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Steins method and Malliavin calculus for independent random - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Steins method Motivation Discrete Malliavin calculus Convergence results Steins method and Malliavin calculus for independent random variables H el` ene Halconruy under the supervision of Laurent Decreusefond T el ecom


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1/ 14 Stein’s method Motivation Discrete Malliavin calculus Convergence results

Stein’s method and Malliavin calculus for independent random variables

H´ el` ene Halconruy under the supervision of Laurent Decreusefond T´ el´ ecom ParisTech - Universit´ e de Paris Saclay bla bla

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2/ 14 Stein’s method Motivation Discrete Malliavin calculus Convergence results

Introduction

Theorem (Central Limit Theorem)

Let (Xn, n ≥ 1) be a sequence of i.i.d. twice integrable random variables defined on (Ω, A, P) √n 1 n

n

  • k=1

Xk

  • − E [X1]
  • D

− − − − →

n→∞ N(0, var[X1]).

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2/ 14 Stein’s method Motivation Discrete Malliavin calculus Convergence results

Introduction

Theorem (Central Limit Theorem)

Let (Xn, n ≥ 1) be a sequence of i.i.d. twice integrable random variables defined on (Ω, A, P) √n 1 n

n

  • k=1

Xk

  • − E [X1]
  • D

− − − − →

n→∞ N(0, var[X1]).

→ Rate of convergence for the law of numbers.

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Introduction

Theorem (Central Limit Theorem)

Let (Xn, n ≥ 1) be a sequence of i.i.d. twice integrable random variables defined on (Ω, A, P) √n 1 n

n

  • k=1

Xk

  • − E [X1]
  • F (X1,··· ,Xn)

D

− − − − →

n→∞ N(0, var[X1]).

→ Rate of convergence for the law of numbers. Question : how to estimate dist(F ∗Pn, P) where Pn := ⊗n

k=1PXk

and for P, Q measures on a Polish space F distW (P, Q) = sup

g∈T

  • g dP −
  • g dQ
  • and T = {g ∈ C1(R, R) : g′∞ ≤ 1}?
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Introduction

Theorem (Central Limit Theorem)

Let (Xn, n ≥ 1) be a sequence of i.i.d. twice integrable random variables defined on (Ω, A, P) √n 1 n

n

  • k=1

Xk

  • − E [X1]
  • F (X1,··· ,Xn)

D

− − − − →

n→∞ N(0, var[X1]).

→ Rate of convergence for the law of numbers. Question : how to estimate dist(F ∗Pn, P) where Pn := ⊗n

k=1PXk

and for P, Q measures on a Polish space F distW (P, Q) = sup

g∈T

  • g dP −
  • g dQ
  • and T = {g ∈ C1(R, R) : g′∞ ≤ 1}?
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Stein’s method (1)

  • Caracterization of the target measure P.

For all g ∈ T ,

  • Lg dQ = 0 ⇐

⇒ Q = P. L is the Stein operator associated to P.

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Stein’s method (1)

  • Caracterization of the target measure P.

For all g ∈ T ,

  • Lg dQ = 0 ⇐

⇒ Q = P. L is the Stein operator associated to P.

  • Resolution of the Stein equation

Lϕg = g −

  • g dP,

(1) for any g ∈ T , then g ∈ T ⇐ ⇒ ϕg ∈ F.

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Stein’s method (1)

  • Caracterization of the target measure P.

For all g ∈ T ,

  • Lg dQ = 0 ⇐

⇒ Q = P. L is the Stein operator associated to P.

  • Resolution of the Stein equation

Lϕg = g −

  • g dP,

(1) for any g ∈ T , then g ∈ T ⇐ ⇒ ϕg ∈ F.

  • Equivalent problem

sup

g∈T

  • g dQ −
  • g dP
  • = sup

ϕ∈F

|E [Lϕ(X)] | where X ∼ Q.

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Stein’s method (1)

  • Caracterization of the target measure P.

For all g ∈ T ,

  • Lg dQ = 0 ⇐

⇒ Q = P. L is the Stein operator associated to P.

  • Resolution of the Stein equation

Lϕg = g −

  • g dP,

(1) for any g ∈ T , then g ∈ T ⇐ ⇒ ϕg ∈ F.

  • Equivalent problem

sup

g∈T

  • g dQ −
  • g dP
  • = sup

ϕ∈F

|E [Lϕ(X)] | where X ∼ Q.

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Stein’s method (2)

  • Principle :

distT (P, Q) = sup

ϕ∈F

|E [Lϕ(X)] |

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Stein’s method (2)

  • Principle :

distT (P, Q) = sup

ϕ∈F

|E [Lϕ(X)] | = sup

ϕ∈F

|E [L1ϕ(X)] + E [L2ϕ(X)]|

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Stein’s method (2)

  • Principle :

distT (P, Q) = sup

ϕ∈F

|E [Lϕ(X)] | = sup

ϕ∈F

|E [L1ϕ(X)] + E [L2ϕ(X)]|

  • Idea : transform L1ϕ(X) into −L2ϕ(X)+ remainder

→ rate of convergence. 3 methods :

  • 1. Exchangeable pairs.
  • 2. Size-biased.
  • 3. Malliavin integration by parts.
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Stein’s method (2)

  • Principle :

distT (P, Q) = sup

ϕ∈F

|E [Lϕ(X)] | = sup

ϕ∈F

|E [L1ϕ(X)] + E [L2ϕ(X)]|

  • Idea : transform L1ϕ(X) into −L2ϕ(X)+ remainder

→ rate of convergence. 3 methods :

  • 1. Exchangeable pairs.
  • 2. Size-biased.
  • 3. Malliavin integration by parts.
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Finite dimension differential calculus and Malliavin calculus Analogous terminology Differential calculus on Malliavin calculus on Classical Euclidian spaces Wiener space Vectors Functions Gradient

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Finite dimension differential calculus and Malliavin calculus Analogous terminology Differential calculus on Malliavin calculus on Classical Euclidian spaces Wiener space Vectors Paths of Brownian motion Functions Gradient

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5/ 14 Stein’s method Motivation Discrete Malliavin calculus Convergence results

Finite dimension differential calculus and Malliavin calculus Analogous terminology Differential calculus on Malliavin calculus on Classical Euclidian spaces Wiener space Vectors Paths of Brownian motion Random variables Functions = Functionals of the paths Gradient

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Finite dimension differential calculus and Malliavin calculus Analogous terminology Differential calculus on Malliavin calculus on Classical Euclidian spaces Wiener space Vectors Paths of Brownian motion Random variables Functions = Functionals of the paths Gradient Malliavin derivative

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Stein-Malliavin criterion on the Gaussian space

  • H = L2(T, B, µ) real separable Hilbert space.
  • X = {X(h), h ∈ H} centered I.G.P. and ˜

Q = X∗P.

  • S : space of cylindrical random variables of the form

F = f(X(h1), . . . , X(hn)) ; f ∈ Cc(Rn, R), hi ∈ H. For F ∈ S, DF =

n

  • i=1

∂f ∂xi (X(h1), . . . , X(hn)) hi.

  • δ adjoint of D and L = −δD ”Laplacian operator”.

Theorem (Nourdin, Peccati)

For any F ∈ D1,2 with E [F] = 0, distW

  • F ∗ ˜

Q, P

  • E
  • 1 − DF , −DL−1FH
  • 2 1

2 .

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Sketch of the proof

  • Lϕ(x) = xϕ(x) − ϕ′(x) =: L1ϕ(x) + L2ϕ(x).
  • F = {ϕ ∈ C2(R, R) : ϕ′∞ ≤ 1, ϕ′′∞ ≤ 2}.

E   

L1ϕ(F )

  • F
  • L(L−1F )

ϕ(F)   

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Sketch of the proof

  • Lϕ(x) = xϕ(x) − ϕ′(x) =: L1ϕ(x) + L2ϕ(x).
  • F = {ϕ ∈ C2(R, R) : ϕ′∞ ≤ 1, ϕ′′∞ ≤ 2}.

E   

L1ϕ(F )

  • F
  • L(L−1F )

ϕ(F)    = E

  • −δ(DL−1F) ϕ(F)
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Sketch of the proof

  • Lϕ(x) = xϕ(x) − ϕ′(x) =: L1ϕ(x) + L2ϕ(x).
  • F = {ϕ ∈ C2(R, R) : ϕ′∞ ≤ 1, ϕ′′∞ ≤ 2}.

E   

L1ϕ(F )

  • F
  • L(L−1F )

ϕ(F)    = E

  • −δ(DL−1F) ϕ(F)

I.P.P. = E

  • Dϕ(F) , −DL−1FH
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Sketch of the proof

  • Lϕ(x) = xϕ(x) − ϕ′(x) =: L1ϕ(x) + L2ϕ(x).
  • F = {ϕ ∈ C2(R, R) : ϕ′∞ ≤ 1, ϕ′′∞ ≤ 2}.

E   

L1ϕ(F )

  • F
  • L(L−1F )

ϕ(F)    = E

  • −δ(DL−1F) ϕ(F)

I.P.P. = E

  • Dϕ(F) , −DL−1FH
  • = E
  • ϕ′(F)DF , −DL−1FH
  • (chain rule)
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Sketch of the proof

  • Lϕ(x) = xϕ(x) − ϕ′(x) =: L1ϕ(x) + L2ϕ(x).
  • F = {ϕ ∈ C2(R, R) : ϕ′∞ ≤ 1, ϕ′′∞ ≤ 2}.

E   

L1ϕ(F )

  • F
  • L(L−1F )

ϕ(F)    = E

  • −δ(DL−1F) ϕ(F)

I.P.P. = E

  • Dϕ(F) , −DL−1FH
  • = E
  • ϕ′(F)DF , −DL−1FH
  • (chain rule)

= E

  • −L2ϕ(F )

ϕ′(F)

remainder

  • −ϕ′(F)
  • 1 + DF , −DL−1FH
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Sketch of the proof

  • Lϕ(x) = xϕ(x) − ϕ′(x) =: L1ϕ(x) + L2ϕ(x).
  • F = {ϕ ∈ C2(R, R) : ϕ′∞ ≤ 1, ϕ′′∞ ≤ 2}.

E   

L1ϕ(F )

  • F
  • L(L−1F )

ϕ(F)    = E

  • −δ(DL−1F) ϕ(F)

I.P.P. = E

  • Dϕ(F) , −DL−1FH
  • = E
  • ϕ′(F)DF , −DL−1FH
  • (chain rule)

= E

  • −L2ϕ(F )

ϕ′(F)

remainder

  • −ϕ′(F)
  • 1 + DF , −DL−1FH

Tools

  • A caracterization of P in terms of 1st-order differential operators.
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Sketch of the proof

  • Lϕ(x) = xϕ(x) − ϕ′(x) =: L1ϕ(x) + L2ϕ(x).
  • F = {ϕ ∈ C2(R, R) : ϕ′∞ ≤ 1, ϕ′′∞ ≤ 2}.

E   

L1ϕ(F )

  • F
  • L(L−1F )

ϕ(F)    = E

  • −δ(DL−1F) ϕ(F)

I.P.P. = E

  • Dϕ(F) , −DL−1FH
  • = E
  • ϕ′(F)DF , −DL−1FH
  • (chain rule)

= E

  • −L2ϕ(F )

ϕ′(F)

remainder

  • −ϕ′(F)
  • 1 + DF , −DL−1FH

Tools

  • A caracterization of P in terms of 1st-order differential operators.
  • A Malliavin derivative operator D.
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Sketch of the proof

  • Lϕ(x) = xϕ(x) − ϕ′(x) =: L1ϕ(x) + L2ϕ(x).
  • F = {ϕ ∈ C2(R, R) : ϕ′∞ ≤ 1, ϕ′′∞ ≤ 2}.

E   

L1ϕ(F )

  • F
  • L(L−1F )

ϕ(F)    = E

  • −δ(DL−1F) ϕ(F)

I.P.P. = E

  • Dϕ(F) , −DL−1FH
  • = E
  • ϕ′(F)DF , −DL−1FH
  • (chain rule)

= E

  • −L2ϕ(F )

ϕ′(F)

remainder

  • −ϕ′(F)
  • 1 + DF , −DL−1FH

Tools

  • A caracterization of P in terms of 1st-order differential operators.
  • A Malliavin derivative operator D.
  • An integration by parts formula including δ.
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Stein-Malliavin criterion on a discrete setting Question : how to estimate distW ˜ Q, P

  • if ˜

Q = F ∗PA where PA = ⊗a∈APa (A countable set) and F is a functional of independent random variables ?

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Stein-Malliavin criterion on a discrete setting Question : how to estimate distW ˜ Q, P

  • if ˜

Q = F ∗PA where PA = ⊗a∈APa (A countable set) and F is a functional of independent random variables ? ... And then to construct a Malliavin calculus on a denumerable product of probability space (EA, EA, PA) where EA =

a∈A Ea, EA = ∨ a∈AEa and PA = ⊗a∈APa ?

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Gradient S : space of cylindrical random variables of the form F = F(X1, . . . , Xn).

Definition

For F ∈ S, DF ∈ L2(A × EA) is defined by : For all a ∈ A, DaF(XA) = F(XA) − E [F(XA) | Ga] = F(XA) − E′ [F(XAa, X′

a)]

where Ga = σ{Xb, b = a} and X′

a is an independent copy of Xa.

(2)

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Gradient S : space of cylindrical random variables of the form F = F(X1, . . . , Xn).

Definition

For F ∈ S, DF ∈ L2(A × EA) is defined by : For all a ∈ A, DaF(XA) = F(XA) − E [F(XA) | Ga] = F(XA) − E′ [F(XAa, X′

a)]

where Ga = σ{Xb, b = a} and X′

a is an independent copy of Xa.

  • The domain of D, D is the closure of S w.r.t. the norm

F2

D = F2 L2(EA) + DF2 L2(A×EA)

  • Property : for F, G ∈ S,

E

  • a∈A

DaF · G

  • = E
  • F
  • a∈A

DaG

  • (2)
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Gradient S : space of cylindrical random variables of the form F = F(X1, . . . , Xn).

Definition

For F ∈ S, DF ∈ L2(A × EA) is defined by : For all a ∈ A, DaF(XA) = F(XA) − E [F(XA) | Ga] = F(XA) − E′ [F(XAa, X′

a)]

where Ga = σ{Xb, b = a} and X′

a is an independent copy of Xa.

  • The domain of D, D is the closure of S w.r.t. the norm

F2

D = F2 L2(EA) + DF2 L2(A×EA)

  • Property : for F, G ∈ S,

E

  • a∈A

DaF · G

  • = E
  • F
  • a∈A

DaG

  • (2)
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Divergence and integration by parts formula

Definition (Divergence)

For any U ∈ Dom δ, δU ∈ L2(EA) DF, UL2(A×EA) = F, δUL2(EA), for all F ∈ D. (3) By property (2), δU =

  • a∈A

DaUa.

Theorem (Integration by parts formula - LD, HH)

For any F ∈ D, U ∈ Dom δ, E

  • a∈A

DaF · Ua

  • = E [F · δU] .
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Normal Approximation

  • P = N(0, 1).
  • T = {h ∈ C1(R, R) : h′∞ ≤ 1}.

Theorem (LD, HH)

For any F : EA → R, s.t. F ∈ D and E [F] = 0, distW

  • F ∗PA, P
  • ≤ E
  • 1 −
  • a∈A

DaF (−DaL−1)F

  • +
  • a∈A

E

  • EA
  • F − F(XA¬a; x)

2 dPa(x) |DaL−1F|

  • .

where X′

¬a = XA¬a ∪ {X′ a} and L = −δ D is the number operator.

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Normal Approximation

  • P = N(0, 1).
  • T = {h ∈ C1(R, R) : h′∞ ≤ 1}.

Theorem (LD, HH)

For any F : EA → R, s.t. F ∈ D and E [F] = 0, distW

  • F ∗PA, P
  • ≤ E
  • 1 −
  • a∈A

DaF (−DaL−1)F

  • +
  • a∈A

E

  • EA
  • F − F(XA¬a; x)

2 dPa(x) |DaL−1F|

  • .

where X′

¬a = XA¬a ∪ {X′ a} and L = −δ D is the number operator.

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Application : Lyapounov theorem

Corollary (Lyapounov theorem - LD, HH)

Let (Xn, n ≥ 1) be a sequence of thrice integrable independent random variables defined on (Ω, A, P). Denote σ2

n = var(Xn), s2 n = n

  • j=1

σ2

j and Yn = 1

sn

n

  • j=1

(Xj − E [Xj]) . Assume that lim

n→∞

1 s3

n n

  • j=1

E

  • |Xj − E [Xj] |3

= 0. (4) Then, distW (PYn, P) ≤ 2( √ 2 + 1) s3

n n

  • j=1

E

  • |Xj − E [Xj] |3

.

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References

  • L. Decreusefond, The Stein-Dirichlet-Malliavin method.

ESAIM: Proceedings, 2015.

  • I. Nourdin, G. Peccati, Stein’s method on Wiener chaos, Probab.

Theory Related Fields.

  • G. Peccati, J.L. Sol´

e, M.S. Taqqu, F. Utzet, Stein’s method and normal approximation of Poisson functionals. Annals of Probability, 2010.

  • N. Privault, Stochastic analysis in discrete and continuous

settings with normal martingales. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 2009.

  • L. Decreusefond, H. Halconruy, Malliavin and Dirichlet

structures for independent random variables. Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 2019.

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Thanks for your attention !