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ITS NOT JUST THE MONEY The Benefits of College Education to - - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

ITS NOT JUST THE MONEY The Benefits of College Education to Individuals and to Society LUMINA ISSUE PAPERS PHILIP TROSTEL UNIVERSITY OF MAINE You already know It is now widely accepted that education creates human capital,


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IT’S NOT JUST THE MONEY

The Benefits of College Education to Individuals and to Society LUMINA ISSUE PAPERS PHILIP TROSTEL

UNIVERSITY OF MAINE

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You already know…

 It is now widely accepted that education creates “human

capital,” which is generally understood to mean the value

  • f the higher earnings associated with education

attainment.

 The “college earnings premium” is frequently used to

indicate this notion.

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$9,668 $7,555 $12,168 $32,112 $26,016 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000 $90,000 Less than High School Diploma High School Diploma Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree

Average Annual Earnings

$24,010 $31,565 $36,178 $56,122 $82,139 $14,342

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$205,009 $152,926 $246,396 $625,483 $419,467 $0 $200,000 $400,000 $600,000 $800,000 $1,000,000 $1,200,000 $1,400,000 $1,600,000 $1,800,000 Less than High School Diploma High School Diploma Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree

Present Value of Lifetime Earnings (At Age 19 using a 3% Discount Rate)

$549,010 $701,936 $795,406 $1,174,493 $1,593,959 $344,001

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You probably also know…

 There is no sign of a shrinking college earnings

premium, despite relatively more college-educated labor.

 In fact, the college earnings premium has generally

risen over the past several decades.

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0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Trend in Degree Premia in Earnings

High School Diploma Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree

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The Curse of the College Earnings Premium

 The large monetary payoff to college education has been

demonstrated countless times.

 Two unfortunate side effects:

 Numerous other important benefits tend to get overlooked.  It fuels the perception that college education is primarily a private good

and thus there is little need for taxpayer support.

 Our actions are speaking. Public support for higher education:

 Falling relative to national income (since early 1980s)  Falling relative to total government spending (since about 1980)  Falling relative to net student/family contributions

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“If you can’t measure it, it doesn’t exist”

 The “other” benefits are at least as important as the well-

known effect on earnings.

 They are not just the gravy.

 The report compiles evidence from several different literatures

(and shows a few new things too).

 Most of the data are from 2012.  The benefits from college attainment are emphasized, not the

benefits from college education generally.

 The benefits from research and public service activities are not

quantified.

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Caveats

 Numerous effects are separately summarized, but they are

unlikely to be independent.

 A simple summation risks double counting.

 The report does not deal with issues of causation.

 The correlations could be the result of omitted-variables bias (a.k.a.

“ability bias” in this context).

 The literatures have found that instances of causal estimates being

noticeably lower than the observed correlations are uncommon.

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Other Private Benefits

 Some other private benefits of college attainment:

 Greater fringe benefits from employment  Reduced risk of unemployment  Better health and reduced risks of disability and mortality  Increased savvy in making consumption and financial decisions  Reduced risk of imprisonment  Better marriages  Increased life satisfaction  These benefits are partially passed on to their children

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$836 $1,859 $2,267 $2,568 $3,226 $3,984 $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 $3,500 $4,000 $4,500 Less than High School Diploma High School Diploma Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree

Average Annual Employer Contribution for Health Insurance

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9.2% 26.6% 33.1% 38.8% 45.7% 54.7% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Less than High School Diploma High School Diploma Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree

Retirement Plan through Employment

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13.6% 9.6% 7.8% 6.0% 4.4% 3.1% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% Less than High School Diploma High School Diploma Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree

Unemployment Rate

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15.0% 19.5% 23.5% 25.2% 34.7% 39.2% 38.4% 50.5% 57.4% 61.3% 72.6% 76.1% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Less than High School Diploma High School Diploma Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree

Self‐Reported Health

Excellent Excellent or Very Good

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Life Expectancy

 Hummer and Lariscy (2011) found that the mortality rate is

25% lower for bachelor’s degrees compared to high school.

 They also show that college attainment is inversely related to all

broad categories of mortality, but particularly for the most preventable causes.

 The strongest negative effects on mortality are for diabetes and lung

cancer, followed by respiratory disease and external causes (homicide, suicide, and accidents).

 Meara et al (2008) estimated life expectancy at age 25 (in

2000). Life expectancy for those with at least some college was 81.6, compared to 74.6 for those who never attended college.

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More on Life Expectancy

 Mokdad et al (2004) indicate that “modifiable behavioral risk

factors are leading causes of mortality” in the U.S.

 Smoking is the leading cause of death, followed closely by poor diet

and physical inactivity, with alcohol a distant third.

 Cutler and Lleras-Muney (2010) found that college education

has:

 a positive relationship with exercise  a positive relationship with eating fruits and vegetables  negative correlations with both obesity and heavy drinking  a positive correlation with seat belt use  positive correlations with various types of preventative medical care

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External Benefits

 College education also creates substantial benefits to the rest

  • f society.

 Some external benefits of college attainment:

 Probably the most important is knowledge creation and technological

change fostered by college education, but this is not quantified.

 “Productivity externalities”  “Fiscal externalities”  “Philanthropic externalities”  “Civic externalities” (a.k.a. “social capital”)

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Productivity Spillovers

 Education not only increases the incomes of those being

educated but may also increase the incomes of others.

 Regional data on income and college attainment suggest that

productivity spillovers are important.

 The greater regional income associated with greater regional college

attainment is substantially more than can be explained by the greater incomes of graduates.

 Estimating the magnitude of productivity spillovers is

challenging because correlation is not causation. But the best evidence indicates that it is comparable in size to the college earnings premium.

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Fiscal Externalities

 Greater earnings associated with higher education create

greater tax revenues, which benefit others by financing public services.

 The lower incidences of poverty, unemployment, disability, etc

reduce spending on public assistance and social insurance, which benefit others by freeing government resources for

  • ther programs and/or reducing taxes.
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$1,300 $43,868 $75,206 $80,629 $175,234 $258,045 $6,065 $15,380 $22,709 $24,564 $43,248 $60,070 $31,760 $43,108 $49,552 $55,373 $62,082 $72,750 $24,304 $34,208 $38,813 $40,775 $47,947 $53,025 $0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 $450,000 $500,000 Less than High School Diploma High School Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree

Present Value of Lifetime Taxes (At Age 19 using a 3% Discount Rate)

Federal Income Taxes State Income Taxes Property Taxes Sales Taxes

$443,890 $328,511 $201,341 $186,280 $136,564 $63,429

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$51,090 $33,709 $24,772 $22,053 $11,097 $7,638 $33,430 $15,430 $10,059 $6,626 $2,116 $981 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000 $90,000 $100,000 Less than High School Diploma High School Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree

Present Value of Lifetime Public Assistance (At Age 19 using a 3% Discount Rate)

Medicaid SNAP School Lunches Cash Assistance Energy Assistance Housing Subsidy

$9,394 $14,480 $31,803 $38,617 $54,155 $95,454

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$5,804 $7,928 $7,303 $7,140 $5,319 $4,179 $13,971 $7,110 $3,642 $3,043 $1,421 $652 $1,921 $2,445 $2,987 $1,847 $1,969 $2,122 $969 $1,656 $1,594 $1,069 $544 $553 $0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 Less than High School Diploma High School Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree

Present Value of Lifetime Social Insurance (At Age 19 using a 3% Discount Rate)

Unemployment Insurance Supplemental Security Disability Workers' Compensation

$7,506 $9,253 $13,099 $15,527 $19,139 $22,664

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$53,079 $8,488 $4,055 $4,055 $1,190 $725 $11,966 $7,402 $5,072 $3,573 $1,950 $911 $4,045 $2,502 $1,714 $1,208 $659 $308 $0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 Less than High School Diploma High School Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree

Present Value of the Lifetime Public Costs of Incarceration and Uninsurance (At Age 19 using a 3% Discount Rate)

Corrections Cost Uninsured Cost to Government Uninsured Cost to Private Sector

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$125,510 $237,369 $307,089 $333,373 $510,814 $668,046 $288,329 $211,431 $180,110 $161,245 $129,762 $120,056 $0 $100,000 $200,000 $300,000 $400,000 $500,000 $600,000 $700,000 Less than High School Diploma High School Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree

Present Value of Total Lifetime Fiscal Effects (At Age 19 using a 3% Discount Rate)

Taxes Expenditures

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Fiscal Bottom Line

 Trostel (2010) estimated the fiscal benefits relative to the cost

(using 2005 data):

 From taxpayers’ point of view each potential college degree is,

conservatively, worth $481,000 ($556,000 in various fiscal benefits minus the $75,000 cost).

 Net government spending per college degree was negative!

 The reduction in spending after college is greater than public spending on college

education.  The real internal rate of return on taxpayer investment in college

students was, conservatively, 10.3%.

 The real internal rate of return to state and local governments was

3.1%, on average.

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Figure 4 Cumulative Fiscal Effect per Four-Year Equivalent Degree

  • $100,000
  • $50,000

$0 $50,000 $100,000 $150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 $450,000 $500,000 19 23 27 31 35 39 43 47 51 55 59 63 67 71 75 Age Cumulative Fiscal Effect

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$163 $410 $759 $840 $1,665 $2,682 $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 $3,000 Less than High School Diploma High School Diploma Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree

Value of Volunteered Labor

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$3,434 $5,757 $7,076 $1,801 $19,974 $31,805 $66 $188 $332 $137 $1,642 $4,052 $0 $5,000 $10,000 $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $30,000 $35,000 Less than High School Diploma High School Diploma Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree

Earnings Sacrificed for Not‐for‐Profit Employment

Earnings Differential Average Contribution

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$26 $49 $79 $94 $279 $682 $140 $334 $533 $599 $981 $1,512 $1 $2 $4 $8 $44 $161 $0 $500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 Less than High School Diploma High School Diploma Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree

Annual Charitable Contributions

Charities Religious Organizations Educational Institutions $167 $385 $616 $701 $1,304 $2,355

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6.6% 10.1% 17.2% 18.7% 26.3% 34.1% 1.6% 4.9% 7.4% 8.6% 10.0% 13.7% 13.2% 14.5% 19.6% 22.2% 27.4% 31.7% 0.9% 3.1% 5.8% 6.8% 8.2% 12.9% 19.3% 25.9% 36.3% 40.2% 48.5% 58.9% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Less than High School Diploma High School Diploma Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree

Participation in Organizations

School or Community Assoc. Service or Civic Org. Religious Institution Other Org. Any

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3.6% 6.0% 8.8% 9.9% 12.9% 17.3% 2.7% 5.6% 9.1% 10.8% 14.7% 20.2% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% Less than High School Diploma High School Diploma Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree

Community Involvement

Worked on a Community Project Attended a Community Meeting

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61.8% 65.8% 68.9% 70.1% 71.9% 72.5% 41.2% 44.2% 45.9% 46.8% 47.8% 49.2% 37.6% 51.6% 54.5% 58.8% 64.4% 68.8% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% Less than High School Diploma High School Diploma Some College Associate's Degree Bachelor's Degree Advanced Degree

Interactions with Neighbors

Speak with Neighbors Exchange Favors with Neighbors Trust Neighbors

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Crime

 Crime is essentially negative citizenship.  Lochner and Moretti (2004) estimated the reduction in

the dollar value of the harm to crime victims.

 Extrapolating their estimates:

 The PV of the lifetime bachelor’s degree premium in the victim

costs of crime is 21% as large as the lifetime effect on earnings, and 45% as large as the bachelor’s degree fiscal externality.

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Summary

 It is not overstatement to call the typically emphasized

effect on earnings just the tip of the college-payoff iceberg.

 There are more benefits to college education beneath the surface

than above it.

 These are just the (imperfectly) measurable benefits of

college education.

 There are numerous important but difficult-to-quantify effects such

as the positive influences on innovation, culture, diversity, and tolerance.

Greater Earnings Other Benefits

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“A Mind is a Terrible Thing to Waste”

 In addition to its emotional appeal, the

slogan is rationally true even more than UNCF realized.

 Compromising college access makes us all

worse off.

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Downloads

 Report:

 https://www.luminafoundation.org/files/resources/its-not-just-the-

money.pdf

 Excel charts:

 http://network.bepress.com/explore/education/education-

economics/?facet=subject_facet%3A%22Phil+trostel%22