Presentation Outline Role of the Local Advisory Committee - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Toronto

Local Advisory Committee Inaugural Meeting

January 28, 2016

• Role of the Local Advisory Committee
• Regional Electricity Planning Process
• Highlights from Regional Planning Activities in

Toronto

• Overview of Distribution System Plans
• Longer Term Electricity Needs
• Questions from Public

Presentation Outline

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ROLE OF THE LOCAL ADVI SORY COMMI TTEE

Role of the Local Advisory Committee

• Provide advice and recommendations on the

development and implementation of the plan

• Provide input and recommendations throughout the

electricity planning process including the design of engagement approaches related to regional planning

• Share information on local priorities to be considered

in the procurement of conservation and supply side resources

Meetings are a Forum for Information Sharing

• Updates on the status of regional planning
• Working Group to provide information on identified
• ptions for meeting the region’s longer term electricity

needs

• A venue for a broader energy dialogue and a bridge

between regional planning cycles

REGI ONAL ELECTRI CI TY PLANNI NG PROCESS

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Background

• A Working Group consisting of the Independent Electricity System Operator (IESO),

Toronto Hydro and Hydro One Networks have been examining the electrical needs in Central Toronto since 2011

• A report, “Central Toronto Integrated Regional Resource Plan” (IRRP), was prepared

and posted at the end of April 2015. It documents the findings and recommendations from that study

• Needs in the rest of Toronto were assessed by a Hydro One led Working Group in

2015 – no additional needs requiring regional coordination were identified in this area

• The reports fulfill the requirement for regional planning for the Region as mandated

by the Ontario Energy Board

• The recommendations lay the foundation for continued planning to address needs

arising in the medium and long term

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Key Participants in Ontario’s Electricity Sector

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Ontario Energy Board

Ontario Electricity System and its Customers

Regulation Generation Distribution Transmission System Operation, Planning and Procurement

Hydro One, Great Lakes Power Transmission, Five Nations and others Local Distribution Companies (LDCs), e.g., Toronto Hydro Electric System Limited Ontario Power Generation (OPG) and other generators Ministry of Energy

Illustration of a Typical Electricity System

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• A process for identifying and addressing local electricity needs
• Link between provincial bulk system planning (led by the IESO) and local

distribution system planning (led by LDCs)

• Objective of maintaining a safe, reliable and economic electricity supply
• Operates in the context of existing criteria and frameworks

– Applies the IESO’s reliability standards – Seeks to align with provincial/municipal planning policies, and where possible, with local interests

• Either an integrated approach (considers conservation, generation, wires

and other innovative solutions) led by the IESO, for studies with more expansive needs; or for studies with “wires only” solutions, led by Hydro One or other Transmitters

What is Regional Electricity Planning?

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Context for Regional Electricity Planning

• A key objective for regional planning is to

ensure that the electricity system supplying an area has:

– The capacity to supply the demand at peak levels (the highest anticipated demand level of the day/year), – Meets all reliability standards, and – Manages supply security risk, such that the system is resilient / capable of limiting the impact to customers

• f extreme events, such as the ice storm of 2014

Regional Planning Focus

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CENTRAL TORONTO I NTEGRATED REGI ONAL RESOURCE PLAN

• Toronto was the first region to fully implement the formal regional

planning framework, introduced in 2013

• A number of communication tools were used throughout the development
• f the IRRP to engage with stakeholders and understand their preferences
• Qualitative and quantitative research results indicate cost is a key issue:

– “Reduce rates” was the leading answer to the question of what could be done to improve the system – Customers also looking for increased reliability – Focus Groups understood the need to replace aging infrastructure but suggested the system look within for savings and to harness “waste” before asking customers to pay more

• This research was used to inform the development of the IRRP and the

recommendations

What’s Been Done, What we Heard

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• Toronto is supplied by a

diverse network of 230kV and 115kV transmission facilities

• Two distinct electrical sub-

areas:

– Metro Toronto North (230 kV) – Central Toronto (115/230 kV)

• Peak electricity demand about

5,000 MW (summer peaking)

– 2,000 MW in Central Toronto

• Canada’s largest city

– 4th largest in North America

Overview of Electricity Supply in Toronto (1)

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• Electricity supply to the City

includes:

– Several transmission links to the provincial grid – 550 MW Portlands Energy Centre – 140 MW Distributed Generation – 88 MW renewable generation contracted (FIT, microFIT, etc.)

• Electricity conservation is a

key component of meeting Toronto’s future needs

– Conservation resources expected to offset nearly 40% of growth until 2036

Overview of Electricity Supply in Toronto (2)

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Drivers of Near-term Needs

• Continued growth and urban renewal

– Record tall building development – Increasing density

• New large transit projects
• System reliability, security and resilience

– Ensuring customers continue to receive a high level of service considering changing weather patterns

• Replacement of aging infrastructure

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Forecast for Electricity Demand in the Area

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200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200 2,400 2,600

Peak Demand (MW) Year

Actual historic peak demand

Factors that can drive demand upward:

• More economic growth
• More people moving into the city
• Electrification of transportation
• Less than expected Conservation results

Factors that can bring demand down:

• Shifting to less energy intensive commerce
• Reduced pace of growth
• Increasing end-use efficiency
• More stringent building codes

Growth and Urban Renewal

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• Intensification concentrated in pockets, mainly downtown and West

Near-term Projects Being Implemented

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• 1. Conservation efforts and distributed

generation development are underway (throughout Toronto)

• 2. Special Protection Systems will provide

additional supply security under low- probability events

• 3. Expansion of Runnymede Transformer

Station (TS) and 115 kV upgrades will accommodate new community growth and the new Eglinton Crosstown LRT

• 4. Expansion of Horner TS will relieve
• verloading at Manby TS and allow for future

growth in the area

• 5. Completing Phase Two of Copeland TS will

allow for connecting new customers in the downtown core

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These near-term projects maximize the capability of the existing system, and support growth to the end of the decade

230 kV Transmission Supply to Downtown: Recommendation from April 2015 IRRP

Driver

• Growth in the downtown core

and west Toronto, new transit

Need

• Ensure sufficient supply capacity
• n 230 kV Richview to Manby TS

transmission system

Recommendation

• Implement conservation

initiatives to manage 40 MW of peak demand growth

• Monitor demand and upgrade

corridor when necessary

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230 kV Transmission Supply to Downtown: Changes Since April 2015 IRRP

• Since the IRRP was completed, new

information regarding Metrolinx’ plans to add a traction power station in the area to support electrification of Lakeshore West line (2020)

• This project alone will add another

40 MW of new demand to be supplied by the Richview to Manby TS transmission (total need: 80 MW by 2020)

• This will trigger the need for line

reinforcement

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Other Highlights from the Regional Plan

• Maintaining high service levels
• Building system/customer resilience given

effects of climate change

• Preparing the City to address needs in the long

term timeframe

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Needs Arising in the Long-Term

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• Infrastructure limits are

projected to be reached as early as the mid to late 2020s

– Transformers at Manby and Leaside – 115 kV transmission system supplying downtown

• Capacity constraints occur

during the summertime peak demand period

• High degree of uncertainty with

respect to the timing

• Actions will be needed starting

in the near term to manage these long term needs

Options for Meeting Long-Term Needs

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• Full achievement of government

Conservation targets could help defer these needs by as much as 10 years

• Distributed generation in the

Central and downtown areas

• Large scale generation facility
• Additional transmission supply

into downtown (Hearn station in the Portlands area was designed to accommodate an additional supply point)

Approaches to Addressing Longer-Term Needs

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Conservation & Small-Scale, Distributed Resources Larger, Localized Generation Wires

Deliver Provincial Resources Community Self-Sufficiency

Final plan may have elements from each

• f the approaches

Centralized Local Resources

• The next step in the regional planning process is to
• btain input and advice from the LAC

– Local preferences and concerns – Policies in Toronto affecting growth and development – Evolution of technologies – Impact of conservation – Concerns about resilience / climate change

• We will also seek input on further engagement strategies
• The IESO, Toronto Hydro and Hydro One will continue

to study and report on the effects of conservation and distributed generation, and effect on the transmission and distribution systems

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Addressing Toronto’s Long Term Needs

Some Questions for the LAC’s Consideration

• What would you like to know in order to

prepare you to inform the discussion?

– Approach – Criteria – Engagement – Other

• What format(s) would you prefer to provide

your feedback?

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QUESTI ONS / DI SCUSSI ON