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The The Geography o of Jobs and t and the he Ge Gende nder W - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

The The Geography o of Jobs and t and the he Ge Gende nder W Wage Ga Gap Sitian Liu, Yichen Su Queens University Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas The views expressed in this presentation are those of the presenter and do not


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SLIDE 1

The The Geography o

  • f Jobs and t

and the he Ge Gende nder W Wage Ga Gap

Sitian Liu, Yichen Su Queen’s University Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas

The views expressed in this presentation are those of the presenter and do not necessarily represent the views of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas or the Federal Reserve System.

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Ge Gender er wage g e gap

  • Convergence of gender wage gap (Blau and Kahn, 2017)
  • Human capital gap (education, experience, etc.)
  • Discrimination
  • Unexplained gap persists
  • Preferences for non-pay job attributes => compensating

differential (Goldin, 2014) (Wiswall et al., 2014, 2017) (Gutierrez,

2018), (Le Barbanchon et al., 2019)

  • Temporal flexibility
  • Occupations and industries
  • Commuting friction

This paper

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Log w wag age g gap a and l log c commuting gap ( (residual al)

Preview:

  • Large geographic variation in commuting friction due to the

geography of jobs

  • Commuting friction accounts for 17-20% of the remaining

gender wage gap (preliminary)

Raw gap

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Job Choice Model Empirical Evidence Estimating the Model Decomposition Analysis

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Job Choice Model Empirical Evidence Estimating the Model Decomposition Analysis

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Job

  • b choi
  • ice m

mod

  • del (1/3)
  • Workers maximize following
  • Job choice frontier- maximum wage attainable

within commuting time τ

Differ by gender Return to commuting

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SLIDE 7

Job

  • b choi
  • ice m

mod

  • del (2/3)
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SLIDE 8

Job choice m model (3/ 3/3) – smalle ller β

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Model el p pred ediction

  • Gender gap in commuting time and wage larger for

workers living far from high-wage jobs (relative to low-wage jobs).

  • Workers living far from city centers should see larger

wage and commuting gaps.

  • Gaps should vary more spatially for occupations in which

high-wage jobs are geographically concentrated.

  • Wage gap should be correlated with commuting

gap.

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Job Choice Model Empirical Evidence Estimating the Model Decomposition Analysis

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SLIDE 11

Data

  • American Community Survey (2013-2017)
  • Cross-sectional earnings, hours worked and commuting time
  • Rich set of demographic variables: sex, age, marital status, children,

education.

  • PUMA (Public Use Microdata Areas) geocode for each worker.

Log wage gap (NY MSA) Log commute gap (NY MSA)

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SLIDE 12

Empirical e evidence ( (1/3): G Gen ender gaps lar arger far arth ther from

  • m c

city c centers

Log wage gap Residual log wage gap Log commuting gap Residual log commuting gap

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Empirical e evidence ( (2/3): w wage g gap is high ghly correl elated w with c commuting g g gap

Log wage gap vs. log commuting gap Residual log wage gap vs. residual log commuting gap

  • Commuting gap can explain a portion of the gender wage gap
  • Gender wage gap is slightly lower in places with no

commuting gap. (0.1079 to ~0.0893 – around 17%)

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Empirical e evidence ( (3/3): Co Commuting g gap u unlik likely ly driv iven by spatial s l sortin ing

  • Management professional jobs are highly centralized
  • Healthcare practitioner jobs much more decentralized
  • Spatial sorting not likely drives commuting gap

Management and professional jobs Healthcare practitioners

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Job Choice Model Empirical Evidence Estimating the Model Decomposition Analysis

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Estimating g the I e Indifferen ence c e curve

  • Simple cross-sectional regression yield biased results
  • 1. Location sorting by ability (demo)
  • 2. Random job arrival (demo)
  • Under perfect mobility, utility U equal everywhere
  • Regress ln(w) on τ yield unbiased estimate of λ
  • Identify the slope of reservation utility curve
  • Slope of the lower boundary of observed (ln(w), τ):
  • (ln(wR), τR)
  • Estimator must be robust to outliers and measurement errors
  • 0.01 quantile regression on residualized (ln(w), τ) (simulation)
  • American Community Survey 2013-2017
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SLIDE 17

Indifferen ence c curve: R Res esults

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Mea easuring t g the e Job c choice s set f frontier

  • Simulate spatial distribution of jobs with wages for each
  • ccupation and residential PUMA
  • Mean and sd of residual wages - ACS 2013-2017 Place-of-Work PUMA

(PWPUMA)

  • Zip Code Business Patterns (zip code level job count)
  • Google distance API
  • Frontier estimator (Cazals et al. 2002) to pin down β (estimator)

Financial manager – Northern suburbs, NY Financial manager – Midtown Manhattan, NY

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Job

  • b choi
  • ice s

set f t fron

  • nti

tier: Results ts

β distribution β wrt. distance to downtown β wrt. distance to downtown (Financial manager vs. physicians)

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Job Choice Model Empirical Evidence Estimating the Model Decomposition Analysis

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Model el p pred ediction v

  • vs. d

data

  • Predicted log wage gap is 0.01386 log gap (0.07038 actual gap) –

19.69%

  • Predicted log commuting gap is 0.03365 log gap (0.0243 actual

gap) – 138%

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Co Counterf rfactual: i increa easing g travel s speed eed

  • Reduce commuting time
  • Re-compute β

Two effects

  • Smooth existing trade-off (β ↓)
  • Jobs previously too far may enter trade-off (β ↑)
  • Nonlinear
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SLIDE 23

Co Conclusion

  • We analyze the role of commuting friction in the

remaining gender wage gap

  • Use a job choice model to illustrate that differential

preferences for commuting and returns to commuting lead to wage differentials between genders

  • Strong empirical support in the data
  • Estimate the model: the indifference curve and job

choice frontier

  • Commuting friction explains a portion (17-20%) of

the gender wage gap (preliminary)

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Appendix

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Lo Log w wage g gap ap an and l log c commutin ing gap ap

back

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Sort rting b by a abi bility

back

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Ran andom job a arrival

back

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Identi tificati tion

  • n (

(1/ 1/2)

back

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Identi tificati tion

  • n (

(2/ 2/2)

back

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Frontier e estimat ator

  • Cazals et al. (2002)
  • M=500
  • n(τ) is the number of observations less than τ
  • Robust to outliers
  • Estimate the maximum log wage within certain log

commuting time threshold

back