Q2 2019 Results
August 12, 2019
Q2 2019 Results August 12, 2019 Forward-Looking Information and - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Q2 2019 Results August 12, 2019 Forward-Looking Information and Non-GAAP Measures Forward-Looking Information This document contains forward - looking information and statements which reflect the current view with respect to the Companys
August 12, 2019
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Forward-Looking Information
This document contains “forward-looking information” and statements which reflect the current view with respect to the Company’s expectations regarding future growth, results of operations, performance, business prospects and opportunities and may not be appropriate for other purposes within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities laws. All such information and statements are made pursuant to safe harbour provisions contained in applicable securities legislation. The words “anticipates”, “believes”, “could”, “estimates”, “expects”, “intends”, “may”, “plans”, “projects”, “schedule”, “should”, “budget”, “forecast”, “might”, “will”, “would”, “targets” and similar expressions are often intended to identify forward-looking information, although not all forward-looking information contains these identifying words. The forward-looking information reflects management’s current beliefs and is based on information currently available to Emera’s management and should not be read as guarantees of future events, performance or results, and will not necessarily be accurate indications of whether, or the time at which, such events, performance or results will be achieved. The forward-looking information is based on reasonable assumptions and is subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from historical results or results anticipated by the forward-looking information. Factors that could cause results or events to differ from current expectations are discussed in the Business Overview and Outlook section of Management’s Discussion and Analysis (“MD&A”) and may also include: regulatory risk; operating and maintenance risks; changes in economic conditions; commodity price and availability risk; capital market and liquidity risk; future dividend growth; timing and costs associated with certain capital projects; the expected impacts on Emera of challenges in the global economy; estimated energy consumption rates; maintenance of adequate insurance coverage; changes in customer energy usage patterns; developments in technology that could reduce demand for electricity; weather; commodity price risk; unanticipated maintenance and
environmental risks; foreign exchange; regulatory and government decisions, including changes to environmental, financial reporting and tax legislation; risks associated with pension plan performance and funding requirements; loss of service area; risk of failure of information technology infrastructure and cybersecurity risks; market energy sales prices; labour relations; and availability of labour and management resources. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking information as actual results could differ materially from the plans, expectations, estimates or intentions and statements expressed in the forward-looking information. All forward-looking information in this document is qualified in its entirety by the above cautionary statements and, except as required by law, Emera undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking information as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Nothing in this document should be construed as an offer or sale of securities of Emera or any other person.
Non-GAAP Measures
Emera uses financial measures that do not have standardized meaning under USGAAP and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other entities. Emera calculates the non-GAAP measures by adjusting certain GAAP measures for specific items the Company believes are significant, but not reflective of underlying operations in the period. Refer to the Non-GAAP Financial Measures section of our MD&A for further discussion of these items.
President and CEO
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YTD adjusted EPS(1)(3)
YTD cash flow(2)(3)
YTD Cash flow(2)
Our business is performing well and we have made significant progress on strengthening
YTD adjusted EPS(1)
▪ EMERA NEWFOUNDLAND & LABRADOR ▪ EMERA INC ▪ NOVA SCOTIA POWER ▪ EMERA UTILITY SERVICES ▪ EMERA MAINE ▪ EMERA NEW BRUNSWICK ▪ EMERA ENERGY ▪ TAMPA ELECTRIC ▪ PEOPLES GAS ▪ NEW MEXICO GAS ▪ GRAND BAHAMA POWER ▪ BARBADOS LIGHT & POWER ▪ DOMINICA ELECTRICITY SERVICES
(1) Adjusted EPS is a non-GAAP measure; a reconciliation to the nearest
GAAP measure can be found in the appendix
(2) Operating cash flow pre-working capital in millions of dollars (3) Compared to year-to-date (“YTD”) Q2 2018
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Q1/19 Q2/19 Q3/19 Q4/19 NSP Maritime Link
Application for recovery of 2020 revenues
Emera Maine
Transaction Filings & Hearings
Nova Scotia Power
Rate Stability Plan Filing
New Mexico Gas
Distribution Rate Case
Tampa Electric
SoBRA – Tranche 3
Florida Storm Protection Legislation
FPSC Rulemaking
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Solar
install 600MW of solar by 2021 (405MW in-service today); assessing
investment
community solar through Sun Select program
Big Bend Modernization
repower Unit 1 with natural gas combined cycle technology and retire Unit 2 early
August 2019 and will be complete in 2023
Storm Protection
requiring utilities to invest in storm-protecting the grid
to be complete in October 2019
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$1.30 $0.93 $1.14 $1.87 $2.13 $2.08 $2.30 $1.96 $2.23 $2.26 $2.77 $2.46 $2.88 $3.02
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 TTM Q2/19
Historical Adjusted EPS (1)
Continuing Regulated Utilities + Corporate Consolidated
(1) Supporting data table, including a reconciliation between continuing regulated utilities + corporate and consolidated adjusted EPS, included on the appendix (2) TTM does not reflect the earnings impact of asset sales; full year adjusted EPS is expected to be consistent with normalized 2018 results
(2)
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$17.2 $18.7 $20.1 $21.3
2018A 2019F 2020F 2021F
Forecasted Rate Base (1)
(1) Reflects rate base from continuing utility operations to better reflect the ongoing earnings power of the business. Average total rate base in billions of Canadian
approved and ordinary course capital projects are included. Details by affiliate can be found on slide 21 of the appendix. Forecast is subject to change in the normal course of business.
(2) Excludes Emera Maine
(2) (2)
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✓ Closed NEGG and Bayside transactions and announced Emera Maine sale for total proceeds of $2.1 billion ✓ Continued to advanced strategic initiatives, including receiving site certification and beginning construction at Big Bend and adding 280MW of new solar in Tampa ✓ Established a $600 million ATM program ✓ Retired $550 million USD of holding company debt and reduced consolidated leverage by ~200 bps ✓ Solidified investment grade credit rating with BBB rating from Fitch and a stable outlook from Moody’s ✓ Removed foreign ownership restrictions, better positioning Emera to access global capital markets
CFO
11 $111 $130
2018 2019 Q2
$0.48 $0.54
2018 2019 Q2
$313 $354
2018 2019 June Year-to-Date
$1.35 $1.49
2018 2019 June Year-to-Date
Adjusted Net Income Adjusted Earnings per Share
+13% +17% +13% +10%
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$767 $775
2018 2019
June Year-to-Date Operating Cash Flow
Pre Working Capital +1%
13 $0.48 $0.44 $0.54 $0.54 $0.04 $0.11 $0.06 $0.02 $0.01 $0.02 $0.08
Q2 2018 Asset Sales Normalized Q2 2018 Florida Electric Utility Gas Utilities and Infra. Other Electric Utilities Other Changes Canadian Electric Utilities Emera Energy Q2 2019
(1) Earnings impact of the sales of the NEGG portfolio and Bayside (2) Higher base revenues related to the in-service of solar generation projects, customer growth and favourable weather, partially offset by higher interest and depreciation costs (3) Primarily due to the $12 million adjustment recorded as a result of a favourable regulatory decision in New Mexico (4) Higher contributions from Emera Maine due to higher capitalized construction overheads and the absence of regulatory expenses adjustments related to the 2018 distribution rate case (5) Includes the impact of foreign exchange (+$0.02) and share dilution (-$0.01) (6) Primarily due to lower contributions from NSPI, due to timing of regulatory deferrals and increased OM&G expenses, partially offset by increased sales volume and
decreased income taxes
(7) Lower marketing and trading margins due to less market volatility
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5)
(6) (7)
14 $1.35 $1.49 $0.11 $0.11 $0.05 $0.02 $0.01 $0.04 $0.10
YTD June 2018 Gas Utilities and Infra. Florida Electric Utility Foreign Exchange Other Electric Utilities Other Changes Share Dilution Emera Energy YTD June 2019
(1) Primarily due to the $12 million adjustment recorded as a result of a favourable regulatory decision in New Mexico in Q2/19 and strong Q1/19 results from PGS and NMGC (2) Higher base revenues related to the in-service of solar generation projects and customer growth, partially offset by higher interest and depreciation costs (3) Weaker Canadian dollar (Q2 YTD 2019 – 1.33; Q2 YTD 2018 – 1.27) (4) Higher contributions from Emera Maine due to higher capitalized construction overheads and the absence of regulatory expenses adjustments related to the 2018 distribution rate case (5) Consists of Canadian Electric Utilities ($0.00) and corporate (-$0.01) (6) Reflects increase in the number of common shares issued and outstanding through normal course of business (7) Lower marketing and trading margins due to less market volatility
(3) (4) (5)
(1) (2) (6) (7)
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Dividends Holdco Debt Repayments OpCo Debt Issuances NEGG Proceeds Emera Maine Proceeds Equity (DRIP/ATM/ Hybrid Capital) Total
~$1.5B ~$1.5B Total Capex $6.5B ~$0.9B
$1.3B $0.8B
~25% ~15%
~$2.0B ~$5.5B Reinvested Cash Flow ~$2.0B (30%) Asset Sale Proceeds $2.1B (~30%)
2019-2021 Funding Plan Proceeds from asset sales will eliminate need for discrete equity
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1. Achieve target capital structure by 2020 2. Sustained cash flow-to-debt metrics > 12% 3. Sustained holdco debt-to-total debt < 40%
Moody’s S&P Fitch Baa3 (Stable) BBB(1) (Negative) BBB (Stable) 55% 35% 10%
2020 Target Capital Structure
Debt Equity Hybrid Capital
(1)Issue rating; issuer rating of BBB+ (negative) (2) Includes preferred shares and hybrid debt
(2)
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UPCOMING EVENTS Expected Q3/19 Results & Conference Call Friday, November 8, 2019 Expected Q4/19 Results & Conference Call Tuesday, February 18, 2020
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64% 26% 10%
September 30, 2016
(1) Equity includes the NCI and excludes AOCI (2) Includes preferred shares and hybrid bonds (3) Pro forma asset sales calculation shows June 30, 2019, actuals if select asset sales had been completed at that time
59% 30% 11%
June 30, 2019
Debt Equity Hybrid Capital
55% 34% 11%
Pro Forma Asset Sales(3) June 30, 2019
(1) (2)
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Capital Forecast (CAD millions)(1) 2019F 2020F 2021F Total Tampa Electric $ 1,320 950 985 3,255 Peoples Gas 310 345 305 960 New Mexico Gas Company 100 190 135 425 Seacoast 60 65 55 180 Nova Scotia Power 360 325 345 1,030 Emera Maine 90
Emera Caribbean 155 70 65 290 Emera Newfoundland 40
230 Other 50 10 5 65 Subtotal – Baseline Capital Forecast $ 2,485 1,955 2,085 6,525 Add: Opportunities Under Development
1,130 1,320 Total Capital Forecast $ 2,485 2,145 3,215 7,845
(1) US dollar denominated capex is translated at a forecasted average USD/CAD exchange rate of 1.30 in 2019-2021
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Rate Base (CAD millions)(1) 2018A 2019F 2020F 2021F 2018-2021 CAGR Tampa Electric(2) $ 8,300 9,200 9,925 10,550 8.3% Peoples Gas(2) 1,250 1,475 1,700 1,900 15.0% New Mexico Gas Company 725 750 850 925 8.5% Nova Scotia Power 3,775 3,950 4,200 4,350 4.8% Emera Caribbean 800 925 925 925 5.0% Maritime Link 1,800 1,800 1,800 1,750
Labrador Island Link(3) 525 550 725 850 17.4% Total $ 17,175 18,650 20,125 21,520 7.4%
(1) Average rate base. US dollar denominated rate base is translated at an actual average rate of 1.30 in 2018 and a forecasted average USD/CAD exchange rate of 1.30 in
2019-2021
(2) Capital structures that support the rate base include deferred tax liabilities (DTL). DTL is a zero cost-of-capital component of the capital structure in Florida. The 2018
capital structures included $1,700 million at Tampa Electric and $240 million at Peoples Gas
(3) Reflects Emera’s equity investment in the project
22 millions of Canadian dollars (except per share amounts) 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 TTM Q2/19 5-Year CAGR Adjusted net income attributable to common shareholders(1) $ 259 319 330 475 524 671 712 Less: Emera Maine (38) (42) (45) (47) (46) (44) (50) Emera Energy(2) (38) (98) (119) (24) (24) (120) (96) Other earnings(3) (11) (46) 1 (84)
(23) Continuing regulated utilities + corporate $ 172 133 167 320 454 484 543 Weighted average shares 133 143 146 171 213 233 236 Continuing regulated utilities + corporate $ 1.30 0.93 1.14 1.87 2.13 2.08 2.30 9.9% Emera Maine 0.29 0.29 0.31 0.27 0.22 0.19 0.21 Emera Energy(2) 0.29 0.69 0.81 0.14 0.11 0.51 0.41 Other earnings(3) 0.08 0.32
0.10 Consolidated adjusted EPS(1) $ 1.96 2.23 2.26 2.77 2.46 2.88 3.02 8.0%
(1) Excludes the effect of mark-to-market adjustments and, for 2017, exclude the revaluation of US non-regulated deferred income taxes (2) Excludes one-time items (3) Includes Algonquin equity earnings (2013-2016) and one-time items recorded in Corporate and Emera Caribbean
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Millions of Canadian dollars Q1/18 Q2/18 Q3/18 Q4/18 Q1/19 Q2/19 Marketing and Trading $ 37 (5)
30 (20) NEGG(1) 10 7 19 19 18 (2) Maritimes Canada 4 (5) (6) (4) (1) Bear Swamp 4 5 6 8 4 4 Total (excl. MTM and loss on sale) $ 55 2 19 44 52 (19) Net (loss)/gain on sale (recorded in Corporate)
(1)
(1) Q1/18 to Q1/19, inclusive, includes approximately $6 million per quarter of intercompany interest expense paid to Emera Corporate, where it was recorded as
intercompany interest revenue. Emera Corporate financed the original acquisition off its balance sheet. No permanent debt financing was transferred with the sale of the gas plants.
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Millions of US dollars Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Total 2016 $ 18 (9) (1) 8 16 2017 10 (4) (5) 10 11 2018 30 (4)
42 2019 22 (15)
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For the millions of Canadian dollars (except per share amounts) Three months ended June 30 Six months ended June 30 2019 2018 2019 2018 Net income (loss) attributable to common shareholders $ 103 90 415 361 After-tax mark-to-market gain (loss) (27) (21) 61 48 Adjusted net income attributable to common shareholders $ 130 111 354 313 Weighted average shares 238 232 238 233 Earnings per common share – basic $ 0.43 0.38 1.75 1.56 Adjusted earnings per common share – basic $ 0.54 0.48 1.49 1.35
Old
Emera Florida and New Mexico
(incl. in FL & NM other)
Nova Scotia Power
Emera Maine
Emera Caribbean
Emera Energy
Corporate and Other
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New
Florida Electric Utilities
Canadian Electric Utilities
Other Electric Utilities
Gas Utilities and Infrastructure
Other