The Charities Property Fund
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The Charities Property Fund www.cpfund.co.uk savillsim.com Economic Overview UK property valuation remains attractive relative to other classes Property yield spread over 10-year UK government bonds 12 July 2016: 5.4% spread 11 10 9 8 7
www.cpfund.co.uk
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Property yield spread over 10-year UK government bonds
11 12
July 2016: 5.4% spread
6 7 8 9 10 2 3 4 5 6
30 year average = 2.13%
3
1
Jul-87 Jul-88 Jul-89 Jul-90 Jul-91 Jul-92 Jul-93 Jul-94 Jul-95 Jul-96 Jul-97 Jul-98 Jul-99 Jul-00 Jul-01 Jul-02 Jul-03 Jul-04 Jul-05 Jul-06 Jul-07 Jul-08 Jul-09 Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15 Jul-16 Spread All Property equivalent yield Gilt yield Average
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Source: IPD, Macrobond, Savills Investment Management
Property yields relative to other asset classes
Direct Property* Index-linked lease (20+ years) I t t G d UK I fl ti li k d C t B d (20 ) FTSE All-Share Index Dividend Yield UK Government Inflation linked Bond (20+ years) Investment Grade UK Inflation-linked Corporate Bond (20 year)
0% 1% 2% 3% 4% 5% UK Government Inflation-linked Bond (20+ years)
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Source: Bloomberg, Savills Investment Management
* 20 year lease to Marks & Spencer’s
2.0 2.5 3.0 2.0 2.5 3.0
UK GDP growth (2017) forecast range
0 0 0.5 1.0 1.5 0 0 0.5 1.0 1.5
0.0 es up ys nk IB go dit ets ets up ets ch cs ch hs xis ets ro nk ey ed tal
BS ng cs nk se der as ba C nk td ale up en cs nk cs nk nk cs BD ng
0.0 es up ys nk IB go dit ets ets up ets ch cs ch hs xis ets ro nk ey ed tal
BS ng cs nk se der as ba C nk td ale up en cs nk cs nk nk cs BD ng
Nomura Securitie Credit Suisse Grou Barclay Danske Ban Credit Agricole C Wells Farg UniCre BC Capital Marke UnCredit Marke ING Grou G Financial Marke merica Merrill Lync IHS Economi BMI Researc Goldman Sach Natix Nordea Marke ABN Am Commerzba Morgan Stanle Standard Chartere BMO Capit
UB Fathom Consultin Roubini Economi Standard Ban JP Morgan Chas Banco Santand BNP Pariba Helab HSB Deutsche Ban
Societe Genera Citigrou Handelsbank Action Economi DekaBan Oxford Economi Raboba Berenberg Ba Capital Economi Emirates NB Beacon Consultin Liverpo Nomura Securitie Credit Suisse Grou Barclay Danske Ban Credit Agricole C Wells Farg UniCre BC Capital Marke UnCredit Marke ING Grou G Financial Marke merica Merrill Lync IHS Economi BMI Researc Goldman Sach Natix Nordea Marke ABN Am Commerzba Morgan Stanle Standard Chartere BMO Capit
UB Fathom Consultin Roubini Economi Standard Ban JP Morgan Chas Banco Santand BNP Pariba Helab HSB Deutsche Ban
Societe Genera Citigrou Handelsbank Action Economi DekaBan Oxford Economi Raboba Berenberg Ba Capital Economi Emirates NB Beacon Consultin Liverpo C RB ING Bank of Am S Pantheon Macro R Bank Jaco C RB ING Bank of Am S Pantheon Macro R Bank Jaco
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Source: Consensus Economics, Savills Investment Management
10
8 9 10 5 6 7 % 3 4 5 % 1 2 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 FTSE 100 dividend yield Repo Rate/Official Bank Rate
6
All balanced property fund index (median annual income return) The Charities Property Fund (annual income return)
Source: Bloomberg, Bank of England, AREF, Savills Investment Management
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growth in income
Th F d i h it
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16.3 16.1 13 3 15.1 15.5 14 16 18 8.7 13.3 11.1 10.1 7 7 12.5 9.7 8.4 10 12 14 annum 6.0 4.8 7.6 7.7 4.0 7.2 8.4 4 6 8 % per a 1.7 2 Jun-11 Jun-12 Jun-13 Jun-14 Jun-15 Jun-16 3 years (per annum) 4 years (per annum) 5 years (per annum) (per annum) (per annum) (per annum) The Charities Property Fund All Balanced Property Funds
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Source: Savills Investment Management, AREF (June 2016)
11.2 17 1.4 5.4 6.5 7.7 5.2 4.5 7 12 nnum 6.1 5.5 5.8 5.7 5.2 5.6 5.6 5.7 1.4 2 7 % per a
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 3 years (per annum) 4 years (per annum) 5 years (per annum) (per annum) (per annum) (per annum) Income Capital Interest Rates
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Source: Savills Investment Management (December 2015)
3 115
£1,064
1,000 37 Properties 115 Properties
£62 £864
800 n
£357 £456 £492 £627
400 600 £ million
£229 £357
200 400
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Source: Savills Investment Management (June 2016)
300 350 200 250 100 150 50 100 Dec 2000 Dec 2001 Dec 2002 Dec 2003 Dec 2004 Dec 2005 Dec 2006 Dec 2007 Dec 2008 Dec 2009 Dec 2010 Dec 2011 Dec 2012 Dec 2013 Dec 2014 Dec 2015 All balanced property fund index (TR) The Charities Property Fund total return indexed
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All balanced property fund index (TR) The Charities Property Fund total return indexed FTSE 100 Total Return Index RPIX Repo Rate/Official Bank Rate indexed
Source: Bloomberg, Bank of England, AREF, IPD, Savills Investment Management
AREF CPF
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Source: AREF (June 2016), Savills Investment Management (June 2016)
Average prime rents for London office sub-sectors Infrastructure improvements Number of start-up business searches for London office space
6 3 3 6 7 5 4 3 2 1 7 5 4 3 2 1
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Source: CBRE Source: Hubble, Savills Investment Management
25% 30% 18.0
Alternative investment volumes (£ billion – LHS) % invested in the Alternatives
15% 20% 20% 25% 10 0 12.0 14.0 16.0 10% 10% 15% 4.0 6.0 8.0 10.0 0% 5% 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 0% 5% 0.0 2.0 4.0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Charities Property Fund AREF All Balanced Funds Index Alternatives investment volumes % of total UK investment volumes - RHS
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Source: Jones Lang LaSalle Research Source: AREF All Balanced Funds Index
Jurys Inn, Brighton Jurys Inn, Derby
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Source: Savills Investment Management (June 2016)
Mercedes - Poole, Salisbury & Dorchester Derry’s Cross, Plymouth
18
Source: Savills Investment Management (June 2016)
Homebase, Basingstoke
3
8
4 1 2 6 7 5
4
19
Source: Savills Investment Management (June 2016)
Brook Retail Park, Hereford Halewood Shopping Centre
p p
y
20
Source: Savills Investment Management (June 2016)
100
70 80 90
s)
e t £ 5 ps
40 50 60
Sq ft (millions
+ 5.6%
10 20 30
S
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1 15 Q2 15 Q3 15
21
Source: Savills Research
Really Useful Products, Normanton Verhoek, Wakefield
22
Source: Savills Investment Management (June 2016)
Westgate Buildings, Bath Queen Street, Cardiff
ultimate reversion
23
Source: Savills Investment Management (June 2016)
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Source: Savills Investment Management (June 2016)
years)
(both 2.5% compound & RPI)
negligible risk covenants (MSCI: 78%) V 1 0% f t l l (MSCI 10 2%
May 2016)
26
Source: Savills Investment Management (June 2016)
Rayleigh (supermarket) £10.0 million (4.5% NIY) Milton Keynes (office) £7.2 million (7.0% NIY) Doncaster (industrial) £14.0 million (6.9% NIY)
D 2014 ld 15 th
2014
guarantee
N 20 l ith RPI Dec 2014, sold 15 months later
Howdens
month hold period
purchase growth and growing risk of
purchase
27
Source: Savills Investment Management (June 2016)
Retail Office Industrial
28
Source: Savills Investment Management (June 2016)
Westgate Buildings, Bath Lifeboat Quay, Poole
y y g y
29
Source: Savills Investment Management (June 2016)
Brocklebank Retail Park, Greenwich Imperial Works, Kentish Town
30
Source: Savills Investment Management (June 2016)
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Source: Savills Investment management (June 2016)
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Services (Armed Forces) 2% Environment / Conservation 1% Accommodation 1% Disability 1% General Charitable Purposes 30% Educational Arts / Culture 4% Relief of Poverty 3% ( ) Animal Welfare 1% Educational 11% Medical / Health / Universities 17% Religious Activities 16% Hospices 13%
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Source: Savills Investment Management (June 2015)
AREF Index Bid/Offer % Size (£m) 1 The Charities Property Fund 2.5 958.6 2 Mayfair Capital Property Income Trust for Charities 3.0 352.0 3 COIF Property Fund 3.2 504.6 4 Keills Property Trust 5 6 33 7 4 Keills Property Trust 5.6 33.7 5 Schroder UK Property Fund 5.7 2018.9 6 Legal and General Assurance (Pensions Management) Ltd 5.8 2539.5 7 The M&G UK Property Fund 5.8 743.5 8 UBS Triton Property Fund 5.8 713.7 9 Hermes Property Unit Trust 6.0 1149.8 9 Hermes Property Unit Trust 6.0 1149.8 10 CBRE UK Property Fund LP 6.0 620.1 11 Standard Life Investments Pooled Pension Property Fund 6.2 3077.0 12 Royal London Property Fund 6.2 366.6 13 Fidelity UK Real Estate Fund 6.2 359.3 14 Henderson UK Property Fund 6.2 176.5 p y 15 Cordea Savills UK Income and Growth Fund 6.2 104.9 16 BlackRock UK Property Fund 6.3 3138.9 17 Rockspring Hanover Property Unit Trust 6.3 513.5 18 Threadneedle Property Unit Trust 6.4 1205.6 19 Aviva Investors Pensions 6.5 1200.0 20 Mayfair Capital Property Unit Trust 6.5 209.6 21 Lothbury Property Trust 6.8 1330.6 22 The Local Authorities' Property Fund 6.9 387.1 23 Kames Active Value Property Fund 6.9 128.9 24 FL GM Property Fund 7.1 445.6
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Source: AREF All Balanced Funds Index (June 2015)
25 Threadneedle Pensions Ltd
26 AEW UK - Core property fund
14% 16% 18% 12% 14% 16% 18% me 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% % of income 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% % of incom 0% 2% 4% 0% 2% Charities Property Fund IPD Quarterly Index Charities Property Fund IPD Quarterly Index
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Source: IPD / Savills Investment Management (December 2015)
More locations reporting rental growth… …and yield compression
100%
100%
70% 80% 90%
70% 80% 90%
40% 50% 60%
40% 50% 60%
10% 20% 30%
10% 20% 30%
0% 10% Q1 05 Q3 05 Q1 06 Q3 06 Q1 07 Q3 07 Q1 08 Q3 08 Q1 09 Q3 09 Q1 10 Q3 10 Q1 11 Q3 11 Q1 12 Q3 12 Q1 13 Q3 13 Q1 14 Q3 14 Q1 15 Q3 15 Rents rising Rents stable Rents falling
0% 10% Q1 05 Q3 05 Q1 06 Q3 06 Q1 07 Q3 07 Q1 08 Q3 08 Q1 09 Q3 09 Q1 10 Q3 10 Q1 11 Q3 11 Q1 12 Q3 12 Q1 13 Q3 13 Q1 14 Q3 14 Q1 15 Q3 15 Yields moving in Yields stable Yields moving out
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Source: Cushman & Wakefield, Savills Investment Management
Rents rising Rents stable Rents falling
Yields moving-in Yields stable Yields moving-out
IPD capital growth
100 Phase II Phase III 90
Yields compressing Rents declining Yields compressing Rents rising
70 80
2015
Phase I Phase IV
Yields stabilising Rents rising
60
Yields moving
Rents declining Rents rising
50 12 24 36 48 60 72 84 96 108 120 132 144
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Source: IPD, Macrobond, Savills Investment Management
late '80s/early '90s '07-15
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Harry de Ferry Foster Fund Director Angy Benitz Portfolio Manager Eleanor Champion Investor Relations Tammy Thomas Finance & Operations Manager Amy Joslin Investor Relations Jim Garland Portfolio Analyst Lucy Auden Investor Relations y
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Harry de Ferry Foster is the Fund Director for The Charities Property Fund with responsibility for all aspects of the management of the Fund and for making sure the Fund fulfils its objectives. This includes investing new subscriptions, investor relations and marketing. Harry’s role encompasses portfolio management including strategic and tactical considerations, y p p g g g , financial analysis, property acquisitions and sales. Harry joined Savills Investment Management in 2002 from Cushman & Wakefield where he spent 6 years in a variety of investment agency roles before assisting with the establishment of their Fund Management team in 1998. Harry graduated in 1995 and qualified as a Chartered Surveyor in 1999 and he has almost 20 years experience in property investment and fund management. Harry completed the Investment Management Certificate (IMC) exams in 2003. Angy Benitz is also a Portfolio Manager for the Charities Property Fund. Angy's primary role involves asset acquisition and disposal together with adopting portfolio and fund management initiatives. Angy joined Savills Investment Management in September 2010 from DTZ where he spent 8 years in a variety of advisory roles with an emphasis on investment agency representing a range of clients on a variety of advisory roles with an emphasis on investment agency representing a range of clients on acquisition and disposal transactions of commercial real estate within the UK. Angy graduated from Oxford University in 2001 before joining DTZ and becoming RICS qualified in 2005.
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Jim Garland is the Portfolio Analyst for the Charities Property Fund. He joined the Savills Investment Management investment team in 2009 where he worked as an analyst in research and strategy contributing to the creation of house views, fund reporting and ad hoc research C f
analyst, Jim supports the portfolio managers with asset management initiatives, acquisitions and disposals. Prior to joining Savills Investment Management Jim worked at a healthcare strategy and k ti lt Ji d t d f UCL i 1999 ith d i Bi t h l d marketing consultancy. Jim graduated from UCL in 1999 with a degree in Biotechnology and gained an MSc in Real Estate at Cass Business School in 2009. Jim completed the Investment Management Certificate (IMC) exams in 2011. Tammy Thomas is the Finance and Operations Manager responsible for financial reporting and analysis, and administrator management. Tammy joined Savills Investment Management from KPMG in the Cayman Islands Tammy joined Savills Investment Management from KPMG in the Cayman Islands where she worked in the audit practice with a focus on the alternative investment
London within the real estate team. Tammy graduated from the University of Western Australia in 2004 where she studied Accounting and Corporate Finance.
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Amy Joslin works in Investor Relations for the Charities Property Fund, responsible for investor communications, fund dealing, reporting and marketing. Amy also sits on the Charitable Giving Committee. Amy joined the Savills Investment Management Investor Relations team in July
Consultant based in London. Amy graduated from University of Exeter with a degree in BA Geography. Lucy Auden works alongside Amy dealing in investor queries, applications and redemptions and fund reporting for the Charities Property Fund. p g p y Lucy joined Savills Investment Management Investor Relations team in April 2012 and is responsible for fund reporting and investor communications for a number of UK and pan- European Savills Investment Management funds and segregated mandates. Lucy also sits on the Environmental and Social Governance Committee as well as Savills Investment Management Charitable Giving Committee. Prior to joining Savills Investment Management, Lucy worked in a client facing role as a Corporate Account Executive at Number One Health, a private health company specialising in corporate medicals, and then as PA to the CEO of an international executive financial search firm, Execuzen Ltd.
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Lucy graduated from King's College, London, with a degree in English Language and Literature.
Malcolm Naish (Chair) is a member of the Advisory Panel and Board at Greenwich Hospital. Since June 2012 he has also been Director of Aurora Europe Property Fund and Chairman of Target Healthcare Reit Ltd. Prior to this Malcolm was Director of Real Estate at Scottish Widows Investment Partnership with overall responsibility for the management of 14 property funds h i bi d l i f £8 billi having a combined value in excess of £8 billion. Previously Malcolm was Director and CEO of the FSA Regulated entity at DTZ Investment Management and Co-founder, Director and Shareholder at Fountain Capital Partners. He began working as a general practice surveyor at GVA Grimley in 1971 before moving to Jones Lang LaSalle in 1981 LaSalle in 1981. Wilf Stephenson joined Oriel College, Oxford in the summer of 2005 as Treasurer and Bursar. Immediately prior to this he was Group Treasurer of Chelsfield plc, a large UK property company. His previous career included a period as Group Treasurer of Grosvenor, the international t d b th D k f W t i t d hi f il d i l t t il property group owned by the Duke of Westminster and his family, and senior roles at two oil companies, Mobil and Amerada Hess. At Oriel, he is responsible for the management of the College's endowment, its day to day finances, buildings, catering and other service functions. His team work closely with the Provost and fellows to create, within their historic buildings in the centre of Oxford, the finest possible living environment for students.
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Chris Hills is currently the Chief Investment Officer of Investec Wealth & Investments, one of the UK’s leading firms of asset managers for charities and high net worth individuals. In that role, he is the architect of its approach to portfolio management, its internal research department and its investment policy committee. Chris was formerly a director of Baring Fund Management, where he managed a range of institutional mandates and was a member of its strategic investment team. He joined Investec in 1995 in his present capacity. Chris is also a director of Invesco Income Growth plc (on which he chairs the Management Engagement Committee), Henderson Opportunities Trust plc and the Association of Investment
Paul Taylor has over 25 years of property fund management experience as Head of UK Direct Property Investment at Schroder Property Investment Management and prior to that working at Merrill Lynch Investment Managers. Most recently Paul held the position of Director of Property at St John’s Hospital, Bath. Within this role Paul had overall responsibility for the property that made up their endowed estate and which generates the income that allows the charity to continue to id it l h d ti d it i i f t provide its almshouse accommodation and its provision of grants. Paul brings to the role a personal enthusiasm for historical architecture with a particular interest in Georgian buildings.
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Nick Downer has been Bursar of Selwyn College, Cambridge since August 2002. He also serves on the Finance Committee of the University, as a Trustee of the Cambridge Colleges' Federated Pension Scheme and is a former Chairman of the University Board of Scrutiny. Prior to joining Selwyn, he spent over 20 years as an investment banker advising international corporate clients on initial public offerings, privatisations and other forms of debt and equity capital raising. Richard Robinson is the Investment Director of the Paul Hamlyn Foundation, a £550m endowment fund which was established by the publisher Paul Hamlyn in 1987. It helps young people, principally in the UK, achieve their potential and operates in the areas of performing arts, education and social justice. Previously Mr Robinson was head of Charities and Foundations at Schroders plc, one of the largest fund managers in the UK. He began working in investment management in 1982 and has a masters degree in Theology from Oxford University.
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Andrew Chapman has developed a portfolio of roles including working part-time as the CIO for The Health Foundation and membership of the Global Investment Advisory Committees for T.Rowe Price, the Coller Capital Investment Advisory Committee, and the Charity Property Fund Investment Advisory Committee. He is also a non-exec director of Quiznos and Steadfast Financial and a Special Advisor to Campbell Lutyens. p p y Andrew first became a fund manager in 1978. In 1984 he was appointed the Deputy Investment Manager at the British Aerospace Pension Fund. From 1991 to 2000 he was the CIO at United Assurance plc. Andrew joined Hewitt Associates as a Senior Consultant in 2001 before being appointed as the first in-house Pension Investment Manager for the John Lewis Partnership. Alan Fletcher has held a variety of roles in the Church of England both at local and national y g church level, and in 2014 started his second 6 year term as a member of the Church of England Pensions Board where he chairs the Housing Committee and is a member of the Investment Committee. Alan has significant experience in financial services and investment management having been Managing Director of a Leicester based pensions brokerage in the 1980’s and Chairman
Group Board of the Paragon Group of Companies plc since February 2009 and is a member
Remuneration Committee. He is also a Trustee Director of the defined benefit pension
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scheme for Paragon.
Th Ch iti P t F d The Charities Property Fund c/o Savills Investment Management 33 Margaret Street London W1G 0JD T l 020 3107 5439 For property related information: Harry de Ferry Foster For fund and unit holder related information: Amy Joslin Tel: 020 3107 5439 Fax: 084 5409 1281 E-mail: cpf@savillsim.com
IMPORTANT NOTICE This Report is issued by Savills Investment Management (UK) Limited, registered in England number 03680998, which is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority Number 193863 and is a subsidiary of Savills Investment Management LLP, a limited liability partnership registered in England Number OC306423. Savills Investment Management LLP is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority Number 615368. The registered office of both entities is at 33 Margaret Street, London, W1G 0JD. A list of members of Savills Investment Management LLP is available from the registered office. The Charities Property Fund is a registered charity, number 1080290 number 1080290. This document is provided for information purposes only and may not be reproduced in any form without the express permission of Savills Investment Management. The
existing investors in the Fund but it may also be distributed to prospective investors. The value of property is generally a matter of a valuer’s opinion rather than fact. Please remember that past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the amount originally invested Taxation levels bases and (if The value of an investment and the income from it can fall as well as rise and investors may not get back the amount originally invested. Taxation levels, bases and (if relevant) reliefs can change. Changes in the rates of exchange between currencies may also cause the value of your investment, or the income from it, to fluctuate. Property can be difficult to sell and it may be difficult to realise your investment when you want to.
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