Second quarter 2008 results Alex Wynaendts, CEO Jos Streppel, CFO - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Second quarter 2008 results Alex Wynaendts, CEO Jos Streppel, CFO - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Local knowledge. Global power. Second quarter 2008 results Alex Wynaendts, CEO Jos Streppel, CFO Press conference Amsterdam, August 7, 2008 Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements Cautionary note regarding forward-looking
Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements
Cautionary note regarding forward-looking statements The statements contained in this presentation that are not historical facts are forward-looking statements as defined in the US Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The following are words that identify such forward-looking statements: believe, estimate, target, intend, may, expect, anticipate, predict, project, counting on, plan, continue, want, forecast, should, would, is confident, will, and similar expressions as they relate to our company. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which merely reflect company expectations at the time of writing. Actual results may differ materially from expectations conveyed in forward- looking statements due to changes caused by various risks and uncertainties. Such risks and uncertainties include but are not limited to the following:
- Changes in general economic conditions, particularly in the United States, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom;
- Changes in the performance of financial markets, including emerging markets, such as with regard to:
- The frequency and severity of defaults by issuers in our fixed income investment portfolios; and
- The effects of corporate bankruptcies and/or accounting restatements on the financial markets and the resulting decline in the value of equity and debt
securities we hold;
- The frequency and severity of insured loss events;
- Changes affecting mortality, morbidity and other factors that may impact the profitability of our insurance products;
- Changes affecting interest rate levels and continuing low or rapidly changing interest rate levels;
- Changes affecting currency exchange rates, in particular the EUR/USD and EUR/GBP exchange rates;
- Increasing levels of competition in the United States, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and emerging markets;
- Changes in laws and regulations, particularly those affecting our operations, the products we sell, and the attractiveness of certain products to our
consumers;
- Regulatory changes relating to the insurance industry in the jurisdictions in which we operate;
- Acts of God, acts of terrorism, acts of war and pandemics;
- Changes in the policies of central banks and/or governments;
- Litigation or regulatory action that could require us to pay significant damages or change the way we do business;
- Customer responsiveness to both new products and distribution channels;
- Competitive, legal, regulatory, or tax changes that affect the distribution cost of or demand for our products;
- Our failure to achieve anticipated levels of earnings or operational efficiencies as well as other cost saving initiatives; and
- The impact our adoption of the International Financial Reporting Standards may have on our reported financial results and financial condition.
Cautionary note regarding Regulation G (non-GAAP measure) This presentation includes certain non-GAAP financial measures: net operating earnings, operating earnings before tax, (net) underlying earnings, value of new business and embedded value. Value of new business and embedded value are not based on IFRS, which are used to prepare and report AEGON’s financial statements and should not be viewed as a substitute for IFRS financial measures. AEGON believes the non-GAAP measures shown herein, together with GAAP information, provides a meaningful measure for the investment community to evaluate AEGON’s business relative to the businesses of our peers.
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Highlights Q2 2008
- Strong capital position with excess capital of over EUR 0.8 billion
- Solid underlying earnings – down by 2%*
- Continued growth of life sales and deposits, VNB up 2%*
- Interim dividend of EUR 0.30 per share
- New strategy announced at June 2, 2008
- Three strategic priorities
- Reallocate capital towards businesses with higher growth and return prospects
- Improve growth and returns from existing businesses
- Manage AEGON as an international Group
- Three ambitious targets
- Grow value of new business to EUR 1.25 billion by 2010
- Earnings growth of at least 10% per annum to 2012*
- Return on equity in excess of 15% by 2012
* at constant currency
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Execution of strategy
- Securitization of unit linked business in the UK released EUR 315 million,
adding to core capital and enhancing financial flexibility
- AEGON #2 pension provider in Hungary and #5 in Poland after mergers of
acquired pension funds
- Acquisition of Turkish life & pensions company completed
- JV with Spanish savings bank Cantabria commenced operations
- Asset management JV in China with EUR 3 billion AuM
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Solid underlying earnings
- Underlying earnings before tax down 2%*
- Americas earnings increased 2%* as result of higher investment spreads
- UK earnings declined due to lower fee income and investments in the
business
Underlying earnings before tax (€ million)
(63) 679 1 (23) (7) 9 596
(2)% (10)% Underlying earnings development at constant currency (22)% (21)% 1% 2%
Q2 07 Americas The United Other countries Holding and Q2 08 Netherlands Kingdom
- ther
* at constant currency
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Net income affected by financial markets
- Normal bond trading in Americas and lower gains on investments in the
Netherlands lead to losses on investments
- Increased impairment charges on US credit and equity investments
Net income development (€ million)
276 (35) (30) (94) (136) (1) (83) 655
Q2 07 Change in underlying earnings before tax Change in fair value items performance Change in gain/(losses) on investments Change in impairment charges Change in other income/(charges) Change in income tax Q2 08 Local knowledge. Global power. 6
Continued profitable growth of new life sales
- Total new life sales up 3%*
- Positive momentum in sales of high net worth products in Americas
- Sales growth across most lines of business in UK
- Strong sales in the Netherlands mainly driven by group pensions
Retail life sales New life sales New life sales Americas United Kingdom The Netherlands (USD million) (GBP million) (EUR million)
184 175 339 308 68 53
+5% +10% +28%
Q2 07 Q2 08 Q2 07 Q2 08 Q2 07 Q2 08
* at constant currency
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Strong growth in retail deposits
- Total net deposits of EUR 971 million
- VA deposits in the Americas increased by 5%
- FA deposits in the Americas experience best sales quarter since 2003
- Deposits in Other countries triple
Variable annuities Fixed annuities Total gross retail deposits Americas Americas Other countries (USD million) (USD million) (EUR million)
1,047 997 1,349 211 540 182
+5% x 6 x 3
Q2 07 Q2 08 Q2 07 Q2 08 Q2 07 Q2 08
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Shareholders’ equity development
- Shareholders’ equity excluding revaluation reserves is 74% of total capital
base – well above target
- Decline in revaluation reserves driven by higher interest rates
Shareholders’ equity development (EUR million)
276 11,621 12 (2) (290) (112) (45) 118 (933) 12,597
31 Mar 2008 Net income Change in revaluation reserves Movements in foreign currency translation Coupons on perpetuals (net of tax) Dividend preferred shares Dividend common shares Repurchased and sold own shares Other changes 30 Jun 2008 reserves
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Capital position remains strong
- Continued financial strength
- Operating units are capitalized at the higher of:
– Regulatory requirements, – S&P requirements at AA level and – Economic requirements under AEGON’s economic framework (after full implementation by 2009)
- Financial flexibility of EUR 1.8 billion including excess capital of
- ver EUR 0.8 billion
- Cash flows remain strong
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Improved financial flexibility
Financial flexibility
(EUR billion) 1.8
- Excess capital over
1.6
31 Mar 08 30 Jun 08
EUR 0.8 billion
- Leverage capital increased
- Recent ViF securitization and
possibility of future securitizations are not yet included in financial flexibility at June 30, 2008
- Additional leverage capital
- Excess capital in country units:
available capital -/- required capital
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Interim dividend of EUR 0.30 per share
- Dividend policy is to maintain attractive dividend,
based on capital and cash flow position
- Dividend paid in cash or stock at election of shareholder
- Intention to neutralize dilution effect of stock dividend
Dividend (EUR)
0.62 0.55 0.32 0.31 0.30 0.30 0.24 2006 2007 2008
- Interim dividend
- Final dividend
- Full year dividend
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Limited impairments
- Limited impairments of EUR 98 million pre tax of which:
– EUR 57 million US credit impairments incl. EUR 41 million related to US subprime – EUR 26 million related to an US equity position – EUR 15 million other impairments
- Almost all fixed income instruments are held as available-for-sale securities
and as such are only impaired through earnings if
– we do not have the ability to hold, or – we decide to sell them, or – we expect to receive less than full principal and interest
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Americas – underlying earnings up 2%
- Fundamentals of business remain
solid
- Higher sales in retail businesses
- Strong FA deposits
- VA deposits up 5%
- VNB up 16% driven by strong fixed
annuity production, increased retail life sales and longer duration, higher margin institutional sales
- IRR at 12.4%
Underlying earnings before tax
(USD million)
New life sales overview
678 691 Q2 07 Q2 08 (in USD million) Q2 07 Q2 08 ∆ 89 72 Life reinsurance 17 6 BOLI/COLI Retail life insurance 175 184 (19)% (65)% 5%
Gross deposit overview
1 Life reinsurance 6,526 5,433 IGP 3,165 3,130 Pensions & AM 690 886 Retail mutual funds 211 1,349 Fixed annuities 997 1,047 Variable annuities (17)% (1)% 28% 539% 5%
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The Netherlands – new life sales up 28%
- Continued positive momentum
- Sales up significantly, driven by group
pensions and immediate annuities
- Lower investment performance more
than offset by a release of accruals
- VNB of EUR 11 million
- IRR at 10.4%
Underlying earnings before tax
(EUR million)
New life sales overview
115 116 Q2 07 Q2 08 (in EUR million) Q2 07 Q2 08 ∆ 53 68 Total (APE) 29 45 Pensions (APE) Life insurance (APE) 24 23 28% 55% (4)%
Gross deposit overview
728 688 Savings deposits 158 80 Pensions & AM (5)% (49)%
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United Kingdom – continued strong sales
- Sales growth across most lines of
businesses
- Underlying earnings decline due to
lower financial markets and investments for growth
- VNB up 31% on higher margins and
volumes
- IRR improves to 13.4%
Underlying earnings before tax*
(GBP million)
New life sales overview
48 38 Q2 07 Q2 08 (in GBP million) Q2 07 Q2 08 ∆ 262 280 Pensions (APE) Total (APE) Life insurance (APE) 308 339 46 59 7% 10% 28%
Gross deposit overview
192 192 Pensions & AM 0%
* Underlying earnings equals operating earnings
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Other countries – strong growth of deposits
- Deposits tripled driven by retail mutual
fund and variable annuity sales in Asia
- Weakness in financial markets
resulted in decline in life sales
- VNB decreased to EUR 38 million
mainly as a result of lower life sales
- IRRs remain at high level
Underlying earnings before tax*
(EUR million)
New life sales overview
36 29 Q2 07 Q2 08 (in EUR million) Q2 07 Q2 08 ∆ 59 55 Recurring premium Total (APE) Single premium 84 67 249 121 (7)% (20)% (51)%
Gross deposit overview
1 47 Variable annuities 43 340 Retail mutual funds 138 153 Pensions & AM 11%
* Underlying earnings equals operating earnings
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Conclusions
- Strong capital position
- Solid underlying earnings
- Strong momentum in sales
- Value of new business on track
- Interim dividend of EUR 0.30 per share
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Q&A
For questions please contact Corporate Communications +31 70 344 8344 gcc-ir@aegon.com P.O. Box 85 2501 CB The Hague The Netherlands
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