For the strategic management of corporate pension plans
April 18, 2002
Multi-Product & Investment Counseling
Marketing strategies for corporate pension asset management April - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
For the strategic management of corporate pension plans Marketing strategies for corporate pension asset management April 18, 2002 The Sumitomo Trust and Banking Co., Ltd. Multi-Product & Investment Counseling Drastic change in the
For the strategic management of corporate pension plans
Multi-Product & Investment Counseling
1
International accounting standards
Introduction of “retirement pension accounting system”
High volatility of pension asset and liability
Recognition of PBO based pension liability
sponsor
Influence on ratings and stock price by excessive pension liability.. Direct influence to the bottom line ( B/S&P/L) Worsening of investment conditions caused by worldwide recession in 2000- 2001
Negative return of investment of the pension assets
D e f i n e d c
t r i b u t i
C
t r i b u t i
( c a s h ) E q u i t y i n j e c t i
r e t i r e m e n t p e n s i
t r u s t Pension asset
Cash balance plan Return to nation’s plan
Projected benefit
(PBO) Interest rate fluctuation Volatile investment performance Volatile liability Volatility
contribution
The tail is swinging its body. The tail is swinging its body.
From “Pension Information” issued January 21, 2002 Pension liability corresponding to the future portion of pension plan
2
Asset ( pension investment) Liability ( retirement pension plan)
Multi-products Multi-plans
Investment counseling
PBO issue Downside risk
Plan counseling
Our strength lies not only in indicating the right direction through
plans to <do> and <see> the final outcome.
Our strength
We have established the superiority to support our clients through the consultation service in both investing and planning ahead of our competitors.
Differentiation from competitors
~ Utilizing our high-quality counseling capability ~
3
Focus on individual products Focus on individual products
single asset
In accordance with inclination toward specialization, shift to specified investment style such as that by investment advisory companies is rapidly in progress.
How to present a solution through high- level counseling capability with high- quality products to advanced clients who emphasize on high-quality individual products as opposed to selecting discretionary multi-assets account?
Emphasis on policy asset mix ( Asset allocation strategy→ Individual assets strategy)
Change in the decision factor of entrusted share
Selection of investment managers dramatically shifts from focusing on relationships with plan sponsor companies or
products of pension investment.
Diversification of customer needs Diversification of customer needs
How to present the solution plan through high-quality counseling from an unbiased standpoint regardless of our positioning?
Corporate realignment is rapidly in progress under the concept of selection and concentration. Accordingly review of retirement pension becomes necessary.
Diversification of plan choices
Through the introduction of defined contribution plan and renewed defined benefit plan, the pattern of retirement pension plans is significantly diversified.
Product oriented Product oriented
Change in concern
Plan oriented Plan oriented
With accelerating prevalence of policy asset mix, the weight
individual assets effect tends to increase. ~ ~ change in concern among both management and change in concern among both management and employees employees ~ Japanese companies will gradually free themselves of the traditional Japanese culture such as life-time employment and seniority rule.
4
The Sumitomo Trust & Banking Co., Ltd.
S T E P 1 S T E P 2
Multi-products & Multi-plans Multi-products & Multi-plans Counseling Counseling
5
Multiple plans Multiple plans
Plan counseling Plan counseling
Tax Qualified pension plan
Defined benefit plan Fund-type pension plan Contract-type pension plan Defined contribution plan
~ ~The arrival of a new pension era The arrival of a new pension era~ ~
Cash balance plan
within 10 years
To be abolished
Reconstruction of total retirement pension plan Reconstruction of total retirement pension plan How to control the volatility of PBO? How to control the volatility of PBO? PBO issue
Provide the optimal set of plans
Return a part of the plan to the nation’s plan
Defined contribution
Future portion
Pension asset
Cash balance plan Return to the nation’s plan
( PBO)
Interest rate fluctuation Volatile investment performance Volatile
Management issue
Defined contribution
Future portion
Pension asset
Cash balance plan Return to the nation’s plan
( PBO)
Interest rate fluctuation Volatile investment performance Volatile
Management issue
6
Plan counseling Customer needs ~Reconstruction of retirement pension plans~
Identify problems including potential ones
Multi-plans( Various components of retirement pension plans)
Retirement allowance plan Qualified pension plan Contract-type pension plan ( Corporate pension act ) Fund-type pension plan ( Corporate pension act) Defined benefit plan Defined contribution plan Cash balance plan Prepayment of retirement allowance
Key points of retirement pension plan
Professional of pension plan The opinion leader in the new pension era
industry pioneer.
plans including transition from the old-type in a timely manner
and hybrid plans such as cash balance plans.
leader remains stable in the new pension era.
Capability to cope with any plans. Capability to conduct unbiased plan counseling.
① Financial conditions ② Organization structure ③ Future perspective ④ Industrial characteristics ⑤ Business characteristics ⑥ Regional characteristics ⑦ Employees needs ⑧ Change of society etc.
Optimal solution
Support the choice
7
An example of counseling menu
Both profitability and counseling level are rapidly improving Began providing charged counseling services from June 2000.
Division of retirement pension plan in accordance with purposes (double pension plan structure )
The number of counseling is steadily increasing.
Previous plan Plan common in all employees The amount of benefit fluctuates in accordance with performance
Ensure the right corresponding with previous working period
Plan common in all employees
Business unit A Business unit B Business unit C Business unit D Business unit E
The amount of benefit fluctuates in accordance with performance of each business unit.
① ② The sum of ① and ② ensures the vested rights before the change of plan.
p
a t e s t r a t e g y
c c
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p a n i e s I n t r
u c t i
p e r f
m a n c e b a s e d e v a l u a t i
D e f i c i t
r e s e r v e
D e f i c i tC
p r e s s i
d e b t B e n e f i t r e d u c t i
P r
g a t i
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m e n t ・i n t e g r a t i
/ s e g r e g a t i
p l a n s ・p l a n s b y b u s i n e s s u n i t ・D e s i g n
e s s e n t i a l b e n e f i t ・J
n t d e s i g n ・P
n t b a s i s d e s i g n ・P
t b a s i s d e s i g n ・p r
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m e n t s t y l e b a s i s d e s i g n M e r g e r
s p i n
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I n t r・C h a n g e
s c h e d u l e d r a t e ・S e t t i n g r a t e a c c
d i n g t
n n u i t y t e r m ( p a s t & f u t u r e ) ・D e p r e c i a t i
d e b t ・R e t i r e m e n t p e n s i
t r u s t ・R e v i e w
i n t e r e s t r a t e ・R e v i e w
l i f e l
g a n n u i t y ・P r e p a y m e n t
r e t i r e m e n t f u n d ・I n t r
u c t i
D C p l a n ・I n t r
u c t i
h y b r i d p l a n ・G a p b r i d g i n g p l a n ・“D i s t r i b u t i
t
e s e l f ” p l a n
Multiple plans Multiple plans
Confronted with such problems as …
p
a t e s t r a t e g y
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p r e s s i
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P r
g a t i
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m e n t ・i n t e g r a t i
/ s e g r e g a t i
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e s s e n t i a l b e n e f i t ・J
n t d e s i g n ・P
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t b a s i s d e s i g n ・p r
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b a s i s d e s i g n ・e m p l
m e n t s t y l e b a s i s d e s i g n M e r g e r
s p i n
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I n t r・C h a n g e
s c h e d u l e d r a t e ・S e t t i n g r a t e a c c
d i n g t
n n u i t y t e r m ( p a s t & f u t u r e ) ・D e p r e c i a t i
d e b t ・R e t i r e m e n t p e n s i
t r u s t ・R e v i e w
i n t e r e s t r a t e ・R e v i e w
l i f e l
g a n n u i t y ・P r e p a y m e n t
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u c t i
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u c t i
h y b r i d p l a n ・G a p b r i d g i n g p l a n ・“D i s t r i b u t i
t
e s e l f ” p l a n
Multiple plans Multiple plans
Confronted with such problems as …
Stabilizing old age Deferred payment Defined benefit ・ Qualified→abolished ・ Fund-typed plan ・ Contract-typed plan ・ Employees’ plan Retirement fund
Stable benefit decided by working age
<length of service>
Reflection of contribution in working age
<performance or ability> ・ Prepayment ・ Defined Contribution
( self-helping function)
Self-help function to enrich old age →saving plan: individual pension、 DC →incentive plan: performance based plan
( average-life securing function)
Through change of retirement fund into pension plan
( Minimum
Through the nation’s pension plan
1 ) Confirmation of the function
2 ) Division of retirement pension plan Change in employees’ needs
in terms of benefit when changing job
Change in corporate needs
those who are hired midway
Stabilizing old age Deferred payment Defined benefit ・ Qualified→abolished ・ Fund-typed plan ・ Contract-typed plan ・ Employees’ plan Retirement fund
Stable benefit decided by working age
<length of service>
Reflection of contribution in working age
<performance or ability> ・ Prepayment ・ Defined Contribution
( self-helping function)
Self-help function to enrich old age →saving plan: individual pension、 DC →incentive plan: performance based plan
( average-life securing function)
Through change of retirement fund into pension plan
( Minimum
Through the nation’s pension plan
1 ) Confirmation of the function
2 ) Division of retirement pension plan Change in employees’ needs
in terms of benefit when changing job
Change in corporate needs
those who are hired midway
8
The number of our full counseling counts 56 from June 1, 2000 to The number of our full counseling counts 56 from June 1, 2000 to the end of February 2002(1 year and 9 months). the end of February 2002(1 year and 9 months). ( Average number of members in pension plan on which the counselin Average number of members in pension plan on which the counseling was conducted is approximately 8,800. g was conducted is approximately 8,800.)
An electric appliance company Provided couseling on reconstruction of the entire pension plan to correspond with the introduction of the retirement pension accounting system. Switch from the present pension plan to the cash balance plan. A chemical company Provided counseling on designing the competency based plan as well as support upon the enactment and/or amendment of the Defined Benefit Pension Act, the Defined Contribution Pension Act and Employees’ Pension Fund Act. Simplified the complicated pension plan. A food company Provided counseling on designing a plan to correspond with the amendment of Employees’ Pension Fund Act (benefit payment from the age of 65) and the introduction of the retirement pension accounting system. Altered the benefit payment methodology and introduced the prepayment of retirement allowance. A telecommunication company Provided counseling to design the strategic and comprehensive retirement allowance system suited for its rapidly increasing subsidiaries and affiliated companies. A telecommunication company Provided counseling on the integration of the retirement allowance systems due to the integration of the plan sponsor companies. Designed the appropriate system for the integrated company including the protection of the employees’ rights on the past service
A ceramic company Providing counseling on the amendment of the retirement allowance reflecting the performance of individual employees, and the introduction of a new pension plan, the performance based point system. Developed active discussions on altering the plan in view of the amendment of the Defined Benefit Pension Act. A transportation vehicle company Providing counseling on designing the performance based plan as well as support upon the enactment and/or amendment of the Defined Benefit Pension Act, the Defined Contribution Pension Act and Employees’ Pension Fund Act. Developed active discussions on the introduction of the defined contribution pension plan. A trading company Providing counseling on the amendment of the retirement allowance and the tax qualified pension plan introducing the performance based point system. Developed active discussions on the amendment of the systems in view of the revision of the Defined Benefit Pension Act. A publishing company Providing counseling in view of the enactment and/or amendment of the Defined Benefit Pension Act, the Defined Contribution Pension Act and Employees’ Pension Fund Act. Developed discussions on the amendment of the tax qualified pension plan incorporating the performance based point system. A broadcasting company Providing counseling on the amendment of the retirement allowance and the tax qualified pension plan incorporating the performance based point system. Developed active discussion on the amendment of the systems in view of the revision of the Defined Benefit Pension Act. An electric appliance company Providing counseling on the replacement of the pension systems due to the establishment of a joint ventures with the business and employees transferred from the parent companies. Developed discussions on designing the integrated pension system with the succession of the rights and obligations from the present systems avoiding the benefits received from multiple pension systems. A financial company Providing counseling on the amendment of the retirement allowance system, the integration of the Employees’ Pension Funds and the establishment of the tax qualified pension plan. Developed discussions on amendment of the retirement allowance system shifting from a system strongly reflecting the seniority rule to one reflecting the duties, responsibilities and performance of the individual employees.
9
Controlling active manager risk
Multi-products Multi-products
Investment counseling Investment counseling Downside risk Provide a mixture of products based on the “open-platform”
Return on market risk Return on market risk
Return on active manager risk Return on active manager risk
Negative market return Negative market return in the past two years in the past two years
Controlling market risk
Efficient accumulation of pension asset Efficient accumulation of pension asset
How to improve investment efficiency while controlling downside risk?
Pension asset P B O Volatile investment performance Interest rate fluctuation
Pension asset P B O Volatile investment performance Interest rate fluctuation
10 Manufactured products Manufactured products
Distributing function
We pick up the products which passed our strict due- diligence and are superior to our own products.
Manufacturing function
We have manufactured high-quality products which are worthy of the “style-pickup. * ” Feed back Share know-how of product quality check
Careful selection of high-quality products including out-sourced ones based on customer-oriented spirits and through high-level consulting.
Counseling function
Advice on strategies of asset allocation and individual assets, risk management service on investment, etc.
Customer needs Optimal solution “3 functions for providing multi-products”
Identify existing and potential issues
*style-pickup: hire a product with the style specification
Feed back Require high-quality products suitable for constructing solution portfolio
Providing mixed products on the “platform”
Out Out-sourced products sourced products Core Core-products products Sub Sub-products products
11
( Keep the quality level of consultants ’ recommendation)
( Selecting such high-quality products as recommended by consultants.)
Requisite for a multi-product manager: Ability of providing best products in the optimal combination.
Global multi-product manager
( American-type manager in the new paradigm)
Open Open-
platform type multi multi-
product manager
Manufacturing
( Produce in-house products )
Distributing
( Provide other manufacturers’ products )
Synergy effects
We also function as a provider of excellent products of overseas managers without
Consulting
( Identify customer needs for products )
12
Domestic fixed income Domestic equity International fixed income International equity
Diversified Duration Fundamental value Fundamental growth Top-down growth Global active Asia emerging markets Global active
Index type All asset classes(
with/without securities lending)
Domestic large-cap value Real estate securitization Domestic corporate bond Alliance Bernstein Growth
International equity
Alliance Bernstein Value GSAM JP Morgan Fleming UAM
Currency
Domestic large-cap growth Enhanced index
International fixed income with currency hedged Long/short strategy of domestic equity
Managed futures
SC Capital Out of index type of domestic equity FoFs
Core- products Sub- products Out-sourced products
*Blue arrow represents the standard candidate products in the open-platform-type product selection.
Private equity Hedge funds
FRM
13
Up to the first half of the 90’s : So called “discretionary multi- assets mandate type” From the latter half of the 90’s : Development of “specified asset/style type” Open-platform type Phase 1 Phase 2 Phase 3
Investment style of phase 3
New trend of recurring to the multi-asset type which is seen in the US where the specified-asset/style type is highly developed.
Optimize total pension portfolio by
at the individual manager level. Optimize total pension portfolio by a mixture of accounts of a single product Optimize total pension portfolio by
at the individual manager level.
14
Domectic fixed income Domestic equity International fixed income International equity P V G P G V G V
【 First stage】 Discretionary multi-assets type 【 Second stage】 Core multi-assets + satellite active type 【 Third stage】 Core passive + satellite active type
P: Passive V: Value G: Growth P: Passive V: Value G: Growth 【 Remarks 】
Typical structure at the time of
insurance companies. Core and satellite funds are moderately segregated. (Investment advisory companies are partially adopted.)
【 Open Open-platform type platform type】 Construct the third stage structure with our product mixture. ↓
Provided each product in the mixture is worthy
Domectic fixed income Domestic equity International fixed income International equity Core passive P V G V G Satellite Satellite Satellite V G V G
The rolls of each manager are clearly defined as far as investment styles.
Domectic fixed income Domestic equity International fixed income International equity
Diversified Global active Alliance Bernstein growth Corporate fixed income FRM Index type Fundamental value Fundamental growth Enhanced index Alliance Bernstein value
Domectic fixed income Domestic equity International fixed income International equity Core multi-assets P V G V G V G Satellite Satellite Satellite
15
Product mix
Individual products
Match Match customer needs customer needs Core? Core? Satellite? Satellite? Active? Active? Passive? Passive? TAA? TAA? Specified? Specified? Multi Multi-assets? assets? Quasi Quasi-specified? specified?
Domestic fixed income Domestic equity International fixed income International equity
Core active
Domestic fixed income Domestic equity International fixed income International equity
Core passive
Satellite active
Open-platform type product mix
Domectic fixed income Domestic equity International fixed income International equity
Quasi-specified Specified
16
Investment style consistency Low correlation with other products High-quality
It is of importance to keep monitoring the style consistency of a manager (or between managers) which customers expect Three factors which
Misfit risk
Unintended style risk
Misfit risk Misfit risk
Unintended style risk
Closet index
Index by over-diversifying investment style
Closet index Closet index
Index by over-diversifying investment style
Style drift
Changing style( abandon style consistency)
Style drift Style drift
Changing style( abandon style consistency)
Is excess return obtainable from the aimed sources?
Reproduction
Necessary to realize low correlation with other products not only by dividing investment universe into value and growth styles but also by securing original sources
Key word in strategic pension management : Improve investment efficiency (Net IR)
Net IR (
IR after costs)= (
Active return-Costs) ÷ Standard deviation of active return( TE)
Information ratio Tracking error
17
Concepts of domestic equity
Each active style depends on the fundamental information supplied by the analyst team. With “style diversification” and “style consistency,” we pursue stable excess return in terms of the whole asset class of domestic equity.
whole asset class of domestic equity. Excellent stock selection ability based on bottom-up research
スタイル・超過収 益源泉の分散 スタイル・運用プ ロセスの一貫性 安定感ある超過 収益の獲得
+
基本戦略
Realized earnings Short-term( 1-2) earnings forecast Mid-term( 5) earnings forecast
Stock valuation
Diversification of excess return sources Fundamental value Fundamental growth Business valuation FCF model
Obtain additional value based on accurate forecasting and valuation. Fund managers select stocks making use of FCF model which quantify earnings forecasts. Analysts select those companies that will grow further than market consensus through forecasting future value based on thorough corporate valuation. Integration of mid- term forecasting and valuation
Value style based
information
Common platform : analyst team Common platform : analyst team
Investment style consistency Low correlation with other products High-quality
Investment efficiency Investment efficiency Improve Net IR Improve Net IR
Pursue excess return utilizing our
The quality of our analyst team, which is the basis of our original sources of excess return The Backbone of Product Quality Improvement
22 In-house 22 In-house fundamental research fundamental research analysts analysts Infrastructure for domestic equities
Considerable resources allocated aiming a distinctive feature in security selection.
No.2 Fidelity Asset Management No.1 JP Morgan Invest Management No.4 Sumitomo Trust No.3 Nomura Asset Management No.5 Nissay Asset Management
The Tempest Survey (Tempest Japan)
No.3 Fidelity Asset Management No.5 Chuo-Mitsui Trust No.2 Sumitomo Trust No.1 Nomura Asset Management No.4 Nikko Asset Management
Fuji Research Institute Corporation Survey
Analyst quality evaluation
Improvement of security selection ability
The following points are assessed in the above surveys.
Evaluation by the consulting firms improved in recent years Evaluation by the consulting firms improved in recent years
Knowledge on industries Knowledge on industries and companies and companies Quality of questions Quality of questions to companies to companies Frequency of Frequency of company visit company visit Useful information Useful information provided for company IR provided for company IR
18
Capability requirements for investment managers in the future
Investment capability which can satisfy the needs of advanced investors who specify the risk factors
Risk budgeting
Risk factors of each investment manager Advanced investors strictly specify risk factors. (Risk budgeting) Clarify strength of investment managers and pursue excess return. Investment managers focus on sources of excess return with their competitive edge
Do the intended risk factors correspond with the source of excess return? Excess return from unintended risk factors = “Pure luck” Sources of excess return becoming more strictly identified
New business trend of pension investing companies
「 Success in Investment Management」 By Merrill Lynch & BARRA
Phase 2 : Magnification of business (
80‘s~)
Phase 3 : Perfect investment institutions (
From now on )
Value Growth Style Large Size Small Large Core Large Growth Large value Middle Small
Total risk management (Plan sponsor side) Risk budgeting (plan sponsor side)
Transition
Evolution in risk recognition
Total risk distribution× × × × ×
Institute 3 ( International fixed income)× × × × ×
Institute 2 ( International equity)× × × ×
Institute 1 ( Domestic equity) Asset selection Sector allolcation Yield curve Country/ Duration Currency Country allocation Stock selection Industry allocation Style( risk factor) Total risk distribution× × × × ×
Institute 3 ( International fixed income)× × × × ×
Institute 2 ( International equity)× × × ×
Institute 1 ( Domestic equity) Asset selection Sector allolcation Yield curve Country/ Duration Currency Country allocation Stock selection Industry allocation Style( risk factor) Equity Fixed income19 Survey on evaluation by pension customer
By R&I ~ Pension Information November 19, 2001 ~
~Result of questionnaire on evaluation about investment institutions~
C h a n g e C h a n g e C h a n g e C h a n g e 2 1 9 9 9 1 9 9 8 2 1 9 9 9 1 9 9 8 p r e v . y e a r r a n k i n g p r e v . 2 y e a r s r a n k i n g C a p i t a l 4 . 1 5 4 . 1 5 - 1 - - + . 5 - - D a i w a S B 3 . 4 8 3 . 1 8 2 . 9 9 2 2 2 1 + . 3 1 + . 4 9 1 C h u
i t u i T r u s t 3 . 3 7 - - 3 - - - - - - C h u
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r u s t 3 . 2 9 3 . 5 4 3 . 4 6 6 5 ▲0 . 2 5 1 8 ▲0 . 1 1 1 2 D K A 3 . 2 7 3 . 4 3 . 2 7 7 1 2 - ▲0 . 1 3 1 2 + . 7 N
u r a A s s e t 3 . 2 5 3 . 7 9 3 . 6 2 8 2 2 ▲0 . 5 4 2 6 ▲0 . 3 7 2 2 M i z u h
r u s t 3 . 2 4 3 . 3 3 . 9 9 1 4 1 9 ▲0 . 6 8 + . 1 5 4 F u k
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e r s 3 . 1 5 3 . 2 5 3 . 2 6 1 2 1 9 8 ▲0 . 1 1 ▲0 . 1 1 1 2 S T B 3 . 1 2 3 . 6 2 . 7 9 1 3 2 5 2 6 + . 6 3 + . 3 3 2 東 京 海 上 ア セ ッ ト 3 . 1 3 . 8 4 3 . 9 8 1 4 1 1 ▲0 . 7 4 2 8 ▲0 . 8 8 2 5 U F J ア セ ッ ト 3 . 1 - - 1 4 - - - - - - 日興アセット 3 . 7 3 . 6 5 3 . 1 4 1 6 4 1 6 ▲0 . 5 8 2 7 ▲0 . 7 1 日本生命 3 . 6 3 . 5 4 3 . 2 3 1 7 6 1 ▲0 . 4 8 2 4 ▲0 . 1 7 1 6 大和銀行 3 . 5 3 . 3 7 3 . 2 1 1 8 1 3 1 2 ▲0 . 3 2 2 ▲0 . 1 6 1 5 富士投信投顧 3 . 5 3 . 2 2 - 1 8 - - ▲0 . 1 7 1 3 - - 第一生命 3 . 3 . 4 6 3 . 1 4 2 1 1 6 ▲0 . 4 6 2 3 ▲0 . 1 4 1 4 安田生命 2 . 9 5 3 . 2 . 9 7 2 1 2 6 2 3 ▲0 . 5 7 ▲0 . 2 9 明治生命 2 . 9 4 2 . 7 9 2 . 8 3 2 2 2 8 2 5 + . 1 5 2 + . 1 1 5 三菱信託 2 . 9 4 3 . 1 8 3 . 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 ▲0 . 2 4 1 5 ▲0 . 2 7 2 1 エスジー山一 2 . 9 2 3 . 1 6 3 . 1 5 2 4 2 2 1 5 ▲0 . 2 4 1 5 ▲0 . 2 3 1 9 興銀第一 2 . 9 1 3 . 2 7 - 2 5 1 8 - ▲0 . 3 6 2 1 - - 太陽生命 2 . 9 2 . 9 4 - 2 6 - - ▲0 . 4 6 - - 住友生命 2 . 8 9 3 . 3 . 1 1 2 7 2 6 1 8 ▲0 . 1 1 1 1 ▲0 . 2 2 1 8 ニ ッ セ イ ア セ ッ ト 2 . 8 5 3 . 9 2 . 7 9 2 8 2 3 2 6 ▲0 . 2 4 1 5 + . 6 6 日本信託 2 . 7 8 3 . 2 9 3 . 5 6 2 9 1 6 3 ▲0 . 5 1 2 5 ▲0 . 7 8 2 4 三井生命 2 . 7 3 3 . 4 7 3 . 2 4 3 9 9 ▲0 . 7 4 2 8 ▲0 . 5 1 2 3 朝日生命 2 . 6 5 2 . 5 9 2 . 7 3 3 1 3 2 8 + . 6 3 ▲0 . 8 1 1 I n v e s t m e n t i n s t i t u t i
T
a l R a n k i n g
We have significantly changed our policy of
corporate pension business. Full-scale review of the organization and system (e.g. integration of commingle funds, review on allocation of human and other resources)
The degree of our improvement for the previous 2 years ranked 2nd. Evaluation by customers is steadily improving. Our objective is to improve investment performance of the standard type of the discretionary multi-assets account, which is the key to evaluation by Middle 40 customers.
⑥ Sumitomo Trust ① ④ Mizuho Trust ② ② Daiwa Bank ③ - Chuo-Mitsui Trust ④ ⑤ Nihon Life ⑤ ③ Mitsubishi Trust ⑥ ⑨ Toyo Trust ⑦ ① Daiichi Life ⑧ ⑫ Asahi Life ⑨ ⑦ Sumitomo Life ⑩ ⑩ Mitsui Life ⑬ ⑧ Nippon Trust ⑫ ⑪ Meiji Life ⑪ previous Institution Ranking Chuo-Mitsui Trust ① Sumitomo Trust ② Mizuho Trust ③ Toyo Trust ④ Daiwa Bank ⑤ Mitsubishi Trust ⑥ Nihon Life ⑦ Daiichi Life ⑨ Sumitomo Life ⑨ Nippon Trust ⑩ Mitsui Life ⑬ Asahi Life ⑫ Meiji Life ⑪ Institution Ranking
【 Evaluation on financial advice】 【 Evaluation on investment advice 】
※Result of survey on customers’ evaluation extracted from “Pension Information”(2002.2.4) ※As investment advice is a function not influenced by main or non-main trustee position, non-main trustee institutes are included in this survey. Evaluation of investment advice including non-main trustee is made public for the first time.
Survey on evaluation by pension customers
From “Pension information,”February 4, 2002
20
Survey on investment manager evaluation by pension customers “Total evaluation by customer asset size” / Pension Information. March 18, 2002
Top30 Top30 Top30 Middle40 Middle40 Middle40
Key points Key points
Evaluation of STB is steadily improving in every customer segment. STB ranked top-class in the evaluation by T30 customers who are sensitive to individual product evaluation and various counseling services.
Total evaluation is steadily improving, 2.79(26th grade) the year before last to 3.06(25th grade) the previous year.
To obtain higher customer evaluation …
Sumitomo Trust gained higher evaluation in proportion to asset size of customers.
Comparison of evaluations by asset size of customers was
higher evaluation among large asset size customers. It ranked 3rd (3.45 point) in ultra large size, 6
th (3.31 point) in
large size, and 16th (3.07) in medium and small size
Management, Schroders Investment Advisory, and Merrill Lynch Investment Managers. Nomura Asset Management obtained 3.52 point in ultra large size, following the top ranked Capital International, while
(10th rank) in medium and small size. Contrary to them, Daido Life, Toyo Trust (Now UFJ Trust), Dai-ichi Kangyo Asset Managemnt, SG Yamaichi Asset Management are evaluated higher by smaller-size customers. In general, the evaluation
these investment managers are widely split in accordance with the asset size. ~ Omission ~ The four managers, Daiwa SB, Sumitomo Trust, Meiji Life, and Asahi Life raised their evaluation in all size
varies; that of large size segment is indeed prominent. On the other hand, 14 managers degraded in all the size segments.
P
n t # P
n t ( p r e v i
s y e a r ) # P
n t ( p r e v i
s y e a r ) # P
n t ( p r e v i
s y e a r ) # 1 C a p i t a l I n t e r n a i t
a l 4 . 1 5 4 1 4 . 1 5 ( 1 ) 1 3 4 . 2 ( 1 ) 1 4 . 1 1 ( 1 ) 1 8 2 D a i w a S B 3 . 4 8 8 6 3 . 2 6 ( 6 ) ( 3 . 1 9 ) 1 9 3 . 5 3 ( 3 ) ( 3 . 5 ) 1 5 3 . 5 4 ( 2 ) ( 3 . 1 8 ) 5 2 3 C h u
i t s u i T r u s t 3 . 3 7 5 4 3 . 3 4 ( 5 )
9 3 . 4 8 ( 4 )
3 3 . 3 6 ( 5 )
4 2 4 D a i d
i f e 3 . 3 4 1 1 1 2 . 7 5 ( 2 4 ) ( 3 . ) 8 3 . 2 5 ( 9 ) ( 3 . 2 2 ) 8 3 . 4 ( 3 ) ( 3 . 6 5 ) 9 5 5 M e i j i L i f e D r e s d n e r 3 . 3 7 3 3 . 1 8 ( 8 ) ( 3 . 6 7 ) 1 1 3 . 4 ( 5 ) ( 3 . 7 3 ) 1 3 . 3 1 ( 7 ) ( 3 . 7 9 ) 5 2 6 T
r u s t 3 . 2 9 3 9 9 2 . 8 ( 2 1 ) ( 3 . 4 1 ) 2 5 3 . 2 3 ( 1 1 ) ( 3 . 2 8 ) 3 5 3 . 3 3 ( 6 ) ( 3 . 6 3 ) 3 3 9 7 D K A 3 . 2 7 5 2 2 . 7 1 ( 2 7 ) ( 3 . 1 3 ) 7 3 . 2 5 ( 9 ) ( 3 . 5 6 ) 8 3 . 3 8 ( 4 ) ( 3 . 3 2 ) 3 7 8 N
u r a A s s e t 3 . 2 5 1 6 6 3 . 5 2 ( 2 ) ( 4 . ) 2 7 3 . 3 ( 7 ) ( 3 . 7 8 ) 3 3 3 . 1 6 ( 1 ) ( 3 . 6 9 ) 1 6 9 M i z u h
r u s t 3 . 2 4 4 1 4 2 . 9 2 ( 1 4 ) ( 3 . 4 8 ) 2 6 3 . 1 3 ( 1 5 ) ( 3 . 1 1 ) 2 3 3 . 2 7 ( 8 ) ( 3 . 3 1 ) 3 6 5 1 0 F u k
u L i f e 3 . 2 3 6 1 3 . ( 1 )
3 . 6 ( 2 )
3 . 2 2 ( 9 ) ( 3 . 4 4 ) 4 9 1 1 M e r r i l l L y n c h 3 . 2 2 5 8 3 . 4 5 ( 3 ) ( 3 . 7 6 ) 2 3 . 6 ( 1 8 ) ( 3 . 2 9 ) 1 6 3 . 1 4 ( 1 1 ) ( 3 . 3 8 ) 2 2 1 2 S c h r
e r s 3 . 1 5 6 2 3 . 2 ( 7 ) ( 3 . 4 3 ) 2 3 . 2 3 ( 1 1 ) ( 2 . 8 2 ) 1 3 3 . 7 ( 1 6 ) ( 3 . 2 6 ) 2 9 1 3 S u m i t
r u s t 3 . 1 2 3 9 5 3 . 4 5 ( 3 ) ( 3 . 3 ) 3 1 3 . 3 1 ( 6 ) ( 2 . 9 8 ) 3 2 3 . 7 ( 1 6 ) ( 3 . 5 ) 3 3 2 1 4 T
i
a r i n e A s s e t 3 . 1 6 7 3 . 1 6 ( 9 ) ( 3 . 9 2 ) 2 5 3 . 8 ( 1 7 ) ( 3 . 7 4 ) 1 3 3 . 7 ( 1 6 ) ( 3 . 8 6 ) 2 9 1 4 U F J A s s e t 3 . 1 1 8 2 . 9 2 ( 1 4 )
3 3 . 2 ( 1 3 )
5 3 . 1 ( 1 2 )
5
b i l l i
L e s s t h a n 5 b i l l i
T
a l I n s t i t u t i
R a n k M
e t h a n 1 b i l l i
Evaluation on top 31 managers by customer asset size
21
Functional differentiation within business units Investment officer Business unit system
Compensation system in accordance with function Recruiting talents from
Recruiting talents from outside
22
Return on market risk Return on market risk
Return on active manager risk Return on active manager risk
Value of market return influenced by total market fluctuation ( Policy asset mix × Passive investment) Value of individual security not influenced by total market fluctuation ( Active investment)
Added value Added value Base value Base value
Reconstruct the manager structure Reconstruct the manager structure and optimize risk allocation and optimize risk allocation Expand investment universe and control market risk
23
T r a n s i t i
c
r e l a t i
b e t w e e n S & P 5 a n d w
l d s t
k i n d i c e s
. . 1 . 2 . 3 . 4 . 5 . 6 . 7 . 8 . 9 9 3 . 3 9 4 . 3 9 5 . 3 9 6 . 3 9 7 . 3 9 8 . 3 9 9 . 3 . 3 1 . 3 C
r e l a t i
w i t h S & P 5
H K H S F r a C A C 4 G e r D A X U K F T S E 1 J P T O P I XPast cumulative return of the compound benchmark based on average policy asset mix
Worldwide simultaneous depression Increasing correlation amongst world stock markets → Diminish investment diversification effect
Globalization of economy Crossover of each country’s economy High correlation amongst economic cycle of each country Owing to stagnant market conditions, return on policy asset mix Owing to stagnant market conditions, return on policy asset mix was significantly negative in the past two years. was significantly negative in the past two years.
Concrete countermeasures are Concrete countermeasures are ・ ・ ・ ・
1 5 . 2 4 % 2 1 . 5 4 % 2 . 5 7 % 1 2 . 3 4 % 5 . 2 7 %
. 4 5 %
. 8 5 % 2 . 6 7 % 6 . 1 %
. 4 7 % 2 6 . 4 % 3 . 8 6 % 8 . 5 6 % 1 . 7 5 % 1 2 . 5 9 %
. 9 2 % - 7 . %
% % 5 % 1 % 1 5 % 2 % 2 5 % 3 % 3 5 % 4 % 8 5 / 4 8 6 / 4 8 7 / 4 8 8 / 4 8 9 / 4 9 / 4 9 1 / 4 9 2 / 4 9 3 / 4 9 4 / 4 9 5 / 4 9 6 / 4 9 7 / 4 9 8 / 4 9 9 / 4 0 / 4 1 / 4 A n n u a l r e t u r n D
e s t i c f i x e d i n c
e D
e s t i c e q u i t y I n t e r n a t i
a l f i x e d i n c
e I n t e r n a t i
a l e q u i t y C
p
n d b e n c h m a r k 【 O b j e c t i v e a s s e t m i x 】 D
e s t i c e q u i t y I n t e r n a t i
a l e q u i t y 2 % D
e s t i c f i x e d i n c
e 3 % I n t e r n a t i
a l f i x e d i n c
e 1 % S t a n d a r d d e v i a t i
(t
a l ) (a n n u a l ) (a n n u a l ) 1 1 9 . 5 5 % 4 . 7 3 % 1 . 3 9 % C u m u l a t i v e r e t u r n S t a n d a r d d e v i a t i
(t
a l ) (a n n u a l ) (a n n u a l ) 1 1 9 . 5 5 % 4 . 7 3 % 1 . 3 9 % C u m u l a t i v e r e t u r n
M i n u s r e t u r n i n t h e c
s e c u t i v e 2 y e a r s b e c a u s e
b a d m a r k e t c
d i t i
s
Return declined remarkably when 3 main economic clusters were si multaneously in depression.
B u s i n e s s c y c l e a n d i n v e s t m e n t p e r f
m a n c e
I m a g e
s m a l l b u s i n e s s c y c l e ( P r
u c t i
- I n v e n t
y )
%
% % 1 % 2 % 3 % 4 % 5 % 6 % 7 % 9 1 9 2 9 3 9 4 9 5 9 6 9 7 9 8 9 9
R e t u r n C u m u l a t i v e r e t u r n( Japan) ( U.S. ) ( Europe)
Survey by Pension Fund AssociationReturn declined remarkably when 3 main economic clusters were si multaneously in depression.
B u s i n e s s c y c l e a n d i n v e s t m e n t p e r f
m a n c e
I m a g e
s m a l l b u s i n e s s c y c l e ( P r
u c t i
- I n v e n t
y )
%
% % 1 % 2 % 3 % 4 % 5 % 6 % 7 % 9 1 9 2 9 3 9 4 9 5 9 6 9 7 9 8 9 9
R e t u r n C u m u l a t i v e r e t u r n( Japan) ( U.S. ) ( Europe)
Survey by Pension Fund AssociationB u s i n e s s c y c l e a n d i n v e s t m e n t p e r f
m a n c e
I m a g e
s m a l l b u s i n e s s c y c l e ( P r
u c t i
- I n v e n t
y )
I m a g e
s m a l l b u s i n e s s c y c l e ( P r
u c t i
- I n v e n t
y )
%
% % 1 % 2 % 3 % 4 % 5 % 6 % 7 % 9 1 9 2 9 3 9 4 9 5 9 6 9 7 9 8 9 9
R e t u r n C u m u l a t i v e r e t u r n( Japan) ( U.S. ) ( Europe)
Survey by Pension Fund Association24
Most simple solution; investment only in cash → Increase the portion of General Account of the life insurance companies or cash
Pension asset mostly constructed by contribution Excess burden of contribution on the plan sponsor company Risky investment? Concern on downside risk of investment
An example of escape from An example of escape from running around in circles running around in circles
The measure to enhance beta: shift efficient frontier in the upper
Expand investment universe Realistic solution ?
Enhance the degree of diversification
asset classes, fixed income and equity
However ・ ・ So ・ ・ However ・ ・ Then ・ ・ Hence ・ ・
Alternative investment Alternative investment
~ reconstruction of policy asset mix reconstruction of policy asset mix ~
Expected rate
Efficient frontier indicates the minimum risk at a certain level of return or the maximum return at a certain level of risk. Standard Deviation a% The present efficient frontier (present asset mix = P) Assuming the same level of rate of return (6% for example), risk level is better at 8% than 10%. (Transition not from P to Q but from P to P
.) Q b% % Efficient frontier after revising asset mix ⇒ shift in the upper - left direction Expected rate
Efficient frontier indicates the minimum risk at a certain level of return or the maximum return at a certain level of risk. Standard Deviation a% The present efficient frontier (present asset mix = P) Assuming the same level of rate of return (6% for example), risk level is better at 8% than 10%. (Transition not from P to Q but from P to P
.) b% X’ % Efficient frontier after revising asset mix ⇒ shift in the upper - left direction Efficient frontier indicates the minimum risk at a certain level of return or the maximum return at a certain level of risk. Standard Deviation a% P’ P The present efficient frontier (present asset mix = P) Decrease the risk level while keeping the rate of return. (Transition not from P to P’ but from P to Q) b% X Efficient frontier after revising asset mix ⇒ shift in the upper - left direction
25
Alternative investment Alternative investment Traditional assets Traditional assets
Alternative investment, with different sources of return from those of traditional assets, has an effect of lowering downside risk of the total portfolio.
In alternative investment, it is required to clearly understand risks unique to alternative investment products and to maintain high-level accountability from the governance point of view.
Domestic fixed income Domestic fixed income International fixed income International fixed income International equity International equity Natural resources Real estate ( Equity/Debt) Real estate Real estate ( Equity/Debt Equity/Debt) Private equity
( Venture)
Domestic equity Domestic equity Private equity
( Buy-out etc.) Managed futures Managed futures Hedge funds Hedge funds Hedge funds
Alternative assets Alternative strategies β( β( beta beta) risk risk Influenced by market fluctuation ( systematic risk) Investment return
Sources of return are different and low correlation.
α( α( alpha alpha) risk risk Influenced by investment skills ( Non-systematic risk) Real estate securitization products
・ Real estate is generally a familiar asset, and also may become an investment target from its transparency.
how on real estate securitization.
from risk/return point of view.
Real estate Real estate securitization securitization products products
・ Real estate is generally a familiar asset, and also may become an investment target from its transparency.
how on real estate securitization.
from risk/return point of view.
Fund of Funds (FRM)
prominent in FoFs.
gate keepers after extensive due-diligence.
Fund of Funds (FRM) Fund of Funds (FRM)
prominent in FoFs.
gate keepers after extensive due-diligence.
【 Risk dispersion】
F R M: F i n a n c i a l R i s k M a n a g e me n t L i mi t e d
26
Alternative investment has an effect of shifting efficient frontier in the upper-left direction.
※we used our long-term financial variables between traditional assets, while making use of real performance data (1998/1~2001/3) about hedge fund (FRM fund)
. % 2 . % 4 . % 6 . % 8 . % 1 . % 1 2 . % . % 2 . % 4 . % 6 . % 8 . % 1 . % 1 2 . % 1 4 . % 1 6 . % 1 8 . %
R i s k f r e e a s s e t D
e s t i c f i x e d i n c
e D
e s t i c e q u i t y I n t e r n a t i
a l f i x e d i n c
e I n t e r n a t i
a l e q u i t y . % 2 . % 4 . % 6 . % 8 . % 1 . % 1 2 . % . % 2 . % 4 . % 6 . % 8 . % 1 . % 1 2 . % 1 4 . % 1 6 . % 1 8 . % H e d g e f u n d
FRMC
v e r t i b l e b
d →R i s k R e t u r n ↑ Efficient frontiers with upper limit shifting to 5, 10, 15, 20%. Data:Yen arbitrage fund of FRM
Standard deviation (annual base) Risk free asset 0.70% 0.70% 1.000 Domestic fixed income 1.50% 3.49% 0.106 1.000 Convertible bond 3.80% 7.97%As a result of optimizing calculation, the optimal weight of hedge funds is about 65% (at the maximum), extremely high level. Decision not from a simple
Decision of investment weights
Sample
※we used our long-term financial variables between traditional assets, while making use of real performance data (1998/1~2001/3) about hedge fund (FRM fund)
. % 2 . % 4 . % 6 . % 8 . % 1 . % 1 2 . % . % 2 . % 4 . % 6 . % 8 . % 1 . % 1 2 . % 1 4 . % 1 6 . % 1 8 . %
R i s k f r e e a s s e t D
e s t i c f i x e d i n c
e D
e s t i c e q u i t y I n t e r n a t i
a l f i x e d i n c
e I n t e r n a t i
a l e q u i t y . % 2 . % 4 . % 6 . % 8 . % 1 . % 1 2 . % . % 2 . % 4 . % 6 . % 8 . % 1 . % 1 2 . % 1 4 . % 1 6 . % 1 8 . % H e d g e f u n d
FRMC
v e r t i b l e b
d →R i s k R e t u r n ↑ Efficient frontiers with upper limit shifting to 5, 10, 15, 20%. Data:Yen arbitrage fund of FRM . % 2 . % 4 . % 6 . % 8 . % 1 . % 1 2 . % . % 2 . % 4 . % 6 . % 8 . % 1 . % 1 2 . % 1 4 . % 1 6 . % 1 8 . %
R i s k f r e e a s s e t D
e s t i c f i x e d i n c
e D
e s t i c e q u i t y I n t e r n a t i
a l f i x e d i n c
e I n t e r n a t i
a l e q u i t y . % 2 . % 4 . % 6 . % 8 . % 1 . % 1 2 . % . % 2 . % 4 . % 6 . % 8 . % 1 . % 1 2 . % 1 4 . % 1 6 . % 1 8 . % H e d g e f u n d
FRMC
v e r t i b l e b
d →R i s k R e t u r n ↑ Efficient frontiers with upper limit shifting to 5, 10, 15, 20%. Data:Yen arbitrage fund of FRM
Standard deviation (annual base) Risk free asset 0.70% 0.70% 1.000 Domestic fixed income 1.50% 3.49% 0.106 1.000 Convertible bond 3.80% 7.97%As a result of optimizing calculation, the optimal weight of hedge funds is about 65% (at the maximum), extremely high level. Decision not from a simple
Decision of investment weights
Sample
Idea of rearranging portfolio 2
Plan A policy asset mix
Grasping downside risk ( Maximum risk) Value at Risk ( VaR )
more than 10.51% occurs at 5.0% probability. C
f i d e n c e i n t e r v a l 9 5 % V a R
Complement of total portfolio Expected rate of return slightly declines, but downside risk is remarkably lessened by risk diminishing effect of alternative asset. Alternative of specific asset Expected rate of return improves and risk diminishes. So, both profit making opportunity and downside risk control are realized.
D
e s t i c e q u i t y 4 % I n t e r n a t i
a l f i x e d i n c
e 1 % I n t e r n a t i
a l e q u i t y 2 % D
e s t i c f i x e d i n c
e 3 %
using our financial variables.
Alternative 5% DMiddle risk & return type Hedge fund ( alternative of domestic fixed income) Middle risk & return type Hedge fund ( alternative of domestic fixed income)
Yen arbitrage fund
( FRM:
Target return Standard deviation 5-6% Less than 5%
Assuming introduction of 5%
Expected rate of return Standard deviation 95%VaR money amount base (100 million) Policy asset mix 6.75% 10.50%
Complement of total portfolio 6.63% 9.95%
Alternative of domestic fixed income 6.89% 10.44%
Sample
Idea of rearranging portfolio 2
Plan A policy asset mix
Grasping downside risk ( Maximum risk) Value at Risk ( VaR )
more than 10.51% occurs at 5.0% probability. C
f i d e n c e i n t e r v a l 9 5 % V a R
Complement of total portfolio Expected rate of return slightly declines, but downside risk is remarkably lessened by risk diminishing effect of alternative asset. Alternative of specific asset Expected rate of return improves and risk diminishes. So, both profit making opportunity and downside risk control are realized.
D
e s t i c e q u i t y 4 % I n t e r n a t i
a l f i x e d i n c
e 1 % I n t e r n a t i
a l e q u i t y 2 % D
e s t i c f i x e d i n c
e 3 %
using our financial variables.
Alternative 5% DMiddle risk & return type Hedge fund ( alternative of domestic fixed income) Middle risk & return type Hedge fund ( alternative of domestic fixed income)
Yen arbitrage fund
( FRM:
Target return Standard deviation 5-6% Less than 5%
Assuming introduction of 5%
Expected rate of return Standard deviation 95%VaR money amount base (100 million) Policy asset mix 6.75% 10.50%
Complement of total portfolio 6.63% 9.95%
Alternative of domestic fixed income 6.89% 10.44%
Sample
27
Effectively pursue additional return utilizing given amount of risk
Improve quality of return Improve quality of return while keeping risks at a certain level while keeping risks at a certain level
Risk level must neither be too high nor too low.
Enhance return efficiency
management
Adopt the style Adopt the style-neutral strategy neutral strategy which maximizes IR which maximizes IR Arrange conditions in which alpha is easily captured Arrange conditions in which alpha is easily captured through reconstructing the manager structure through reconstructing the manager structure in order to select those active managers who effectively pursue in order to select those active managers who effectively pursue alpha. alpha.
Control risks within a certain range in consideration of downside risk
E x p e c t e d r a t e
r e t u r n S t a n d a r d d e v i a t i
B% C% Y% X%
E x p e c t e d r a t e
r e t u r n TE
T r a c k i n g e r r
M %
E f f i c i e n t f r
t i e r
b e t a p
t i
Efficient frontier of alpha portion Efficient frontier of alpha portion
I R = E x c e s s r e t u r n / T E A l p h a e f f i c i e n c y i s i m p r
e d b y s e l e c t i n g I R m a x i m i z i n g p
n t . E f f i c i e n t f r
t i e r i s a s e t
p
n t s r e a l i z e d b y a l l i n d e x i n v e s t m e n t .
28
【 Style rotation table ( Nomura financial research institute) / form web-page of Nomura securities】
Annual ranking
Idea on investment style → Position neutral strategy is essential.
by Callan Associates, Inc, consulting firm in the U.S.
View on position neutral is changing.
Weight neutral ( 50:50 on a weight basis) Risk neutral ( 50:50 on a TE times weight basis)
Risk budgeting has gained attention in pension management.
Ordinarily, forecasting style rotation is quite difficult.
( T.Daniel Coggin “The Handbook of Equity Style Management” 1997)
It is important to be aware of the investment style trend and diversify the styles.
Investment style rotation can be verified, but estimation is difficult. Defining investment style itself is also difficult.
(investment style=a clear definition of investment policy or philosophy in the practice of asset management.)
A N N U A L R E T U R N R A N K I N G O F E A C H S T Y L E I N D E X O F R U S S E L L / N O M U R A J A P A N E S E E Q U I T Y ( I N C L U D I N G D I V I D E N D S , 1 9 8 5
)
V a l u e C
e S m a l l V a l u e S m a l l V a l u e V a l u e C
e V a l u e V a l u e V a l u e C
e G r
t h C
e G r
t h S m a l l 4 2 . 2 5 5 . 5 8 4 7 . 5 3 3 1 . 5 3 2 6 . 2 8
. 1 4
6 . 4 1 7 . 2 1 2 . 2 3
1 . 7 8 2 6 . 8 4
. 3 4
8 4 . 6 9 4 9 . 7
. 1 7 C
e V a l u e V a l u e S m a l l M k t C
e C
e G r
t h S m a l l C
e C
e V a l u e C
e G r
t h C
e V a l u e 3 1 . 9 6 4 8 . 6 2 4 . 8 4 2 1 . 1
. 4
. 2 2
7 . 2 2 2 . 9 4 1 1 . 5 3
4 . 6 6 2 7 . 7 5
. 8 5
. 4 4 . 3 4 1 . 9 5
. 2 5 M k t G r
t h M k t M k t V a l u e M k t G r
t h V a l u e C
e M k t M k t G r
t h M k t V a l u e M k t M k t 3 . 2 6 4 5 . 8 1 1 7 . 1 1 8 . 2 2
2 . 1 6
. 9 2
7 . 3 6 2 . 5 1 1 . 6 4
5 . 9 8 2 5 . 8 1
1 . 1 4
. 1 6 3 . 2 6 3 4 . 1 9
1 . 7 1 S m a l l M k t C
e C
e G r
t h G r
t h M k t M k t M k t G r
t h G r
t h M k t V a l u e M k t S m a l l C
e 2 6 . 1 4 2 . 6 6 . 6 6 1 3 . 4 7
6 . 6 5
1 . 1
7 . 4 1 1 . 1 2 9 . 6 2
8 . 3 1 2 4 . 1 2
3 . 7
. 2 3 . 2 6 2 6 . 8
9 . 4 2 G r
t h S m a l l G r
t h G r
t h C
e S m a l l S m a l l S m a l l G r
t h S m a l l S m a l l S m a l l S m a l l S m a l l V a l u e G r
t h 2 . 7 1 1 4 . 5 7 1 . 6 8 4 . 2 1
1 . 2 9
2 . 5 5
9 . 6 9
. 2 3 6 . 5 9
. 5 2 2 . 6 4
5 . 9 9
1 . 8 7 . 1 6 1 7 .
6 . 3 5 4 5 2 1 2 3 1 9 9 6 1 9 9 7 1 9 9 8 1 9 9 9 1 9 9 2 1 9 9 3 1 9 9 4 1 9 9 5 1 9 8 8 1 9 8 9 1 9 9 1 9 9 1 1 9 8 5 1 9 8 6 1 9 8 7
29
Provide as style Provide as style-
Provide as Provide as compliment products compliment products
Domestic equity Domestic equity
Fundamental value Fundamental value Fundamental growth Fundamental growth Core-products
International equity International equity
Out-sourced products Alliance Bernstein growth Alliance Bernstein growth Alliance Bernstein value Alliance Bernstein value
8
6
4
2 . 2 . 4 . 6 . 8
8
6
4
2 . 2 . 4 . 6 . 8 1
Acorp. Bcorp. Ccorp. Dcorp. Ecorp. F corp. Gcorp. Hcorp. I corp. O corp. Ncorp. M corp. J corp. Kcorp. L corp. Pcorp. Q corp. Rcorp. Scorp. Tcorp. Position of the total plan Position of the total plan
STB_ STB_ Vfund fund STB_ STB_ Afund fund
Large Small Value Growth
Growth of corporate earnings( Growth) -Corporate valuation relative to stock price( Value )
8
6
4
2 . 2 . 4 . 6 . 8
8
6
4
2 . 2 . 4 . 6 . 8 1
Acorp. Bcorp. Ccorp. Dcorp. Ecorp. F corp. Gcorp. Hcorp. I corp. O corp. Ncorp. M corp. J corp. Kcorp. L corp. Pcorp. Q corp. Rcorp. Scorp. Tcorp. Position of the total plan Position of the total plan
STB_ STB_ Vfund fund STB_ STB_ Afund fund
Large Small Value Growth
Growth of corporate earnings( Growth) -Corporate valuation relative to stock price( Value ) Example of style map based on multi-factor model
Management of active risk
~ Grasping characteristics of each manager ~
STB Value STB Value
Increment Increment
Check if each active manager conducts a style drift corresponding to market conditions (
shift of value fund) Make use of STB’s value funds as complements in order to correct style bias which is a potential factor of terrible loss
Product line-up of STB
Controlling market risk Introducing Introducing alternative asset alternative asset
Beta( β)
Consideration of market risk
Alpha Alpha( α) ( α)
Consideration of Consideration of active management risk active management risk Controlling active management risk Style Style-overlay function
Domestic fixed income Domestic equity International fixed income International equity
Core passive
Liquidated real estate
FRM FG FV
Alliance Bernstein
Satellite active Satellite active Satellite active Satellite active
Mixed products on the platform Mixed products on the platform
Domestic fixed income Domestic equity International fixed income International equity Main-products Sub -products : On-demand provision corresponding with sponsors’ needs CurrencyManufacturing function Distributing function
Fundamental value Fundamental growth Business valuation Duration Diversified Global active Global active Asia emergingIndex type all assets (
with/without securities lending ) Corporate fixed income Domestic equity Large-cap value Domestic equity Large-cap growth Domestic equity Enhanced index Real estate securitization Hedged international fixed income Domestic equity Long/Short Alliance Bernstein Value Alliance Bernstein Growth GSAM JP Morgan UAM FRM SC Capital Japanese equity (Bowen) Private equity Domestic fixed income Domestic equity International fixed income International equity Main-products Sub -products : On-demand provision corresponding with sponsors’ needs CurrencyManufacturing function Distributing function
Fundamental value Fundamental growth Business valuation Duration Diversified Global active Global active Asia emergingIndex type all assets (
with/without securities lending ) Corporate fixed income Domestic equity Large-cap value Domestic equity Large-cap growth Domestic equity Enhanced index Real estate securitization Hedged international fixed income Domestic equity Long/Short Alliance Bernstein Value Alliance Bernstein Growth GSAM JP Morgan UAM FRM SC Capital Japanese equity (Bowen) Private equityProduct line-up of STB
Controlling market risk Introducing Introducing alternative asset alternative asset
Beta( β)
Consideration of market risk
Alpha Alpha( α) ( α)
Consideration of Consideration of active management risk active management risk Controlling active management risk Style Style-overlay function
Domestic fixed income Domestic equity International fixed income International equity
Core passive
Liquidated real estate
FRM FG FV
Alliance Bernstein
Satellite active Satellite active Satellite active Satellite active
Mixed products on the platform Mixed products on the platform
Domestic fixed income Domestic equity International fixed income International equity Main-products Sub -products : On-demand provision corresponding with sponsors’ needs CurrencyManufacturing function Distributing function
Fundamental value Fundamental growth Business valuation Duration Diversified Global active Global active Asia emergingIndex type all assets (
with/without securities lending ) Corporate fixed income Domestic equity Large-cap value Domestic equity Large-cap growth Domestic equity Enhanced index Real estate securitization Hedged international fixed income Domestic equity Long/Short Alliance Bernstein Value Alliance Bernstein Growth GSAM JP Morgan UAM FRM SC Capital Japanese equity (Bowen) Private equity Domestic fixed income Domestic equity International fixed income International equity Main-products Sub -products : On-demand provision corresponding with sponsors’ needs CurrencyManufacturing function Distributing function
Fundamental value Fundamental growth Business valuation Duration Diversified Global active Global active Asia emergingIndex type all assets (
with/without securities lending ) Corporate fixed income Domestic equity Large-cap value Domestic equity Large-cap growth Domestic equity Enhanced index Real estate securitization Hedged international fixed income Domestic equity Long/Short Alliance Bernstein Value Alliance Bernstein Growth GSAM JP Morgan UAM FRM SC Capital Japanese equity (Bowen) Private equity30
リスク の質
リ バランス戦略 リ バランス戦略 の発動判断 の発動判断
の乖離状況と要因分析
要因分析
況と要因分析
変化状況と要因分析、等
Sample Process of rebalance strategy 1
Risk structure of each adopted manager
F u n d N a m eE s t i m a t e d T E A c t . s y s . I n d i v i d u a l R i s k i n d e x I n d u s t r y A 1 3.14 . 1 7 2.58 1 . 3 1 . B 1 4.60 . 4 5 3.06 2 . 2 8 1 . 8 7 C 1 3.35 . 5 5 2 . 1 2 2.45 1 . D 1 3.05 . 9 2.10 1 . 6 9 1 . 1 4 E 1 3.11 . 5 4 2.19 1 . 5 9 1 . 2 5 F 1 3.69 . 2 8 1 . 7 6 2.99 1 . 3 G 2 2.64 . 4 1.97 1 . 2 6 1 . 2 8 G 3 3.85 . 8 2 2 . 6 2.54 1 . 6 6 G 4 3.39 . 4 7 2.25 2 . 6 1 . 2 1 H 1 2.19 . 7 7 1.49 1 . 4 1 . 8 8 H 2 1.13 . 1 1.02 . 3 8 . 3 7 H 3 3.45 . 8 1 1 . 7 3 2.22 1 . 4 9 I 1 6.57 2 . 7 1 3 . 1 3 4.62 3 . 5 2 I 2 8.86 1 . 4 1 4.97 4 . 1 6 4 . 6 I 3 5.41 1 . 6 2 2 . 7 1 4.14 2 . 9 J 1 2.52 . 3 2 2.24 1 . 8 . 6 4 K 1 3.47 1 . 1 4 2 . 7 2.74 1 . 3 8 L 1 2.55 . 1 7 1 . 4 3 2.08 . 5 2 A c t i v eL
T E H i g h T E L
l
H i g h l
Direction in manager structure examination Direction in manager structure examination The source of excess return of each fund is either “individual stock selection” or “risk index. ”
コ ア ・ パ ッ シ ブ Core passive コ ア ・ ア ク テ ィ ブ Core active サ テ ラ イ ト ・ ア ク テ ィ ブ Satellite active Low TE High TE H i g h s h a r e LRisk structure of each adopted manager
F u n d N a m eE s t i m a t e d T E A c t . s y s . I n d i v i d u a l R i s k i n d e x I n d u s t r y A 1 3.14 . 1 7 2.58 1 . 3 1 . B 1 4.60 . 4 5 3.06 2 . 2 8 1 . 8 7 C 1 3.35 . 5 5 2 . 1 2 2.45 1 . D 1 3.05 . 9 2.10 1 . 6 9 1 . 1 4 E 1 3.11 . 5 4 2.19 1 . 5 9 1 . 2 5 F 1 3.69 . 2 8 1 . 7 6 2.99 1 . 3 G 2 2.64 . 4 1.97 1 . 2 6 1 . 2 8 G 3 3.85 . 8 2 2 . 6 2.54 1 . 6 6 G 4 3.39 . 4 7 2.25 2 . 6 1 . 2 1 H 1 2.19 . 7 7 1.49 1 . 4 1 . 8 8 H 2 1.13 . 1 1.02 . 3 8 . 3 7 H 3 3.45 . 8 1 1 . 7 3 2.22 1 . 4 9 I 1 6.57 2 . 7 1 3 . 1 3 4.62 3 . 5 2 I 2 8.86 1 . 4 1 4.97 4 . 1 6 4 . 6 I 3 5.41 1 . 6 2 2 . 7 1 4.14 2 . 9 J 1 2.52 . 3 2 2.24 1 . 8 . 6 4 K 1 3.47 1 . 1 4 2 . 7 2.74 1 . 3 8 L 1 2.55 . 1 7 1 . 4 3 2.08 . 5 2 A c t i v eL
T E H i g h T E L
l
H i g h l
Direction in manager structure examination Direction in manager structure examination The source of excess return of each fund is either “individual stock selection” or “risk index. ”
コ ア ・ パ ッ シ ブ Core passive コ ア ・ ア ク テ ィ ブ Core active サ テ ラ イ ト ・ ア ク テ ィ ブ Satellite active Low TE High TE H i g h s h a r e LPortfolio characteristics and risk level of each plan
. . 5 1 . 1 . 5 2 . 2 . 5 5 1 1 5 2
Number of assets in portfolio Estimated T.E. ( Size of ball implies asset size.) P l a n C ( e x c l u d i n g p a s s i v e ) P l a n B P l a n B ( e x c l u d i n g p a s s i v e ) P l a n A P l a n A ( e x c l u d i n g p a s s i v e ) Y
r p l a n ( e x c l u d i n g p a s s i v e )
Portfolio characteristics and risk level of each plan
. . 5 1 . 1 . 5 2 . 2 . 5 5 1 1 5 2
Number of assets in portfolio Estimated T.E. ( Size of ball implies asset size.) P l a n C ( e x c l u d i n g p a s s i v e ) P l a n B P l a n B ( e x c l u d i n g p a s s i v e ) P l a n A P l a n A ( e x c l u d i n g p a s s i v e ) Y
r p l a n ( e x c l u d i n g p a s s i v e )
Portfolio characteristics and risk level of each plan
. . 5 1 . 1 . 5 2 . 2 . 5 5 1 1 5 2
Number of assets in portfolio Estimated T.E. ( Size of ball implies asset size.) P l a n C ( e x c l u d i n g p a s s i v e ) P l a n B P l a n B ( e x c l u d i n g p a s s i v e ) P l a n A P l a n A ( e x c l u d i n g p a s s i v e ) Y
r p l a n ( e x c l u d i n g p a s s i v e ) Value Value Growth Growth Large Large Small Small ( ) Large Large Small Small ( 企業成長度(G r o w t h )-株価相対企業価値 (V a l u e ) Total plan
G 4 I 2 I 1 H 2 H 1 H 3 I 3 G 3 J 1 B 1 K 1 L 1 E 1 C 1 D 1 F 1 G 2 A 1There is some bias to the growth side, but totally balance neutral seems to be realized. 市場型マネージャーの管理が 全体スタイルバランスの鍵か?
Multi-factor model
Size factor Value Value Growth Growth Large Large Small Small
( )
Large Large Small Small
( 企業成長度(G r o w t h )-株価相対企業価値 (V a l u e )
Large Large Small Small
( )
Large Large Small Small
( 企業成長度(G r o w t h )-株価相対企業価値 (V a l u e ) Total plan
G 4 I 2 I 1 H 2 H 1 H 3 I 3 G 3 J 1 B 1 K 1 L 1 E 1 C 1 D 1 F 1 G 2 A 1There is some bias to the growth side, but totally balance neutral seems to be realized. 市場型マネージャーの管理が 全体スタイルバランスの鍵か?
Multi-factor model
Size factor
Quantity
Quality
Sample Process of rebalance strategy 2
Set up financial variables for the purpose of constructing
Optimize portfolio and make rebalance plan Check risk allocation Rebalancing requires the adjustment of 3 styles; passive, value, and growth. Style neutral as risk allocation basis
Growth M k t Value Growth Mkt Value 5.0% 10.0% 0.50 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4.7% 7.6% 0.63 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 67.9% 32.1% 0.0% 4.5% 5.9% 0.77 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 50.8% 32.2% 17.0% 4.2% 4.7% 0.89 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 36.0% 27.2% 36.8% 4.0% 4.3% 0.92 0.0% 14.1% 0.0% 0.1% 20.7% 23.6% 41.4% 3.7% 4.0% 0.93 0.0% 15.6% 0.0% 13.2% 17.7% 21.5% 31.9% 3.5% 3.7% 0.93 0.0% 16.4% 5.5% 21.4% 15.0% 16.8% 24.9% 3.2% 3.4% 0.93 0.0% 16.8% 12.5% 28.3% 12.6% 11.4% 18.4% 2.9% 3.2% 0.93 4.5% 15.6% 15.4% 29.8% 11.1% 8.1% 15.4% 2.8% 3.0% 0.93 9.5% 15.6% 14.3% 26.9% 10.5% 8.1% 15.1% 2.6% 2.7% 0.93 17.5% 13.6% 13.4% 25.1% 9.9% 7.2% 13.4% 2.3% 2.5% 0.93 26.1% 12.5% 11.7% 21.8% 8.7% 6.7% 12.5% 2.2% 2.3% 0.93 29.6% 11.9% 11.3% 21.5% 7.9% 6.0% 11.9% 1.9% 2.1% 0.93 37.8% 10.3% 10.2% 19.2% 7.3% 5.3% 9.8% 1.7% 1.8% 0.93 46.6% 8.7% 8.5% 15.9% 6.5% 4.8% 8.9% 1.5% 1.6% 0.93 50.3% 8.2% 8.1% 15.3% 5.9% 4.3% 7.9% 1.3% 1.4% 0.93 59.0% 6.9% 6.5% 12.1% 4.9% 3.7% 6.9% 1.2% 1.2% 0.93 62.4% 6.3% 6.1% 11.8% 4.0% 3.0% 6.3% 0.9% 1.0% 0.93 70.6% 5.0% 4.8% 9.4% 3.0% 2.3% 5.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.93 83.6% 2.8% 2.6% 4.9% 1.9% 1.5% 2.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.93 95.9% 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%Result of weight distribution Result of risk distribution
Passive 10% Satellite growth 11% Core marketRisk and return on the previous rebalancing Qualutative Adjustment Risk and return on this rebalancing
31
Plan counseling Investment counseling
Multi Multi-
products Multi Multi-
plans
High-quality of individual products Thorough knowledge of every plan(system)
Provide a mixture Provide a mixture
from the open from the open-platform platform