REGIONAL GREEN ENERGY TRANSITION NSAC event, Amsterdam 19 March 2019 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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REGIONAL GREEN ENERGY TRANSITION NSAC event, Amsterdam 19 March 2019 - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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REGIONAL GREEN ENERGY TRANSITION NSAC event, Amsterdam 19 March 2019 Amsterdam | 26 February 2019 THE ENERGY FUTURE THAT WE ARE LOOKING INTO Perspective - power system 80-95% reduction (compared to 1990) in CO2 emissions before 2050 full

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NSAC event, Amsterdam 19 March 2019

Amsterdam | 26 February 2019

REGIONAL GREEN ENERGY TRANSITION

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THE ENERGY FUTURE THAT WE ARE LOOKING INTO

18-3-2019 NGO-meeting 2 ■ 80-95% reduction (compared to 1990) in CO2 emissions before 2050 ■ full decarbonisation of the electricity supply well before 2045

Bio Hydro Nuclear PV Onshore wind Offshore wind (other seas) Offshore wind (North Sea)

■ large scale, far offshore wind ■ accelerated deployment ■ cross-border spatial planning ■ minimum impact / maximum benefit to environment ■ sufficient interconnection capacity to maintain

  • perational security

■ flexibility to support non- dispatchable generation Perspective - power system

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Month, Year Title of the presentation 3

THE NORTH SEA WIND POWER HUB

Developing large scale offshore wind power in the North Sea, to be supplied to European markets, using a modular “hub and spoke” concept

  • Offshore hubs in the North Sea could each connect up to approximately

30 GW wind power and distribute generated power to European markets through a network of cables (spokes) and/or pipelines (H2 production)

  • From a hub, generated power will be transmitted to markets around the

North Sea

  • The network of transmission cables will also function as interconnectors,

directly connecting European energy markets

North Sea Wind Power Hub Consortium TenneT Netherlands, TenneT Germany, Energinet, Gasunie and Port of Rotterdam joined forces to develop a large scale European energy system for offshore wind in the North Sea.

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…MUCH MORE WIND IN THE NORTH SEA

OFFSHORE WIND IS ESSENTIAL TO MEET PARIS ACROSS SCENARIOS

70 – 150 GW by 2040

Equals 7-15 times current installed capacity

NGO-meeting 18-3-2019 4

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NORTH SEA WIND POWER HUB PREFEASIBILITY PROJECT

  • Regional North Sea approach
  • Hub and spoke infrastructure concept
  • Wind power and interconnection combined
  • Integrating flexibility options (P2G/P2X)
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NSWPH IS STANDING ON TWO LEGS

Leg 1: North Sea International Coordinated Roll Out Leg 2: First Concrete Concept

Source: NSWPH Concept Paper ‘The Vision’

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HUB AND SPOKE VS BAU SEEN FROM ABOVE

AC Radial DC Radial H&S

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…AND FROM THE SIDE

AC platform DC platform Hub and spoke

Close to shore Far from shore Large scale far from shore

> 80 km offshore

Business as usual Hub and spoke

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…AND IN TERMS OF SAVED INFRASTRUCTURE

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North Sea Spatial Planning

10 27 Sept 2018 OWF Spatial Planning Cost Drivers Public Concerns Environmental Techno Economic Spatial Claims

The large-scale offshore wind roll-out will impact the North Sea environment and will require cross-border cooperation and co-utilization. To avoid delays in OWF deployment that would jeopardize meeting the Paris Agreement climate goals …the consortium is eager to initiate and facilitate discussions with policy makers, environmental organisations and

  • ther relevant stakeholders

…and to contribute to these discussions by providing insight into the techno- economic and security of supply impacts of spatial planning choices

THE NEED FOR AN INTEGRAL SPATIAL PLANNING APPROACH

?

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Hub & Spoke has 5-6% cost reduction potential

February 2019 Offshore Wind Cost Analysis

KEY INSIGHTS FROM COST EVALUATION STUDY

AC-radial only DC-radial only Hub and Spoke

  • Trench in central North Sea (>55m

water depth)

  • Higher LCOE in central
  • part of North Sea (deeper waters)
  • Sand mining areas has the highest

spatial adaptation costs

  • Limited area with relatively shallow

waters (<55m water depth)

  • Near shore locations very attractive

from LCOE perspective

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First indication on co-utilization costs show 1-2% increase of average LCoE Excluding nature areas will increase average LCoE of roll-out with approximately 3% Not all impacts of offshore wind area use are straightforward to monetize (e.g. long-term environmental effects) Most attractive locations (a.o): Borkum Riffgrund, Dogger Bank, Danish Coast, Norfolk Sandbanks

February 2019 Offshore Wind Cost Analysis

KEY STUDY INSIGHTS

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  • France and Belgium are not included
  • Applied power density

Higher power densities would allow for less spatial claim, but also (potentially) lower yield

  • No future decommissioning of oil & gas platforms

Potentially increasing the remaining space for OWF development

  • Monopile foundation up to 55m water depth

Applying different substructures will change cost input, hence the LCOE (experts argue impact is limited)

  • Floating turbines not considered

Floating turbines can be deployed in deeper waters, increasing the remaining space for OWF development

  • Uncertainty on OWF wake losses

Potentially overestimating the yield predictions for large clustered OWFs

February 2019 Offshore Wind Cost Analysis

STUDY LIMITATIONS

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North Sea Spatial Planning

14 27 Sept 2018 OWF Spatial Planning Cost Drivers Public Concerns Environmental Techno Economic Spatial Claims

Continued outreach to North Sea stakeholders Provide techno-economic perspective in the spatial planning debate Three test areas being examined in deeper detail (based on study results)

WAY FORWARD

?

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LOOKING A T THE WIDER NORTH SEA BY ANAL YSING DRIVERS AND DYNAMICS IN THREE EXPLORA TORY LOCA TIONS

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THE LOCATIONS ARE EXPLORATORY

This mean that the consortium:

  • does NOT yet consider itself in a position to make any decisions on spatial

planning matters,

  • has NO preferred location yet,
  • is NOT developing a specific project yet,
  • has taken NO decision yet on any realization
  • is NOT in an environmental impact assessment process,
  • does NOT yet apply for permits.

18-3-2019 NGO-meeting 16

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MATURATION TIMELINE

Mid 2019 2025-2030 2030-2035

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NSWPH ORGANISATIONAL SETUP AND CONTACTS

Main coordinator: Peter Godt-Larsen, team lead for the permits and legal work stream, plr@energinet.dk, +45 2491 7348. Country stakeholder managers/SPOC’s Denmark: Charlotte Melchiorsen, cme@energinet.dk, +45 3154 8414 Germany: David Scharte, david.scharte@tennet.eu, +49 151 527 632 26 The Netherlands: Henk van Bruggen, henk.van.bruggen@tennet.eu, +31 625 774 954

18-3-2019 NGO-meeting 18

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Questions?

Follow us on www.northseawindpowerhub.eu