expenses up 5.7%; non comparable store expenses up 2.2% driven by space growth, Kenya acquisition & cellular expansion Rental costs increased 6.9%
- basic store rentals & operating costs up 6.1%
- higher straight line lease adjustment (new & renewed store
leases). Improved base rentals & escalations
- lower provision for onerous leases
Employment costs up 8.8%; comparable stores 6.5% All other costs up 8.2%
Selling expenses (R’m)
2018 2017 2 271 2 104 % change 7.9%
Overhead expenses
18
Employment costs up 6.2%, in line with avg. annual
- increases. Impact of additional staff appointments offset by
lower incentive provision Increased people investment (recruitment, talent development and learnerships) Amortisation up 33.8% relating to IT projects capitalisation in prior year All other costs (excluding the above) up 2.3%
Overhead expenses
Administrative expenses (R’m)
2018 2017 716 670 % change 6.9%
2018 2017 % change Retail sales1 R5 887m R5 562m 5.8% Comparable sales 3.0% 7.8% Unit sales 66.8m 65.7m 1.6% RSP inflation2 5.1% 2.6% Weighted average space growth 2.9% 3.4% Trading density R39 670m-2 R37 336m-2 6.2%
1Excludes franchise & VAT 2Includes VAT 3Market per Stats SA Type D retailers, excluding mrp sales & VAT
Sales growth ahead of market3 growth of 2.1% 28 of 30 departments grew sales, with more full priced items being sold. Have identified areas for further improvement in performance, mainly in casualwear & kids outerwear Inflation led by mix & lower markdowns Double digit operating profit growth achieved via profit wedge - GP% improvement & overhead management Won the Generation Next Coolest Clothing Store award in May 18. Voted the 17th most valuable brand in SA - Millward Brown Product quality & price are competitively positioned reinforcing our fashion value offering (pg 20)
19
Strong value positioning
LEADER CHALLENGER NICHE UNFAMILLIAR
VALUE
FASHION
Fashion value matrix: 2018
MRP COMP I COMP B COMP A COMP D COMP E COMP F COMP G
20
Source: Nielsen COMP H COMP C
21
37%
MRP
20% 13% 13% 7% 9% 23% 16%
Comp A Comp B Comp C
50% 71% 74% 68%
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Worse now Same as before Better now
Perception score is used as a benchmark for brands that consumers are most likely to engage with in the next 12 months Mrp quality & fashion improvements have been clearly noticed by consumers
Consumer quality & fashion perception*
Assortment quality & width
*Based on the last 12 months. Source: UBS
Mrp range ranks 5th across apparel retailers in RSA Size similar to international & premium brands; significantly bigger than value competitors
Source: Retailmap survey 2018
H&M Woolworths Cotton On Truworths mrp Miladys Edgars Foschini Ackermans Identity Legit Jet
3000 2000 1000
2621 1792 1341 1330 1235 834 807 536 382 374 292 422
Number of options
22
Value competitor International competitor
Jun '18 Jun '17 Source: Retailmap survey 2018
Price tier analysis
Price position maintained
lower lower middle middle upper middle upper
0% 50% 100%
91% 91% 9% 8% <1% 1%
0% 50% 100%
89% 85% 11% 15% <1% 0%
0% 50% 100%
11% 8% 26% 19% 26% 33% 21% 17% 17% 24%
Price differential to average
Woolworths
0% 50% 100%
- 100%
- 54%
- 55%
- 57%
- 52%
- 50%
- 51%
- 38%
- 38%
- 4%
- 7%
- 9%
- 7%
Survey Average
5% 7% 1% 9% 35% 15% 29% 29% 18% 34% 48% 49% 73% 68%
Truworths H&M Cotton On Foschini Miladys Identity Edgars Refinery Legit Jet Ackermans mrp
Jun '18 Jun '17
- 50%
mrp
23
Strong eCommerce performance
10.3 million views in H1
Social media:
In-App ‘tap to shop’ 83% of mrp shoppers active on FB
+32%
Revenue
2nd
Online Store
Ranked
+26%
Orders
+29%
Online users
R480
- Avg. basket size
Enabled by delivery
Click & collect orders increased 34% & contribute 53% of total orders, enhancing operating margins 25% improvement in overall delivery time Store express remains our fastest & best value offering to
- ur customer: cost R35; lead time 2 - 3 days
Enabled by user experience
62% of in-store customers browse online before shopping 83% of mrp.com users visits the site monthly, up from 77% LY, and 67% weekly, up from 64% LY Active app users increased 152% (25% of total users) Targeted & cost effective marketing channel Driving traffic & sales to mrp.com Good support to traditional media
2018 2017 % change Retail sales R691m R644m 7.2% Comparable sales 2.3% (4.6%) Unit sales 5.8m 5.6m 3.6% RSP inflation 4.4% 0.9% Weighted average space growth 2.6% 6.3% Trading density R22 491m-2 R22 294m-2 0.9%
24
Double digit sales growth in equipment, accessories, menswear & footwear Growth opportunities exist in ladieswear (fitness & outdoor), junior departments & category extensions Online sales up 40.4%, up 10 places in comparative store ranking Double digit GP% growth achieved at improved margins 6 of the top 11 finishers at this years Comrades Marathon wore Maxed running shoes
2018 2017 % change Retail sales R706m R652m 8.4% Comparable sales 8.2% 11.8% Unit sales 3.5m 3.4m 3.9% RSP inflation 5.2% 9.3% Weighted average space growth (1.7%) (0.5%) Trading density R24 192m-2 R22 386m-2 8.1% Good product execution to a niche customer segment enabled further sales growth off a tough base of 11.4% Sales growth ahead of market for all months in H1 Good performance in Athleisure (+25.2%) & casualwear (+8.7%). Opportunities in smartwear (2nd largest department) which grew 1.2% Non apparel up 11.5%, with most departments reporting double digit
- growth. Opportunity in costume jewellery & handbags
Successful test of impulse fragrances in 30 test stores, further rollout of 50 stores planned in H2 GP% improvement via lower markdowns & strong overhead management resulted in double digit operating profit growth
25
2018 2017 % change Retail sales R1 703m R1 558m 9.3% Comparable sales 6.6% (3.4%) Unit sales 15.6m 14.7m 6.1% RSP inflation 3.9% 2.1% Weighted average space growth (1.6%) 0.3% Trading density R27 100m-2 R25 238m-2 7.5% Bedroom, bathroom & living room softs were the best performing departments accounting for ~55% of sales Encouraging furniture sales growth of 8.6% Online grew by 29.0% aided by improved furniture stock flow - purchased through instore kiosks & fulfilled from DC GP% improvement (lower markdowns) & well managed overheads resulted in double digit operating profit growth Kasi Star Brands Homeware & Décor category winner Test store (340m-2) opened in Wroclaw, Poland on 26 October 2018
26
2018 2017 % change Retail sales R726m R695m 4.5% Comparable sales 2.5% 1.1% Unit sales 8.2m 7.7m 6.8% RSP inflation (1.3%) 5.2% Weighted average space growth 1.9% 0.1% Trading density R30 784m-2 R29 730m-2 3.5% Sales growth Q1 +2.4% - strong kitchen performance (+19.8%), while bathroom (+2.2%) & bedroom (+0.9%) struggled Q2 +6.5% - more balanced assortment in bathroom (+14.6%) & bedroom (5.5%) Consistent performance in living room throughout the period (+5.2%) Overhead growth was higher than gross profit growth, which impacted
- perating profit growth
27
R’m 2018 2017 % change Cellular 296 195 52.3% mrpMobile MVNO 92 84 9.2% Cellular 119 14 733.9% Airtime sales & commission 85 96
- 11.3%
Insurance 131 121 7.6% Credit- interest & charges 246 229 7.5% Total revenue 673 545 23.5% Mobile - improved performance since full ownership of MVNO from Jan 18. Focus on postpaid showing positive signs, expect improved growth in H2 Cellular - present in 249 stores (mainly mrp) selling handsets, sim cards & accessories. Onbiller gaining momentum - looking to replace airtime sold via USSD with better pricing & higher margins Insurance - increasingly regulated environment. Sales agent accreditation requirements impacted call centre. H2 focus on growth strategy & new products Credit
- interest revenue impacted by slower credit sales, lower repo rate & IFRS 9
(stage 3 interest not raised)
- increased monthly service fee to R10.50, well below competition
28
29
RSA consumers have reduced their debt levels, creating room for increased saving Credit health has improved however downward trend developing Accounts in early default confirm deteriorating credit health levels. A sign of emerging consumer distress Household cash flow decreased -0.4% (Transunion Q2 2018), confirming the SARB report of declining disposable income
70 65 60 55
SA Consumer Credit Index
50 45 40 35 30 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Improving credit health Deteriorating credit health 15 10 5
Accounts in early default (3 months in arrears)
- 5
- 10
- 15
- 20
- 25
07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Rising defaults Falling defaults
Source: Transunion- SA Consumer Credit Index Q2 2018
SA credit landscape
Source: Transunion- SA Consumer Credit Index Q2 2018
66 68 70 72 74 76 78 80
- 3
- 2.5
- 2
- 1.5
- 1
- 0.5
0.5 1
Q4 2013 Q3 2014 Q2 2015 Q1 2016 Q4 2016 Q3 2017 Q2 2018
Debt to income % Saving to income %
Household saving & debt to disposable income
Saving to income Debt to income
Source: SARB
30
Credit performance
000’s
Applications & approvals
255 299 103 119 41% 40%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
100 200 300 H1 FY2018 H1 FY2019
Applications Approvals Approval rate
Active account growth & number of credit transactions in line with industry trends Credit scorecard tightened & opening credit limits reduced in Q2, resulting in a decrease in approval rate New account applications up 17.3% due to increased marketing & relaxation of affordability regulations. Approvals up 15.5% 13-36 MOB growth impacted by affordably regulations introduced in Sep ’15. New account sales up 8.9%
R1.6b
Credit sales
+2.2%
R341
Avg credit basket
+3.1%
4.7m
- 0.9%
# of credit transactions
1.4m
Active accounts
+0.6%
31
R’m Sep 2018 Mar 18 Sep 2017
Sep/Mar % change Sep/Sep % change
Retail debtors 2 116 2 134 2 011
- 0.8%
5.2% Mobile* & franchise debtors 81 60 74 32.8% 9.5% Total debtors book 2 197 2 194 2 085 0.1% 5.4% Retail debtors (97% of total)
- NBD: book (excl collection
costs) 6.2% 5.9% 5.9%
- Impairment provision
8.3% 7.7% 7.3% Retail debtors book up 5.2%, credit sales growth 2.2% NBD: book ratio of 6.2% (excl collection costs) increased 30bps. Including collection costs the ratio is 8.4% Debtors impairment provision % increased due to IFRS 9 transition. In line with NBD: book (incl collection costs) Enhanced processes in Mobile resulted in a better customer experience and an improved bad debt performance
* Includes debtors with repayment terms greater than 12 months
Trade receivables
32
R’m Sept 2018 March 2018 Non-current assets Property, plant & equip1 2 088 2 092 Intangible assets 457 433 Other non-current assets2 112 103 Current assets Inventories3 2 322 2 215 Trade & other receivables (pg 35) 2 230 2 374 Cash & cash equivalents (pg 37) 2 562 2 756 Reinsurance assets4 246 146 Total 10 017 10 119 Equity & liabilities Shareholders equity5 7 666 7 455 Non-current liabilities 262 257 Current liabilities6 2 083 2 371 Bank overdraft 6 36 Total 10 017 10 119
1Additions of R133m (incl Kenya acquisition
- f R19m), depreciation R144m
2Higher mrpMobile long term receivables,
defined benefit pension fund & deferred tax assets
3Gross merchandise inventory (incl GIT) up
4.8% vs Mar 18 (up 5.3% vs Sep ’17). Including Cellular up 7.3% on Sep ’17. Increased levels of freshness on PY
4Mainly cash. Dividend to be paid in H2
5Adjustment to opening retained income of
R5m (IFRS 9: +R8m, IFRS 15 -R3m)
6Trade & other payables down 4.4% on
Mar ’18. Up 2.3% vs Sep ’17 (higher inventory but lower GIT)
Financial position
33
2 556 2 720 2 720
29 (176) (1 094) (4) (173) (19) (600) 288 (10) 1 595
2017 Other Treasury shares Dividends Long term receivables PPE & intangibles Kenyan Acquisition Taxation Interest received Working capital Cash from operations 2018 Operating R1.3bn Investing (R0.2bn) Financing (R1.3bn) Increase of 6.9% over H1 PY Lower receivables & creditors offset by higher inventory Higher cash balances & debtors book Includes FY18 top up payment Increase in mrpMobile contract customer base Final FY18 dividend paid in June Long term incentive schemes’ movement Translation of foreign cash reserves March 2018 September 2018
Cash flow movements (R’m)
2016: 1 784 2017: 1 560 Profit after tax to free cash flow conversion ratio of 98.5%* Plant & equipment acquired May ‘18 Additions: PPE R114m (stores: R101m), Intangibles R59m
* Excludes impact of the FY18 tax top up payment of R178m
34
Outlook
Global impact from emerging market sentiment & US trade negotiations Short term economic growth in RSA likely to be muted. Consumers will continue to be constrained & the competition for market share will continue in this environment Structural changes to boost growth in the economy likely to only materialise post the national elections in 2019 Positive that with the right outcome, RSA has the potential to enter into a new economic growth phase, however this will be gradual Forecast to open 45-50 stores in H2, with annual capex of ~R600m
Execution of our tried & tested fashion value model remains key