t zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA Project Albert - - PDF document

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Project Albert Overview zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

Major Russ Bergeman, Marine Corps Combat Development Command MIDN Dan Reiher, United States Naval Academy 28 August zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

• 1 September 2000

ISMORS

Project Albert: Question Based

When and how should zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

C 2

be centralized or What is the appropriate force mix required for What are the relative merits of firepower, decentra I ized?

• perations in a littoral environment?

mo bi I ity, situationa

I

awareness, stea Ith, and information operations in a reconnaissance/ cou n te r recon na

issa

nce situation? conduct Peace Support Operations? How should combat forces be organized to zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

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Our Approach zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

...

Uses series of new models/analytic tools, multi-disciplinary teams, and the scientific method to explore questions a Exploits advances in computing power and visualization tools Utilizes meta-technique of zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA Data Farming to look at questions from the perspective of many data points Allows us to try to understand the richness of the whole through the process of Operations/ Syntbesis

To Answer our Questions We Must be Able to Quantify Three Phenomena

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Non-linearity Intangibles CO-evolving Landscapes

Iconoclastic Bottom zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

It is difficult to construct an important question which individual techniques can address.

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The Elements of Project Albert

MODEL/SIMUIATION DEVELOPMENT TOOLS AND CONCEPTS PROBLEM SPECIRCATION/TEST CASES

What We've Already

Accomplished:

MODEL DEVELOPMENT: zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

• ISAAC (a toy model

...

"dot warfare")

• Swarrior (Model Based on Hunter Warrior

AWE)

a

What We've Already Accomplished zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

:

w TOOLS AND CONCEPTS:

• "Data Farming" ...

a 'smart' way to generate data from models

...

so that

you're more likely to be able to answer the question of interest Exploitation of Supercomputing Power

Already 'tapped in' to zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

MHPCC

assets

..

What We've Already Accomplished:

Modeling tools and techniques applied to the analysis of historical battles.

• i.e. Wake island

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What We're Working On Now:

I zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

MODEL DEVELOPMENT:

• JIVES (model of urban combat)
• ARCHIMEDES (tailorable model)

w Los Alamos National Lab w a multi-resolution, agent-based platform which

will be used to tailor "distillations" to specific problems

... without having to create a new

model from scratch each time

w COTS/CASA

What We're Working On Now:

I

TOOLS AND CONCEPTS:

• Generative

Analysis

H a modeling concept and platform which will allow fast and

autonomous explorations of the space of possibilities to determine where existing doctrine, tactics, equipment, structure, etc perform WELL or NOT SO WELL

H a way to generate and assess future concepts ...

• Data Visualization and Processing

H automating data farming H how to glean insight visually from model runs

how to display that information in terms of what an Operator

• r Decision Maker needs to see
• "Gilgamesh"

H Utilizing unused processing power of zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

PCs/ Dedicated NT

nodes

8 zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

I

I zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

What We're Working On Now:

w PROBLEM SPECIFICATION (TEST

CASES):

• In

conjunction with Cross-Service and International Collaboration

,

Evaluation of decentralized

• vs. centralized C2 in a zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

L Adequate Force Mix in a Littoral Environment (Australia)

m Relative Merits of stealth and speed vs firepower and

accuracy in a recon environment (New Zealand) Modeling

• f information operations: when is more

information better? (U.S. Military Academy) Modeling

• f various historical studies (US.

Naval Academy) Providing timely support for decision makers (Sweden) context (Naval Postgraduate School)

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Timely Support for Decision Makers: (an artist's conception)

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Project Albert Players zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

Oversight Technical Review Panel Primary Players MHPCC LANL COTSKAS A SAIC MITRE Others United States Naval Academy George Mason University Naval Postgraduate School Sante Fe Institute International zyxwvutsrqponmlkjihgfedcbaZYXWVUTSRQPONMLKJIHGFEDCBA

• Dr. Alfred G. Brandstein,

United States Marine Corps Chief Scientist

• Dr. Gary Horne,

MITRE Quantico Principal Engineer Major Russ Bergeman, Marine Corps Combat Development Command