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The Machi hiner nerie ies s of Doubt bt & Disi sinfo - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

The Machi hiner nerie ies s of Doubt bt & Disi sinfo nformati ation on Cigar aret ette tes, s, Clim imat ate e & Other Elec ectr tron onic Confusio usions ns John R. Mashey JohnMashey AT yahoo PERIOD com @JohnMashey


slide-1
SLIDE 1

The Machi hiner nerie ies s of Doubt bt & Disi sinfo nformati ation

  • n

Cigar aret ette tes, s, Clim imat ate e & Other Elec ectr tron

  • nic Confusio

usions ns

John R. Mashey JohnMashey AT yahoo PERIOD com @JohnMashey May 10, 2017 Stanford EE380

slide-2
SLIDE 2

Ov Overview view

1

  • Introd

roduct ction

  • n

– Speaker: computer scientist/executive stumbles into an alternate universe – Background: books and blogs, consider this vaccine just in case

  • Climate

ate change ge science nce, , at most t briefly fly

– Consensus: It is warming, we are doing it and it will have (mostly) negative effects. – Evidence at least as strong as that for medical science: smokingdisease – Must reduce GHG emissions to lessen damage, may need to go negative – Implies reengineering of the world’s energy system … tough problem

  • Anti-sci

scien ence ce machinery inery of doubt t – organi nizati zation

  • n,

, people le, , fundin ing, g, ideolog

  • gy

– Goal: avoid unwanted policy, bypass science/realities in favor of politics – Tobacco anti-science  environmental anti-science – Example: Heartland Institute: Joe Camel Innocent, mercury OK, no warming – Example: the Minnesota Social Cost of Carbon case, 2016 – Strong entanglement with politics, including reality-dismissal

  • Doubt

t & disinfo nformatio rmation in the Inte terne rnet t age and before re (examples) amples)

  • Rocks

s in the gears

  • Discussi

ussion

slide-3
SLIDE 3

Speak aker er – John n R. Mashey ey -

en.wikipedia. pedia.or

  • rg/w

g/wiki/John_ /John_Mashey Mashey

  • Small farm in (hilly) Wester

tern n Penns nsylvani ania a N o

  • f Pitts

tsbur burgh, gh, founded nded ~1850 50

– Climate matters; keep topsoil; fix things; recycle; Liebig’s Law. smog, oil, coal, Marcellus shale

  • Pennsylvania

sylvania State te Universi ersity, ty, 1964-1973 1973, , BS Math, h, MS/Ph PhD D CMPSC SC

  • Bell Labs 1973-1983,

1983, early UNIX, MTS  Supervi ervisor

  • r

– Programmer’s Workbench, shell programming, text processing, workload measurement/tuning in first UNIX computer center, etc – Created & managed group with software + cognitive psychologists

  • Conver

ergent gent Technol hnologi

  • gies

es 1983-1984 1984 ($400M) 0M), MTS  Director

  • r Softw

twar are

  • MIPS

S Computer uter Systems ems 1985-1992, 1992, ($150M) 0M) Mgr. OS  VP Systems tems Technol hnology

  • gy

– System coprocessor, TLB, interrupt-handling; byte addressing(!);64-bit; Hot Chips 1989-2016 – MIPS Performance Brief editor; a SPEC benchmarking group founder 1988 (science, stats)

  • Silicon
  • n Graphics 1992-2000

2000 ($3B) B),Direct rector

  • r Systems

tems Technol hnology

  • gy  VP & Chief Scienti

entist

– MIPS R10000 & later architecture, including performance counters & software – ccNUMA system architecture (NUMAflex in Origin3000, Altix); supercomputers for NCAR, etc – Performance issues in HPC, DBMS; technology forecasting, “Big Data” – Evangelist work with sales/marketing, business development, strategy, alliances, scientists

  • 2001

2001- Typical Silicon Valley “Semi-retired” occasional consulting for high-tec tech h co’s, VCs

Computer History Museum Trustee; Technical advisory boards for startups Travel; ski in B.C.; hike; bike; occasionally write articles & do talks for fun … i.e., ~semi-retired  … interest in climate 2001-, and then a weird hobby 2007- study of disinformation Help climate scientists, expose machinery of doubt, blog, rocks in gears. 2012- CTCRE @ UCSF

  • Committee for Skeptical Inquiry (CSI) Scientific/Technical Consultant

New Jers ersey Silic icon Valle ley PA PA

2

❤ ☹1995 95

slide-4
SLIDE 4

Back ckgr ground

  • und & a few good

d books ks

3

  • Climate alternate universe: physics does not apply; human CO2 has no effect;

never reduce fossil fuel use; climate scientists form an evil cabal to hide the truth. People who know this send hate mail, leave eviscerated rat on doorstep, etc.

  • A few good books
  • David Michaels, Doubt Is Their Product (2008) (asst secty labor, OSHA)
  • Stephen H. Schneider, Science as a Contact Sport: …(2009)
  • Naomi Oreskes and Erik Conway, Merchants of Doubt (2010)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HD2zixRoBP8 (2014) film

  • Raymond S. Bradley, Global Warming and Political Intimidation (2011)
  • Michael E. Mann, The Hockey Stick and the Climate Wars (2012)
  • Robert N. Proctor, Golden Holocaust: Origins of the Cigarette Catastrophe…(2012)
  • Sharon Eubanks, Stan Glantz, Bad Acts - The Racketeering Case… (2013)
  • Jane Mayer, Dark Money – The Hidden History of the Billionaires Behind…(2016)
  • Jeff Nesbit, Poison Tea – How Big Oil and Big Tobacco Invented the Tea Party…(2016)
  • Michael E. Mann & Tom Toles, The Madhouse Effect – How Climate Change Denial…(2016)
slide-5
SLIDE 5

Backgr grou

  • und

nd - blogs gs / reports ts / video eos

4

  • DeSmog
  • gBl

Blog

  • g,

, some e at Skeptical ptical Science, ence, Skeptical tical Inquire quirer, r, Huffpo fpost st www.de desmo smogb gblog

  • g.com/user

.com/user/joh

  • hn-mash

mashey ~50 posts, some with big reports

T = includ ludes es tobac bacco

  • (mem

embe ber r adv dv comm for

  • r UCSF Cent

nter er Toba bacco

  • Cont

ntrol

  • l Resear

earch h & Educ ucat ation ion) https://www.desmogblog.com/2016/03/20/will-happer-rebrands-gmi-as-CO2-Coalition-CoalOILition

  • https://www.desmogblog.com/2016/06/07/peabodys-outlier-gang-couldnt-shoot-straight
  • https://www.desmogblog.com/2016/07/18/webofdenial-senators-strong-remarks-collected-and-

annotated

  • http://www.desmogblog.com/2016/08/05/will-happer-drills-for-support-with-lamar-smith-ted-cruz
  • Ivar Giaever: Nobel Icon For Climate Deniers, and Philip Morris

www.desmogblog.com/2016/01/04/ivar-giaever-nobel-icon-for-climate-deniers T Big Tobacco, Big Fossil Power Machinery of Doubt (2015) www.huffingtonpost.com/john-mashey/big-tobacco-big-fossil-po_b_8749454.html T www.desmogblog.com/2015/07/21/bjorn-lomborg-brings-profit-protective-policies-back-to-denmark T Thomas Donohue Sells US Chamber Of Commerce To Big Tobacco www.desmogblog.com/2015/07/02/thomas-donohue-sells-us-chamber-commerce-big-tobacco T www.desmogblog.com/2015/05/19/ed-wegman-yasmin-said-milt-johns-sue-john-mashey-2-million www.desmogblog.com/2015/04/26/copenhagen-consensus-center-real-charity-foreign-conduit www.desmogblog.com/2015/01/26/medievaldeception-2015-inhofe-drags-senate-dark-ages www.desmogblog.com/2014/04/18/pseudoskeptics-are-not-skeptics

slide-6
SLIDE 6

Back ckgr ground

  • und - blogs

gs / reports ts / videos eos -2 2

5

  • DeSmog
  • gBlog

Blog, some at Skept eptic ical al Scienc ience, e, Skept eptic ical l Inq nquir uirer, er, Huffpos

  • st

www.desmogblog.com/2014/01/28/familiar-think-tanks-fight-e-cigarettes T www.desmogblog.com/2014/01/10/koch-industries-hires-tobacco-operative-steve-lombardo- communications-marketing T www.desmogblog.com/2013/12/23/detailed-study-exposes-dark-money-flows-climate-science-denial www.desmogblog.com/foia-facts-5-finds-friends-gwpf International connections www.desmogblog.com/foia-facts-1-more-misdeeds Hockeystick, Ed Wegman www.desmogblog.com/2013/02/11/tea-party-tobacco-everywhere-always T Kochs+tobacco www.desmogblog.com/2012/10/23/fakery-2-more-funny-finances-free-tax v.2 T Fake science, fakexperts, funny finances, free of tax, 02/14/12, 213p v.1 (FFFF) www.desmogblog.com/skeptics-prefer-pal-review-over-peer-review-chris-de-freitas-pat-michaels- and-their-pals-1997-2003 2011 Well-documented subversion of peer-review http://www.desmogblog.com/sites/beta.desmogblog.com/files/STRANGE.SCHOLARSHIP.V1.02.pdf Strange Scholarship in the Wegman Report  USA Today, etc, etc (SSWR) www.desmogblog.com/crescendo-climategate-cacophony T Crescendo to Climategate Cacophony, 03/17/10, 185p (CCC) www.desmogblog.com/another-silly-climate-petition-exposed 2009 (APS) www.desmogblog.com/skeptics-journal-publishes-plagiarized-paper 2008 Monckton vs Oreskes www.csicop.org/si/show/strange_problems_in_the_wegman_report Skeptical Inquirer 2011 www.csicop.org/si/show/has_global_warming_stopped/ Morrison, Mashey, Boslough 2013 pics.uvic.ca/events/machinery-climate-anti-science T T 2011 lectures(3) for PICS, videos

  • More talks for various audiences
slide-7
SLIDE 7

Climate change science, briefly … ~smo mokin king:diseas g:disease

www.skep eptic icals alscienc ience.com

  • m/grap

raphic hics.php hp

6

Law Dome only goes back 2000 0 years Mauna na Loa CO2 o

  • nly goes back to ~1957

57 i39.ti tiny nypi pic.c .com

  • m/if0m

0m5g.j 5g.jpg pg The Holocene:

  • cene: William

am Ruddiman, man, Earth h Transfor formed ed (2013) 3)

slide-8
SLIDE 8

Climat mate e change nge scien ience, ce, briefly efly (cont) nt)

www.skep eptic icals alscienc ience.com

  • m/grap

raphic hics.php hp

7

Not only statisti tics / e epidem demiol

  • logy
  • gy

More CO2 O2  warming, g, physics Conser ervati ation

  • n laws
slide-9
SLIDE 9

Anti-scienc science e confus fusion,

  • n, debunk

unked ed – Skepti eptical cal Scie ience nce

www.skep eptic icals alscien ience.com

  • m/arg

rgum umen ent.php hp or www.skep eptic icals alscienc ience.com

  • m/fix

ixedn dnum um.ph php

8

  • Argumen

ments ts / myths hs / memes s repeate ated d endlessly essly

  • First

st 5 of 193 193 in the catalog alog

  • Checked

ked with expert rts

  • Where

e does this junk come e from? Why is it so persistent tent, , someti etimes es 20 years? rs?

slide-10
SLIDE 10

Defini initi tions

  • ns,

, Science ence Bypass ass, , Clim imate, ate, Cigarette arettes

  • Science

nce

– “Great Wall” analogy from “How to Learn About Science” scienceblogs.com/deltoid/2008/08/john_mashey_on_how_to_learn_ab.php

  • Pseudo

dosci scien ence ce

– Attempt to convince scientists of ideas, balance of evidence strongly adverse – ESP, astrology, cycles everywhere, “iron sun”, Skeptical Inquirer debunks such – Sometimes useful for sales (remedies, cures) – Journal of Scientific Exploration (JSE), a “dog astrology journal” – rabett.blogspot.com/2010/11/journal-of-scientific-exploration-is.html – Quoted as crucial source by McIntyre&McKitrick (CA), Montford (UK) book HSI

  • Science

ce-Noise ise (for r lack of better ter term) m)

– Science  media  public introduces noise into the signal

  • Anti-sci

scien ence ce and doubt

– Not just pseudo-science or science-noise (although often employs them) – Intended to obscure science to avoid unwanted policies – Some prefer denial or denialism, people argue often. Professionals create anti-science, many (amateur) dismissives/deniers repeat it. Carl Sagan, Martin Gardner and Steve Schneider were real skeptics. Climate “skeptics” are pseudoskeptics, with Sauron-class Morton’s Demons

9

APS S pp.4 .4, , CCC p.8 .8

slide-11
SLIDE 11

Scien ience ce Bypass ass

Policy and Action informed by best available science at time Periodic reviews by relevant expert scientists Scientific Research Accumulates

Theoretical Ideal

Periodic reviews by relevant expert scientists Assessement reports, recommendations Governments Public Policy and Action informed by best available science at time

Science Bypass

Public Governments Dislike policies

Trash

Recommend more research ...indefinitely

Goal Scientific Research Accumulates Assessement reports, recommendations

Anti-Science Fog, Cacophony works

10

CCC p.9 .9

  • In 1990,

, climate ate was not so politi tical cally y split, t, manufacture factured d since ce

  • Sherwo

wood d Boehle lert, rt, Jon Huntsma tsman, n, Arnold ld Schwarzene arzenegge ger, r, Bob Inglis is, , Georg rge e Shultz, ltz, etc Republican lican defend nders rs of climate ate science. ence. UK: PM Thatcher OK on climate … but later took tobacco money

slide-12
SLIDE 12

11

Mo Modern* n* Anti ti-Sc Scien ience, ce, Cigar arettes ettes and Clim imate te

  • General

ral approach

  • ach by Hill & Knowlto

lton n for tobacco cco compan anies, es, 1954

– “A Scientific Perspective on the Cigarette Controversy legacy.library.ucsf.edu/tid/wye21a00/pdf – www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Council_for_Tobacco_Research » The evidence is still inconclusive. » Something other than smoking may be responsible. » Statistical evidence can’t be trusted. » It’s all a scare campaign. » The issue is too complicated, even for scientists. » Nit-picking at irrelevant details. » More research is necessary. All this seems in progress for e-cigs

  • Often

ten same thinkta nktanks, ks, front nt organi nizati zation

  • ns,

s, people le

– Even some physicists (Frederick Seitz (Rockefeller U), Fred Singer) – 501(c)3 (US) tax-free nonprofits … really PR/lobbying agencies, clever NOT ALL SUCH, for example, some reasonable folks at Hoover Institution – Thinktanks: conservative/libertarian value to addict children to nicotine??? legacy.library.ucsf.edu/tid/eyn18c00/pdf “Importance of Younger Adults”, 1984. * S See e Michael haels(2008) (2008) for earlier er campai paigns gns for lead, d, etc. . Susan an Solom

  • mon
  • n has good
  • d talk.

CCC p.9 .9

slide-13
SLIDE 13

Confus fusion ion from m the Tobacco cco Playbo ybook

  • k

FFFF: p.13, 13, from rom Proc

  • ctor
  • r, pp.

p.29 290-291. DON’T TRY TO READ, JUST SEE BLACK AND RED

12

slide-14
SLIDE 14

13

Tobacc acco

  • & (cli

limat mate e doubt bt-rela related) ted) think ink tanks ks

  • Familiar

iliar Think k Tanks s Fight t For E-cig igarettes arettes (and nd FDA delay) y)

www.desmogblog.com/2014/01/28/familiar-think-tanks-fight-e-cigarettes tobacco.stanford.edu/tobacco_main/ecigs.php SRITA, great new site

  • “Best” marketeers in the world, but need (pseudo)academic cover, testimony, etc.
  • ACSH, AEI, CATO, CEI, Heartland, Heritage F, IWF, NCPA, NCPPR, Reason, WLF,

IEA (UK), IPA (AU) … all gears in machinery of climate anti-science

  • www.desmogblog.com/2013/02/11/tea-party-tobacco-everywhere-always

Meticulous UCSF research (Fallin, Grana, Glantz) Tea Party fostered by Koch brothers think tank with much help from Big Tobacco.

  • www.desmogblog.com/2014/01/10/koch-industries-hires-tobacco-operative-steve-

lombardo-communications-marketing Kochs hiring tobacco marketeers Google: e: e-cigaret garette te microc

  • contr
  • ntrol
  • ller

er

slide-15
SLIDE 15

14

The elect ectronic,

  • nic, connec

nected ted futur ure e accor cordin ding g to Phil ilip ip Morris is - IQOS

  • Heat not burn,

, 2014 articl icle from m patent nt (below w left) t)

http:/ ://gi /gizmodo.c

  • do.com/
  • m/the

the-fut futur ure-e-cig cig-com

  • mes

es-with-an an-int nter ernet net-con

  • nnec

nection

  • n-and

and-1644801806 1644801806

  • PM invest

sts s big, pushes s outsid ide US first, st, 2016 article cle (below

  • w right)

t) http:/ p://ww /www.bu w.busi sine nessi ssinsi nsider.co er.com/ph m/phili lip-morri morris-e-cig cigarett rette-20 2016-11 11

slide-16
SLIDE 16

The Machi hine nery – Launderi dering ng Mo Money y and Me Meme mes – 1 Sociolo iology gy CCC CCC www.des

desmogblo gblog. g.com

  • m/cres

rescen endo do-clim limat ateg egat ate-cacoph phony

  • ny, Marc

rch 2010, 010, p.10 10

Funders Org. Advo- cates Individual Advo- cates For USA audience catagories at right, see 2009 report below: O2 Foundation O1 Corporation B4 Scientist, Field B1b Communicator Editorial O7, B1a Political O5 Front B2 Technical professional O3 PR Agency B3 Scientist, other B1c Public, convinced Uncommitted public

$$$$

O8 Media

Create,spread memes: write, speak, sign letters. A few paid, most unpaid. PhD (any) valued for truthiness. Finanical - FIN1...5 Reasons (inside gray) Other non-FIN reasons (outside gray) Wish low public visibility Wish high public visibility

money

Memes... Key

+Fees?

"Big Prizes" O4 Lobby

+Votes, donations FIN1

"Hack" (any) Doubt, confusion or best, move

FIN2

O6 Think Tank

FIN3 FIN4 FIN5

O9 Blogosphere

Accept the science, at least some need to act

15

CCC p.1 .11

  • Corpora
  • rati

tion

  • ns

s and family ily founda dati tion

  • ns
  • Interco

erconne nected cted group

  • f coopera

erative/co tive/compe mpetitive titive nonprofit rofit PR/lobb lobbyi yist sts

  • Spokesp

speople Some last long Others ers wear out

  • Media

a Intern rnet, t, Website sites Blogs, s, FaceBo Book

  • k,

, Twitter tter

  • Public

ic

  • UK: ask Brendan

ndan Monta tagu gue, e, DeSmog

  • g UK
slide-17
SLIDE 17

The Ma Machin hiner ery y – Launderi dering ng Mo Money y and Me Meme mes - 2

Some e think ink tank anks/fro ront nts gene nera ral: l: Cato,

  • , CEI, etc in US, IEA (UK),

), IPA (AU), ),Fras aser er (CA). A). Hoov

  • ver

r prec eced eded ed most of thes hese, e, is a bit differe erent nt. Others hers spec ecif ific ic to climate: e: GWPF (UK), K), CSCDGC GC (US), S), SEPP P (US), S), etc. Tobac bacco

  • sometim

imes creat reates es own fron

  • nt grou
  • ups

ps, but ut more re often en uses es gene neral ral thin ink tank anks for r cov

  • ver

er.

16

CCC p.1 .11

“Privatize the profits and socialize the costs, risks, damages.”  often n leads ads to

  • suc

uch h tac actic ics, hidd dden en

slide-18
SLIDE 18

The Ma Machin hiner ery y – Launderi dering ng Mo Money y and Me Meme mes -3

17

CCC p.1 .11

UK: Benny nny Peis iser, r, Nigel el Lawson

  • n, Chris

ristop

  • phe

her r Monc nckton

  • n, Andre

drew Mont ntford rd, Mat att Ridle ley, Rupert pert Darw rwall all etc

slide-19
SLIDE 19

The Ma Machin hiner ery y – Launderi dering ng Mo Money y and Me Meme mes -4

environ

  • nment.

ent.yale.edu/ e.edu/up uploads

  • ads/Si

/SixAmer Americas as2009. 2009.pdf pdf (moved ed from URL in CCC)

18

CCC p.1 .11

Tea Party ty

slide-20
SLIDE 20

The Ma Machin hiner ery y – Launderi dering ng Mo Money y and Me Meme mes – 1 (again) in)

www.des desmogblo gblog. g.com

  • m/cres

rescen endo do-clim imat ateg egat ate-cacoph phony

  • ny, Marc

rch 2010 10, p.10 10

Funders Org. Advo- cates Individual Advo- cates For USA audience catagories at right, see 2009 report below: O2 Foundation O1 Corporation B4 Scientist, Field B1b Communicator Editorial O7, B1a Political O5 Front B2 Technical professional O3 PR Agency B3 Scientist, other B1c Public, convinced Uncommitted public

$$$$

O8 Media

Create,spread memes: write, speak, sign letters. A few paid, most unpaid. PhD (any) valued for truthiness. Finanical - FIN1...5 Reasons (inside gray) Other non-FIN reasons (outside gray) Wish low public visibility Wish high public visibility

money

Memes... Key

+Fees?

"Big Prizes" O4 Lobby

+Votes, donations FIN1

"Hack" (any) Doubt, confusion or best, move

FIN2

O6 Think Tank

FIN3 FIN4 FIN5

O9 Blogosphere

Accept the science, at least some need to act

19

CCC p.1 .11

  • Corpora
  • rati

tion

  • ns

s and family ily founda dati tion

  • ns
  • Interco

erconne nected cted group

  • f coopera

erative/co tive/compe mpetitive titive nonprofit rofit PR/lobb lobbyi yist sts

  • Spokesp

speople Some last long Others ers wear out

  • Media

a Intern rnet, t, Website sites Blogs, s, FaceBo Book

  • k,

, Twitter tter

  • Public

ic

slide-21
SLIDE 21

The Ma Manufac facture tured d Poli litical tical Spli lit

20

Lawrence C. Hamilton & Kei Saitoa, Environme ronmental ntal Politics tics A four-party party view of US enviro ronme nmenta ntal l conce cern, rn, 25 Nov 2014

http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/09644016.2014.976485#.VeW30KBVhBe

  • Dunning

ng- Kruger ger

slide-22
SLIDE 22

The Ma Machin hiner ery y – Where e are the big gears? rs?

21

CCC CCC

  • Google

le Map from m CCC https:/ ps://map /maps. s.goo

  • ogle

le.com/map .com/maps/ s/ms? ms?hl hl=en =en&ie &ie=UTF8&msa=0&msid =UTF8&msa=0&msid=10 =1079 7940 825189517771981.00 .0004815492d08b0c4 c445f9 f9&l &ll=3 l=38.8 .882481,- 76.978 78455 55&sp &spn=0.7 n=0.77182 71829,1 9,1.2 .253 53815 15&z=10 &z=10

slide-23
SLIDE 23

Funders ers x Or Organiza nizati tions

  • ns (~ 1/3 of each

h of 3 p pages; es; ~50% $$)

Don’t try to read: pattern: climate/tobacco overlap, but founda dati tion

  • ns added

added

22

CCC p.9 .93 GMI I = Georg rge Marsh shall ll Institu stitute te, , focu cus s of Oreske skes s and Conwa way(20 y(2010); ; SEPP and Heartl rtland in FFFF

slide-24
SLIDE 24

Tobacc acco

  • fundin

ding g via TTID

Don’t try to read: message: thinktanks have long gotten tobacco $$

23

FFFF p.39 This is a specific subset of many think tanks. For example, Hoover Institution doesn’t show up.

slide-25
SLIDE 25

They work hard for the money … and politics

legac gacy.libr librar ary.uc ucsf.edu/ du/tid/ id/coa8

  • a85c

5c00 00/pdf df (Oc Oct 26 1999 99) )

24

FFFF p.4 .40

slide-26
SLIDE 26

Heartlan tland d Insti titut tute, e, Chic icag ago

  • (not

t D.C.!) !)

If an industry privatizes profits and socializes costs/risks … HI can help

25

  • “Thinktank” - tax-exempt “public charity” 501(c)(3)

– Really PR agency/lobbyist with ideological rationale – In last few years, #1 for climate anti-science

  • Heartland

tland and Presid ident nt Joe Bast t often en in TTID ID

– PM’s Roy Marden was on Board ~1996-2008

  • “Joe Camel is Innocent!” 08/21/96
  • “Five Lies about Tobacco;The Tobacco Bill Wasn’t about Kids.” 07/98
  • http://www.nationalacademies.org/hmd/Reports/2015/TobaccoMinimumAgeReport.aspx

FFFF p.3 .39-46 46

slide-27
SLIDE 27
  • Welcome to Heartland’s Smoker’s Lounge 04/20

/20/07 /07

  • Environ

ronme ment nt and Climate ate News, , all state te legisla slato tors rs

  • May 2006, p.6 Smoker’s Lounge ad
  • July 2008,

, p.8 Jerome me Arnett, ett, Jr “Best Available Scientific Evidence Shows Secondhand Smoke Is No Danger”

  • 2012 Still

ll getti ting ng $$ from m Altria ria, , Reynolds,

  • lds, more than

n in TTID ID … and for “Healthcare Reform”, from Pfizer zer, , and PhRMA A for example. ple. forecast ecastthe thefa fact cts.org s.org/sp /spon

  • nso

sors/ rs/hea eartla rtland nd-institu nstitute te

  • And mercury

ury is fine e in fish and environmen ronment t (Heart rtlan and gets coal money) y)

Heartlan tland d Insti titut tute e (cont) nt)

26

FFFF p.3 .39-46 46

slide-28
SLIDE 28

Heartlan tland d Insti titut tute e (cont) nt) Joe e Bast, t, 06/14 14/12 /12

fak akega egate.org

  • rg/the-hea

heart rtlan land-ins instit itut ute-an and-toba bacco

27

‘■ Smokers already ady pay taxes es that are too high h to be fair, and far abov

  • ve

e any cost they impos

  • se

e on the rest of society ety. ■ The public health community’s campaign to demonize smokers and all forms of tobacco is based ed on junk scienc ence. ■ Litigation against the tobacco industry is an example of lawsuit abuse, and has “loaded the gun” for lawsuits against other industries. ■ Smok

  • king

ng bans ns hurt small busines nesses es and violat ate e private ate proper perty ty rights ts. ■ The harm caus used ed by smoking ng can be reduc uced ed by educ ucat ating ng smokers ers about ut their options

  • ns.

■ Punishing smokers “for their own good” is repulsive to the basic libertarian principles that

  • ught to limit the use of government force. …

‘Our positions on tobacco control are based on facts and principles, not on who funds us. Anti-smok moking ng groups ps exaggerat ggerate e the danger gers of smoking, ng, second

  • nd-hand

hand smoke, e, and smokel eles ess tobac acco

  • produc

ucts ts in order er to suppor port t their agenda enda of higher her taxes es, , more regulati ations

  • ns, and subsidi

dies es. . We’ve certainly earned their enmity for pointing this out, but it is untrue ue to clai aim that we are misleadi eading ng the publ blic, denying ng a very real public heal alth th probl blem em, ,

  • r in some

e other way are behavi aving ng badly. We are not.’ Projec ection

  • n + p

politics

slide-29
SLIDE 29

Ex Examp mple le 1 – He Heartl tland and and Frie iends nds

www.des desmogblo gblog. g.com

  • m/fak

ake-scien ience-fak akex expe pert rts-fun unny ny-fina inanc nces es-free ee-tax ax, p.3, 3, upda dated d

28

GMI

  • F. Seitz
  • R. Jastrow
  • W. Happer

OKeefe, Kueter

Elected Officials

(treetops)

J.Inhofe ... Public Heartland grassroots supporters Heartland Joseph,Carol Bast ExxonMobil F

  • r corporate

A small subset of known connects. [MAS2010, MAS2010a] Memes, PR Early Seitz Known $ Likely $ Funny $ to CSDCGC/ Ferguson Seid -> HI Phlip Morris Roy Marden Koch, Koch, Lambe L&H Bradley Scaife SSF, Carthage Other F's in various groups , Searle, Triad, etc SEPP

  • F. Singer

CSCDGC Craig Idso SPPI

  • R. Ferguson

CATO Pat Michaels CEI Myron Ebell Chris Horner Marlo Lewis Iain Murray NCPA Sterling Burnett NCPPR Bonner Cohen D&A Ridenour TASSC junkscience Steve Milloy E&CN Jay Lehr James M. Taylor ... Legislator's Guide NIPCC reports Skeptics Handbook CFACT Paul Driessen Schools Bob Carter Pacific, AU. NZ, IN? AU: IPA? David Evans, Jo Nova IN: Liberty Institute? Barun S. Mitra?

EM F Scaife Bradley Kochs PM

ICCCs (many) Other think tanks NAS Peter Wood National Association of Scholars - members, readers of CHE

Michael Crichton

State of Fear ? ? Philanthropy Roundtable

DONORS

API OH-AIPG

  • J. Matthew Justice

William E. Shafer DONORS Whitney Ball CA FCPP NRSP

  • T. Harris

NZ NZCSC

  • O. McShane

ICSC

  • T. Dunleavy

AdTI

Barre Seid A.D.

slide-30
SLIDE 30

Ex Examp mple le 2 2 – Georg rge e Mason n Un Univ iversity sity

www.des desmogblo gblog. g.com

  • m/see

ee-no no-evil il-geo georg rge-mas ason

  • n-un

univ ivers ersit ity p.40 40

29

GMU J.D.s D. Shnare..

  • K. Cuccinelli VA AG
  • W. Russell Asst.
  • M. Johns

GMI

  • F. Seitz
  • R. Jastrow
  • W. Happer

OKeefe, Kueter

Heartland Joseph, Carol Bast ExxonMobil F

  • r corporate

Relations Tobacco $ Early Seitz Known $ Likely $ Funny $ to CSCDGC/ Ferguson Phlip Morris Roy Marden Koch, Koch, Lambe

  • R. Fink

L&H Bradley Scaife SSF, Carthage Others in various groups Seid, Triad, etc SEPP

  • F. Singer

CSCDGC Craig Idso SPPI

  • R. Ferguson

CATO Pat Michaels CEI Myron Ebell Marlo Lewis Iain Murray Chris Horner NCPA Sterling Burnett

NCPPR Bonner Cohen D&A Ridenour TASSC junkscience Steve Milloy

CFACT Paul Driessen

EM F Scaife Bradley Kochs PM

Other think tanks NAS Peter Wood ? ? Philanthropy Roundtable

DONORS

API DONORS Whitney Ball AdTI George Mason U

  • Pres. A. Merten W. WIlliams, Prof. Econ (Dir AFPF)
  • D. Boudreaux, Prof. Econ (H Expert, CATO Adj, CEI ADj)

F.H. Buckley, Dir. Law & Econ Ctr (H Pol Ad) P.Boettke, GMU PhD, Prof. Economics (H Pol Ad)

  • S. Talkington GMU PhD, Research Prof Pub Policy..
  • W. Lash, Prof. Law , CFACT Advisor ..
  • J. Rabin, Prof. Law, Adj. Scholar CEI..
  • R. W.Anderson, Prof. Economics, Fire & Ice, NIPCC

Institute for Humane Studies(~KOCH, Scaife, L&H Bradley) Mercatus Center (~KOCH) Tyler Cowen, CATO Adj Scholar

  • E. Wegman, Y. Said

CMPA, STATS (~SCAIFE) R. Lichter Searle Freedom Trust Kimberly Dennis GMU BoV

  • N. Pfotenhauer

Searle F T

Dominion

  • M. McGettrick

ATI

Note: most of GMU s seems ms a normal al universi ersity

  • ty. Folks like

e Ed Maibac bach h do great at work. but a few parts are tight htly tied with Kochs hs and/or /or tobac acco

  • (Tollison
  • n economi

nomics network) rk).

slide-31
SLIDE 31

Ex Examp mple le 3 3 – AA AAPS PS, , DD DDP P & O & OISM ISM

https ps://www.des desmogblo gblog. g.com

  • m/20

2015 15/02/ 2/23 23/ant nti-scienc ience-as assoc

  • ciat

iation ions-ra rand nd-pa paul ul-jane jane-orie rient nt-art rt-robin

  • binson
  • n-

willie lie-soo

  • on-an

and-friend iends

30

Jane Orien ent Art Robinson son Robert rt Mercer cer Ron Paul Tom Price ce A.

  • A. Schlafly

afly and many more

slide-32
SLIDE 32

Gr Great t 2013 researc earch h paper r on think nk tank k fundin ding Drexel el socio iolo logi gist st Rober ert t J. Brull lle

31

  • Study

dy Detail ils s Dark Money y Flowin ing to Climate ate Science nce Denial 12/20/13

www.desmogblog.com/2013/12/23/detailed-study-exposes-dark-money-flows-climate-science-denial Institutionalizing delay: foundation funding and the creation of U.S. climate change counter-movement organizations. drexel.edu/~/media/Files/now/pdfs/Institutionalizing%20Delay%20-%20Climatic%20Change.ashx

  • 91 organizations, over 2003-2010, 8 years, total ~$7B

Annual income ~$900M, of which trade associations (C5/6) get $800M 501(c)(4) advocacy groups get $30--$60M 2009-2010 501(c)(3) tax-exempts get ~$250M income ~$64M identifiable foundation support … so can find ~25%, rest dark

slide-33
SLIDE 33

Minneso esota ta Soci cial al Cost t of Carbon

  • n Case

32

https://www.desmogblog.com/2016/03/20/will-happer-rebrands-gmi-as-CO2-Coalition-CoalOILition https://www.desmogblog.com/2016/08/05/will-happer-drills-for-support-with-lamar-smith-ted-cruz https://www.desmogblog.com/2016/06/07/peabodys-outlier-gang-couldnt-shoot-straight

Much work by Stanford’s John Weyant on Energy Modeling Forum https://emf.stanford.edu/

slide-34
SLIDE 34

Some me tactics tics of doubt

33

  • Endless

ess petiti ition

  • ns,

s, especia cially ly via Fred d Singer, er, but others ers “Oregon Petition,” OISM, Arthur Robinson in late 1990s

  • Atta

tack ck on Ben Sante ter r in Wall l Stree eet t Journ rnal al, , evisce scerate rated d rat on doorstep step

  • Atte

tempts mpts to subvert ert science nce societies: eties: APS, , ACS, , GSA, A, IOP(UK), OP(UK), at least

  • Atte

tempts mpts to subvert ert peer review ew into pal review ew, , then n blame e scientists ntists

  • Decade

de-long attack on the hockeystick, Mike Mann, “Serengeti strategy” Wegma man n Report, rt, organized nized by 2 think k tanks s + Rep. . Barton ton Bogus s academi emic c misco cond nduct ct compla laints nts & lawsui uits ts, , as per VA’s Cuccinelli

  • “Climategate” timing in 2009: steal

l email, l, post (1st

st on Russi

sian an serve ver) r)

  • Intern

ernet et amplifica ificati tion

  • n of atta

tacks, cks, Marc c Morano no posts ts email l address ess  wave of hate mail; l; echo chamb mbers ers in the blogosph sphere; re; plausib ible e deniabili ability ty

  • But scien

enti tist sts s are learnin ing, g, others rs helping ng as we can climatesc tescienc iencedefen fense sefu fund.org .org; ; severa ral l libel suits s under way (hard rd) ) New emphasi asis s at AGU for commu muni nicati cation

  • n,

, educatio ation on help for defense nse Fortun tunate ately, ly, some good people le in governme rnment. nt. Much history

  • ry in CCC, SSWR,

R, FFFF

slide-35
SLIDE 35

Of Often n leadin ding-edge edge use e of infor format mation ion technol hnology

  • gy

34

  • Big Tobacco

cco – print nt ads, , TV, , movie e placements, ements, Inte ternet rnet as possi sibl ble

  • 1991 “The Greening of Planet Earth” VHS tape to libraries across US

Western tern Fuels s Associa ciatio tion n (WFA) FA) https:/ ps://ww /www.you w.youtub tube.co e.com/watch?v=ep5 m/watch?v=ep5ptrPN ptrPN6n 6ns&fea s&featu ture= re=yo youtu utu.be .be&t= &t=60 600

  • 1997 website “Still Waiting for Green

enhou

  • use

se” (WFA advisor John Daly) https:/ ps://we /web.a b.archive.org rchive.org/we /web/1 b/19970 9970513 13045 45628 28/htt /http:/ p://ww /www.visi w.vision.n n.net.au et.au/~ /~da daly/

  • 2006 blogs
  • 2009 CRU email controversy aka “Climategate”

https:/ ps://en en.w .wiki ikiped edia.o a.org/wiki/Clim rg/wiki/Climatic_R atic_Resea search rch_Un _Unit_e it_emai mail_con _controve troversy rsy

  • Since

e then, n, social ial media

slide-36
SLIDE 36

Some me advice ice (for phys ysical ical AND soci cial al scien ienti tists sts)

35

  • Outrea

reach ch and commu muni nicati cation

  • n,

, warnin ing of what to expect ct

  • Every

ry scientist ntist needs a littl tle e media a train ining ng, , to not stick ck foot t in mouth th Also, keep eye on own institution’s Press Releases.

  • Many need to do some public

ic outre reach ach, , get good at it. Many y do.

  • A very

y few must t spend much of their r time e + policy cy ~ Stephen phen Schnei eider er

  • MUST keep doing the science we need. Rest of us can’t.
  • But some

e of rest t of us must t help get #^$*&#@ #@* * off your backs ks

  • See movie

e Merch chan ants ts of Doubt, , atte tend nd relevan vant t AGU sessions sions

  • You are not alone,

, consi sider r attacks cks to badges s of honor

  • Immed

ediate ately ly ask advice ce from m people le who know this s war

  • Many climate

ate (and a few social) ial) scien enti tist sts s have seen this

  • Climate

ate Science nce Legal Defense nse Fund (Lauren ren Kurtz) tz)

  • Union of Concerned

erned Scientists, ntists, DeSmog

  • gBl

Blog

  • g,

, Skeptical ptical Science ence

  • If Marc

c Morano no publishe shes s your email, l, expect ct deluge e of hate e mail, but it usuall lly y dies down afte ter r a while.

slide-37
SLIDE 37

Comp mparisons risons

36

  • Structu

ucture: re: industry stry associa ciati tion

  • n  more use of “independent” entities

TIRC C / Tobacco acco Institute titute  CTR  TASSC SC  thinkt ktanks, nks, universitie rsities Greenin ening Earth th Society ety (West stern rn Fuels) ls)  Cooler r Heads Coalition tion  TASSC SC  thinkta nktanks, ks, universi ersiti ties, es, especi cial ally y via Koch h network.

  • rk.
  • Key organizin

zing event 12/14/5 4/53 3 Tobacco co’s in NYC with Hill & Knowlton 04/xx/98 xx/98 Ameri rican can Petrol roleum eum Institute titute offi fices ces in Washi hington ngton, , DC*

www.eur euron

  • net

et.nl/ nl/us user ers/e_ e_wes wesker/ r/ew@s ew@she hell/ ll/API API-pro rop. p.ht html ml

Global al Climate ate Science nce Communication unications s Team SEPP, P, CFACT, CT, FoF/CEI,

  • F/CEI, ATR,

, TASSC SC (Millo loy) y) Exxon,

  • n, The South

thern ern Compan any, y, Chevron, ron, API

  • Intern

ernal l science ence (Much ch) ) suppre ress; ss; (Some me) ) suppre ress, ss, but especially cially ignore re (ICN 2015)

  • Extern

ernall lly-pub ublish ished d science ence As per Proctor ctor (pp.2 .257-) ) {distra stract ction | decoy y | filibuster} ster} research rch Rarer r real research arch: : attemp empts ts to sneak k past t weak peer review ew, infamou mous s parti tial al takeover eover of Climate ate Research rch 1997 1997-2003 2003. Many article cles s by non-climate scientists … with/without PhDs.

slide-38
SLIDE 38

Comp mparisons risons (cont) t)

37

  • PR & Lobbying

ying Yes. . Yes. . US Chamber er of Commerce erce does both. h.

www.des desmogblo gblog. g.com

  • m/20

2015 15/07/ 7/02 02/tho homas as-don donoh

  • hue

ue-sells ells-us us-cham amber er-com

  • mmerc

rce-big big-toba

  • bacco
  • Legal/p

l/pol

  • liti

itical cal Endless ess (plus, s, hassling ling Proctor ctor over book & its title) le) Rep Joe Barton’s 2005/2006 attack on Mann, Bradley, Hughes; Hockey stick Sen James s Inhofe

  • fe,

, various ious threa eats ts VA AG Ken Cuccinel inelli i lawsuits its against st U VA, , Mann ATI I (Schnare hnare thinkt ktank) nk) lawsui uit t against nst U VA, , Mann, , Dessler ler (TAMU), MU), Hayhoe

  • e (Texa

xas s Tech), ), Hughes s & Overpeck rpeck (U of AZ)

  • Intern

ernet et amplified ified atta tacks cks ? Much of the war was pre-Intern Internet, et, some on now, , Twitt tter er Wall Street t Journal, l, etc atta tacks cks on Ben Sante ter, r, 1996-; ; dead rat Endless ess attacks acks on Mike Mann since e 2002 (Scai aife fe (decea ease sed), d), etc) Andrew Weaver’s “wall of hate” bulletin board Katharin harine Hayhoe e / Newt Gingrich rich / Rush Limbaug ugh Marc Morano no (email) il) climate atecrocks.com/2 crocks.com/2012 12/01 /01/2 /24/ka 4/kathe theri rine ne-hayh ayhoe-the the-inte nterview rview-much much-of

  • f-this

is- is is-inte ntended nded-to to-intimid ntimidate ate ; ; texasclimatenew asclimatenews.org s.org/w /wp/? p/?p=4153 p=4153

“Nazi Bitch Whore Climat atebeci ebecile baby crying next to the basket next to the guillotine.”

slide-39
SLIDE 39

Comp mparisons risons (cont) t)

38

  • Use of interna

rnatio tiona nal trade e rules s to hamper er local l policy cy Yes. . Large e concern ern over use of rules s to allow w intimid midati ation

  • n by lawsui

uit

  • Tobacco

cco examp mple le – Australia and New Zealand “plain packaging” US Chamber r of Commerce rce challeng lenge AU

www.hea healt lth. h.gov gov.au au/in intern rnet et/your urhea healt lth/pub publis lishing ing.nsf/Cont

  • nten

ent/Myro ron-Brillian Brilliant#.UwLw LwBoW BoWqn qnhJ hJ

(US) ) Nation

  • nal

l Associ

  • ciati

ation

  • n of Manufa

ufact cturers rers challe lenge ge AU

yourhe

  • urhealt

alth. h.go gov.au/ u/int inter erne net/your

  • urhe

healt alth/ h/pu publis blishin hing. g.ns nsf/con

  • ntent

nt/nat nat-as ass-of

  • f-man#

an#.UwLw Lwh4 h4WqnhI qnhI

  • Edito

toria rial: l: Burnt nt sacrifi rifice ce to the bully? ? NZ Z

www.stuf uff.co.nz/dom

  • minio

inion-pos post/commen ent/edit ditor

  • rials

ials/9709 70948 484/ 4/Edit Editor

  • rial

ial-Bu Burn rnt-sacrif rific ice-to to-the-bu bully lly ‘OPINION: Big Tobacco is deeply threatened by New Zealand's plan to introduce plain packaging of

  • cigarettes. The tobacco companies are warning they will challenge the New Zealand law, now before

Parliament, just as they are challenging Australia's 2012 law. Now Big Tobacco's powerful friends in American business are threatening trouble for our exports if we go ahead with plain packaging. New Zealand must stand up to these bullies. The Unit ited d Stat ates Cham ambe ber r of Commer erce and five other business groups have registered "concern" that a plain packaging law is not in the public interest. They say it could also have a negative impact on New Zealand's primary exports. These are naked threats dressed up as civic concern. ‘

  • Context

ext NZ market rket shares: es: BATNZ NZ ( 74%), , ITNZ(18%) Z(18%) (Lond ndon-based based) Philip Morris NZ (6%), %94M (of $75B) … but that is PM Intl, not US

slide-40
SLIDE 40

Rocks in the Gears … For Helpers, Not Scientists

39

  • Exposure

sure

– They do not like it much, Science profile 10 June 2011, pp.1250-1251: “Will Happer, a physicist at Princeton University who questions the consensus view on climate, thinks Mashey is a destructive force who uses “totalitarian tactics”—publishing damaging documents online, without peer review—to carry out personal vendettas.” Happer Chairs George C. Marshall Institute exposed in Merchants of Doubt. He was not happy with 2009 APS Petition expose. Lomborg didn’t like this: Copenhagen Consensus Center USA had nice website, Google StreetView found it in MA storefront 

  • Academi

emic c misco cond nduct ct compla laints, nts, includin uding via Office fice of Research arch Integ egrity rity – 2006 Wegman Report – Ed Wegman (George Mason U) manufactured for Rep. Joe Barton, potential big legal entanglement. Retraction for plagiarism, already lost job of Editor-In-Chief of his journal. – 2 x $1M lawsuits in 2014/2015 vs … me … failed badly

  • Complain

laints ts to IRS on 501(c)(3) c)(3) status tus for SEPP, P, Heartla tland, , CSCDGC GC

– Included tobacco funding and thinktank efforts found in TTID – Exactly what would they do with tobacco $$ in the public interest? – IRS is opaque, and these take years, so we’ll see

slide-41
SLIDE 41

Rocks in the Gears …  Legal al

40

  • UCSUSA

SA @ Scripps, ipps, June 2012 (Go Goog

  • gle

e lajolla lla junta ta 2012 )

www.climateac ateaccount

  • untabi

ability ty.or

  • rg/pdf

g/pdf/C /Climate% ate%20A 20Accountabi

  • untability

ty%20Rpt 20Rpt%20Oct 20Oct12.pdf 12.pdf

  • Big coal compan

anies es file e for bankrup ruptcy tcy (2015, 5, 2016)

  • Arch Coal, Alpha Natural Resources, Peabody Energy
  • Cheap gas, renewables, bad investments … and EPA: health+global warming
  • Documents reveal payments to think tanks to harass scientists
  • Minnesota Social Cost of Carbon, Peabody: William Wecker, TTID, Proctor (p.441)
  • http:/

p://in /insid sidecli climate matene news. s.org/ rg/ @ExxonKn xonKnew ew 2015 2015

  • State Attorneys General start to move, talk starts of RICO
  • thinkprogress.org/climate/2015/10/20/3713761/exxon-climate-denial/
slide-42
SLIDE 42

Concl clusion usion 1

41

  • Tobacco

cco built t anti-science science machin inery ry and tactics tics

  • Environ

ronme menta ntal l anti-scie science ce inherited rited the machinery inery

  • Tactics
  • Organizations
  • Sometimes even same people
  • Climate anti-science funding is more distributed, additional reasons
  • Tobacco cuts down trees, takes farmland, causes fires, uses energy, landfill
  • Climate scientists are learning to recognize tactics, and ally with social scientists,

investigative journalists, friendly bloggers.

  • Over last few years, fossil~tobacco message has started to work
  • Legally

ly-actionable counters … rocks in the gears, starting to appear

  • We hope it doesn’t take as long, as warming is ~permanent
  • Politics

tics: : 25 years rs ago, climate ate was not partisa isan, n, that t has been create ated.. d.. Think k tanks, s, TEA Party ty in US, interna rnatio tiona nal allies

  • Thanks

ks for Truth th Tobacco acco Industry stry Docume ments! nts! ! Terrific rrific help! Now, if only we had the equivalen valent t for enviro ronme nmenta ntal l issues ues Why does TTID ID search ch for Exxon

  • n get 20,000

00 hits? s?? ? Just st gas statio tions? ns??

slide-43
SLIDE 43

Extras ras

42

slide-44
SLIDE 44

Reasons #1… Money and More

43

CCC p.1 .14

  • As in tobacco,

cco, money y matters ters

  • But ofte

ten, n, ideology/

  • gy/pol
  • liti

itics cs matter ter more

  • Ideolo

logy: y: IDE2 2 and some e Libertari rtarians ans

  • Politics:

tics: POL2 2 tobacco cco analog

  • gy

y might t be tempe perance rance movements ments

  • Non-partisan

partisan ~1989 9  unfortu

  • rtunate

ate manufa ufact ctured red left/ t/rig right ht polari rizatio zation … some very good climate scientists are/were Republicans

slide-45
SLIDE 45

Reasons #2… Psychology (and Sociology)

44

CCC p.1 .14

  • Seems

s more preva vale lent nt in climate ate anti-scie science ce than n tobacco cco (?)

  • Social

al networks

  • rks of like-mi

mind nded d people le, , recru ruitin iting

  • “DK corrals” *on Internet blogs, stir attacks on scientists
  • Dunning-Kruge

Kruger r Effe fect ct

en.wikipedi pedia.or a.org/ g/wiki/D /Dunni unning%E2% ng%E2%80% 80%93K 93Kruger_e uger_effec fect

slide-46
SLIDE 46

Reasons #3… Tech/science

45

CCC p.1 .14

  • Withi

hin field, d, combina binatio tion n with h FIN3 3 seems ms more common

  • n in tobacco

cco

  • Statistician

tistician Sir Ronald ld Fisher er (toba bacco cco) ) ~ Richard ard Lindze zen n (?)

slide-47
SLIDE 47

Inter ernati national

  • nal Intercon

rconnec nects ts (Examp ample: le: GW GWPF) )

www.desmogblog.com/foia-facts-5-finds-friends-gwpf

46

 GWPF IEA connect nect

slide-48
SLIDE 48

Corpora

  • rati

tions

  • ns Vary

47

  • Jeffrey

frey D. Clement’s Corpora

  • ratio

tions ns are Not People le

  • Good focus

us on long-term erm issue, ue, so no repeat, at, but more

  • PBS

PBS/Fr /Front

  • ntline

ne October er 2012, 2, again: n: www.pbs.or .org/w g/wgbh/ gbh/pages/ pages/fr frontl

  • ntline/gov

ne/gover ernment nment-el elec ecti tions

  • ns-pol

politics/bi big-sky-bi big- money/dar ey/dark-money money-gr group

  • up-cen

entral al-to to-citi tizens ens-united united-may may-hav have-misled ed-irs rs

  • Corpora
  • rati

tion

  • ns

s are like people, e, have own perso sona nalitie ities, s, ethics, ics, vary y greatl atly

  • Some

e need d to be put out of business ness

  • Some

e usef eful ul, need d to be cons nstrai rained ned, bad behav avior

  • r fixed

ed

  • Some

e neutral als to be educated, ated, maybe be made e allies es, , at least t do no harm

  • Some

e potential ntial allies es, good d behav avior

  • r should
  • uld be rewarded

ed

  • Health

th Effe fect cts s on

  • Owners (and some

e of the biggest gest compani panies es privat ate, e, like e Koch h Indus ustr tries es)

  • Stockhol

holder ders

  • Employ
  • yees

ees

  • Customer
  • mers
  • Publ

blic beyond

  • nd customer
  • mers
  • Geograp

raphy y & politics tics

S206

slide-49
SLIDE 49

Companies nies – Examples, mples, Health, lth, Risks ks

48

Co Bell SV Tobacco Coal Oil Gas Chem Pharma General ++ ++

  • +/--

+/- +/- +/- ++/- Emp + +

  • =

?

  • ?

Cust = =

  • ?

? = ? +/- Public(imm) = =

  • =
  • ?

Public(long) = =

  • ?

? Many companies have relatively little direct influence on health of anybody, EXCEPT as they treat employees. If they value employees and their health, they can be allies. Silicon Valley tech companies are often OK, given competition for good employees. Tobacco companies are clearly bad, even hurt own employees (Proctor). Coal companies, especially in Appalachia, make ExxonMobil look like Greenpeace. In long run, coal use just has to stop. I’d use all the oil+gas we can get if coal could stop now. Fracking is complicated. Chemical companies: some may be OK, some are pretty bad. Pharma: (one I know least): mixture of good and not-so-good. ====== Automobile companies: mixed, some surprises (Swedish safety engineers) Used to be clear allies of oil … now, not so much (Hybrid, Electrics, etc) GM food: complicated

S206

slide-50
SLIDE 50

Corpora

  • rati

tions

  • ns,

, Ecosy

  • syste

stems ms, , Value lue Chains ins

49

  • Corpora
  • rati

tion

  • ns

s do not exist t in isolatio ation

  • PR firms,

ms, lawyers, rs, press/ s/TV/ TV/in intern ternet, et, lobbyi yist sts, s, politicians ticians

  • Custo

tomers, mers, alliances, nces, competito etitors rs

  • Value

e chains ns

  • a

a  b b  c … corporation  custo tomer1 mer1  customer2 …

  • Need to understan

rstand to find weak points, ts, helpers rs

  • Maybe

e compe petito titors rs

  • Embarrassme

rrassment nt can work with h some, e, not others rs

  • Custo

tome mers, rs, especi cially lly custo tome mer1 r1, , have $, and if they have choice ces

  • Local

l is usually lly easier r than nationa ional or global

  • US States

tes ofte ten n lead

  • Some efforts
  • rts take

e lawyers ers and huge patience ence (toba bacco cco)

  • Oddly,

y, many reasonab

  • nable

e CEOs s want good rules s to level l playing ing field ld

slide-51
SLIDE 51

Concl clusion usion 2

50

  • It is not enough

h to think k that t big corpora

  • ratio

tions ns are bad

  • Opinio

ion: n: anyth thin ing that t gets s too much control rol tends s to be bad

  • If fighti

hting ng corpora

  • ratio

tions ns

  • Need to understan

rstand the ecosystem ystem they y exist st in

  • Need to understan

rstand possible ible pressure sure points. ts.

  • I hope a few of you will get intereste

rested in the climate mate+h +hea ealth lth issu sues es

slide-52
SLIDE 52

Public lic charity rity, , some me rules es

51

‘SEC. 3. CRITERIA IA USED D TO D DETERMINE NE WHETHE HER ADVOCACY CY BY AN ORGANIZATION IS EDUCATIONAL … .03 The presenc ence e of any of the follow

  • wing

ng factors

  • rs in the presentat

entations

  • ns made

e by an organi nizati ation

  • n is indicat

ative e that the method hod used ed by the organi nizat ation

  • n to

advoc

  • cat

ate e its viewpoints points or p positi tions

  • ns is not educat

ucational.

  • nal.

1 The present entati ation

  • n of viewpoi

points nts or p positions

  • ns unsupport

upported ed by facts ts is a signi nificant nt portion

  • n of the organi

anizat ation'

  • n's commun

unicat ations

  • ns.

. IRS IRS-1E 1E 2 The facts ts that purpor

  • rt

t to suppor pport the viewpoi points nts or p positions

  • ns are distor
  • rted.
  • ted. IRS

IRS-2E 2E 3 The organi nizati ation'

  • n's presentat

entations

  • ns make

e subs bstant tantial al use e of inflam ammat atory

  • ry and

dispar paragi aging ng terms and expres ess concl nclusi usions

  • ns more on the basis of strong

ng emotional

  • nal feelings

ngs than n of objec ecti tive e evaluat uations.

  • ns. IRS

IRS-3E 3E 4 The approach

  • ach used

ed in the organi nizati ation's

  • n's present

entati ations

  • ns is not aimed

ed at devel elopi

  • ping

ng an understand erstanding ng on the part of the intend nded ed audienc ence e or readershi ership becau ause e it does es not cons nsider der their background ground or traini ning ng in the subj bjec ect matter.” IRS-4E 4E ’ IRS-5L L Behav havior

  • r seems

ems like e Lobby bying, ng, but 990 says none IRS-6G 6G Governance rnance needs eds to be active, e, engaged, aged, independe ependent nt IRS-7F F Possibl ble e Financ ancial al abus uses es, , self-deal dealing, ng, tax-shel helter ters, , flows(?) ?)

FFFF p.8 .8

slide-53
SLIDE 53

http://w p://www.cigwas ww.cigwaste.org te.org/

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