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Stability analysis, simulation and continuum derivations of OV - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Crowds: models and control CIRM Marseille, France 3-7.7.19 Stability analysis, simulation and continuum derivations of OV following models Antoine Tordeux a Michael Herty b Armin Seyfried c aUniversity of Wuppertal (BUW)


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Crowds: models and control

CIRM Marseille, France — 3-7.7.19

Stability analysis, simulation and continuum derivations of OV following models

Antoine Tordeuxa Michael Hertyb Armin Seyfriedc

  • aUniversity of Wuppertal (BUW)

tordeux@uni-wuppertal.de vzu.uni-wuppertal.de bRWTH Aachen University herty@igpm.rwth-aachen.de rwth-aachen.de/cms/Mathematik cForschungszentrum J¨ ulich & BUW a.seyfried@fz-juelich.de asim.uni-wuppertal.de

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Stop-and-go waves

◮ Traffic flow: Complex system of self-driven agents interacting locally ◮ Stop-and-go waves: Complex (self-organized) spontaneous formation (emergence) of

collective waves of slow-down traffic propagating backward1

1Empirics: Papers by Treiterer and Meyers 1974, Kerner et al. 1997, Chowdhury et al. 2000, Helbing et al. 2000,

Sugiyama et al. 2008, Stern et al. 2018

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Following model

xi xi+1 xi+1 − xi ˙ xi ˙ xi+1

◮ Microscopic models for uni-directional motions of agents in 1D ◮ Non-linear speed or acceleration function depending on the distance spacing to

the next vehicle ahead and the speed ∗ Speed model2

1st-order

˙ xi = W

  • xi+1 − xi, ˙

xi+1

  • (1)

∗ Acceleration model3

2nd-order

¨ xi = A

  • xi+1 − xi, ˙

xi, ˙ xi+1

  • (2)

2E.g. models by Pipes, 1953; Gipps, 1981; Newell, 1961 and 2002. 3E.g. models by Kometani and Sasaki 1958; Greenberg, 1959; Helly, 1961, Chandler et al. 1963; Bando el al.

1995; Helbing et al. 1998; Treiber et al. 2000; Jiang et al. 2001. See Wageningen-Kessels et al. 2015 for a review.

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OV models: Main parameters

Spacing Speed ℓ ℓ + TV0 V0

V0 Desired speed T Time gap ℓ Minimal spacing

1/T

Pursuit situation Free driving

‘Optimal Velocity’ function + Relaxation time (inertia or reaction time) → 4 fundamental parameters

4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 4 / 22

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Stop-and-go in traffic models: Phase transition

◮ Stop-and-go waves by means of global instability of the homogeneous solution

→ Example: OVM (1995) ¨ xi = 1

τ

  • W (xi+1 − xi ) − ˙

xi

  • unstable if

τ > (2W ′)−1

◮ Models having unstable homogeneous solutions may describe phase transition

and periodic stationary solutions (limit-cycle) with stop-and-go But...

◮ Collision (unbounded density) in 2nd-order4 distance-based following models

→ Local over-damped and global unstable incompatible, e.g. over-damped OVM τ ≤ (4W ′)−1

◮ Adding of the speed difference term necessary

FVDM, IDM, ATG models

4or delayed first order

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Stop-and-go in traffic models: Phase transition

◮ Stop-and-go waves by means of global instability of the homogeneous solution

→ Example: OVM (1995) ¨ xi = 1

τ

  • W (xi+1 − xi ) − ˙

xi

  • unstable if

τ > (2W ′)−1

◮ Models having unstable homogeneous solutions may describe phase transition

and periodic stationary solutions (limit-cycle) with stop-and-go But...

◮ Collision (unbounded density) in 2nd-order4 distance-based following models

→ Local over-damped and global unstable incompatible, e.g. over-damped OVM τ ≤ (4W ′)−1

◮ Adding of the speed difference term necessary

FVDM, IDM, ATG models

◮ In general (i.e. micro or macro OV models), stop-and-go waves by adding

mechanisms (# parameters > 4) + fine tuning of the parameters

4or delayed first order

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Outline

Minimal collision-free OV model Macroscopic derivation Numerical schemes Simulation results

4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 6 / 22

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Outline

Minimal collision-free OV model Macroscopic derivation Numerical schemes Simulation results

4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 7 / 22

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1st-order collision-free OV model

◮ The microscopic following model comes from the generalized Newell’s model

(1961) ˙ xi(t) = W (∆xi(t − τ)) (3) with τ ≥ 0 the reaction time, ∆xi(t) = xi+1(t) − xi(t) the spacing and W (·) the equilibrium (or optimal) speed function

◮ Linear approximation for small τ in the delayed distance spacing

∆xi(t − τ) = ∆xi(t) − τ[ ˙ xi+1(t) − ˙ xi(t)] + o(τ) (4)

◮ First-order OV model with reaction time

˙ xi(t) = W

  • ∆xi(t) − τ
  • W (∆xi+1(t)) − W (∆xi(t))
  • (5)

4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 8 / 22

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1st-order collision-free OV model

◮ Microscopic model:

˙ xi(t) = W

  • ∆xi(t) − τ
  • W (∆xi+1(t)) − W (∆xi(t))
  • (6)

◮ Speed (1st order) OV model with two predecessors in interaction and a reaction

time parameter

◮ Collision-free dynamics

∆xi(t) ≥ ℓ ∀i, t as soon as W (·) ≥ 0 positive and W (s) = 0 for all s ≤ ℓ (7)

Formal proof (by continuity) Suppose ∃i, t, ∆xi(t) = 0 then d∆xi(t)/dt = ˙ xi+1(t) − W (−τW (∆xi+1(t))) ≥ 0 since ˙ xi+1(t) ≥ 0 while W (−τW (∆xi+1(t))) = 0 by construction

4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 9 / 22

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Linear stability analysis

◮ Local stability analysis

Assigned leader speed

∗ Linear expansion around equilibrium (d, V (d)) gives the dynamics ˙ y(t) = −αy(t) ∗ Exponential convergence to zero (over-damped) if α = (1 + τV ′)V ′ > 0

V ′ > 0

◮ Global stability analysis

Periodic boundary condition

∗ Linear expansion gives the circulant dynamics ˙ yi(t) = α∆yi(t) + β∆yi+1(t) ∗ Eigenvalues of the linear system λw = −α(1 − ejw) + τ(V ′)2ejw(1 − ejw) ℜ(λw) = V ′(1 − cos(w))(2τV ′ cos(w) − 1) < 0, ∀w ∈ (0, 2π)

τ < (2V ′)−1

4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 10 / 22

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Linear stability analysis

◮ Local stability analysis

Assigned leader speed

∗ Linear expansion around equilibrium (d, V (d)) gives the dynamics ˙ y(t) = −αy(t) ∗ Exponential convergence to zero (over-damped) if α = (1 + τV ′)V ′ > 0

V ′ > 0

◮ Global stability analysis

Periodic boundary condition

∗ Linear expansion gives the circulant dynamics ˙ yi(t) = α∆yi(t) + β∆yi+1(t) ∗ Eigenvalues of the linear system λw = −α(1 − ejw) + τ(V ′)2ejw(1 − ejw) ℜ(λw) = V ′(1 − cos(w))(2τV ′ cos(w) − 1) < 0, ∀w ∈ (0, 2π)

τ < (2V ′)−1

◮ Same global linear stability condition as original Newell or OVM models but

systematically locally over-damped as soon as V ′ > 0

4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 10 / 22

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Outline

Minimal collision-free OV model Macroscopic derivation Numerical schemes Simulation results

4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 11 / 22

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Rewriting the microscopic model

◮ Same methodology as in [Aw et al. (2002)] considering the density at vehicle i

and time t, ρi(t), as the inverse of the spacing ρi(t) = 1 ∆xi(t) (8)

◮ The microscopic model becomes

˙ xi = W 1 ρi − τ

  • W
  • 1

ρi+1

  • − W

1 ρi

  • = ˜

V (ρi+1, ρi) (9)

◮ Then

∂t 1 ρi = ∂t∆xi(t) = ˜ V (ρi+2, ρi+1) − ˜ V (ρi+1, ρi) (10)

→ Semi–discretized version of PDE in the space of vehicle indices

4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 12 / 22

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Derivation in Lagrangian coordinates

◮ y ∈ R such that yi = i∆y. We will construct ρ(t, y) at the limit N → ∞, ℓ → 0,

1 ρi(t) = 1 ∆y yi + ∆y

2

yi − ∆y

2

1 ρ(t, z) dz (11)

◮ Rescaling of time t → t∆y and reaction time τ → τ∆y, with V (x) = W ( 1

x )

∂t 1 ρi(t) − 1 ∆y

  • V
  • ρi+1

1 − ρi+1τ V (ρi+2)−V (ρi+1)

∆y

  • − V
  • ρi

1 − τρi

V (ρi+1)−V (ρi ) ∆y

  • = 0

(12)

◮ We obtain in the limit ∆y → 0 the macroscopic equation in Lagrangian

coordinates ∂t 1 ρ − ∂yV

  • ρ

1 − τρ∂yV (ρ)

  • = 0

(13)

4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 13 / 22

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Derivation in Eulerian coordinates

◮ Using the coordinate transformation (t, y) → (t, x) where y =

x

−∞ ρ(t, x)dx,

the macroscopic model reads in Eulerian coordinates ∂tρ + ∂x

  • ρV
  • ρ

1 − τ∂xV (ρ)

  • = 0

(14)

∗ Extension of the LWR model with OV-function V : ρ → V

  • ρ/(1 − τ∂xV (ρ))
  • ∗ Classical LWR for constant densities ρ(x, t) or for τ = 0

◮ Taylor expansion for small τ yields in a convection/diffusion model

∂tρ + ∂x(ρV (ρ))

  • convection
  • LWR model

= −τ∂x

  • (ρV ′(ρ))2∂xρ
  • diffusion

(15)

4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 14 / 22

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Fundamental diagram

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

ρ V

  • ρ/(1 − τ∂xV (ρ))
  • τ∂xV =

0.3

  • 0.3

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

ρ ρV

  • ρ/(1 − τ∂xV (ρ))
  • Abbildung: Fundamental diagram for constant inhomogeneity τ∂xV (ρ) = ±0.3.

V : ρ → max{min{2, 1/ρ − 1}}. Bounded FD with scattered performances in congested states [Colombo (2003), Goatin (2006), Colombo et al. (2010)]

4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 15 / 22

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Outline

Minimal collision-free OV model Macroscopic derivation Numerical schemes Simulation results

4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 16 / 22

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Numerical schemes for the macroscopic model

◮ Explicit Euler scheme for the density

ρi(t + δt) = ρi(t) + δt δx

  • fi−1(t) − fi(t)
  • (16)

◮ Truncated Godunov scheme for the flow

fi = G(ρi, ρi+1)

  • convection

+ τ δx ρiV ′(ρi)

  • G(ρi+1, ρi+2) − G(ρi, ρi+1)
  • diffusion

(17) with G(x, y) = min{∆(x), Σ(y)} (18) the Godunov scheme, ∆(·) and Σ(·) are the traffic demand and supply functions extracted from the fundamental diagram

4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 17 / 22

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General linear stability analysis

◮ Linearisation of the perturbed system around (ρE , V (ρE ))

εi(t + δt) = α εi(t) + β εi+1(t) + γ εi+2(t) + ξ εi−1(t) with α, β, γ, ξ the partial derivative of the numerical scheme at equilibrium

◮ N cells with periodic boundary conditions (circulant system) — Eigenvalues of

the linear system λw = α + βιw + γι2

w + ξι−1 w

with ιw = eiw

◮ System linearly stable if

|λw| < 1 for all w = 2πk/N, k = 1, . . . , N − 1

Here |λw |2 = α2 + β2 + γ2 + ξ2 − 2αγ − 2βξ + 2f (cw ), f (x) = 4γξx3 + 2(αγ + βξ)x2 + (αβ + αξ + βγ − 3γξ)x and cw = cos(w)

4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 18 / 22

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Stability analysis for the Euler/Godunov scheme

◮ Affine speed function V (ρ) = 1 T (1/ρ − ℓ), with T the time gap and ℓ the vehicle size

F(ρi, ρi+1, ρi+2, ρi−1) = ρi + δt ℓ δx T

  • ρi+1 − ρi +

τ δx T ρi+1 − ρi+2 ρi − ρi − ρi+1 ρi−1

  • α = 1 − A(1 + B), β = A(1 + 2B), γ = −AB and ξ = 0 with A =

δt ℓ δx T and B = τ T δx ρE ◮ Linear stability condition

Unstable

for all δt > 0 Shortest wavelength

Unstable

δt <

Tδx ℓ+ ℓτ TδxρE

Shortest wavelength

Stable

δt <

Tδx ℓ+ ℓτ TδxρE

Stable

δt < Tδx

2τ ℓρE

Unstable

δt <

Tδx ℓ+ ℓτ TδxρE

Wavelength from N/2 to N/6

− 1

2 TδxρE

−TδxρE

1 2 TδxρE

τ

◮ Same conditions as the microscopic model for δt → 0 and δx = 1/ρE = mean spacing 4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 19 / 22

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Outline

Minimal collision-free OV model Macroscopic derivation Numerical schemes Simulation results

4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 20 / 22

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Trajectories

20 40 60 80 100 20 40 60 80 100

Jam initial configuration Space Time

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Trajectories

20 40 60 80 100 20 40 60 80 100

Perturbed initial configuration Space Time

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Fundamental diagram

Bounds: V −(ρ) = V

  • ρ

1−τρ(V0−V (ρ))

  • and

V +(ρ) = V

  • ρ

1+τρV (ρ)

  • 0.4

0.6 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

Microscopic model Speed

0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0

Macroscopic model

V (·) 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

Density Flow

0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

Density

V (·)

Time

100 200 300 400 500

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Trajectories

20 40 60 80 100 20 40 60 80 100

Random initial configuration Space Time

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Summary

◮ Minimal collision-free OV following model with two predecessors in interaction

˙ xi(t) = W

  • ∆xi(t) − τ
  • W (∆xi+1(t)) − W (∆xi(t))
  • ∗ Relaxation operates in space with the neighbors instead of operating in time

∗ Physical (collision-free) traffic performance for any density level, positive OV function and value of the reaction time parameter

4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 22 / 22

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Summary

◮ Minimal collision-free OV following model with two predecessors in interaction

˙ xi(t) = W

  • ∆xi(t) − τ
  • W (∆xi+1(t)) − W (∆xi(t))
  • ∗ Relaxation operates in space with the neighbors instead of operating in time

∗ Physical (collision-free) traffic performance for any density level, positive OV function and value of the reaction time parameter

◮ Macroscopic derivation: Degenerate parabolic convection/diffusion PDE with

non constant diffusivity ∂tρ + ∂x(ρV (ρ)) = −τ∂x

  • (ρV ′(ρ))2∂xρ
  • ◮ Diffusion may be positive or negative according to the sign of ∂xρ

∗ Negative in deceleration phases / Positive in acceleration phases (slow-to-start) ∗ Mechanism responsible for the formation of stop-and-go waves?

4.7.19 – CIRM Marseille, France Slide 22 / 22

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Many thanks for your attention!

Division for traffic safety and reliability University of Wuppertal vzu.uni-wuppertal.de

c Mike Baldwin / Cornered