Plausible Utopias VinaY Gupta Hexayurt Project - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Plausible Utopias VinaY Gupta Hexayurt Project Thefuturewedeserve.com

Computer Power $20 1990 Fall 1990 Fall 2020 Million-fold $18 Of USSR Of USSR increase $16 30 YEARS $14 $12 $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $ 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030

Solar Panel Costs $20 1990 Fall 2020 Cheaper $18 Of USSR than coal $16 30 YEARS $14 $12 $10 $10 $8 $6 $4 $1 $2 $ 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030

Exponentials For The Young ● If you're under 30, you've never seen change – Exponentials are always flat on the left – Then everything goes nuts ● My First Computer Was A ZX81 – 1k RAM / 3Mhz processor ● X220 6GB / 2.4 Ghz * 4 cores * 32 bit proc. – 6 million times more ram – At least a million times faster

The First Hexayurt (2003)

Hexayurts at Burning Man 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

The Financial Crisis in 4 Parts P P r r i i c c e e Quantity

The Financial Crisis in 4 Parts You are here P P r r i i c c e e Quantity

The Usefulness of Housing Accommodation (utility) Store of wealth (banking) Speculation (investment) See @dougald social functions of money “ ”

Build millions of new homes P P r r i i c c e e You are here Quantity

The Usefulness of Housing (ii) Accommodation (utility) Store of wealth (banking) Speculation (investment)

Build BILLIONS of new homes P P r r i i c c e e You are here Quantity

How many extra houses? UK: Not so many (Green Belts, Building Codes) Spain: 1.5m units (1.5m young unemployed) Ireland: 200,000 empty units (4.5m population) China: 60m empty apartments? Build cost $60k, expected price $300k Quarter trillion $ per million homes

ABUNDANCE BREAKS THE FINANCIAL SYSTEM

New Economists Coase Nash Benkler

Coase ● Nobel prize 1940 – The nature of the firm ● A company is an efficient pocket of command- and-control inside the chaos of the market economy ● They are “efficient” because information gathering and decision-making have costs ● If that cost changes, companies get smaller

Nash ● Nobel prize 1994 (for work in the 1950s) – Nash Equilibrium – A beautiful mind ● Situations involving many parties can get stuck in minima where no single party can improve the situation for themselves or others ● Coordinated change is necessary to improve the over-all function of the system

Benkler ● No Nobel Prize – Wealth of Networks ● Commons-based peer production – Sharing substitutes for equity – Cheap decisions beat command-and-control ● New kinds of value creation exist in an abundant information, cheap communication world. ● They can work better than capitalism

Is it practicable? VALVE: $300,000+ per employee ● Gabe Newell, ex-Microsoft, wanted change ● A company without hierarchy – Projects are built around individual initiative – Projects recruit talent internally (compete) – Pay & review are exclusively by peers ● Games are late, beautiful, artisan works ● Gabe, notoriously, can't get his own games made

The new face of power?

staff won't make his game ideas

Hexayurt quaddome 45m/$3k

Commons-based Production @leashless invented – @gelada designed – @jumplogic rendered – @thejaymo - counted @lucasgonzalez graphed – Morgan Engel built – There isn't even a bank account

Operating System Politics windows: corporatism apple: benign dictator (RIP) Linux: anarchy who'd bet against anarchy? (given OS X = BSD = Anarchy)

I've seen the future baby and it's murder Three Futures CheaP Energy, cheap info Resource scarcity & war Decentralism (Naxalites)

Are we going to make it? Rational hope Superpower conflict is down Clean, conflict-free energy 5bn people coming online End of the colonial era This could all just work Unhedged risk: nano/bio

Future Gates Ultra-cheap solar power: Sooner/Later? Internet + poverty: constructive/ destructive? Organizations: cope/fail?

One Planet, No Apocalypse Tech For there to be a future, you have to believe... One planet consumption No apocal ypse technology It ain't star trek. What is it?

Between Macro and Micro The Future We Deserve.com Wikibook (@pediapress) 100 authors Organized on Twitter Written on a Wiki 10 a copy, quantity of one £

@leashless Are we going to make it? Thefuturewedeserve.com Thefuturewedeserve.com