INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Strong earnings improvement in Q1
APRIL 26, 2019
Strong earnings improvement in Q1 INVESTOR PRESENTATION Kemira in - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
APRIL 26, 2019 Strong earnings improvement in Q1 INVESTOR PRESENTATION Kemira in brief LAST 12 MONTHS: REVENUE EUR 2,627 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR 349 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN 13.3%, OPERATIVE ROCE 10.3% SEGMENT SPLIT GEOGRAPHIES
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
APRIL 26, 2019
SEGMENT SPLIT PRODUCTS
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 2GEOGRAPHIES
Kemira in brief
LAST 12 MONTHS: REVENUE EUR 2,627 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR 349 MILLION, OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN 13.3%, OPERATIVE ROCE 10.3%
◼ 25% Bleaching and pulping ◼ 20% Polymers ◼ 20% Other: e.g. defoamers, dispersants, and biocides ◼ 20% Coagulants ◼ 15% Sizing and strength
Revenue by product category rounded to the nearest 5%39% AMERICAS 1.USA 2.Canada 3.Brazil 52% EMEA 1.Finland 2.Sweden 3.Germany 9% APAC 1.China 2.South Korea 3.Thailand
◼ 58%
Pulp & Paper
◼ 42%
Industry & Water
CUSTOMERS Several thousand customers TOP 10 customers are ~25% of revenue TOP 50 customers are ~50% of revenue EXAMPLES OF LARGEST CUSTOMERS
Municipalities, e.g. Frankfurt, London, New York, Paris, Shanghai, Singapore #1 in water treatment in NA and Europe #2 in friction reduction in North American shale oil & gas #2 globally
Global megatrends favor Kemira
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 3REGULATION
Safe drinking water More stringent discharge limits
GROWING MIDDLE CLASS & URBANIZATION
E-commerce /
Higher use of water, energy, tissue and board
SCARCITY OF RESOURCES
Material and resource efficiency Alternative materials for single-use plastic products
Global trends favor Pulp & Paper – capacity additions in bleaching chemicals
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 4Pulp, board and tissue markets
middle class in APAC
pulp bleaching, Kemira’s CAGR +6% since 2014 Bleaching chemical capacity additions
business to direct bleaching chemical capacity to pulp customers
Regulation trends favorable to demand of water treatment chemicals
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 5Emerging contaminants (pharma, microplastics) Better dewatering of sludge and phosphorus recovery
Increased demand for water treatment chemicals Stormwater Overflows More efficient implementation Water reuse More stringent discharge limits
REVENUE EUR million
2 137 2 373 2 363 2 486 2 593 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
OPERATIVE EBITDA OPERATIVE EBITDA MARGIN EUR million
253 287 303 311 323 11.8% 12.1% 12.8% 12.5% 12,5% 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 6Delivering profitable growth
APRIL 2019PRE IFRS 16
1,170 1,417 1,457 1,477 1,520 137 171 195 198 192 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
REVENUE BY PRODUCT CATEGORY
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 7REVENUE BY CUSTOMER TYPE AND MARKET GROWTH
Pulp & Paper – strong business with solid track record
MARKET ENVIRONMENT REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHIES AND MARKET GROWTH BY REGION CUSTOMER EXAMPLES
◼ 55% EMEA ◼ 30% Americas ◼ 15% APAC ◼ 40% Bleaching & pulping ◼ 25% Sizing & strength ◼ 20%
Defoamers, dispersants, biocides and
chemicals
◼ 10% Polymers ◼ 5% Other ◼ 40% Pulp ◼ 20% Printing & writing papers ◼ 40% Board & tissue
2-3% 1-2% Market growth 2-3% 0-1% 1% Market growth
Nouryon (pulp) #3 Solenis (paper)* #1 Kemira (pulp and paper) m.s. ~16% #2 Ecolab (paper) #4
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
APRIL 2019* Solenis-BASF combined entity
Kurita (paper) #5 REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA
EUR million
REVENUE BY PRODUCT CATEGORY
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 8REVENUE BY APPLICATION TYPE AND MARKET GROWTH
Industry & Water – strong positions in chosen categories
REVENUE BY GEOGRAPHIES AND MARKET GROWTH BY REGION
◼ 40% Coagulants ◼ 40% Polymers ◼ 20% Other products such as defoamers and biocides
2-3% 5-6% 2-3%
◼ 50% EMEA ◼ 45% Americas ◼ 5% APAC ◼ 65% Water treatment ◼ 10% Other ◼ 25% Oil & Gas
5-6% 3-4% 3-4%
WATER TREATMENT
Amsterdam Barcelona Frankfurt London Oslo Paris Stockholm Los Angeles Montreal New York City Toronto Melbourne Shanghai Singapore
OIL & GAS
Note: Revenue by industry, product and geography rounded to the nearest 5%
Market growth Market growth
CUSTOMER EXAMPLES
APRIL 2019REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA
EUR million
MARKET ENVIRONMENT
Market share ~30% in coagulants and ~20% in polymers Main competitors in coagulants:
Market share ~25% in polymers used in shale
Main peers in polymers (also in water treatment):
MUNICIPAL (40%), customer examples INDUSTRIAL (60%), customer examples
Municipal Industrial
947 956 906 1,009 1,073 116 116 107 114 131 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
2014-2016 figures are pro forma; combination of Municipal & Industrial and Oil & Mining segments
Kemira’s mid- to long-term financial targets
APRIL 2019 9Targets 2017 2018 IFRS 16 impact Q1 2019 Mid- to long-term target Revenue EUR 2,486 million Change +5% EUR 2,593 million Change +4%
Change +6% Above-the-market growth Operative EBITDA* 12.5% 12.5% Around +1 %-point 14.8% 15-17% Gearing* 59% 62% Around +10 %-points 74% Below 75% Factors Q1 2019 comments Organic growth through volume and sales price increases Group’s organic growth +2% Oil & Gas becoming larger share of Group (incl. shale, CEOR and oil sands) Revenue from EUR 126m in 2016 to EUR 258m in Q1/19 Sales price vs raw material price development Raw material inflation in 2017 and 2018, sales prices started to offset raw material cost pressure during 2018 Capex projects – Polymer capacity expansion in Netherlands, AKD Joint Venture in China, Polymer capacity expansion in the US Backward integration and growth benefits 2020-21
FINANCIAL TARGETS AND HISTORICAL FIGURES KEY FACTORS TO WATCH FOR PROFITABILITY IMPROVEMENT
* Targets updated in February 2019 due to IFRS 16 accounting change. 2017-2018 figures are PRE IFRS 16.
INVESTOR PRESENTATIONHealthy market growth for Kemira’s relevant markets
2018 2023 Americas EMEA APAC
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 10Source: Management estimation based on various sources
KEMIRA RELEVANT MARKET
EUR billion
PULP & PAPER RELEVANT MARKET
EUR billion
INDUSTRY & WATER RELEVANT MARKET
EUR billion
2018 2023 Pulp Printing & writing Board & tissue 2018 2023 Water treatment Oil & Gas Other
CAGR: 2-3% CAGR:
1-2%
CAGR:
3-4% 22 27 10 9 17 13
Kemira pays stable and competitive dividend
and competitive dividend
listing of shares in 1994
0,53 0,53 0,53 0,53 0,53 0,53 0,53 0.53
5.8% 4.5% 4.4% 5.4% 4.9% 4.4% 4.6% 5.4%
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 11◼ Dividend per share Dividend yield
APRIL 2019Kemira’s dividend yield calculated using the share price at year-end
Our three sustainability priorities
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 12Sustainable products and solutions People and integrity Responsible
supply chain
Ensuring responsible operations to protect our assets, our environment, employees, contractors, customers and communities Ensuring compliance with responsible business practices in our supply chain Incorporating sustainability into
Proactive product stewardship throughout the products’ lifecycle Culture and commitment to people Ensuring compliance with Kemira Code of Conduct
KPI’S AND TARGETS
position, cumulative target 1500 by 2020 (2015=0)
KPI’S AND TARGETS
100 in 2012)
Supplier Sustainability Evaluation
through sustainability evaluation through assessments and audits (Baseline 60% in 2017) KPI’S AND TARGETS At least 50% of our revenue is generated through products improving customers’ resource efficiency
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 13Selected operational highlights in Q1 2019
environment fairly good
capacity utilization rates remained good
Key financial highlights
Organic growth +2%
businesses Operative EBITDA +38% to margin of 14.8%
prices and moderate raw material cost impact
but mitigating actions were done quickly – some financial impact expected in Q2 due to higher raw material and logistic costs
to IFRS 16 – impact on EBITDA EUR +7.7 million in Q1 Operative EBIT +48% to margin of 7.7%
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 15EUR million (except ratios) Q1 2019 Q1 2018 Δ% FY 2018 Revenue 647.8 613.7 +6 2,592.8 Operative EBITDA 95.6 69.4 +38 323.1
14.8% 11.3%
Operative EBIT 50.1 33.9 +48 173.8
7.7% 5.5%
Net profit 29.3 23.0 +27 95.2 EPS, EUR 0.18 0.14 +31 0.58
Pulp & Paper – continued sales price growth
Market environment
investments announced recently by major pulp & paper companies like APP, Hamburger Containerbord, Mondi and Nine Dragons Organic growth flat with positive pricing
Operative EBITDA margin 13.3%
depreciations and partly in interest expenses in 2019, positive EBITDA impact EUR +3.3 million
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 16OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA-% EUR million REVENUE AND ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million
372 369 363 373 369 376 385 390 381 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2017 2018 2019
0% +1% +2% +5% +5% +6% +7% +4% 0%
46.0 47.8 48.5 55.4 42.7 45.4 52.3 51.2 50.7 12.4% 13.0% 13.4% 14.9% 11.6% 12.1% 13.6% 13.1% 13.3% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1* 2017 2018 2019
Industry & Water – record-high margin
Market environment
regulation in Europe
the short-term Organic growth +5%
growth, +26% to EUR 62 million
meet continued inflationary pressures Operative EBITDA margin 16.8%
raw material prices decreased
+4.4 million in Q1 2019
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 1722.9 29.3 36.0 25.3 26.6 34.8 36.7 33.3 45.0 9.6% 11.8% 13.9% 9.6% 10.9% 12.8% 12.9% 12.3% 16.8% Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1* 2017 2018 2019
OPERATIVE EBITDA AND OPERATIVE EBITDA-% EUR million
238 248 259 264 245 272 284 271 267 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2017 2018 2019
+9% +15% +20% +14%
REVENUE AND ORGANIC REVENUE GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million
+11% +11% +2% +5% +6%
Investing in core product categories with higher return
Group’s revenue, above EUR 2 billion
– Bleaching chemicals – Polymers – Sizing* chemicals
– Netherlands – Expansion of Oil & Gas polymers – US – Expansion of Oil & Gas polymers – China – Completion of new Pulp & Paper AKD site
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 18PRODUCTS
◼ 25% Bleaching and pulping ◼ 20% Polymers ◼ 20% Other: e.g. defoamers, dispersants, and biocides ◼ 20% Coagulants ◼ 15% Sizing* and strength
Revenue EUR 2,627 million (LTM)
*Sizing = Resistance against water absorption
Key operative focus areas in 2019
1. Continue to pass on higher raw material costs to sales prices 2. Optimize capacity allocation 3. Modify product & service offering to cater better profitable growth 4. Improve operational excellence 5. Ramp-up CEOR* polymer capacity addition in Netherlands in H2 6. Start-up new sizing manufacturing site in China in H2 7. Construction of emulsion polymer capacity in the US
2021 8. Prudent cost-control in all areas
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 19*CEOR, chemical enhanced oil recovery
Successful pricing drives improvement
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 2069.4
Q1 2018 Sales volumes Sales prices Variable costs Fixed costs Currency impact Other Q1 2019 Adoption of IFRS 16 standard "Pre IFRS 16 comparison"
+34.4
+5.4 +6.4
OPERATIVE EBITDA BRIDGE EUR million
614
+3% 648 Q1 2018 Sales volumes Sales prices Currency impact Acquisitions Q1 2019 +6%
REVENUE AND ORGANIC GROWTH (Y-ON-Y) EUR million
Group’s organic growth +2% Operative EBITDA margin 14.8%
pricing
do not include operating lease expenses in 2019, corresponding to a positive EBITDA impact of EUR 7.7 million
87.9
95.6
SALES PRICE VS VARIABLE COST TREND (ROLLING 12-MONTH CHANGE Y-O-Y)
60 120 180 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Brent oil, USD Sales prices* Variable costs*
SALES PRICES AND VARIABLE COSTS (CHANGE Y-O-Y)
9 5
11 4 8 24
3 11 23 47 42 37 34
16 13 13 26 36 38 29 11 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 2016 2017 2018 2019 Net impact on EBITDA (sales prices-variable costs) Sales prices Variable costs
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 21Net impact of sales price & variable costs positive
* 12-month rolling change vs previous year in EUR million
EUR million EUR million
Cash flow improved in Q1
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 22ALL KEY FIGURES IN EUR MILLION
271 205 210 34 65 2016 2017 2018 Q1 2018 Q1 2019 118 124 106 16 14 95 66 44 7 14 2016 2017 2018 Q1 2018 Q1 2019
213
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS CAPITAL EXPENDITURE EXCL. ACQUISITIONS
◼ Growth capex 190 150
previous years
capital of EUR 15 million to Group in Q1
going completion of Pulp & Paper AKD plant in China and expansion of CEOR polymers for Oil & Gas in Netherlands
EUR 180-220 million in 2019
23 28
ROCE improving, adoption of IFRS 16 increased reported net debt
9.9% 9.7% 9.8% 9.7% 10.3% 2016 2017 2018 Q1 2018 LTM Q1 2019 LTM 634 694 741 842 Dec 31 2016 Dec 31 2017 Dec 31 2018 Mar 31 2019
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 23NET DEBT (EUR million) AND LEVERAGE RATIO OPERATIVE RETURN ON CAPITAL EMPLOYED
2.3 2.2 2.1
Group’s ROCE once up and running
IFRS 16 as operating leases (EUR 129 million) are part of debt
– Excluding IFRS 16 impact, net debt would have been EUR 713 million and leverage ratio 2.1 – Improved cash flow reduced underlying debt level
and duration is 28 months
2.4
Outlook for 2019
“Kemira expects its operative EBITDA (2018: EUR 323.1 million) to increase from the prior year on a comparable basis, excluding the impact of IFRS 16 accounting change.”
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 24EUR million 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Operative EBITDA 253 287 303 311 323 Increase
Operative EBITDA figures for 2014-2018 are ”pre IFRS-16”.
accounting for Kemira Group’s
replaced by the depreciation of the right-of-use assets and interest cost associated with lease liability
and on net profit immaterial
figures, instead we will provide enough data for analysis
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 25IFRS 16 impact on financials
EUR million (except ratio) FY 2018 Impact in Q1 2019 Estimated impact in FY 2019, around Operative EBITDA 323.1 +7.7 +30
12.5% +1.2 %-point +1 %-point Impact on balance sheet EUR million (except ratio) Dec 31, 2018 Impact on March 31, 2019 Net debt 741 +129 Gearing 62% +12 %-points
VARIABLE COST SPLIT 2018 EUR 1.6 billion TOP 10 RAW MATERIALS BY SPEND 1. Sodium hydroxide (caustic soda)* 2. Acrylonitrile (OD) 3. Aluminium hydrate 4. Colloidal silica dispersion* 5. Amines (OD) 6. Petroleum solvents (OD) 7. Acrylic acid (OD) 8. Alpha olefin (OD) 9. Acrylic ester (OD)
Top 10 account for 50%
OD = Oil & gas derivative * Mainly trading materials
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 26EXPOSURE TO OIL RELATED RAW MATERIALS
Kemira’s variable cost split and top raw materials
◼ 30%
Oil & gas related
◼ 70%
Not oil related
◼ 70%
Raw materials
◼ 15%
Electricity & energy
◼ 15%
Logistics
APRIL 2019Majority of contracts with fixed annual pricing
Pulp & Paper – Contract types and pricing terms on high level
longer / only 5% are spot deals
pricing Industry & Water – Contract types and pricing terms
/ 40% spot deals
pricing, incl. Oil & Gas where contracts are either formula or spot based
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 27Currencies
Currency exchange rates had around EUR +18 million impact on revenue and EUR +6 million impact on the operative EBITDA in Q1 2019 compared to Q1 2018. Guidance: 10% change in our main foreign currencies would approximately have EUR 15 million impact on operative EBITDA on an annualized basis.
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 28◼ 43% EUR ◼ 7% Others KEMIRA REVENUE DISTRIBUTION Q1 2019 KEMIRA COST DISTRIBUTION Q1 2019 ◼ 2% SEK ◼ 3% CNY ◼ 4% CAD ◼ 37% USD ◼ 7% Others ◼ 5% CNY ◼ 4% CAD ◼ 6% SEK ◼ 29% USD ◼ 44% EUR ◼ 2% BRL ◼ 2% GBP ◼ 3% GBP ◼ 2% PLN
and new chlorate line in Finland
Netherlands
integration of acquisitions
60 59 53 58 65 53 95 66 44
2016 2017 2018
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 292018 CAPEX WAS LOWER DUE TO TIMING OF INVESTMENT PROJECTS
CAPEX guidance 180-220 MEUR in 2019
Expansion Improvement Maintenance
190
CAPITAL EXPENDITURE EXCLUDING ACQUISITIONS
EUR million and share of revenue
213
CAPEX FOCUS IN CORE PRODUCT GROUPS SINCE 2016 CAPEX GUIDANCE
2018 and be approximately EUR 180-220 million, including
– Expansion of Oil & Gas CEOR polymers in Netherlands – New capacity expansion in Oil & Gas polymers in the US – Completion for the new Pulp & Paper AKD JV site in China
9.0% 7.6% 5.8% 150
Key figures and ratios – 5-year summary
EUR million (except ratios) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Revenue 2,136.7 2,373.1 2,363.3 2,486.0 2,592.8 Operative EBITDA 252.9 287.3 302.5 311.3 323.1
11.8% 12.1% 12.8% 12.5% 12.5% Operative EBIT 158.3 163.1 170.1 170.3 173.8
7.4% 6.9% 7.2% 6.9% 6.7% Cash flow from operations 74.2 247.6 270.6 205.1 210.2 Capital expenditure, excluding acq. 140.6 181.7 212.6 190.1 150.4 Gearing at period-end 42 54 54 59 62 Inventories 197 207 217 224 284 Personnel at period-end 4,248 4,685 4,818 4,732 4,915
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 30Per share figures – 5-year summary
2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Earnings per share, EUR 0.59 0.47 0.60 0.52 0.58 Cash flow from operating activities per share, EUR 0.49 1.63 1.78 1.35 1.38 Equity per share, EUR 7.57 7.76 7.68 7.61 7.80 Dividend per share, EUR 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 0.53 Share price, EUR, end of period 9.89 10.88 12.13 11.50 9.85 Market capitalization, EUR million (excl. treasury shares) 1,504 1,654 1,848 1,752 1,502 Number of shares, million (excl. treasury shares) 152.1 152.1 152.4 152.4 152.4 P/E ratio 16.7 23.3 20.1 22.3 17.0 P/CF ratio 20.2 6.7 6.8 8.5 7.1 P/B ratio 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.3 Dividend yield, % 5.4 4.9 4.4 4.6 5.4
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 31 APRIL 2019EUR million Q1 2019 Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 2018 2017 Revenue 647.8 661.8 669.6 647.6 613.7 2,592.8 2,486.0 Operative EBITDA 95.6 84.5 89.0 80.2 69.4 323.1 311.3 margin 14.8% 12.8% 13.3% 12.4% 11.3% 12.5% 12.5% Operative EBIT 50.1 44.8 50.0 45.1 33.9 173.8 170.3 margin 7.7% 6.8% 7.5% 7.0% 5.5% 6.7% 6.9% Net profit 29.3 26.5 22.1 23.0 28.8 95.2 85.2 Earnings per share, EUR 0.18 0.17 0.14 0.14 0.14 0.58 0.52 Cash flow from operations 65.2 88.2 64.2 23.4 34.5 210.2 205.1 Capex excl. acquisitions 28.3 53.2 34.3 39.8 23.2 150.4 190.1 Net debt 842 741 744 773 678 741 694 NWC ratio 10.6% 10.2% 9.8% 9.6% 9.5% 10.2% 9.4% Operative ROCE (rolling 12 m) 10.3% 9.8% 9.8% 9.7% 9.7% 9.8% 9.7% Personnel at period-end 4,973 4,915 4,798 4,858 4,740 4,915 4,732 2018 AND PRIOR FIGURES ARE PRE IFRS 16
Key figures
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 32EUR million Q1 2019 Q1 2018 2018 2017 Net profit for the period 29 23 95 85 Total adjustments 79 42 220 204 Change in net working capital
Finance expenses
Income taxes paid
1
Net cash generated from operating activities 65 34 210 205 Purchases of subsidiaries and acquisit. 1
Capital expenditure
Proceeds from sale of assets 3 4 7 3 Change in long-term loan receivables 5
Cash flow after investing activities 40 16 29 13
Cash flow
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 33KEY FINANCIALS
Pulp & Paper
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 34*12-month rolling average
EUR million Q1 2019 Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 2018 2017 Revenue 380.8 390.4 385.2 376.0 368.7 1,520.2 1,476.9 Operative EBITDA 50.7 51.2 52.3 45.4 42.7 191.7 197.7 margin 13.3% 13.1% 13.6% 12.1 11.6% 12.6% 13.4% Operative EBIT 20.6 24.1 26.6 22.0 18.9 91.6 104.8 margin 5.4% 6.2% 6.9% 5.9% 5.1% 6.0% 7.1% Operative ROCE*, % 7.7% 7.8% 8.5% 8.3% 8.6% 7.8% 9.0% Capital expenditure (excl. M&A) 17.3 28.8 20.7 21.4 14.2 85.1 138.3 Cash flow after investing activities 25.1
20.6 2.3 20.5 29.9 15.7
KEY FINANCIALS
Industry & Water
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 35*12-month rolling average
EUR million Q1 2019 Q4 2018 Q3 2018 Q2 2018 Q1 2018 2018 2017 Revenue 267.0 271.5 284.4 271.7 245.0 1,072.6 1,009.1 Operative EBITDA 45.0 33.3 36.7 34.8 26.6 131.5 113.6 margin 16.8% 12.3% 12.9% 12.8% 10.9% 12.3% 11.3% Operative EBIT 29.5 20.8 23.4 23.0 15.0 82.2 65.5 margin 11.0% 7.7% 8.2% 8.5% 6.1% 7.7% 6.5% Operative ROCE*, % 15.4% 13.6% 12.5% 12.6% 11.8% 13.6% 11.0% Capital expenditure (excl. M&A) 11.0 24.4 13.6 18.4 9.0 65.3 51.7 Cash flow after investing activities 27.8 23.8 26.8 6.1
52.5 46.9
FY 2018
Revenue split by country
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 36USA 27% Canada 6% Brazil 3% Uruguay 2% Other Americas 1% Finland 16% Sweden 5% Germany 5% Poland 3% UK 3% Spain 2% Other APAC 4% South Korea 1% China 4% Russia 2% Netherlands 2% France 2% Italy 2% Other EMEA 9% Norway 1%
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
Pulp & Paper chemicals market estimated to grow 1-2%
– Hardwood and softwood pulp demand increasing driven by growth of packaging needs (e- commerce, non-plastic solutions), growing tissue demand and lack of recycled fiber – Demand increase continues for packaging, driven by online shopping, last-mile delivery, product safety and non-plastic solutions – Growth in tissue demand driven by increasing wealth in emerging countries – Ongoing digitalization of media drives decline of graphic paper demand
represent over 80% of our Pulp & Paper revenue
– Ongoing capacity additions suit well for the need
REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR million
1,170 1,417 1,457 1,477 1 520 137 171 195 198 192 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
◼ 40% Pulp ◼ 20% Printing & writing papers ◼ 40% Board & tissue
2-3% 1-2% Market growth
REVENUE BY CUSTOMER TYPE
Strong demand in pulp market creating growth opportunities
New pulp mill projects are driven by increasing demand for board and tissue
growing particularly fast in Asia
then shipped to board, paper, and tissue mills or used captively in an integrated mill
Multiple pulp mill projects realised and expected in Northern Europe creating
the market In addition, a few large scale pulp mill projects expected in South America
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 39Confirmed new capacity / debottlenecking 2016-2020 Possible new mills 2020-2022
Äänekoski Kuusankoski Kuopio Paltamo Kemi Östrand Värobacka Svetlogorsk Steti Viljandi/Tartto Vologda Bratsk -> Uts-Ilimsk -> Sveza
Bleaching investment – case Joutseno
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 40capacity in Q4 2017
– Excellent timing, pulp production grew simultaneously in Finland
annual production of over 2Mt
exported in dry format to APAC
EUR 50 MILLION INVESTMENT IN 2017
Acquisition via JV in China
raw material fatty acid chloride (FACL)
– AKD is sizing chemical used in board and paper to createresistance against liquid absorption – NewCo also plans to produce coagulants for water treatment
supply of key raw material for AKD wax
– Investment for 80% around EUR 55 million
– Good contribution to P&L after ramp-up
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 41AKD WAX SUPPLIED FROM YANZHOU, CHINA TO KEMIRA SITES GLOBALLY
We leverage acquisition synergies with our global production
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 42Telêmaco Borba Washougal
Helsingborg Joutseno Nanjing Hallam Gunsan Pasuruan Wellgrow Krems Tarragona Yanzhou NewCo
Acquisition in China is excellent strategic fit
Acquired asset fulfills our key criteria for acquisitions GROWTH – End-products in growing markets APAC – Enables profitable growth in APAC SUPPLY – Backward integr. & self-sufficiency (FACL) SUSTAINABILITY – FACL from renewable raw material LOCATION – Close to our existing production PROFITABILITY – Accretive after ramp-up
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 43END-PRODUCTS WHERE AKD WAX IS USED
Pulp & Paper
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 44TECHNOLOGY AND MARKET LEADER
Value chain part covered by Kemira RAW MATERIALS INTERMEDIATES PRODUCTS APPLICATIONS CUSTOMER INDUSTRIES CUSTOMERS Electricity Sodium chloride (salt) Crude tall oil Cationic monomer Acrylonitrile Acrylic acid Olefins Fatty acids Maleic anhydride Sulfur Tall oil rosin AKD Wax Isomerized olefins Acrylamide Sodium chlorate Hydrogen peroxide Polymers Defoamers Coagulants Biocides Sizing Strength Additives Surface additives Colorants Sulfuric acid Pulping Bleaching Retention Wet-end process control WQQM Sizing Strength Surface treatment Coloring Pulp Packaging and board Printing and writing Tissue All the major global paper and pulp producers MAIN COMPETITORS: Solenis, Nouryon, Ecolab, Kurita, SNF
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 45Industry & Water relevant chemicals market estimated to grow 3-4%
to increase due to
– Higher demand for water driven by industrial growth and population growth – More stringent discharge limits for waste water – Better dewatering of sludge – Phosphorus recovery – Water reuse
– Shale friction reducer market expected to grow due to higher energy demand and increasing number of wells fracked – Oil sands operators face regulatory requirements for their tailings treatment – Chemical Enhanced Oil Recovery lucrative in certain fields due to better yield from existing reservoirs
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 46947 956 906 1,009 1,073 116 116 107 114 131 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
REVENUE AND OPERATIVE EBITDA EUR million
◼ 65% Water treatment ◼ 10% Other ◼ 25% Oil & Gas 2-3% 5-6% 2-3% Market growth
REVENUE BY APPLICATION
2014-2016 figures are pro forma; combination of Municipal & Industrial and Oil & Mining segments
Kemira is a market leader in water treatment chemistry
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 47Serving most European cities Drinking water plants and wastewater plants
I&W EMEA customer locations. Dot size correlates with ship-to volumes. Not representative for Eastern Europe due to roll-out of Kemira ERP system.
Kemira’s six actions for cleaner waters
1. The requirements of the Urban Wastewater Treatment Directive (UWWTD) must be implemented fully and equally in all member states. 2. Emission limit values (especially phosphorus) in water discharges should be tightened. 3. Digitalization can improve both the quality
treatment. 4. Emerging pollutants need to be included in the legislation. 5. Pollution from storm-water overflows must be limited and discharges safely disinfected. 6. Clearer guidance is needed on applying innovation and sustainability criteria in public procurement for water treatment.
APRIL 11, 2019 KEMIRA FOR W ATER TREATMENT 48Implementation of wastewater treatment directive varies in EU
implementation gaps of the Urban Wastewater Treatment Directive, even though the first collection and treatment requirements
entered into force in 2001
APRIL 11, 2019 KEMIRA FOR W ATER TREATMENT 4910 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Austria Belgium Bulgaria Croatia Cyprus Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Ireland Italy Latvia Lithuania Luxembourg Malta Netherlands Poland Portugal Romania Slovakia Slovenia Spain Sweden United Kingdom 2010 2012 2014
Degree of compliance in water discharges*
% of subjected load
* Degree of compliance with Article 5 of the Directive, which sets the requirements for water discharges to sensitive areas. Source: European Commission, 9th report on the implementation status concerning urban waste water treatment.
Oil & Gas growing fast
Growing market demand with our selective market diversification assuring growth Kemira’s offering
energy consumption by 60% in shale oil fields
make offshore oil recovery more cost effective (CEOR)
treatment in oil sands
New innovative technologies driving expansion
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 5050 100 150 200 250 300 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
REVENUE IN OIL & GAS
EUR million
REVENUE SPLIT
◼ 15%
Other
◼ 65%
Shale fracking
◼ 20%
Oil sands and Chemical Enhanced Oil Recovery
Figures rounded to closest 5%
Oil price Organic growth >30%
CEOR-polymer deal with Chevron
Oil Recovery deal with Chevron
October 2017, progressing well
which EUR 500 million accessible to Kemira
production from existing fields
challenging water intensive environments and technologies that can enable CEOR
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 51Industry & Water
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 52TECHNOLOGY AND MARKET LEADER IN WATER TREATMENT AS WELL AS IN NICHE APPLICATIONS IN OIL & GAS
MAIN COMPETITORS Coagulants: mainly local small companies, Feralco, USALCO, Kronos, PVS, Polymers: SNF, Solvay, Ecolab, Solenis
Value chain part covered by Kemira
INTERMEDIATES PRODUCTS APPLICATIONS SALES CHANNELS CUSTOMERS Acrylonitrile Acrylic acid Sulfuric acid Hydrochloric acid Aluminium hydrate Iron ore Pickling liquor Copperas Various monomers Acrylamide Cationic monomer Polymers (EPAM, DPAM) Al Coagulants Fe Coagulants Dispersants & antiscalants Biocides Emulsifiers Defoamers Formulations Raw water & waste water treatment Sludge treatment Friction reduction Enhanced oil recovery Tailings treatment Mining processes Direct sales Distributor/reseller Service companies RAW MATERIALS Municipalities Private operators Industrial customers Pumpers Oil & Gas operators Service companies Mine operators
INVESTOR PRESENTATION
SHAREHOLDERS ON MARCH 31, 2019
% OF SHARES
18.2%
14.9%
3.4%
2.5%
1.7% Total number of shares 155,342,557 Foreign ownership of shares 28.4% Total number of shareholders 34,048
KEMIRA BOARD OF DIRECTORS
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 54Kemira – largest shareholders and Board of Directors
JARI PAASIKIVI Chairman Member since 2012 Oras Invest Oy, CEO KERTTU TUOMAS Vice Chairman Member since 2010 WOLFGANG BÜCHELE Member in 2009-2012 and since 2014 KAISA HIETALA Member since 2016 TIMO LAPPALAINEN Member since 2014 SHIRLEY CUNNINGHAM Member since 2017
Kemira’s Management Board
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 55Jukka Hakkila, Chief Legal Officer, (with Kemira since 2005) acts as secretary of Management Board and Board of Directors.
JARI ROSENDAL President and CEO With Kemira since 2014 KIM POULSEN President Pulp & Paper With Kemira since 2015 ANTTI SALMINEN President Industry & Water With Kemira since 2011 PETRI CASTRÉN CFO With Kemira since 2013 MATTHEW PIXTON CTO With Kemira since 2016 ESA-MATTI PUPUTTI EVP, Operational Excellence With Kemira since 2015 EEVA SALONEN EVP, Human Resources With Kemira since 2008
Priority KPI+Target Performance Comments Progress Sustainable products and solutions
Product sustainability Share of revenue from products used for use-phase resource efficiency. At least 50% of Kemira’s revenue generated through products improving customers’ resource efficiency. 4 R&D projects were started in Q1 and 3 of them are designed to improve customer resource efficiency. One project to improve resource efficiency was commercialized during Q1. Other projects improve customer product quality.
Responsible
chain
Workplace safety Achieve zero injuries on long term; TRIF* 2.0 by end of 2020. Q1 2019 was the best TRIF result for many years. The preventive work with Behaviour Based Safety and using leading indicators like hazardous conditions and activities
number of people incidents as well as severity. Climate change Kemira Carbon Index ≤ 80 by end of 2020 (2012 = 100). This KPI is reported
Efforts to decrease carbon footprint continue mainly by sourcing a higher share of electricity from low carbon sources and through energy efficiency improvements. Supplier Management % of direct key suppliers screened through sustainability assessments and audits (cumulative %). The target includes 5 sustainability audits for highest risk** suppliers every year, and cumulatively 25 by 2020. Sustainability screening of key suppliers continues with an additional 6 new suppliers screened during Q1. Another 14 have been invited to take an assessment and one audit is in progress.
Corporate responsibility performance Q1 2019
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 56 49% 51% Baseline average 2016-2017 2018 100 88 91 93 86 85 83 80 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 Target 20 69% 71% 90% 11 11 25 10 20 30 40 50 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Baseline 2018 Q1 2019 Target 2020 % of key suppliers # of audits (cumul.)* TRIF = Number of Total Recordable Injury Frequency per million hours, Kemira + contractor, year-to-date ** Suppliers with lowest sustainability assessment score
7,2 3,4 3,9 3,5 2,3 2,0 15 16 17 18 Q1'19 Target 2020Priority KPI+target Performance Comments Progress People and integrity
Employee engagement index based on Voices@Kemira biennial survey The index at or above the external industry norm. The participation rate target in Voices@Kemira is 75% or above. Action planning is ongoing at manager level. Company wide strategy communication and engagement is ongoing. Leadership development activities provided, average Two leadership development activities per people manager position during 2016-2020, the cumulative target is 1,500 by 2020. 15 leadership activities in Q1. Leadership activities overall 1548 vs target 1500 by year 2020. Integrity index KPI to measure compliance with the Kemira Code of Conduct. The target is to maintain the Integrity Index level above the external industry norm. Mandatory training on the Kemira Code of Conduct and general awareness-building on GDPR was continued for Kemira employees.
Corporate responsibility performance Q1 2019
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 57 58% 67% 71% 75% 85% 84% 2013 2015 2017 2018 Engagement Participation 494 1 036 1 533 1 500 2016 2017 2018 Target 2020 87% 84% 2018 Integrity Index ParticipationImportant information about financial figures
Kemira provides certain financial performance measures (alternative performance measures)
growth*, EBITDA, operative EBITDA, cash flow after investing activities, and gearing followed by capital markets and Kemira management, provide useful information of its comparable business performance and financial position. Selected alternative performance measures are also used as performance criteria in remuneration. Kemira’s alternative performance measures should not be viewed in isolation to the equivalent IFRS measures and alternative performance measures should be read in conjunction with the most directly comparable IFRS measures. Definitions of the alternative performance measures can be found in the Definitions of the key figures in this report, as well as at www.kemira.com > Investors > Financial information. All the figures in this interim report have been individually rounded and consequently the sum
* Revenue growth in local currencies, excluding acquisitions and divestments
APRIL 2019 INVESTOR PRESENTATION 58