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Q3 2019 earnings presentation November 13, 2019 1 Forward-looking - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Q3 2019 earnings presentation November 13, 2019 1 Forward-looking - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Q3 2019 earnings presentation November 13, 2019 1 Forward-looking statements From time to time Home Capital Group Inc. (the Company) makes written and verbal forward-looking statements. These are included in the Annual Report, periodic reports
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From time to time Home Capital Group Inc. (the Company) makes written and verbal forward-looking statements. These are included in the Annual Report, periodic reports to shareholders, regulatory filings, press releases, Company presentations and other Company communications. Forward-looking statements are made in connection with business objectives and targets, Company strategies, operations, anticipated financial results and the outlook for the Company, its industry, and the Canadian economy. These statements regarding expected future performance are “financial outlooks” within the meaning of National Instrument 51-102. Please see the risk factors, which are set forth in detail in the Risk Management section of the 2019 Third Quarter Report, as well as the Company’s other publicly filed information, which is available on the System for Electronic Document Analysis and Retrieval (SEDAR) at www.sedar.com, for the material factors that could cause the Company’s actual results to differ materially from these statements. These risk factors are material risk factors a reader should consider, and include credit risk, liquidity and funding risk, structural interest rate risk, operational risk, investment risk, strategic risk, reputational risk, compliance risk and capital adequacy risk along with additional risk factors that may affect future results. Forward-looking statements can be found in the Report to the Shareholders and the Outlook section in the 2019 Third Quarter Report. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words such as “will,” “believe,” “expect,” “anticipate,” “intend,” “should,” “estimate,” “plan,” “forecast,” “may,” and “could” or other similar expressions. By their very nature, these statements require the Company to make assumptions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainty, general and specific, which may cause actual results to differ materially from the expectations expressed in the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to, global capital market activity, changes in government monetary and economic policies, changes in interest rates, inflation levels and general economic conditions, legislative and regulatory developments, competition and technological change. The preceding list is not exhaustive of possible factors. These and other factors should be considered carefully and readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. The Company presents forward-looking statements to assist shareholders in understanding the Company’s assumptions and expectations about the future that are relevant in management’s setting of performance goals, strategic priorities and outlook. The Company presents its outlook to assist shareholders in understanding management’s expectations on how the future will impact the financial performance of the Company. These forward-looking statements may not be appropriate for
- ther purposes. The Company does not undertake to update any forward-looking statements, whether written or verbal, that may be made from time to time by it or
- n its behalf, except as required by securities laws.
Forward-looking statements
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Overview
Yousry Bissada, CEO
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Delivering on our commitment to growth and profitability
Renewed commitment to capital distribution Significant progress in financial results Successful launch of first cross- border RMBS Continued progress on IT roadmap initiative Healthy volumes and pricing in our major markets
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IGNITE project on track and making progress
MIGRATION TO THE CLOUD Seamless transfer of Data Centre is complete LAUNCHED NEW CRM SYSTEM Greater functionality for sales team LAUNCHED NEW LOFT BROKER PORTAL Fully mobile, responsive with enhanced flexibility
IMPLEMENTED ROBOTIC PROCESS AUTOMATION 70% of mortgage discharges now automated
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Financial results
Brad Kotush, CFO
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Successful launch of RMBS
➢ First cross-border RMBS ➢ First transaction since 2007 backed by near-prime mortgages ➢ ‘A’ tranche received AAA(sf) /Aaa(sf) ratings from DBRS and Moody’s ➢ Reduces reliance on competitive GIC market and provides funding flexibility ➢ Combined effort of multiple teams across the organization
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Share repurchases and improved NIM continue to drive earnings per share growth
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Summary of adjustments in connection with IT roadmap
Q3 2019 Q2 2019
Reported Adjustment for IT Roadmap Adjusted1 Reported Adjustment for IT Roadmap Adjusted1
Net income (millions) $39.02 $2.93 $41.95 $31.91 $2.81 $34.72
Reported Adjustment for IT Roadmap Adjusted1 Reported Adjustment for IT Roadmap Adjusted1
Earnings per share $0.67 $0.05 $0.72 $0.53 $0.05 $0.58 Efficiency ratio (TEB) 51.3% (3.5%) 47.8% 55.4% (3.5%) 51.9% Return on equity (annualized) 9.5% 0.7% 10.2% 7.7% 0.7% 8.4%
Resulting from changes in estimated useful life of legacy IT investment and implementation expenses
1 See definition of Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted Earnings per Share, Adjusted Efficiency Ratio and Adjusted
Return on Shareholders’ Equity under Non-GAAP Measures in the Company’s 2019 Third Quarter Report.
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Single-family residential originations
$959.1 $1,144.7 $56.9 $42.3 $750.0 $800.0 $850.0 $900.0 $950.0 $1,000.0 $1,050.0 $1,100.0 $1,150.0 $1,200.0 Q3 2018 Q3 2019
Millions
Classic single-family Accelerator single-family
$1,187.0
+16.8%
$1,016.0
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Loan growth
$15.44 $15.98 $16.26 $16.50 $16.67 $16.99 $14.00 $14.50 $15.00 $15.50 $16.00 $16.50 $17.00 $17.50
Total loan portfolio (billions)
Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019
+6.4% y/y
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Continuing improvement in net interest margin
1.91% 2.03% 1.99% 2.01% 2.09% 2.22% 1.85% 1.90% 1.95% 2.00% 2.05% 2.10% 2.15% 2.20% 2.25% Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019
Net interest margin (TEB1)
1 Net interest margin is a measure of profitability of assets. Net interest margin (TEB) is calculated by taking net interest income, on a taxable equivalent
basis, divided by the average total assets.
Disciplined, risk-based loan pricing Higher rates
- n new loan
- riginations
and renewals
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Oaken continues to grow
$9.4 $10.2 $10.6 $10.4 $10.2 $2.6 $2.7 $2.9 $3.1 $3.3 $12.0 $12.9 $13.5 $13.5 $13.5 $- $2.0 $4.0 $6.0 $8.0 $10.0 $12.0 $14.0 $16.0 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019
Broker and Oaken deposits in $ billions
Broker Oaken Total 86.9% 0.00% 10.00% 20.00% 30.00% 40.00% 50.00% 60.00% 70.00% 80.00% 90.00% 100.00% Q3 2019
Oaken deposits by product
GICs Savings accounts
Oaken now accounts for 24% of deposits with emphasis on term deposits
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Consistent high quality Classic single-family residential loan book
691 703 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Classic originations in Q3 2019 Total Classic portfolio
Weighted-average Beacon score
We are comfortable with our loan quality as higher Beacon scores make up a greater share of our loan portfolio
72.7% 58.8% 0.0% 10.0% 20.0% 30.0% 40.0% 50.0% 60.0% 70.0% 80.0% Uninsured mortgages originated in Q3 2019 All uninsured single-family residential mortgages
Weighted-average loan to value
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Net non-performing loans as % of gross loans
Loans are stable, well-provisioned and within internal risk tolerance
Results in 2018 and 2019 are reported under IFRS9 and results in 2017 are reported under IAS39 which may limit comparability to prior periods.
0.49% 0.37% 0.00% 0.10% 0.20% 0.30% 0.40% 0.50% 0.60% Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Net Non-Performing Loans as a Percentage of Gross Loans Net Non-Performing Single-Family Residential Loans as a % of Gross Single- Family Loans
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0.09% 0.06% (0.15%) (0.10%) (0.05%) 0.00% 0.05% 0.10% 0.15% 0.20% 0.25% Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2017 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019
Provisions and loss experience
Provisions (annualized) as a % of gross loans Net write-offs (annualized) as % of gross loans
- Provisions for credit
losses of 0.09% of gross loans on an annualized basis
- Net write-offs of
0.06% of gross loans on an annualized basis
- Single family
residential mortgage net write-offs remain low at 0.02% in the quarter and 0.02% year to date
Provisions for credit loss and write-offs
Results in 2018 and 2019 are reported under IFRS9 and results in 2017 are reported under IAS39 which may limit comparability to prior periods.
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Liquidity risk management Liquid assets and near-term maturities
Aggregate available liquidity of $1.84 billion at the end of Q3 including $500 million undrawn credit facility Near-term loan maturities exceed deposit maturities
$1,817 $1,376 $1,288 $1,358 $1,323 $1,341 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% 10.00% 12.00% $200 $400 $600 $800 $1,000 $1,200 $1,400 $1,600 $1,800 $2,000 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2018 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019
Millions
Liquid assets at carrying value As % of Total assets $2.7 $7.6 $3.0 $0.6 $13.9 $1.4 $4.7 $4.9 $1.9 $12.9 $0.0 $2.0 $4.0 $6.0 $8.0 $10.0 $12.0 $14.0 $16.0 0-3 months 3-12 months 1-3 years Over 3 years Total
Billions
Non-Securitized Contractual Loan Maturities Contractual Fixed Term Deposit Maturities
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Capital and leverage metrics1
Significant opportunity for capital deployment Leverage is within internal risk limits and well above regulatory requirements
7.00% 19.67% REGULATORY MINIMUM ACTUAL
1 Ratios are based on Home Trust Company’s consolidated financial
position.
Basel III Common Equity Tier 1 at Q3 2019 Leverage ratio at Q3 2019
3.00% 7.80% REGULATORY MINIMUM ACTUAL
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Returning capital to shareholders
➢ Substantial Issuer Bid (SIB) completed in Q4 2018 with 18.2 million shares repurchased at $16.50 per share ➢ Normal Course Issuer Bid (NCIB) completed with 4.8 million shares repurchased at average cost per share of $19.85 ➢ $394 million capital returned to shareholders in last twelve months at weighted average price of $17.19 per share: 40% discount to Q3 book value per share ➢ Announced intention to:
– Launch SIB up to $150 million SIB in Q4 to be completed in Q1 2020 – Apply to the TSX for a renewal of our NCIB in 2020
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Questions?
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Q3 Financial highlights
Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2018 Sequential change Year-over-year change
Originations (millions)
$1,545.4 $1,276.7 $1,435.8 21.0% 7.6%
Revenue (millions)
$116.6 $111.3 $105.1 4.8% 11.0%
Net interest margin (TEB)
2.22% 2.09% 2.03% 13 bps 19 bps
Provisions as % of Gross Loans (annualized)
0.09% 0.15% 0.10% (6) bps (1) bps
Efficiency ratio (TEB) – reported
51.3% 55.4% 52.9% (410) bps (160) bps
Efficiency ratio (TEB) – adjusted1
47.8% 51.9% 52.9% (410) bps (510) bps
Net income (millions) – reported
$39.0 $31.9 $32.6 22.3% 19.7%
Net income (millions) – adjusted1
$42.0 $34.7 $32.6 20.8% 28.7%
Earnings per share – reported
$0.67 $0.53 $0.41 26.4% 63.4%
Earnings per share – adjusted1
$0.72 $0.58 $0.41 24.1% 75.6%
Return on equity (annualized) – reported
9.5% 7.7% 6.9% 180 bps 260 bps
Return on equity (annualized) – adjusted1
10.2% 8.4% 6.9% 180 bps 330 bps
1 See definition of Adjusted Efficiency Ratio, Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted Earnings per Share and Adjusted Return on Shareholders’ Equity under Non-GAAP Measures in the Company’s 2019 Third Quarter Report.
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Q3 Financial highlights
Q3 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2018 Sequential change Year-over-year change Total loan portfolio (billions) $16.99 $16.67 $15.98 2.0% 6.4% Loans under administration (billions) $22.97 $22.90 $22.82 0.3% 0.7% Assets under administration (billions) $24.78 $24.58 $24.66 0.8% 0.5% Net non-performing loans as %
- f gross loans
0.49% 0.47% 0.34% 2 bps 15 bps CET1 ratio1 19.67% 19.49% 23.27% 18 bps (360) bps Book value per share $28.64 $27.80 $23.82 3.0% 20.2% Shares outstanding (millions) 57.3 59.3 80.2 (1.9) (22.9)
1CET1 ratio relates to the Company’s operating subsidiary, Home Trust Company