Plausible Utopias VinaY Gupta Hexayurt Project - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Plausible Utopias VinaY Gupta Hexayurt Project - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Feb 10, 2024 126 likes •604 views

Plausible Utopias VinaY Gupta Hexayurt Project Thefuturewedeserve.com Computer Power $20 1990 Fall 1990 Fall 2020 Million-fold $18 Of USSR Of USSR increase $16 30 YEARS $14 $12 $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $ 1981 1983 1985 1987

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Plausible Utopias

VinaY Gupta Hexayurt Project Thefuturewedeserve.com

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1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 $ $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $14 $16 $18 $20

Computer Power

2020 Million-fold increase 1990 Fall Of USSR 1990 Fall Of USSR

30 YEARS

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1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 $ $2 $4 $6 $8 $10 $12 $14 $16 $18 $20

Solar Panel Costs

2020 Cheaper than coal 1990 Fall Of USSR

30 YEARS

$10 $1

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Exponentials For The Young

  • If you're under 30, you've never seen change

– Exponentials are always flat on the left – Then everything goes nuts

  • My First Computer Was A ZX81

– 1k RAM / 3Mhz processor

  • X220 6GB / 2.4 Ghz * 4 cores * 32 bit proc.

– 6 million times more ram – At least a million times faster

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The First Hexayurt (2003)

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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800

Hexayurts at Burning Man

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The Financial Crisis in 4 Parts Quantity P P r r i i c c e e

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The Financial Crisis in 4 Parts Quantity P P r r i i c c e e

You are here

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The Usefulness of Housing

Accommodation (utility) Store of wealth (banking) Speculation (investment) See @dougald social functions of money “ ”

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Build millions of new homes Quantity P P r r i i c c e e

You are here

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The Usefulness of Housing (ii)

Accommodation (utility) Store of wealth (banking) Speculation (investment)

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Build BILLIONS of new homes Quantity P P r r i i c c e e

You are here

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How many extra houses?

UK: Not so many (Green Belts, Building Codes) Spain: 1.5m units (1.5m young unemployed) Ireland: 200,000 empty units (4.5m population) China: 60m empty apartments? Build cost $60k, expected price $300k Quarter trillion $ per million homes

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ABUNDANCE BREAKS THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM

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New Economists Coase Nash Benkler

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Coase

  • Nobel prize 1940

– The nature of the firm

  • A company is an efficient pocket of command-

and-control inside the chaos of the market economy

  • They are “efficient” because information

gathering and decision-making have costs

  • If that cost changes, companies get smaller
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Nash

  • Nobel prize 1994 (for work in the 1950s)

– Nash Equilibrium – A beautiful mind

  • Situations involving many parties can get

stuck in minima where no single party can improve the situation for themselves or others

  • Coordinated change is necessary to improve

the over-all function of the system

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Benkler

  • No Nobel Prize

– Wealth of Networks

  • Commons-based peer production

– Sharing substitutes for equity – Cheap decisions beat command-and-control

  • New kinds of value creation exist in an

abundant information, cheap communication world.

  • They can work better than capitalism
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Is it practicable? VALVE: $300,000+ per employee

  • Gabe Newell, ex-Microsoft, wanted change
  • A company without hierarchy

– Projects are built around individual initiative – Projects recruit talent internally (compete) – Pay & review are exclusively by peers

  • Games are late, beautiful, artisan works
  • Gabe, notoriously, can't get his own games made
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The new face of power?

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staff won't make his game ideas

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Hexayurt quaddome 45m/$3k

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Commons-based Production @leashless invented – @gelada designed – @jumplogic rendered – @thejaymo - counted @lucasgonzalez graphed – Morgan Engel built – There isn't even a bank account

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Operating System Politics windows: corporatism apple: benign dictator (RIP) Linux: anarchy who'd bet against anarchy?

(given OS X = BSD = Anarchy)

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I've seen the future baby and it's murder Three Futures CheaP Energy, cheap info Resource scarcity & war Decentralism (Naxalites)

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Are we going to make it? Rational hope Superpower conflict is down Clean, conflict-free energy 5bn people coming online End of the colonial era This could all just work Unhedged risk: nano/bio

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Future Gates Ultra-cheap solar power: Sooner/Later? Internet + poverty: constructive/ destructive? Organizations: cope/fail?

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One Planet, No Apocalypse Tech For there to be a future, you have to believe... One planet consumption No apocal ypse technology It ain't star trek. What is it?

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Between Macro and Micro The Future We Deserve.com Wikibook (@pediapress) 100 authors Organized on Twitter Written on a Wiki 10 a copy, quantity of one £

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Are we going to make it? Thefuturewedeserve.com Thefuturewedeserve.com

@leashless

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