Legal Notice This presentation includes certain forward looking - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Legal Notice This presentation includes certain forward looking - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Legal Notice This presentation includes certain forward looking information (FLI) to provide Enbridge Energy Partners, L.P. (EEP) and Enbridge Energy Management, L.L.C. (EEQ) investors and potential investors with information about
Legal Notice
2
This presentation includes certain forward looking information (“FLI”) to provide Enbridge Energy Partners, L.P. (“EEP”) and Enbridge Energy Management, L.L.C. (“EEQ”) investors and potential investors with information about EEP and EEQ and management’s assessment of the future plans and operations, which may not be appropriate for other purposes. FLI involves statements that frequently use words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “continue,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “forecast,” “intend,” “may,” “plan,” “position,” “projection,” “should,” “strategy,” “will” and similar words. Although we believe that such forward looking statements are reasonable based
- n currently available information, such statements involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions and are not guarantees of performance.
Future actions, conditions or events and future results of operations may differ materially from those expressed in these forward-looking
- statements. Many of the factors that will determine these results are beyond EEP’s ability to control or predict. Specific factors that could
cause actual results to differ from those in the forward-looking statements include: (1) changes in the demand for or the supply of, forecast data for and price trends related to crude oil, liquid petroleum, natural gas and NGLs, including the rate of development of the Alberta Oil Sands; (2) EEP’s ability to successfully complete and finance expansion projects; (3) the effects of competition, in particular, by other pipeline systems; (4) shut-downs or cutbacks at facilities of EEP or refineries, petrochemical plants, utilities or other businesses for which EEP transports products or to whom EEP sells products; (5) hazards and operating risks that may not be covered fully by insurance, including those related to Line 6B and any additional fines and penalties assessed in connection with the crude oil release on that line; (6) changes in or challenges to EEP’s tariff rates; and (7) changes in laws or regulations to which EEP is subject, including compliance with environmental and operational safety regulations that may increase costs of system integrity testing and maintenance. FLI regarding “drop-down” sales opportunities for our ownership in Midcoast Operating, L.P. are further qualified by the fact that Midcoast Energy Partners, L.P. is under no obligation to buy any of our interests in Midcoast Operating, L.P., and we are under no obligation to sell any such additional interests. As a result, we do not know when or if any such additional interests will be sold. Our FLI is also subject to risks and uncertainties pertaining to operating performance, regulatory parameters, project approval and support, weather, economic conditions, interest rates and commodity prices, including but not limited to those discussed more extensively in our filings with U.S. securities regulators. The impact of any one risk, uncertainty or factor on any particular FLI is not determinable with certainty as these are interdependent and our future course of action depends on management’s assessment of all information available at the relevant time. Any FLI in this presentation is based only on information currently available to us and speaks only of the date of this presentation. Except to the extent required by law, we assume no obligation to publicly update or revise any FLI, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. All FLI in this presentation is expressly qualified in its entirety by these cautionary statements and by such other factors as discussed in EEP’s and EEQ’s SEC filings, including its most recently filed Annual Report on Form 10-K and subsequently filed Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q.
Investment Highlights
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*Enterprise Value as of 4/30/14; **Return CAGR since inception (nominal)
One of the longest established pipeline MLPs (1991) Track record of consistently delivering cash distributions (never reduced) Largest pipeline transporter of crude oil production growth from Western Canada Largest pipeline transporter of crude oil production growth from Bakken formation
$0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000 $80,000 $100,000 $120,000 $140,000 $160,000 $180,000
Total Shareholder Return
1991 2013
Enterprise Value - Large-Cap MLP Commercially secured organic growth underway Strong Investment Grade (S&P, Moody’s) Low-risk transformative growth underway
~$1.8 billion of growth capital placed in service ~$3.1 billion of funding secured IPO carve-out of natural gas & NGL business ~ position EEP as pure-play liquids pipeline MLP
Highlights 2013 Highlights
Investment Proposition
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65% 62% 19%
- Owner and operator of largest crude
- il pipeline system
- ~$40 billion equity market cap
- Strong investment grade (A-, Baa1)
- Proven track record: industry leading
EPS and DPS growth
- 5 year EPS CAGR of 14%
- 5 year DPS CAGR of 14%
- Strategy aligned with Partnership
- ~$36 billion commercially secured
- rganic growth program underway
Strength of GP – Enbridge Inc.
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ENB: North American leader in energy delivery
Strategic Position
6
Norman Wells Zama Portland Seattle Casper Montreal Salt Lake City Patoka Cushing Ottawa Superior Chicago Clearbrook Regina Flanagan Hardisty Toledo Toronto Sarnia Buffalo Wood River Edmonton Fort McMurray Houston
- St. James
Philadelphia Cromer
- St. John
WCSB BAKKEN EEP Contract Storage EEP Liquids Pipelines ENB Liquids Pipelines
Competitive Advantages
- Refiners
– Access to multiple crude streams
- Producers
– Access to multiple premium markets
- Flexible system
- Size and scale unmatched
– Will expand to ~2.85 MMb/d in 2017
Positioned for Long-Term Growth
- Direct connection to growing supply basins (Heavy
& Light)
High quality customer base ENB and EEP Strategically Aligned
OTHER
ENB
0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 MMb/d
2013 Enbridge Forecast 2013 Enbridge Upside Forecast Optimal Pipeline Capacity Supply Forecast
WCSB Supply Forecast vs. Pipeline Takeaway Capacity*
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*Includes Bakken entering ENB Mainline ex-Superior Sources: Enbridge Internal Forecast
Keystone XL ENB Northern Gateway TransMountain Expansion Energy East
8
Range of External Supply Forecasts
Tesoro Mandan Refinery Enbridge Berthold Rail ND
Baker Take-away (Platte)
Plains Bakken North
Enbridge Sandpiper*
0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
MMb/d
Enbridge Bakken Pipeline Enbridge North Dakota system
* Sandpiper construction to be funded 37.5% by Marathon Petroleum Corp; Marathon to assume ~27% equity participation in expanded EEP North Dakota System after
Sandpiper in-service.
Bakken Crude Oil Supply vs. Pipeline Takeaway Capacity
North American Crude Oil Price Fundamentals
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$114 $111 $96
Alberta Light
Bakken Brent Maya Asia $96 $104 LLS WCS $97 $84 $102
Light Crude Heavy Crude
$104 WTI
Light Differentials Brent – WTI $9 LLS – WTI $2 Asia – WTI $12 WTI – Bakken $5 WTI - Alberta Light $6 Heavy Differentials Maya – WCS $12 Asia – WCS $20
Significant Infrastructure Investment Opportunities
May 14, 2014 prices (in US$/bbl)
North American Supply North American Demand Transportation Bottlenecks Volatile Price Differentials
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Providing New Market Access
Norman Wells Zama Edmonton Fort McMurray Portland Seattle Casper Montreal Salt Lake City Patoka Cushing Superior Chicago Clearbrook Regina Flanagan Hardisty Toledo Sarnia Buffalo Houston
- St. James
Cromer
- St. John
+600 kbpd Heavy
+80 kbpd Heavy +250 kbpd Light +50 kbpd Heavy
+300 kbpd Light
Western USGC Access Eastern Access Light Oil Market Access
+50 kbpd Light
Opening New Markets for up to 1.7 million barrels per day
+ ~1.0 MMbpd of Heavy and + ~0.7 MMbpd of Light
+50 kbpd Light
Nanticoke
+250 kbpd Heavy
Organic Growth Projects:
Commercially secured Low risk framework Long-term contracts
Montreal Gretna Regina Hardisty Kerrobert Toledo Buffalo Edmonton
Houston
Fort McMurray Cromer Cushing Patoka Chicago/ Flanagan Sarnia Superior Port Arthur
Market Access Programs
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Westover
+600 kbpd
+300 kbpd +440 kbpd
+80 kbpd
+320 kpbd
2013
- Bakken Pipeline Expansion+ Berthold Rail - EEP
- Line 5 Expansion (+50 kbpd) - EEP
- Line 62 Expansion (+105 kbpd) - EEP
- Line 9A Reversal (+50 kbpd) - ENB
- Toledo Pipeline Partial Twin (+80 kbpd) - ENB
- Seaway Pipeline Expansion (+400 kbpd) - ENB
2014
- Line 6B Replacement (+260 kbpd) - EEP
- Line 67 (+120 kbpd) (1)- EEP
- Line 61 (+160 kbpd) - EEP
- Line 9B Reversal + Expansion (+320 kbpd) - ENB
- Flanagan South Pipeline (+600 kbpd) - ENB
- Seaway Twin + Lateral (+450 kbpd) - ENB
2015
- Line 67 (+230 kbpd) - EEP
- Line 61 (+640 kbpd) - EEP
- Chicago Area Connectivity (+570 kbpd) – EEP
- Southern Access Extension (+300 kbpd) - ENB
- Edmonton to Hardisty (+570 kbpd) - ENB
2016
- Sandpiper Pipeline (+225/+375 kbpd) – EEP
- Line 6B Expansion (+70 kbpd) - EEP
Market Access Programs Bolster Lakehead System Utilization
(1) Line 67 in-service delayed, however, throughput impacts expected to be substantially
mitigated by temporary system optimization actions.
2017
- Line 3 Replacement –ENB/ EEP
Organic Growth Projects:
Commercially secured Low risk framework Long-term contracts
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Project Execution – 2014 In-Service
Eastern Access: Ln 6B Replacement
- 160 miles of Line 6B replacement is
- n target to enter service in May
- ROW and permitting for the
remaining 50 mile replacement secured, construction to begin this spring for Q3 2014 in service date
- ~$2.1 billion capital
Mainline Expansions
- Line 61- expansion from 400kbpd to
560kbpd between Superior and Flanagan (3Q 2014 in-service)
- ~$0.2 billion capital
* Jointly funded 25% EEP / 75% ENB
Commercially Secured 30 year Cost of Service
- Line 3:
– Part of Enbridge mainline system – Replace all remaining segments from Hardisty to Superior with latest available high strength steel and coating technology
- EEP Capital Investment:
– border to Superior ~ $2.6 billion capital – to be joint funded with ENB
- Expected Completion:
– 2nd Half of 2017
- 30 year Cost-of-Service
– 15 year primary term
- Shipper Support (CAPP/RSG)
Line 3 Replacement
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Bakken Expansion – Sandpiper Pipeline
Clearbrook Superior Sarnia Chicago Patoka Toledo Montreal Westover Hardisty
Cushing
Regina Gretna
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Sandpiper ($2.6 B)
- Scope: 610 mile, 24”/30” pipeline
- Capacity: ~ 225 kbpd/375 kbpd
- Target in-service: Early 2016
- Marathon Funding:
37.5% of construction for ~27% equity interest in EEP ND system
Low risk framework (ship-or-pay/COS) Anchor Shipper secured Petition for Declaratory Order filed with
FERC
Flanagan
Midcoast Energy Partners IPO (MEP)
Drop-Downs Bolster Funding Program
15 Past State Current State Near Term EEP: ‘Pure-Play’ Liquids Pipeline MLP MEP: ‘Pure-Play’ Natural Gas & NGL Midstream MLP Additional Funding Source to Support Growth Significantly Mitigates EEP Equity Needs
Gas & Liquids Operations
- First Drop-Down to MEP targeted mid-2014 (~$300–$400 million)
- Drop-down remaining interests in gas business to MEP within
five years
Gas-Focused Operations Liquids-Focused Operations
EEP to Drop-Down Natural Gas & NGL Business to MEP
IPO NTM 9/30/14 2017E
(1) Compounded annual distribution growth rate. Target annualized minimum quarterly distribution is $1.25/unit.
MEP to Execute on Growth Strategy Attractive Distribution Growth
100% 61% 39%
First drop-down post-IPO targeted mid-2014 ~ $300–$400 million
- 100% Debt funded
Execute on actionable organic growth opportunities Logistics & Marketing business positioned to capture commodity price
- ptimization
IPO 2014 2017e
Natural Gas business ownership
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Natural Gas and NGL Midstream Business
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Anadarko System Ajax Processing Plant
in service 3Q 2013
Texas Express NGL System In service 4Q 2013 North Texas System Marble Falls Associated Rich Gas East Texas System Beckville Processing Plant expected in service 1Q 2015
Petal
Logistics and Marketing 250 transport trucks, 300 trailers, 205 rail cars, TexPan Liquids Rail Facility 100,000+ Bpd of long-term fractionation capacity secured
CLINE SHALE EAGLEBINE
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Commercial Structure & Risk Profile
Crude oil projects progressively transform EEP to lower risk business model
Cost of Service/Take-or-Pay: Contribution from Liquids and Natural Gas business cost of service and take-or-pay contracts. Fee-based: Contribution from Liquids and Natural Gas business fee-based service. Commodity Sensitive: Contribution from Natural Gas business from its commodities length (before hedging). Contribution is based on revenues from Liquids segment and gross margin from Natural Gas segment, excluding non-controlling interest. Assumes Natural Gas business dropped down to MEP within five years.
0.0% 20.0% 40.0% 60.0% 80.0% 100.0% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
59% 23% 18%
Cost-of-Service/Take-or-Pay Commodity Sensitive Fee-Based
24% 76%
(Unconsolidated view)
Strengthening Distribution Coverage
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Secured growth projects improve distribution coverage
0.00x 0.25x 0.50x 0.75x 1.00x 1.25x 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014e 2017e
Long Range Coverage Target
Guidance range
Coverage*
* Coverage includes EEQ paid-in-kind distribution.
- Accretive growth underway
- Backed by long-term, low risk
commercial framework
- cost-of-service
- ship-or-pay
Highly certain distributable cash flow growth
Distribution Growth Target
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Organic growth platform supports distribution growth
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2017e
2% - 5% Annual Growth Target
2.7% 4.2%
- 3.8%
3.6% 2.1%
Funding Plan 2014-2017 (unconsolidated)
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Debt
Total Requirement 2.4 2014 – 2017 Maturities 0.9 Debt Requirement 3.3
Equity
Total Requirement 1.2 EEQ PIK (0.6) Equity Requirement 0.6
Financing Options
- Additional MEP Drop-Downs
- Bank Credit Facility
- Floating Rate Note
- Term Debt
- Hybrid Securities
- Additional MEP Drop-Downs
- Hybrid Securities
- Private Placement
- ATM program
- EEP/EEQ Common Unit Offering
Uses/(Sources)
Secured Growth Capital 9.4 Maintenance Capital 0.4 Joint Funding Call Back on Lakehead Expansions 0.7 10.5 ENB Joint Funding* (3.3) Sandpiper Joint Funding (1.0) MEP Drop-Downs +/- (2.6)
Net Funding Required 3.6 Equity funding requirements manageable
($billion)
* Joint funding with Enbridge Inc. includes estimated 50% funding by Enbridge Inc. for U.S. component of Line 3 Replacement program and 50% estimated funding by EEP. Participation levels being finalized and approved by Independent Special Committee.
Long-Term ENB Liquids Drop-Down Potential: $10 Billion +
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2017e
Distributable Cash
Pipeline System Upsize Option Capital Cost/ Book Value*
- Eastern Access
$0.4 (2016/2017) ~ $1.5
- Mainline Expansion
$0.4 (2016/2017) ~ $1.4
- Alberta Clipper
- ~ $0.8
- Line 3 Replacement**
$0.4 (2018) ~ $0.9
- Flanagan South
- ~ $2.8
- Seaway/Seaway Twin
- ~ $2.4
Substantial drop-down opportunities from parent supports long-term growth outlook
* Estimated capital cost or net book value of assets held by Enbridge Inc. ** Line 3 Replacement Joint Funding Agreement to be finalized by a Special Committee of the independent Board of Directors., including an option to upsize EEP
- wnership by 15% one year after the in-service date.
~ $10B
($ Billions)
Examples:
Key Takeaways
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- Strategic position supported by strong business fundamentals
- Secured Liquids projects collectively transform the Partnership
to an even lower risk business model
- Coverage strengthens as organic growth projects enter service
- Distribution growth: targeting 2% to 5% annual growth
- Minimal equity funding requirements
- First drop-down post-IPO to MEP mid-2014
- Strategically aligned, supportive general partner
Safety and operational reliability are cornerstones that underpin
- ur business and growth outlook