October, 18 2016, Rotterdam
Reliability Driven Asset Management Plant of the Year 2015
- Gábor Bereznai -
Reliability Driven Asset Management Plant of the Year 2015 - Gbor - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Reliability Driven Asset Management Plant of the Year 2015 - Gbor Bereznai - October, 18 2016, Rotterdam Plant of the Year winners in 2010 2 Small in the world Size of the logos are correlating to companies revenue. 3 But strong in
October, 18 2016, Rotterdam
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Size of the logos are correlating to companies’ revenue.
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Source: Wood MacKinsey, Global Refinery View, Refining in Europe, Africa and FSU
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Global refining and petrochemical business outside of Europe is growing New, large scale, high-tech refineries and petrochemical sites in Asia and the Middle East are increasing product export to Europe The European downstream business is pressurised by worldwide trends and not supported by local politics and regulations
markets
legislation (incl. tax legislation)
UNITED STATES
companies
CENTRAL AND SOUTH AMERICA
3 years (5x MOL capacity)
MIDDLE – EAST
governmental support
India, Vietnam, etc. ASIA-OCEANIA
low
put further pressure on European DS business EUROPE
2470 kbpd, $95bn 2750 kbpd, $60bn 4070 kbpd, $125bn
New and ongoing investments New and ongoing investments New and ongoing investments
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500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Q1
Production loss [USD]
UPDT: Unplanned Down Time due to instrumentation causes FIMS: Field Instrumentation Maintenance System Source: MOL SAP-PM Maintenance System, 2014
[ 607 kEDC ] [ 563 kEDC ]
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DCS systems
Definition of Group of Assets to Maintenance
Master Asset Database
Maintenance planning and sheduling
Maintenance execution
Evalution of Operative Maintenance
Field Instrumentations
Risk evaluation and handling (Asset Policy) Asset Strategy Evaluation Detailed Reliability analysis
Serial digital comm.
Strategy
Statical equipements
Corrosion database
Vibration data collection
Risk Based Inspection
Vibration diagnostic, Oil analysis, Thermo Control Valve and Instrumentation diagn.,
Rotating machines Computerised Maintenance Management Systems
Maintenance Strategy Creation Data Collectors Equipements Condition Monitoring Systems
Reliability analysis (MTBF, MTTR) Failure modes
On-line, diagnosti c Off-line, diagnostic On-line, diagnostic
Off-line, diagnostic, Communicator RFID / PDA
Off-line, diagnostic
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AMS DM + AMS FIMS servers FIMS (AMS/PRM) user/ expert SAP-PM server SAP-PM user
Refinery Information System
DC MUX On-line FIMS subsystem (AMS) Intelligent instrumentations
Alarm filtering in the SAP-FIMS interface
CFV-087
Predictive notifications can save 7k$-700k$ avoiding unit
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MOL has 58 units in the Refining 95% equipped with DCS and Safety PLC. (19000) The number of the non-smart pneumatic transmitters are decresing.
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219 2114 1347 413
42 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 Honeywell AM Emerson AMS Yokogawa PRM Devices [PCS]
AM - AMS - PRM protocols (4135 pcs devices)
HART FFB Wireless HART
2110 850
413 9
500 1000 1500 2000 2500 Honeywell AM Emerson AMS Yokogawa PRM
Devices [PCS]
AM - AMS - PRM protocols (3382 pcs devices)
HART FFB Wireless HART
2010 2015
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October, 16 2016, Rotterdam
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Asset management system (AMS, PRM, FDM) Online equipment types Adding equipment / configuration ALERT setting / handling Valve diagnosis Pressure transmitter calibration Analytical instrument calibration Tranings / courses
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Asset Manager System
8 online unit:
Tags: ~1450 online 6 online unit:
Tags: ~ 1600 Online
Plant Resource Manager
Field Device Manager
5 online plant:
Tags: ~ 2600 online ~ 5000 offline
2010 2015
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DVC5000 (66 pcs parameters / 33 alerts) DVC 6200 (150 pcs parameters / 50 alerts)
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A high level knowledge of systems (AMS, PRM, FDM) Knowledge of specific devices Database handling at user level Calibration knowledge Valve diagnostic on a really high level
October, 18 2016, Rotterdam
Operational Availability Maintenance Efficiency Energy Efficiency Yield improvement
Windows
(HTHA)
eruption
(Argus)
Sigmafine (PI AF based)
fuel gas demand forecasting
loops
Safety & Asset integrity (PSM)
Yields Operational
Energy
Operational Availability Maintenance Efficiency Energy Efficiency Yield improvement Asset Reliability from Proactive & Predictive Advanced Analytics
equipment
Adsorbers
Deeper understanding of technological processes - Alternative crude oil usage as feed; yield
Increase productivity and efficiency across all major business units through the best practices for data harmonization
Alarm Management System (alarm rationalization) – Mode Base alarm , new alarm logics
Analyze control loops behavior Inferential and descriptive statistics Energy modelling
Condition based & predictive maintenance
Analytic Ascendancy Model
VALUE DIFFICULTY
What happened? Why did it happen? What will happen? How can we make it happen?
Gartner, March 2012
Descriptive Analytics Diagnostic Analytics Predictive Analytics Prescriptive Analytics
Data Cloud ud Intel elli ligence
Decision Making & Management
changing paradigms about data - leading by example
enhanced & consistent data
Azure ML predictive model building and scoring Evaluation of results and data visualization Data analysis and feature selection for modelling
feeds into the Delayed Coker process
content estimation based on available data
compare laboratory, online analyzer, APC soft sensor and ML data
applications
analytics based decision making
normalization
including advanced analytics and IOT to accelerate business value
the 21st century
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PI System Opralog NICE LIMS
Laboratory data Natural Info Center E-Logbook Real-time data & Meta data PI Integrator for BA
DCS SCADA
Field
Steam Eruptions
27.43% (+2.04 %) from 2012.01.01 and 2016.03.01.
2015 period was 3.85, in the first month
(4X increase) 1 % Coke yield decreasing ~ $6M/year benefit in Danube Refinery!
(output value)
Furnace feed input the coke explosion likelihood is increasing
intervallic the coke yield could be decreased without coke explosion
technologist, Automation, operation and energy management; IT specialist
regression tree, linear regression, evaluation methods
are critical units in the refinery
critical equipments in unit operation
valves (9-10 open-close hourly)
to PSA valve failures
availability
PI Server
information
– Asset condition – Running hours – Performance
– PI Coresight – PI DataLink
maintenance processes
notifications
strategies based on asset health
Calculated asset health Maintenance related information