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Ratemaking & New Technology A Regulatory Innovative Approach to Carbon Capture Projects Kara B. Fornstrom, Chairman, Wyoming Public Service Commission 2019 WIA Spring Conference March 29, 2019 Todays Presentation Why the Future of Coal


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Ratemaking & New Technology

A Regulatory Innovative Approach to Carbon Capture Projects

Kara B. Fornstrom, Chairman, Wyoming Public Service Commission 2019 WIA Spring Conference March 29, 2019

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Today’s Presentation

  • Why the Future of Coal Matters to

Wyoming

  • Pressures on Coal-Fired Electricity
  • Wyoming’s Response = LEAD
  • What’s Impeding Utilities from

Investing in CCUS Technology?

  • Rate Making 101
  • 2019 Wyoming Legislative Policy
  • Is Regulatory Innovation the Missing

Piece?

  • Conclusion/Questions
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Why the Future of Coal Matters to Wyoming

  • Wyoming Coal Mines
  • Wyoming Coal-Fired Generation Plants
  • Wyoming’s Portion of the US Coal Economy
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Wyoming’s Coal Mines

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Top 10 Producing Coal Mines by Tonnage in the US (2015)

University of Wyoming Center for Energy Economics and Public Policy, 2017.

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Top 10 Producing Coal Mines by Tonnage in the US (2017)

EIA

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2017 U.S. Coal Production by State

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Wyoming’s Coal-Fired Plants

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Coal Revenue for Wyoming

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Coal-Fired Power Plants Fueled by the Powder River Basin

Source: https://wildearthguardians.org/climate-energy/maps/powder-river-basin-coal-plants/

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Wyoming Coal-related Employment (2012)

University of Wyoming Center for Energy Economics and Public Policy, 2015.

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Coal Economy Addition to Gross State Product (2012)

University of Wyoming Center for Energy Economics and Public Policy, 2015.

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Pressures on Coal-Fired Electricity

  • Natural Gas – Domestic Production
  • National Energy Policy
  • Legal Rulings
  • State Energy Policy
  • Impact on Wyoming
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U.S. Natural Gas Production: 1990 - 2018

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National Energy Policy: Public Utilities Regulatory Act (PURPA)

  • Enacted in 1978 as part of the National Energy Act in

response to a national energy crisis

  • Encouraged the development of renewable energy and

cogeneration technologies as competitive alternatives to

  • il and other scarce sources of fuel
  • PURPA requires electric utilities to purchase power

produced by qualifying facilities (QFs) that used renewable energy and cogeneration technologies - Must Take Obligation

  • Ratepayer Indifference Standard
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National Energy Policy: ITCs and PTCs

  • Solar Investment Tax Credit (ITC)

○ Established by the Energy Policy Act of 2005 ○ Federal policy mechanism to incentivize the deployment of both rooftop and utility-scale solar. ○ Allows both residential and commercial developers to recover 30% of the cost of a solar investment ○ Tax credit begins stepping down at the end of 2019

  • Renewable Electricity Production Tax Credit (PTC)

○ Established in 1992 by the Energy Policy Act of 1992 ○ Originally available to all forms of renewable energy ○ Currently only available to wind for facilities commencing construction after December 31, 2016 ○ Tax credit is $0.015/kWh, adjusted for inflation in current calendar year in which the sale occurs ○ Tax credit was $0.0024/kWh in 2018 ○ Tax credit is phased down for wind facilities commencing construction in 2017 and thereafter ○ Repowering ○ Wind facilities must complete construction by December 31, 2020 to receive 100% PTCs

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National Energy Policy: Results

  • PURPA along with ITCs and PTCs have had a tremendous impact on renewable development

○ According to the EIA, wind generation grew 80% between 2008 and 2018 to 275 MWh, accounting for 6.5% of total electricity generation ○ Solar, meanwhile, exploded from just 2 million MWh to 96 MWh, comprising 2.3% of total generation last year

Soruce: https://ncsolarnow.com/how-purpa-helped-boost-utility-scale-solar-in-north-carolina/ Photo: Wikimedia Commons and Pixabay

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Legal Rulings: Massachusetts v. EPA, 549 U.S. 497 (2007)

  • The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that GHGs are “air pollutants” under the Clean Air Act
  • The EPA subsequently had authority to regulate emissions of the same from both stationary and mobile

sources.

  • In 2009, the EPA found that “greenhouse gases in the atmosphere may reasonably be anticipated both to

endanger public health and to endanger public welfare.”

  • EPA has been exercising its authority for the past decade and continues to regulate GHG emissions from

coal-fired, natural gas, and other fossil fuel powered facilities

  • Massachusetts v. EPA remains the law of the land

Citation: “Carbon Capture and Sequestration in the Cowboy State: A Primer for the Wyoming Lawyer, Kipp Coddington, March 14,2019.

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State Energy Policy

  • Renewable Portfolio Standards: Requires electricity suppliers to source a certain quantity of renewable

energy

  • In percentage, megawatt-hour or megawatt
  • First RPS Design – California – 1995 (adopted in 2002)
  • Other Versions: “Clean”; “Carbon Neutral”

http://www.ncsl.org/research/energy/renewable-portfolio-standards.aspx

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State Energy Policy

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2015 Coal Shipments from Wyoming to Other States (Tons)

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2016 Coal Shipments from Wyoming to Other States (Tons)

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2015 – 2016 Comparison

  • New York or Florida stopped receiving Wyoming Coal
  • Reduction in shipments to the three of Wyoming’s historically largest coal

receiving states:

Texas: 55.1 Tons in 2015 to 44.5 Tons in 2016, a decrease of 10.6 Tons

Missouri: 40.4 Tons in 2015 to 34.4 Tons in 2016, a decrease of 6 Tons

Illinois: 45.6 Tons in 2015 to 29.6 Tons in 2016, a decrease of 16 Tons

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Impact on Wyoming: Coal Production: 1970- 2016

Source: https://auber.org/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/Godby-_20171022.pdf

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Impact on Wyoming: Coal Production: 2007 t0 2017

EIA

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Impact on Wyoming: Annual Average of Wyoming Coal-Related Jobs

EIA

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Impact on Wyoming: Coal Revenues

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Wyoming’s Response = LEAD

  • Legal Framework: State and Federal
  • Technology: CCUS & Integrated Test Center
  • CO2 Pipeline Corridors
  • Regulatory?
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Legal Framework: Wyoming Statutes

  • Specifies who owns the pore space (Wyo. Stat. § 34-1-152 (2017))
  • Establishes permitting procedures and requirements for CCS sites, including permits for

time-limited research (Wyo. Stat. § 35-11-313 (2017))

  • Provides a mechanism for post-closure MRV via a trust fund approach (Wyo. Stat. § 35-11-

318 (2017))

  • Provides a mechanism for utilization of storage interests (Wyo. Stat. § 35-11-315 (2017))
  • Specifies that the injector, not the owner of pore space, is generally liable (Wyo. Stat. § 34-

1-153 (2017))

  • Clarifies that vis-à-vis storage rights, production rights are dominant but cannot interfere

with storage (Wyo. State. § 30-5-501 (2017))

  • Provides a certification procedure for CO2 incidentally stored during EOR (Wyo. Stat. § 30-

5-502 (2017))

Citation: “Carbon Capture and Sequestration in the Cowboy State: A Primer for the Wyoming Lawyer, Kipp Coddington, March 14,2019.

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Legal Framework: Federal

  • FUTURE Act and 45Q Tax Credit

○ Introduced in July, 2017; signed by President Trump in February, 2018 ○ Major components ○ Increased amount of tax credit ○ Extend timeframe, no volumetric limit ○ Made tax credit assignable

  • Use it Act

○ Sponsored by U.S. Sen. John Barasso (R-WY) ○ Introduced in March 2018 ○ Furthers the FUTURE Act by supporting carbon utilization and direct air capture research ○ Support federal, state, and non-governmental collaboration in the construction and development of CCUS facilities and CO2 pipelines

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Technology: Electricity Generation and CCUS

https://phys.org/news/2014-04-theory-reality-carbon-capture- storage.html https://www.worldcoal.org/coal/uses-coal/coal-electricity

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Technology: Uses for Captured CO2

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Technology: Integrated Test Center

  • Carbon XPrize

○ Breathe (Bangalore, India) ○ C4X (Suzhou, China) ○ Carbon Capture Machine (Aberdeen, Scotland) ○ CarbonCure (Dartmouth, Canada) ○ Carbon Upcycling UCLA (Los Angeles, CA, USA)

  • Japan Coal Energy Center (JCOAL) and Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd.

○ Kawasaki is slated to test their solid sorbent capture technology ○ Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) between JCOAL and Wyoming, signed August 2, 2016 ○ MOU covers technical cooperation, R&D, communication, information exchange, and facilitating coal exports and sales ○ JCOAL works to promote overall coal activities, from coal mining to the field of coal utilization

  • University of Kentucky Center for Applied Energy Research (CAER)

○ Announced March 7, 2019 ○ Signed a lease to use a portion of the ITC’s large test bay as part of their Phase II application of the Fossil Fuel Large-Scale Pilots funding

  • pportunity

○ Currently finalizing Phase II application ○ Hopes to obtain $50 million in DOE grant funding ○ If grant is obtained for Phase III, CAER will also host at ITC

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Technology: Ongoing Projects

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Technology: National Momentum

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CO2 Pipeline Corridors: Wyoming’s Infrastructure

Citation: “Carbon Capture and Sequestration in the Cowboy State: A Primer for the Wyoming Lawyer, Kipp Coddington, March 14,2019.

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Is Regulatory Innovation the Missing Piece?

CO2 Technology State Law Federal Law Regulatory?

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What’s Impeding Utilities From Investing in CCUS Technology?

  • Utility Risk Profile - Risk Tolerance
  • Incentives
  • Traditional Rate Making Model
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Utility Risk Profile: Risk Profile By Industry

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Incentives: Power Sector Regulation & CCUS

NARUC, 2018

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Traditional Rate Making Model

  • The Regulatory Compact

○ Provides utilities the opportunity to recover expenses and earn a reasonable return on investments with the goal of ensuring safe, adequate, reliable service at reasonable rates, while protecting customers from monopoly abuses.

  • Overriding Principles

○ Protect Public Interest ○ Used and Useful ○ Safe and Reliable

  • Why isn’t CCUS typically included in rate base?
  • Lack, to date, of commercial success
  • Big Price Tag

○ Is CCUS necessary in ensuring the goals set forth in the regulatory compact?

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Rate Making 101

  • Rate Base

○ What is it? ○ How is it used?

  • Regulatory Process

○ Application, Parties, Interveners, Contested Cases

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What is Rate Base?

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How is Rate Base Used?

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Regulatory Process: Time Consuming

Process typically takes 8-10 months

Notice: Allow for Comment Period

Intervenors

Burden of Proof

Commission Review

Contested Case Hearing

Deliberation

Preparation of an Order

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2019 Wyoming Legislative Policy

  • Wyoming Senate File 0159
  • Wyoming House Bill 0113
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SF159-New Opportunities for Coal-Fired Generation

  • Utilities are obligated to purchase electricity generated by a coal fired

generation facility by agreement approved by the Commission:

  • Electricity sold at utility’s avoided cost – determined by Commission
  • Cost of PPA is 100% recoverable in rate; Situs Asset
  • Determination of Avoided Cost
  • Value of energy and capacity generated from the facility
  • Value of any reliability benefits associated with the operation of the facility
  • Any other factor deemed appropriate by the Commission
  • Limitation on Cost Recovery
  • Good Faith
  • Reasonable Offer to Purchase
  • Purchase Only Effective After Commission Approval
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HB113-Service Agreements Between Electric Utilities and Customers with Specified Electric Usage

  • Projects with greater than five megawatts - tariff approved by the Commission.
  • An electric utility may enter into a serve agreement with these customers provided that the terms and

conditions of the agreement: ○ Are expected to result in revenue to the utility in an amount that exceeds the expected cost to serve the customer’s projected electric usage. ○ Shall not result in obligating other customers for any utility investments or any direct, indirect or reasonably assigned costs related to the utility's service to the customer under the agreement. ○ Provide benefits to other customers without imposing additional current or future costs.

  • Electric utility shall retain for its owners any profits or losses that result from entering such an agreement

with a customer.

  • Electric utilities to report to the Commission at least once every three years as to the impacts of the

agreements on other rate payers.

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Wyoming’s 2019 Legislative Policy Direction

  • Preference is to Delay Retirement of Coal Plants
  • Encourage Utilities to find Purchasers
  • Must Take Obligation
  • Commission Determinations
  • Good Faith
  • Reasonableness of Agreements
  • Ability of Purchasers: Managerial and Environmental
  • Cost Recovery Implications
  • Expands Commission’s Innovative Ratemaking Jurisdiction
  • Compensate Utilities outside Traditional Rate-Base
  • Separate Utility Revenue Stream – Not Included in ROE
  • Ensure Other Customers Protected
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Is Regulatory Innovation the Missing Piece?

State Law Federal Law Regulatory? CO2 Technology

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CO2 as a Revenue Stream

  • How do we incentivize

Regulated Utilities to take advantage of Opportunities where CO2 be turned into a profitable commodity?

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CO2 As a Commodity: Pass-On Mechanism?

  • Similar to treatment of

Natural Gas Utilities – Decoupling Efforts

  • Credit to Customers
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CO2 As a Commodity: Sharing Bands?

  • Consistent with Legislative

Policy expressed in HB113, should the PSC Consider Additional Incentives for Regulated Utilities?

  • If not allow CCUS

Infrastructure in Rate Base, should the IOU Share in the C02 Revenues?

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CO2 Revenues: Separate Treatment from ROR and ROE

  • Is the Public Interest Served when

Separating CO2 Revenues from rate of return and return on equity calculations?

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Conclusion

  • The Future of Coal Matters to Wyoming
  • Traditional Ratemaking Model May not Provide Sufficient

Incentives for Regulated Utilities to Pursue CCUS Projects

  • Wyoming Legislative Policy Seems to be Opening Doors to

Innovative Ratemaking Solutions

  • Can Wyoming Innovative Ratemaking be the Missing Piece for a

Project to Proceed Here?

  • Can Wyoming’s Regulatory Policies Assist Other States?
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Questions?

Chairman Kara B. Fornstrom Phone: 307.777.7427 Email: kara.fornstrom@wyo.gov Follow me on Twitter @k2bfornstrom