Second Quarter 2020 Earnings Conference Call August 6, 2020 NYSE: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Second Quarter 2020 Earnings Conference Call August 6, 2020 NYSE: - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Second Quarter 2020 Earnings Conference Call August 6, 2020 NYSE: TEN Safe Harbor Forward-Looking Statements This communication contains forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, (i) all
Safe Harbor
2
TEN NEC O I N C . Q2 20 2 0 EAR N IN GS
This communication contains forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, (i) all statements, other than statements of historical fact, included in this communication that address activities, events or developments that we expect or anticipate will or may occur in the future or that depend on future events and (ii) statements about our future business plans and strategy and other statements that describe Tenneco’s outlook,
- bjectives, plans, intentions or goals, and any discussion of future operating or financial performance. These forward-looking statements are included in various
sections of this communication and the words “may,” “will,” “believe,” “should,” “could,” “plan,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” and similar expressions (and variations thereof) are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements included in this communication concern, among other things, future performance improvement plans; future financial and operating results; and other statements that are not historical facts. Forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to materially differ from those described in the forward-looking statements, including the course of the COVID-19 pandemic and its impact on general economic, business and market conditions: our ability (or inability) to execute on our plans to respond to the COVID-19 pandemic and our previously announced Accelerate plan and to realize the anticipated benefits of these actions; our financial flexibility in addressing the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic; our ability to maintain compliance with the agreements governing our indebtedness and otherwise have sufficient liquidity through the COVID-19 pandemic; the possibility that Tenneco may not complete a separation of the Aftermarket & Ride Performance business from the Powertrain Technology business; the possibility that Tenneco will be unable to execute on its strategy and maintain compliance with the covenants in its Credit Agreement; the ability to retain and hire key personnel and maintain relationships with customers, suppliers or other business partners; as well as the risk factors and cautionary statements included in Tenneco's periodic and current reports (Forms 10-K, 10-Q and 8-K) filed from time to time with the SEC. Given these risks and uncertainties, investors should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements as a prediction of actual results. Unless otherwise indicated, the forward-looking statements in this release are made as of the date of this communication, and, except as required by law, Tenneco does not undertake any
- bligation, and disclaims any obligation, to publicly disclose revisions or updates to any forward-looking statements. Additional information regarding these risk
factors and uncertainties is detailed from time to time in the company's SEC filings, including but not limited to its annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019 and quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2020. In addition, please see Tenneco’s press release issued August 6, 2020 for factors that could cause Tenneco’s future performance to vary from the expectations expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements herein and for certain reconciliations of GAAP to non-GAAP results.
Forward-Looking Statements
Agenda
3
Non-GAAP Results: Please see the tables that reconcile GAAP results with non-GAAP results at the end of this presentation and in Tenneco’s financial results press release, which is incorporated herein by reference. EBITDA: EBITDA for purposes of this presentation means EBITDA including noncontrolling interests.
Operations and Liquidity Update & Q2 Review Segment & Balance Sheet Review Outlook & Closing Comments Q&A Brian Kesseler
Chief Executive Officer
Ken Trammell
Interim Chief Financial Officer
Brian Kesseler Brian Kesseler Ken Trammell
TEN NEC O I N C . Q2 20 2 0 EAR N IN GS
Operations and Liquidity Update
Tenneco’s resilience through COVID-19
4
Good execution in quarter; prepared to handle potential demand uncertainty
- Liquidity of $1.37B at June 30, 2020
- Confident in ability to support increasing customer demand through
the next several quarters as production normalizes
Manufacturing facilities approaching more normal
- perations
- Safety and welfare of team members is top priority, including
promoting team member health outside the workplace
- North America and Europe ramped up in May and June
- China fully operational throughout the quarter
Team responded well to adversity; cost savings are on track
- Value-add revenue sequentially improved across all segments
through Q2
- Q2 decremental margin rate performance at 24%(3) YoY
− Ex. temporary cost actions, decrementals would have been 500 to 600 bps better
- Structural cost savings building; more benefit expected in H2
Liquidity remains in a solid position
TEN NEC O I N C . Q2 20 2 0 EAR N IN GS
Presentation footnotes available on page 22.
Update on Cost Actions
5
Accelerate+ program on track
- Structural cost actions with long-term benefit
- Continue to expect $265M annual savings run-rate by end of 2021
‒ In 2020, $165M run rate savings by end of year with no expected change to the $150M cost to achieve
- $250M working capital improvement expected; half in 2020
Q2 temporary actions taken to mitigate COVID-19 impacts
- Q2 salary costs reduced at least 25%
‒ Programs in all regions (unpaid furloughs, net pay decreases, etc.) ‒ Executive leadership team reduced salaries 50-100%
- Board of Directors retainer fees reduced 25% for the rest of 2020
Salary reductions continue into Q3 but at a reduced level of 10% to 20%
TENNECO INC. Q2 2020 EARNINGS
Largely variable cost base; ~75% of Cost of Goods Sold is materials and labor
Continuing to strengthen the leadership team
6
Kevin Baird named chief operating officer, adding automotive industry, global operations management, and private equity background to the deep experience and strength of our executive leadership team.
- Proven track record of delivering strong top and bottom
line results, driving cash flow and increasing return on invested capital
- Effective August 3, 2020
TEN NEC O I N C . Q2 20 2 0 EAR N IN GS
Matti Masanovich appointed chief financial officer, bringing original equipment and aftermarket experience including a history of driving turnaround initiatives for private equity sponsors.
- Experienced in leading business and financial strategy,
capital allocation planning, margin expansion, cash generation and value creation for shareholders
- Effective August 10, 2020
($2.15)
Noncontrolling interest expense $10M
$8M
VA adjusted EBITDA margin 0.4% Decremental margin 24%(3)
Tenneco Q2 Overview
Decline in financial results largely related to COVID-19 impact
7
Down 39%(1), excluding currency impact of ($108)M Substrates $623M Down 43%(1), excluding currency impact of ($93)M Global LV production -45%(4)
$2.6B
REVENUE
$2.0B
VA REVENUE
Adjusted EBITDA Adjusted EPS
Scale and diversification in product lines, end markets and regions benefits financial performance
Q2 VA Revenue
by Region North America Europe China
TEN NEC O I N C . Q2 20 2 0 EAR N IN GS
ROW
Q2 VA Revenue
by Product Application Light Vehicle CTOH, Industrial & Other Aftermarket & OES(2) 21% 39% 46% 15% 6% 33% 40%
Presentation footnotes available on page 22.
Tenneco Q2 VA Revenue and Adjusted EBITDA Performance
8
VA revenue $2.0B, -43%(1) YoY
- Declines largely driven by COVID-19
- Light Vehicle -53%(1)
- CTOH, Industrial & Other -37%(1)
- Aftermarket & OES(2) -31%(1)
Adjusted EBITDA $8M, -98% YoY
- Aggressive cost flexing, including both structural and temporary
cost reductions
‒ Temporary actions (salary cuts, furloughs, government programs, etc.) saved ~$100M in Q2
- Corporate costs of $39M, improved 19% YoY
$ millions
VA REVENUE (1) ADJUSTED EBITDA
16.0% 7.4%
Q2 19 Q2 20
Volume & Mix Currency Operating Performance
$414 Q2 20 Substrate revenue $623M
TEN NEC O I N C . Q2 20 2 0 EAR N IN GS
Q2 19 Q2 20
Volume & Mix Currency Other
Powertrain
$602M
Clean Air
$517M
Q2 VA Revenue
by Segment Motorparts $559M Ride Performance $336M 11.1% 0.4%
Presentation footnotes available on page 22.
9
Segment Details
Clean Air – Q2 Segment Performance
10
VA revenue $517M, -49%(1) YoY
- Light Vehicle -56%(1)
- CTOH & Other -24%(1)
- OE Service (OES) -17%(1)
Adjusted EBITDA $38M, -77% YoY
- VA adj. EBITDA margin 7.4% vs. 16.0% in Q2 2019
Q2 19 Q2 20
$ millions
Volume & Mix Currency Other
VA REVENUE (1) ADJUSTED EBITDA
16.0% 7.4%
Q2 19 Q2 20
Volume & Mix Currency Operating Performance
$168 Q2 20 Substrate revenue $623M 70% 26%
Q2 2020 VA Revenue
By Product Application
4% Light Vehicle CTOH & Other OES
TEN NEC O I N C . Q2 20 2 0 EAR N IN GS
Presentation footnotes available on page 22.
Powertrain – Q2 Segment Performance
11
Revenue $602M, -44%(1) YoY
- Light Vehicle -49%(1)
- CTOH, Industrial & Other -42%(1)
- OE Service (OES) -28%(1)
Adjusted EBITDA ($21)M
- Adj. EBITDA margin -3.5% vs. 10.4% in Q2 2019
- JV income ($11)M YoY, mostly in Turkey and India
$ millions
Q2 19 Q2 20
Volume & Mix Currency Other
REVENUE (1) ADJUSTED EBITDA
$118 Q2 19 Q2 20
Volume & Mix Currency
- 3.5%
Operating Performance
Q2 2020 Revenue
By Product Application
54% 23% 23% Light Vehicle OES CTOH, Industrial & Other
TEN NEC O I N C . Q2 20 2 0 EAR N IN GS
10.4%
- 3.5%
Presentation footnotes available on page 22.
12.7%
Revenue $559M, -30%(1) YoY
- Revenue decline primarily due to:
‒ COVID-19 volume impact ‒ Portfolio changes ($13)M
Adjusted EBITDA $71M, -44% YoY
- Adj. EBITDA margin 12.7%, down 240 bps YoY
Motorparts – Q2 Segment Performance
12
REVENUE (1)
$ millions
Q2 19 Q2 20
Volume & Mix Currency
ADJUSTED EBITDA
Q2 19 Q2 20
Volume & Mix Currency Operating Performance Other 15.1%
72% 6% 22%
Q2 2020 Revenue
by region
Americas APAC EMEA
TEN NEC O I N C . Q2 20 2 0 EAR N IN GS
Presentation footnotes available on page 22.
Ride Performance – Q2 Segment Performance
13
Revenue $336M, -50%(1) YoY
- Light Vehicle -53%(1)
- CTOH & Other -47%(1)
- OE Service (OES) & Aftermarket -44%(1)
- Includes program rationalization headwinds of $26M
Adjusted EBITDA ($41)M
- Adj. EBITDA margin -12.2% vs. 7.1% in Q2 2019
REVENUE (1)
$ millions Q2 19 Q2 20
Volume & Mix Currency Other
ADJUSTED EBITDA
$50 Q2 19 Q2 20
Currency Volume & Mix Operating Performance 7.1%
- 12.2%
68% 13%
Q2 2020 Revenue
By Product Application
19% OES & Aftermarket CTOH & Other Light Vehicle
TEN NEC O I N C . Q2 20 2 0 EAR N IN GS
Presentation footnotes available on page 22.
Liquidity and Debt Position
14
No material near-term debt maturities Adequate liquidity cushion, based on current expectations
- First significant maturity is April 2022
- Credit facility matures in October 2023
- Continue to actively monitor credit
market conditions to identify
- pportunities
- Reducing capex forecast to $380M
(previous guidance was <$400M)
- Flex trade working capital and execute
cost actions ‒ Strong operational flex on inventory balances in H1
- Deferring cash outlays where feasible
and leveraging country-specific business support programs
- Liquidity/cash on hand of $1.37B at
quarter end
- Liquidity from receivables factoring
contracted by $188 million due to lower sales/receivables; will recover as sales increase
- Significant cushion on all debt
covenants
Optimize cash performance
See debt maturity schedule and leverage ratios on page 21
TEN NEC O I N C . Q2 20 2 0 EAR N IN GS
Adequate flexibility and liquidity available to navigate current market uncertainty
15
2020 Outlook and Closing Comments Q3 Outlook Commentary
Q3 Outlook
16
Expect substantial sequential VA revenue improvement in Q3; Q3 YoY percentage decline down similar to Q1’s decline
- OE production assumptions more conservative than I.H.S. Markit’s
forecast(4) for NA and Europe
- Aftermarket revenue expected to decline 10% to 15% YoY; mostly outside
North America
Accelerate+ structural cost reductions continue to build momentum through H2
- Near-term, helps offset lower temporary cost savings benefit thru H2
- Expect decremental VA adjusted EBITDA margin consistent with Q2
performance
- YoY savings benefit to continue into 2021
Cash flow from operations expected to improve sequentially through H2
Execution on track to ensure Tenneco emerges stronger and healthier
TEN NEC O I N C . Q2 20 2 0 EAR N IN GS
Presentation footnotes available on page 22.
Building a Stronger Tenneco
Performance Focus - Margin Expansion & Cash Generation
17
Reduce Structural Cost
- Execute Accelerate+
program
- Lean corporate & operating
group structure
Optimize Business Line Portfolio
- Value Stream Simplification
- 80/20 value analytics
- Align business lines to
portfolio positions
- Divest/discontinue non-
core business lines
Invest in Growth Targets
- Motorparts – top 3 markets
- Advanced Suspension
Technologies
- NVH Performance Materials
- Large Engine Solutions
(CTOHI)
Lower Capital Intensity
- Improve capex/revenue
ratio
- Expand working capital
turns – Inventory driven
Optimizing shareholder value creation through debt reduction focus and targeted growth investments
Appendix
18
Appendix:
Q2 2020 Financial Results
19 (1) Capital expenditures are cash payments for PP&E and includes a non-cash adjustment for amounts not paid as of the end of the period. (2) See Proceeds from deferred purchase price of factored receivables in the investing section of the cash flow statement. GAAP requires reclassification of amount from Change in receivables in the Cash from operations section.
($ millions, except percents and per share data)
Q2 2020 Revenue $2,637 VA revenue 2,014 Adjusted EBITDA 8 VA adjusted EBITDA margin 0.4% Interest expense 66 Adjusted tax (benefit) (50) Adjusted noncontrolling interest expense 10 Adjusted net income (175) Adjusted EPS ($2.15)
Adjusted Free Cash Flow(3)
Q2 2020 Cash from Operations ($179) Proceeds from deferred purchase price of factored receivables(2) 35 Capital expenditures(1) (75) Adjusted Free Cash Flow ($219)
(3) Adjusted Free Cash Flow represents cash flow from operations, plus the proceeds from factored receivables less the amount of cash payments for property, plant and equipment and software (including a non-cash adjustment for amounts not paid as of the end of the period). Adjusted Free Cash Flow is not a GAAP calculation and should not be considered as an alternative to operating cash flows as a measure of liquidity. Tenneco has presented Adjusted Free Cash Flow because it regularly reviews Adjusted Free Cash Flow a measure of the company's performance. In addition, Tenneco believes its investors utilize and analyze the company's Adjusted Free Cash Flow for similar purposes. However, the Adjusted Free Cash Flow measure presented may not always be comparable to similarly titled measures reported by other companies due to differences in the components of the calculation. ($ millions)
Factored Receivables
Q2 2020 Balance of factored receivables at quarter end $873 Q2 decline in factoring, impacting liquidity (188)
($ millions)
TEN NEC O I N C . Q2 20 2 0 EAR N IN GS
Appendix:
Depreciation by Segment
20
(1) Adjusted depreciation and amortization represents depreciation and amortization adjusted to eliminate the financial impact of decisions made for the long term benefit of the company and other items impacting comparability between the periods. Similar adjustments to depreciation and amortization have been recorded in earlier periods, and similar types
- f adjustments can reasonably be expected to be recorded in future
- periods. The company believes investors find the non-GAAP information
helpful in understanding the ongoing to depreciation and amortization of the business separate from items that may have a disproportionate positive or negative impact on the company's financial results in any particular period.
TEN NEC O I N C . Q2 20 2 0 EAR N IN GS
Appendix:
Debt Maturity Schedule and Leverage Ratio
Book Net Leverage Ratio
6/30/2020 Total Debt $6,851 Cash Balances (1) 1,371 Net Debt $5,480 LTM Adjusted EBITDA $921 Net Leverage Ratio 5.95x
$0 $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 TLA TLB Revolver borrowings Notes due 2022 (FM) Floating Notes due 2024 (FM) Notes due 2024 (FM) Notes due 2024 (TEN) Notes due 2026 (TEN)
$102 $145 $654 $2,750 $972 $1,598 $500
Debt maturities excluding subsidiary debt:
TEN NEC O I N C . Q2 20 2 0 EAR N IN GS
($ millions)
Bank Financial Maintenance Covenants
6/30/2020 Senior secured net leverage ratio (max. 6.75x) 4.57x Interest coverage ratio (min. 2.00x) 4.23x
$ millions
(Bank covenant ratio required as of 6/30/2020)
21
Appendix:
Decremental Margin and Presentation Footnotes
22
$ in millions, except percents
Incremental/decremental margin is the currency adjusted change in adjusted EBITDA divided by the currency adjusted change in VA revenue. Tenneco presents the metric to show the degree of earnings improvement/decline for each additional dollar of VA revenue gain/loss and believes investors find it helpful in understanding the underlying performance of the business. In particular, it helps measure whether management is delivering a sufficient level of profitability when the business is growing or adequately preserving profitability when revenues decline.
Decremental YoY Adjusted EBITDA Margin
TEN NEC O I N C . Q2 20 2 0 EAR N IN GS
1) Revenue comparisons measured at 2019 constant currency rates. 2) OE Service (OES) was previously classified within OE Light Vehicle and OE CTOH, Industrial & Other. 3) See above for calculation of decremental VA adjusted EBITDA margin. 4) IHS Markit July 2020 global light vehicle production forecast.
Presentation Footnotes
Appendix:
Tenneco Projections
23
TEN NEC O I N C . Q2 20 2 0 EAR N IN GS
Tenneco’s revenue outlook for third quarter 2020 is as of August 6, 2020. Revenue assumptions are based on projected customer production schedules, IHS Markit light vehicle production July 2020 forecasts, IHS Markit commercial truck August 2020 forecasts, Power Systems Research July 2020 forecasts and Tenneco estimates. Furthermore:
- Projections are based on original equipment manufacturers’ programs that have been formally awarded to the company;
programs where the company is highly confident that it will be awarded business based on informal customer indications consistent with past practices; and Tenneco's status as supplier for the existing programs and its relationship with customers.
- Projections are based on the anticipated pricing of each program over its life.
- Except as otherwise indicated, projections assume a fixed foreign currency value. This value is used to translate foreign
business to the U.S. dollar.
- Projections are subject to increase or decrease due to changes in customer requirements, customer and consumer
preferences, the number of vehicles actually produced by our customers, and pricing. In addition to the information set forth herein, Tenneco’s projections are based on the type of information set forth under “Order Fulfillment” in Item 1 – “Business” as set forth in Tenneco’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2019. Please see that disclosure for further information. Certain elements of the restructuring and related expenses, legal settlements and other unusual charges we incur from time to time cannot be forecasted accurately. In this respect, we are not able to forecast corresponding GAAP measures without unreasonable efforts on account of these factors and other factors not in our control.