1 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Prudential plc 2014 Half Year Results
12 August 2014
Prudential plc 2014 Half Year Results Delivering Growth and Cash - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Prudential plc 2014 Half Year Results Delivering Growth and Cash 12 August 2014 1 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS This document may contain forward-looking statements with respect to certain of Prudential's plans and its goals and
1 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
12 August 2014
2 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
This document may contain ‘forward-looking statements’ with respect to certain of Prudential's plans and its goals and expectations relating to its future financial condition, performance, results, strategy and objectives. Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about Prudential’s beliefs and expectations and including, without limitation, statements containing the words “may”, “will”, “should”, “continue”, “aims”, “estimates”, “projects”, “believes”, “intends”, “expects”, “plans”, “seeks” and “anticipates”, and words of similar meaning, are forward-looking statements. These statements are based on plans, estimates and projections as at the time they are made, and therefore undue reliance should not be placed on them. By their nature, all forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty. A number of important factors could cause Prudential's actual future financial condition or performance or other indicated results to differ materially from those indicated in any forward-looking statement. Such factors include, but are not limited to, future market conditions, including fluctuations in interest rates and exchange rates and the potential for a sustained low-interest rate environment, and the performance of financial markets generally; the policies and actions of regulatory authorities, including, for example, new government initiatives related to the financial crisis and the effect of the European Union's ‘Solvency II’ requirements on Prudential's capital maintenance requirements; the impact of designation as a global systemically important insurer; the impact of competition, economic growth, inflation, and deflation; experience in particular with regard to mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates and policy renewal rates; the timing, impact and other uncertainties of future acquisitions or combinations within relevant industries; the impact of changes in capital, solvency standards, accounting standards
affiliates operate; and the impact of legal actions and disputes. These and other important factors may for example result in changes to assumptions used for determining results of operations or re-estimations of reserves for future policy benefits. Further discussion of these and other important factors that could cause Prudential's actual future financial condition or performance or
under the ‘Risk Factors’ found in the preliminary document. Any forward-looking statements contained in this document speak only as of the date on which they are made. Prudential expressly disclaims any obligation to update any of the forward-looking statements contained in this document or any other forward-looking statements it may make, whether as a result of future events, new information or otherwise except as required pursuant to the UK Prospectus Rules, the UK Listing Rules, the UK Disclosure and Transparency Rules, the Hong Kong Listing Rules, the SGX-ST listing rules or other applicable laws and regulations.
3 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Business Review Tidjane Thiam
Prudential plc 2014 half year results Agenda Financial Review Nic Nicandrou Outlook Tidjane Thiam
4 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Agenda
Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G Cash and Dividend
5 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
2014 half year financial headlines Strong performance on all key metrics
Growth Cash Capital
£m
HY 2014 HY 2013 Change CER1 (%) Change AER1 (%) IFRS operating profit 1,521 1,415 +17% +7% New business profit2 1,015 913 +24% +11% EEV operating profit 1,943 1,821 +18% +7% Free surplus generation 1,219 1,152 +13% +6% Net remittance3 974 844 +15% +15% Dividend per share3 (pence) 11.19 9.73 +15% +15% IGD (£bn) 4.1 3.9 EEV per share (pence) 1,009 958 +5%
1 AER: Actual Exchange Rate. CER: Constant Exchange Rate. 2 On a post tax basis. 3 Net remittance and Dividend per share stated on actual exchange rates.Cash & Dividend UK Life M&G Jackson Asia Group Performance
6 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
326 339 402 488 630 756 818 913 1,015 HY 2006 HY 2007 HY 2008 HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011 HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014 507 607 611 693 817 1,022 1,157 1,415 1,521 HY 2006 HY 2007 HY 2008 HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011 HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014 181 283 334 375 460 690 726 844 974 HY 2006 HY 2007 HY 2008 HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011 HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014
New business profit1,3, £m Net cash remittances, £m IFRS operating profit2,3, £m
+15%
CAGR
+15%
CAGR
+23%
CAGR
1 On a post tax basis and excludes Japan Life and Taiwan agency. 2 HY 2006 – HY 2007 as reported. HY 2008- HY 2014 adjusted for new and amended accounting standards and excludes Japan Life. 3 Comparatives have been stated on an actual exchange rate basis.Group Continuation of a strong track record
3.1x 3.0x 5.4x x.x
HY 2014 multiple over HY 2006
Cash & Dividend UK Life M&G Jackson Asia Group Performance
7 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Group Effective response to challenges
611 693 817 1,022 1,157 1,415 1,521 HY 2008 HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011 HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014
concerns
collapse
concerns
recession
debt crisis begins
rates
implications
losses emerge
bailouts
in India
hard-landing
to deepening Eurozone debt crisis
recession
Singapore
the UK accelerates
& EM growth
the UK
GSIIs announced
1 Adjusted for new and amended accounting standards and excludes Japan Life. 2 Objective of doubling 2005 Asia NBP. 3 2013 Growth and Cash objectives.IFRS operating profit1, £m
in US interest rates
Thailand
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Objective achieved2 Objective achieved3
Cash & Dividend UK Life M&G Jackson Asia Group Performance
8 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
435 512 525 2012 2013 HY 2014 2015 2016 2017 Objective 201 292 302 2012 2013 HY 2014 2015 2016 2017 Objective £0.9bn £1.1bn
Asia underlying free surplus1, £m
At least 15% CAGR from 2012-17
1.2 HY 2014 2014 - 2017 Objective
Group cumulative underlying free surplus, £bn Asia IFRS operating profit2, £m
Free surplus of £0.9bn to £1.1bn At least £10bn
Group Good progress
Note: The objectives assume exchange rates at December 2013 and economic assumptions made by Prudential in calculating the EEV basis supplementary information for the half year ended 30 June 2013, and are based on regulatory and solvency regimes applicable across the Group at the time the objectives were set. The objectives assume that the existing EEV, IFRS and Free Surplus methodology at December 2013 will be applicable over the period. 1 Underlying free surplus generated comprises underlying free surplus generated from long-term business (net of investment in new business) and that generated from asset management operations. The 2012 comparative is based on the retrospective application> £10bn 573 1,075 >£1,858m 484 924
2017 Objectives
Cash & Dividend UK Life M&G Jackson Asia Group Performance
9 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Group Strategy
Significant protection gap in Asia Transition of US ‘baby-boomers’ into retirement UK ‘savings gap’ and ageing population in need of returns / income
Cash & Dividend UK Life M&G Jackson Asia Group Performance
10 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Group Disciplined capital allocation
1 Free surplus invested in new business. 2 On a post tax basis. 3 Excludes Japan Life and Taiwan agency.89 106 123 129 162 165 167 157 168 179 135 180 211 173 93 45 35 33 22 20 42 339 319 337 297 364 396 382 HY 2008 HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011 HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014
Asia US UK
+13%
New business strain1,3, £m
221 212 298 350 414 502 494 89 190 235 298 288 311 376 92 86 97 108 116 100 145 402 488 630 756 818 913 1,015 HY 2008 HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011 HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014
Asia US UK
+152%
New business profit2,3, £m
Cash & Dividend UK Life M&G Jackson Asia Group Performance
11 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Group Disciplined capital allocation
69 170 262 321 410 501 600 640 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
8% 30%
H&P %
114 145 233 251 392 483 589 679 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Asia Health and Protection APE1, £m Asia insurance margin2,3, £m
Cash & Dividend UK Life M&G Jackson Asia Group Performance
12 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Group Disciplined capital allocation
Jackson VA sales, $bn Jackson fee income1, £m
7.0 9.1 6.5 10.0 14.7 17.5 19.7 20.9 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 177 266 292 324 506 680 875 1,172 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Cash & Dividend UK Life M&G Jackson Asia Group Performance
1 Comparatives have been stated on an actual exchange rate basis13 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
0.1 0.3 0.9 2.5 4.1 5.4 7.5 9.1 10.2 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 HY 2014
Group Disciplined capital allocation
1 Fund data uses the unsmoothed fund valuesUK PruFund FUM1, £bn
Cash & Dividend UK Life M&G Jackson Asia Group Performance
14 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
829 893 988 1,097 1,385 1,594 1,752 2,067 2,267 HY 2006 HY 2007 HY 2008 HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011 HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014
Group High quality earnings
Sources of IFRS operating income1, £m
CAGR +13% +8% +28%
1 Adjusted for new and amended accounting standards and excludes Japan Life. HY06 and HY 07 data not collected, values are indicative estimates.20% 19% 33% 14% 9% 23% 23% 33% 12% 11% 8% 24% 29% 31% 9% 7% 30% 32% 26% 7% 5% 30% 34% 24% 7% 5%
64%
14% 21% 29% 23% 13%
36% Insurance margin Fee income Spread income With-profits Expected return on shareholder assets
33% 26% 22% 14%
39% 46% 48% 53% 62%
15% 17% 22% 23% 35% 37% 15% 19% 8% 9%
27% 24%
Cash & Dividend UK Life M&G Jackson Asia Group Performance
15 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Group Relative performance
1 Based on FTSE 100 as of 31 Dec 2013. Rebase of 100 set in 2006. Source FactSet and Prudential estimates.Prudential UK Life Peers average FTSE 100 Financial Peers average
Growth in dividend per share1
2006 vs 2013
23% 96%
Cash & Dividend UK Life M&G Jackson Asia Group Performance
16 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Agenda
Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G Cash and Dividend
17 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS 199 262 313 361 429 494 HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011 HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014 220 246 306 377 440 525 HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011 HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014
New business profit1,3, £m IFRS operating profit2,3, £m
+20% +19%
1 On a post tax basis and excludes Japan Life and Taiwan agency. 2 Adjusted for new and amended accounting standards and excludes Japan Life. 3 Comparatives have been stated on a constant exchange rate basis.Asia Track record of successful execution
2.5x x.x
HY 2014 multiple over HY 2009 CAGR CAGR
2.4x
21 67 105 126 190 216 HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011 HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014
Net cash remittances, £m
+59%
CAGR
10.3x
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
18 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
6 9 23 11 77 27 63 46 45 56 68 91 155 122 79 110 146 157 214
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Single Premium APE
Asia Single premium sales are sentiment led and volatile
1 Source: Datastream.Asia – Single Premium APE, £m
MSCI Asia ex Japan1
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
19 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
6 9 23 11 77 27 63 46 45 56 68 91 155 122 79 110 146 157 214 91 103 120 79 106 151 206 281 340 360 494 723 889 1,052 1,131 1,391 1,514 1,740 1,911
1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Single Premium APE Regular Premium
Asia Regular premium focus drives resilient growth for PCA
1 Source: Datastream.MSCI Asia ex Japan1
Asia – Regular and Single Premium APE, £m
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
20 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Regular premium APE1, £m Single premium APE1, £m
97 96 HY 2013 HY 2014 785 900 HY 2013 HY 2014
Asia Performance
15%
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
21 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Asia Decisive policy actions
1 Movement in rates for H2 2013 from June end 2013 to December end 2013. Movement for 2014 YTD from December end 2013 to July end 2014. 2 Change in closing spot exchange rates. 3 Change in Indonesia 10yr Government Bond Yields. 4 Change in the value of JCI stock index (Jakarta Stock Exchange Composite Index).H2 20131 2014 YTD1 Indonesia Change in Rupiah/GBP2 Interest rates Equity markets4
+3%
+19%
Central bank Interest rate rises
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
22 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Asia Structural growth
1 Source: IMF World Economic Outlook – April 2014. Average GDP growth 2014-2019. 2 Source: IMF Emerging Markets in Transition: Growth Prospects and Challenges – Cubeddu et al. Composition of recent growth slowdown 2012-18 versus 2003-11. 3 Source: Prudential estimates. Potential growth is a product of IMF forecast and cyclical component.6.6 8.5 1.9 IMF Forecast1 3x
Vs Advanced economies
Cyclical component2 Potential growth3
Emerging and developing Asia, Average GDP growth %
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
23 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Asia Bancassurance
Extended exclusivity Expanded to exclusive Expanded to Preferred Indonesia Philippines Vietnam China Korea Hong Kong, Singapore, Thailand Malaysia, Taiwan
India Brand New
Cambodia, Laos, Bangladesh Opportunities under review
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
24 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Asia Country update
Indonesia1 Hong Kong1 Singapore1
products (H&P APE +53%)
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
25 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Asia Country update
Thailand1 Philippines1
+21%)
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
26 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Asia Eastspring
1 Comparatives have been stated on a constant exchange rate basis.55 67 HY 2013 HY 2014
Funds under management1, £bn
22%
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
27 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
440 525 HY 2013 HY 2014 253 302 HY 2013 HY 2014
IFRS operating profit1,2, £m Free Surplus Generation1,2, £m
Asia Strong delivery
1 Adjusted for new and amended accounting standards and excludes Japan Life. 2 Comparatives have been stated on a constant exchange rate basis.19% 19%
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
28 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Asia Summary
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
29 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Agenda
Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G Cash and Dividend
30 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Jackson Proactive diversification
Jackson VA sales mix, $bn
Elite Access VA Without Living Benefit VA With Living Benefit
4.0 14.5
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 6.5 10.0 14.7 17.5 19.7 20.9
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
2.4 31%
31 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Jackson Disciplined growth
Jackson
Living benefit VA sales by quarter, $bn
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2011 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2012 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2013 Q1 Q2 2014
Quarterly average
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 4.0
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
3.0 5.0
32 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Jackson Healthy in-force
GMDB No Optional Benefit Guarantee
29% 14% 19% 12% 7% 6% 4%
9% (≤1200) (1200-1300) (1300-1400) (1400-1500) (1500-1600) (1600-1700) (1700-1800) >1800
$129bn as of 30 June 20141
Separate account value by S&P 500 level at policy issue
<1% in the money at 30 June 2014
1 Includes VAs allocated to General Account.62% Below S&P 1400
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
33 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
280 63 125 530 400 470 580 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 HY
Cumulative cash remittances, $m
Jackson Successful execution
417% 483% 423% 450% 429%
RBC Ratio
$2,448m
2008 - HY 2014 S&P 500
438%
1 Net remittances from Jackson include $197m in 2011 representing release of excess surplus to the Group.1
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
34 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Agenda
Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G Cash and Dividend
35 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
UK Delivering through regulatory change
303 307 332 336 287 349 54 25 HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011 HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014 374 341 336 332 307 303 New business retail annuities
Life IFRS operating profit, £m
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
36 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
1,364 200 80 182
UK Leveraging strengths
UK Bulk annuity market1
Total market size: c£1.8tn
1 KPMG high-level analysis based on Purple Book 2013>£500m Scheme size <£100m >£100m and <£250m >£250m and <£500m
Prudential HY 2014 Bulk annuities, £m
1,036 69
Single Premium NBP
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
37 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
UK The UK business continues to evolve
Broaden Retirement Income product range
Market challenges Strategy
Drive innovation in Savings and Investment backed by With-Profits strength Sustainable Bulk sales Focus on changing customer needs On-going regulatory scrutiny UK’s ageing demographic & wealth concentration in the over 50s segment Risk transfer from Government and corporates to individuals Reduction in access to advice for the mass market
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
38 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Agenda
Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G Cash and Dividend
39 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
M&G Successful diversification
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
21.2 27.9 HY 2013 HY 2014 32%
International FUM, £bn
40 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
M&G Successful diversification
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 HY 2014 Internal External 1.9x 254 244 228 201 198 174 External %
52%
Total FUM, £bn
49% 46% 45% 40% 52%
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
41 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
M&G Strong track record
75 122 172 175 204 227 HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011 HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014 3.0x
1 Excludes PruCap.M&G IFRS operating profit1, £m
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
42 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Agenda
Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G Cash and Dividend
43 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Delivering cash Free surplus generation
1 Comparatives adjusted for new and amended accounting standard and excludes Japan Life. 2 Central outgoings includes RHO costs.Surplus generation1 Net free surplus Dividend net of scrip
HY 2014 HY 2008 HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011
Central outgoings2 Investment in new business1
HY 2012
842 928 1,258 1,388 1,395 1,548 1,601 339 319 337 297 364 396 382 503 609 921 1,091 1,031 1,152 1,219 169 226 318 439 440 532 610 104 175 144 189 201 197 208
Reinvestment rate 40% Reinvestment rate 34% Reinvestment rate 27% Reinvestment rate 21% Reinvestment rate 26% Reinvestment rate 26%
2.4x HY 2013
Reinvestment rate 24%
Free surplus and dividend, £m
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
44 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
5.30 5.42 5.70 5.99 6.29 6.61 7.95 8.40 9.73 11.19 11.02 11.72 12.30 12.91 13.56 17.24 17.24 20.79 23.84 16.32 17.14 18.00 18.90 19.85 23.85 25.19 29.19 33.57
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
Delivering cash Dividend
Interim dividend
+5.6% +20.2% +5.0% +5.0% +5.0% +5.0%
Final dividend Total dividend
+15.0% +15.0%
Dividend, pence per share
+15.9%
Cash & Dividend Group Performance Asia Jackson UK Life M&G
45 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Business Review Tidjane Thiam
Prudential plc 2014 half year results Agenda Financial Review Nic Nicandrou Outlook Tidjane Thiam
46 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Key financial highlights HY14 continued strong performance
Free surplus generation Overview IFRS
profit
AER3
Other items
6% 7% 7% 11% CER4 13% 18% 17% 24% HY141 1,219 1,943 1,521 1,015 HY131 1,152 1,821 1,415 913 £m HY14 vs HY13
1 IFRS and EEV results and free surplus generation exclude Japan Life classified as held for sale. 2 The 2014 EEV results for the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis. 3 Actual exchange rates. 4 Constant exchange rates.New business profit2 IFRS operating profit EEV operating profit2 Free surplus generation
47 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
(7)% (8)% (9)% (13)% (23)% 0% (10)% (20)% (30)%
Currency mix Currency translation effect
21 45 17 17 38 37 11 14 US dollar UK sterling Other Asia Other Asia Asia - US dollar linked UK sterling US dollar Asia - US dollar linked USD HKD SGD MYR IDR
Average FX rate movement HY14 vs HY13, %
1 IFRS results and underlying free surplus generation exclude Japan Life classified as held for sale.Underlying free surplus generation1 by currency, % HY14 IFRS operating profit1 by currency, % HY14
Free surplus generation Overview IFRS
profit Other items
48 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Currency mix Currency translation effect
IFRS operating profit1, £m
1,415 (47) (72) 1,296 (5)% (3)% HY13 IFRS operating profit3 Impact of translating result on 2014 half year average rates HY13 new business profit3
Underlying free surplus generation1, £m
Impact on Group result from US contribution Impact on Group result from Asia contribution
2,954 2,462 HY13 IFRS operating profit4 913 (23) (73) 817 (3)% (8)% Impact of translating result on 2014 half year average rates HY13 new business profit4 1,821 (55) (115) 1,651 HY13 EEV operating profit3 Impact of translating result on 2014 half year average rates HY13 EEV operating profit4 (30) 1,152 (39) 1,083 HY13 free surplus generation3 Impact of translating result on 2014 half year average rates HY13 free surplus generation4 (3)% (3)% (6)% (3)%
EEV operating profit1,2, £m New business profit1,2, £m
1 IFRS and EEV results and free surplus generation exclude Japan Life classified as held for sale. 2 The 2014 EEV results for the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis. 3 HY13 result translated on HY13 average exchange rates. 4 HY13 result translated on HY14 average exchange rates.Free surplus generation Overview IFRS
profit Other items
49 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Key financial highlights Broad based growth
Group 13% 18% 17% 24% Asia US UK M&G3 n/a 19% 17% 19% 15% 23% 15% 20% 31% (8)% 26% 8% 45% 14% 14% 11% HY14 vs HY131, constant exchange rates IFRS operating profit EEV operating profit2 New business profit2 Free surplus generation
1 IFRS and EEV results and free surplus generation exclude Japan Life classified as held for sale. 2 The 2014 EEV results for the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the half year 2013 results are shown on a comparable basis. 3 Includes PruCap.Free surplus generation Overview IFRS
profit Other items
50 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
IFRS – Group Growing profit and improving quality
IFRS operating profit1, £m (CER)
17% 1,521
Free surplus generation Overview IFRS
profit Other items
1,296 HY13 CER HY14 38.7p 45.2p Operating EPS
58 188 149 Insurance income
Life IFRS1 operating profit up 20%, £m (CER)
974
HY13 CER Fee income Spread income Expenses net of DAC HY14 1,285 1,543 (158) Other income 21
1 IFRS results exclude Japan Life classified as held for sale.51 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
IFRS – Asia Continued strong growth in Asia life profits
Asia life1, sources of earnings £m (CER2) Asia life1, shareholder-backed policyholder liabilities (CER2)
30 Jun 2013 30 Jun 2014
£m, CER Asia US UK M&G
IFRS operating profit1, by business unit
Life Eastspring Change 11% 20% 24% 19% HY14 249 681 42 525 HY13 225 569 34 440 8% 386 356 19% 483 406
HY13 HY14 Shareholder-backed policyholder liabilities, £bn In-force premium3 flows, £m 23.4 20.2 16% 1,192 1,016 17% HY13 CER Margin on revenues +53 406 483 +21 Other income HY14 +8% +55 (52) Insurance margin Expenses / DAC adj. +20% +13% (8)% x% HY14 vs HY13 CER
1 IFRS results, shareholder-backed policyholder liabilities, in-force premium flows and sources of earnings exclude Japan Life classified as held for sale. 2 HY13 restated on constant exchange rate basis, reducing Asia life IFRS operating profit by £68 million, shareholder-backed policyholder liabilities by £2.7 billion, and in-force premium flows by £146 million. 3 Represents premiums received and receivable from business in-force, net of deductions.Free surplus generation Overview IFRS
profit Other items
52 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
IFRS – Asia Eastspring profit up 24%
Asia US UK M&G
IFRS operating profit1, by business unit
Life Eastspring 11% 20% 24% 19% 249 681 42 525 225 569 34 440 8% 386 356 19% 483 406
Eastspring, revenue drivers, £bn (CER2) Eastspring, earnings drivers, £m (CER2)
HY13 HY14 Fee income3, £m Cost / income ratio3 111 98 13% 59% 63% HY13 HY14 62.4 55.9 12% Growth +21% Retail/ Institutional4 55.4 66.8 Jun 2013 Jun 2014 +20% Internal
margin5 (bp)
35.2 35.6
HY13 HY14 Mix 21.2 25.4 34.2 41.4 Average AUM Closing AUM
1 IFRS result excludes Japan Life classified as held for sale. 2 HY13 restated on constant exchange rate basis, reducing Eastspring IFRS operating profit by £4 million, half year 2013 average funds under management by £6.8 billion and 30 June 2013 funds under management by £6.4 billion. 3 Fee income is before performance-related fees. 4 Including money market funds. 5 Margin represents operating income before performance-related fees as a proportion of average AUM. Half year figures have been annualised by multiplying by two.£m, CER Change HY14 HY13
Free surplus generation Overview IFRS
profit Other items
53 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
IFRS – US Jackson Life growth of 28%
Jackson separate account assets, US$bn Jackson, sources of income2, £m (CER3)
HY13 HY14
Asia US UK M&G Life Other 11% 20% (116)% 19% 249 681 (5) 525 225 569 31 440 8% 386 356 28% 686 538
30 Jun 2013 Inflows 13.8 91.1 1,361 1,107 +28% Fee Technical Spread +36% +5% 23% 48% 24% 27% 46% 22% 31% 122.2 17.3 Market movements 30 Jun 2014 +34%
IFRS operating profit1, by business unit
HY14 vs HY13
1 IFRS results exclude Japan Life classified as held for sale. 2 Sources of income represents fee income, insurance margin, spread income and the expected return on shareholder assets. 3 HY13 restated on constant exchange rate basis, reducing US life sources of income by £90 million.£m, CER Change HY14 HY13
Free surplus generation Overview IFRS
profit Other items
54 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
IFRS – UK UK Life growth of 10% in challenging market
Asia US UK M&G 11% 20% 19% 249 681 525 225 569 440 8% 386 356 Life Other (20)% 12 15 10% 374 341 Total annuities New business Shareholder-backed 374 HY14 135 7 25 172 HY13
Other Life With-profits result 60 147 239 341 132 17 54
209
UK Life IFRS operating profit, £m IFRS operating profit1, by business unit
In-force
232 192
1 IFRS results exclude Japan Life classified as held for sale.£m, CER Change HY14 HY13
Free surplus generation Overview IFRS
profit Other items
55 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
IFRS – M&G M&G IFRS profit up 11%
Asia US UK M&G 11% 20% 19% 249 681 525 225 569 440 8% 386 356 M&G PruCap 5% 22 21 11% 227 204
M&G, revenue drivers, £bn M&G, earnings drivers
HY13 HY14 Underlying fee income2, £m Cost / income ratio2 463 421 10% 54% 54% HY13 HY14 242.9 230.9 5% Growth +4% Retail Institutional 234.3 253.7 Jun 2013 Jun 2014 +10% +15% Internal
margin3 (bp)
36.5 38.1
HY13 HY14 Mix 62.6 72.0 55.5 60.8 116.2 120.9 Average AUM Closing AUM
IFRS operating profit1, by business unit
1 IFRS results exclude Japan Life classified as held for sale. 2 Represents fee income before performance-related fees and excludes income from associates. 3 Margin represents operating income before performance-related fees as a proportion of average AUM. Half year figures have been annualised by multiplying by two.£m, CER Change HY14 HY13
Free surplus generation Overview IFRS
profit Other items
56 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Net free surplus generation Increasing free surplus generation
Expected return from in-force Experience result Investment return on free surplus Asset management Net free surplus generation 1,116 HY14 1,219 1,601 1,361 58 HY13
Free surplus generation Overview IFRS
profit Other items
Life in-force result Gross free surplus generation Less: new business strain 187 240 382 983 1,083 1,445 1,211 36 192 234 362
Free surplus generation1, £m, (CER2)
Change 14% 13% 11% 12% 61% (3)% 3% 6% Asia HY14 294 634 HY13 433 293 547 371 US UK Change 0% 16% 17% Asia HY14 42 173 HY13 167 20 195 147 US UK Change 110% (11)% 14%
New business strain, £m (CER2) Life in-force result, £m (CER2)
1 Free surplus generation exclude Japan Life classified as held for sale. 2 HY13 restated on constant exchange rate basis, reducing net free surplus generation by £69 million, Asia life in-force result by £54 million, US life in-force result by £44 million, Asset management by £5 million, Asia new business strain by £18 million and US new business strain by £16 million.57 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
(537)
Asia US UK M&G3 216 352 246 160 190 294 226 134 HY13 HY14 +14% +20% +9% +19% Change
Net free surplus generation Underpinning cash to Group
1 Jan 20142
Movement in free surplus, £m
1,219 (974) 1 Jan 2014 30 Jun 2014 30 Jun 2014 3,968 Net free surplus generated Market /
movements Cash remitted to Group Cash remitted from BUs Dividends paid Central costs
5,160 4,186 2,230 1,902
Movement in central cash, £m
202% 201%1
x% Free surplus cover
(610) (315)
Corporate Actions/ Other
(155) (27) 974
1 As at 31 December 2013. 2 Includes £(35)m effect of domestication of Hong Kong branch. 3 Includes PruCap.Free surplus generation Overview IFRS
profit Other items
58 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
817 1,015 856 982
EEV operating profit (post-tax) Operating return on EEV of 16%1
HY13 HY14 Unwind 647 749 Experience3 172 224 Assumption 37 9 changes
Free surplus generation Overview IFRS
profit Other items
EEV Life operating profit2,3, £m (CER4)
1,997 New business profit In-force profit3 +24% +15% 1,673 HY14 HY13 CER
£m, CER4 Asia US UK Change 18% 19% 16% HY14 1,943 777 832 HY13 1,651 654 715 28% 388 304 AM Other (16)% (285) (245) 4% 231 223
EEV operating profit2, by business unit
Total Life 1,997 1,673 19%
1 Annualised by multiplying by two. 2 EEV results excludes Japan Life classified as held for sale. 3 Net of Asia development expenses (HY13: £(2)m, HY14: £(1)m). 4 HY13 restated on constant exchange rate basis, reducing Asia Life EEV operating profit by £112 million, US Life EEV operating profit by £53 million, Asset management by £5 million, in-force profit by £69 million and new business profit by £96 million.59 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
429 494 288 376
EEV operating profit Value creation through increasing NBP – up 24%
+45% US UK Asia 1,015 +15% +31% Volume +11% Mix / pricing / other +8% Economic effect (excl FX) +3%
Movement in NBP, HY14 vs HY13
Bulks +2% HY13 CER HY14
New business profit, £m (CER1)
817 69 76
Bulks
+24% CER 100 Asia US UK
IRR and payback periods
IRR >20% >20% >20% Payback period 3 years 5 years 2 years
1 HY13 restated on constant exchange rate basis, reducing Asia new business profit by £73 million and US new business profit by £23 million.Free surplus generation Overview IFRS
profit Other items
60 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Equity shareholders’ funds Summary of movement
IFRS Equity EEV Equity
HY14 £bn % vs HY13 HY14 per share HY14 £bn % vs HY13 HY14 per share After-tax operating profit 1.1 7% 45 1.9 7% 76 Investment variance 0.0 0.0 Profit for the period 1.1 214% 45 1.9 1% 76 Unrealised gain on AFS1 0.5 21 0.1 3 Foreign exchange and other2 0.0 (5) (0.4) (17) Dividend (0.6) (24) (0.6) (24) Retained earnings 1.0 37 1.0 38 Opening shareholders’ equity 9.6 377 24.9 971 Closing shareholders’ equity 10.6 414 25.9 1,009 Movement in period +9% +4%
Movement in shareholders’ funds
+9% +4%
1 For IFRS relates to JNL fixed income portfolio accounted as available for sale. For EEV, represents mark to market movements on JNL assets backing surplus and required capital. 2 Includes the effect of domestication of Hong Kong branch on 1 January 2014Free surplus generation Overview IFRS
profit Other items
61 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Balance sheet Well capitalised and defensively positioned
Maintained capital strength
Strong liquidity position
Credit position improved
Continued balance sheet conservatism
Free surplus generation Overview IFRS
profit Other items
62 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Good progress across key financial metrics
Improving earnings quality
Strong balance sheet position
2014 first half summary
Free surplus generation Overview IFRS
profit Other items
63 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Business Review Tidjane Thiam
Prudential plc 2014 half year results Agenda Financial Review Nic Nicandrou Outlook Tidjane Thiam
64 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Summary
65 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
1st to 4th December 2014 Singapore / Jakarta 1st to 4th December 2014 Singapore / Jakarta
RSVP: Investor.Relations@prudential.co.uk
67 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
68 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
9.73 11.19 23.84 33.57 2013 2014
Dividend 2014 Interim dividend increased by 15%
Interim dividend Final dividend Total dividend
+15%
to 11.19 pence per share
Dividend, pence per share
69 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Strategy A clear strategy underpinned by clear operating principles
Focus on Customers and Distribution
Balanced Metrics & Disclosures Disciplined Capital Allocation Proactive Risk Management
ASIA
Accelerate
US
Build on Strength
ASSET MANAGEMENT
Optimise
UK
Focus
Strategy Operating Principles
70 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Asia Long term opportunity
1 Geary-Khamis dollar, based on purchasing power parities with 1990 as benchmark year - one 1990 dollar has the same purchasing power as the US dollar in 1990. Prudential estimates. 2 NBP = New Business Profit; Prudential estimates based on information disclosed in company reports. Amongst pan Asian international (private) insurers.5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 1820 1830 1840 1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900 1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Indonesia Malaysia Singapore Philippines Thailand Hong Kong Vietnam China Korea Taiwan India
US GDP per capita
GDP per capita in 2010, against the US GDP per capita,1990 US$1
– Over 500,000 agents – Access to over 15,700 bank branches
71 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Mature Markets
Asia Favourable dynamics
1 Number in bracket denotes start of operation. 2 Source IMF. GDP in $bn for 2014 (estimated). Penetration rate based on customers at December 2013Prudential customers as a % of total population2 GDP ($bn)2 2015 GDP growth (%)2
0.9% 917 5.4 Indonesia (1995)1 0.2% 290 6.5 Philippines (1996) 11.5% 284 3.7 Hong Kong (1964) 0.7% 397 2.5 Thailand (1995) 0.3% 1,972 5.4 India (2000) 0.05% 9,874 7.5 China (2000) 1.0% 505 3.1 Taiwan (1999) 0.6% 1,267 3.7 Korea (2002)
7.2 Cambodia (2013)
7.8 Myanmar (2013)
JV’s Nascent Markets Sweet Spot markets
1.4% 180 5.6 Vietnam (1999) 6.1% 329 5.2 Malaysia (1924) 14.5% 307 3.6 Singapore (1931)
72 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Lehman collapse SARS scare Dotcom bubble Asia currency crisis Russian Rouble crisis Mexico: Tequila crisis US Black Monday crash
Asia Middle class contribution to GDP
Middle class in Asia (sweetspot)1, $bn
1 Sweetspot countries include Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Hong Kong, Thailand, Philippines and Vietnam. Household consumption as a component of GDP. Source: World Bank, IMF and Economic Research Division of Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Prudential estimates. Middle Class household consumption arrived at adjusting total household consumption data for income share held by the top 10% and bottom 10% of households.1,000
1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
73 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Asia Growing demand for healthcare
Household consumption by category1, %
1990 2010
100% = $0.5tn 100% = $1.3tn
1 Euromonitor, McKinsey, Prudential estimates.Food Housing Household products Healthcare Clothing Communications Transportation Education Recreation Personal items Semi-Necessities Necessities Discretionary
34 13 9 10 14 31 15 5 7 5 3 12 3 14 6 2 2 5 6 6
74 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Asia Significant protection gap in sweetspot markets
Share of medical expenses paid out-of-pocket1, %
11% 9% 16%
USA UK Japan
60% 59% 56% 56% 50% 42% 35% 35% 33% 31%
1 World Health Organisation – Global Health Expenditure Database (2011). For Hong Kong – Food and Health Bureau, Government of Hong Kong (2010). For Taiwan data is for the year 2006.75 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Asia Life Products meet customer needs and create shareholder value
Health and Protection – Out of pocket medical expenses1
1 Expenses for a male aged 50 for heart diseases and heart surgery treatment.Annual premium for a customer aged 50 (indexed)
100 81 27 19 73 Without insurance Basic Government insurance Prudential Protection Product
Saving Spend 100 114 117 123 143
Prudential
76 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Asia distribution Wealth and financial assets ownership
70% 38% 16% 9% 20% 21% 9% 18% 24% 12% 24% 39%
Per capita income level Bank Deposits
Asset Mgt
Non-Life Life
Up to $2,000 $2,000 to $15,000 $15,000+
Source: Oliver Wyman analysis; Prudential analysis.Breakdown of personal financial assets
77 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Asia Affordable products underpin consumer demand
1 Average Prudential customer spend on insurance products. 2 Source: OECD, UN population stats, Prudential estimates. Premium spend includes healthcare expenditure by private and public sources except for the US. Healthcare spend data adjusted for working age population and unemployment rates.Healthcare spend as % of average annual income2 5.0% 12% 11% 11% 10% Prudential Example US France Germany UK 46 54 Premiums as a proportion of average annual income
Linked premium
Premiums paid = 9%
annual income
100% = average annual income
H&P premium
% of premium used to purchase benefit
Prudential product premium1 Developed markets health insurance spend2
78 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
375 460 690 726 844 216 352 246 160 HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011 HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014
Delivering cash Free surplus and cash remittances
+15% 609 921 1,091 1,031 1,152 1,219
HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011 HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014
+6%
Asia US UK M&G incl PruCap
974
1 Comparatives adjusted for new and amended accounting standard and excludes Japan Life.Business unit net remittances, £m Underlying free surplus generated1, £m
79 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
(974)
Cash and capital generation Increasing free surplus stock
Free surplus 1 Jan 20141,2
3,968 (382) xxx 4,186
Underlying in-force surplus generated Investment in new business Market related movements, timing differences and
Net cash remitted to Group Free surplus before Group actions
5,160
Asia 1,275 US 1,074 UK 1,170 M&G3 449 Asia 1,387 US 1,163 UK 1,130 Free surplus 30 June 2014 Asia 469 UK 303 M&G 200 M&G3 506
1,601
x% Free surplus cover 202%
US 629
Evolution of free surplus, £m
201%4
(27)
Underlying free surplus £1,219m
80 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Net cash remittances UK and other
237 268 263 265 230 226 246 97 107 197 425 496 618 728
HY 2008 HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011 HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014
+20%
CAGR (UK Life + Other)
UK Life Other
Business unit net remittances, £m
81 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Cash and capital Central cash resources
Opening balance of central cash resources Net remittances to Group Corporate cash costs, interest and tax received Other items Closing balance of central cash resources Dividend
HY 2014
974 (155) (610) (537) 1,902 Operating holding co cashflow +£209m 2,230
FY 2012
1,200 1,200 (289) (655) (76) 1,380 Operating holding co cashflow +£256m
FY 2013
1,341 (315) (781) 605 2,230 Operating holding co cashflow +£245m 1,380
Development of central cash resources, £m
82 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
New business growth Group life APE
1 Excluding Japan.888 936 880 977 964 1,066 1,048 1,117 1,038 1,124 1,103 1,158 1,176 1,124 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14
H1 13: £2,162m H2 12: £2,165m H1 12: £2,030m H2 11: £1,857m H1 11: £1,824m +17%,CER H2 13: £2,261m H1 14: £2,300m
Life APE1, £m
83 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
New business growth Group life new business profit
349 407 336 444 383 435 426 547 410 503 509 660 529 486 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14
1 The 2014 EEV results for the Group are presented on a post-tax basis and, accordingly, the prior quarterly results are shown on a comparable basis. Excludes Japan.Life new business profit1, £m
H1 13: £913m H2 12: £973m H1 12: £818m H2 11: £780m H1 11: £756m H2 13: £1,169m H1 14: £1,015m +24%,CER
84 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
New business growth Group life returns on new business investment
1 Free surplus invested in new business; excludes Japan.1.1 1.4 1.9 2.5 2.2 2.3 2.7 HY 2008 HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011 HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014
Post-tax new business profit per £ of new business strain1
85 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Asia New business sales
1 Excludes Japan and Taiwan agency325 296 274 279 276 248 282 403 359 354 353 435 367 376 404 513 443 456 429 569 495 515 513 602 507 489 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14
1,174 1,209 1,501 1,660 1,897 2,125
Cash
996 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 HY 2014
Asia APE by quarter1, £m
86 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
198 184 155 86 43 42 60 47 21 21 25 258 184 172 91 57 54 48 44 42 23 22
Asia Life APE by market
1 Singapore includes onshore only, excluding Eldershield and DPS 2 Includes Takaful sales @100%. 3 Ranking amongst foreign JVs. 4 Ranking amongst private players. 5 #2 ranking based on most recent industry sharing data. Source: Based on formal (Competitors’ results release, local regulators and insurance associations) and informal (industry exchange) market share data. Ranking based on new business (APE or weighted FYP depending on the availability of data).+30% +0% +11% +6%
+33% +10%
+29% +100%
1st 4th 1st 1st 1st 2nd 18th 1st 14th
Indonesia
HY 2013 HY 2014 Ranking
Hong Kong Singapore1 Malaysia2 Taiwan India 26%4 Korea China 50%3 Vietnam Philippines5 Thailand
1st 8th
Asia APE by market, £m (Constant Exchange Rate)
X%
HY 2014 v HY 2013
87 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Asia Life APE sales by product
62 60 57 59 65 59 55 44 46 38 43 44 44 39 42 37 34 31 36 28 29 28 27 31 30 30 24 27 23 27 17 18 19 20 18 20 22 30 24 30 27 27 24 27 25 31 29 32 24 34 30 33 34 30 29 32 29 30 28 31 18 19 21 17 14 19 20 23 26 25 26 27 29 30 30 28 33 33 33 33 35 34 31 34 34 33 38 35 40 35 3 3 3 4 2 2 4 3 4 7 5 3 3 3 3 3 5 4 7 5 6 5 8 5 7 5 9 8 9 7 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Linked Health Par Other
Asia APE by product, %
88 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Asia Life Flows and persistency
Asia Life gross flows1,2, £bn
Surrenders/withdrawals as % of opening liabilities
1 Defined as movements in shareholder-backed policyholder liabilities arising from premiums (after deducting insurance & other margins). 2 Excludes Japan and Taiwan agencyAsia Life gross flows (ex-India)1,2, £bn
1.6 1.8 1.9 2.3 2.2
6.2% 5.1% 5.2% 5.6% 4.7%
0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5
HY 10 HY 11 HY 12 HY 13 HY 14
1.2 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.0
5.5% 4.8% 4.8% 5.2% 4.4%
HY 10 HY 11 HY 12 HY 13 HY 14
89 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
US retail sales and deposits HY 2014
$457 $7,262 $1,058 $957 $2 $1,456 $439 $8,711 $1,532 $304 $1,365
HY 2013 = $13,152m HY 2014 = $14,843m
$1,960 $2,492
Retail sales and deposits, $m
Variable Annuities – with living benefits Fixed Annuities Elite Access Index Annuities Life insurance Curian Variable Annuities – w/o living benefits, non EA
90 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
US Life VA volumes
2,052 2,368 2,370 2,324 1,780 1,769 1,505 1,412 1,508 2,250 2,909 3,335 3,134 3,686 3,658 4,176 4,553 4,974 4,212 3,756 4,383 5,258 5,656 4,427 5,189 5,473 6,383 6,352 218 412 715 836
1,124
991
1,094 1,136 1,356
4,565 5,715 Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08 Q3 08 Q4 08 Q1 09 Q2 09 Q3 09 Q4 09 Q1 10 Q2 10 Q3 10 Q4 10 Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12 Q2 12 Q3 12 Q4 12 Q1 13 Q2 13 Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14
12th 11th 12th 12th 12th 12th 12th 12th 8th 5th 4th 4th 4th 4th 3rd 3rd 3rd 3rd
27% 28% 53% 46%
3rd 3rd
45%
3rd 3rd
FY New business margin (post tax)2 Ranking Elite Access
2nd
12nd
42%
1st 1st
50% 46%
1st 1st 1st 1st
VA volumes by quarter, sales US$m
91 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
1.9 2.1 1.9 2.3 6.5 8.3 HY 2013 HY 2014 IBD RBD/Wirehouse Bank
US Life Variable annuity distribution
IBD: Independent Broker/Dealer, RBD: Regional Broker Dealer.10.3
+24%
HY 2014 includes $2.5bn of Elite Access sales (HY 13, $2.0bn)
12.7
Variable annuity sales by distribution channel, US$bn
92 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
US Life New business margin
43% 24% 44% 12% 46% 21% Variable Annuities US Other HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014
New business margin (post tax), % APE
93 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
US IFRS profit DAC impact on results
1 Gross profits equals IFRS operating profit pre acquisition costs and pre DAC, excluding REALIC. 2 Represents acquisition costs no longer deferrable following the adoption of altered US GAAP principles for deferred acquisition costs.2013 HY 2013 HY 2014 Gross profits1
1,716 818 948
New business strain2
(198) (93) (103)
DAC Amortisation
(485) (219) (249)
82 20 10
Operating result
1,115 526 606
Core as % of Gross profits 28% 27% 26% Impact on results of DAC amortisation, £m
94 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
US Life Policyholder behaviour
15% 11% 5% 6% 5% 5% 6% 7% 42% 55% 79% 82% 86% 80% 65% 66% 7% 21% 21% 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 HY 2014
GMWB (for life) No benefit
Optional benefits elected, % of initial benefits elected (New business)
Elite Access
95 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
US Life Asset growth
34.6 37.9 42.2 43.8 45.2 48.1 47.1 46.7 50.0 47.7 48.6 48.8 62.7 62.1 62.5 5.6 5.1 4.4 7.1 10.4 14.7 22.3 30.0 20.9 33.3 48.9 58.8 80.1 108.8 122.2 40.2 43.0 46.6 50.9 55.6 62.8 69.3 76.7 70.9 81.0 97.5 107.6 142.8 170.9 184.7 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 HY 2014
General account Separate account
Growth in statutory admitted assets, US$bn
HY 14 v 2013 increase: $13.8bn Net Inflows: $7.8bn Market Movements: $6.0bn
96 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Resilient balance sheet GMWB policyholder behaviour sensitivities
1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 Total Adjusted Capital IFRS SH equity
GMWB policyholder behaviour sensitivities, HY 2014 US$bn
Total Lapse sensitivity impact Utilisation sensitivity impact
a comprehensive study is conducted on an annual basis
the conservative end of the plausible range (i.e. best estimate with an explicit margin for conservatism). For example, – Surrender – GMWB ultimate surrender assumptions at significantly ITM levels are assumed to be 33% of the base surrender assumptions – Utilisation – For-Life GMWB utilisation assumptions at attained ages 65+ are 60-80% (with special provisions for benefits with incentives to delay withdrawals)
Statutory Capital were computed under severe shocks to these already conservative assumptions. The shocks were as follows: – Surrender – surrender rates for ITM policies were reduced to half the assumed levels. For example, ultimate surrender rates on significantly ITM policies were reduced from 33% to 17% of the base surrender level, resulting in ultimate surrender rates of less than 2% for most plan types – Utilisation – utilisation rates beyond the bonus period, if applicable, were increased by an absolute 10%. For example, utilisation rates of 60-80% on For-Life contracts at attained ages 60+ were increased to 70%-90%
97 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
(700) (600) (500) (400) (300) (200) (100)
Equity hedge instruments VA reserve changes Interest rate hedges IFRS net hedge result
Hedging result IFRS impact ‘below-the-line’
Non-operating fee income, net of claims
(359) (229) 190 110 (288)
2014 half year VA hedge results, net of related DAC, £m
98 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
IFRS net hedge results Fair value adjustment to reserves ‘Economic’ hedge result
Hedging result Moving IFRS hedge result to ‘economic’ result
Adjustments to
carried at cost Adjustment to full fees Other
2014 half year VA ‘economic’ hedge results, net of related DAC, £m
(350) (300) (250) (200) (150) (100) (50) 50 (288) (61) (150) 291 (112) 20
99 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Guarantee Benefit Liability Supplemental Disclosure1, net of DAC, £m
As recorded2 Change in rates3 Hypothetical fair value with full fees Adjustment to full fees4 Volatility adjustment5
VA hedging Moving reserves to ‘fair value’
Revised liability, excluding volatility adjustment (1,200) (1,000) (800) (600) (400) (200) 200 (1,081) (1,029) 19 (1,010) (105) 157
1 A positive number indicates liability while a negative number indicates an asset. 2 GMWB and GMDB IFRS basis 3 Application of market based (30.06.14) swap curve earned rates (2.6% representative 10 year rate) and AA corporate bond discount rates (3.7% representative 10 year rate) in place of long-term rate of 7.4% for IFRS (8.4% discount rate used for pre-2013 issues) 4 Value of fees over and above those in reserve calculations 5 Application of market based (30.06.14) volatility curve (18.4% representative 5 year rate) instead of long-term 15% level for IFRS100 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Jackson Capital, hedging and policyholder behaviour
Total adjusted Capital US$bn 31 Dec 2013 4.8 Operating profit 0.5 Dividend (0.6) Reserves net of hedging and other market effects
4.7
mitigate risks
swaps: $220m at June 2014 (Dec 2013: loss of $1.2m)
in HY 2014). Expected guarantee fees of $1.3bn for 2014 continue to be sufficient to cover cost of hedging
assumption
at HY2014
101 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Life IFRS operating profit Source of earnings
Spread income Fee income Technical and
Expected return on shareholder assets The net investment return we make primarily on annuity and other spread based business The fees net of investment expenses charged on our linked and separate account business for managing the assets Profits derived from the insurance risks of mortality, morbidity and persistency The operating return we make on shareholder net assets With-profits Acquisition costs Administration expense DAC and other adjustment Our share of bonus declared by the with- profits fund in the period Acquisition costs incurred on shareholder-backed new business including commission Expenses and renewal commissions incurred by the shareholder in managing the in-force book Costs deferred at inception net of costs amortised during life
102 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Life IFRS operating profit Source of earnings
Acquisition costs Administration expenses DAC adjustments
Life Income
=
Other adjustments Life Operating profit
Life Expenses
+/-
Fee income Technical and
With-profits Expected return on shareholder assets
103 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Life IFRS operating profit Source of earnings – Group (1/3)
Note: HY13 financial performance comparatives exclude Japan Life following reclassification as held for sale. Comparatives adjusted for new and amended accounting standards.
=
Life Expenses
+/-
Income
Total Life income
3,075 2,659 16%
Total Life expenses
(1,701) (1,535) (11)%
DAC adjustments
169 161 5%
Total Operating profit
1,543 1,285 20%
£m except reserves £bn Source HY 2014 HY 2013 (CER) +/- £m
104 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Life IFRS operating profit Source of earnings – Group (2/3)
=
Total Life income
3,075 2,659 16%
Total Life expenses
(1,701) (1,535) (11)%
Total Operating profit
1,543 1,285 20%
DAC adjustments
169 161 5%
Spread income 557 499 12% Fee income 764 615 24% Technical and
1,488 1,300 14% With-profits 150 153 (2)% Expected returns 116 92 26% Spread (bps) 172 160 12 Average reserves (£bn) 64.7 62.5 4% AMF (bps) 144 140 4 Average reserves (£bn) 106.1 87.7 21% Margin on revenues 808 749 8% Insurance margin 680 551 23% Bonus (bps) 31 32 (1) Average reserves (£bn) 98.0 96.4 2% £m except reserves £bn Source HY 2014 HY 2013 (CER) +/- £m except reserves £bn
Note: HY13 financial performance comparatives exclude Japan Life following reclassification as held for sale. Comparatives adjusted for new and amended accounting standards.
105 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Life IFRS operating profit Source of earnings – Group (3/3)
1 Relates to shareholder-backed business only. 2 HY13 financial performance comparatives exclude Japan Life following reclassification as held for sale. Comparatives adjusted for new and amended accounting standards
Total Life expenses
(1,701) (1,535) (11)%
APE
2,300 1,974 17%
Acquisition cost ratio
43% 46% (3) ppt
Acquisition costs1
(1,000) (917) (9)%
Administration expenses
(701) (618) (13)%
Admin expense ratio (bps)
78 79 (1)
Average reserves1 (£bn)
178.6 156.8 14%
£m except reserves £bn Source HY 2014 HY 2013 (CER) +/- £m except reserves £bn
106 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
IFRS operating profit – source of earnings Life insurance - Asia
£m except reserves £bn
Total operating profit 483 406 19%
=
724 669 Margin on revenues 8% 314 261 Insurance margin 20% Increase in technical margin due to growth in H&P book. Insurance margin also benefits from claims controls and pricing actions Technical and
1,038 930 12% Spread income 62 49 27% 146 147 Spread (bps) (1) 8.5 6.7 Average reserves 27% Increase in spread income reflects the growth in Asian non-linked policyholder liabilities Fee income 74 69 7% 104 108 AMF (bps) (4) 14.2 12.8 Average reserves 11% Higher fee income driven by growth in unit-linked reserves With-profits 15 20 (25)% Expected returns 31 23 35%
Total Life expenses (777) (693) (12)% DAC adjustments 40 8 400% Total Life income 1,220 1,091 12% Source
HY14 HY13 (CER)
+/-
107 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
IFRS operating profit – source of earnings Life insurance - US
DAC amortisation (239) (184) (30)%
658 513 28% 193 197 AMF (bps) (4) 68.2 52.2 Average reserves 31% Increase reflects impact of net flows (including Elite Access) and positive markets on separate account balances 258 242 Spread (bps) 16 28.2 28.8 Average reserves (2)% Increase as negative effect of lower yields is more than offset by the positive effect of lower average crediting rates 364 348 5% Spread income Expected returns 11 4 175%
Total operating profit 686 538 28%
Technical and
328 242 36% Increase in technical and other margin reflects positive net flows from variable annuity business with life contingent and other guarantee fees
Total Life income 1,361 1,107 23% Total Life expenses (810) (729) (11)% Expense deferrals 374 344 9%
+
=
Source
HY14 HY13 (CER)
+/-
108 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
IFRS operating profit – source of earnings Life insurance - UK
Fee income 32 33 (3)% 27 29 AMF (bps) (2) 23.7 22.7 Average reserves 4% Expected returns 74 65 14% Spread income 131 102 28% 93 75 Spread (bps) 18 28.1 27.1 Average reserves 4%
Spread income increase reflects bulk annuity transactions in HY 2014
With-profits 135 133 2%
Increase due to higher policyholder bonuses
Total operating profit 374 341 10%
=
Total Life income 494 461 7% Total Life expenses (114) (113) (1)% DAC adjustments (6) (7) 14%
80 Margin on revenues 5% 38 48 Insurance margin (21)% Technical and
122 128 (5)%
Insurance margin decrease reflects the non-recurrence of the longevity swap in HY13
£m except reserves £bn
Source
HY14 HY13
+/-
109 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
IFRS operating profit – source of earnings Asset management
M&G Operating profit 227 204 11% Underlying income 463 421 10% Total expenses (249) (226) (10)% Cost / income ratio4 54% 54%
36 Average fees (bps) 2 243 231
Average assets (£bn)
5% Eastspring investments 42 34 24% Total income3 111 99 12% Total expenses (69) (65) (6)% Cost / income ratio4 59% 63% (4)ppt 36 35
Average fees (bps)
1 62 56
Average assets (£bn)
11%
Asset Management Operating profit1,2 269 238 13%
1 IFRS results have been prepared under new joint venture accounting standards. HY 2013 comparatives have been adjusted on a comparable basis. 2 Excludes PruCap and US asset management business. 3 Includes performance-related fees and for M&G, carried interest and its share of operating profit from PPMSA. 4 Cost/income ratio excludes performance-related fees, carried interest and profit from associate.Other income3
13 9 44% £m except reserves £bn Source HY 2014 HY 2013 (CER) +/- £m except average assets £bn
110 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Life IFRS operating income – Asia Sources of income
1 Excludes margin on revenues, acquisition and administration expenses and DAC adjustments. 2 HY13 financial performance comparatives exclude Japan Life following reclassification as held for sale. Comparatives adjusted for new and amended accounting standardsHY 2013 CER HY 2014 Growth % HY 2014 vs. HY 2013 (CER) +27% +7% (25)% +35% +20% 12% 16% 62% 5% 5% 422
Insurance margin Fee income Expected return on shareholder assets With-profits Spread income
63% 15% 15% 13% 3% 6% 496
Asia IFRS operating income1, £m
+18%
111 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
HY 2013 CER HY 2014 1%
Life IFRS operating income – US Sources of income
1 Excludes margin on revenues, acquisition and administration expenses and DAC amortisation.31% 22% 46% 1,107
Insurance margin Fee income Expected return on shareholder assets Spread income
48% 24% 27% 1% 1,361
US IFRS operating income1, £m
Growth % HY 2014 vs. HY 2013 (CER) +23% +175% +5% +28% +36%
112 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Life IFRS operating income – UK Sources of income
1 Excludes margin on revenues, acquisition and administration expenses and DAC amortisation.HY 2013 HY 2014 27% 9% 12% 35% 17% 381
Insurance margin Fee income Expected return on shareholder assets With-profits Spread income
33% 9% 8% 32% 18% 410
UK IFRS operating income1, £m
Growth % HY 2014 vs. HY 2013 +8% +14% +2% +28% (3)% (21)%
113 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
1,991 2,222 2,448 2,925 3,075
736 834 928 1,215 1,374
1,255 1,388 1,520 1,703 1,701 736 834 928 1,222 1,374
Life IFRS operating income Higher quality earnings
Expenses
1.5x
HY 2013
“Cash profit” Life Income1
HY 2012 HY 2011 HY 2010
1.9x
1 HY13 and prior year financial performance comparatives exclude Japan Life following reclassification as held for sale. Comparatives adjusted for new and amended accounting standards 2 Life income is sum of spread income, fee income, technical and other margin, with-profits and expected returns.Expenses “Cash profit” Life Income1 Expenses “Cash profit” Life Income1 Expenses “Cash profit” Life Income1
“Cash profit”1: Income2 – Expenses (before impact of DAC adjustment), £m
Expenses “Cash profit” Life Income1
HY 2014
114 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Net inflows2 £5.7bn 3.2% of CER opening reserves
account £4.2bn; other reserves £1.5bn
Liabilities 1 Jan 2014 CER opening liabilities Investment related and other Foreign exchange Liabilities 30 Jun 2014
180.1
Asia net inflows US net inflows UK net outflows
Policyholder liabilities Shareholder backed business – Group
1 Shareholder-backed business. 2 Defined as movements in shareholder-backed policyholder liabilities arising from premiums, surrenders, maturities and deaths.(4.0) 176.1 6.3 188.1 0.9 5.0 (0.2)
Policyholder liabilities1 roll-forward, £bn
115 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Policyholder liabilities Shareholder backed business – Asia
Maturities, deaths and surrenders CER opening liabilities Investment related and
Foreign exchange
21,931 (1,304) 1,030
Premiums
2,195
Net inflows1 £891m 4.1% of CER opening policyholder liabilities
Liabilities 1 Jan 2014 Liabilities 30 Jun 2014
21,498 (433) 23,419
Policyholder liabilities roll-forward1, £m
116 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Policyholder liabilities Shareholder backed business – US
1 Defined as movements in shareholder-backed policyholder liabilities arising from premiums, surrenders, maturities and deaths.107,411 (3,560) 103,851 8,435 (3,458) 112,009 3,181
Net inflows1 £4,977m 4.8% of CER
Policyholder liabilities roll-forward, £m
Maturities, deaths and surrenders CER opening liabilities Investment related and
Foreign exchange Premiums Liabilities 1 Jan 2014 Liabilities 30 Jun 2014
117 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Liabilities 1 Jan 2014
Policyholder liabilities Shareholder backed business – UK
Shareholders’ maturities, deaths and surrenders Investment related and
50,779 2,094 (2,234)
Shareholders’ Premiums Liabilities 30 June 2014
Net outflows1 £(140)m (0.3)% of
2,048 52,687
Policyholder liabilities roll-forward1, £m
118 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Opening 3rd party FUM Asia1 Investment markets/other M&G net flows Closing 3rd party FUM
143,916 3,239 4,211 153,849 150,610 2,483
Sub-Total
Asset management Group 3rd party net-inflows
1 Excludes Asia MMF.Asset Management movement in 3rd party FUM1, £m
119 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Asset Management M&G net retail sales
500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 HY 2014
Gross sales Net sales
Average monthly gross and net retail sales, £m
120 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Asset Management M&G – retail FUM
16.0 26.1 33.5 36.0 40.4 43.5 44.0 3.1 5.0 9.0 8.2 14.5 23.7 27.9 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 HY 2014
UK / Other Europe 16% 21% 19% 26% 35% 16% 39%
Retail funds under management, £bn
X%
Europe FUM as % of Retail FUM
121 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
IFRS shareholders’ funds HY 2014 movement
Operating profit Short term fluctuations in investment returns Amortisation of acquisition accounting adjustment Dividend FX impact (net
Tax Net movement US unrealised value change
9,650 (610) 527 (279) 10 (45) 1,521 10,625 20
Other1 Shareholders’ funds 1 Jan Shareholders’ funds 30 Jun
(117)
Sub-total
11,235
1 Movements in own shares OEICs, new share capital subscribed, movements in share schemes treasury stocks and reserve movements in respect of share based payments.Cost of domestication
branch
(8)
Actuarial loss / gain on DB pension schemes
(44)
Analysis of movement in IFRS shareholders’ funds, £m
+16%
122 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
EEV shareholders’ funds HY 2014 movement
Shareholders’ funds 1 Jan Operating Profit Short term fluctuations in investment returns Actuarial gain
pension scheme Economic assumption changes Mark to market
Dividend FX impact (net
Other
24,856 (11) 1,943 24,845 432 10 (610) (377) 25,893 84
Shareholders’ funds 30 Jun
(368) 26,503
Sub-total
(66)
Domestication of Hong Kong business Restated
Shareholders’ funds 1 Jan
Analysis of movement in EEV shareholders’ funds, £m
+7%
123 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
EEV operating profit Life operating variances – Group
Experience variances and assumption changes % opening EEV1
1 Opening EEV of Life operations, excluding goodwill. Note: Unwind & Experience variances / assumption changes are on a post tax basis and excludes Japan.358 432 493 500 584 632 566 706 749 (3) 101 40 (60) 64 166 229 221 234
HY 2006 HY 2007 HY 2008 HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011 HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014 Unwind Experience variances and assumption changes
Group Life operating variances, £m
0.0% 0.9% 0.3% (0.4)% 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 1.0%
124 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
EEV operating profit In-force performance
(7) 19 (3) 14
Asia in-force1, £338m US in-force, £401m UK in-force, £243m
Persistency & withdrawals Mortality / Morbidity and Other items Spread Other items Total variances / other 96 113 108 101 14
1 Net of Asia development expenses (HY2013: £(2)m, HY 2014: £(1)m). Excludes Japan life following reclassification as held for sale.HY13 HY14 X% In-force change from HY13 to HY14
+4% +19% +1%
125 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS 91 113 151 197 254 286 250 315 328 (8) 19 (16) (98) (47) (22) 10 12 11
HY 2006 HY 2007 HY 2008 HY 2009 HY 2010 HY 2011 HY 2012 HY 2013 HY 2014
EEV operating profit Life operating variances – Asia
1 Opening EEV of Life operations, excluding goodwill. Note: Unwind & Experience variances / assumption changes are on a post tax basis and excludes Japan.Asia Life operating variances, £m
Unwind Experience variances and assumption changes
(0.4)% 0.7% (0.4)% (1.9)% (0.8)% (0.3)% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% Experience variances and assumption changes % opening EEV1
126 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
IGD surplus 31 December 2013 Net capital generation Reduction in SHIFT asset allowance1 Upfront fee for renewal of Standard Chartered distribution agreement Market movement Fx impact 2013 year-end dividend payment External financing and other central costs (net of tax) IGD surplus 30 June 2014
IGD capital Movement during the period
5.1 0.8 (0.2) (0.7) 0.1 (0.1) (0.6) (0.3) 4.1
1 The Group recognises a proportion of the shareholders’ interest in future transfers from the UK’s with-profit business. This is being removed in two equal steps in January 2013 and January 2014.IGD capital – movement in first half of 2014, £bn
127 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Invested assets Group overview
Total Group PAR Funds Unit- Linked
Asia Life US Life UK Life Other Total
Debt securities 134.2 56.1 9.8 6.9 30.6 28.8 2.0 68.3 Equity 130.6 32.1 97.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.1 1.1 Property Investments 11.8 9.4 0.7 0.0 0.0 1.7 0.0 1.7 Mortgage loans (commercial & retail) 6.5 1.4 0.0 0.1 3.5 1.5 0.0 5.1 Other loans 5.9 2.0 0.0 0.3 2.6 0.0 1.0 3.9 Deposits 13.0 10.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.9 0.0 1.2 Other Investments 6.8 4.6 0.0 0.3 1.4 0.3 0.2 2.2 Total 308.8 116.5 108.8 8.6 38.4 33.2 3.3 83.5
Shareholders
Breakdown of invested assets – HY 2014, £bn
128 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
15%
Invested assets Group shareholder exposures – Sovereign debt
Total £68.3bn
SH sovereign exposures by regions & ratings1, £m
Sovereign
1 Includes Credit Default Swaps.US UK Europe Asia Other Total
AAA
356 511 3 4,344 AA-BBB 3,125
1,745 47 5,043 Below BBB
Total 3,125 3,474 482 3,239 50 10,370
Europe by key countries, £m
Germany “PIIGS” Other Total
Europe 356 59 67 482
Portugal Italy Ireland Greece Spain Total
PIIGS
59
Breakdown of the shareholder debt securities portfolio, %
129 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
2.7%
Invested assets Group shareholder exposures – hybrid bank debt
Total £68.3bn
Exposure to Tier 1 and Tier 2 hybrid bank debt, £m
Banks
US UK France Germany “PIIGS” Other Eurozone Other Total
Tier 2 453 644 74 63 23 58 290 1,605 Tier 1 32 54 18
80 259
Breakdown of the shareholder debt securities portfolio, %
130 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Shareholder invested assets – PIIGS countries as at 30 June 2014, £m
Sovereign Bank debt Institution Covered Senior Tier II Tier I Total Portugal
Banco Espirito Santo
28
28
Ireland
Italy
58 Intesa SanPaolo
Greece
1 Santander 116 12 23
Total
59 116 103 23
Total PIIGS sovereign & bank debt = £301m
0.4%
Total £68.3bn
PIIGS sovereign & bank debt
Resilient balance sheet Total PIIGS sovereign and bank debt of only £290m
Breakdown of the shareholder debt securities portfolio, %
131 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Invested assets UK asset quality – credit reserve
1 Ratings from different agencies aggregated for presentational purpose. Also includes internal ratings. 2 For Prudential Retirement Income Limited (PRIL).securities
materially in line with prior year2 – Pillar 1 (IGD) 61 bps (FY 2013: 62 bps) – IFRS 42 bps (FY 2013: 43 bps)
UK shareholder debt securities portfolio by rating1 14% 27% 36% 21% 2% BBB A BB or below AA AAA Strength of the £1.9bn credit reserve 77% A or above
Total £28.8bn
132 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Total £22.9bn 4% 39% 52% 5%
22 1 3 2 2 <1
Invested assets US asset quality – corporate debt portfolio (1/3)
£30.6bn AAA and AA BBB BB and below 95% Investment Grade, 5% High Yield A 43% A or above Corporate Bond Portfolio, % by rating US Shareholder Debt Securities Portfolio Market value, £bn Other RMBS CMBS HY IG Corporate Bonds Govt
133 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
6%
8%
5% 4% 8% 9% 14% 6% 5% 5% 6% 3% 4% 13%
Invested assets US asset quality – corporate debt portfolio (2/3)
Investment Grade Corporate Bond Portfolio, % by sector
Banking Capital Goods Consumer Cyclical Consumer Non-Cyclical Energy Financial Services 2% Insurance Media Real Estate Services Healthcare Technology & Electronics Telecom Utility Basic Industry Automotive 2%
Total £21.8bn
with an average holding of £31m £30.6bn US Shareholder Debt Securities Portfolio Market value, £bn Other RMBS CMBS HY IG Corporate Bonds Govt
22 1 3 2 2 <1
134 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Invested assets US asset quality – corporate debt portfolio (3/3)
High Yield Corporate Bond Portfolio, % by sector
across 151 issuers, with an average holding
11% 6% 4% 15% 6% 15% 8% 11% 13% 5% 3%
Total £1.1bn
Basic Industry Capital Goods Consumer Cyclical Consumer Non-Cyclical 2% Energy Financial Services Media Services Healthcare Technology & Electronics 1% Telecom Utility Automotive
£30.6bn US Shareholder Debt Securities Portfolio Market value, £bn Other RMBS CMBS HY IG Corporate Bonds Govt
22 1 3 2 2 <1
135 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Invested assets US asset quality – RMBS portfolio
Total Portfolio Agency Guaranteed Senior Pre-2005 Senior 2005 Senior 2006/07 Non
Sub
Market Value £m FV Price 2006/07 <1 3 2005 2 70 Pre 2005 46 89
1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 <0.1
Average Fair Value (FV) Price
98 107 82 102 91 88 94 Non-Agency RMBS
Breakdown of the RMBS portfolio – £bn Other RMBS CMBS £30.6bn Govt US Shareholder Debt Securities Portfolio Market value, £bn HY IG Corporate Bonds
22 1 3 2 2 <1
136 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
49% 20% 22% 8%
Invested assets US asset quality – CMBS portfolio
CMBS portfolio, % by rating AAA AA BBB A Total £2.2bn BB and lower = 1%
is 32%
super-senior AAA tranches Other RMBS CMBS £30.6bn HY IG Corporate Bonds Govt US Shareholder Debt Securities Portfolio Market value, £bn
22 1 3 2 2 <1
137 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
Invested assets US asset quality – commercial mortgage loan portfolio
29% 29% 11% 20% 9%
Total £3.5bn
Industrial Multi-Family Office Retail Hotels
– Average loan size of £6.5m – Spread across property type – Geographic diversification
– Portfolio performing well in current environment – Current average LTV of 60% – Problem loan balances at 30 June 2014
– £6m write-downs during H1 2014 – £1m increase in specific reserves, offset by a £3m decrease in general reserve Other 2% Breakdown by property type, %
138 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
21 45 17 17 38 37 11 14
Currency mix 2014 half year
IFRS operating profit, %
14 37 30 19
New business profit, % EEV operating profit, % Underlying free surplus generation, %
15 40 27 18
1 US$ linked, comprising the Hong Kong and Vietnam operations where the currencies are pegged to the US dollar and the Malaysia and Singapore operations where the currencies are managed against a basket of currencies including the US dollar.UK sterling UK sterling UK sterling UK sterling US dollar US dollar US dollar US dollar
Asia - US dollar linked1 Other Asia Other Asia Other Asia Other Asia Asia - US dollar linked1 Asia - US dollar linked1 Asia - US dollar linked1
139 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
20 44 19 17 42 35 14 9
Currency mix Currency translation sensitivities
IFRS operating profit1, £m
US dollar UK sterling Other Asia 2,954
Underlying free surplus generation1,2, £m
Other Asia
Underlying free surplus generation by currency, % FY13 IFRS operating profit by currency, % FY13
1 IFRS and free surplus generation exclude Japan Life classified as held for sale. 2 The 2013 EEV results for the Group are presented on a post-tax basis. 3 FY13 result as reported 4 FY13 result translated on HY14 average exchange rates..Asia - US dollar linked UK sterling US dollar Asia - US dollar linked 2,698 2,954 (82) (111) 2,761 (4)% (3)% FY13 IFRS operating profit3 Impact of translating result on 2014 half year average rates FY13 IFRS operating profit4 FY13 free surplus generation3 Impact of translating result on 2014 half year average rates FY13 free surplus generation4
Impact on Group result from US contribution Impact on Group result from Asia contribution
(54) 2,462 (62) 2,346 (2)% (3)%
140 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
11 34 31 24 16 37 28 19
Currency mix Currency translation sensitivities
New business profit, £m
US dollar UK sterling Other Asia 2,082
EEV operating profit, £m
Other Asia
EEV operating profit by currency, % FY13 New business profit by currency, % FY13
Asia - US dollar linked UK sterling US dollar Asia - US dollar linked 4,204 (98) 4,204 (207) 3,899 (2)% (5)% FY13 EEV operating profit3 Impact of translating result on 2014 half year average rates FY13 EEV operating profit4
1 EEV results exclude Japan Life classified as held for sale. 2 The 2013 EEV results for the Group and by currency % are presented on a post-tax basis. 3 FY13 result as reported 4 FY13 result translated on HY14 average exchange rates.Impact on Group result from US contribution Impact on Group result from Asia contribution
FY13 new business profit3 2,082 (44) (116) 1,922 (2)% (6)% Impact of translating result on 2014 half year average rates FY13 new business profit4
141 2014 HALF YEAR RESULTS
12 August 2014